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<p> <font size="+2"><i><b>January 11, 2023</b></i></font></p>
<i>[ California weather flooding ]</i><br>
<b>Footage of flooding in California! Storm in Santa Barbara,
Montecito, Ventura</b><br>
World Is Dangerous<br>
Jan 10, 2023 #worldisdangerous #flooding #california<br>
Footage of flooding in California! Storm in Santa Barbara,
Montecito, Ventura<br>
In the middle of what is considered to be one of the worst droughts
in California's history, the state's entire 840-mile coastline was
pummeled by an atmospheric river, what we used to call the Pineapple
Express. As a direct consequence of this, there was widespread
flooding in California and significant damage to property, and our
phones were constantly going off with repeated evacuation orders.<br>
- -<br>
ATTENTION: Video material is taken from social networks. It is
selected by date of publication, title, description and location of
the event. Sometimes, due to unscrupulous posting of news on social
networks, the video may contain fragments that do not correspond to
the date and place. It is not always possible to check their
reliability. Thank you for your understanding.<br>
The information on this YouTube Channel and the resources available
are for educational and informational purposes only.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RZ53MkKGDPQ">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RZ53MkKGDPQ</a><br>
<p><i>- -</i></p>
<p><i>[ more California weather calamity ] </i><br>
<b>California went under WATER! Crazy hail storm and flooding in
Santa Barbara and San Francisco</b><br>
Wild WeatherUS<br>
Jan 10, 2023 CALIFORNIA<br>
Heavy rain continued to drench California on Tuesday as an ongoing
parade of storms left much of the state in disarray, with power
outages, collapsed roadways, mud and landslides and treacherous
floodwaters widespread across nearly the length of the state.<br>
- - Snowfall with Blizzard in Colorado, USA -
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://youtu.be/ND3RftqVJQ8">https://youtu.be/ND3RftqVJQ8</a><br>
- - Heavy Snowstorm hit Ontario - <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://youtu.be/ZP0yrAtbeH8">https://youtu.be/ZP0yrAtbeH8</a><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EXFWcCs_JRU">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EXFWcCs_JRU</a><i></i></p>
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<i>[ the risk of speaking out - a NYT opinion ]</i><br>
<b>I’m a Scientist Who Spoke Up About Climate Change. My Employer
Fired Me.</b><br>
Jan. 10, 2023<br>
By Rose Abramoff<br>
Dr. Abramoff is an earth scientist who studies the effect of climate
change on natural and managed ecosystems.<br>
KNOXVILLE, Tenn. — Shortly after the New Year, I was fired from Oak
Ridge National Laboratory after urging fellow scientists to take
action on climate change. At the American Geophysical Union meeting
in December, just before speakers took the stage for a plenary
session, my fellow climate scientist Peter Kalmus and I unfurled a
banner that read “Out of the lab & into the streets.” In the few
seconds before the banner was ripped from our hands, we implored our
colleagues to use their leverage as scientists to wake the public up
to the dying planet.<br>
<br>
Soon after this brief action, the A.G.U., an organization with
60,000 members in the earth and space sciences, expelled us from the
conference and withdrew the research that we had presented that week
from the program. Eventually, it began a professional misconduct
inquiry (it’s ongoing).<br>
<br>
Then, on Jan. 3, Oak Ridge, the laboratory outside Knoxville where I
had worked as an associate scientist for one year, terminated my
employment. I am the first earth scientist I know of to be fired for
climate activism. I fear I will not be the last.<br>
<br>
Oak Ridge said it was forced to fire me because I misused government
resources by engaging in a personal activity on a work trip and
because I did not adhere to its Code of Business Ethics and Conduct.
The code has points on scientific integrity, maintaining the
institution’s reputation and using government resources “only as
authorized and appropriate and with integrity, responsibility, and
care.”<br>
When Dr. Kalmus and I decided to make our statement during the lunch
plenary session, I knew that we risked being asked to leave the
stage or the conference. But I did not expect that our research
would be removed from the program or that I would lose my job. When
I began participating in climate actions with other scientists in
2022, senior managers at Oak Ridge asked that I make it clear to the
public and the media that I spoke and acted on my own behalf. I
followed these guidelines to the best of my ability, including at
A.G.U., where Dr. Kalmus, a scientist at NASA’s Jet Propulsion
Laboratory, and I did not mention our institutions in our
statements.<br>
The retaliation I faced from the A.G.U. and Oak Ridge ultimately
highlights a disappointing reality: that established scientific
institutions will not even support scientists interrupting a meeting
for the climate. I’m all for decorum, but not when it will cost us
the Earth.<br>
<br>
I used to be a well-behaved scientist. I stood quietly on melting
permafrost in Utqiagvik, Alaska, and measured how much greenhouse
gas was released into the atmosphere. I filled spreadsheets and ran
simulations about how warming temperatures would increase the carbon
emissions from soil.<br>
<br>
To do my job, I dissociated the data I was working with from the
terrifying future it represented. But in the field, smelling the
dense rot of New England hemlock trees that were being eaten by a
pest that now survives the warming winters, I felt loss and dread.
Only my peers read my articles, which didn’t seem to have any
tangible effects. Though I saw firsthand the oncoming catastrophe of
climate change, I felt powerless to help.<br>
<br>
I did, however, believe that if scientists told the truth about the
climate emergency, our scientific institutions would get out the
message to policymakers, government officials, the media and the
public. But they didn’t — at least not sufficiently — even as carbon
emissions continued to rise and the climate continued to warm.<br>
A few years ago, Scientist Rebellion, an international network of
scientists concerned about climate change, began a series of
strategic acts of nonviolent civil disobedience. After years of
waiting in vain for meaningful public action to address climate
change, I decided to join them.<br>
<br>
For my first action, I chained myself to a White House gate to
demand that the Biden administration declare a climate emergency.
Since I locked that first chain around my waist, I have been
arrested three times in nonviolent actions. My superiors at Oak
Ridge warned me to be careful but did not discipline me.<br>
<br>
But I was motivated to continue because these scientist-led
political campaigns have attracted positive media attention and
contributed to major policy wins. At the end of last year, a group
of us protested the impact of luxury travel at more than a dozen
private airport terminals in 13 countries; within a month of our
actions, the Podemos party of Spain submitted a request to the
European Commission to take measures to reduce the use of private
planes. When scientists take action, people listen.<br>
<br>
The scientific community has tried writing dutiful reports for
decades, with no reduction in greenhouse gas emissions from fossil
fuels to show for it. It is time to try something new. We must work
to change the culture of our institutions, be honest about our
values, advocate for climate justice and experiment. Great
experiments push at the boundaries of knowledge and propriety. They
are risky, volatile, blasphemous. But when they work, the world
changes.<br>
<br>
Scientific institutions should support activism and advocacy,
especially by experts. The A.G.U. should do more to publicly support
policies informed by its members’ science, such as declaring a
climate emergency and ending fossil fuel extraction and subsidies.<br>
<br>
I did not make the decision to become an activist lightly; I
recognized that my actions would have consequences, and I knew that
I could face retaliation. But inaction during this critical time
will have far greater consequences.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.nytimes.com/2023/01/10/opinion/scientist-fired-climate-change-activism.html">https://www.nytimes.com/2023/01/10/opinion/scientist-fired-climate-change-activism.html</a><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.nytimes.com/2023/01/10/opinion/scientist-fired-climate-change-activism.html?unlocked_article_code=cH0SK6fqNRyc1rAQIgteZ2j-fFGsxQp8oXitar8O4WcBLgf8P6KXDXN-std6fMYlxkLEKnOE5C57m10sfRancjPz8PKqUGaHYS3IUn1K6FtcWlCvZpkWKliq3JRIzhjsQ0JJFHXSikXRwByOmlFZqVpvpy9hXqDWaHp-BSPcJAMd4uWpJgGHrWaMm2rswNLZ9XPYXyCY8HrFgb9jg6QtRbRnzOfl-Dp5YexMupHE8fKAeV_IC3G3mEABQWlRUshze5-EAJVduBrJANuIOsgmgqfTkWET2m7QqlCL7ZC6T4QLYLuGfG9d_r1LQzTojOa4It9x4JQmYiyJSfXv2SMXkll9CHWrhUwFM5eFEMjDIyll&smid=share-url">https://www.nytimes.com/2023/01/10/opinion/scientist-fired-climate-change-activism.html?unlocked_article_code=cH0SK6fqNRyc1rAQIgteZ2j-fFGsxQp8oXitar8O4WcBLgf8P6KXDXN-std6fMYlxkLEKnOE5C57m10sfRancjPz8PKqUGaHYS3IUn1K6FtcWlCvZpkWKliq3JRIzhjsQ0JJFHXSikXRwByOmlFZqVpvpy9hXqDWaHp-BSPcJAMd4uWpJgGHrWaMm2rswNLZ9XPYXyCY8HrFgb9jg6QtRbRnzOfl-Dp5YexMupHE8fKAeV_IC3G3mEABQWlRUshze5-EAJVduBrJANuIOsgmgqfTkWET2m7QqlCL7ZC6T4QLYLuGfG9d_r1LQzTojOa4It9x4JQmYiyJSfXv2SMXkll9CHWrhUwFM5eFEMjDIyll&smid=share-url</a><br>
<p><br>
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</p>
<i>[ Daily disaster news channel -- YouTube - videos taken from
social media ]</i><br>
<b>Natural Disasters -- Painful Earth Shorts</b><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/@PAINFULEARTH/videos">https://www.youtube.com/@PAINFULEARTH/videos</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[ Power Switch -- from Politico -- our consistently intensifying
predicament ]</i><br>
<b>It’s getting hot(ter) in here</b><br>
By ARIANNA SKIBELL <br>
1/10/2023 <br>
Despite global gains in clean power, the planet is heating up. A
lot.<br>
<br>
The last eight years were the hottest ever recorded, with 2016
marking the warmest of them all, climate researchers reported this
week.<br>
<br>
At the same time, greenhouse gas emissions grew by 1.3 percent last
year in the United States, even as carbon-free energy surpassed coal
power for the first time in over half a century (hydropower outpaced
coal 60 years ago), according to a report out today by the Rhodium
Group.<br>
<br>
While that rise is relatively modest compared with a 6.5 percent
spike in carbon emissions that happened in 2021, it leaves the U.S.
further adrift from its commitments under the Paris climate accord,
writes POLITICO’s E&E News reporter Benjamin Storrow.<br>
<br>
President Joe Biden has pledged to cut emissions 50 to 52 percent by
the end of the decade, compared with 2005 levels — a steep reduction
from today’s numbers. Planet-warming pollution is now just 15.5
percent below 2005 levels, the Rhodium report found.<br>
<br>
During a meeting with Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and
Mexican President Andrés Manuel López Obrador in Mexico today, Biden
doubled down on his goals, saying the U.S. “should be the clean
energy powerhouse of the world” and is strengthening its supply
chains to accomplish that.<br>
Passage of the president’s landmark climate bill last year is
expected to accelerate the transition away from fossil fuels, as
federal clean energy tax credits increase the adoption of renewable
energy technologies.<br>
But the challenges remain significant. U.S. greenhouse gas emissions
from buildings grew 6 percent last year, while planet-warming
pollution from transportation and industry increased by slightly
more than 1 percent. Those sectors of the economy have historically
proven difficult to green...<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.politico.com/newsletters/power-switch/2023/01/10/its-getting-hotter-in-here-00077209">https://www.politico.com/newsletters/power-switch/2023/01/10/its-getting-hotter-in-here-00077209</a>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[ </i><i> 2013</i><i> greater understanding - a few clips from a
huge document - National Academies Press ]</i><br>
<b>Abrupt Impacts of Climate Change: Anticipating Surprises (2013)</b><br>
Chapter:2 Abrupt Changes of Primary Concern<br>
- -<br>
<b>ABRUPT CHANGES IN THE OCEAN</b><br>
The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC)—characterized
by warm surface waters flowing northward and cold deep waters
flowing southward throughout the Atlantic basin—is defined as the
zonal integral of the northward mass flux at a particular latitude.
<br>
- -<br>
Prominent patterns of large-scale climate variability include:<br>
the El-Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO),<br>
the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO),<br>
the stratospheric Quasi-Biennial Oscillation,<br>
the Pacific-North American pattern, and<br>
the Northern and Southern annular modes (the Northern annular mode
is also known as the North Atlantic Oscillation).<br>
- -<br>
Summary and the Way Forward<br>
<br>
The connection between extreme climate and related abrupt climate
change is poorly understood, given the relatively poor understanding
of both extreme climate events and abrupt changes. A number of
reasons exist for this. First, because extreme climate phenomena
represent rare events and modern climate records made by instruments
are short, the modern record may capture only a few instances of
these extreme events. Second, the statistical tools to which most
climate researchers are accustomed are not applicable to this highly
non-linear problem. Third, lack of quantitative understanding of the
thresholds that trigger abrupt changes and causes of extreme climate
events has limited our ability to provide process-based assessments
of the risk of abrupt changes. Extreme events and the resultant
abrupt changes are more likely unpredictable based on statistical
models (Ditlevsen and Johnsen, 2010; Hastings and Wysham, 2010).
Yet, it is prudent to assess the societal vulnerability and develop
noregret mitigation policies for high-impact extreme events related
to abrupt changes (NRC, 2012b). In this case, risk assessment based
on a fundamental understanding of the climate dynamics may become a
major tool for developing scenarios for stress tests for the global
and regional responding systems regarding their ability to manage
potentially disruptive extreme and abrupt climate changes.<br>
<br>
Suggested Citation:"2 Abrupt Changes of Primary Concern." National
Research Council. 2013. Abrupt Impacts of Climate Change:
Anticipating Surprises. Washington, DC: The National Academies
Press. doi: 10.17226/18373.×<br>
- -<br>
<b>ABRUPT CHANGES AT HIGH LATITUDES</b><br>
Potential Climate Surprises Due to High-Latitude Methane and Carbon
Cycles<br>
<br>
Interest in high-latitude methane and carbon cycles is motivated by
the existence of very large stores of carbon (C), in potentially
labile reservoirs of soil organic carbon in permafrost (frozen)
soils and in methane-containing ices called methane hydrate or
clathrate, especially offshore in ocean marginal sediments. Owing to
their sheer size, these carbon stocks have potential to massively
impact the Earth’s climate, should<br>
they somehow be released to the atmosphere. An abrupt release of
methane (CH4) is particularly worrisome as it is many times more
potent as a greenhouse gas than carbon dioxide (CO2) over short time
scales. Furthermore, methane is oxidized to CO2 in the atmosphere
representing another CO2 pathway from the biosphere to the
atmosphere in addition to direct release of CO2 from aerobic
decomposition of carbon-rich soils...<br>
<br>
<b>Permafrost</b><br>
Stocks Frozen northern soils contain enough carbon to drive a
powerful carbon cycle feedback to a warming climate (Schuur et al.,
2008). These stocks across large areas of Siberia comprise mainly
yedoma (an ice-rich, loess-like deposit averaging ~25 m deep [Zimov
et al., 2006b]), peatlands (i.e., histels and gelisols), and river
delta deposits. Published estimates of permafrost soil carbon have
tended to increase over time, as more field datasets are
incorporated and deposits deeper than 1 m depth are considered.
Estimates of the total soil-carbon stock in permafrost in the Arctic
range from 1,700–1,850 Gt C (Gt C = gigatons of carbon; Tarnocai et
al., 2009; Zimov et al., 2006a; McGuire et al., 2009). Figure 2.12
summarizes information on known stocks of high latitude...<br>
- -<br>
Potential response to a warming climate Climate change has the
potential to impact ocean methane hydrate deposits through changes
in ocean water temperature near the sea bed, or variations in
pressure associated with changing sea level. Of the two, temperature
changes are thought to be most important, both during the last
deglaciation (Mienert et al., 2005) and also in the future. Warming
bottom waters in deeper parts of the ocean, where surface sediment
is much colder than freezing and the hydrate stability zone is
relatively thick, would not thaw hydrates near the sediment surface,
but downward heat diffusion into the sediment column would thin the
stability zone from below, causing basal hydrates to decompose,
releasing gaseous methane.... <br>
- - <br>
<b>Summary and the Way Forward</b><br>
The current state of scientific knowledge is that there is a
plausible risk for climate change to accelerate already-elevated
extinction rates, which would result in loss of many more species
over the next few decades than would be the case in the absence of
climate change. Many of the extinction impacts in the next few
decades could be cryptic, that is, reducing populations to
below-viable levels, destining the species to extinction even though
extinction does not take place until later in the 21st or following
century. The losses would have high potential for changing the
function of existing ecosystems and degrading ecosystem services
(see Chapter 3). The risk of widespread extinctions over the next
three to eight decades is high in at least two critically important
ecosystems where much of the world’s biodiversity is concentrated,
tropical/sub-tropical areas, especially rainforests and coral reefs.
The risk of climate-triggered extinctions of species adapted to
high, cool elevations and high-latitude conditions also is high.<br>
<br>
There are several questions that are still at a nascent stage of
discovery:<br>
<br>
Exactly which species in which ecosystems are most at risk?<br>
Which species extinctions would precipitate inordinately large
ecological cascades that would lead to further extinctions?<br>
What is the impact of climate-induced changes in seasonal timing and
species interactions on extinction rates?...<br>
- -<br>
National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2013.
Abrupt Impacts of Climate Change: Anticipating Surprises.
Washington, DC: The National Academies Press.
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://doi.org/10.17226/18373">https://doi.org/10.17226/18373</a>.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://nap.nationalacademies.org/read/18373/chapter/4">https://nap.nationalacademies.org/read/18373/chapter/4</a><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://nap.nationalacademies.org/read/18373/chapter/5#132">https://nap.nationalacademies.org/read/18373/chapter/5#132</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[ Risk - 30 min YouTube video lecture ]</i><br>
<b>Joshua Schuster: Existential Risk and Apocalyptic Thinking</b><br>
Centre for Apocalyptic & Post-Apocalyptic Studies<br>
Mar 15, 2022<br>
Joshua Schuster – “Existential Risk and Apocalyptic Thinking”<br>
Netzwerktreffen 2022<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qRVMSSKxlPA">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qRVMSSKxlPA</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<br>
<br>
<i>[ The news archive - looking back at deluded thinking of the day
- we know that climate destabilization can mean many types of
extremes ]</i><br>
<font size="+2"><i><b>January 11, 2013</b></i></font> <br>
Media Matters notes: "After ignoring reports that 2012 was the
hottest year on record in the U.S., Rush Limbaugh and Fox Business
host Stuart Varney tried to push back against well-established
evidence of climate change by citing instances of cold weather."<br>
<blockquote><b>Conservatives Once Again Cite Extreme Cold To Deny
Climate Change</b><br>
WRITTEN BY THOMAS BISHOP<br>
After ignoring reports that 2012 was the hottest year on record in
the U.S., Rush Limbaugh and Fox Business host Stuart Varney tried
to push back against well-established evidence of climate change
by citing instances of cold weather.<br>
<br>
On the January 11 edition of his radio show, Limbaugh said,
“Twenty-seven degrees outside San Diego right now, 27 degrees, and
they're talking about global warming” :<br>
<br>
Similarly, Varney cited examples of “snow in Jerusalem” and “a
deep freeze in China and in Europe,” then said that “the green is
demanding a carbon tax to prevent global warming.” Varney added,
“Climate's always changing, isn't it?”<br>
<br>
In addition to the fact that scientists have found enormous
evidence of climate change and the human causes behind it, the
existence of cold weather does not disprove global warming.
Despite the right-wing media regularly claiming that cold or snowy
weather is evidence that global warming isn't happening, climate
scientists -- including at least one who has disputed aspects of
the scientific consensus on global warming -- reject the notion
that a short-term change in weather, let alone an individual
storm, can prove or disprove the existence of manmade climate
change.<br>
<br>
The National Climate Data Center reported this week that 2012 was
the warmest and second most extreme year on record for the
contiguous U.S. Fox News largely ignored the story, which runs
contrary to its narrative of denying climate change. When
liberal-leaning Fox co-host Bob Beckel made the channel's first
reference to the record heat, fellow co-host Greg Gutfeld shouted
him down.<br>
</blockquote>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://mediamatters.org/blog/2013/01/11/conservatives-once-again-cite-extreme-cold-to-d/192202">http://mediamatters.org/blog/2013/01/11/conservatives-once-again-cite-extreme-cold-to-d/192202</a><br>
<br>
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