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<font size="+2"><font face="Calibri"><i><b>May</b></i></font></font><font
size="+2" face="Calibri"><i><b> 18, 2023</b></i></font><font
face="Calibri"><br>
</font> <font face="Calibri"> </font> <br>
<font face="Calibri"><i>[ Cough, cough....hey, I live here....
ahem, cough. ] </i><br>
</font> <font face="Calibri"><b>Wildfire smoke from Canada
impacting Seattle skies</b><br>
May 17, 2023</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">Wildfires have been burning in northern Alberta
for over a week. Smoke from those wildfires has now drifted south
and arrived in western Washington, creating hazy skies...<br>
- -<br>
The smoke is above 10,000 feet and not in the lower levels, so
there are no worries about declining air quality...</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">Yet, the smoke is obscuring the mid-May
sunshine to some degree and will help moderate high temperatures a
few degrees from what they could have been. Highs in the Puget
Sound area Wednesday will be around 80 degrees.<br>
<br>
The hazy sunshine will likely continue for the next few days
before a subtle weather pattern changes aloft and moves the smoke
inland.<br>
<br>
This warm dry weather pattern is expected to continue through the
rest of this week.<br>
<br>
The threat of isolated thunderstorms is expected to remain over
the Cascades again late Wednesday.<br>
<br>
Over the coming weekend, stronger low-level airflow from the
Pacific will develop, with daytime temperatures for interior
regions cooling closer to mid-May average temperatures. Readings
are expected to drop into the mid and upper 60s, along with more
marine cloudiness.<br>
<br>
The current early season warm spell has been record-breaking.
Sea-Tac Airport measured four consecutive days with record high
temperatures. Friday, May 12, was 82 degrees, Saturday 86 degrees,
Sunday 89 degrees, and Monday 88 degrees.</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">Monday also had the warmest low temperature for
so early in the year at 63 degrees, breaking the previous daily
record by 8 degrees.<br>
<br>
At this point, no significant rainfall is in sight until early
next week, and if longer-range forecast charts are on track,
perhaps all the way through Memorial Day Weekend.<br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://mynorthwest.com/3889979/wildfire-smoke-from-canada-impacting-seattle-skies/">https://mynorthwest.com/3889979/wildfire-smoke-from-canada-impacting-seattle-skies/</a><br>
</font>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></p>
<p><i><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></i></p>
<i><font face="Calibri">[ So says the NYTimes ]</font></i><br>
<font face="Calibri"><b>Heat Will Likely Soar to Record Levels in
Next 5 Years, New Analysis Says</b><br>
Brad Plumer<br>
By Brad Plumer<br>
May 17, 2023<br>
</font><font face="Calibri">Global temperatures are likely to soar
to record highs over the next five years, driven by human-caused
warming and a climate pattern known as El Niño, forecasters at the
World Meteorological Organization said on Wednesday.<br>
<br>
The record for Earth’s hottest year was set in 2016. There is a 98
percent chance that at least one of the next five years will
exceed that, the forecasters said, while the average from 2023 to
’27 will almost certainly be the warmest for a five-year period
ever recorded.<br>
<br>
“This will have far-reaching repercussions for health, food
security, water management and the environment,” said Petteri
Taalas, the secretary general of the meteorological organization.
“We need to be prepared.”<br>
</font><br>
<font face="Calibri"><b>Why It Matters: Every fraction of a degree
brings new risks.</b><br>
Even small increases in warming can exacerbate the dangers from
heat waves, wildfires, drought and other calamities, scientists
say. Elevated global temperatures in 2021 helped fuel a heat wave
in the Pacific Northwest that shattered local records and killed
hundreds of people.<br>
<br>
El Niño conditions can cause further turmoil by shifting global
precipitation patterns. The meteorological organization said it
expected increased summer rainfall over the next five years in
places like Northern Europe and the Sahel in sub-Saharan Africa
and reduced rainfall in the Amazon and parts of Australia.<br>
</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">The organization reported that there is also a
two thirds chance that one of the next five years could be 1.5
degrees Celsius, or 2.7 degrees Fahrenheit, hotter than the
19th-century average.<br>
<br>
That does not mean that the world will have officially breached
the aspirational goal in the Paris climate agreement of holding
global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius. When scientists talk about
that temperature goal, they generally mean a longer-term average
over, say, two decades in order to root out the influence of
natural variability.<br>
<br>
Many world leaders have insisted on the 1.5-degree limit to keep
the risks of climate change to tolerable levels. But nations have
delayed so long in making the monumental changes necessary to
achieve this goal, such as drastically cutting fossil-fuel
emissions, that scientists now think the world will probably
exceed that threshold around the early 2030s.<br>
<br>
Background: La Niña, a cooling influence, is on the way out.<br>
Global average temperatures have already increased roughly 1.1
degrees Celsius since the 19th century, largely because humans
keep burning fossil fuels and pumping heat-trapping gases like
carbon dioxide into the atmosphere.<br>
<br>
But while that overall upward trend is clear, global temperatures
can bounce up and down a bit from year to year because of natural
variability. For instance, a cyclical phenomenon in the Pacific
Ocean, the El Niño-Southern Oscillation, causes year-to-year
fluctuations by shifting heat in and out of deeper ocean layers.
Global surface temperatures tend to be somewhat cooler during La
Niña years and somewhat hotter during El Niño years.<br>
<br>
The last record hot year, 2016, was an El Niño year. By contrast,
La Niña conditions have dominated for much of the past three
years: while they’ve been unusually warm, they were still slightly
below 2016 levels. Now, scientists are expecting El Niño
conditions to return later this summer. When combined with
steadily rising levels of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, that
will most likely cause temperatures to accelerate to new highs.<br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.nytimes.com/2023/05/17/climate/record-heat-forecast.html">https://www.nytimes.com/2023/05/17/climate/record-heat-forecast.html</a><br>
</font>
<p><font face="Calibri">- -</font></p>
<font face="Calibri"><i>[ Clips from the press release of the World
Meteorological Organization ]</i><br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><b>Global temperatures set to reach new
records in next five years</b><br>
Published 17 May 2023<br>
Press Release Number: 17052023<br>
</font><font face="Calibri">Geneva, 17 May 2023 (WMO) – Global
temperatures are likely to surge to record levels in the next five
years, fuelled by heat-trapping greenhouse gases and a naturally
occurring El Niño event, according to a new update issued by the
World Meteorological Organization (WMO)...</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">- -<br>
</font><font face="Calibri">“A warming El Niño is expected to
develop in the coming months and this will combine with
human-induced climate change to push global temperatures into
uncharted territory,” he said. “This will have far-reaching
repercussions for health, food security, water management and the
environment. We need to be prepared,” said Prof. Taalas.<br>
</font><font face="Calibri">- -<br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><b>Key points</b><br>
</font>
<blockquote><font face="Calibri">--- The average global temperature
in 2022 was about 1.15°C above the 1850-1900 average. The
cooling influence of La Niña conditions over much of the past
three years temporarily reined in the longer-term warming trend.
But La Niña ended in March 2023 and an El Niño is forecast to
develop in the coming months. Typically, El Niño increases
global temperatures in the year after it develops – in this case
this would be 2024.<br>
<br>
</font><font face="Calibri">--- The annual mean global
near-surface temperature for each year between 2023 and 2027 is
predicted to be between 1.1°C and 1.8°C higher than the
1850-1900 average. This is used as a baseline because it was
before the emission of greenhouse gases from human and
industrial activities.<br>
<br>
</font><font face="Calibri">--- There is a 98% chance of at least
one in the next five years beating the temperature record set in
2016, when there was an exceptionally strong El Niño.<br>
<br>
</font><font face="Calibri">--- The chance of the five-year mean
for 2023-2027 being higher than the last five years is also 98%.<br>
<br>
</font><font face="Calibri">--- Arctic warming is
disproportionately high. Compared to the 1991-2020 average, the
temperature anomaly is predicted to be more than three times as
large as the global mean anomaly when averaged over the next
five northern hemisphere extended winters.<br>
<br>
</font><font face="Calibri">--- Predicted precipitation patterns
for the May to September 2023-2027 average, compared to the
1991-2020 average, suggest increased rainfall in the Sahel,
northern Europe, Alaska and northern Siberia, and reduced
rainfall for this season over the Amazon and parts of
Australia...</font><font face="Calibri"><br>
- -</font><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></blockquote>
<font face="Calibri">The World Meteorological Organization is the
United Nations System’s authoritative voice on Weather, Climate
and Water</font><br>
<font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://public.wmo.int/en/media/press-release/global-temperatures-set-reach-new-records-next-five-years">https://public.wmo.int/en/media/press-release/global-temperatures-set-reach-new-records-next-five-years</a><br>
</font>
<p>- -</p>
<i>[ Planning to travel this summer? ]</i><br>
<b>Southern Europe braces for climate change-fuelled summer of
drought</b><br>
By Kate Abnett<br>
Summary<br>
<blockquote>- 22% of Europe under drought warning<br>
- Spain worst-hit, already in severe drought<br>
- Some farmers expect worst harvest for decades<br>
- Climate change fuelling drought conditions<br>
</blockquote>
BRUSSELS, May 17 (Reuters) - Southern Europe is bracing for a summer
of ferocious drought, with some regions already suffering water
shortages and farmers expecting their worst yields in decades.<br>
<br>
As climate change makes the region hotter and drier, years of
consecutive drought have depleted groundwater reserves. Soils have
become bone dry in Spain and southern France. Low river and
reservoir levels are threatening this summer's hydropower
production.<br>
With temperatures climbing into summertime, scientists warn Europe
is on track for another brutal summer, after suffering its hottest
on record last year – which fuelled a drought European Union
researchers said was the worst in at least 500 years.<br>
<br>
So far this year, the situation is most severe in Spain.<br>
<br>
"The situation of drought is going to worsen this summer," said
Jorge Olcina, professor of geographic analysis at the University of
Alicante, Spain.<br>
There's little chance at this point of rainfall resolving the
underlying drought, either. "At this time of the year, the only
thing we can have are punctual and local storms, which are not going
to solve the rainfall deficit," Olcina said.<br>
<br>
Seeking emergency EU assistance, Spain’s Agriculture Minister Luis
Planas warned that "the situation resulting from this drought is of
such magnitude that its consequences cannot be tackled with national
funds alone," according to an April 24 letter sent to the European
Commission (EC) and seen by Reuters.<br>
<br>
<b>CLIMATE CHANGE TREND</b><br>
Southern Europe is not alone in suffering severe water shortages
this year. The Horn of Africa is enduring its worst drought in
decades, while a historic drought in Argentina has hammered soy and
corn crops.<br>
<br>
More frequent and severe drought in the Mediterranean region - where
the average temperature is now 1.5C higher than 150 years ago – is
in line with how scientists have forecast climate change will impact
the region.<br>
"In terms of the climate change signal, it very much fits with what
we're expecting," said Hayley Fowler, Professor of Climate Change
Impacts at Newcastle University.<br>
<br>
Despite these long-held forecasts, preparation is lagging. Many
farming regions have yet to adopt water-saving methods like
precision irrigation or switch to more drought-hardy crops, such as
sunflowers.<br>
<br>
"Governments are late. Companies are late," said Robert Vautard, a
climate scientist and director of France's Pierre-Simon Laplace
Institute. "Some companies are not even thinking of changing the
model of their consumption, they are just trying to find some
miraculous technologies that would bring water."<br>
<br>
France is emerging from its driest winter since 1959, with drought
"crisis" alerts already activated in four departmental prefects,
restricting non-priority water withdrawals - including for
agriculture, according to government website Propluvia.<br>
<br>
Portugal, too, is experiencing an early arrival of drought. Some 90%
of the mainland is suffering from drought, with severe drought
affecting one-fifth of the country - nearly five times the area
reported a year earlier.<br>
<br>
In Spain, which saw less than half its average rainfall through
April this year, thousands of people are relying on truck deliveries
for drinking water, while regions including Catalonia have imposed
water restrictions.<br>
<br>
Some farmers have already reported crop losses as high as 80%, with
cereals and oilseeds among those affected, farming groups have said.<br>
<br>
"This is the worst loss of harvest for decades,” Pekka Pesonen, who
heads the European farming group Copa-Cogeca, said of Spain. "It's
worse than last year's situation."<br>
<br>
Spain is responsible for half of the EU's production of olives and
one third of its fruit, according to the Commission.<br>
<br>
With its reservoirs at on average 50% of capacity, the country last
week earmarked more than 2 billion euros ($2.20 billion) in
emergency response funding. It is still awaiting a reply from the
Commission on its request for a 450-million-euro crisis fund to be
mobilized from the bloc's farming subsidy budget.<br>
<br>
The Commission said it was monitoring the situation closely.<br>
<br>
"Severe drought in Southern Europe is particularly worrying, not
only for the farmers there but also because this can push up already
very high consumer prices if the EU production is significantly
lower," Commission spokesperson Miriam Garcia Ferrer said.<br>
<br>
Similar struggles could emerge in Italy, where up to 80% of the
country’s water supply goes toward agriculture. With this year’s
thin mountain snow cover and low soil moisture, Italian farmers are
planning to cut back – sowing summer crops across an area 6% smaller
than last year’s planting area, according to national data on sowing
intentions.<br>
<br>
After two years of water scarcity, parts of northern Italy entered
May with a 70% deficit in snow water reserves and a 40% deficit of
soil moisture, said Luca Brocca, a Director of Research at Italy's
National Research Council.<br>
<br>
With the ground so parched, rain when it does arrive fails to soak
in, with devastating consequences. Authorities in Italy on Wednesday
said at least three people had been killed in floods in Italy's
Emilia Romagna region, where the rains were expected to continue for
several hours.<br>
<br>
($1 = 0.9084 euros)<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/southern-europe-braces-climate-change-fuelled-summer-drought-2023-05-17/">https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/southern-europe-braces-climate-change-fuelled-summer-drought-2023-05-17/</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<i><font face="Calibri">[ Perhaps Congress should repeal the Laws of
Thermodynamics --- ]</font></i><br>
<b>Republican senators claim NASA being distracted by climate change
and diversity initiatives</b><br>
Jeff Foust<br>
May 17, 2023<br>
WASHINGTON — Republican senators used a hearing on NASA’s fiscal
year 2024 budget proposal to criticize the agency’s role in topics
like climate change and social issues they argued were a distraction
to its efforts to return humans to the moon.<br>
<br>
During the 90-minute hearing by the Senate Commerce Committee May
16, senators raised few issues with the substance of the agency’s
$27.2 billion budget proposal for fiscal year 2024. Instead, top
Republicans on the committee targeted items on the periphery, from
plans to replace the agency’s fleet of motor vehicles with electric
vehicles to investments in diversity, equity and inclusion
initiatives.<br>
<br>
“I do worry sometimes that we may be losing focus on what makes
America the preeminent spacefaring nation,” claimed Sen. Ted Cruz
(R-Texas), ranking member of the committee. He cited development of
an equity action plan by NASA and regulations that NASA, along with
the Defense Department and General Services Administration, to have
contractors identify their greenhouse gas emissions.<br>
<br>
“Rather than helping us win the space race, the proposed rule would
ensure that NASA could do less exploration and less science for more
taxpayer dollars,” he said. He added that he and fellow Republican
senators were dissatisfied with the response from NASA Administrator
Bill Nelson to a letter they had about the proposed rule.<br>
<br>
Sen. Eric Schmitt (R-Mo.), ranking member of the committee’s space
subcommittee, made similar arguments. “I strongly disagree with this
administration’s obsession with misguided, woke policies related to
climate change and diversity, equity and inclusion,” he said,
arguing they were a diversion from a human return to the moon. “We
must be laser-like focused on our approach.”<br>
<br>
The two senators claimed that such policies risked politicizing
NASA, which has traditionally enjoyed bipartisan support. Nelson,
testifying before the committee, reiterated his longstanding desire
to keep NASA a “nonpartisan” agency.<br>
<br>
He added, though, that he did not necessarily agree with their
claims. “The reality, Sen. Cruz — and you know I love you — is the
fact that we have political differences,” he said. “But I can
guarantee you that NASA is being run in a nonpartisan way.”<br>
<br>
Nelson declined to engage on some of the other criticisms about
climate change and DEI policies beyond noting that the rulemaking on
the greenhouse gas regulations is still in progress. Echoing
comments from past hearings, he agreed with them that NASA is racing
China to the moon, and warned that if China got to the lunar south
pole before NASA, it might claim water ice resources there.<br>
<br>
Other Republican senators at the hearing did not echo those
criticisms, focusing their questions on topics such as aeronautics,
space nuclear propulsion and, in the case of former committee
chairman Sen. Roger Wicker (R-Miss.), investments in NASA’s Stennis
Space Center in his state.<br>
<br>
Multiyear NASA authorization<br>
The chair of the committee, Sen. Maria Cantwell (D-Wash.),
reiterated at the hearing her desire for a new NASA authorization.
She announced in February that she wanted to enact a multiyear
authorization just a year after a NASA authorization was included in
the CHIPS and Science Act.<br>
<br>
“It is my goal to complete another NASA bill this Congress, this
time with a multiyear authorization that will help ensure that the
nation’s leading space and aeronautic research agency has stable,
predictable funding that it needs to succeed,” she said. That would
be the first multiyear authorization for NASA since 2010.<br>
<br>
Nelson, who as a senator spearheaded the passage of that 2010
authorization act, endorsed a multiyear authorization, saying it
would provide stability for both the agency and industry. “I would
welcome a multiyear approach,” he said. “I think a five-year
authorization bill would be very, very well received in the
aerospace community.”<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://spacenews.com/republican-senators-claim-nasa-being-distracted-by-climate-change-and-diversity-initiatives/">https://spacenews.com/republican-senators-claim-nasa-being-distracted-by-climate-change-and-diversity-initiatives/</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[ Natural Gas is not natural --- fascinating engineering video ]</i><br>
<b>What Really Happened During the Gas Explosions in the Merrimack
Valley?</b><br>
Practical Engineering<br>
May 16, 2023 #39 on Trending<br>
A summary of one of the worst natural gas disasters in US History.<br>
<br>
On September 13, 2018, a pipeline crew in the Merrimack Valley in
Massachusetts was hard at work replacing an aging cast iron natural
gas line with a new polyethylene pipe. By the end of the day, over a
hundred structures would be damaged by fire and explosions, several
homes would be completely destroyed, 22 people (including three
firefighters) would be injured, and one person would be dead.<br>
<br>
Watch this video ad-free on Nebula:
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://nebula.tv/videos/practical-en">https://nebula.tv/videos/practical-en</a>...<br>
<br>
Signed copies of my book (plus other cool stuff) are available here:
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://store.practical.engineering/">https://store.practical.engineering/</a><br>
<br>
Practical Engineering is a YouTube channel about infrastructure and
the human-made world around us. It is hosted, written, and produced
by Grady Hillhouse. We have new videos posted regularly, so please
subscribe for updates. If you enjoyed the video, hit that ‘like’
button, give us a comment, or watch another of our videos!<br>
<br>
CONNECT WITH ME<br>
____________________________________<br>
Website: <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://practical.engineering">http://practical.engineering</a><br>
Twitter: <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://twitter.com/HillhouseGrady">https://twitter.com/HillhouseGrady</a><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QPL8dh6b1M0">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QPL8dh6b1M0</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font> </p>
<font face="Calibri"> <i>[ A difficult task, with little success.
See Climate Comedy produced - video ]</i></font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> </font> <font face="Calibri"><b>2023 ITG
climate comedy = Dr Gameshow special episode!</b><br>
Climate Comedy<br>
May 17, 2023<br>
Jo Firestone and Manolo Moreno partnered with CU Boulder Inside
the Greenhouse climate comedy experiment in 2023 with this Dr.
Gameshow episode!<br>
<br>
On Dr. Gameshow, Jo and Manolo play original listener-created
games with callers from all over the world! Listen as Jo, Manolo
and the players struggle through these outrageous family-friendly
games that are played regardless of quality!<br>
<br>
more information about other shows is here
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://maximumfun.org/podcasts/dr-ga">https://maximumfun.org/podcasts/dr-ga</a>... <br>
& more about Manolo Moreno is here
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.manolosomething.com/">https://www.manolosomething.com/</a><br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Om70VLNag3c">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Om70VLNag3c</a></font>
<p><font face="Calibri">- -</font></p>
<font face="Calibri"><i>[ Sort of related -- -a polite video rant ]</i><br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><b>luxury doomsday bunkers: an elitist
disaster fantasy | Internet Analysis</b><br>
tiffanyferg<br>
</font><font face="Calibri">May 17, 2023<br>
</font><font face="Calibri">Internet Analysis<br>
luxury doomsday bunkers?? <br>
PATREON: <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.patreon.com/tiffanyferg">https://www.patreon.com/tiffanyferg</a> …<br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1tqDH6MmEEg">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1tqDH6MmEEg</a><br>
</font>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font> </p>
<font face="Calibri"> <br>
<i>[The news archive - looking back -- </i></font><i><font
face="Calibri">I was a TV news photographer for KOMO-TV in
Seattle ]</font></i><font face="Calibri"><br>
<font size="+2"><i><b>May 18, 1980 -- Mt St Helens eruption</b></i></font>
<br>
</font>
<p><font face="Calibri">That Sunday was a very cold day - damp
weather - gloves, raincoats, scarf, boots. Could not tell if it
was ash or snow falling. Totally different for the heat wave
today -- shorts, sunscreen, drink lots of water for the 80
degrees heat. Smoke from distant wildfires gives a tinge of
yellow. <br>
</font></p>
<p><font face="Calibri">Read all about it with the Wikipedia
article.<br>
</font></p>
<font face="Calibri">
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1980_eruption_of_Mount_St._Helens">https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1980_eruption_of_Mount_St._Helens</a><br>
<br>
</font>
<p><font face="Calibri">======================================= <br>
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</font> <font face="Calibri"><br>
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--------------------------------------- <br>
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