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<font size="+2"><font face="Calibri"><i><b>May</b></i></font></font><font
size="+2" face="Calibri"><i><b> 17, 2023</b></i></font><font
face="Calibri"><br>
</font> <font face="Calibri"> </font> <br>
<font face="Calibri"><i>[ first study to focus on wildfires -
“angering,” but not surprising ...] </i><br>
</font> <font face="Calibri"><b>Oil companies’ carbon led to vast
wildfire damage, researchers find</b><br>
By Chelsea Harvey | 05/16/2023 <br>
</font><font face="Calibri">The world’s top corporate carbon
emitters are responsible for more than a third of the area burned
by wildfires in the western United States and southwestern Canada
since the 1980s, a new study says.<br>
<br>
The analysis, published Tuesday in the journal Environmental
Research Letters, focuses on the top 88 fossil fuel producers and
cement manufacturers, from which a majority of the world’s
greenhouse gas emissions originate. It’s a kind of climate
attribution study that connects rising temperatures with worsening
wildfires and the source of the emissions that have spurred them.<br>
<br>
“We know that wildfires in western North America are growing worse
due to climate change,” said study co-author Carly Phillips, a
research scientist at the Union for Concerned Scientists’ Science
Hub for Climate Litigation. “And we also know, based on previous
research, that emissions from these top 88 carbon producers have
contributed a significant amount to global temperature increase.
And so we wanted to kind of combine those two lines of inquiry to
be able to put a spotlight on the fossil fuel industry’s role in
driving the wildfires.”<br>
<br>
The study began by looking at changes in vapor pressure deficit —
a measurement of the dryness of the air — in western North America
over the last century. The region has dried as temperatures have
risen, and multiple studies have linked the drying with a rising
risk of wildfires. There’s simply more dry fuel available to burn.<br>
<br>
The study next used a combination of observations and climate
models to parse out the relationship between rising global
temperatures and increasing vapor pressure deficit over the years.
It also tracked the amount of area burned by wildfires across
western North America over the same time period.<br>
<br>
Finally, the researchers used models to assess the responsibility
attributed to the world’s top emitters. They did so by running two
sets of simulations.<br>
<br>
In the first, they modeled the world as it actually exists,
including all the carbon emissions that have historically been
released into the atmosphere. In the second, they erased all the
emissions associated with the 88 companies. This allowed them to
assess how the West’s wildfire history would have been different
without them.<br>
<br>
They found that emissions traced to these 88 companies are
responsible for about half the increase in vapor pressure deficit
— the dryness indicator — that the region has experienced since
1901. They also found that these emissions are responsible for
about 37 percent of the area burned by wildfires in the western
United States and southwestern Canada since 1986.<br>
<br>
“The emissions coming from the companies are large, so it makes
sense that their contributions to these phenomena would be large
too,” Phillips said.<br>
<br>
The findings were “angering,” but not surprising, she said.<br>
<br>
The American Petroleum Institute, an industry group representing
fossil fuel companies, disputed the study and said its authors
have a “clear agenda.”<br>
<br>
“America’s oil and natural gas industry is focused on delivering
affordable, reliable energy while reducing emissions,” said
Christina Noel, an API spokesperson.<br>
<br>
Yet the world’s top fossil fuel companies are historically
responsible for a large share of the greenhouse gas emissions that
have warmed the planet over the last century.<br>
<br>
Emissions data associated with the largest fossil fuel producers
is the work of a scientist named Richard Heede. Heede spent years
compiling a database tracking the companies responsible for
putting the most carbon into the atmosphere. Top producers include
companies like Saudi Arabian Oil Co., Exxon Mobil Corp., Chevron
Corp. and BP PLC.<br>
<br>
Nearly 10 years ago, Heede concluded that 90 companies were
responsible for about two-thirds of the world’s carbon dioxide and
methane emissions.<br>
<br>
That number has since been changed to 88, due to mergers and
acquisitions, Phillips said.<br>
<br>
It’s not the first study to link climate impacts with the world’s
top emitters. Other studies have quantified the role of the same
88 companies in overall global warming and sea-level rise, as well
as ocean acidification. One study found that these carbon
producers are responsible for as much as half the historical rise
in global temperatures.<br>
<br>
This is the first study to focus on wildfires.<br>
<br>
Such studies can potentially be used in climate litigation,
Phillips suggested.<br>
<br>
Hundreds of climate-related lawsuits have been filed globally,
including plaintiffs suing their governments for failing to act on
climate change and others who sued fossil fuel companies for
contributing to global warming. Legal experts have noted that
attribution studies — which investigate the role of climate change
in extreme weather events and disasters — could bolster these
kinds of cases.<br>
<br>
“We know that there are lots of lawsuits against fossil fuel
actors right now that are citing attribution science as evidence
of the impact of these companies’ products,” Phillips said. “So
this really adds to that body of work that can be used to inform
those cases.”<br>
</font><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.eenews.net/articles/oil-companies-carbon-led-to-vast-wildfire-damage-researchers-find/">https://www.eenews.net/articles/oil-companies-carbon-led-to-vast-wildfire-damage-researchers-find/</a><br>
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</font></p>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font> </p>
<font face="Calibri"><i>[ Local materials. TED talk ]</i></font><br>
<font face="Calibri"><b>How to build a resilient future using
ancient wisdom</b><br>
Julia Watson • TED2020</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">In her global exploration of Indigenous design
systems, architect Julia Watson researches enduring innovations
that could help us counter the challenges of climate change. From
floating villages to living root bridges that strengthen over
time, Watson introduces us to some of these resilient solutions --
and shows how they can teach us to design with nature, instead of
against it.<br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.ted.com/talks/julia_watson_how_to_build_a_resilient_future_using_ancient_wisdom?user_email_address=080c272b1bf03ff4404fd3dd32129aab">https://www.ted.com/talks/julia_watson_how_to_build_a_resilient_future_using_ancient_wisdom?user_email_address=080c272b1bf03ff4404fd3dd32129aab</a><br>
</font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> <br>
</font>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font> </p>
<font face="Calibri"> <i>[ plausible, of no surprise ]</i></font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> </font> <font face="Calibri"><b>CLIMATE
CHANGE LINKED TO INCREASED PIRATE ATTACKS</b><br>
FISHERMEN ARE PIVOTING TO PIRACY AS THE SEAS HEAT UP<br>
</font><font face="Calibri">by SHARON ADARLO<br>
May 14, 2023<br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><b>Jolly Roger</b><br>
Climate change isn't just causing weird weather patterns, like
stronger storms or flood surges wreaking havoc on coastal
communities and infrastructure. Apparently, scientists say, we can
also blame it for — we shit you not — an increase in pirate
attacks in the waters off East Africa.<br>
<br>
It's not quite as wild as it sounds. As the ocean off East Africa
experiences warmer surface temperatures, fish stocks have
suffered, and the resulting economic destabilization has led to
increased piracy in the area, as detailed in a new paper in the
journal Weather, Climate and Society. Strengthening the case, the
same study also analyzed the South China Sea, another piracy
hotspot, and found that increased fish production was correlated
with a decrease in pirate attacks.<br>
<br>
Sound whimsical? On a certain level, sure. But piracy is still a
serious global issue, and the climate even more so — so the fact
that researchers are charting a link between the two should give
anyone pause.<br>
<br>
"In a timeline of roughly 20 years, we’re picking up statistically
significant, measurable differences," study coauthor Gary LaFree,
a professor of criminology at the University of Maryland, told the
Guardian. "I was surprised by how rapidly those changes are
occurring, especially when you think of climate change most likely
accelerating in the future."</font><br>
<br>
<font face="Calibri"><b>Swashbuckers</b><br>
The study looked at about two decades of data and analyzed more
than 2,000 acts of piracy in the two regions.<br>
<br>
Complicating the picture, the researchers also noted that some of
the pirates plying these waters are also fishermen, who live
largely hand to mouth and have the skills and know-how to navigate
the ocean, making them ideal pirates for this new age of maritime
crime.<br>
<br>
"You tend to think either you are a criminal or a non-criminal,"
LaFree told the Guardian. "But there is evidence from other
researchers that some fishermen drift into it, depending on how
fishing is going,"<br>
<br>
All told? It's just one more example of the sometimes bafflingly
complex risks posed by a warming climate — and particularly how
the carbon-spewing developed world is causing myriad problems for
poorer areas that use far fewer fossil fuels.<br>
<br>
"If our arguments are correct, and sea temperatures continue to
rise into the foreseeable future," reads the researchers' paper,
"the struggle against piracy in east Africa will become
increasingly difficult."<br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://futurism.com/the-byte/climate-change-pirate-attacks">https://futurism.com/the-byte/climate-change-pirate-attacks</a></font><br>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></p>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></p>
<font face="Calibri"><i>[ Permafrost in Hawaii -- melting ]</i><br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><b>Scientists race to study Hawaii’s
vanishing permafrost</b><br>
By Chelsea Harvey | 05/15/2023<br>
</font><font face="Calibri">Mauna Kea is the only place in Hawaii
where it’s known to occur — and it’s likely dying out. Surveys
have found the patches are shrinking over time<br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.eenews.net/articles/ee-subscriber-scientists-race-to-study-hawaiis-vanishing-permafrost/">https://www.eenews.net/articles/ee-subscriber-scientists-race-to-study-hawaiis-vanishing-permafrost/</a><br>
</font>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></p>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></p>
<font face="Calibri"><i>[ 1 of 2 video presentation <a
class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://youtu.be/hV91pH8HORo">https://youtu.be/hV91pH8HORo</a>
]</i><br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><b>CACOR: The Big Picture: Beyond Hope
and Fear - Michael Dowd</b><br>
thegreatstory<br>
May 15, 2023<br>
I consider this 52-minute presentation delivered via Zoom on May
3, 2023 to the Canadian Association for the Club of Rome (CACOR)
to be my most important and emotionally supportive video to-date.
DESCRIPTION: No one needs convincing that we are living in an age
of chaos and breakdowns. Even those without benefit of an
ecological understanding of history feel the stress. How do we
cope? How can we escape the seesaw of hope and fear? And,
crucially, how can we be of support to others who are confused,
angry, depressed, or filled with fear, blame, or guilt?<br>
<br>
</font><font face="Calibri">Time-coded table of contents: </font><br>
<font face="Calibri">00:00 - Intro of speaker, Michael Dowd</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">01:24 - Slide program begins</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">01:40 - Description and overview</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">03:00 - Religious naturalism, compost theology
credo</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">04:40 - Denial / adaptive inattention</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">05:57 - Catton and Berry quotes</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">06:47 - How “progress" leads to
collapse/ecocide</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">09:52 - problems vs. predicaments</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">10:00 - Main issue is ecological overshoot, not
climate</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">12:05 - Thesis</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">13:31 - Ophuls vs. Pinker and other progress
acolytes</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">16:40 - The ecocidal cult of perpetual progress</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">18:31 - Collapse & Overshoot in a Nutshell
/ Hopium</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">19:57 - Un-trivializing good & evil /
nuclear meltdowns</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">21:30 - Overshoot - Why “solutions” make things
worse</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">22:54 - 4 main drivers of collapse, ecocide,
likely NTHE</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">23:48 - BREAK</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">24:34 - Great Acceleration / Ongoing and
unstoppable</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">28:15 - Tipping points (thresholds) already
passed</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">30:20 - NASA chart - Last 22K years of
temperature rise</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">31:21 - How denial shows up / Myth of ‘the
Almighty We’</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">32:41 - Four (Deadly Accurate) Metaphors</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">34:02 - BREAK and REVIEW / </font><br>
<font face="Calibri">34:42 - Serenity Prayer / why Acceptance is
vital</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">36:16 - Grief, Jenkinson hope-free / Stages of
Grief</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">39:55 - Assisted migration of trees / helping
forests walk</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">40:55 - It’s NOT too late for… / It IS too late
for…</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">42:10 - Cultivating calm gratitude / Benefits
of acceptance</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">45:45 - Karen & Jordan Perry and Meg
Wheatley PD videos</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">46:18 - What’s wrong with hope? </font><br>
<font face="Calibri">47:50 - Thesis redux / Joseph Brodsky: evil in
the language</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">50:11 - Definitions of doom and post-doom</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">51:30 - Feelings that reveal acceptance or
non-acceptance</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">52:34 - Final note of encouragement /
invitation to watch Q&A</font><br>
<font face="Calibri"><br>
RESOURCES (SCHOLARSHIP on which this program is grounded): <br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://postdoom.com/resources/">https://postdoom.com/resources/</a><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://soundcloud.com/michael-dowd-g">https://soundcloud.com/michael-dowd-g</a>...<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://thegreatstory.org/sustainabil">https://thegreatstory.org/sustainabil</a>...<br>
<br>
CACOR website: <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://canadiancor.com/">https://canadiancor.com/</a></font><br>
<font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hV91pH8HORo">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hV91pH8HORo</a></font><br>
<p><font face="Calibri">- -<br>
</font></p>
<font face="Calibri"><i>[ pt 2 waiting for hospice -- videos ]</i><br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><b>Dowd CACOR Q&A - The Big Picture:
Beyond Hope and Fear</b><br>
thegreatstory<br>
May 15, 2023<br>
This 75-min video is one of the best Q&A sessions I've ever
participated in, largely because of the amazing questions and
commentary from such an educated Canadian Association for the Club
of Rome (CACOR) audience. The questioners brought out the best in
me. One of my closest post doom, no gloom friends and colleagues
(and a mentor), MEG WHEATLEY, responded in such a generous way in
an email the next day that it brought tears to my eyes. She wrote:
"I’ve just listened to the Q&A from yesterday and want to both
appreciate and honor your extraordinarily compassionate honoring
of all questioners, even those who misunderstood or denied your
remarks. I learned a new level of compassion and grace in
listening to your responses. Thank you." 🙏❤️<br>
<br>
</font><font face="Calibri">TIME-CODED TABLE of CONTENTS - video 2
-- Q&A</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">00:20 - Anitra, President of Club of Rome
U.S.A. / PP&T blog</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">03:59 - Gary: Communities of care?</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">05:50 - Steve: AI (Artificial Intelligence) and
human destiny?</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">07:52 - Gordon: predications, uncertainties,
certainties?</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">13:00 - Gordon: ecocentric (sustainable)
civilizations?</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">15:25 - Richard: What IS possible,
constructive, life-giving?</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">18:33 - Raymond: Electrifying society, shift to
‘renewables’?</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">23:35 - Peter: Are we already in hospice? Our
way of life?</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">27:50 - Sally: population, overconsumption,
overshoot?</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">29:54 - Peter: Can societies choose to succeed
or fail?</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">30:57 - Bob: Differences: ours from previous
boom/busts</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">34:00 - Karen: Benefits of collapsing well?
Amends? Chat.</font><br>
<font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ccsBdr7WKmU">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ccsBdr7WKmU</a><br>
</font>
<p><font face="Calibri">- -<br>
</font></p>
<font face="Calibri"><i>[ Eric Michaels blog ]</i><br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><b>Problems, Predicaments, and
Technology</b><br>
This blog covers many different aspects of ecological overshoot
focusing on climate change, pollution loading, and energy and
resource decline. Specific areas of interest also include
anthropocentrism, hubris, cognitive dissonance, and optimism bias.<br>
</font><font face="Calibri">l<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://problemspredicamentsandtechnology.blogspot.com/">https://problemspredicamentsandtechnology.blogspot.com/</a></font>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></p>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></p>
<font face="Calibri"><i>[The news archive - looking back
consciousness conundrum - religion trumps cognitive certainty. ]</i></font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> </font><font face="Calibri"><font size="+2"><i><b>May
17, 2013</b></i></font> </font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> May 17, 2013: Andrew Sullivan points to the
root cause of US climate-change denial:</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">"But the main reason many Americans still
refuse to believe it is religious fundamentalism. That is immune
to science and reason. But it is the bedrock belief of one of our
political parties."</font><br>
<font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://dish.andrewsullivan.com/2013/05/17/settled-among-scientists/">http://dish.andrewsullivan.com/2013/05/17/settled-among-scientists/</a></font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> <br>
<br>
</font>
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