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<font size="+2"><i><b>December 3, 2021</b></i></font><br>
<br>
<i>[ Wildfires in December ]</i><br>
<b>Wildfire potential to remain high this month in Montana,
Carolinas, and Hawaii</b><br>
In February and March high fire potential expected for Southern
Plains, Southeast Colorado, and Eastern New Mexico...<br>
- -<br>
Temperatures far above average have been breaking records the last
few days across much of the West, but especially in Oregon,
Washington, Idaho, Montana, and the Dakotas. The heat combined with
strong winds has resulted in a number of wildfires in Montana on
Tuesday and Wednesday of this week.<br>
<p><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://wildfiretoday.com/2021/12/02/wildfire-potential-to-remain-high-this-month-in-montana-carolinas-and-hawaii/">https://wildfiretoday.com/2021/12/02/wildfire-potential-to-remain-high-this-month-in-montana-carolinas-and-hawaii/</a></p>
<p>- -</p>
<i>[ Montana ] </i><br>
<b>Prairies on Fire in Montana Amid a Record December Heat Wave</b><br>
Two dozen homes and businesses burned in the town of Denton as
unseasonably warm temperatures descended from the Great Plains to
the Mid-Atlantic...<br>
- -<br>
The fires came as an unusual heat wave broke records across large
portions of the United States and Canada. Temperatures from the
Great Plains to the Mid-Atlantic were 20 to 30 degrees above normal
for early December, reaching into the 60s and 70s, the National
Weather Service said.<br>
<br>
In Colorado, firefighters only recently managed to contain a
wildfire in the northern part of the state, near Estes Park, that
had led to a wave of evacuations. And in North Carolina,
firefighters were still battling a blaze at Pilot Mountain State
Park that had burned more than 1,000 acres.<br>
Fire season in Montana usually ends in September or October. Snow
often falls in November, and can last on the ground until spring.
But this year has seen almost no snow, and temperatures have climbed
into the high 60s.<br>
<br>
Cathy Whitlock, a paleoclimatologist at Montana State University,
said the late-season fires and other extremes were a product of the
global climate crisis. She said the current drought in Montana had
exceeded all previous measurements and took the state into
“uncharted territory” as the end of the year approaches.<br>
“We’re looking at conditions we haven’t seen for a thousand years in
Montana and probably longer in terms of the drought,” she said.
“Temperatures are exceeding what we have seen for the last 11,000
years.”<br>
- -<br>
Three of four grain elevators went up in flames, including one owned
by Mr. Linker, and the blaze took down power poles and knocked out
electricity. It was the third wildfire this year in the area of
Denton, a town of about 200 people.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.nytimes.com/2021/12/02/us/montana-wildfire-drought.html">https://www.nytimes.com/2021/12/02/us/montana-wildfire-drought.html</a><br>
<br>
<p><i><br>
</i></p>
<i>[ words from New England ] </i><br>
<b>The Ty-Rade: I am burning to talk global warming</b><br>
The Vantage Dec 02, 2021 <br>
By: Ty Wilson, Staff Writer<br>
<br>
Blue skies and 65 degrees has been the trend in weather over the
last week. Students have had the opportunity to shed their jackets
and enjoy the sunshine, a commodity that’s rare in December.<br>
<br>
But why this sudden change in routine from cold and windy to warm
and sunny? Is it just a coincidence, or have we finally depleted the
last of our precious ozone layer?<br>
<br>
Even if the ice caps are melting exponentially, we should reflect on
how this isn’t really that bad. So yeah, we might lose a couple of
polar bears, but you get to wear shorts on Christmas. I really don’t
see a problem here. Coca-Cola will have to find a new animal to sell
its drinks now, but it can manage.<br>
<br>
“But Ty, if the ice caps melt, the world will flood.”<br>
<br>
Anyone who believes this statement clearly has been hanging out with
the Flat Earth Society too much. There’s no way a bunch of oversized
ice cubes could melt and flood the planet. But on the off chance
that these predictions are true, we’ll just have to deal with it. If
watching the movie “Waterworld” has taught me anything, it’s that
there’s a chance I could mutate and grow gills. So it appears
there’s actually a huge upside to global warming. So far the list
comes to warm, sunny weather and a fresh set of gills.<br>
<br>
Keep in mind you’ll have to stock up on sunscreen for the summer
since our sun will be scorching everything it touches. Lucky for
you, Wal-Mart started carrying SPF 5,000 sunscreen last June. Make
sure you reapply every half hour though. You wouldn’t want to run
the risk of growing some new freckles.<br>
<br>
Whether or not the sun boils our oceans or not is entirely up in the
air at this point. All I’m saying is that we shouldn’t let it get us
down. So what? we’re never going to see snow again? I couldn’t wear
my Gucci flip flops in the snow, anyway. As Jon Snow said in “Game
of Thrones”: “Winter is coming.” What Jon left out is that winter is
going to consist of beach balls and burn victims.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://newmanvantage.com/2021/12/02/the-ty-rade-i-am-burning-to-talk-global-warming/">https://newmanvantage.com/2021/12/02/the-ty-rade-i-am-burning-to-talk-global-warming/</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[ a supposition ] </i><br>
<b>Venus could have been a paradise but turned into a hellscape.
Earthlings, pay attention.</b><br>
900 degrees Fahrenheit, crushing pressure, and acid clouds. Venus,
what the hell happened?<br>
By Brian Resnick -- Dec 1, 2021<br>
The origins of Venus could tell us a lot about our place in the
universe<br>
<b>Brian Resnick</b><br>
But we would need to keep this up for millions of years to match,
right?<br>
<br>
<b>Robin George Andrews</b><br>
Right.<br>
<br>
<b>Brian Resnick</b><br>
This is weirdly reassuring that humans are unlikely to break the
Earth completely.<br>
<b><br>
</b><b>Robin George Andrews</b><br>
Yeah. I think it would be a terrible idea to pay homage to what
happened to Venus.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.vox.com/science-and-health/22807575/venus-hot-hellscape-climate-change-earth">https://www.vox.com/science-and-health/22807575/venus-hot-hellscape-climate-change-earth</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[ clips from a deep analysis in Foreign Policy ]</i><br>
<b>Fossil Fuel’s Downfall Could Be America’s Too</b><br>
How U.S. polluters might drag the country’s economy down with them.<br>
By Adam Tooze - DECEMBER 3, 2021,<br>
- -<br>
Glasgow completed the process begun at the 2015 Paris conference,
under which nations progressively raised their national commitments
to decarbonization. All the major economies of the world are now
notionally committed to reaching net-zero emissions between 2050 and
2070. As a result, Glasgow also marked the moment when climate
politics began to focus on the energy transition as a matter of
industrial policy. It was symptomatic that a prominent commitment to
reduce coal burning was included in the final resolution. It was not
enough, but it was a significant first. It was also symptomatic that
Britain’s conservative government put the emphasis on businesses.
That dismayed many activists, but it was a prompt eagerly seized on
by U.S. climate envoy John Kerry...<br>
- -<br>
But if a large part of known oil, gas, and coal reserves are now
destined to stay in the ground, this has daunting implications for
the energy industry. Europe and Asia are the world’s major energy
importers. It is their demand that decides the balance in global oil
and gas markets. If they decarbonize rapidly over the next few
decades, that will dramatically shrink demand and unleash a fight to
the finish among producers. And that puts the United States’ oil and
gas sectors in the crosshairs...<br>
- - <br>
Realizing decarbonization is a one-way bet for Europe and Asia
changes the oil and gas industry’s competitive game. So long as they
could plan for the long term, OPEC and Russia could afford to
contemplate a modus vivendi with shale. Once Eurasian
decarbonization begins to accelerate in earnest, it will no longer
makes sense for OPEC and Russia to continue the game. Faced with the
fossil fuel endgame, a final price war is their best strategy. The
result will be a massive shock to oil and gas prices. And this time,
as demand for fossil fuels progressively shrinks, low prices will be
permanent.<br>
The losers in that ferocious competition will be high-cost producers
around the world. But the largest loser will be North American oil
and gas producers: the United States and Canada...<br>
- -<br>
On the consumer side, cost incentives are increasingly unambiguous.
Within five to 10 years, the case for fossil fuel consumption will
be harder and harder to make. Once decarbonization takes hold, what
will dominate the remaining oil and gas markets is leading OPEC
members’ ultra-low cost base...<br>
- -<br>
In short, as Kerry declares, the world is undoubtedly facing an
industrial revolution, but for the United States, the consequences
are highly ambiguous. This is not a question that can be separated
from politics...<br>
- -<br>
This, however, is about to change. The kernel of truth in Kerry’s
boosterism is the renewable revolution is coming to the United
States too...<br>
--<br>
Even electricity utilities can no longer be counted on as loyal
allies of fossil fuel producers. Some will go along with Manchin,
but others see their future in clean power. After decades of
stagnation, electricity demand is about to surge.<br>
<br>
This is what gives business optimists hope. Indeed, they can even
turn fossil fuel holdouts into an opportunity. A recalcitrant
polluter is an opportunity for the creation of carbon markets.
So-called carbon offsets will give high emitters the chance to
reverse the damage done by funding remediation and large-scale
carbon capture. Business, the optimists promise, will lead the
United States out of its climate policy impasse...<br>
- -<br>
In 2012, economist David Autor and his co-authors published a famous
paper on what they called the “China syndrome.” They showed how
China’s integration into the world economy and a surge of imports to
the United States raised incomes overall but, at the same time,
irreparably damaged many manufacturing communities across the United
States. Ahead of COP26, Autor and his co-authors released an updated
paper, which compared the China shock with the impact of coal’s
rundown. Damage to local economies from the coal industry’s decline
was even worse. If the China shock is widely blamed for unhinging
the blue-collar coalition that once supported Democrats, the effect
of the coal industry’s collapse was even more unambiguous: 2016 saw
a heavy pro-Trump swing across America’s coal regions.<br>
<br>
The answer from the Democratic Party’s left wing, after they won
control of the House of Representatives in 2018, was the Green New
Deal. It sought to address this challenge by combining gigantic
investment in renewables with an alliance with organized labor and
marginalized groups to create a “just transition.” It was a head-on
effort to win the argument for an energy transition, not just as an
opportunity for green growth but as a moment of social
reconstruction as well. It was a grand vision adequate to the scale
of the climate crisis. When Sen. Bernie Sanders folded his
presidential bid in 2020, many of his key advisors were incorporated
into Biden’s policy team—and with good reason. Given the dislocation
an energy transition is likely to cause, the industrial revolution
Kerry advocates would be political poison were it not backed by a
Green New Deal vision...<br>
- -<br>
We are thus back at the impasse. The idea that economic logic by
itself will deliver an unambiguous case for ambitious climate policy
in the United States is naive. But so too is the idea that a Green
New Deal-style program will carry a progressive Democratic Party to
triumphant victory. The possibility of a deepening sociopolitical
divide around the climate issue and inconsistent and incoherent
policy cannot be denied. While individual eco-entrepreneurs like
Musk may get rich, the fear must be that the United States never
develops a coherent social response to the energy transition...<br>
- -<br>
American Clean Power Association’s message is clear: “As a
trilliondollar industry, we need to make the economic argument for
ourselves, not only the environmental one.”<br>
<br>
When Kerry as Biden’s climate tsar evokes a green industrial
revolution, one thinks of breakthroughs in battery technology and
green steel, answering the U.N. climate conference’s global
challenge. But if the energy transition is actually to take root in
the United States’ unique political economy, it may be better to
envision it in rather different terms divorced from the climate
issue. It could be an agro-industrial transformation, offering
ultra-cheap electricity from wind and solar as a new common
denominator of rural and urban America.<br>
<br>
Adam Tooze is a columnist at Foreign Policy and a history professor
and director of the European Institute at Columbia University. His
latest book is Crashed: How a Decade of Financial Crises Changed the
World, and he is currently working on a history of the climate
crisis. Twitter: @adam_tooze<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://foreignpolicy.com/2021/12/03/fossil-fuels-downfall-could-be-americas-too/">https://foreignpolicy.com/2021/12/03/fossil-fuels-downfall-could-be-americas-too/</a><br>
<br>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[The news archive - looking back]</i><br>
<font size="+1"><b>On this day in the history of global warming
December 3, 2009</b></font><br>
December 3, 2009: MSNBC host Keith Olbermann calls out the hosts of
the Fox News Channel program "Fox and Friends" for selectively
editing a segment of Comedy Central's "The Daily Show" to imply that
host Jon Stewart rejected the evidence of human-caused climate
change.<br>
<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/olbermann-names-fox-frien_n_380473">https://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/olbermann-names-fox-frien_n_380473</a>
<br>
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