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<font size="+2"><font face="Calibri"><i><b>April</b></i></font></font><font
size="+2" face="Calibri"><i><b> 4, 2023</b></i></font><font
face="Calibri"><br>
</font> <font face="Calibri"> </font> <br>
<font face="Calibri"><i>[ opinion ] </i><br>
</font> <font face="Calibri"><b>The Media’s Recent Turn to “Climate
Optimism” Is a Cruel Fantasy</b></font><br>
<font face="Calibri">Beneath the upbeat messaging, the latest UN
climate report makes it clear that while the means to save the
planet may still be available, the political will is nowhere in
sight.</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">By Wen Stephenson</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">- -</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">But however you dress it up, the salient points
remain what we’ve known for some time (and this fresh reminder
should by rights herald the demise of the cheery optimism that has
recently overtaken professionalized climate and progressive NGO
spaces):</font><br>
<blockquote><font face="Calibri">§ The Paris Agreement’s goal of
limiting warming to 1.5˚C above the preindustrial average—beyond
which all bets are off for the survival of enormous swathes of
humanity, largely in the Global South—is all but dead. The
planet is now likely to cross that threshold in the early 2030s.</font><br>
<br>
<font face="Calibri">§ Some parts of the world are rapidly
approaching, or have already reached, the “limits of adaptation”
(see: rising sea levels, desertification, and extreme heat
intolerable to the human body). With every additional increment
of warming, the task of adaptation gets harder and costlier, if
not impossible.</font><br>
<br>
<font face="Calibri">§ Our only chance at stabilizing the climate
this century requires deep and rapid decarbonization, which
entails not only the accelerated build-out of renewable energy
but the immediate end of all new fossil-fuel development.
Indeed, even capping coal, oil, and gas operations at existing
levels will blow through the “carbon budget” for limiting the
planet’s warming to 1.5˚C—or even 2˚C.</font><br>
</blockquote>
<font face="Calibri">- - </font><br>
<font face="Calibri">Guterres calls the report “a how-to guide to
defuse the climate time bomb.” But it isn’t really. That’s because
the IPCC says nothing (and never has) about how to overcome those
“existing barriers.” All we’re told is that—ready?—“political
commitment” will be required.</font><br>
<br>
<font face="Calibri">The apparently unspeakable truth, for both the
IPCC and mainstream journalists, is the necessity of something
like a near-term political revolution to topple those barriers.
Yet there’s an utter lack of anything remotely resembling the kind
of mass political movement capable of bringing it about. The
present risk-averse climate movement certainly isn’t; nor is
anything else on the left. Even well-informed progressives are
more inclined to toil away at incrementalist politics-as-usual—or
fantasize about far-off technological breakthroughs (nuclear
fusion!)—than face up to the kind of radical “political
commitment” that’s necessary. To call 1.5˚C or 2˚C “feasible” in
the face of these realities is simply magical thinking...</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">- -</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">A true reckoning with the radical implications
of climate science—that nothing short of political revolution will
prevent what amounts to genocide for large, mostly dark-skinned
portions of humanity—has yet to come. And yet, in one form or
another, a reckoning will come: everywhere, and all at once.</font><br>
<font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.thenation.com/article/environment/ipcc-report-climate-optimism/">https://www.thenation.com/article/environment/ipcc-report-climate-optimism/</a></font>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></p>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></p>
<font face="Calibri"><i>[ pay attention to Noam Chomsky - video ]</i><br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><b>"Evil doesn’t begin to approach it" -
Noam Chomsky speaks live on the Climate Crisis and Resistance</b><br>
Just Stop Oil<br>
6.42K subscribers<br>
Streamed live on Apr 23, 2022 #juststopoil #climatecrisis
#globalwarming<br>
"I don't know what word in the language—I can’t find one—that
applies to people of that kind, who are willing to sacrifice the
existence of organized human life, not in the distant future, so
they can put a few more dollars in highly overstuffed pockets. The
word “evil” doesn’t begin to approach it." - Noam Chomsky<br>
<br>
Professor Noam Chomsky needs no introduction, he is arguably the
world’s leading public intellectual. The Climate Crisis needs no
introduction, it is unarguably the greatest act of injustice in
human history. Noam will talk about resistance because the time
for talking is over.<br>
<br>
The world's top climate scientist, James Hanson, former head of
NASA, recently said the idea of staying under 1.5C is
“unadulterated bullshit”. Britain’s former top government science
advisor, Sir David King has said “We have to act quickly. What we
do in the next three to four years will determine the future of
humanity”. That’s polite elite speak for billions of people will
die of starvation so that the rich can keep their power. <br>
<br>
Share this historic event in your networks.<br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BdY4ImvU-3s">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BdY4ImvU-3s</a><br>
</font>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></p>
<p><i><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></i></p>
<i><font face="Calibri">[ some important science ]</font></i><br>
<font face="Calibri"><b>Potent Greenhouse Gases and Ozone Depleting
Chemicals Called CFCs Are Back on the Rise Following an
International Ban, a New Study Finds</b><br>
A U.S. chemical plant in Louisiana that produces a common
refrigerant may be partly to blame for increased emissions of
CFCs—chemicals thousands of times more potent at warming the
planet than carbon dioxide.<br>
By Phil McKenna<br>
April 3, 2023</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">At current levels, the increasing CFC emissions
will have little impact on the ongoing recovery of the atmospheric
ozone layer, which protects the planet from harmful ultraviolet
radiation. The ozone hole over Antarctica is on track to be fully
restored by 2066.<br>
<br>
However, the chemicals’ climate impact may be of greater concern.
Emissions of the five chemicals–CFC-13, CFC-112a, CFC-113a,
CFC-114a and CFC-115—equaled 47 million metric tons of carbon
dioxide emissions in 2020 alone, according to the study. That is
equal to the annual greenhouse gas emissions from 10 million cars
or 13 coal-fired power plants, according to the EPA’s greenhouse
gas equivalency calculator.<br>
<br>
“Any delay to Antarctic ozone hole recovery will only be very
small, but they are still quite potent greenhouse gases,” said the
study’s lead author, Luke Western, a researcher at the University
of Bristol in the United Kingdom and the National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration in the U.S.<br>
<br>
The five CFCs that were monitored in the current study are
thousands of times more effective at warming the atmosphere than
carbon dioxide on a pound for pound basis. However, their
atmospheric concentrations are quite low compared to CO2, the
primary driver of climate change.<br>
<br>
Total annual emissions for all CFCs are down by approximately 95
percent from their peak in the late 1980s, when countries first
began a mandatory phase out of their production and use under the
Montreal Protocol, Western said. <br>
<br>
If the sources of ongoing CFC emissions can be found and
eliminated, it could have a significant impact on greenhouse gas
emissions reductions in the near term while countries continue to
work on the larger challenge of reducing emissions of carbon
dioxide and other greenhouse gases, Western said.<br>
<br>
“It has the potential to be an easy win,” he said.<br>
<br>
Three of the five pollutants—CFC-113a, CFC-114a and CFC-115—are
unwanted byproducts formed during the production of HFC-125, and
“may account for at least some of the observed emissions,” Western
and colleagues wrote in the study. HFC-125 is one of two
ingredients in R-410A, a widely used chemical refrigerant for air
conditioners. <br>
</font><font face="Calibri">- -<br>
</font><font face="Calibri">Any CFC emissions from HFC production in
the U.S. should begin to decline sometime over the next decade.
The U.S. and other developed countries must reduce HFC production
and use by 85 percent by 2036 under a recent update to the
Montreal Protocol. China and other developing countries are
required to reduce HFCs by 80 percent by 2045. <br>
<br>
But before HFC production decreases, it will likely continue to
increase, Western said. “For the next decade, we’ll likely still
see an increase in production of HFCs or many HFCs at least,” he
said.<br>
<br>
Stephen Andersen, director of research at the Institute for
Governance and Sustainable Development, said that countries should
accelerate the phase down of HFCs as the chemicals are potent
greenhouse gases in their own right and their breakdown can result
in the formation of “forever chemicals.” At the same time,
Andersen said the Montreal Protocol should tighten or eliminate
current exemptions for things like CFC emissions from HFC
production.<br>
<br>
As a party to the Montreal Protocol, the U.S. government could
play a key role in eliminating remaining exemptions for CFC
emissions, Andersen said.<br>
<br>
“Everyone knows how to do this,” Andersen said. “They’re just not
motivated enough to do it.”<br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://insideclimatenews.org/news/03042023/cfc-ban-rise/">https://insideclimatenews.org/news/03042023/cfc-ban-rise/</a><br>
</font>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></p>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></p>
<font face="Calibri"><i>[ Tracking famine with a new website ]</i><br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><b>Monitoring & forecasting acute
food insecurity</b><br>
The Famine Early Warning Systems Network (FEWS NET) is a leading
provider of early warning and analysis on acute food insecurity
around the world.</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">Acute Food Insecurity Area Classification<br>
February - May 2023 Near Term Projection<br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://fews.net/">https://fews.net/</a><br>
</font>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></p>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font> </p>
<font face="Calibri"> <i>[ Antarctic warming - video of research
paper ]</i><br>
<b>Antarctic Ice Sheet Melt and Abyssal Ocean Warming Slows
Southern Overturning Circulation and AMOC</b><br>
Paul Beckwith<br>
Apr 1, 2023<br>
Please donate to <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://PaulBeckwith.net">http://PaulBeckwith.net</a> to support my research
and videos as I connect the dots on abrupt climate system change.
<br>
<br>
A landmark peer reviewed scientific paper on Antarctica was just
released a few days ago. <br>
<br>
This paper clearly shows that Antarctic Ice Sheet Melt is
accelerating, the warming ocean abyssal water (below 4,000 meters
depth) is accelerating, the Southern Overturning Circulation (SOC)
off the coasts of Antarctica will reduced by 42% in the next 26-27
years (by 2050), also causing the northern hemisphere Atlantic
Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) to slow by 19%.<br>
<br>
Normally, changes in the ocean current overturning like this take
about 1000 years to occur, certainly not in 26.75 years. There are
enormous consequences to humanity with this ocean current
rewiring:<br>
</font>
<blockquote><font face="Calibri">1) Much less heat will be carried
from the surface to the abyss, so ocean warming near the surface
and upper layers and atmospheric warming will greatly increase.
</font><br>
<br>
<font face="Calibri">2) The oceans will become much more
stratified.</font><br>
<br>
<font face="Calibri">3) Less oxygenated surface water will descend
to the abyss, so the deep sea life that requires this oxygen
will die off creating large benthic (bottom) dead zones.</font><br>
<br>
<font face="Calibri">4) Less carbon will be transported from the
surface to the sea floor, so carbon levels in the upper ocean
will increase (worsening ocean acidification) and the ocean
carbon sink will greatly reduce. Thus, CO2 levels in the
atmosphere will rise much faster than they would otherwise.</font><br>
<br>
<font face="Calibri">5) Fewer nutrients from the nutrient rich
deep abyssal water will rise to the surface, so surface
concentrations of phytoplankton will reduce, meaning less
photosynthesis, thus less carbon capture and oxygen production.</font><br>
<br>
<font face="Calibri">6) As this overturning further weakens, we
head towards more anoxic, stagnant, stratified oceans and risk
hydrogen sulphide production and a global extinction event.</font><br>
<br>
<font face="Calibri">7) Changing ocean currents change the
transfer of heat from the equator to the poles, change the
atmospheric circulation patterns, and lead to a more chaotic
weather system, with great increase in frequency, severity,
duration, and extent of extreme weather events in our climate
casino.</font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> </font> </blockquote>
<p><font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RNctfcrJMGc">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RNctfcrJMGc</a></font></p>
<p><font face="Calibri">- -</font></p>
<i><font face="Calibri">[ non-fiction helps with understanding ]</font></i><br>
<font face="Calibri"><b>Under a Green Sky: Global Warming, the Mass
Extinctions of the Past, and What They Can Tell Us About Our
Future</b><br>
by Peter D. Ward | Mar 25, 2008<br>
</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">More than 200 million years ago, a cataclysmic
event known as the Permian extinction destroyed more than 90% of
all species and nearly 97% of all living things. Its origins have
long been a puzzle for paleontologists, and during the 1990s and
the early part of this century a great battle was fought between
those who thought that death had come from above and those who
thought something more complicated was at work.<br>
<br>
Paleontologist Peter D. Ward, fresh from helping prove that an
asteroid had killed the dinosaurs, turned to the Permian problem,
and he has come to a stunning conclusion. In his investigations of
the fates of several groups of mollusks during those extinctions
and others, he discovered that the near-total devastation at the
end of the Permian was caused by rising levels of carbon dioxide
leading to climate change. But it's not the heat (nor the
humidity) that's directly responsible for the extinctions, and the
story of the discovery of what is responsible makes for an
fascinating, globe-spanning adventure.<br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.amazon.com/Under-Green-Sky-Warming-Extinctions/dp/0061137928/ref=sr_1_1">https://www.amazon.com/Under-Green-Sky-Warming-Extinctions/dp/0061137928/ref=sr_1_1</a><br>
</font>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></p>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></p>
<font face="Calibri"><i>[ another book mentioned : Water]</i><br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><b>Water: The Epic Struggle for Wealth,
Power, and Civilization </b><br>
</font><font face="Calibri">Paperback – Illustrated, January 18,
2011<br>
by Steven Solomon (Author)<br>
</font><font face="Calibri">“I read this wide-ranging and thoughtful
book while sitting on the banks of the Ganges near Varanasi—it's a
river already badly polluted, and now threatened by the melting of
the loss of the glaciers at its source to global warming. Four
hundred million people depend on it, and there's no backup plan.
As Steven Solomon makes clear, the same is true the world over;
this volume will give you the background to understand the forces
that will drive much of 21st century history.” —Bill McKibben<br>
<br>
In Water, esteemed journalist Steven Solomon describes a
terrifying—and all too real—world in which access to fresh water
has replaced oil as the primary cause of global conflicts that
increasingly emanate from drought-ridden, overpopulated areas of
the world. Meticulously researched and undeniably prescient, Water
is a stunningly clear-eyed action statement on what Robert F
Kennedy, Jr. calls “the biggest environmental and political
challenge of our time.”<br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.amazon.com/Water-Struggle-Wealth-Power-Civilization/dp/0060548312/ref=sr_1_1">https://www.amazon.com/Water-Struggle-Wealth-Power-Civilization/dp/0060548312/ref=sr_1_1</a></font>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></p>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font> </p>
<font face="Calibri"><i>[The news archive - looking back]</i><br>
<font size="+2"><i><b>April 4, 2002</b></i></font> <br>
April 4, 2002: The New York Times reports:<br>
</font>
<blockquote><font face="Calibri">"President Bush signed an executive
order last year that closely resembles a written recommendation
given to the administration two months earlier by the American
Gas Association, according to documents released by the Bush
administration.</font><br>
<br>
<font face="Calibri">"The executive order called for the creation
of an interagency energy task force to accelerate the time it
takes for government agencies to review corporations'
applications for permits for energy-related projects, like power
plants and the exploration of oil and natural gas on public
lands. Mr. Bush signed the order last May.</font><br>
<br>
<font face="Calibri">"The language in Mr. Bush's executive order
is similar to a passage in a proposed energy bill sent in March
2001 to the Energy Department by officials at the American Gas
Association, the trade group that represents large natural gas
companies and has given more than $500,000 to the Republican
Party since 1999."</font><br>
</blockquote>
<font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://www.nytimes.com/2002/04/04/politics/04ENER.html">http://www.nytimes.com/2002/04/04/politics/04ENER.html</a><br>
<br>
<br>
</font>
<p><font face="Calibri">======================================= <br>
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