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<font size="+2"><i><b>December 22, 2022</b></i></font><br>
<br>
<i>[ new discussions of the 2021 paper on YouTube - hint for
speeding up listening on YouTube </i><i>on the lower right
outside the image frame </i><i>click the gear control button -
set 'playback speed' to 1.25 speed or up to 2x speed. Be sure to
hear comments by William Rees <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://youtu.be/Fdn0m866dzM">https://youtu.be/Fdn0m866dzM</a> ]</i><br>
<b>Underestimating the Challenges of Avoiding a Ghastly Future -
Ehrlich Ceballos Diamond Hagens Rees</b><br>
The Poetry of Predicament<br>
Dec 5, 2022<br>
This is a March 2022 Panel Discussion including Paul Ehrlich and
Gerardo Ceballos, who both co-produced a recent paper by the same
name... Underestimating the Challenges of Avoiding a Ghastly Future.<br>
All of the panelists are fully capable of contributing to this
vitally important discussion. <br>
We are very happy to include this video in our online course library
at Living Resilience. In our commitment to supporting and resourcing
the Collapse-Aware Community we are pleased to include bold, clear
and accurate science reporting like this panel discussion and the
paper on which it is based.<br>
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___ <br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fdn0m866dzM">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fdn0m866dzM</a><br>
<p>- -</p>
<i>[ read the 2021 paper discussed above ]</i><br>
<b>Underestimating the Challenges of Avoiding a Ghastly Future</b><br>
<blockquote>We report three major and confronting environmental
issues that have received little attention and require urgent
action. First, we review the evidence that future environmental
conditions will be far more dangerous than currently believed. The
scale of the threats to the biosphere and all its
lifeforms—including humanity—is in fact so great that it is
difficult to grasp for even well-informed experts. Second, we ask
what political or economic system, or leadership, is prepared to
handle the predicted disasters, or even capable of such action.
Third, this dire situation places an extraordinary responsibility
on scientists to speak out candidly and accurately when engaging
with government, business, and the public. We especially draw
attention to the lack of appreciation of the enormous challenges
to creating a sustainable future. The added stresses to human
health, wealth, and well-being will perversely diminish our
political capacity to mitigate the erosion of ecosystem services
on which society depends. The science underlying these issues is
strong, but awareness is weak. Without fully appreciating and
broadcasting the scale of the problems and the enormity of the
solutions required, society will fail to achieve even modest
sustainability goals.<br>
</blockquote>
Introduction<br>
We summarize the state of the natural world in stark form here to
help clarify the gravity of the human predicament. We also outline
likely future trends in biodiversity decline (Díaz et al., 2019),
climate disruption (Ripple et al., 2020), and human consumption and
population growth to demonstrate the near certainty that these
problems will worsen over the coming decades, with negative impacts
for centuries to come. Finally, we discuss the ineffectiveness of
current and planned actions that are attempting to address the
ominous erosion of Earth's life-support system. Ours is not a call
to surrender—we aim to provide leaders with a realistic “cold
shower” of the state of the planet that is essential for planning to
avoid a ghastly future.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fcosc.2021.700869/full">https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fcosc.2021.700869/full</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[ DO NOT fall into faith in technology as solution - the NYTimes
offers an opinion ]</i><br>
<b>Could Fusion Arrive in Time to Solve Climate Change?</b><br>
Dec. 21, 2022<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.nytimes.com/2022/12/21/opinion/fusion-climate-change-nuclear.html">https://www.nytimes.com/2022/12/21/opinion/fusion-climate-change-nuclear.html</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[ Have some fun wagering into the future ] </i><br>
<b>Welcome to the Climate Casino!</b><br>
Climate Casino<br>
Dec 21, 2022 SANTA BARBARA<br>
Links for today's video: <br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.climatecasino.net">https://www.climatecasino.net</a><br>
<br>
Contact: <br>
Twitter @EliotJacobson<br>
Mastodon @EliotJacobson@toad.social<br>
====================================<br>
All content on this channel is (U) unlicensed. I dedicate any and
all copyright interest in this video to the public domain. I make
this dedication for the benefit of the public at large and to the
detriment of my heirs and successors. I intend this dedication to be
an overt act of relinquishment in perpetuity of all present and
future rights to this video under copyright law. For more details,
visit <a class="moz-txt-link-abbreviated" href="http://www.unlicense.org">www.unlicense.org</a> .<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cUbCixNY9c0">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cUbCixNY9c0</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[ Climate Change NewsHub on YouTube ~ 5 mins ]</i><br>
<b>Report says climate change isn’t next generations problem, it’s
here now | Newshub</b><br>
Newshub<br>
5,050 views Aug 30, 2022<br>
A new study of Greenland's melting ice cap has concluded it's
already too late to prevent sea levels rising by 27 centimetres.<br>
It found 110-trillion tonnes of ice melt is now inevitable, and
called 27 centimetres a conservative estimate, that could easily
double.<br>
Greenpeace Campaigner Christine Rose spoke to Newshub Late about the
increasing importance of drastic action on climate change.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OPO1SZqARvc">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OPO1SZqARvc</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[The news archive - looking back at the measuring of CO2 - now
temporarily broken by volcanic eruptions ]</i><br>
<font size="+2"><i><b>December 22, 2010</b></i></font> <br>
December 22, 2010: The New York Times reports on the legacy of the
late climate scientist Charles David Keeling.<br>
<blockquote><b>A Scientist, His Work and a Climate Reckoning</b><br>
By Justin Gillis Dec. 21, 2010<br>
MAUNA LOA OBSERVATORY, Hawaii — Two gray machines sit inside a
pair of utilitarian buildings here, sniffing the fresh breezes
that blow across thousands of miles of ocean.<br>
<br>
They make no noise. But once an hour, they spit out a number, and
for decades, it has been rising relentlessly.<br>
<br>
The first machine of this type was installed on Mauna Loa in the
1950s at the behest of Charles David Keeling, a scientist from San
Diego. His resulting discovery, of the increasing level of carbon
dioxide in the atmosphere, transformed the scientific
understanding of humanity’s relationship with the earth. A graph
of his findings is inscribed on a wall in Washington as one of the
great achievements of modern science.<br>
<br>
Yet, five years after Dr. Keeling’s death, his discovery is a
focus not of celebration but of conflict. It has become the
touchstone of a worldwide political debate over global warming...<br>
- -<br>
<b>The Fuel of Civilization</b><br>
While the world’s governments have largely accepted the science of
climate change, their efforts to bring emissions under control are
lagging.<br>
<br>
The simple reason is that modern civilization is built on burning
fossil fuels. Cars, trucks, power plants, steel mills, farms,
planes, cement factories, home furnaces — virtually all of them
spew carbon dioxide or lesser heat-trapping gases into the
atmosphere.<br>
<br>
Developed countries, especially the United States, are largely
responsible for the buildup that has taken place since the
Industrial Revolution. They have begun to make some headway on the
problem, reducing the energy they use to produce a given amount of
economic output, with some countries even managing to lower their
total emissions.<br>
<br>
But these modest efforts are being swamped by rising energy use in
developing countries like China, India and Brazil. In those lands,
economic growth is not simply desirable — it is a moral
imperative, to lift more than a third of the human race out of
poverty. A recent scientific paper referred to China’s surge as
“the biggest transformation of human well-being the earth has ever
seen.”<br>
<br>
China’s citizens, on average, still use less than a third of the
energy per person as Americans. But with 1.3 billion people, four
times as many as the United States, China is so large and is
growing so quickly that it has surpassed the United States to
become the world’s largest overall user of energy.<br>
<br>
Barring some big breakthrough in clean-energy technology, this
rapid growth in developing countries threatens to make the
emissions problem unsolvable.<br>
<br>
Emissions dropped sharply in Western nations in 2009, during the
recession that followed the financial crisis, but that decrease
was largely offset by continued growth in the East. And for 2010,
global emissions are projected to return to the rapid growth of
the past decade, rising more than 3 percent a year.<br>
<br>
Many countries have, in principle, embraced the idea of trying to
limit global warming to two degrees Celsius, or 3.6 degrees
Fahrenheit, feeling that any greater warming would pose
unacceptable risks. As best scientists can calculate, that means
about one trillion tons of carbon can be burned and the gases
released into the atmosphere before emissions need to fall to
nearly zero.<br>
<br>
“It took 250 years to burn the first half-trillion tons,” Myles R.
Allen, a leading British climate scientist, said in a briefing.
“On current trends, we’ll burn the next half-trillion in less than
40.”<br>
<br>
Unless more serious efforts to convert to a new energy system
begin soon, scientists argue, it will be impossible to hit the
3.6-degree target, and the risk will increase that global warming
could spiral out of control by century’s end.<br>
<br>
“We are quickly running out of time,” said Josep G. Canadell, an
Australian scientist who tracks emissions<br>
<br>
In many countries, the United States and China among them, a
conversion of the energy system has begun, with wind turbines and
solar panels sprouting across the landscape. But they generate
only a tiny fraction of all power, with much of the world’s
electricity still coming from the combustion of coal, the dirtiest
fossil fuel.<br>
<br>
With the exception of European countries, few nations have been
willing to raise the cost of fossil fuels or set emissions caps as
a way to speed the transformation. In the United States, a
particular fear has been that a carbon policy will hurt the
country’s industries as they compete with companies abroad whose
governments have adopted no such policy.<br>
<br>
As he watches these difficulties, Ralph Keeling contemplates the
unbending math of carbon dioxide emissions first documented by his
father more than a half-century ago and wonders about the future
effects of that increase.<br>
<br>
“When I go see things with my children, I let them know they might
not be around when they’re older,” he said. “ ‘Go enjoy these
beautiful forests before they disappear. Go enjoy the glaciers in
these parks because they won’t be around.’ It’s basically taking
note of what we have, and appreciating it, and saying goodbye to
it.”<br>
<br>
On Dec. 11, another round of international climate negotiations,
sponsored by the United Nations, concluded in Cancún. As they have
for 18 years running, the gathered nations pledged renewed
efforts. But they failed to agree on any binding emission targets.<br>
<br>
Late at night, as the delegates were wrapping up in Mexico, the
machines atop the volcano in the middle of the Pacific Ocean
issued their own silent verdict on the world’s efforts.<br>
<br>
At midnight Mauna Loa time, the carbon dioxide level hit 390 — and
rising.<br>
</blockquote>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://www.nytimes.com/2010/12/22/science/earth/22carbon.html?pagewanted=all&_r=0">http://www.nytimes.com/2010/12/22/science/earth/22carbon.html?pagewanted=all&_r=0</a><br>
<br>
<br>
<p>======================================= <br>
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