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<font size="+2"><i><b>October 31, 2021</b></i></font><br>
<br>
<i>[ important thinking deserves a listen ]</i><br>
<i> </i>Hidden Brain<br>
<b>We Broke the Planet. Now What?</b><br>
We’ve grown accustomed to viewing climate change as an enemy we must
urgently defeat. But is that the right metaphor for the greatest
existential problem of our time? This week, we consider how to
reframe the way we think about life on a changing planet. If you
like our work, please consider supporting it! See how you can help
at support.hiddenbrain.org. And to learn more about human behavior
and ideas that can improve your life, subscribe to our newsletter at
news.hiddenbrain.org.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://hiddenbrain.org/podcast/we-broke-the-planet-now-what/">https://hiddenbrain.org/podcast/we-broke-the-planet-now-what/</a><br>
<p>- -</p>
<i>[ snips from a delightfull article ]</i><br>
<b>Heaven or High Water - Selling Miami's last 50 years</b><br>
Apr 2, 2019 <br>
Sarah Miller @sarahlovescali<br>
Sunny day flooding” is flooding where water comes right up from the
ground, hence the name, and yes, it can certainly rain during sunny
day flooding, and yes, that makes it worse. Sunny day flooding
happens in many parts of Miami, but it is especially bad in Sunset
Harbour, the low-lying area on Miami Beach’s west side.<br>
<br>
The sea level in Miami has risen ten inches since 1900; in the 2000
years prior, it did not really change. The consensus among informed
observers is that the sea will rise in Miami Beach somewhere between
13 and 34 inches by 2050. By 2100, it is extremely likely to be
closer to six feet, which means, unless you own a yacht and a
helicopter, sayonara. Sunset Harbour is expected to fare slightly
worse, and to do so more quickly.<br>
<br>
Thus, I felt the Sunset Harbour area was a good place to start
pretending to buy a home here. Amazingly, in the face of these
incontrovertible facts about the climate the business of luxury real
estate is chugging along just fine, and I wanted to see the
cognitive dissonance up close.<br>
Lying is not my favorite, but when it’s called for the only thing to
do is jump in with both feet.<br>
- - <br>
I kind of thought that I was crazy, listening to these people tell
me these streets were raised, the buildings were raised, there were
pumps, it was all good. I spoke to Astrid Caldas, a senior climate
scientist with the Climate & Energy program at the Union of
Concerned Scientists. According to their projections, by 2030, there
will be fifty days of sunny day flooding per year. By 2045, there
will be 250 per year. She then confirmed my suspicion that while the
raising of buildings was good for the buildings, it didn’t do much
for the well-being of those living inside. “Yes, you do need to be
able to get out of the building to get medicine and groceries,” she
said. “If all the streets are flooded, what then?”<br>
<br>
I talked to Amy Clement, a Professor in the Department of
Atmospheric Sciences at the University of Miami’s Rosenstiel School
of Marine and Atmospheric Science, who said, re: pumps and raised
buildings, “No, you’re not crazy. That alone is not coordinated
planning, and it’s not a comprehensive solution.” She told me about
a legal battle between homeowners and county government in St. Johns
County, near Jacksonville. The homeowners said the county was
depriving them of access to their land, the county said they would
no longer foot the bill for the millions of dollars it took to
maintain a road continually ravaged by storms and erosion. “People
are just assuming the government will maintain their roads and that
may not always be the case,” Clement said.<br>
<br>
Then there is the problem of walls. The Big Plan in the Netherlands
depends on walls. Since Miami is built on limestone, which soaks up
water like a sponge, walls are not very useful. In Miami, sea water
will just go under a wall, like a salty ghost. It will come up
through the pipes and seep up around the manholes. It will soak into
the sand and find its way into caves and get under the water table
and push the ground water up. So while walls might keep the clogs of
Holland dry, they cannot offer similar protection to the stilettos
of Miami Beach.<br>
<br>
Miami Beach is not the only threatened part of Miami. There are
plenty of neighborhoods with equally bad or worse flooding, and
worse prognoses from sea level rise. But while Miami Beach is fussed
over, every scrap of attention or money these lower-income areas
receive, they must beg for...<br>
- - <br>
People say Miami is douchey, but really, I loved almost everything
about it, the symmetry of the blue umbrellas on the beach, riding a
bike under a canopy of trees, sitting on a wall watching the sunset,
definitely not thinking about how sea water might be infiltrating
the septic systems behind me. The whole time I was there I was like,
yeah, I could see why no one wants to admit how fucked this place
is.<br>
<br>
That night I went out to dinner with a friend who grew up in Miami,
and left for college twenty years ago, never expecting to return. He
was in elementary school when Hurricane Andrew hit. He realized that
Miami was not going to last forever.<br>
<br>
He moved back last year, after years away, and saw that the party
was still on, even though perhaps it shouldn’t have been. That said,
it was perhaps on for this night, for here we were at Niu Kitchen,
downtown, drinking a really good wine from the Languedoc, surrounded
by extremely good-looking people, enjoying luxury while discussing
the horrors that luxury has visited on the world.<br>
<br>
My friend is active in the local civic world, but says he’s
skeptical even of the activist discourse around sea level rise.
“There’s all this talk about ‘sustainability’ and ‘resilience,’ he
said, “and it kind of sounds to me like “what’s the least we can do
in order to keep the party going?”<br>
<br>
I told him about someone I knew who had gone to a meeting about
climate change where Miami officials had talked about how they had
to demonstrate to the world that they were all about resilience, and
how she had been amazed that they thought this was actually their
job.<br>
<br>
This is the neoliberal notion, that the reasonable and mature way to
think about this stuff is: Get more efficient and find the right
incentives to encourage the right kinds of enterprise. But my friend
wondered, what if the mature thing to do is to mourn – and then
retreat?...<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://popula.com/2019/04/02/heaven-or-high-water/">https://popula.com/2019/04/02/heaven-or-high-water/</a><br>
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</p>
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</p>
<i>[ potholer54 is a careful journalist -- this video about
Australia's transition away from coal ]</i><br>
<b>A clean energy solution embraced by both sides of politics</b><br>
Oct 30, 2021<br>
potholer54<br>
The charity I endorse is called Health in Harmony (see my video
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j9-GR">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j9-GR</a>....) It funds hospitals and
affordable health care to villages on the edge of a national parks,
in return for a pledge not to cut down trees. The pledges are
monitored, and the result has been a dramatic decrease in
deforestation rates and an increase in the health of the local
population. <br>
Thanks to your generous contributions so far, amounting to nearly
$200,000, the founders are spreading the idea to other countries.
See also <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://psmag.com/social-justice/save">https://psmag.com/social-justice/save</a>... for an explanation
of their work. You can make a donation by bank transfer here…
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://healthinharmony.org/donate/">https://healthinharmony.org/donate/</a> <br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vInH3MqiaC8">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vInH3MqiaC8</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<br>
<i>[ Washington Post summarizes the Congressional investigation ]</i><br>
<b>Big Oil CEOs testify before House Oversight Committee</b><br>
<blockquote> Members of ‘the Squad’ grill executives over harm to
communities of color<br>
Rep. Katie Porter uses props to illustrate ‘green-washing’<br>
Democrats, Republicans spar over Big Oil’s First Amendment rights<br>
American Petroleum Institute comes under fire for lobbying<br>
Top Democrat says oil industry is ‘obviously lying like the
tobacco executives were’<br>
Shell Oil president pressed on whether warming is ‘existential
threat’<br>
Top Republicans question ‘legitimacy’ of Democrats’ hearing<br>
Oversight panel details Big Oil’s lobbying in new report<br>
Republicans to hammer Biden on energy, climate policy<br>
Top Democrat draws parallels between Big Oil and Big Tobacco<br>
</blockquote>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/2021/10/28/oil-executives-testimony-live-updates/">https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/2021/10/28/oil-executives-testimony-live-updates/</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[ Exxon knew, and then they obliterated any opposition - video
report ]</i><br>
<b>The Time America Almost Stopped Climate Change | Climate Town</b><br>
Jan 21, 2021<br>
Climate Town<br>
We've totally beefed it on climate policy for 30 years, let's try a
new approach. <br>
sUbScRiBe FoR mOrE ViDes: <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/c/climatetown">https://www.youtube.com/c/climatetown</a><br>
PATREON PAGE: <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.patreon.com/ClimateTown">https://www.patreon.com/ClimateTown</a><br>
<br>
First and foremost, thank you so much for taking that little trip
down memory lane with me. It's easy to forget that there was a time
when the greenhouse effect wasn't politically controversial, and
Exxon was the world leader in climate science. There's probably a
good utopian novel about what would have happened if a few things
had gone differently. Oh well.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MondapIjAAM">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MondapIjAAM</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[ opinion in NYTimes ]</i><br>
<b>When the World Is on the Brink, $3.5 Trillion Is a Pittance</b><br>
Oct. 28, 2021<br>
- -<br>
The current price tag of nearly $1.9 trillion for climate and other
social spending might seem enormous — though less so than the
original $3.5 trillion plan. But over the long term, either would be
a pittance.<br>
<br>
By zeroing in on those numbers, the public debate seems to have
skipped over the economic ramifications of climate change, which
promise to be historically disruptive — and enormously expensive.
What we don’t spend now will cost us much more later...<br>
- -<br>
For every ton of carbon dioxide emitted starting today, temperatures
will rise higher and faster. Solomon Hsiang, an economist and
climate scientist at the University of California, Berkeley, and the
co-director of the research group Climate Impact Lab, estimates that
each degree Celsius of warming will erase 1.2 percent of G.D.P. per
year, and those tolls will mount. Failure to curb climate emissions
at all could put the United States on a path to losing 5 percent to
as much as 10.5 percent of its G.D.P. annually. Based on last year’s
G.D.P., that extreme — and unlikely — scenario could amount to
nearly $2.2 trillion each year...<br>
- -<br>
In the more than three decades since Congress held its first major
hearing on global warming, the nation has spent nearly $2 trillion
sweeping up from disasters, many now believed to have been made
worse by climate change. Since 2017, floods, hurricanes and other
disasters have cost nearly $700 billion. This year alone has seen 18
disasters causing losses of more than $1 billion each.<br>
<br>
And these figures don’t account for the drag of slowed growth. Dr.
Hsiang and his colleagues have estimated that Hurricane Maria set
back Puerto Rico’s prosperity by more than two decades.<br>
- -<br>
The warming climate will worsen virtually every existing service,
from water and sewage treatment to mass transit to food distribution
to health care, and erode the wealth of millions. Dr. Hsiang, who
presented his findings to Congress in 2019, estimates that over the
next 80 years intensifying heat alone will reduce Americans’ incomes
by $4 trillion to $10.4 trillion as farming becomes more difficult,
food prices rise and labor productivity falls. Climate risks are
already undercutting the value of real estate in the most vulnerable
parts of the country, including the roughly $1.6 trillion worth of
private property directly threatened by sea level rise and
wildfires.<br>
<br>
“We’re going to be burning money just to adapt,” he told me. “Just
the status quo is going to start costing us more.”<br>
<br>
These numbers tell only part of the story, because the costs will be
spread unequally. High-risk areas of the Gulf Coast could see 20
percent of their economies erased. Crop yields in parts of Texas and
Oklahoma are projected to drop by 70 to 90 percent. People of color
and the poor will likely fare worst.<br>
<br>
Still, not a single one of these projections is a foregone
conclusion. Eliminating as much carbon dioxide emissions as possible
now would reduce the cost to taxpayers later. The National Climate
Assessment estimates that limiting warming to around two degrees
Celsius would reduce economic harm in many cases by 30 percent to 60
percent. Research by the Union of Concerned Scientists suggests that
emissions cuts now could save $780 billion worth of residential
properties by 2100...<br>
- -<br>
The warming climate will worsen virtually every existing service,
from water and sewage treatment to mass transit to food distribution
to health care, and erode the wealth of millions. Dr. Hsiang, who
presented his findings to Congress in 2019, estimates that over the
next 80 years intensifying heat alone will reduce Americans’ incomes
by $4 trillion to $10.4 trillion as farming becomes more difficult,
food prices rise and labor productivity falls. Climate risks are
already undercutting the value of real estate in the most vulnerable
parts of the country, including the roughly $1.6 trillion worth of
private property directly threatened by sea level rise and
wildfires.<br>
<br>
“We’re going to be burning money just to adapt,” he told me. “Just
the status quo is going to start costing us more.”<br>
<br>
These numbers tell only part of the story, because the costs will be
spread unequally. High-risk areas of the Gulf Coast could see 20
percent of their economies erased. Crop yields in parts of Texas and
Oklahoma are projected to drop by 70 to 90 percent. People of color
and the poor will likely fare worst.<br>
<br>
Still, not a single one of these projections is a foregone
conclusion. Eliminating as much carbon dioxide emissions as possible
now would reduce the cost to taxpayers later. The National Climate
Assessment estimates that limiting warming to around two degrees
Celsius would reduce economic harm in many cases by 30 percent to 60
percent. Research by the Union of Concerned Scientists suggests that
emissions cuts now could save $780 billion worth of residential
properties by 2100...<br>
- -<br>
The nation is venturing into an era where the siloed definitions of
programs — infrastructure versus social welfare versus health care —
no longer match the blended nature of the threat. Economic policy is
no longer distinct from environmental policy, because, for example,
creating high-paying jobs in Texas isn’t worth much if it’s too hot
to work.<br>
<br>
Just as economists have linked hotter temperatures to declining crop
yields, they have also linked them to more disease, more crime, more
suicides and other effects on people’s health and well-being. All of
them result in losses — both social and economic — and threaten the
country’s strength and stability.<br>
<br>
Policymakers will have to start somewhere. Among the bill’s
lesser-known provisions in the last publicly released version of the
bill were funding to survey forests and to hire people to fight
wildfires; to provide agricultural research for farmers whose crops
won’t grow in hotter climates; to help homeowners transition from
gas appliances to low-emission technologies and to study health
risks linked to climate change.<br>
<br>
Taken as a whole, these trillion-dollar-plus plans look more like
down payments — investments in keeping the planet, and the U.S.
economy and standard of living, as close as possible to the way it
is now.<br>
<br>
Not to invest in these societal defenses today looks like an embrace
of chaos and a choice to roll the dice on a period of unpredictable
and disruptive change probably greater than anything in human
existence.<br>
When the stakes are viewed this way, investing in defending economic
stability seems conservative. Failing to respond to the scientific
and economic forecasts is what seems dangerously radical<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.nytimes.com/2021/10/28/opinion/climate-change-biden-spending.html">https://www.nytimes.com/2021/10/28/opinion/climate-change-biden-spending.html</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[ Tomorrow's scheduled video talk ]</i><br>
<b>Weather Reports: The Climate of Consciousness, featuring Michael
Pollan and Terry Tempest Williams</b><br>
Scheduled for Nov 1, 2021 - 7 PM ET<br>
Harvard Divinity School<br>
Michael Pollan has been educating us with illuminating prose on “the
botany of desire” for a very long time. He will discuss his latest
book This Is Your Mind On Plants and his landmark bestseller How To
Change Your Mind: What the New Science of Psychedelics Teaches Us
About Consciousness, Dying, Addiction, Depression, and
Transcendence. Pollan’s call for change, restoration, and resiliency
may be the very thing we need to bolster our consciousness in the
midst of climate collapse. Pollan is the author of six New York
Times bestsellers.<br>
<br>
Respondent: Charles Stang, Director of the Center for the Study of
World Religion<br>
<br>
The live conversation will be streamed on the Harvard Divinity
School YouTube page and is a series Constellation Project in
partnership with the Center of the Study of World Religions,
Religion and Public Life, and the Planetary Health Alliance.<br>
<br>
November 1, 2021 | 7 pm Eastern<br>
Harvard Divinity School<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SUmudIdHM6s">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SUmudIdHM6s</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[ fiction finds the way ]</i><br>
<b>Kim Stanley Robinson on how to have a good Anthropocene</b><br>
HUMANS 27 October 2021<br>
By Adam Vaughan<br>
“EVERYTHING is happening way faster than it happens in The Ministry
for the Future,” says Kim Stanley Robinson of his latest novel, set
in a world where an international agency is tasked with fighting for
future generations on climate change. That vision was imagined
mostly in 2018, which the US science fiction writer says now feels
like “another geological age” because so much has happened, from
Donald Trump’s election defeat to the covid-19 pandemic.<br>
<br>
“Climate change seems to be the main topic on the table now, with
all the storms, droughts, fires, freezings – the climate weirdness
that has begun and looks like it will never cease in our lifetimes,”
he says. Stanley Robinson – or Stan as he is often known – has
repeatedly tackled climate change in his work, which is studded with
heroic scientists and nods to scientific papers. His focus has
increasingly moved beyond the problem of a rapidly warming world to
what we should do about it. New York 2140, his 2017 novel, is a
salutary warning of the risk of a drowned world if free market
economics keep trumping the environment.<br>
<br>
The Ministry for the Future hops from Switzerland to India and
Antarctica as it mulls every climate fix imaginable, from the
titular agency to legal and financial incentives, all the way to
activists who are so desperate that they resort to extremism.<br>
<br>
Real-world versions of the ministry, such as Wales’s future
generations commissioner, have suffered from a lack of clout. Does
Stanley Robinson think his fictional one would work in reality?<br>
<br>
“It would be a great thing, but it wouldn’t be simple or in any way
easy to incorporate, because we’re so present-orientated,” he says.
Moreover, it would be no panacea. “People would love to have the
idea of a single fix, one thing will make everything right,” he
says. “That’s just not going to happen.”<br>
<br>
Nor is he comfortable with the answer being violent extremism and
illegal “black ops”, which some of the book’s characters resort to.
“I’m sure that there’s going to be people around the world who are
really angry in coming decades and they will commit violence hoping
to make a better situation, calling it resistance,” he says. “I
think it would be better if we managed to forestall that with legal
reforms that are really fast.”<br>
<br>
So where does hope lie? In top-down efforts such as international
diplomacy, in grassroots local efforts by citizens and everything in
between, says Stanley Robinson. “It’s an all-hands-on-deck
situation. The idea of either/or, or one’s better, one’s worse, all
that needs to be thrown over the side,” he says. It is for this
reason that Stanley Robinson thinks research into geoengineering
methods, such as temporarily reducing the amount of the sun’s energy
reaching Earth, is worth pursuing. All that matters is what works
and is fast, he says.<br>
<br>
He is also clear that our economic systems need reform. “It’s one of
the reasons we aren’t reacting faster [on climate] than we are,
because we’re locked into an ineffective system,” he says.<br>
<br>
Stanley Robinson thinks the “capacious” nature of novels makes the
form good at tackling the subject of climate change. He says its two
strengths are giving readers time travel – “you are suddenly in a
different time and space and really living it” – and telepathy. “You
are in someone else’s head,” he says. But there are limits. “You can
only push a novel so far. I don’t even believe in futurism or
futurology – I’m a novelist.”<br>
<br>
Yet he follows new science more closely than most novelists. The
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s recent report on the
state of climate change science was “the ultimate in alarms going
off”, he says. “The scientific community has been ringing that alarm
since the late 90s. And the response has been slow and the
resistance has been high.” But he fears the warning is being drowned
by the noise of others, from pandemic disruption to “so-called
political divides”, he says.<br>
<br>
One of Stanley Robinson’s worries is a real-world equivalent of the
deadly heatwave that opens his latest novel. “I fear that something
like that is going to happen,” he says. He suspects such an event
might topple a government but fail to affect global action. “The
rest of the world will say, ‘oh, that’s what happens in the
tropics’. We’re very good at ignoring stuff that happens elsewhere
and saying ‘it can’t happen to me’.”<br>
<br>
Stanley Robinson says he sees opportunity at the COP26 climate
summit in Glasgow, UK, where he will give a speech. “My hopes are
high COP26 will come up with something striking. Progress will be
made.” He is also a big fan of US president Joe Biden. “He has been
surprisingly good on climate. And I say this as a leftist.”<br>
<br>
And what next? More climate change-themed novels are in the offing.
Stanley Robinson has already written novels set in Antarctica,
including The Ministry for the Future, and now he wants to head to
the other pole. “I’m looking at the Arctic – can we keep an ice
sheet over the Arctic? It’s so important,” he says. If the idea
grows into a story, it will explore a melting Arctic’s impact on
governance, ecology and culture, not to mention the global climate
as the region’s reflectivity changes.<br>
<br>
“You can only push a novel so far. I don’t believe in futurism or
futurology – I’m a novelist”<br>
<br>
Sixteen years ago, Stanley Robinson told New Scientist he liked
novels with happy endings. Does he hope for one on climate change?
“We could have a good 21st century, we could have a good dealing
with climate change, we could have a good Anthropocene,” he says.
“This is what I charge the young science fiction writers with: you
have to write that story so people can imagine it in advance – and
then try for it.”<br>
<br>
Read more:
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg25133581-200-kim-stanley-robinson-on-how-to-have-a-good-anthropocene/#ixzz7Alz4p32A">https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg25133581-200-kim-stanley-robinson-on-how-to-have-a-good-anthropocene/#ixzz7Alz4p32A</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><i>[ more class instructions ]</i><br>
<b>Day 10 Talk by Lauren Feldman: Communicating Hope and Fear in a
Context of Climate Emergency</b><br>
MC: Stevan Harnad, Professor of Psychology (cognitive sciences) at
UQAM and at McGill and Professor Emeritus at the University of
Southampton.<br>
Abstract:<br>
</p>
<blockquote>Scholars, journalists, and activists continue to debate
the role of emotional messaging in climate change communication.
This talk will consider existing theory and research on the role
of emotions, especially fear and hope, in public engagement and
activism around climate change. Particular attention will be paid
to how media, including both news and entertainment, evoke
emotions about climate change, with the potential to both activate
and alienate publics.<br>
</blockquote>
Bio:<br>
Lauren Feldman is an associate professor of journalism and media
studies, in the School of Communication & Information at Rutgers
University. She studies media effects in political and science
contexts.Her recent work on climate change communication includes
studies of the effects of partisan media on public opinion about
climate change, the portrayal of climate change in satirical news
programs, and how efficacy information in media coverage of climate
change influences public engagement.<br>
<br>
Lauren's research has been supported by grants from the National
Science Foundation, the Carnegie-Knight Task Force on Journalism,
and the Spanish Ministry of Science. She has been published her
research in numerous peer-reviewed journals and edited volumes.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DGlU1-JyIbM">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DGlU1-JyIbM</a><br>
<br>
<p><br>
</p>
[The news archive - looking back]<br>
<font size="+1"><b>On this day in the history of global warming
October 31, 1978</b></font><br>
<br>
October 31, 1978: President Carter signs the National Climate
Program Act into law.<br>
<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/STATUTE-92/pdf/STATUTE-92-Pg601.pdf">http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/STATUTE-92/pdf/STATUTE-92-Pg601.pdf</a> <br>
<br>
<br>
<p>/-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------/</p>
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