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<p><font size="+2"><i><b>November 5, 2022</b></i></font></p>
<i>[ Reuters video summary 4 mins ]</i><br>
<b>Who are the key players at the COP 27 climate summit?</b><br>
Reuters<br>
Nov 4, 2022<br>
Representatives from nearly 200 countries will convene in Sharm
el-Sheikh, Egypt, on November 6 for the COP27 conference to
strengthen action against global warming – here’s a look at some of
the main stakeholders and negotiating blocs. <br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=waFF8-g5Y2k">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=waFF8-g5Y2k</a><br>
<p>- -<br>
</p>
<i>[ The Guardian offers superb coverage of the UN COP27 meeting ]
</i><br>
<b>UN chief warns ‘we will be doomed’ without historic climate pact</b><br>
Exclusive: António Guterres says gap between developed world and
poorer countries is biggest issue facing Cop27 talks<br>
Fiona Harvey in Sharm el-Sheikh<br>
Fri 4 Nov 2022<br>
Rich countries must sign a “historic pact” with the poor on the
climate, or “we will be doomed”, the UN secretary-general, António
Guterres, has warned, as a deepening gulf between the developed and
developing world has put climate talks on the brink.<br>
<br>
The stark warning comes as world leaders start to gather for the UN
Cop27 climate summit, which opens on Sunday in Sharm el-Sheikh,
Egypt, but which even the hosts admit will be the most difficult in
at least a decade...<br>
- -<br>
“Present policies [on the climate] will be absolutely catastrophic,”
he said. “And the truth is that we will not be able to change this
situation if a pact is not put in place between developed countries
and the emerging economies.”...<br>
Guterres has drawn criticism from some quarters for his increasingly
stark rhetoric on the climate crisis, warning of “collective
suicide”, “carnage” to come, and “code red” for humanity.<br>
<br>
But he insisted he would refuse to water down his apocalyptic
language, as the rapid acceleration of the climate emergency was now
so dire.<br>
<br>
“For the simple reason that we are approaching tipping points, and
tipping points will make [climate breakdown] irreversible,” he said.
“That damage would not allow us to recover, and to contain
temperature rises. And as we are approaching those tipping points,
we need to increase the urgency, we need to increase the ambition,
and we need to rebuild trust, mainly trust between north and south.”<br>
<br>
Tipping points are thresholds within the climate system that lead to
cascading impacts when tripped. They include the melting of
permafrost, which releases methane, a powerful greenhouse gas that
fuels further heating, and the point at which the drying Amazon
rainforest switches from being an absorber to being a source of
carbon, which scientists fear is fast approaching.<br>
<br>
“We are getting close to tipping points that will create
irreversible impacts, some of them difficult even to imagine,” he
warned...<br>
- -<br>
At last year’s summit in Glasgow, countries agreed to focus on
limiting global temperature rises to 1.5C above pre-industrial
levels, but recent UN reports have shown that current policies would
raise temperatures by about 2.5C.<br>
<br>
Guterres said there was only a slim chance of holding to the target.
“We still have a chance but we are rapidly losing it,” he said. “I’d
say the 1.5C is in intensive care, and the machines are shaking. So
either we act immediately and in a very strong way, or it’s lost and
probably lost for ever.”<br>
<p><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2022/nov/04/un-chief-antonio-guterres-climate-crisis-cop27">https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2022/nov/04/un-chief-antonio-guterres-climate-crisis-cop27</a></p>
<p>- -</p>
<i>[ consider the aphorism of "the mountain and Mohamed "]</i><br>
<b>COP27: King Charles hosts meeting ahead of climate summit</b><br>
By Georgina Rannard - BBC News Climate & Science<br>
King Charles III has hosted a reception to discuss tackling climate
change, as global leaders prepare for the UN climate summit COP27.<br>
<br>
About 200 politicians and campaigners met at Buckingham Palace,
including PM Rishi Sunak, US climate envoy John Kerry and COP
President Alok Sharma.<br>
<br>
The King is internationally known for his climate work but it was
agreed he would not go to COP27.<br>
<br>
The UN conference begins on Sunday in Sharm el-Sheikh, Egypt.<br>
- -<br>
The monarch has a long-standing interest in environmental issues and
attended COP26 in Glasgow last year, but the Palace said it had
sought advice from then-PM Ms Truss and that "with mutual friendship
and respect there was agreement that the King would not attend"...<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-63516054">https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-63516054</a><br>
<p>- -</p>
<i>[ Foreign Affairs ]</i><br>
<b>The New Way to Fight Climate Change</b><br>
Small-Scale Cooperation Can Succeed Where Global Diplomacy Has
Failed<br>
By Arunabha Ghosh, Artur Runge-Metzger, David G. Victor, and Ji Zou<br>
November 4, 2022...<br>
- -<br>
It requires cooperation, at least initially, among industrial
leaders, investors, workers, and governments that are most aligned
for a faster transition away from carbon. When green technologies
are not yet mature, or for the parts of the global economy that lack
experience with implementing deep cuts in emissions—which is true
for most sectors in most of the world—the new approach relies on
cooperation within small groups of highly motivated governments and
firms to draw up and test solutions. As these technologies mature,
their costs will come down and people will become more familiar with
how effective they are. Cooperation can then expand as more
economies adopt these superior, cleaner technologies...<br>
- -<br>
This new theory of change—with its focus on starting small—may
suggest that COP27 is less critical than widely thought. After all,
the gathered states are unlikely to arrive at a topline agreement
that will seriously advance the fight. Instead, their overall
package will probably be riven with disagreements and feature plenty
of hollow calls, as has been the case in the past. As a result,
activists could write off the whole process as a failure.<br>
<br>
Yet even if the overarching agreement falls short, the conference
can still be a success—or at least not impede momentum already in
place. That’s because what matters most in Egypt won’t be big-ticket
multilateral diplomacy but, instead, the practical, sideline
convenings of governments and firms willing and able to force
change. To make the conference a success, the industry-focused
coalitions doing the most should host events focused on credibility,
demonstrated action, and system transformation. This process will
show where technology, business, and agricultural practices are
headed; why that trajectory is believable; and what governments can
do to support sectors as they transition. If the world wants to
decarbonize, it should pay attention.<br>
<blockquote><i>This article draws on the work of the Rethinking
Climate Cooperation Project, which also includes Katherine
Dixon, Head of Bain’s Energy Transition Policy Centre and former
Chief Counsellor of International Energy Agency, Frank Geels, a
professor at the Manchester Institute of Innovation Research in
the United Kingdom, Saleemul Huq, the Director of the
International Centre for Climate Change & Development, and
Simon Sharpe, Senior Fellow at the World Resources Institute and
formerly the Deputy Director of the COP26 Unit of the U.K.
Government</i>.<br>
</blockquote>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.foreignaffairs.com/world/new-way-fight-climate-change">https://www.foreignaffairs.com/world/new-way-fight-climate-change</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><i><br>
</i></p>
<i>[ We knew this years ago -- now it's headlines in the Economist ]</i><br>
<b>The world is going to miss the totemic 1.5°C climate target</b><br>
It needs to face up to the fact<br>
Nov 5th 2022<br>
Three strikes and you’re out is a pretty good rule. And the
politicians and negotiators attending the Paris climate summit,
“cop21”, in December 2015 were facing their third strike. Their
first and second attempts to bind the world into a meaningful pact
that would control greenhouse-gas emissions—in Kyoto in 1997 and in
Copenhagen in 2009—had failed. If on their third time at bat they
could do no better, the world was cooked.<br>
- -<br>
This year, as the climate world meets in Sharm el-Sheikh on the Red
Sea for cop27, hosted by Egypt, it would be far better to
acknowledge that 1.5 is dead...<br>
- -<br>
Scientists do know, though, as the ipcc showed in 2018, that the
less the temperature rises, the better. 1.6°C is better than 1.7°C:
1.7°C is better than 1.8°C. As a new mantra has it, “every fraction
of a degree matters”. To Dr Schrag, it is never too late. “It is
always the case that reducing the severity of climate change is a
worthy investment. If we were at four degrees, keeping it from going
to six is a noble thing to do.”<br>
<b>Set the controls...</b><br>
Politically, such meliorism could weaken calls for drastic climate
actions. Having an absolute goal strengthens people’s rhetoric;
admitting that things are on a sliding scale opens the way to
trade-offs. But here, at least, reality is in the process of
trumping rhetoric. And if a new realism sees pressure for impossible
levels of emissions reduction give way to fierce advocacy for
adaptation measures that are both plausible and vital, some at least
would be well served.<br>
As to the 1.5°C target, it may yet have a role to play. Stabilising
the global temperature by achieving a net-zero world opens the
possibility of a net-negative one in which that temperature could be
lowered. What level of negative emissions, and possibly solar
geoengineering, such a world might employ would depend on its
experience and its ambition. At that point 1.5°C might become an
appealing target again—but this time approached from the other,
sorrier and perhaps wiser direction.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.economist.com/interactive/briefing/2022/11/05/the-world-is-going-to-miss-the-totemic-1-5c-climate-target">https://www.economist.com/interactive/briefing/2022/11/05/the-world-is-going-to-miss-the-totemic-1-5c-climate-target</a>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[ Cotton crop means less cotton available - maybe we should go to
hemp fiber]</i><br>
<b>"It ripples through the entire economy": Climate change costs
cotton farmers billions</b><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.cbsnews.com/news/cotton-farming-texas-economy/">https://www.cbsnews.com/news/cotton-farming-texas-economy/</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[ fascinating Gresham lecture ] </i><br>
<b>The End of Planetary Atmospheres</b><br>
Gresham College<br>
Oct 5, 2022<br>
Planet Venus is a hellish place and seemingly hostile to life,
although recent measurements claimed the detection of biogenic
signatures. Less than a billion years ago, Venus’s atmosphere
underwent a dramatic runaway greenhouse effect rendering it likely
to be uninhabitable.<br>
<br>
This lecture will consider what can be learned about the possibility
of catastrophic climate change on Planet Earth, in the light of
thermodynamics and of what has happened to Earth’s twin, Venus.<br>
<br>
A lecture by Professor Katherine Blundell OBE<br>
<br>
The transcript and downloadable versions of the lecture are
available from the Gresham College website:<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.gresham.ac.uk/watch-now/end-atmospheres">https://www.gresham.ac.uk/watch-now/end-atmospheres</a><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kw8jhfKcU0M">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kw8jhfKcU0M</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[ OK philosophers -- just what is real? ]</i><br>
<b>Psychedelic users tend to have greater objective knowledge about
climate change, study finds</b><br>
by Laura Staloch November 3, 2022<br>
- -<br>
Research on the consequences of taking psychedelic drugs
consistently indicate that users demonstrate more pro-environmental
behavior and greater nature-relatedness. The research team of
Christina Sagioglou and Matthias Forstmann recognized that it was
still unknown if this was a natural consequence of psychedelic use
or a result of confirmation bias. It is common to find a cultural
narrative that those who use psychedelics are hippie tree-huggers. <br>
<br>
Before the Sagioglou and Forstmann work, it was unclear if
psychedelic users just perceived themselves to naturally have a
higher degree of “nature relatedness” than those who did not use the
substances. Much of the research on psychedelics is in the form of
self-report surveys. This data collection tool is vulnerable to
confirmation bias, where those answering the survey provide
responses that should be true about them but may not be. <br>
<br>
The research team recruited 641 participants through university
mailing lists, student Facebook groups, and forums on various social
media platforms. The sample was made up of western Europeans and
Americans. Participants took a survey that inquired about lifetime
experience with psychedelics (psilocybin, LSD, mescaline, &
DMT), opiates (heroin, codeine), MDMA, amphetamine, methamphetamine,
cannabis, alcohol, tobacco, and caffeine. In addition, they were
asked questions about their level of “nature relatedness” and
completed a 10-question quiz assessing their climate change
knowledge and concern...<br>
- - <br>
The statistical analysis concluded that an increase in “nature
relatedness” seemed to be the factor that influenced individuals to
pursue knowledge of climate change. Interestingly the use of
psilocybin or LSD was not related to increased reports of climate
concern.<br>
<br>
The research team hypothesized that “an additional process may be a
generally lower tendency to worry, as indicated by psychedelic
users’ scoring higher than the norm on emotional stability and a
positive correlation between psychedelic use frequency and emotional
stability.” In other words, psychedelics reduce worry and increase
emotional stability.<br>
<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.psypost.org/2022/11/psychedelic-users-tend-to-have-greater-objective-knowledge-about-climate-change-study-finds-64213">https://www.psypost.org/2022/11/psychedelic-users-tend-to-have-greater-objective-knowledge-about-climate-change-study-finds-64213</a><br>
- -<br>
<i>[ "Lifetime usage" as more than 30 experiences -- yikes! ]</i><br>
October 2, 2022<br>
<b>Psychedelic use predicts objective knowledge about climate change
via increases in nature relatedness</b><br>
Christina Sagioglou <a class="moz-txt-link-abbreviated" href="mailto:Chrisitna.sagioglou@uibk.ac.at">Chrisitna.sagioglou@uibk.ac.at</a> and Matthias
ForstmannView all authors and affiliations<br>
All Articles<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://doi.org/10.1177/20503245221129803">https://doi.org/10.1177/20503245221129803</a><br>
<blockquote><b>Abstrac</b>t<br>
Lifetime psychedelic substance use has previously been linked to
nature relatedness and pro-environmental behaviour. Yet,
participants’ responses to the self-report measures in these
studies may have been affected by stereotypical associations or
confirmation bias. We therefore re-examined this link by measuring
three pro-environmental dependent variables: nature relatedness,
concerns about climate change, and objective knowledge about
climate change. Additionally assessing lifetime experience with 30
psychoactive substances, we collected an international convenience
sample for an online survey (n = 641), Controlling for age,
educational attainment, and covariation in substance use
indicators, psychedelic use (primarily the use of psilocybin)
predicted objective knowledge about climate change directly, and
indirectly via nature relatedness. Further, it predicted concern
about climate change indirectly via nature relatedness. The
results suggest that the relationship of psychedelics with
pro-environmental variables is not due to psychological biases,
but manifests in variables as diverse as emotional affinity
towards nature as well as knowledge about climate change.<br>
</blockquote>
- -<br>
<b>Participants</b><br>
In order to obtain a sample with varying lifetime drug use
experience, we recruited a convenience sample via the university
mailing list, local student Facebook groups, and drug-related forums
on social media platforms. Six-hundred-and-forty-one participants
completed the online questionnaire (342 male, 296 female, 3
non-binary/other/none; MAge 24.54, SD = 7.01). Participants were of
various nationalities including 259 Germans, 156 Austrians, 96 US
Americans, and 55 Italians. The sample had rather high educational
attainment (349 high school graduates and 251 university
graduates)...<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1177/20503245221129803">https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1177/20503245221129803</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[ OK what about all this irrationality? ] </i><br>
<b>Michael Shermer: Why the Rational Believe the Irrational</b><br>
Fundraiser<br>
Commonwealth Club of California<br>
Nov 4, 2022<br>
Long a fringe part of the American political landscape, conspiracy
theories are now mainstream: 147 members of Congress voted in favor
of objections to the 2020 presidential election based on an unproven
theory about a rigged electoral process promoted, in part, by
followers of the mysterious QAnon community, itself a network of
believers of a wide-ranging conspiracy involving pedophilia among
elected officials and other civic and business leaders. But these
are only the latest examples of a long history of conspiracies that
have gained adherents in society. In his timely new book,
Conspiracy, Michael Shermer, founding publisher of Skeptic magazine,
discusses what makes conspiracies so appealing to segments of the
population.<br>
<br>
Shermer finds that conspiracy theories cut across gender, age, race,
income, education level, occupational status―and even political
affiliation. One reason that people believe these conspiracies,
Shermer argues, is that enough of them are real that we should be
constructively conspiratorial: elections have been rigged, medical
professionals have intentionally harmed patients in their care, your
government does lie to you, and, tragically, some adults do conspire
to sexually abuse children. But Shermer reveals that other factors
are also in play: anxiety and a sense of loss of control play a role
in conspiratorial cognition patterns, as do certain personality
traits.<br>
<br>
Join us for Dr. Shermer's discussion in our continuing series on
false narratives. It is for anyone concerned about the future
direction of American politics, as well as anyone who has watched
friends or family fall into patterns of conspiratorial thinking
November 1, 2022<br>
Michael Shermer<br>
Publisher, Skeptic Magazine; Executive Director, The Skeptics
Society; Author, Conspiracy: Why the Rational Believe the Irrational<br>
Eric Siegel<br>
Chair, Personal Growth Member-led Forum, The Commonwealth Club of
California—Moderator<br>
👉Join our Email List! <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.commonwealthclub.org/email">https://www.commonwealthclub.org/email</a><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eDgJ4l8HtlE">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eDgJ4l8HtlE</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>The news archive - looking back to one of the original early
papers presented to government ]</i><br>
<font size="+2"><i><b>November 5, 1965</b></i></font> <br>
November 5, 1965: President Johnson's Science Advisory Committee
issues a report, "Restoring the Quality of Our Environment," that
cites the hazards of carbon pollution.<br>
<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.theguardian.com/environment/climate-consensus-97-per-cent/2015/nov/05/scientists-warned-the-president-about-global-warming-50-years-ago-today">https://www.theguardian.com/environment/climate-consensus-97-per-cent/2015/nov/05/scientists-warned-the-president-about-global-warming-50-years-ago-today</a>
<br>
<br>
<br>
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