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<p><font size="+2"><i><b>September 17, 2022</b></i></font><i><br>
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<i>[ "Oh Max! Where can we go?" serious Real Estate issue ]</i><br>
<b>With Colorado “getting strange,” Michigan may be the place to be
as climate changes</b><br>
Southeast and West are at higher risk of disruptions due to changing
weather patterns, futurist says<br>
ALDO SVALDI -- <a class="moz-txt-link-abbreviated" href="mailto:asvaldi@denverpost.com">asvaldi@denverpost.com</a> -- The Denver Post<br>
September 16, 2022 <br>
People who relocated during the pandemic favored areas at higher
risk of disruption due to climate change, but they may come to
regret those moves over the long term, futurist Greg Lindsay told a
gathering of the Denver Metro Commercial Association of Realtors on
Thursday morning.<br>
<br>
“Americans are moving in the wrong direction,” Lindsay said of
migration patterns during the pandemic, and even before. “Markets
are underpricing climate risk.”<br>
<br>
Wrong as in moving from cooler northern coastal areas and the upper
Midwest to the Sunbelt. Wrong as in moving to Arizona and Nevada,
popular states that suffer from ever-increasing temperatures and
worsening drought. Wrong as in flocking in large numbers to coastal
Florida and Miami, where rising water levels could submerge vast
swaths of land in coming decades if powerful hurricanes don’t scrape
them first.<br>
<br>
Texas and Florida were the top inbound states for those relocating
during the pandemic, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of
Chicago. Speaking generally, the southeast and the western U.S.,
including Colorado, are much more vulnerable to the impacts of
climate change than other parts of the country, according to Climate
Alpha, a startup where Lindsay is chief communications officer.<br>
<br>
But climate impacts can be very specific. Climate Alpha uses
artificial intelligence to determine a “climate resilience” score
for more than 40,000 ZIP codes. It then applies those risk scores to
determine future real estate values under different scenarios.<br>
<br>
Custer County, for example, was a popular landing spot during the
pandemic in Colorado. But it also has one of the highest drought
risk scores in the country, Lindsay said.<br>
<br>
A higher altitude shields Colorado from the extreme temperatures
seen in states further south, but not from drought. The northern
Front Range will likely struggle with water shortages that limit
future growth as the region dries out, he said.<br>
<br>
“Even in Colorado, things are getting strange,” Lindsay said.
Strange as in the Marshall fire, where 100-mph-plus winds fanned
flames in late December that quickly destroyed more than 1,000 homes
deep in the populated suburbs of Boulder County, including homes of
climate scientists working at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration.<br>
<br>
Where should people who want to provide their children and
grandchildren with a more secure future look to move?<br>
Lindsay suggests that the great migration to the Sunbelt may
reverse, replaced by a migration to the Great Lakes region. Buffalo,
New York, could become the new “cool” place. Some investors are
buying up land in Ohio and others are targeting purchases in Canada.
Lindsay told the audience he relocated to Montreal.<br>
<br>
The Great Lakes region has developed infrastructure, lower real
estate prices and the potential to provide a strong return for those
who get in early, he said. Bonus points if more manufacturing comes
back to U.S. shores.<br>
<br>
But there are a lot of other factors that go into the decision to
move, such as quality of life and connectivity, or the ability to
travel to other areas. Part of the problem is that people relocating
often don’t have a good grasp of the climate risks involved in a new
place. Redfin, the real estate brokerage, found that when people are
provided with flood risk scores, they were much more likely to
choose safer areas.<br>
<br>
“We now have definitive evidence that the risks posed by climate
change are affecting where Americans choose to live. Before Redfin’s
experiment, that was just a hypothesis,” said Redfin chief economist
Daryl Fairweather in a news release earlier this month. “Equipping
people with flood-risk information helps them make more informed
decisions. Some will opt to move out of risky areas altogether,
while others will stay put but invest in making their homes more
resilient to disaster.”<br>
<br>
More discussion on Denverpost.com<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.denverpost.com/2022/09/16/climate-change-wildfire-floods-migration-colorado-water-pandemic/">https://www.denverpost.com/2022/09/16/climate-change-wildfire-floods-migration-colorado-water-pandemic/</a>
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<i>[ fired for seeking shelter in a storm? ]</i><br>
<b>Cori Bush to Amazon: “Shut Up and Work” Is Not a Climate Disaster
Plan</b><br>
A new bill would set workers’ health ahead of the bald guy’s space
fetish.<br>
When Amazon wouldn’t let a team of warehouse workers pause their
shifts in a deadly storm, the results were predictable—and it wasn’t
the first time. Rep. Cori Bush (D-Mo.) wants to make it the last.<br>
EMILY HOFSTAEDTER - - SEPTEMBER 15, 2022<br>
Bush, a House freshman whose district stretches across the St. Louis
area, is introducing a climate-focused worker protection bill
motivated by a December tornado that killed two constituents. They
were among six workers killed in the collapse of an Illinois Amazon
warehouse where, according to a lawsuit filed by one of their
families, managers told employees they would be fired if they fled.
Investigators with the Occupational Health and Safety Administration
found other issues with the facility and its tornado plan, but
didn’t find the company liable for the deaths, nor impose any kind
of penalty. There’s no federal law or regulation that meant the
warehouse had to close, or that the company couldn’t fire staff who
left to find shelter. Bush’s bill would make a dent in that,
guaranteeing workers job protection and paid emergency leave during
a wide range of climate disasters.<br>
<br>
Amazon facilities’ serious injury rate is 40 percent higher than an
average American warehouse. (Its contract drivers also get hurt and
die disproportionately often.) Current and former employees have
criticized the company’s handling of workers’ compensation claims,
many characterizing the process as a runaround or alleging
retaliation after filing injury claims. The legislation, titled the
Worker Safety in Climate Disasters Act, bars employers from firing
workers who walk off during life-threatening climate events.<br>
<br>
The tornadoes that prompted the bill were part of a storm system
that swept the Midwest last year. Its 90 victims included both the
six Illinois Amazon workers and another eight at a Kentucky factory
run by a different company. As tornado sirens rang out, and despite
the weak protection both buildings offered, all were allegedly told
they’d be fired if they didn’t keep working. An OSHA investigation
of the Amazon warehouse identified multiple risk factors, but found
no legal violations and imposed no penalty.<br>
<br>
Bush’s bill guarantees two weeks’ paid leave for those unable to
work in the wake of a climate disaster, whether injured, forced to
relocate, facing school closures, or caring for relatives who have
been affected. Employers would be penalized for refusing to pay
staff who left or missed work in a disaster.<br>
<br>
Any climate-related event with potential for great loss of life
would meet the bill’s criteria, including earthquakes, floods, heat
waves, hurricanes, severe blizzards, tornadoes, tsunamis, utility
failures, and wildfires. It fines violators under the Fair Labor
Standards Act, applying the existing penalty for wage theft: a
$10,000 fine, small change even to a corporation a fraction Amazon’s
size.<br>
<br>
That might not seem like a big deterrent—it isn’t—but guaranteed pay
protections, together with some legal accountability, could save the
lives and incomes of millions of Americans. As I’ve reported, the
climate crisis is making many of our jobs deadlier, across all kinds
of industries, and agencies like OSHA have been largely denied (or
stripped of) the powers that would let them protect workers from its
most dangerous consequences. <br>
<br>
Amazon, in particular, has a documented history of throwing workers
in Mother Nature’s way for tiny gains to its bottom line. In 2018,
two of its employees were killed in Baltimore when a tornado
collapsed a warehouse wall. Workers had to drive to and work at its
New York City facilities as tropical depression Ida took 14 lives,
sparking large protests. Less than a month ago, a New Jersey Amazon
worker died in a heat wave while racing to fulfill its Prime Day
rush. (Amazon blamed a “personal medical condition” and passed out
water and snacks.)<br>
<br>
“Currently there are no protections that support job security,” Bush
told the Intercept, “nor paid time off due to missed work because of
a climate disaster.” Her new bill, she said, “would ensure that as
climate disasters become more and more frequent, workers’ safety is
not impeded by their bosses.”<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.motherjones.com/environment/2022/09/congress-to-amazon-shut-up-and-work-is-not-a-climate-disaster-plan/">https://www.motherjones.com/environment/2022/09/congress-to-amazon-shut-up-and-work-is-not-a-climate-disaster-plan/</a><br>
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<i>[ enthalpy of water - making ice is more difficult than melting ]</i><br>
<b>Earth is heading for a tipping point as Antarctic ice sheets melt</b><br>
By Alison Bosman Sept 9, 2022<br>
Earth.com staff writer...<br>
- -<br>
The link between CO2, sea-surface temperatures and the amount of ice
on Antarctica is clearly evidenced in the study’s data from the last
45 million years. But one surprising finding was that ocean cooling
did not always correspond to increases in Antarctic ice. This
applies specifically to a period of 1 million years of ocean cooling
that occurred between 25 and 24 million years ago. “We show that
this is likely related to tectonic subsidence and the influx of
relatively warm ocean water in the Ross Sea region,” said Dr.
Bendle.<br>
<br>
“We can see that ice in Antarctica is currently changing, not least
with the loss of some ice-shelves and cracks appearing recently in
the Thwaites Glacier, one of the largest glaciers in the region.
This new study of Earth’s past is one of the clearest indications
yet that humans continue to produce CO2 levels for which we can
expect major ice loss at the Antarctic margins, and global sea-level
rise over the coming decades and centuries.”<br>
<br>
In fact, the researchers say their results suggest we are nearing a
‘tipping point’ where ocean warming, caused by atmospheric CO2, will
lead to catastrophic rises in sea levels because of melting ice
sheets. They plan to continue to apply biomarker and machine
learning approaches to reconstruct the climatic evolution of
Antarctica and understand the implications for future warming and
sea-level rise...<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.earth.com/news/earth-is-heading-for-a-tipping-point-as-antarctic-ice-sheets-melt/">https://www.earth.com/news/earth-is-heading-for-a-tipping-point-as-antarctic-ice-sheets-melt/</a><br>
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[ important to know why video opinion ]<br>
<b>Why the horrific heatwave in China matters to you</b><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Rx2yS2iIVSk">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Rx2yS2iIVSk</a>
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[ Not one glacier, but every one of the glaciers ]<br>
<b>Please Stop Calling It the 'Doomsday Glacier'</b><br>
Losing Thwaites Glacier would be troubling, but the overly alarming
nickname might do more harm than good.<br>
Jackson Ryan -- Sept. 6, 2022...<br>
- -<br>
The doom-and-gloom narrative feeds into a sense that we've already
passed the point of no return, that Thwaites is already lost, which
can, more broadly, lead to inaction. The moniker gives us the wrong
idea...<br>
We don't know for sure how Thwaites' disintegration would change sea
levels in the short term. The glacier itself locks up about 25
inches of sea level rise, but most stories use the three- to 10-feet
range. This is actually referring to the entire West Antarctic Ice
Sheet being lost... <br>
- -<br>
The doom-and-gloom narrative feeds into a sense that we've already
passed the point of no return, that Thwaites is already lost, which
can, more broadly, lead to inaction. The moniker gives us the wrong
idea. ...
<blockquote>
<blockquote> </blockquote>
</blockquote>
- -<br>
<br>
And though extensive research shows Thwaites is in trouble, it's not
the scientists or glaciologists or polar experts that are throwing
around the nickname. I spoke with a number of experts associated
with glaciology and polar research who all highlighted the fate of
Thwaites is increasingly concerning. However, most had mixed
feelings about the doomsday moniker, with many averse to using the
title at all.<br>
<br>
"I discourage the use of the term 'Doomsday Glacier' to refer to
Thwaites Glacier," said Ted Scambos, a glaciologist at the
University of Colorado, Boulder and member of the Thwaites Glacier
Collaboration. Scambos suggested "wild card glacier" or "riskiest
glacier" might be used in its place. <br>
<br>
One of the chief reasons scientists feel uneasy about the phrase is
that it suggests we're already doomed. "We are not," said Eric
Rignot, an Earth scientist at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory. The
doom-and-gloom narrative feeds into a sense that we've already
passed the point of no return, that Thwaites is already lost, which
can, more broadly, lead to inaction. The moniker gives us the wrong
idea. <br>
<br>
"It's kind of too alarmist," noted Helen Fricker, a glaciologist at
the Scripps Institution of Oceanography. <br>
Rignot said we could still slow the retreat of Thwaites if we take
proper action on climate, but "time is running out." That's a little
less severe than doomsday, of course.<br>
<br>
Another reason "doomsday" might not be a great moniker is because it
obscures the larger problem facing the Earth's frozen areas: the
"cryosphere." Human-induced climate change and the burning of fossil
fuels has caused glacial retreat across the planet.<br>
<br>
"On the one hand, it is a wakeup call, aka take these things
seriously," Rignot said. "On the other hand, it summarizes the
situation as if there was only one bad glacier out there." <br>
<br>
Rignot explains that there are glaciers across the world — in East
Antarctica and Greenland, for instance — that lock up far more
water. If those were to disintegrate and disappear, sea level rise
could be an order of magnitude greater than what we might see with
Thwaites. <br>
<br>
A study this week in Nature Geoscience, led by marine geophysicist
Alastair Graham and co-authored by glaciologist Robert Larter at the
British Antarctic Survey, shows how precarious the situation is and
how much faster than expected Thwaites might retreat. But even
Larter shies away from using the word "doomsday."<br>
<br>
That's not to say Thwaites isn't important. <br>
<br>
"Thwaites is obviously not the only glacier that matters, but it is
objectively the most concerning glacier on Earth in terms of its
potential to generate large amounts of sea level rise in the
future," said Andrew Mackintosh, a glaciologist at Monash
University.<br>
<br>
So should we keep using "Doomsday Glacier"? <br>
The coronavirus scenario is an interesting comparison. By the time
the doomsday headlines began circulating, the World Health
Organization was already suggesting that C.1.2 was not a variant of
concern. That meant it was easy to drop the alarmist name. <br>
<br>
For Thwaites, things are a little different. Scientists are
concerned about its future. Things are getting worse. Doomsday, in
this instance, helps bring attention to the plight of the glacier
and may aid in understanding how problematic things have become. And
perhaps it's already too late to change course and rename it. Even
the first line of Thwaites Glacier's Wikipedia page says it's also
known as the Doomsday Glacier. <br>
<br>
"There is no getting ahead of the label," said Scambos. "On the plus
side, the public is now aware of the area because of the power of
the nickname." <br>
<br>
So, though scientists might not feel all that great about it, we
might just be stuck with it. We just can't let that hide the fact
that there are many glaciers under threat and the threat is us: If
we don't wean ourselves off fossil fuels, we'll continue to increase
carbon dioxide in the atmosphere and bring about Thwaites' demise.<br>
<br>
And the real doomsday won't be the loss of Thwaites. It will be when
we disturb areas like East Antarctica, which locks away meters of
sea level. If that sheet is lost, it would dramatically change the
face of the Earth. Fricker says that's not a future that will come
to pass anytime soon, but if we begin to see dramatic changes in
that ice sheet, then that's when we're in real trouble.<br>
<br>
"That's doomsday," she said<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.cnet.com/science/climate/please-stop-calling-it-the-doomsday-glacier/">https://www.cnet.com/science/climate/please-stop-calling-it-the-doomsday-glacier/</a><br>
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<i>[ how fast can sea-waters fill an empty space? ]</i><br>
<b>Mediterranean Sea filled in less than two years: study</b><br>
The Mediterranean Sea was mostly filled in less than two years in a
dramatic flood around 5.33 million years ago in which water poured
in from the Atlantic, according to a study published Wednesday....<br>
- -<br>
About 5.6 million years ago the Mediterranean Sea had became
disconnected from the world's oceans and mostly dried up by
evaporation with its largely saline surface between 1,500 and 2,700
metres below sea level, the study said.<br>
<br>
"The Atlantic waters found a way through the present Gibraltar
Strait and rapidly refilled the Mediterranean 5.33 million years ago
in an event known as the Zanclean flood," it said.<br>
<br>
"Although the flood started at low water discharges that may have
lasted for up to several thousand years, our results suggest that 90
percent of the water was transferred in a short period ranging from
a few months to two years."<br>
<br>
Previous studies have suggested that it could have taken between 10
and several thousands of years to fill the Mediterranean, according
to the depth of the Gilbraltar strait.<br>
<br>
Scientists led by Daniel Garcia-Castellanos from Barcelona's
Institute of Earth Sciences Jaume Almera used borehole and seismic
data to reveal a 200-kilometre-long (125-mile) channel across the
Gibraltar strait that was carved out by the floodwaters, Nature
said...<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://phys.org/news/2009-12-mediterranean-sea-years.html">https://phys.org/news/2009-12-mediterranean-sea-years.html</a><br>
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</p>
<br>
<i>[The news archive - looking back]</i><br>
<font size="+2"><i><b>September 17, 2011</b></i></font> <br>
September 17, 2011:<br>
<br>
The Occupy Wall Street movement begins in New York City. Writer
Naomi Klein would later credit OWS for prompting a delay of the
Obama administration's final decision on the Keystone XL pipeline. <br>
<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://youtu.be/MJ8CoxnjjZg">http://youtu.be/MJ8CoxnjjZg</a><br>
<br>
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