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<p> <font size="+2"><font face="Calibri"><i><b>April</b></i></font></font><font
size="+2" face="Calibri"><i><b> 16, 2023</b></i></font><font
face="Calibri"><br>
</font></p>
<font face="Calibri"> </font> <font face="Calibri"><i>[ Opinion -
much bigger changes due]</i> <br>
<b>We're in for a stretch of heavy climate</b><br>
Ominous signs that the next step phase of global warming is
starting;<br>
Bill McKibben<br>
Apr 15. 2023...<br>
</font>Every degree Celsius that we warm the planet means the
atmosphere holds more water vapor; as native Floridian and ace
environmental reporter Dinah Voyles Pulver pointed out, “with
temperatures in the Gulf running 3 to 4 degrees above normal
recently, that's at least 15% more rainfall piled up on top of a
‘normal’ storm.”<br>
<br>
Get ready for far more of it; there are myriad scattered signs that
we’re about to go into a phase of particularly steep climbs in
global temperature. They’re likely to reach impressive new global
records—and that’s certain to produce havoc we’ve not seen before.<br>
<font face="Calibri">- -</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">This week’s Fort Lauderdale rainstorm was, on
the one hand, an utter freak of nature (storms ‘trained’ on the
same small geography for hours on end, dropping 25 inches of rain
in seven hours; the previous record for all of April was 19
inches) and on the other hand utterly predictable. Every degree
Celsius that we warm the planet means the atmosphere holds more
water vapor; as native Floridian and ace environmental reporter
Dinah Voyles Pulver pointed out, “with temperatures in the Gulf
running 3 to 4 degrees above normal recently, that's at least 15%
more rainfall piled up on top of a ‘normal’ storm.”<br>
<br>
Get ready for far more of it; there are myriad scattered signs
that we’re about to go into a phase of particularly steep climbs
in global temperature. They’re likely to reach impressive new
global records—and that’s certain to produce havoc we’ve not seen
before...</font><font face="Calibri"></font><br>
<font face="Calibri">I don’t say all this in the service of despair,
but of preparation. We need to be psychologically prepared for the
fact that, for all we’ve tried to do together, this crisis is
about to worsen. Forewarned is, to some small extent, forearmed. I
suppose some might need to prepare themselves individually too,
though that’s not my focus (Alex Steffen, the futurist, has begun
offering courses on ‘ruggedization,’ which links personal
preparation to community resilience, and defintiely beats buying
out-of-date MREs from your favorite rightwing podcaster).<br>
<br>
But we really need to be prepared politically. Each of these
surges in warming unleashed by the next El Nino comes with new
political possibilities, as people see and feel more clearly our
peril. At the moment, our climate politics, like our climate
itself, is a little stalled. The surge of change that came from
Greta’s school strikes, the Paris accords, the Green New Deal has
waned; we’re in a new stalemate where the oil industry has learned
to rely on delay instead of denial. It often takes them a few
years, but eventually they get good at working the politics—for
the moment, for instance, they’ve got their captive state
treasurers locking banks and asset managers in place with the
charged that worrying about the fiscal implications of the climate
crisis represents ‘woke capitalism.’<br>
<br>
As the next round of savage heatwaves proceeds, it will come with
new pressure for action from our governments and corporations. We
need to be able to channel that pressure effectively, with key
goals in mind: the absolute end to new fossil fuel development and
exploration, the quick weaning from existing supplies of coal and
gas and oil and with it the equally rapid buildout of cleaner
sources of energy, the unwavering support for the places and
people hardest hit. There will be all sorts of emotions; I hope
that the anger people will rightly feel is channeled toward the
corporate and legal destruction of the companies that have lied
for three decades and still represent the largest barrier to
change.<br>
<br>
It’s just the right moment for Not Too Late, a new anthology
compiled by two old friends who are also among the most stalwart
leaders of the climate fight. Rebecca Solnit and Thelma
Young-Latunatabua have managed something important: an alternative
to doomism that isn’t sentimental or treacly, but absolutely
serious. “Hope is not the guarantee that things will be okay,”
Young-Lutunatabua says. “It’s the recognition that there’s
spaciousness for action, that the future is uncertain, and in that
uncertainty, we have space to step into and make the future we
want.” I agree with that—with the caveat that the spaciousness
doesn’t last forever. I have the strong instinct that this El Nino
may be the last of these moments that the earth offers us in a
time frame still relevant to making coherent and savvy
civilization-scale change. We dare not misuse it.<br>
</font><font face="Calibri">- -<br>
</font><font face="Calibri">The rise in sea level seems to be
suddenly accelerating, especially along the southeast U.S.,
according to a fascinating account in the Washington Post.<br>
<br>
This much seems clear: The rapid sea-level rise appears to start
in the Gulf of Mexico, which has been warming far faster than the
global ocean. Warm water naturally expands, causing sea levels to
rise. That warm water also gets carried by currents out of the
gulf and along the East Coast, affecting places such as Georgia
and the Carolinas.<br>
</font><font face="Calibri">- -<br>
</font><font face="Calibri">Meanwhile, here’s the bottom of all
bottom lines: NOAA reports that the atmospheric concentrations of
greenhouse gases spiked sharply again last year. This is what all
our work is about:<br>
</font><font face="Calibri">Levels of carbon dioxide (CO2), methane
and nitrous oxide, the three greenhouse gases emitted by human
activity that are the most significant contributors to climate
change, continued their historically high rates of growth in the
atmosphere during 2022, according to NOAA scientists. </font><br>
<br>
<font face="Calibri">The global surface average for CO2 rose by 2.13
parts per million (ppm) to 417.06 ppm, roughly the same rate
observed during the last decade. Atmospheric CO2 is now 50% higher
than pre-industrial levels. 2022 was the 11th consecutive year CO2
increased by more than 2 ppm, the highest sustained rate of CO2
increases in the 65 years since monitoring began. Prior to 2013,
three consecutive years of CO2 growth of 2 ppm or more had never
been recorded. </font><br>
<font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://open.substack.com/pub/billmckibben/p/were-in-for-a-stretch-of-heavy-climate">https://open.substack.com/pub/billmckibben/p/were-in-for-a-stretch-of-heavy-climate</a><br>
</font>
<p><font face="Calibri"><i>- -</i></font></p>
<font face="Calibri"><i>[ Talking to our children -- save this text
]<br>
</i></font><font face="Calibri"><b>You’re Going To Have To Teach
Your Kids About Climate Change. Here’s How.</b><br>
You want to be honest with children about environmental challenges
like climate change – but also leave them room for hope. Here are
some ways to strike a balance.<br>
By Marie Holmes<br>
Apr 14, 2023</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">“We always think as parents that they don’t
know what we’re talking about, but they actually are hearing what
we’re saying and they’re internalizing those feelings,” Burt told
HuffPost.<br>
<br>
While we don’t want to hide the seriousness of threats like
climate change from our children, we can frame the information in
ways that leave the door open for hope...<br>
</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">HuffPost asked several scientists and
environmental activists who also happen to be parents for tips on
how to talk to kids about these issues...<br>
</font>
<blockquote><font face="Calibri"><b>1. Spend time in nature with
your kids...</b></font><br>
<br>
<font face="Calibri"><b>2. Limit exposure to media coverage of
disasters...</b></font><br>
<br>
<b><font face="Calibri">3. Examine your own feelings...</font></b><br>
<br>
<font face="Calibri"><b>4. Allow them to express their fears and
find ways to take action...</b></font><br>
<br>
<font face="Calibri"><b>5. Learn together about environmental
challenges and potential solutions...</b></font><br>
<br>
<font face="Calibri"><b>6. Offer positive examples...</b></font><br>
<br>
<font face="Calibri"><b>7. Strike a hopeful note...</b></font><br>
<br>
<font face="Calibri"><b>8. Find community...</b></font><br>
</blockquote>
<font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.huffpost.com/entry/how-to-teach-kids-environmental-threats_l_6437034de4b0ac4091893d90">https://www.huffpost.com/entry/how-to-teach-kids-environmental-threats_l_6437034de4b0ac4091893d90</a></font>
<p><font face="Calibri"><i><br>
</i></font></p>
<p><font face="Calibri"><i><br>
</i></font></p>
<font face="Calibri"><i>[ The endless quest for better space -
"Where Can We Go?" -- podcast from the New Republic ]<br>
</i></font><font face="Calibri"><b>In Pursuit of the Climate-Proof
City</b><br>
As extreme weather events drive more people from their homes, the
idea of moving to “safe” places—even before disaster strikes—has
assumed particular urgency.<br>
</font><font face="Calibri">- - <br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><b>Alex Pareene: </b>For anyone
familiar with the town, the idea of Duluth as a place to escape to
rather than from is a bit surreal. Bob Dylan spent his earliest
years there. Here’s what he remembers about his hometown: “The
violent storms that always seemed to be coming straight at you and
merciless howling winds off the big black mysterious lake with
treacherous ten-foot waves.”<br>
</font><font face="Calibri">- -</font><br>
<font face="Calibri"><b>Debra: </b>Choosing to move right now
because of climate change is a privilege. It’s people who have the
privilege to be able to do so both financially based on the fact
that they have education and jobs that are portable, based on the
fact that they have support systems that they can either take with
them or they don’t rely upon so they can move. If you’re a single
mom and you rely on family nearby to watch your children, you
can’t pick up and move across the country because you’re not going
to have that. There is a lot of privilege inherent with the
ability to move, and the people I spoke to who’ve done it are very
aware of that as well. There’s also this concern that nobody wants
to come into a place that they’re choosing to go to as a refuge
and then be a gentrifier. Nobody wants to have that role, but it’s
unavoidable if you’re coming in from an economy where your
finances go a lot further. There’s a lot of complicated ethical
and moral pieces to this.<br>
</font><font face="Calibri">- -</font><br>
<font face="Calibri"><b>Debra:</b> It’s starting. It’s not at the
point that I personally think it should be based on the
irrefutable evidence that we have that climate change is happening
and it’s getting more extreme, but you are absolutely seeing it.
For example, in California, you can now find that it’s impossible
to get wildfire insurance in places where you used to be able to
get it. And then you have stories like Kim Kardashian and other
celebrities hiring their own firefighters during wildfires—because
they simply have the resources to take care of the problem
themselves—when you have homeowners who will either lose their
homes or they’ll have to pick up and move to get out of an area of
danger. You also have insights on Zillow or realtor.com
now—there’s flood risk ratings and other climate change ratings
that appear on home listings, a new thing that didn’t exist until
a few years ago. Whether or not buyers are aware of or are looking
at it, I don’t know, because the fastest selling areas of the
country are still the ones that are most at risk. It’s the coast,
it’s the warm areas, also the places where home prices are the
highest because people are either not aware of it or they don’t
want to see it. But it’s there. The risk is there. It’s playing
into the financial decisions that banks and lenders are making,
but very slowly...</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">- -</font><br>
<font face="Calibri"><b>Jake Bittle: </b>Disasters are already
displacing hundreds of thousands or millions of people for any
length of time each year. Most of those people do end up making it
back home. But if even a few tens of thousands per year don’t end
up making it back to the same places that they lived before, then
you’re talking about, in the single to double digit, millions by
the mid-century. Most of those movements are over relatively short
geographic distances. Even when they’re permanent, they’re still
moving 10 to 15 miles within the same city or within the same
metropolitan area, but I think that by the middle of the century,
you’re going to see more of those movements starting to be longer
distances. It starts to add up. And it doesn’t look like one
coherent movement or march northward, but it’s a lot of people,
and there’s this just element of instability that I think becomes
chronic for people who live in areas that are perennially prone to
disasters...<br>
</font><font face="Calibri">- -<br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><b>Jake: </b>For the most part, climate
change is usually the main factor in so many people leaving a
certain place if they lose their home or if it gets too expensive
to live there because there’s not enough housing because it got
destroyed in a fire. Where people end up right now doesn’t seem to
be predominantly influenced by considerations of climate change.
In fact, it looks like people just started to mimic the existing
trends of migration that are independent of climate change. We
have a lot of movement into Sunbelt states. People want to live in
places like Dallas, Atlanta. And so people from the most
vulnerable areas like coastal Louisiana, California, when they get
displaced by climate change, they just merge onto the highway of
existing migration trends. If the South becomes much less
hospitable because of extreme heat—which is like a chronic
problem, it’s not just like once every 10 years—then maybe those
places start to look a lot less appealing...<br>
</font><br>
<font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://newrepublic.com/article/171759/pursuit-climate-proof-city?utm_source=newsletter&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=tnr_weekly">https://newrepublic.com/article/171759/pursuit-climate-proof-city?utm_source=newsletter&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=tnr_weekly</a></font>
<p><font face="Calibri"><i><br>
</i></font></p>
<p><font face="Calibri"><i><br>
</i></font></p>
<font face="Calibri"> <i>[( how to face the changes to our planet
)]</i><br>
<b>Spanish woman emerges after spending 500 days living alone in
cave</b><br>
Beatriz Flamini says she endured swarms of flies, read 60 books
and never missed the sunlight<br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/apr/14/spanish-woman-emerges-after-spending-500-days-living-alone-in-cave">https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/apr/14/spanish-woman-emerges-after-spending-500-days-living-alone-in-cave</a></font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> </font>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></p>
<br>
<font face="Calibri"> <i>[ Explorer Prof. Peter Ward and Nautilus
]</i></font><br>
<font face="Calibri"><b>He's studied these ‘living fossils’ for over
50 years. They’re still a bit of a mystery</b></font><br>
<font face="Calibri">Kim Malcolm</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">John O'Brien</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">April 14, 2023... <br>
</font><font face="Calibri">- -<br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><b>Ward shared specific concerns about
humanity's future.</b></font><br>
<br>
<font face="Calibri">I think the runaway greenhouse is going to
continue. Rising sea level is the greatest threat because it very
quickly causes fertile land to become salinated. Most rice is
grown at very, very low elevations. You just raise the sea level
by two meters and a huge percentage of current rice crops are
going to disappear. People get hungry, they get cranky, and they
get warlike. This is my greatest fear.</font><br>
<br>
<font face="Calibri">Humans, we can build what we need to survive.
We as a species are not going to be killed by climate change.
One-hundred years from now, 200 years from now, if there are still
nuclear weapons, which there probably will be, then we could see
the extinction of humans, but the climate itself won't kill us. So
I guess that's optimism and pessimism in the same point.</font><br>
<br>
<font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://kuow.org/stories/he-s-studied-these-living-fossils-for-over-50-years-they-re-still-a-bit-of-a-mystery">https://kuow.org/stories/he-s-studied-these-living-fossils-for-over-50-years-they-re-still-a-bit-of-a-mystery</a></font><br>
<font face="Calibri"></font>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></p>
<p><font face="Calibri"> </font></p>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></p>
<font face="Calibri"><i>[ interview ]</i></font><br>
<b><font face="Calibri">Kim Stanley Robinson: "Climate, Fiction, and
The Future" | The Great Simplification #66</font></b><br>
<font face="Calibri">Nate Hagens</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">3,661 views Apr 12, 2023 The Great
Simplification - with Nate Hagens</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">Show Summary:</font><br>
<blockquote><font face="Calibri">On this episode, Nate is joined by
climate science fiction author Kim Stanley Robinson to discuss
how he contributes to the discussion of climate and pro-social
change-making through writing. There have been many calls to
improve the communication of scientists to the general public in
hopes it will help people understand the severity of the various
global threats we face. A key component to such communication
comes from art and literature. Even further, the humanities help
us think about the type of future and culture we want to have
given the information that science brings us. How can we
incorporate fiction into our set of tools to bring more people
into awareness of the pressing systemic dynamics underpinning
global events?</font><br>
</blockquote>
<font face="Calibri">About Kim Stanley Robinson:</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">Kim Stanley Robinson is an American science
fiction writer. He is the author of about twenty books, including
the internationally bestselling Mars trilogy, and more recently
Red Moon, New York 2140, and The Ministry for the Future. He was
part of the U.S. National Science Foundation’s Antarctic Artists
and Writers’ Program in 1995 and 2016, and a featured speaker at
COP-26 in Glasgow, as a guest of the UK government and the UN. His
work has been translated into 28 languages, and won awards
including the Hugo, Nebula, and World Fantasy awards. In 2016
asteroid 72432 was named “Kimrobinson.”</font><br>
<font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://youtu.be/Xc53KPv7flk">https://youtu.be/Xc53KPv7flk</a><br>
</font>
<p><font face="Calibri">--- --<br>
<br>
<b>The Enhancement and Standardization of Climate-Related
Disclosures for Investors</b><br>
(Letter)<br>
Tim Malloch writes to the Securities and Exchange Commission in
response to consultation on the proposed rules for
climate-related standard disclosures for investors. He proposes
that central banks should move from their current positions as
observers and intervene to introduce a carbon coin.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://globalcarbonreward.org/newsletters/carbon-coin/">https://globalcarbonreward.org/newsletters/carbon-coin/</a><br>
</font></p>
<p><font face="Calibri"></font></p>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></p>
<font face="Calibri"> <br>
<i>[The news archive - looking back]</i><br>
<font size="+2"><i><b>April 16, 2008</b></i></font> <br>
April 16, 2008: President George W. Bush delivers a widely panned
Rose Garden speech on carbon pollution.<br>
<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=89713249">http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=89713249</a><br>
<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.c-span.org/video/?204885-1/global-climate-change">https://www.c-span.org/video/?204885-1/global-climate-change</a>
<br>
<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/04/16/AR2008041603084.html">http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/04/16/AR2008041603084.html</a><br>
<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://youtu.be/yg5Z62Gzc4I">http://youtu.be/yg5Z62Gzc4I</a>
(Fox's spin, er, coverage)<br>
<br>
<br>
</font>
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