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<font size="+2"><i><b>October 2, 2022</b></i></font><br>
<br>
<i>[ opinion in Scientific American ]</i><br>
<b>The Public Wants Scientists to Be More Involved in Policy Debates</b><br>
Researchers worry about being branded as partisan, but people want
to hear from experts<br>
By Naomi Oreskes on September 1, 2022<br>
Many scientists are loath to involve themselves in policy debates
for fear of losing credibility. They worry that if they participate
in public debate on a contested issue, they will be viewed as biased
and discounted as partisan. That perception then will lead to
science itself being branded as partisan, further weakening public
trust in research...<br>
- -<br>
A 2021 survey by researchers at the Harvard T. H. Chan School of
Public Health and the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation found there is
broad support for public health agencies and their activities in the
U.S. Yet although public health experts say that dealing with the
medical effects of climate change is a major responsibility of these
health agencies, most survey respondents did not. Perhaps many
people don't realize how seriously climate change threatens health.<br>
<br>
Trusting in science is not an either-or proposition. It depends on
many variables. Researchers do need to stay within their areas of
authority: climate scientists should not be offering stock tips or
medical advice. But our research suggests that they can feel
comfortable offering policy advice in fields where they are
acknowledged experts. The ozone story is a case in point: no one
knew better than ozone scientists about the cause of the dangerous
hole and therefore what needed to be done to fix it.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/the-public-wants-scientists-to-be-more-involved-in-policy-debates/">https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/the-public-wants-scientists-to-be-more-involved-in-policy-debates/</a><br>
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<i>[ </i><i>Maggie Koerth is a senior science writer for
FiveThirtyEight. </i><i>]</i><br>
<b>How Natural Disasters Can Change A Politician</b><br>
By Maggie Koerth<br>
SEP. 30, 2022<br>
A 2021 review of existing literature discovered ample evidence that
living through a natural disaster is associated with higher levels
of self-reported belief that climate change is a problem and a
greater concern about what this might do to you and your family. Our
own polling with Ipsos earlier this month showed something similar.
Even among Republicans, nearly half of those who had experienced an
extreme weather event in the past five years told us they were
worried about climate change, compared with only 17 percent who
hadn’t experienced a natural disaster.<br>
<br>
But there are limits to the ability of a disaster to prevent future
calamities. For one thing, the same review paper that showed
increased belief in climate change didn’t find a corresponding
increase in behaviors that would deal with that issue. And changes
in belief are still heavily moderated by what people already
think...<br>
- -<br>
It’s going to take a lot more research to fully understand why
politicians sometimes change their policy in the face of climate
disaster and sometimes don’t. Meanwhile, just because lawmakers are
responding to natural disasters with environmental votes doesn’t
mean they aren’t seeing other, seedier kinds of legislative
opportunities from the same event. Ethan Kaplan, an economist at
University of Maryland, College Park, and his colleagues found that
politicians are likely to use the immediate aftermath of a natural
disaster to push through votes favoring the concerns of
special-interest donors when nobody is paying attention. That’s not
a contradiction to the idea that disaster could prompt politicians
to take action on climate change. Instead, Kaplan said, the two
things can run parallel. A disaster can create a distraction for
donors’ goals in the short term, even as it prompts greater
environmental policies in the long run. <br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-natural-disasters-can-change-a-politician/">https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-natural-disasters-can-change-a-politician/</a><br>
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<i>[ smart visuals and great animations, key interviews in this
superb DW documentary -- w/ Stefan Rahmstorf -- video 52 mins ]</i><br>
<b>Wind and climate change | DW Documentary</b><br>
Oct 1, 2022 Shifting wind patterns are making extreme weather
events more likely. This is because the wind, which distributes
areas of high and low pressure along the latitude lines of the
Earth, is also being influenced by climate change.<br>
<br>
The wind is the motor for our weather. It brings us both sunshine
and rain. And during the winter months, it regularly blows itself up
into heavy storms. But throughout the globe, climate change is
causing shifts in existing wind systems - with devastating
consequences. Atlantic hurricanes, which build up over the tropics
and often lay waste to swathes of land on the eastern coast of the
US, are becoming more intense and bringing heavier rainfall.<br>
<br>
Scientists are looking for clues as to the precise causes for the
warming in the Arctic, where temperatures are climbing more rapidly
than anywhere else in the world. In the northern hemisphere, rising
temperatures result in wind systems ‘twisting’ at 10-kilometer
altitudes. The Arctic jet stream drives high- and low-pressure areas
around the globe. It travels around the planet from west to east at
speeds of up to 500 kilometers an hour. But in recent years,
meteorologists have noticed more frequent weaker phases in the jet
stream - with fatal consequences for Europe. Droughts like the one
experienced in 2018 and flood catastrophes like that of 2021 are
both likely to recur.<br>
<br>
Researchers on the island of Spitsbergen have already made an
alarming discovery. Climate change is altering the wind, and the
altered wind is accelerating climate change - a dangerous vicious
cycle.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qySBQjSXbfw">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qySBQjSXbfw</a><br>
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<i>[ The World is a system -- "The climate situation is a result of
something much different - 50 min video interview ] </i><br>
<b>The Limits of Human Wisdom | George Mobus</b><br>
Aug 25, 2022 George Mobus is Professor Emeritus at University of
Washington, Tacoma. His broad academic background saw him conduct
research on artificial intelligence, cybernetics and systems
science.<br>
<br>
George joins me to discuss how systems science is failing to grasp
the polycrisis—that the field has been split into silos, leaving
most systems scientists without the tools to model the complexity of
the emergency we face.<br>
<br>
He also explains the neurological limits of individual human wisdom,
suggesting the agricultural revolution affected our capacity for
abstract thinking, before revealing how humans can work past those
limits—collectively.<br>
<br>
🔴 Discover George's work: <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://faculty.washington.edu/gmobus/">https://faculty.washington.edu/gmobus/</a><br>
<p><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RLKYI1TDFXI">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RLKYI1TDFXI</a></p>
<p><i>[ It's SO distressing to see and feel the consequences of
decades of Humans attacking our global resources - Now, all our
plans for survival rely on ethical decision-making from those in
power (who mostly have little use for ethics). For forty
years we have known the toxicity of carbon combustion - now part
of our new enlightenment is the discovery of how badly we have
blundered. The first error was in doing the wrong thing for
long-term survival -- and the second error is that we are
failing to put a stop to our first error. We have faced many
tests -- and since so many were inconsequential -- we learned
nothing. Now we face the biggest test - extinction ( escalating
because we failed to learn from the myriad of our earlier
errors. ) We facie our conundrum by pretending it doesn't
matter. Most everyone has been rewarded for ignoring the
problem. (means the rewards for ignorance must be more and
more) Pretty exciting times these are. ]</i><br>
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<br>
<i>[The news archive - looking back at how we presented controversy
]</i><br>
<font size="+2"><i><b>October 2, 2008</b></i></font> <br>
October 2, 2008: Vice-presidential candidates Joe Biden and Sarah
Palin spar over climate and energy issues in their lone debate,
moderated by Gwen Ifill.<br>
<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://youtu.be/5qhox5P_jCg">http://youtu.be/5qhox5P_jCg</a><br>
<br>
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