<html>
<head>
<meta http-equiv="content-type" content="text/html; charset=UTF-8">
</head>
<body text="#000000" bgcolor="#FFFFFF">
<font size="+2"><i><b>November 8 , 2022</b></i></font><br>
<br>
[ DW news ~6 min video ]<br>
<b>Last 8 years set to be hottest on record as world leaders meet at
COP27 | DW News</b><br>
DW News<br>
Nov 6, 2022<br>
The past eight years are on track to be the eight hottest on record.
That's one takeaway from the World Meteorological Organization's
annual report, which has just been published. It's another stark
warning for world leaders as delegates from over 190 countries
gather in Egypt for the COP27 climate talks. Experts say time is
rapidly running out to avoid global catastrophe.<br>
Bavaria's iconic Neuschwanstein Castle is often seen as a symbol of
Germany's rich fairytale tradition; even serving as the inspiration
for Disney's iconic fairytale castle. Now climate activists are
using it to send a message to world leaders as the UN climate
conference kicks off.<br>
Protesters unfurled a giant banner in front of the historic
attraction, calling for an end to what they labelled 'climate fairy
tales.' <br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e2UA-t85mQ4">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e2UA-t85mQ4</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[ we know this, and now major news media agrees with public
experience ]</i><br>
<b>Why scientists are using the word scary over the climate crisis</b><br>
The former BBC environment analyst Roger Harrabin has spent his
career talking to scientists. Now they’re telling him they’re scared
of what they’re seeing<br>
Roger Harrabin<br>
Mon 7 Nov 2022 <br>
Back in the 1980s, when climate research began to really take off,
scientists were desperate to retain their credibility as they
unravelled the potentially dire consequences of the “new” phenomenon
of global warming. Most journalists tiptoed round this topic because
no one wanted to lose their reputation by scaremongering. But as the
science steadily became overwhelming researchers pushed their
conclusions in the face of policymakers.<br>
<br>
More and more scientists are now admitting publicly that they are
scared by the recent climate extremes, such as the floods in
Pakistan and west Africa, the droughts and heatwaves in Europe and
east Africa, and the rampant ice melt at the poles.<br>
<br>
That is not because an increase in extremes was not predicted. It
was always high on the list of concerns alongside longer-term issues
such as sea level rise. It is the suddenness and ferocity of recent
events that is alarming researchers, combined with the ill-defined
threat of tipping points, by which aspects of heating would become
unstoppable.<br>
<br>
Climate computer models have typically projected a fairly consistent
but smooth rise in temperatures. But recently the climate seems to
have gone haywire.<br>
The heat phenomenon in the Canadian town of Lytton, for instance,
produced a “dome” of trapped heat that cranked up the temperature to
49.6C [121F] . Wildfires raged and the town was razed. I broke the
news to one of the Royal Society’s leading members, Prof Sir Brian
Hoskins, but at first he did not believe me. Then he said: “Oh, my
god, that’s really scary.”<br>
<br>
The high temperature itself was shocking enough but amazingly it
topped the previous record by five degrees, when records are
normally beaten by just a few tenths of a degree. Hoskins told me
later: “Climate models have generally projected very smooth changes,
whereas the real world is suffering rapid regional changes. The rise
in globally averaged temperature is a useful metric of how far
climate change has got, but it doesn’t bring home the message of the
likely local and regional impact.<br>
In July this year the UK had its first 40C day. Two years
previously, researchers said the chances of that happening this
decade were 100 to 1. The small print of that day revealed a truly
extraordinary high temperature at Bramham, Yorkshire, breaking the
previous record by 6.5C.<br>
<br>
Prof Hannah Cloke, from Reading University, said: “This sort of
thing is really scary. It’s just one statistic amongst an avalanche
of extreme weather events that used to be known as ‘natural
disasters’.”<br>
But it is the threat of unstoppable long-term change that most
worries Prof Dame Jane Francis, director of the British Antarctic
Survey. She has witnessed temperatures in the Antarctic of 40C above
the seasonal norm, and 30C above in the Arctic.<br>
<br>
Francis was most alarmed by a recent report warning that if the 1.5C
threshold were exceeded, seen by most scientists as almost
inevitable, it could trigger multiple climate tipping points –
abrupt, irreversible and with dangerous impacts.<br>
<br>
She said: “It’s really scary. It seems some of [these trends] are
already under way.” She said she feared for the permafrost, the
Greenland ice sheet, the Arctic sea ice, and Antarctica’s Thwaites
glacier and western ice sheet.<br>
<br>
“These multiple effects will affect the whole planet, as well as the
local inhabitants,” she says. As a geologist rather than a climate
modeller she looks back in time for clues about the Earth as it is
at present, with its inflated CO2 level, which peaked at about 420
parts per million in May.<br>
<br>
“The last time the planet saw 400ppm CO2 was three to four million
years ago during the Pliocene when global sea levels were 10-20
metres higher and temperatures 2-3C higher. Those changes happened
over millions of years. Now it feels like we are forcing these
changes on our planet in far shorter time spans.”<br>
<br>
- -<br>
Before long we will crash through the 1.5C threshold – and unless
much more radical action is taken we are heading for between 2C and
3C warming. Scientists are urging politicians not to find out what
global warming of 2C above pre-industrial levels feels like.<br>
<br>
Scientists are also frustrated by the limitations of their
knowledge. Prof Richard Allan, a lead author for the
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), said: “Climate
change is only going to get worse. A global rise of 1.5C will be
much worse than now. But when you get down to local scales we’re
getting extremes than the models can’t capture. That includes
local-scale droughts and floods. It’s these events that are
difficult to picture.”<br>
<br>
So the scientists are in a bind. They are sure things will get
worse. They don’t know exactly when, and by how much. They know that
if they appear to be campaigning, that could lose credibility. But
increasing numbers of them are so alarmed they are trying to strike
different notes to jolt politicians and the public.<br>
<br>
Another former IPCC lead author, Prof Piers Forster, from the
University of Leeds, said: “I have tried to change the way I
communicate to make it more personal and emotional. Extreme impacts
are bad now and going to get a whole lot worse. But then you need to
give people hope, and ourselves, as scientists hope. We can slow the
rate of warming immediately if we act now.”<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2022/nov/07/why-scientists-are-using-the-word-scary-over-the-climate-crisis">https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2022/nov/07/why-scientists-are-using-the-word-scary-over-the-climate-crisis</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[ DW video discussion on COP 27 ]</i><br>
<b>COP27 spotlights impact of climate change on poor nations | DW
News</b><br>
DW News<br>
4.29M subscribers<br>
Nov 7, 2022<br>
Natural disasters have taken thousands of lives this year and cost
billions of dollars, putting policymakers under increasing pressure.
The past seven years have been the hottest on record. <br>
Tropical storms and hurricanes have battered coastal areas in
Southeast Asia and the United States, at an ever-increasing rate. <br>
Warming temperatures are decimating the Arctic, where melting ice is
destroying ecosystems and raising sea levels worldwide. <br>
The first COP summit was held in Berlin in 1995. Two years later in
Kyoto, major industrialized countries committed to reducing
greenhouse gases, but not the US. The 2015 Paris Deal set targets
The US signed, only to reneg. Last year's Glasgow Pact laid out
financial commitments. <br>
That included the issue of payments to developing countries, dealing
with the effects of climate change. But how much major polluting
nations should compensate those with a smaller carbon footprint
remains contentious.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cxBoNtjfVq8">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cxBoNtjfVq8</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[ Related to COP 27 - scientists attack disinformation ]</i><br>
<b>‘Drop Fossil Fuels,’ Over 400 Scientists Tell PR Firm Handling UN
Climate Talks</b><br>
Hill+Knowlton, a pioneer in disinformation tactics used by tobacco
and oil companies, still represents fossil fuel clients while
leading communications for the upcoming COP27 summit.<br>
ByDana Drugmandon - Nov 4, 2022<br>
Ahead of the COP27 UN climate summit, hundreds of scientists are
calling on the PR firm in charge of the event’s communications,
Hill+Knowlton, to cut ties with its fossil fuel industry clients,
which include major oil companies Aramco, ExxonMobil, and Shell as
well as an industry coalition called the Oil and Gas Climate
Initiative.<br>
<br>
“These clients have not taken the fundamental steps necessary to
address the climate emergency and sharply rein in fossil fuels,”
states an open letter to Hill+Knowlton signed by over 420
scientists. “Instead, they have used Hill+Knowlton and other PR
agencies to spin, delay, and mislead, in order to continue expanding
fossil fuel production and thereby increasing heat-trapping
emissions.”<br>
- -<br>
“It’s an almost comical conflict of interest that Big Oil’s spin
doctors are also in charge of communications for the UN climate
talks,” Dr. Geoffrey Supran, a Harvard researcher who studies fossil
fuel disinformation and propaganda tactics, told DeSmog by email.
“Time and again, research by me and my colleagues has shown how oil
and gas companies and the PR firms that abet them have deployed
climate disinformation to debilitate climate policy,” he added.
“When the world’s leading climate scientists (IPCC) specifically
called out the PR industry for obstructing climate action earlier
this year, Exhibit A could have been H+K [Hill+Knowlton] — a firm
that does the dirty work for none other than ExxonMobil, Chevron,
Shell, and the like.”<br>
<br>
“Letting Hill+Knowlton run communications for the climate talks is
like putting the fox’s PR hack in charge of branding the chicken
coop,” said Jamie Henn, co-founder of Clean Creatives, an advocacy
group pushing for advertising and PR professionals to drop fossil
fuel clients. “There’s nothing to stop H+K from spinning the
outcomes of the talks to benefit their fossil fuel clients or
sharing key intelligence with industry partners.”...<br>
- -<br>
One of the oldest PR firms in the country, Hill+Knowlton is known
for its notorious work with the tobacco industry in the 1950s and
‘60s to counter the scientific evidence linking smoking to lung
cancer. In 1953, John W. Hill, one of the firm’s founders, met in
New York with tobacco company executives, who were worried about the
burgeoning evidence of smoking’s harms. During that meeting, Hill
helped the tobacco industry pioneer a highly effective PR strategy —
finding and raising up the loudest skeptics — in order to cast doubt
on the science his clients were concerned about. Decades later,
Hill’s PR firm was even a named defendant in many of the lawsuits
that sprang up against tobacco companies for their efforts to
downplay smoking’s health impacts.<br>
- -<br>
Hill+Knowlton continues to represent fossil fuel clients to this
day. The firm plays a central role in running the Oil & Gas
Climate Initiative, a coalition promoting polluter-friendly climate
stances whose members include oil majors like BP, Shell, ExxonMobil,
and Aramco. The coalition is run out of Hill+Knowlton’s London
office, Henn told DeSmog. “You couldn’t ask for a firm that’s more
hand in glove with the oil companies,” he said...<br>
- -<br>
Naomi Oreskes, a Harvard scientist and historian and co-author of
the book Merchants of Doubt, is one of the scientists sounding the
alarm as a signatory of the open letter. She pointed to
Hill+Knowlton’s role in creating the “tobacco playbook” of
disseminating disinformation to discredit science, which the oil
industry also deployed to delay climate action. “It’s unconscionable
to me that COP would hire them to help with climate change PR,” she
said.<br>
<br>
Supran, who has worked closely with Oreskes including on a seminal
peer-reviewed study examining Exxon’s nearly 40-year history of
climate communications, said Hill+Knowlton must be held accountable.<br>
<br>
“If H+K won’t drop their fossil fuel clients, then the UN should
drop H+K,” he told DeSmog. “PR companies can be part of the solution
or they can be part of the problem, but they can’t be both.”<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.desmog.com/2022/11/04/drop-fossil-fuels-400-scientists-pr-hill-knowlton-cop27/">https://www.desmog.com/2022/11/04/drop-fossil-fuels-400-scientists-pr-hill-knowlton-cop27/</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[ NYT alarming headline ]</i><br>
<b>A Warming Siberia, Wracked by Wildfires, Nears a Crucial
Threshold</b><br>
Nearly 23 million acres burned from 1982 to 2020. But almost half of
that occurred in 2019 and 2020, and the region may be near a
threshold beyond which extreme fires become more common.<br>
- -<br>
Rapid warming of the Arctic has led to the extreme wildfire seasons
experienced in Siberia in recent years, scientists said Thursday,
and such severe fires are likely to continue.<br>
<br>
The researchers said that the Siberian Arctic, with its vast
expanses of forest, tundra, peatlands and permafrost, was
approaching a threshold beyond which even small temperature
increases could result in sharp increases in the extent of fires.<br>
<br>
“Global warming is changing the fire regime above the Arctic Circle
in Siberia,” said David L.A. Gaveau, one of the researchers. His
company, TheTreeMap, monitors deforestation around the world.<br>
<br>
In the Arctic, wildfires can result in the burning of decayed
organic matter in peat and thawed permafrost. That releases carbon
dioxide, adding to warming and making the goal of reining in climate
change more difficult...<br>
- -<br>
Over the past four decades, the Arctic as a whole has been warming
about four times faster than the global average. Recent summers in
eastern Siberia have been marked by particularly extreme
temperatures — as much as 38 degrees Celsius, or 100 degrees
Fahrenheit...<br>
- -<br>
The warmth has been accompanied by severe and extensive wildfires.
“Observations indicated that the fire seasons were exceptional,” Dr.
Gaveau said. “But there were no precise quantitative assessments to
justify these claims.”<br>
<br>
He and his colleagues analyzed satellite data to map the burned area
each summer from 1982 to 2020. Over that time, a total of nearly 23
million acres burned. The researchers found that together, 2019 and
2020 accounted for nearly half of the total. “The burning was much,
much higher than in the last 40 years,” Dr. Gaveau said. The study
was published in the journal Science...<br>
- - <br>
A separate study published in Science looked at factors that drove
the extreme fire season of 2021, in addition to 2019 and 2020.<br>
<br>
Rebecca C. Scholten of Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam and colleagues
found that earlier snowmelt was an important contributor. Over the
past half-century, spring snowmelt in northeastern Siberia has
started an average of 1.7 days earlier per decade. An earlier
snowmelt leads to a longer period when soil and vegetation dry out,
increasing the risk of burning.<br>
<br>
The researchers also found that changes in the polar jet stream that
circles the planet most likely contributed to greater fire activity.
During many weeks when extreme fires occurred, the jet stream was
temporarily split in two, with a northerly branch and a more
southerly one. Referred to as an Arctic front jet, it is marked by a
region of lower-level air that is stationary and allows heat to
build up, increasing fire risk.<br>
<br>
This divergent jet stream is the same phenomenon that scientists say
likely contributes to increasing heat waves in Europe.<br>
<br>
Dr. Scholten said the research showed that the two factors worked
together.<br>
<br>
“It’s a compound effect,” she said. “It’s only if we have early
snowmelt, which we have more with climate warming, and then if we
have an Arctic front jet, which we also have more frequently with
climate warming, then we have like really extreme fire risk.”<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.nytimes.com/2022/11/03/climate/siberia-fires-climate-change.html">https://www.nytimes.com/2022/11/03/climate/siberia-fires-climate-change.html</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[ The NYTimes faces a come-uppance from climate scientist
Michael Mann and other readers] <br>
</i><b>Climate scientists Michael Mann's response to Stephens'
piece:</b><br>
<blockquote> "When @NYTimes hired climate inactivist
@BretStephen_NYT, climate folks said 'that's it, I'm canceling my
subscription'. But I pushed back: 'Hold on. Times has much to
offer & maybe he'll improve etc'. Well I was wrong. Both
Stephens & Times have gone off the cliff. And I'm done. Don't
miss @BretStephen_NYT 's followup pieces in next week's Times,
including: 'Yes, the Great Barrier Reef is disintegrating before
our eyes, But...' and 'Yes, unprecedented extreme weather events
are killing people and destroying communities, But...'. And
there's more!"<br>
</blockquote>
On Fri, Oct 28, 2022 <br>
"Brett Stephens was hired by the NYtimes,...and many people called
for his dismissal."<br>
<br>
<b>Where My Climate Doubts Began to Melt</b><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/10/28/opinion/climate-change-bret-stephens.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare">https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/10/28/opinion/climate-change-bret-stephens.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare</a><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.nytimes.com/2022/11/06/opinion/letters/climate-change-bret-stephens.html">https://www.nytimes.com/2022/11/06/opinion/letters/climate-change-bret-stephens.html</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[ one of many live reports coming out of COP 27 - live video ]</i><br>
<b>Cascading Impacts<br>
International Cryosphere Climate Initiative<br>
</b><br>
<b>How Can We Adapt and Reduce Risk in the Mountains and Downstream?</b><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m1-anKUtcME">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m1-anKUtcME</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<br>
<i>[The news archive - looking back a one world leader speaking
about global warming ]</i><br>
<font size="+2"><i><b>November 8, 1989</b></i></font> <br>
November 8, 1989: Margaret Thatcher delivers an address to the UN
General Assembly on global warming, noting that societies should
have economic growth "which does not plunder the planet today and
leave our children to deal with the consequences tomorrow."<br>
<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://www.margaretthatcher.org/document/107817">http://www.margaretthatcher.org/document/107817</a><br>
<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VnAzoDtwCBg&sns=em">http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VnAzoDtwCBg&sns=em</a><br>
<br>
<br>
<p>======================================= <br>
<b class="moz-txt-star"><span class="moz-txt-tag">*Mass media is
lacking, here are a few </span>daily summaries<span
class="moz-txt-tag"> of global warming news - email delivered*</span></b>
<br>
<br>
=========================================================<br>
<b>*Inside Climate News</b><br>
Newsletters<br>
We deliver climate news to your inbox like nobody else. Every day
or once a week, our original stories and digest of the web’s top
headlines deliver the full story, for free.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://insideclimatenews.org/">https://insideclimatenews.org/</a><br>
--------------------------------------- <br>
*<b>Climate Nexus</b> <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://climatenexus.org/hot-news/*">https://climatenexus.org/hot-news/*</a>
<br>
Delivered straight to your inbox every morning, Hot News
summarizes the most important climate and energy news of the day,
delivering an unmatched aggregation of timely, relevant reporting.
It also provides original reporting and commentary on climate
denial and pro-polluter activity that would otherwise remain
largely unexposed. 5 weekday <br>
================================= <br>
<b class="moz-txt-star"><span class="moz-txt-tag">*</span>Carbon
Brief Daily <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.carbonbrief.org/newsletter-sign-up">https://www.carbonbrief.org/newsletter-sign-up</a><span
class="moz-txt-tag">*</span></b> <br>
Every weekday morning, in time for your morning coffee, Carbon
Brief sends out a free email known as the “Daily Briefing” to
thousands of subscribers around the world. The email is a digest
of the past 24 hours of media coverage related to climate change
and energy, as well as our pick of the key studies published in
the peer-reviewed journals. <br>
more at <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.getrevue.co/publisher/carbon-brief">https://www.getrevue.co/publisher/carbon-brief</a>
<br>
================================== <br>
*T<b>he Daily Climate </b>Subscribe <a
class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://ehsciences.activehosted.com/f/61*">https://ehsciences.activehosted.com/f/61*</a>
<br>
Get The Daily Climate in your inbox - FREE! Top news on climate
impacts, solutions, politics, drivers. Delivered week days. Better
than coffee. <br>
Other newsletters at <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.dailyclimate.org/originals/">https://www.dailyclimate.org/originals/</a>
<br>
<br>
</p>
/-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------/
<br>
/Archive of Daily Global Warming News <a
class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://pairlist10.pair.net/pipermail/theclimate.vote/">https://pairlist10.pair.net/pipermail/theclimate.vote/</a><br>
<br>
<br>
/To receive daily mailings - click to Subscribe <a
class="moz-txt-link-rfc2396E"
href="mailto:subscribe@theClimate.Vote?subject=Click%20SEND%20to%20process%20your%20request"><mailto:subscribe@theClimate.Vote?subject=Click%20SEND%20to%20process%20your%20request></a>
to news digest./<br>
<br>
Privacy and Security:*This mailing is text-only. It does not
carry images or attachments which may originate from remote
servers. A text-only message can provide greater privacy to the
receiver and sender. This is a hobby production curated by Richard
Pauli<br>
By regulation, the .VOTE top-level domain cannot be used for
commercial purposes. Messages have no tracking software.<br>
To subscribe, email: <a class="moz-txt-link-abbreviated
moz-txt-link-freetext" href="mailto:contact@theclimate.vote">contact@theclimate.vote</a>
<a class="moz-txt-link-rfc2396E"
href="mailto:contact@theclimate.vote"><mailto:contact@theclimate.vote></a>
with subject subscribe, To Unsubscribe, subject: unsubscribe<br>
Also you may subscribe/unsubscribe at <a
class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://pairlist10.pair.net/mailman/listinfo/theclimate.vote">https://pairlist10.pair.net/mailman/listinfo/theclimate.vote</a><br>
Links and headlines assembled and curated by Richard Pauli for <a
class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://TheClimate.Vote">http://TheClimate.Vote</a>
<a class="moz-txt-link-rfc2396E" href="http://TheClimate.Vote/"><http://TheClimate.Vote/></a>
delivering succinct information for citizens and responsible
governments of all levels. List membership is confidential and
records are scrupulously restricted to this mailing list. <br>
</body>
</html>