<html>
<head>
<meta http-equiv="content-type" content="text/html; charset=UTF-8">
</head>
<body text="#000000" bgcolor="#FFFFFF">
<font size="+2"><i><b>October 16, 2021</b></i></font><br>
<br>
[ 67% of US]<br>
<b>Americans perceive a rise in extreme weather, Pew finds</b><br>
Americans are taking notice of extreme weather events, according to
a new Pew Research Center survey.<br>
<br>
Details: Two-thirds of Americans say extreme weather events in the
U.S. have been occurring more frequently than in the past, while
only 28% said they've been taking place about as often, and just 4%
perceiving a dropoff in frequency.<br>
<blockquote>-- So far in 2021, the U.S. has seen a record 18 billion
dollar extreme weather events.<br>
-- When it comes to extreme weather events in their backyards, 46%
of U.S. adults say the area where they live has had an extreme
weather event over the past year.<br>
-- The area with the greatest number of people reporting an
extreme weather event was the South Central Census Division. It
includes Louisiana, a state hit hard by Hurricane Ida and heavy
rainfall events.<br>
</blockquote>
Yes, but: Even on perceptions of extreme weather events, there is a
partisan split, the survey found, with Democrats and
Democratic-leaning independents more likely to report experiencing
extreme weather than Republicans and Republican-leaning
independents.<br>
<blockquote>-- The survey of 10,371 Americans took place from Sept.
13–19, 2021, and has a margin of error of plus or minus 1.6
percentage points.<br>
</blockquote>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.axios.com/americans-extreme-weather-pew-democrat-republican-6d2a45b1-56e1-491f-b2e4-6cdde6ba63f9.html">https://www.axios.com/americans-extreme-weather-pew-democrat-republican-6d2a45b1-56e1-491f-b2e4-6cdde6ba63f9.html</a><br>
<p>- -</p>
[See it a the Pew Research Center]<br>
OCTOBER 14, 2021<br>
<b>67% of Americans perceive a rise in extreme weather, but
partisans differ over government efforts to address it</b><br>
Two-thirds of Americans say extreme weather events across the
country have been occurring more often than in the past. Far fewer
say they’re happening about as often (28%), and only 4% say they are
happening less often, according to a new Pew Research Center survey.
The findings come amid reports that climate change has contributed
to an increase in weather-related disasters...<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2021/10/14/67-of-americans-perceive-a-rise-in-extreme-weather-but-partisans-differ-over-government-efforts-to-address-it/">https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2021/10/14/67-of-americans-perceive-a-rise-in-extreme-weather-but-partisans-differ-over-government-efforts-to-address-it/</a>
<p><br>
</p>
[different weather this season]<br>
<b>La Niña is coming. Here's what that means for winter weather in
the U.S.</b><br>
October 15, 2021<br>
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) Climate
Prediction Center announced on Thursday that La Niña conditions have
developed and are expected to continue, with an 87% chance that they
will be in place from December to February.<br>
<br>
La Niña (translated from Spanish as "little girl") is not a storm,
but a climate pattern that occurs in the Pacific Ocean every few
years and can impact weather around the world.<br>
<br>
The U.S. is expected to feel its effects on temperature and
precipitation, which could in turn have consequences for things such
as hurricanes, tornadoes and droughts.<br>
Forecasters point out that this is actually the second La Niña
winter in a row, a not-uncommon phenomenon that they call a
"double-dip." The most recent period lasted from August 2020 to
April 2021. <br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.npr.org/2021/10/15/1046313870/la-nina-winter-weather-us-temperatures-rainfall">https://www.npr.org/2021/10/15/1046313870/la-nina-winter-weather-us-temperatures-rainfall</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[ Qui n’avance pas, recule = Who does not move forward, recedes ]
</i><br>
<b>France finds France guilty</b><br>
A French court has ordered the country to follow through on its
commitments to addressing climate change.<br>
Adam Mahoney - Reporter, Environmental Justice and Investigations<br>
A French court has ordered the country to follow through on its
commitments to addressing climate change. In the Thursday ruling,
the Paris administrative tribunal found that France overshot its
emissions targets by 15 million metric tons between 2015 and 2018
and ordered the government to take all necessary measures to “repair
the damage” by the end of 2022.<br>
<br>
The ruling is the latest development in a case brought by French
environmental organizations in 2019 in an attempt to use the
judicial system to force their country to take more concrete action
against climate change. “Now the court system is becoming an ally in
our fight against climate change,” Jean-François Julliard, director
of Greenpeace France, told reporters following this week’s ruling...<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://grist.org/beacon/france-finds-france-guilty/">https://grist.org/beacon/france-finds-france-guilty/</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[ for instance, Australia --- opinion ]</i><br>
<b>Australian politics’ hypocritical climate kabuki dance has nobody
fooled</b><br>
Peter Lewis<br>
The Murdoch press is proselytising, the business lobby is modelling
a clean energy future while the PM is trying to tether colleagues to
something approaching reality<br>
As the planet prepares to flunk its latest performance review in
Glasgow, Australian politics is threatening to reach peak bullshit
with its cynically curated “towards net zero” kabuki dance.<br>
<br>
After spewing toxic climate emissions into our civic ecosystem for
over a decade, the Murdoch press is proselytising the need to act,
the business lobby is modelling a clean energy future while the
prime minister resolves to tether his nuttier outliers to something
approaching reality.<br>
<br>
Climate inertia is a totemic output of the bullshit industrial
complex, an unhealthy alliance of the big tech gatekeepers
commercially driven to privilege feels over facts, a fourth estate
desperate for audience and a political class schooled in doing
whatever it takes to win.’<br>
<br>
This machine diminishes science and nuanced policy to assuage the
urges and biases of the audience, turning science into muck,
weaponising even relatively benign climate measures such as electric
vehicles into a war on the weekend.<br>
<br>
“Climate action” is but one of a steaming pile of policy the
Coalition is fermenting as it prepares its case for re-election.
There’s its integrity laws, the blame-shifting on hospital funding
and, if all else fails, a face-off with China.<br>
<br>
Politics has always run on artifice, controlled by a professional
class schooled in the relativity of student debating clubs and
culture war theatrics to argue for any point, regardless of its
merit. Hawkie was the good bloke, Howard was the every man, Rudd the
fiscal conservative.<br>
<br>
But our current prime minster is deploying the full repertoire of
old and new media tools to transform himself from a puritan
careerist from the eastern suburbs into ScoMo, the Sharkies-loving
beer-guzzling bloke of simple means.<br>
<br>
Now, in an unlikely twist, the same man who proudly fondled a lump
of coal to prove his fossil fuel cred is being forced to respond to
the reality of a global consensus that action can no longer be
delayed and a local public who have now been through one bushfire
season too many.<br>
<br>
This week’s Guardian Essential Report shows the majority of
Australians are done with the climate bullshit, although there is a
stubborn rump in the PM’s own backyard and, notably, to his right
flank, continuing to luxuriate in the muck....<br>
- -<br>
It’s easy to be cynical about the motivations of these players, but
like coalminers embracing climate change, you can’t change the
system until the primary beneficiaries of a toxic pipeline recognise
the status quo is no longer tolerable.<br>
<br>
A bipartisan consensus to disarm the bullshit industrial complex
would transform Australian politics and give us a fighting chance of
clearing out our public sewers and meeting our broader
responsibilities to the future.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/oct/12/australian-politics-hypocritical-climate-kabuki-dance-has-nobody-fooled">https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/oct/12/australian-politics-hypocritical-climate-kabuki-dance-has-nobody-fooled</a><br>
<br>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[ with a garden, the work is clear -- weed and water. With
activism discovering tasks is difficult ]</i><br>
<b>Why activism needs to be part of any meaningful climate education</b><br>
By Nick Engelfried, originally published by Waging Nonviolence<br>
October 15, 2021<br>
Unless handled carefully, climate change can be one of the most
discouraging topics an educator could ever cover with students, who
need to be able to see a viable path for them to make a difference
unless they are to come away feeling paralyzed. That is why for this
subject, more than perhaps any other, the approach of trying to make
environmental education apolitical is bound to fail. Climate is,
unfortunately, a political issue, and has been made so by decades of
fossil fuel industry lobbying. Given that individual behavior
changes are too small to make a tangible difference on such a huge
global issue, the main viable path for students to have a meaningful
impact is through activism. This is a reality they will need to
grapple with sooner or later.<br>
<br>
As for how educators can best empower students to attack the climate
crisis, the answer will vary from one situation to another. In some
parts of the country, an approach modeled after Portland students
and teachers’ push for climate literacy may work well. Educators
whose subjects may not directly overlap with the climate crisis can
still contribute by helping students understand the dynamics of
historical social movements. Third-party organizations like
Reconnect Earth, which are not subject to the policies of school
boards or colleges, also have a role to play.<br>
<br>
“A huge part of what we have to do as educators is help students
make that initial leap to believing in activism, to knowing it’s a
path for change and an important part of making the world what it is
today,” Swinehart said. “Once they understand that, they can take
the next step to where they see themselves as the ones taking
action.”<br>
<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.resilience.org/stories/2021-10-15/why-activism-needs-to-be-part-of-any-meaningful-climate-education/">https://www.resilience.org/stories/2021-10-15/why-activism-needs-to-be-part-of-any-meaningful-climate-education/</a><br>
<br>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[Cryo science ]</i><br>
Earth Research Findings<br>
Oct 12, 2021<br>
<b>Icy ‘Glue’ May Control Pace of Antarctic Ice-Shelf Breakup</b><br>
As the ice-and-snow rubble known as mélange melts in Antarctica’s
ice shelves, rifts can grow and icebergs break off even in the
brutal cold of winter.<br>
<br>
Researchers at NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Southern
California and the University of California, Irvine, have discovered
an ice process that may have caused a Delaware-size iceberg to break
off Antarctica’s immense Larsen C ice shelf in the Southern
Hemisphere winter of 2017. The finding that mélange – a mixture of
windblown snow, iceberg bits, and sea ice lodged in and around ice
shelves – is critical in holding ice shelves together implies that
the these ice shelves may break up even faster than scientists had
expected due to rising air temperatures.<br>
<br>
Ice shelves, the floating tongues of glaciers that extend over the
ocean, slow the rate at which Antarctica’s glaciers contribute to
global sea level rise. As a glacier’s ice shelf flows out over the
Southern Ocean, it eventually snags on an island, undersea ridge, or
the wall of the bay that encloses the glacier. The snag slows the
glacier’s forward movement in the same way a highway accident slows
down the traffic behind it – except that an ice-shelf snag can hold
back the flow of ice into the sea for thousands of years.<br>
<br>
But in recent decades, ice shelves in the Antarctic Peninsula have
been moving and disintegrating more rapidly. Cracks deepen into
rifts that cut through the shelf from top to bottom and widen
across, finally releasing icebergs into the ocean. If this process
continues until enough of an ice shelf breaks off (as with Larsen B
in 2002), the glaciers that the shelf was holding back begin flowing
more rapidly from the land into the sea. This increases the rate of
sea level rise.<br>
<br>
Climate warming is the underlying cause for this change of ice-shelf
behavior, because it has raised the temperatures of both the air
above and the ocean water beneath the glaciers. But the way the ice
shelves are responding to warming is not fully understood.
Scientists have suggested that freeze-and-thaw cycles of meltwater
pooling on top of the ice are making the rifts grow. But if that’s
the case, how could Larsen C release its giant iceberg in winter,
when the ice had been frozen solid for months?<br>
<br>
To answer that question, the JPL and UC Irvine researchers focused
on mélange. This messy, chunky mixture has natural properties
similar to glue or grout, filling cracks or gaps and sticking to ice
and rock. When it accumulates in a crack in an ice shelf, it creates
a thin layer as hard as the surrounding ice that holds the crack
together. At the sides of ice shelves, layers of mélange glue the
ice to the rock walls around it. “We always suspected that this
mélange played a key role, but until recently we did not have good
observations of its characteristics,” said Eric Rignot, a professor
at UC Irvine and co-author of the study, published in the
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.<br>
<br>
The researchers modeled the entire Larsen C ice shelf using NASA’s
Ice-sheet and Sea-level System Model with observations from NASA’s
Operation IceBridge and European and NASA satellites. They first
assessed which of the hundreds of rifts in the ice shelf were most
vulnerable to breaking, selecting 11 rifts for in-depth analysis.
They modeled what happened to these rifts if only the ice shelf grew
thinner because of melting, if only the mélange grew thinner, and if
both grew thinner.<br>
<br>
“A lot of people thought intuitively, if you thin the ice shelf,
you’re going to make it much more fragile and it’s going to break,”
explained Eric Larour, a JPL scientist and lead author of the new
study. Instead, the model showed that simply thinning the ice shelf
without changing the mélange actually closed the rifts, with average
widening rates dropping from 259 to 72 feet (79 to 22 meters) per
year. Thinning both the ice shelf and the mélange also closed the
rifts. So the melting of glacial ice alone can’t explain why the
shelves are breaking up more rapidly.<br>
<br>
When the researchers thinned only the mélange in the model, however,
without reducing the thickness of the glacial ice itself, the rifts
in the ice shelf widened more quickly, accelerating from an average
rate of 249 to 367 feet (76 meters to 112 meters) per year. When the
narrow layers of mélange thinned to about 30 to 50 feet (about 10 or
15 meters), they completely lost their ability to hold rifts
together. The rifts could rapidly gape open and large icebergs break
loose – just as happened on Larsen C.<br>
<br>
Why does this matter? Because, Larour said, “We’ve put a finger on a
physical process that is capable of destabilizing the ice shelf
prior to a large warming of the atmosphere.” Scientists have often
used the predicted rise in air temperature to estimate how fast
Antarctic ice shelves will break up and, as a result, how rapidly
global sea levels will rise. But the narrow layers of mélange are
melting mainly by contact with ocean water below, which continues
year round. At any time of of the year, they may become too thin to
keep holding the ice shelf together.<br>
<br>
“We think that this process might explain why ice shelves in the
Antarctic peninsula started to break up decades before meltwater
began to accumulate on their surface,” Rignot said. “That implies
that Antarctic ice shelves might be more vulnerable to climate
warming – and sooner than previously thought.”<br>
<br>
Jane J. Lee / Ian J. O’Neill<br>
Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, Calif.<br>
818-354-0307<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-abbreviated" href="mailto:jane.j.lee@jpl.nasa.gov">jane.j.lee@jpl.nasa.gov</a> / <a class="moz-txt-link-abbreviated" href="mailto:ian.j.oneill@jpl.nasa.gov">ian.j.oneill@jpl.nasa.gov</a><br>
<br>
Brian Bell<br>
University of California, Irvine<br>
949-565-5533<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-abbreviated" href="mailto:bpbell@uci.edu">bpbell@uci.edu</a><br>
<br>
Written by Carol Rasmussen<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.nasa.gov/feature/jpl/icy-glue-may-control-pace-of-antarctic-ice-shelf-breakup">https://www.nasa.gov/feature/jpl/icy-glue-may-control-pace-of-antarctic-ice-shelf-breakup</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[get ready]</i><br>
<b>If you hate Houston's heat now, a new study shows how bad it
could get</b><br>
Southeast Texas is one of the worst places for flooding, new
research finds<br>
By Nick Natario<br>
October 14, 2021 <br>
video
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://abc13.com/texas-climate-change-houston-flood-risk-galveston-coastal/11126864/">https://abc13.com/texas-climate-change-houston-flood-risk-galveston-coastal/11126864/</a><br>
HOUSTON, Texas (KTRK) -- New reports show how bad heat and flooding
could get in southeast Texas over the coming years.<br>
<br>
IT'S ABOUT TO GET EVEN HOTTER MORE EXTREME WEATHER COULD HEAD TO
TEXAS<br>
<br>
The report also discovered Texas could receive more extreme weather.
Extreme rain events could increase by 50% compared to 1950-1999.<br>
<br>
Storm surge could also be a bigger problem with rising sea levels.<br>
<br>
"Basically, by the year 2050, given the sea level rise we expect and
the subside we've already seen along the coastline, the risk of
storm surge at a given level will have doubled since the beginning
of the 20th century," Nielsen-Gammon said.<br>
<br>
If you live near the coast, Nielsen-Gammon said be prepared to deal
with more issues more frequently. If you want to avoid problems,
move further away from flood-prone areas.<br>
<br>
"There's nothing that's going to make Texas uninhabitable, but it's
going to be an increasing set of tradeoffs," Nielsen-Gammon
explained.<br>
<br>
SOUTHEAST TEXAS ONE OF THE WORST PLACES FOR FLOODING<br>
<br>
Another study conducted by First Street Foundation took a nationwide
look at how at-risk areas are from flooding. It discovered a quarter
of all critical infrastructure nationally is at-risk, as well as
roads.<br>
<br>
In parts of southeast Texas, it's even worse. Galveston County
ranked 12th in the country for at-risk counties.<br>
<br>
The study shows 84% of the counties' roads are at risk for flooding,
and 81% of its critical infrastructure is at risk of becoming
inoperable.<br>
<br>
"I was not surprised to see Galveston there coming in at number 12,"
said Dr. Hal Needham, a Flood Information Systems climate data and
natural hazard scientist.<br>
<br>
Needham said Galveston County's problem is below your feet.<br>
<br>
"Globally, sea-level-rise was an average of seven inches last
century," Needham explained. "Here in Galveston, it was over two
feet. That's because not only are sea levels rising, but our land is
sinking."<br>
<br>
Houston came in as the 16th most at-risk city. The report shows 770
of hospitals, public utilities and water treatment plants in Harris
County are at risk of flooding.<br>
<br>
CLIMATE CHANGE IS TO BLAME<br>
<br>
Nielsen-Gammon said they reviewed prior years where temperature
changed in Texas, but nothing like this. He said greenhouse gases
are to blame for the hotter weather the state will experience.<br>
<br>
"There's still a lot that can be done but in the meantime, we're
going to have to live with more climate change also," Nielsen-Gammon
said.<br>
<br>
Climate change is also linked to increase flood risks across the
country. The new study shows over the next 30 years, an additional
1.2 million residential properties, 66,000 commercial properties,
63,000 miles of roads, 6,100 pieces of social infrastructure and
2,000 pieces of critical infrastructure will also have flood risks
that would render them inoperable, inaccessible or impassible.<br>
<br>
"One of the biggest concerns would be impassible roads as a
hurricane approaches," Needham explained. "If your evacuation route
is under water, you can't go anywhere."<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://abc13.com/texas-climate-change-houston-flood-risk-galveston-coastal/11126864/">https://abc13.com/texas-climate-change-houston-flood-risk-galveston-coastal/11126864/</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[The news archive - looking back]</i><br>
<font size="+1"><b>On this day in the history of global warming
October 16, 1988</b></font><br>
Discussing the role of global warming in the 1988 presidential
election, Chicago Tribune columnist Steve Chapman observes:<br>
<br>
"Last summer, one of the hottest and driest on record, the nation
was roused by alarms about the 'greenhouse effect'--the gradual
warming of the globe that threatens to turn coastal cities into
underwater ruins and corn fields into salt flats. <br>
<br>
"The problem is that for the last century or so industrial societies
have been releasing substances into the air that capture heat and
erode the Earth`s shield against the sun. The villains? Carbon
dioxide from the burning of fossil fuels, methane from natural and
man-made sources and aerosol propellants.<br>
<br>
"But as soon as the heat dissipated, so did interest in the issue.
In the campaign, the greenhouse effect has gone almost
unmentioned...<br>
<br>
"Both candidates pretend the solutions will be painless and free.
Both pass over the obvious remedies in favor of the politically
appealing ones.<br>
<br>
"The nations of the world have taken one step by agreeing on a
treaty to reduce the use of aerosol propellants. But any serious
attempt to slow the warming of the Earth requires at least three
additional measures: discouraging the use of fossil fuels like coal,
oil and gas; big improvements in energy efficiency; and greater
reliance on nuclear power."<br>
<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://articles.chicagotribune.com/1988-10-16/news/8802080029_1_greenhouse-effect-global-warming-environmentalism">http://articles.chicagotribune.com/1988-10-16/news/8802080029_1_greenhouse-effect-global-warming-environmentalism</a><br>
<br>
<br>
<p>/-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------/</p>
<br>
/Archive of Daily Global Warming News <a
class="moz-txt-link-rfc2396E"
href="https://pairlist10.pair.net/pipermail/theclimate.vote/2017-October/date.html"
moz-do-not-send="true"><https://pairlist10.pair.net/pipermail/theclimate.vote/2017-October/date.html></a>
/<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://pairlist10.pair.net/pipermail/theclimate.vote"
moz-do-not-send="true">https://pairlist10.pair.net/pipermail/theclimate.vote</a><br>
<br>
/To receive daily mailings - click to Subscribe <a
class="moz-txt-link-rfc2396E"
href="mailto:subscribe@theClimate.Vote?subject=Click%20SEND%20to%20process%20your%20request"
moz-do-not-send="true"><mailto:subscribe@theClimate.Vote?subject=Click%20SEND%20to%20process%20your%20request></a>
to news digest./<br>
<br>
- Privacy and Security:*This mailing is text-only. It does not
carry images or attachments which may originate from remote
servers. A text-only message can provide greater privacy to the
receiver and sender. This is a hobby production curated by Richard
Pauli<br>
By regulation, the .VOTE top-level domain cannot be used for
commercial purposes. Messages have no tracking software.<br>
To subscribe, email: <a class="moz-txt-link-abbreviated
moz-txt-link-freetext" href="mailto:contact@theclimate.vote"
moz-do-not-send="true">contact@theclimate.vote</a> <a
class="moz-txt-link-rfc2396E"
href="mailto:contact@theclimate.vote" moz-do-not-send="true"><mailto:contact@theclimate.vote></a>
with subject subscribe, To Unsubscribe, subject: unsubscribe<br>
Also you may subscribe/unsubscribe at <a
class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://pairlist10.pair.net/mailman/listinfo/theclimate.vote"
moz-do-not-send="true">https://pairlist10.pair.net/mailman/listinfo/theclimate.vote</a><br>
Links and headlines assembled and curated by Richard Pauli for <a
class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://TheClimate.Vote"
moz-do-not-send="true">http://TheClimate.Vote</a> <a
class="moz-txt-link-rfc2396E" href="http://TheClimate.Vote/"
moz-do-not-send="true"><http://TheClimate.Vote/></a>
delivering succinct information for citizens and responsible
governments of all levels. List membership is confidential and
records are scrupulously restricted to this mailing list.<br>
<br>
<br>
</body>
</html>