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<font size="+2"><font face="Calibri"><i><b>July</b></i></font></font><font
size="+2" face="Calibri"><i><b> 10, 2023</b></i></font><font
face="Calibri"><br>
</font> <font face="Calibri"> </font> <br>
<font face="Calibri"><i>[ RealClimate is top-notch, most respected
web site concerning global warming ] </i><br>
</font> <font face="Calibri"><b>Back to basics</b><br>
8 JUL 2023 BY GAVIN <br>
<b>You can tell how worried the climate deniers are by how many
fields of science they have to trash to try and have people not
see what’s happening.</b><br>
<br>
it will not have escaped most people’s notice that global
temperatures are heading into uncharted territory. The proximate
cause of this week’s headlines is the Climate Reanalyzer website
at the U. Maine which provides a nice front end to the NOAA NCEP
CFS forecast system and reanalysis and shows absolute daily
temperatures in early July clearly exceeding the highest
pre-existing temperatures from August 2016. It’s an arresting
graphic, and follows in from the record high ocean surface
temperatures that were being reported a month ago.<br>
</font><font face="Calibri">- -
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.realclimate.org/images/cfsr_world_t2_day.png">https://www.realclimate.org/images/cfsr_world_t2_day.png</a> <br>
</font><font face="Calibri">This is however a relatively new
resource and was not online the last time that we set absolute
temperature records (in summer 2016). So this has both salience
and novelty – a potent combination!<br>
<br>
The ultimate cause of these patterns is of course the ongoing
global warming, driven almost entirely by human activities...<br>
- - <br>
As we’ve explained before, all global temperature products are
based on some kind of model – statistical, physical etc. There is
no direct measurement of the global temperature – not from
satellites, stations, or from the one random person who happens to
be in most average place on Earth (where might that even be?). But
that doesn’t mean the products aren’t useful!<br>
<br>
In this particular instance we are looking at the output of a
weather forecast model (NCEP CFS) that ingests multiple sources of
in situ and satellite data every 3 hours which is then averaged
over a day and over the surface of the planet. These calculations
are precise reflections of what is in the model, but for multiple
reasons this might not be a perfect reflection of what the real
world is doing...<br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2023/07/back-to-basics/">https://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2023/07/back-to-basics/</a><br>
</font>
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<font face="Calibri"> <i>[ BBC says ]</i></font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> <b>Heatwaves: Why this summer has been so hot</b></font><br>
<font face="Calibri">Published 7/9/23</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">Climate change</font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> </font> <font face="Calibri">By Justin
Rowlatt, Climate editor, BBC News<br>
It is hot. Very hot. And we are only a few weeks into summer.<br>
<br>
Texas and part of the south-west of the US are enduring a searing
heatwave. At one point, more than 120 million Americans were under
some form of heat advisory, the US National Weather Service said.
That is more than one in three of the total population.<br>
<br>
In the UK, the June heat didn't just break all-time records, it
smashed them. It was 0.9C hotter than the previous record, set
back in 1940. That is a huge margin.<br>
<br>
There is a similar story of unprecedented hot weather in North
Africa, the Middle East and Asia...</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">- -</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">The average world temperature hit 16.89C on
Monday 3 July and topped 17C for the first time on 4 July, with an
average global temperature of 17.04C.<br>
<br>
Provisional figures suggest that was exceeded on 5 July when
temperatures reached 17.05C.<br>
<br>
These highs are in line with what climate models predicted, says
Prof Richard Betts, climate scientist at the Met Office and
University of Exeter.<br>
<br>
"We should not be at all surprised with the high global
temperatures," he says. "This is all a stark reminder of what
we've known for a long time, and we will see ever more extremes
until we stop building up more greenhouse gases in the
atmosphere."...</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">- -</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">That marine heatwave has been particularly
pronounced around the coasts of the UK, where some areas have
experienced temperatures as much as 5C above what you would
normally expect for this time of year...<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-66143682">https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-66143682</a><br>
</font>
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<i><font face="Calibri">[From Salon magazine ]</font></i><br>
<font face="Calibri"><b>Ecosystem collapse could occur "surprisingly
quickly," study finds</b><br>
A new model suggests feedback loops could accelerate environmental
breakdowns<br>
By MATTHEW ROZSA<br>
Staff Writer...</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">On the heels of several consecutive
record-breaking "hottest days ever," it has become increasingly
clear that there is an urgent need to address human-caused climate
change. After all, a recent study published in the scientific
journal PNAS revealed that the types of so-called compound drought
and heatwaves that humanity is currently experiencing — these are
known as CDHW events — are projected to become what co-author Dr.
Michael E. Mann labelled a "new abnormal."...</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">- -</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">Similarly, Willcock told Salon that "there is
still hope! Obviously, we want to try to avoid collapsing
ecosystems as that would have huge consequences for many species,
including us. By reducing emissions and using ecosystems more
sustainably, we can hopefully avoid putting ecosystems under
pressures they can't bear. Also, if any ecosystems do collapse, in
future, we hope to learn how to apply pressure in a positive
direction to trigger rapid ecosystem recovery."...<br>
</font><font face="Calibri">- -<br>
</font><font face="Calibri">Similarly, Willcock told Salon that
"there is still hope! Obviously, we want to try to avoid
collapsing ecosystems as that would have huge consequences for
many species, including us. By reducing emissions and using
ecosystems more sustainably, we can hopefully avoid putting
ecosystems under pressures they can't bear. Also, if any
ecosystems do collapse, in future, we hope to learn how to apply
pressure in a positive direction to trigger rapid ecosystem
recovery."<br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.salon.com/2023/07/09/ecosystem-collapse-could-occur-surprisingly-quickly-study-finds/">https://www.salon.com/2023/07/09/ecosystem-collapse-could-occur-surprisingly-quickly-study-finds/</a><br>
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</font></i></p>
<font face="Calibri"><i>[ fossil fuel industry misbehavior -14 min
video interview - they are not good-faith actors - confrontation
instead of <strike>perseverance</strike> ]</i></font><br>
<font face="Calibri"><b>Dr Julia Steinberger | The hour before dawn
is always the darkest (Summary Version)</b></font><br>
<font face="Calibri">Nick Breeze ClimateGenn</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">Premiered July 9, 2023 ClimateGenn #podcast
produced by Nick Breeze</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">Episode full contents:</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">[To Join use above link or here for Patreon: <a
class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://patreon.com/genncc">https://patreon.com/genncc</a>)</font><br>
<blockquote><font face="Calibri">1. Fossil fuel companies were never
a partner is solving climate change. </font><br>
<font face="Calibri">2. The possible world that we see emerging
around us.</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">3. How do we face the strength of the fossil
fuel industry?4. COP28 is symbolic of political failure.</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">5. Fossil fuel companies are trying to take
over key structural processes.</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">6. We must all use our collective agency.</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">7. The Energy Charter Treaty (ETC), and why
it must be ended.</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">8. The fossil fuel industry is fragile; don’t
be duped into inaction.</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">9. There is another world we can create from
this.</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">10. Become the mainstream by better
articulating the mission.</font><br>
</blockquote>
<font face="Calibri">Links:</font><br>
<font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.fossilbanks.org/">https://www.fossilbanks.org/</a></font><br>
<font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://fossilfueltreaty.org/">https://fossilfueltreaty.org/</a></font><br>
<font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c1HvU98fRYA">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c1HvU98fRYA</a></font><br>
<p><font face="Calibri">- -</font></p>
<i><font face="Calibri">[ follow the money ]</font></i><br>
<font face="Calibri"><b>Banks are financing climate chaos</b><br>
Time is up. To prevent full climate breakdown, the fossil fuel era
must come to an end now. Yet, commercial banks continue to pour
trillions into the coal, oil and gas industry. Together we will
stop them.<br>
All over the world, organizations are campaigning to end bank
financing for the fossil fuel industry. This platform presents
their work. Explore and join the growing movement!<br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.fossilbanks.org/">https://www.fossilbanks.org/</a><br>
</font>
<p><font face="Calibri">- -</font></p>
<font face="Calibri"><i>[ Dawn of the ECT ]</i><br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><b>The Paris Agreement doesn’t mention
fossil fuels. </b><br>
The COP27 outcome didn’t mention oil and gas. <br>
It’s time for a Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty.</font><br>
<br>
<font face="Calibri">The Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty
Initiative is a global effort to foster international cooperation
to accelerate a transition to clean energy for everyone, end the
expansion of coal, oil and gas, and equitably phase out existing
production in keeping with what science shows is needed to address
the climate crisis. It builds on decades of calls and campaigns
for a fossil fuel phase out and fair energy transition by
government, civil society, Indigenous, grassroots and other
leaders - particularly from the Global South and aims to
compliment other movements tactics such as divestment, debt relief
and fossil fuel bans as well as the work being advanced by the
Beyond Oil and Gas Alliance and the Power Past Coal Alliance. <br>
<br>
While the Paris Agreement set a crucial global climate target,
many governments - including self-proclaimed climate leaders -
have continued to approve new coal, oil and gas projects even
though burning the world’s current fossil fuel reserves would
result in seven times more emissions than what is compatible with
keeping warming below 1.5ºC.<br>
</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">We need governments to join a bloc of Pacific
nations spearheaded by Vanuatu and Tuvalu in developing a Fossil
Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty.<br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://fossilfueltreaty.org/">https://fossilfueltreaty.org/</a><br>
</font>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<font face="Calibri"><i>[ BBC reports on disinformation battles -
and why it is cognitively icky to watch Tik-Tok - 6 min video ]</i></font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> </font> <font face="Calibri"><b>Does TikTok
have a climate change denial problem? – BBC News</b><br>
BBC News<br>
</font><font face="Calibri">Jul 9, 2023 #BBCNews #Climate #TikTok<br>
Earlier this year, TikTok vowed to clamp down on climate change
denial on its platform.<br>
But a BBC investigation has found hundreds of videos are still
spreading false information about the climate crisis.<br>
We speak to the scientific experts who have taken to the app to
try and tackle climate conspiracies directly.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=42xHuSmwYa4">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=42xHuSmwYa4</a><br>
</font>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></p>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font> </p>
<font face="Calibri"> <i>[The news archive - looking back at early,
smart attacks at the misinformation battle. Superb to see
Don't miss ]</i><br>
<font size="+2"><i><b>July 10, 2007 </b></i></font> <br>
July 10, 2007: On MSNBC's "Countdown with Keith Olbermann," Air
America host Rachel Maddow points out the mainstream media's
fetish for false balance, specifically citing climate coverage.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://youtu.be/vcMFwuu_UlA">http://youtu.be/vcMFwuu_UlA</a><br>
<br>
<br>
</font>
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