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<font size="+2"><font face="Calibri"><i><b>September 15</b></i></font></font><font
size="+2" face="Calibri"><i><b>, 2023</b></i></font><font
face="Calibri"><br>
</font> <font face="Calibri"> </font> <br>
<font face="Calibri"><i>[ Assailing NASA, Dr James Hansen, the most
trusted voice on climate science - latest paper
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/">https://www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/</a> ] </i></font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> </font> <font face="Calibri"><b>Global
Warming is Accelerating. Why? Will We Fly Blind?</b></font><br>
<font face="Calibri">14 September 2023</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">James Hansen, Makiko Sato, Reto Ruedy, and Leon
Simons</font><br>
<blockquote><font face="Calibri"> </font><font face="Calibri"><b>Abstract.
</b>Global temperature in the current El Nino exceeds
temperature in the prior (2015-16) El</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">Nino by more than the expected warming
(0.14°C in 8 years) for the global warming rate since</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">1970 (0.18°C/decade). Proximate cause of
accelerated warming is an increase of Earth’s Energy</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">Imbalance (EEI), but what caused that?
Indirect evidence points to a decline in the cooling effect of</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">human-made aerosols. Failure to measure
aerosol climate forcing is partly compensated by precise</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">monitoring of EEI details. However, there are
no adequate plans to continue even this vital EEI</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">monitoring – which will become even more
important as humanity realizes its predicament and the</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">fact that we must cool the planet to avoid
disastrous consequences and restore a bright future for</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">young people – let alone plans for adequate
aerosol monitoring.</font><br>
</blockquote>
<font face="Calibri">- -<br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><b>“This is crazy,” you must be saying,</b>
“why don’t you measure the aerosol climate forcing, instead<br>
of this round-about inference via detailed effect on EEI and
absorbed solar energy?” Good question.<br>
</font><br>
<font face="Calibri"><b>The short answer </b>is that we (the first
author and others) tried, but, in career-long failure could not<br>
persuade NASA to fly a small satellite with the two instruments (a
high precision polarimeter and<br>
an infrared spectrometer) needed to monitor the aerosol and cloud
microphysics that define the<br>
aerosol climate forcing. <br>
</font><br>
<font face="Calibri"><b>The short explanation </b>is that NASA
preferred large, slow, multi-billion<br>
dollar missions as needed to support the budgets of the large NASA
Centers. <br>
</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">Throw in a climatedenier NASA Administrator,
who, in angry response to our persistence, struck out the first
line of<br>
the NASA Mission Statement “To Understand and Protect the Home
Planet.”<br>
<br>
It's still worth pursuing aerosol and cloud monitoring of the
required precision, but the most urgent<br>
task is assuring continuation of the CERES or CERES-like
monitoring of Earth’s radiation balance.<br>
As yet there are no firm adequate plans for long-term continuation
of these observations. NASA<br>
tends to think of itself as an agency that develops scientific and
instrumental techniques, <br>
</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">while longterm observations should be carried
on by others. However, long-term observations are the climate<br>
science. It is crucial that NASA make plans to continue these
essential measurements<br>
</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">Measurements in the ocean are equally
essential. The Argo program that distributed about 4,000<br>
autonomous, deep-diving floats around the world ocean needs to be
continued and enhanced. More<br>
measurements are needed especially in the polar regions where some
of the most significant climate<br>
changes are beginning to occur, changes that will affect the
entire planet. The U.S. National<br>
Atmospheric and Oceanic Administration (NOAA) has provided a large
fraction of the Argo floats,<br>
but many other nations contribute; the programs should continue
their development.<br>
</font><br>
<font face="Calibri"><b>Without such data</b>, we will be flying
blind into a future fraught with dangers. At the very least, we<br>
owe young people the knowledge of what we are getting them into.<br>
</font><br>
<font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/">https://www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/</a></font><br>
<font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/mailings/2023/FlyingBlind.14September2023.pdf">https://www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/mailings/2023/FlyingBlind.14September2023.pdf</a></font><br>
<p>- -</p>
<i>[ More Hansen report from the Guardian a month ago ]</i><br>
<font face="Calibri"><b>‘We are damned fools’: scientist who sounded
climate alarm in 80s warns of worse to come</b><br>
James Hansen, who testified to Congress on global heating in 1988,
says world is approaching a ‘new climate frontier’<br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/jul/19/climate-crisis-james-hansen-scientist-warning">https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/jul/19/climate-crisis-james-hansen-scientist-warning</a><br>
</font>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></p>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></p>
<i><font face="Calibri">[ reviewing the summer wildfires]</font></i><br>
<font face="Calibri"><b>How Canada’s record-breaking wildfires are
intensifying climate change</b><br>
CBC News: The National<br>
</font><font face="Calibri"> Sep 4, 2023 #wildfires #climatechange
#news<br>
Canada’s record-breaking wildfire season is pumping more CO2 into
the atmosphere than all other emission sources in the country
combined. CBC’s international climate correspondent Susan
Ormistion goes deep into the Boreal forest for a first-hand look
at the impact on the climate crisis. <br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mo-Dr-83YMs">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mo-Dr-83YMs</a></font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> </font>
<p><font face="Calibri"> </font></p>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></p>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></p>
<font face="Calibri">[ Opinion ]<br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><b>The Guardian view on planetary
boundaries: the Earth has limits and governments must act on
them</b><br>
Editorial<br>
The latest warning from climate experts points to the urgency of a
fossil fuel phase-out<br>
</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">Thu 14 Sep 2023</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">he climate is changing more quickly now than it
has done for tens of millions of years. This was the blunt
conclusion to the BBC’s recent Earth series, which sought to
convey to viewers how cataclysmic the disruption caused by global
heating could be. Chris Packham, its presenter, described the
tipping points that were reached 56m years ago, when, over the
course of a few thousand years, temperatures climbed by 5C. Fossil
records from this period are one resource that modern scientists
use when trying to predict the consequences of the much faster
heating that is now under way.<br>
<br>
Planetary boundaries, about which scientists this week issued an
updated warning, are another tool for thinking about the
environment. These are a set of parameters defined at the
Stockholm Resilience Centre, led by Prof Johan Rockström, in 2009.
They are limits within which changes to the Earth’s life support
systems, which have been relatively stable for 10,000 years, can
be considered manageable. Once the boundaries are breached,
however, everything becomes much more extreme, unstable and
threatening. As well as an attempt at quantifying the disruption
that natural systems can withstand, the nine boundaries
represented an attempt to broaden understanding of the risks. One
key message was that global heating caused by greenhouse gases
trapped in the atmosphere is not the only threat.<br>
<br>
The latest assessment, that six out of the nine boundaries have
been broken, is yet another wake-up call. For the first time,
scientists assessed the situation across the whole world and are
particularly concerned about their findings with regard to
biodiversity, freshwater and land use. Along with phasing out
fossil fuels, they argue that ending destructive farming practices
– which cause deforestation, habitat loss and pollution on a
massive scale – is now the most urgent priority.<br>
<br>
Prof Simon Lewis describes the boundaries framework as a “heroic
attempt to simplify the world”. As such, it has something in
common with Kate Raworth’s doughnut economics. But, however
valuable such concepts are, ultimately they will be judged on
whether they can help prompt the imposition of actual limits on
fossil fuel production, and other damaging activity, that can only
be imposed by governments.<br>
<br>
The phasing out of coal, oil and gas was dropped from last year’s
Cop27 climate summit. This week, Fatih Birol, who heads the
International Energy Agency, said that it must be back on the
agenda at Cop28, which opens in Dubai in two months. Confidence in
the UN climate process was damaged by the appointment of Sultan Al
Jaber as this year’s president. He also heads the Abu Dhabi
National Oil Company. Currently, the UAE is planning a massive
expansion of oil and gas.<br>
<br>
But opposition to the UAE’s plans, and those of Saudi Arabia and
western oil businesses, is growing. Rishi Sunak is expected to
miss a climate ambition summit hosted by the UN secretary general,
António Guterres, next week. His enthusiasm for new oil and gas
investments may have disqualified him from attending. But other
leaders will be urged to seize the chance to set the world on a
path to a transformed energy system. With evidence of the
suffering caused by global heating continuing to accumulate,
alongside alarming assessments from experts, the need for
governments to formally acknowledge the planet’s boundaries, and
act accordingly, has never been greater..</font>
<p><font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2023/sep/14/the-guardian-view-on-planetary-boundaries-the-earth-has-limits-and-governments-must-act-on-them">https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2023/sep/14/the-guardian-view-on-planetary-boundaries-the-earth-has-limits-and-governments-must-act-on-them</a></font><br>
</p>
<p><font face="Calibri">- -</font></p>
<font face="Calibri"><i>[ Ooops... Another Overshoot! ]</i><br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><b>Earth beyond six of nine planetary
boundaries</b><br>
KATHERINE RICHARDSON , WILL STEFFEN, WOLFGANG LUCHT, JØRGEN
BENDTSEN , SARAH E. CORNELL, JONATHAN F. DONGES, MARKUS DRÜKE,
INGO FETZER , GOVINDASAMY BALA, [...], AND JOHAN ROCKSTRÖM <br>
SCIENCE ADVANCES<br>
13 Sep 2023<br>
Vol 9, Issue 37<br>
DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.adh2458</font><br>
<blockquote><font face="Calibri">Abstract</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">This planetary boundaries framework update
finds that six of the nine boundaries are transgressed,
suggesting that Earth is now well outside of the safe operating
space for humanity. Ocean acidification is close to being
breached, while aerosol loading regionally exceeds the boundary.
Stratospheric ozone levels have slightly recovered. The
transgression level has increased for all boundaries earlier
identified as overstepped. As primary production drives Earth
system biosphere functions, human appropriation of net primary
production is proposed as a control variable for functional
biosphere integrity. This boundary is also transgressed. Earth
system modeling of different levels of the transgression of the
climate and land system change boundaries illustrates that these
anthropogenic impacts on Earth system must be considered in a
systemic context</font><br>
</blockquote>
<font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.adh2458">https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.adh2458</a><br>
</font>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></p>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></p>
<p><font face="Calibri"><i>[ very adult, interesting discussions at
Planet Critical <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N88F5kvWa1Y">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N88F5kvWa1Y</a> ]</i><br>
<b>Creating The Alternative | Pat Kane</b><br>
Planet: Critical<br>
Sep 13, 2023 #climatecrisis #politicalcrisis #culture<br>
Imagine is a world beyond our wildest dreams...<br>
<br>
“A life beyond your wildest dreams” is promised to those
entering Narcotics Anonymous, a decentralised, collectively-run
program for sobriety in which fellow addicts help one another
get and stay clean. The promise doesn’t make sense when you
first hear it—it’s only after months, even years, of becoming
someone different that you realise how limited your imagination
was made by addiction.<br>
<br>
I think of our global relationship to capitalism very similarly.
It’s difficult to imagine life without it, and thus a better
world, but that doesn’t mean such a world isn’t possible. So how
do we unleash our imaginations and creativity to create a
culture and a world beyond our wildest dreams, one in which we
look after one another and the more-than-human world? How do we
code for care?<br>
<br>
This is what Pat Kane joins me to discuss. Pat is a writer and
musician, an activist, and a futurist. He writes a column for
The National in Scotland and is also the co-founder of The
Alternative, a media organisation embedded into community
resilience and imagining alternative ways of organising. Pat to
join me to discuss culture—how to understand it, how to code it,
how to change it. We explore the possibility of the internet as
emergent collective consciousness and a tool for creativity,
resilience and connection. We discuss the importance of play:
the psychology of play, the impact of play, and how play as
resistance reveals the absurdity of the human systems that we
are forced to interact with. We meander through this and more on
love, truth, cosmology, resilience, difficulty and imagination.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://youtu.be/N88F5kvWa1Y?si=vSnPLjxotMFQU8b_">https://youtu.be/N88F5kvWa1Y?si=vSnPLjxotMFQU8b_</a><br>
<br>
<br>
</font></p>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></p>
<i><font face="Calibri">[Assigning blame ]</font></i><b><font
face="Calibri"><br>
</font></b><font face="Calibri"><b>Planet Wreckers: How 20
Countries’ Oil and Gas Extraction Plans Risk Locking in Climate
Chaos</b><br>
SEPTEMBER 12, 2023BY NICOLEFEATURED, REPORTS, RESEARCH &
OPINIONS<br>
Published by Oil Change International<br>
SEPTEMBER 2023<br>
<br>
Download the report
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://priceofoil.org/content/uploads/2023/09/OCI-Planet-Wreckers-Report-Final.pdf">https://priceofoil.org/content/uploads/2023/09/OCI-Planet-Wreckers-Report-Final.pdf</a><br>
<br>
Read the press release <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://wp.me/paO9Ct-b38">https://wp.me/paO9Ct-b38</a><br>
<br>
Only 20 countries, led overwhelmingly by the United States, are
responsible for nearly 90 percent of the carbon-dioxide (CO2)
pollution threatened by new oil and gas fields and fracking wells
planned between 2023 and 2050. If this oil and gas expansion is
allowed to proceed, it would lock in climate chaos and an
unlivable future.<br>
<br>
This new report, titled Planet Wreckers: How 20 Countries’ Oil and
Gas Extraction Plans Risk Locking in Climate Chaos, is released
days ahead of United Nations Secretary-General António Guterres’
Climate Ambition Summit in New York City. Guterres has called for
countries to show up with commitments to stop oil and gas
expansion and plan a phase out of existing production in line with
the 1.5°C limit.<br>
<br>
The report shows that:<br>
</font>
<blockquote><font face="Calibri">Only 20 Planet Wrecker countries
are responsible for nearly 90 percent of the carbon-dioxide
(CO2) pollution from new oil and gas fields and fracking wells
planned between 2023 and 2050.</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">If these 20 Planet Wreckers said “no” to
their planned new oil and gas production, as the UN Secretary
General is urging them to, 173 billion tonnes (Gt) of carbon
pollution would be kept in the ground. That is equivalent to the
lifetime pollution of nearly 1,100 new coal plants, or more than
30 years of annual U.S. carbon emissions.</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">Oil and gas expansion by the 20 Planet
Wrecker countries would make it impossible to hold temperature
rise to 1.5°C. Even extracting just the fossil fuels from
existing sites globally would result in 140 percent more carbon
pollution than the allowed budget for 1.5°C. If these countries
proceed with their new extraction, committed carbon pollution
will be 190 percent over the 1.5°C budget, risking locking in
more than a dangerous 2°C of warming.</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">Stopping new oil and gas would put the world
closer to a 1.5°C aligned emissions trajectory but would not be
enough. Without any new oil and gas fields or licenses anywhere,
global oil and gas production would decline by two percent per
year to 2030 and by five percent per year from 2030 to 2050.
However, limiting heating to 1.5°C requires governments to go
further by closing down already producing fields.</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">The United States is Planet Wrecker In Chief,
accounting for more than one-third of planned global oil and gas
expansion through 2050, followed by Canada and Russia. The
United Arab Emirates (UAE) is also set to be one of the largest
expanders of oil and gas production despite pledging to use its
COP presidency to “keep 1.5°C alive.”</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">Five global north countries with the greatest
economic means to rapidly phase out production are responsible
for a majority (51 percent) of planned expansion from new oil
and gas fields through 2050: the United States, Canada,
Australia, Norway, and the United Kingdom. New drilling in
countries with high incomes, diversified economies and outsized
historical responsibility for causing the climate crisis, while
claiming to be climate leaders, is inexcusable. These countries
must not only stop expansion immediately but also move first and
fastest to phase out their production and pay their fair share
to fund a just global energy transition.</font><br>
</blockquote>
<font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://priceofoil.org/content/uploads/2023/09/OCI-Planet-Wreckers-Report-Final.pdf">https://priceofoil.org/content/uploads/2023/09/OCI-Planet-Wreckers-Report-Final.pdf</a><br>
</font>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></p>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font> </p>
<font face="Calibri"> <i>[The news archive - looking back]</i><br>
<font size="+2"><i><b>September 15, 2002 </b></i></font> <br>
September 15, 2002: The New York Times reports:<br>
<br>
"For the first time in six years, the annual federal report on air
pollution trends has no section on global warming, though
President Bush has said that slowing the growth of emissions
linked to warming is a priority for his administration.<br>
<br>
"The decision to delete the chapter on climate change was made by
top officials at the Environmental Protection Agency with White
House approval, White House officials said."<br>
<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://www.nytimes.com/2002/09/15/us/with-white-house-approval-epa-pollution-report-omits-global-warming-section.html">http://www.nytimes.com/2002/09/15/us/with-white-house-approval-epa-pollution-report-omits-global-warming-section.html</a><br>
<br>
<br>
</font>
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