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<font size="+2"><font face="Calibri"><i><b>May</b></i></font></font><font
size="+2" face="Calibri"><i><b> 6, 2023</b></i></font><font
face="Calibri"><br>
</font> <font face="Calibri"> </font> <br>
<i>[ what's in store for 2024 - explained in 15 min video ]</i><br>
<b>What El Niño Will do to Earth in 2024</b><br>
May 5, 2023 #elnino #lanina #astrum<br>
The La Niña and El Niño Southern Oscillation<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mggRl80WzbE">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mggRl80WzbE</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
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<i>[ Universities shut down ]</i><br>
<b>Students occupy schools and universities across Europe in climate
protest</b><br>
Twenty-two institutions have been shut down as part of proposed
month-long campaign<br>
Damien Gayle<br>
@damiengayle<br>
Fri 5 May 2023<br>
A wave of student occupations has shut down schools and universities
across Europe as part of a renewed youth protest campaign against
inaction on climate breakdown. Twenty-two schools and universities
across the continent have been occupied as part of a proposed
month-long campaign.<br>
<br>
In Germany, universities were occupied in Wolfenbüttel, Magdeburg,
Münster, Bielefeld, Regensburg, Bremen and Berlin. In Spain,
students in occupation at the Autonomous University of Barcelona
organised teach-outs on the climate crisis. In Belgium, 40 students
occupied the University of Ghent. In the Czech Republic, about 100
students camped outside the ministry of trade and industry. In the
UK occupations were under way at the universities of Leeds, Exeter
and Falmouth.<br>
- -<br>
The blockades and occupations are part of an extended campaign under
the banner “End Fossil: Occupy!”, which aims to build on and
escalate the youth climate strike movement that was previously at
its strongest during 2019’s mass climate mobilisations.<br>
<br>
A statement by the campaign read: “End Fossil: Occupy! is
radicalising the youth climate movement in tactics and demands.
Occupations instead of strikes. End the fossil economy instead of
‘listen to the science’. End Fossil: Occupy! is reigniting the fire
of the youth climate movement last seen in 2019.”<br>
- -<br>
“We start as students occupying schools and universities, but we
need all of society to take radical action with us to end fossil
[fuels],” the campaign said. “Only with as a mass movement that
involves all of society taking responsibility to stop the fossil
fuel era can we truly change the system.<br>
<br>
“Anyone from any part of the world who wants to organise local
school or university occupations is very welcome to do so, as long
as they agree to participate to achieve our core demand and follow
our three principles: youth-led occupation, climate justice
framework for the demands, and occupy until you win.”<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/may/05/students-occupy-schools-universities-europe-climate-protest">https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/may/05/students-occupy-schools-universities-europe-climate-protest</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[ recent talk on how ice melts and oceans rise ]</i><br>
<font face="Calibri"><b>Sea Level Rise Seminar, 2023-03-14: Nicole
Schlegel</b><br>
</font><font face="Calibri">NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies<br>
Mar 20, 2023 Sea Level Rise Seminars<br>
Sea Level Rise Seminar, 2023-03-14<br>
Speaker: Nicole Schlegel (JPL, Caltech) <br>
<br>
<b>Title: Attributing pieces of the pie: detangling uncertainty
in ice-sheet model projections</b><br>
</font>
<blockquote><font face="Calibri"><b>Abstract:</b> Numerical ice
sheet models are invaluable tools for bounding Antarctica's
response to ocean and atmospheric change. However, model-based
continental-scale projections of Antarctica’s grounding line
evolution remain largely uncertain, as estimates of sea-level
contribution can vary by up to an order of magnitude. This is
partly due to the fact that model projections strongly depend on
the model's boundary conditions and climate forcing. Here, we
aim to improve the understanding of how variations in model
forcing and boundary conditions affect ice sheet model
simulations. In this talk, I discuss how we do so, by taking
advantage of JPL's Ice-sheet and Sea-level System Model (ISSM)
and various uncertainty quantification methods available through
the ISSM framework, to detangle and compare sources of model
uncertainty in century-scale simulations of the Antarctic Ice
Sheet evolution. Our experiments suggest that Antarctica’s most
dynamic glaciers exhibit threshold responses to increased ocean
melt, and the thresholds for regional collapse appear to be
strongly dependent on the characteristics of bathymetric
features inland of the current grounding line. I discuss
ongoing efforts to identify the most influential bedrock
features and to quantify how bedrock error propagates as
uncertainty in simulated Antarctic sea-level projections. This
includes an overview of our efforts to use model experiments to
constrain the resolution of bedrock topography needed to more
accurately predict the probability of key glaciers exceeding
their thresholds for collapse in the near future.</font><br>
</blockquote>
<font face="Calibri"> </font> <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oxuy_iIgELM">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oxuy_iIgELM</a><br>
<p><font face="Calibri">- -</font></p>
<font face="Calibri"><i>[ YouTube channel archives 90 recent video
lessons ]</i><br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><b>Sea Level Rise Seminars</b><br>
NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies<br>
</font><font face="Calibri">Visualizations created by the GSFC
Scientific Visualization Studio and other NASA offices related to
research at the Goddard Institute for Space Studies.<br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLpMmnV3HS7r1zEsdKRnKOpmhy7vaB2Bz1">https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLpMmnV3HS7r1zEsdKRnKOpmhy7vaB2Bz1</a><br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.youtube.com/@NASAGISStv">https://www.youtube.com/@NASAGISStv</a><br>
</font><br>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font> </p>
<br>
<font face="Calibri"> <i>[ question before a media physicist ]</i></font><br>
<font face="Calibri"><b>Human Extinction: What Are the Risks?</b><br>
Sabine Hossenfelder<br>
339,482 views Dec 31, 2022 #science<br>
<br>
Correction to what I say at 11 mins 50 seconds: A super-volcano
eruption ejects more than 1000 cubic kilometers of matter (not
1000 cubic meters). Sorry about that!<br>
<br>
What do we know about the risks of human going extinct? In today's
video I collect what we know about the frequency of natural
disasters and just how they would kill us, and estimates for
man-made disasters. <br>
<br>
👉 Transcript and References on Patreon ➜ <a
class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.patreon.com/Sabine">https://www.patreon.com/Sabine</a><br>
📖 Check out my new book "Existential Physics" ➜ <a
class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://existentialphysics.com/">http://existentialphysics.com/</a><br>
</font>
<blockquote><font face="Calibri">00:00 Intro</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">00:30 What Is an Existential Risk?</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">02:00 Would Extinction be Bad?</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">04:18 Man-made Disasters</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">10:36 What's The Risk of Man-made Disasters?</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">11:35 Natural Disasters</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">13:38 What's the Risk of Natural Disasters?</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">16:55 Why Can't the LHC Produce Black Holes?</font><br>
</blockquote>
<font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nQVgt5eFMh4">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nQVgt5eFMh4</a></font>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font> </p>
<font face="Calibri"> <br>
<i>[The news archive - looking back at Christine Todd Whitman and
how GW Bush fumbles the topic ]</i><br>
<font size="+2"><i><b>May 6, 2001</b></i></font> <br>
May 6, 2001: The New York Times reports on EPA Administrator
Christine Todd Whitman's persona-non-grata status in the George W.
Bush administration:<br>
<br>
"Mrs. Whitman was greeted like a political star when she arrived
here several months ago to run the Environmental Protection
Agency. Not a single senator, not even her Democratic rivals,
opposed her appointment. <br>
<br>
"But no sooner had the former New Jersey governor unpacked her
bags than she found her authority undercut by the very man who had
lured her to Washington, George W. Bush.<br>
<br>
"The most recent snub occurred when the White House openly
contradicted a claim she made on national television two weeks ago
that the administration might back away from its plans to open up
the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge to oil drilling amid growing
opposition in Congress.<br>
<br>
"Only weeks earlier, Mrs. Whitman declared that Mr. Bush intended
to fulfill a campaign pledge to lower carbon dioxide emissions
from power plants -- only to find that the president had decided
against that policy without so much as telling his chief
environmental overseer.<br>
<br>
"So it is not surprising that the public embarrassments Mrs.
Whitman has had to endure at the hands of her new boss are giving
rise to questions about her ability to lead the environmental
agency, though she and the White House insist that there is no
strife and that she is an important voice in the administration...<br>
<br>
"The recent setbacks also threaten to undermine the credibility of
Mrs. Whitman, a politician whose plain-spoken manner and seemingly
moderate political views had made her one of the nation's most
prominent governors and at one point a potential vice presidential
candidate.<br>
<br>
"Indeed, Mrs. Whitman's nomination to head the environmental
agency cheered many people on the left -- despite her mixed record
on the environment in New Jersey -- who were wary of the
conservative Republican crowd that had moved into the White House.
But those very same people are no longer so optimistic that her
voice will be heard within the new administration."<br>
<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://www.nytimes.com/2001/05/06/nyregion/hitting-ground-limping-for-whitman-chaos-her-wake-sharp-elbows-her-future.html?pagewanted=all">http://www.nytimes.com/2001/05/06/nyregion/hitting-ground-limping-for-whitman-chaos-her-wake-sharp-elbows-her-future.html?pagewanted=all</a><br>
<br>
<br>
</font>
<p><font face="Calibri">======================================= <br>
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