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<font size="+2"><i><b>November 29, 2021</b></i></font><br>
<br>
<i>[ Check the science ]</i><br>
<b>In a warming world, deforestation turns the heat deadly, Borneo
study finds</b><br>
by Grace Dungey on 25 November 2021<br>
<blockquote>-- New research identifies how rising localized
temperatures driven by deforestation and global warming are
increasing heat-related deaths and creating unsafe working
conditions in Indonesia.<br>
-- In the Bornean district of Berau, 4,375 square kilometers
(1,689 square miles) of forest were cleared between 2002 and 2018,
contributing to a 0.95°C (1.71°F) increase in mean daily
temperature across the district, according to the study.<br>
-- It concluded climate change temperature increases in the region
caused an 8% rise in mortality rates in 2018, or more than 100
deaths annually, and an additional almost 20 minutes per day of
unsafe work time.<br>
-- Based on the 2018 data, a projected 2°C (3.6°F) global
temperature increase in deforested areas could result in a
20%increase in all-cause mortality — an additional 236-282 deaths
per year — and almost five unsafe work hours per day.<br>
</blockquote>
A new study published in Lancet Planetary Health reports how
localized deforestation and global warming are contributing to an
increase in heat-related deaths in Berau, a district in Indonesia’s
East Kalimantan province on the island of Borneo.<br>
<br>
Researchers from the University of Washington and Mulawaran
University in Samarinda, the East Kalimantan capital, used publicly
accessible satellite data to calculate changes to forest cover and
ground temperature between 2002 and 2018 in Berau. They concluded
that a deforestation-induced rise in mean daily maximum temperatures
of 0.95° Celsius (1.71° Fahrenheit) over the 16-year period resulted
in the additional deaths of 101-118 people annually....<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://news.mongabay.com/2021/11/in-a-warming-world-deforestation-turns-the-heat-deadly-borneo-study-finds/">https://news.mongabay.com/2021/11/in-a-warming-world-deforestation-turns-the-heat-deadly-borneo-study-finds/</a><br>
<p>- -</p>
[ paper in The Lancet Planetary Health ]<br>
<b>The effect of deforestation and climate change on all-cause
mortality and unsafe work conditions due to heat exposure in
Berau, Indonesia: a modelling study</b><br>
Previous studies focusing on urban, industrialised regions have
found that excess heat exposure can increase all-cause mortality,
heat-related illnesses, and occupational injuries. However, little
research has examined how deforestation and climate change can
adversely affect work conditions and population health in low
latitude, industrialising countries...<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanplh/article/PIIS2542-5196(21)00279-5/fulltext">https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanplh/article/PIIS2542-5196(21)00279-5/fulltext</a><br>
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<i>[ bogus, bad data, or ignored reports ]</i><br>
<b>Countries’ climate pledges built on flawed data, </b><b>Post
investigation finds</b><br>
By Chris Mooney, Juliet Eilperin, Desmond Butler, John Muyskens, Anu
Narayanswamy and Naema Ahmed <br>
Nov. 7, 2021<br>
Malaysia’s latest catalogue of its greenhouse gas emissions to the
United Nations reads like a report from a parallel universe. The
285-page document suggests that Malaysia’s trees are absorbing
carbon four times faster than similar forests in neighboring
Indonesia.<br>
<br>
The surprising claim has allowed the country to subtract over 243
million tons of carbon dioxide from its 2016 inventory — slashing 73
percent of emissions from its bottom line...<br>
- -<br>
The plan to save the world from the worst of climate change is built
on data. But the data the world is relying on is inaccurate.<br>
<br>
“If we don’t know the state of emissions today, we don’t know
whether we’re cutting emissions meaningfully and substantially,”
said Rob Jackson, a professor at Stanford University and chair of
the Global Carbon Project, a collaboration of hundreds of
researchers. “The atmosphere ultimately is the truth. The atmosphere
is what we care about. The concentration of methane and other
greenhouse gases in the atmosphere is what’s affecting climate.”...<br>
- -<br>
“That’s why people tolerate this disarray, because the alternative
is for them to walk away.”<br>
- -<br>
“I believe information is powerful. Data and information have not
nudged the climate world as quickly as I wished it had,” he said.
“But I’m still naively hoping to leave the world better for my kids
than I found it.”<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/interactive/2021/greenhouse-gas-emissions-pledges-data/">https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/interactive/2021/greenhouse-gas-emissions-pledges-data/</a><br>
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<i>[ Superb documentary video 52 mins ] </i><br>
<b>How Oil Companies Hid the Truth About Climate Change | Global
Warming | ENDEVR Documentary</b><br>
Nov 24, 2021<br>
ENDEVR<br>
Busines Documentary from 2017 <br>
Oil companies such as Exxon and Shell have been secretly financing
scientific studies and campaigns which are talking down climate
change and have been influencing the public debate for 60 years.<br>
New documents prove that since 1957, these companies have known that
burning fossil fuels changes the climate – their own, strictly
secret research had revealed this. But the US oil companies did not
only carry out research and then concealed their results. Since
1963, Exxon and Shell engineers have been using their knowledge
about climate change to gear up for a warming planet: They built
higher and sturdier oil rigs to compensate for rising sea levels and
more severe storms. Pipelines in the Arctic were anchored more
firmly because of the melting permafrost.<br>
Smoke and Fumes is a documentary about the biggest cover-up in
history, which lasted for 60 years and was only recently revealed.<br>
▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬<br>
Subscribe ENDEVR for free: <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://bit.ly/3e9YRRG">https://bit.ly/3e9YRRG</a><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xVwzxfon7LI">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xVwzxfon7LI</a>
<p>- -<br>
</p>
<i>[ article in The Guardian </i><i>is more than 5 years old</i><i>
]</i><br>
<b>Oil industry knew of 'serious' climate concerns more than 45
years ago</b><br>
Researchers warned American Petroleum Institute in 1968 that the
release of carbon dioxide from fossil fuels could lead to ‘worldwide
environmental changes’<br>
Oliver Milman @olliemilman -- 13 Apr 2016<br>
“Significant temperature changes are almost certain to occur by the
year 2000 and these could bring about climatic change,” the 1968
Stanford report, found and republished by the Center for
International Environmental Law, states. “If the Earth’s temperature
increases significantly, a number of events might be expected to
occur including the melting of the Antarctic ice cap, a rise in sea
levels, warming of the oceans and an increase in photosynthesis.<br>
<br>
“It is clear that we are unsure as to what our long-lived pollutants
are doing to our environment; however, there seems to be no doubt
that the potential damage to our environment could be severe.”<br>
- -<br>
The study, written by scientists Elmer Robinson and RC Robbins, adds
that accumulation of CO2 in the atmosphere could cause “serious
worldwide environmental changes”.<br>
<br>
The scientists estimated that CO2 in the atmosphere could reach 400
parts per million by 2000. In fact, CO2 levels broke that milestone
last year, recording their largest leap on record.<br>
<br>
This huge increase in CO2, the primary driver of the greenhouse
effect, has helped global temperatures rise by 1C over the past
century. It is estimated of the world’s known fossil fuel reserves,
including oil, coal and gas, will have to remain unburned if
civilisation is to avoid the worst ravages of climate change, such
as droughts, floods, food insecurity and inundation from rising
seas.<br>
<br>
API, the peak body for the oil industry in the US, knew about the
dangers of climate change at least 20 years before the issue was
brought into mainstream public discourse via the former Nasa
scientist James Hansen. Former US president Lyndon Johnson also
received an early warning about climate change, with scientists
explaining the mechanism of the greenhouse effect in 1965.<br>
<br>
Last year, it was revealed that ExxonMobil, the world’s largest oil
company, knew of climate change as early as 1981, only to spend
millions of dollars over the following 27 years to promote climate
denial. The exposure of this prior knowledge has been led by Inside
Climate News.<br>
<br>
Exxon had a dedicated in-house team that established the connection
between fossil fuels and climate change, but the company still spent
years refusing to acknowledge the issue and funding climate denial
activities. Exxon now insists it accepts climate science and doesn’t
promote denial of the changes to the planet already under way.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.theguardian.com/business/2016/apr/13/climate-change-oil-industry-environment-warning-1968">https://www.theguardian.com/business/2016/apr/13/climate-change-oil-industry-environment-warning-1968</a><br>
<p>- -</p>
<i>[ Smoke & Fumes report in 1968 ]</i><br>
<b>Sources, abundance, and fate of atmospheric pollutants.</b><br>
Author: E. Robinson, & R.C. Robbins<br>
Importantly, SRI acknowledged that of the various sources proposed
for rising atmospheric CO2, "none seems to fit the presently
observed situation as well as the fossil fuel emanation theory."
Noting uncertainties about whether particulate pollution would
offset some of this warming, SRI warned "…there seems to be no doubt
that the potential damage to our environment could be severe…" The
industry's own consulting scientists then confirmed that the most
urgent research need was into technologies that could bring CO2
emissions under control.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.smokeandfumes.org/documents/document16">https://www.smokeandfumes.org/documents/document16</a><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.smokeandfumes.org/documents">https://www.smokeandfumes.org/documents</a><br>
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<i>[ Hollywood fare of metaphorical sarcasm - on Netflix Dec 24th
-- nearly the same video is less than 3 mins ]</i><br>
<b>DON'T LOOK UP Trailer 2 (2021)</b><br>
Nov 16, 2021<br>
ONE Media<br>
DON'T LOOK UP Trailer 2 (2021) Leonardo DiCaprio, Jennifer Lawrence,
Timothée Chalamet, Ariana Grande, Meryl Streep, New<br>
© 2021 - Netflix<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ISt6u1_gZcE">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ISt6u1_gZcE</a><br>
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<i>[ Woodshole now named Woodwell - message workshops - 4min video
] </i><br>
<b>Woodwell Climate | Addressing Climate Risk with the COP26
Presidency</b><br>
Nov 9, 2021<br>
Woodwell Climate Research Center<br>
The 2021 United Nations Climate Change Conference UK Presidency and
Woodwell Climate convened a series of climate risk workshops with 13
countries. The findings demonstrate the global need for targeted,
standardized assessments that translate the severe risks and
hazardous impacts of climate change on people's daily lives.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HPRLdOsD0JI">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HPRLdOsD0JI</a><br>
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<i>[ PhD defense - video ]</i><br>
<b>On the state of reduced-complexity climate modelling</b><br>
Feb 16, 2021<br>
Climate & Energy College<br>
Zebedee Nicholls, 16 February 2021. <br>
PhD completion seminar. <br>
<blockquote>Reduced-complexity climate models are the most
computationally efficient end of the climate model hierarchy. They
are widely used in climate science research, particularly at the
science-policy interface. However, unlike the Coupled Model
Intercomparison Project (CMIP) that focuses on more comprehensive
Earth System Models, there has never been a systematic
intercomparison project targeted specifically at
reduced-complexity climate models. In this PhD completion seminar,
Zebedee Nicholls will introduce the Reduced-Complexity Model
Intercomparison Project (RCMIP) and discuss the state of
reduced-complexity climate modelling. Beyond the intercomparison
and evaluation efforts of RCMIP, the thesis includes elements of
reduced-complexity model development and application, both of
which will be discussed. Zebedee will also offer suggestions on
possible next steps for reduced-complexity climate modelling,
based on his experiences performing each step in the
development-evaluation-application cycle. The thesis provides new
insights into the behaviour and performance of reduced-complexity
climate models, particularly understanding of their limitations.
These insights allow users of reduced-complexity climate models,
most notably at the science-policy interface, to have greater
confidence when interpreting results from reduced-complexity
climate models.<br>
</blockquote>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o3q40ktMJy8">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o3q40ktMJy8</a><br>
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<br>
[The news archive - looking back]<br>
<font size="+1"><b>On this day in the history of global warming
November 29, 2014</b></font><br>
<br>
November 29, 2014:<br>
The New York Times reports:<br>
<blockquote>"Since the economically crippling oil embargo of 1973,
every American president has pledged to seek and achieve energy
independence.<br>
<br>
"That elusive goal may finally have arrived, at least for the
foreseeable future, with the failure of Saudi Arabia and its 11
oil cartel partners in the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting
Countries to agree to a production cut that would put a brake on
plummeting crude prices."<br>
</blockquote>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://www.nytimes.com/2014/11/29/business/energy-environment/free-fall-in-oil-price-underscores-shift-away-from-opec.html?hp&action=click&pgtype=Homepage&module=photo-spot-region®ion=top-news&WT.nav=top-news">http://www.nytimes.com/2014/11/29/business/energy-environment/free-fall-in-oil-price-underscores-shift-away-from-opec.html?hp&action=click&pgtype=Homepage&module=photo-spot-region®ion=top-news&WT.nav=top-news</a><br>
<br>
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