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<font size="+2"><font face="Calibri"><i><b>August </b></i></font></font><font
size="+2" face="Calibri"><i><b>12, 2023</b></i></font><font
face="Calibri"><br>
</font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> </font><font face="Calibri"><i>[ factors -
stronger winds, downed power line ignitions, flammable dry
fuels, fast dangers, unrecognized risks ]</i></font><br>
<font face="Calibri"><b>The Real Prof. Katharine Hayhoe</b></font><br>
<font face="Calibri">@KHayhoe</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">Amid the devastating Maui fires, I see many
arguing, "it's weather, arson--anything but climate change." </font><br>
<font face="Calibri">Let's set the record straight. Climate change
doesn't usually start the fires; but it intensifies them,
increasing the area they burn + making them much more dangerous.
🧵</font><br>
<font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://twitter.com/KHayhoe/status/1689631703701078016">https://twitter.com/KHayhoe/status/1689631703701078016</a></font><br>
<font face="Calibri"><i></i></font>
<p><font face="Calibri"><i><br>
</i></font></p>
<p><font face="Calibri"><i><br>
</i></font></p>
<p><font face="Calibri"><i> </i></font><i>[ preparing to hunker down
]</i><br>
<b>Atlantic hurricane season is now predicted to be 'above-normal'
this year, NOAA says</b><br>
August 10, 2023<br>
By Jeff Brady, Rebecca Hersher<br>
The 2023 Atlantic hurricane season is now projected to have
"above-normal level of activity" according to the annual forecast
update by scientists at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration (NOAA).<br>
<br>
The above-normal prediction is a change from NOAA's May outlook,
which showed that for the first time in eight years, there would
be a "near-normal" number of storms.<br>
<br>
Earlier in the season, NOAA forecast 12 to 17 named storms. Now
the agency projects 14 to 21 storms. The prediction includes
tropical storms and hurricanes. About half of those are expected
to be full-blown hurricanes. Not all storms make landfall.<br>
<br>
"During active years, there's a doubling in the chance of a
hurricane hitting the East Coast of the U.S. compared to an
average or below-average season," said Matthew Rosencrans, lead
hurricane season outlook forecaster, NOAA's Climate Prediction
Center...<br>
- -<br>
Federal officials warn people who live in hurricane-prone areas to
not focus too much on the total number of storms, because just one
storm can cause significant damage.<br>
<br>
That means making a plan for how to evacuate if a storm is headed
your way, getting ready for power outages and thinking about how
to care for elderly family members, people with disabilities,
children and pets.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.npr.org/2023/08/10/1192095594/atlantic-hurricane-season-is-now-predicted-to-be-above-normal-this-year-noaa-say">https://www.npr.org/2023/08/10/1192095594/atlantic-hurricane-season-is-now-predicted-to-be-above-normal-this-year-noaa-say</a><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><font face="Calibri"></font></p>
<font face="Calibri"><i>[ Rebecca Leber cuts-loose opinion ]</i><br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><b>An insidious form of climate denial
is festering in the Republican Party</b><br>
The GOP’s only “climate policy” is actually bad for the
environment.<br>
<br>
By Rebecca <a class="moz-txt-link-abbreviated" href="mailto:Leber@rebleberrebecca.leber@vox.com">Leber@rebleberrebecca.leber@vox.com</a> Aug 11, 2023,
7:00am EDT</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">When Rep. Scott Perry (R-PA) questioned US
climate envoy John Kerry at an oversight hearing in July — a month
that became the hottest ever recorded — he sidestepped that the
country was in the grip of repeated heat waves, fires, and a
looming hurricane season. Over a six-minute interrogation, the
House Freedom Caucus chair claimed Kerry wanted to charge
taxpayers a “quadrillion dollars to fix a problem that doesn’t
exist” and accused him, along with thousands of scientists and the
195 governments signed onto the Paris climate accord, of
“grifting.”<br>
<br>
Kerry shook his head when Perry concluded. “That’s a pretty
shocking statement,” he said, “that you believe all the scientists
of the world are grifters.”<br>
<br>
The shock from the emotionally charged attack may have been the
point. “There’s a longstanding history of climate deniers going
after the messenger as well as the message,” Geoffrey Supran, a
University of Miami associate professor who studies climate
disinformation, told Vox. “The harder it is to dismantle the
message, the easier it is to go after the individuals most
prominently communicating it.”<br>
<br>
Collective climate change denial in the Republican Party is not
new. But the Perry-Kerry exchange illustrates how the GOP’s claims
are becoming increasingly audacious — as signals from human-caused
climate change become all the more apparent.<br>
<br>
Record heat? “Normal”: “It’s hot, hot, hot all right,” said Laura
Ingraham on her Fox News show. “After all, we’re in the middle of
a season called ‘summer.’” (Fact check: More than 3,000
temperature records were shattered in the US for the month of July
alone, something scientists say would be “virtually impossible”
without human-caused climate change.)<br>
<br>
Forest fires? “Nature naturally burns itself off every 11 years
with natural disaster forest fires,” said Sen. Markwayne Mullin
(R-OK). “This is a forest fire.” (Fact check: The severity of
wildfires such as the historic blazes in Canada this year are
fueled by complex conditions including forest management and
drought primed by climate change.)<br>
</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">Stronger hurricanes? Just a part of life: “This
is something that is a fact of life in the Sunshine State,”
Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis said in a Fox News interview. “I’ve
always rejected the politicization of the weather.” (Fact check:
Climate change drives the warming of ocean waters, which provide
fuel for more devastating hurricanes and typhoons.)<br>
<br>
More Americans are impacted by climate change; 62 percent of all
voters recognize climate change is caused by human activity,
according to a Gallup poll from this spring. Yet, climate change
denial is not only alive and well in the GOP, it’s become “a lot
more insidious and polarizing,” said John Cook, a University of
Melbourne researcher who has tracked the path of climate
disinformation online using artificial intelligence.<br>
<br>
Here is what has made climate change denial worse.<br>
<br>
<b>Climate change denial is becoming more personal</b><br>
Americans increasingly care about climate change, unless you’re
asking the Republican voter base. The GOP’s obsession that liberal
elites want to worsen the average person’s way of life through
climate action has chipped away at their voters’ support for
solutions and belief that the planet is warming. Party leaders and
presidential candidates have insisted, wrongly, that Democrats’
climate solutions will mean bans on laundry machines, hamburgers,
and gas stoves and that unabated “wokeism” has infiltrated the
corporate world.<br>
<br>
It’s a useful scare tactic, employed to delay action. Supran, who
has conducted research on historical oil industry ads, found those
in the 1990s “trotting out the same rhetoric, with different
wording: ‘No more SUVs, no more driving around freely,’” to stave
off new energy efficiency standards.<br>
<br>
“It plays into this elitist narrative, that these are the elites
and they aren’t like us and they’re trying to tell us all these
cultural changes they’re trying to bring about,” explained Bob
Inglis, a Republican and former South Carolina member of Congress
who now runs the advocacy group RepublicEn to promote climate
solutions among conservatives. Inglis said it’s helpful for the
politicians who sell doubt on climate change to make it seem like
people who support solutions “have their heads in the clouds
trying to solve things the rest of us practical people don’t
need.”</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">Inglis pointed out the problem with this
narrative. “The thing about climate change is we’re all
experiencing it right now,” he said. “We’re all in the midst of
it.”<br>
<br>
The party is making climate a culture war issue<br>
Republicans have spent years hammering this message to the
electorate and it has made a major difference to the average
Republican voter. Research shows that the GOP politicians’ cues do
impact how voters see the issue.<br>
<br>
We can measure the effect of their rhetoric in the polling: A
recent Gallup survey looked at partisan divides on a number of
issues every 10 years from 2003 to 2023. One of the starkest
shifts in the polling was around party views on global warming and
environmental issues, ranking alongside gun laws and abortion as
having the highest polarization. Republicans have become less
concerned with global warming, even as the effects have grown more
pronounced since 2013. And fewer Republicans think global warming
is a result of human activity today than they did 20 years ago.<br>
<br>
There are serious consequences to all this, and the far right
plans to translate climate denial into official federal policy
that encourages fossil fuels and blocks a clean energy transition,
should Donald Trump win the next presidential election.<br>
<br>
The conservative think tank Heritage Foundation has drawn a
920-page blueprint called Project 2025 to unravel all of the US’s
efforts so far to tackle climate change. It is a methodical,
systematic undoing of the federal bureaucracy, Politico first
reported, shuttering key programs from the Environmental
Protection Agency, slashing climate and clean energy solutions,
blocking the expansion of wind and solar on the grid, and turning
over pollution oversight to the fossil fuel industry and
handpicked Republican officials.<br>
<br>
<b>The GOP’s only “climate” policy is actually bad for the
environment</b><br>
Cook has found in his research that Republicans are increasingly
concerned with spreading misinformation about solutions, grossly
oversimplifying what needs to be done to avoid addressing fossil
fuel emissions. One of those misleading ideas is a House
Republican push for the Trillion Trees Act, which has not come up
for a vote.<br>
<br>
When Rep. Bruce Westerman (R-AR) first proposed the Trillion Trees
Act in 2020, environmentalists said the bill “would significantly
increase logging across America’s federal forests, convert
millions of acres into industrial tree plantations, increase
carbon emissions, increase wildfire risk, and harm wildlife and
watersheds.” The idea was a wolf in sheep’s clothing, effectively
giving loggers more allowances as long as they planted seedlings
which are decades away from delivering climate benefits.<br>
<br>
But the GOP has come to champion the idea as their climate plan.
“We need to manage our forests better so our environment can be
stronger,” said House Speaker Kevin McCarthy (R-CA). McCarthy
proposed planting trees so the US could focus on its natural gas
industry, one of the world’s leading methane polluters. “Let’s
replace Russian natural gas with American natural gas, and let’s
not only have a cleaner world, let’s have a safer world,” he said.<br>
<br>
Trump was in favor of a tree initiative while president, even
while he was dismantling government action on climate change. And
other leading climate deniers have focused on “forest management”
or the timber industry as an easy fix for worsening wildfires. In
a CNN town hall in June, presidential candidate Mike Pence said,
“We’ve got to be able to tell some of the radical
environmentalists that you’ve got to harvest some trees in the
forest to keep the forest healthy.”<br>
<br>
Planting a trillion trees to save us from climate change is not a
serious proposal on its own. The authors of the 2019 study that
has inspired the GOP’s talking point have themselves said that
planting trees alone does not eliminate “the urgent need to reduce
greenhouse gas emissions.”<br>
</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">As Inglis put it, “trees can be part of the
solution, but they’re not a solution on the scale of the problem.
... What we’re looking for is a worldwide solution to the
challenge of climate change.” Inglis’s group advocates for what he
calls a conservative approach that does address the scale of the
problem, a revenue-neutral carbon tax along with a border tax
adjustment that works across the economy.<br>
<br>
The GOP idea to plant more trees may seem innocuous compared to
calling climate change a hoax, but the outcome is the same. They
will try “anything that pushes the problem downstream,” said
Supran, to shut down more immediate action. Invariably, inertia on
climate change benefits the status quo — which just so happens to
benefit fossil fuel industries, a major benefactor of the
Republican Party.<br>
<br>
“There’s so much talk but so little commitment to action both from
the GOP and fossil fuel interests,” Supran said. “I feel like
we’re in some kind of twilight zone, the talking points go round
and round. The end result is just the same as it’s always been,
which is lackluster action."<br>
</font><br>
<font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.vox.com/climate/23815966/republicans-climate-change-denial-trees">https://www.vox.com/climate/23815966/republicans-climate-change-denial-trees</a></font><br>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></p>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font> </p>
<font face="Calibri"> <i>[ Hank Green video rant ]</i></font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> <b>Climate Scientist reacts to @vlogbrothers
on Geoengineering | feat. @zentouro</b></font><br>
<font face="Calibri">ClimateAdam</font><br>
<font face="Calibri"></font><font face="Calibri">Aug 10, 2023
#ClimateChange #vlogbrothers<br>
On his latest video for the Vlog Brothers, Hank Green spoke about
the accidental experiment that cleaning up ship fuel has carried
out on the climate, in a video titled "The Biggest Science Story
of the Week". Among other things, Hank argues that this could be a
crucial opportunity to learn about geoengineering. Geoengineering
- according to this Vlog Brother - could be a "giant step
forward". So what could geoengineering actually achieve to combat
climate change? And why are many climate scientists far more
skeptical than Hank lets on<br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=71jlEyIc1Pk">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=71jlEyIc1Pk</a><br>
</font>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font> </p>
<font face="Calibri"><br>
<i>[The news archive - looking back]</i><br>
<font size="+2"><i><b>August 12, 2004 </b></i></font> <br>
August 12, 2004: Discussing a BusinessWeek story about the
business community's growing worries about global warming, the
Washington Monthly's Kevin Drum observes:<br>
<br>
"Like national healthcare, I suspect that global warming will
really get taken seriously only when the business community
finally demands it. What BusinessWeek documents is only the first
whispers of those demands, but the endgame is already in sight."<br>
<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/archives/individual/2004_08/004498.php">http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/archives/individual/2004_08/004498.php</a>
<br>
<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://web.archive.org/web/20131216021452/http://www.businessweek.com/stories/2004-08-15/global-warming">http://web.archive.org/web/20131216021452/http://www.businessweek.com/stories/2004-08-15/global-warming</a>
<br>
<br>
<br>
<br>
<br>
</font>
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