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<font size="+2"><font face="Calibri"><i><b>October 12</b></i></font></font><font
size="+2" face="Calibri"><i><b>, 2023</b></i></font><font
face="Calibri"><br>
</font> <br>
<font face="Calibri"><i>[ yes Newsweek ]</i></font><br>
<font face="Calibri"><b>Middle America Will Soon Be Too Hot to Live
in, Scientists Predict</b><br>
BY ROBYN WHITE </font><br>
<font face="Calibri">10/10/23 <br>
</font><font face="Calibri">New research has found that Middle
America could soon be too hot for humans to live in.<br>
<br>
The section of the United States from Florida to New York and
Houston to Chicago could get so hot that humans would not be able
to withstand the heat if the planet continues to warm past 3
degrees Celsius (37.4 degrees Fahrenheit) above pre-industrial
levels, according to a study published in the Proceedings of the
National Academy of Sciences.<br>
<br>
At the Earth's current level of warming, the U.S. will experience
heat waves, but they will not surpass human limitations— though
some parts of the world will. During the study, scientists looked
at five possible warming scenarios if the Earth were to warm
beyond 1.5 degrees Celsius (34.7 degrees Fahrenheit) above
preindustrial levels.<br>
<br>
"Among the five scenarios, the intermediate one is most likely and
will lead to a warming of 2.1-3.5 degrees Celsius with a median at
2.7 degrees Celsius (compared with pre-industrial period) by the
end of this century," Qinqin Kong, a co-author on the study and a
doctoral candidate at Purdue University, told Newsweek.<br>
<br>
"Recent observations showed that we might do slightly better with
a warming between 2 and 3 degrees Celsius. At 2 degrees Celsius
warming, only relatively small areas over Pakistan will have over
240 hours of uncompensable heat stress each year, which amounts to
one month if you count eight hours for a day," he said. "This is
surely a problem since that region is densely populated. But I
wouldn't expect heat stress to make any place inhabitable at this
level of warming."<br>
</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">At 3 degrees Celsius warming, a large part of
the Indus Valley and coastal region of the Persian Gulf and the
Red Sea could possibly see over two months and even more than
three months of uncompensable heat stress on average every year,
Kong said.<br>
<br>
"Al Hudaydah, the second-largest city of Yemen, this number
reaches up to 160 days. With uncompensable heat of season length
on average each year, these regions will become inhabitable, or
dramatic lifestyle changes (e.g., staying in the air conditioning
room most of the time) are necessary to survive. As 3 degrees
Celsius is within the envelope of the most likely warming
scenarios, the aforementioned situations are quite likely to
happen in my opinion," Kong said.<br>
<br>
Humans can only withstand a certain amount of heat and humidity
before it becomes a serious problem for their health. Prolonged
exposure to extreme heat can cause heat stroke or in severe cases,
even heart attacks.<br>
<br>
As human-induced climate change continues, the Earth will only
continue to warm. Scientists believe it could be only a matter of
time before the planet reaches a point beyond the point that a
human could withstand.<br>
<br>
Deals like the Paris Agreement aim to minimize warming. Since the
start of the Industrial Revolution—when humans first began to burn
fossil fuels in large numbers—the Earth has warmed by around 1
degrees Celsius, or 1.8 degrees Fahrenheit.<br>
<br>
There are some instances where incredibly hot temperatures have
already started to affect humans. Scientists reiterate that while
models used in the study are good at predicting events, they do
not predict specific events. Events like this can include the
Oregon heatwave that killed more than 700 people in 2021.<br>
</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">It also does not seem possible that humans will
be able to adapt to these rapidly rising temperatures.<br>
<br>
"Evolutionary or genetic adaptation to a changing climate takes
many, many generations to develop, much longer than the timescales
associated with our current changing climate," Daniel Vecellio,
who performed the study as a postdoctoral fellow in the Center for
Healthy Aging at Penn State University and postdoctoral scholar at
George Mason University's Virginia Climate Center, told Newsweek.<br>
<br>
"Based on human's current physiological capabilities, it may be
possible for those who live in the regions which are chronically
exposed to extreme heat (e.g., South Asia, the Middle East) to
develop better biological protection to the heat, but there is
still a limit to what they'll be able to withstand. Those living
in the mid-latitudes will likely not be exposed to this extreme
heat on a consistent enough basis to build up any large or
long-lasting physiological protection."<br>
<br>
Vecellio said that adaptation for most people will be in the
technological sense, such as the use of air conditions. Behavioral
adaptations may also be made, for example, the change of working
hours to avoid the hottest parts of the day...</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">- -</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">"I don't think that it was shocking that with
continued warming, we would reach these lower wet-bulb temperature
thresholds in more regions across the globe more frequently, but
some of the magnitudes of the yearly exposure to uncompensable
heat stress were sobering to see," Vecellio said.<br>
<br>
"Of course, one would imagine that the summer season would see
longer periods of threshold exceedance—but some of the Middle
Eastern cities having over 1,000 or 2,000 hours of exposure every
year in a 4-degree Celcius warmer world, which, if spread out
evenly in 8-hour increments, would mean up to 300 days a year of
this seemingly fatal heat stress if no precautions or
technological adaptation were to take place—was a distressing
result to stomach."<br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.newsweek.com/middle-america-too-hot-live-scientists-predict-1833481">https://www.newsweek.com/middle-america-too-hot-live-scientists-predict-1833481</a><br>
</font>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></p>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></p>
<font face="Calibri"><i>[ YALE looks at climate migrations and
climate mobility - video ]<br>
</i></font><font face="Calibri"><b>Navigating the Future:
Harnessing Data-Driven Insights on Climate Mobility to Build a
Common Agenda</b><br>
Yale University<br>
Oct 11, 2023<br>
The seminar by David Lönnberg and Sarah Rosengaertner unpacks the
efforts of the Global Centre for Climate Mobility (GCCM) to
further climate mobility knowledge and solutions. They underscore
the importance of data, modeling, and stakeholder engagement to
support proactive adaptation strategies for communities
confronting the climate crisis. This work is part of the ongoing
proposals and development agendas of the regional climate mobility
initiatives, (<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://climatemobility.org/initiativ">https://climatemobility.org/initiativ</a>....<br>
<br>
David Lönnberg serves as the Senior Advisor for Youth and Outreach
at the GCCM where he supports the Africa Climate Mobility
Initiative (ACMI), the Greater Caribbean Climate Mobility
Initiative (GCCMI), and the Rising Nations Initiative (RNI), as
well as the development of the GCCM’s Solutions Lab.<br>
Sarah Rosengaertner currently serves as the Lead for Knowledge and
Practice of the GCCM where she oversees the efforts of the Africa
Climate Mobility Initiative (ACMI) and the Greater Caribbean
Climate Mobility Initiative (GCCMI), as well as the development of
the GCCM’s Global Knowledge Hub with the Columbia University
Climate School.<br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J9VCRTW6Hus">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J9VCRTW6Hus</a><br>
</font>
<p><font face="Calibri">- -</font></p>
<i><font face="Calibri">[ Yale PRFDHR </font><font face="Calibri">--
Program on Refugees, Forced Displacement, and Humanitarian
Responses (PRFDHR) </font><font face="Calibri">]<br>
</font></i><font face="Calibri"><b>Refugee Program, Yale MacMillan
Center</b></font><br>
<font face="Calibri">@refugeeprogramyalemacmilla351329 </font><br>
<font face="Calibri">The Program on Refugees, Forced Displacement,
and Humanitarian Responses (PRFDHR) is an intellectual hub for
research, teaching, and policy recommendations that takes a
people-centered approach to the refugee experience – from internal
displacement at home, to the transit experience inside and outside
the camp, to challenges of resettlement and integration. Acting as
a catalyst for innovation, it is open to new and unconventional
ideas of research or public outreach. Rigorous,
inter-disciplinary, evidence-based research is being conducted and
linked to policy and practice.<br>
refugee.macmillan.yale.edu and 2 more links<br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC93yjOvh6nwSdpacP3FnTeQ">https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC93yjOvh6nwSdpacP3FnTeQ</a><br>
</font>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></p>
<br>
<font face="Calibri"><i>[ Local or Global --- ]<br>
</i> </font><font face="Calibri"><b>Staking Your Life On It: All
In For A Climate, All In For A Future | Rupert Read</b><br>
Rupert Read<br>
Oct 10, 2023<br>
A climate means a stable regime of weather. This is what is now
under threat, in the new abnormal. In this recent major talk,
Rupert Read outlines why he thinks the future looks dire - and why
he is all in for making it decent, desirable, even delightful…
Rupert’s talk is followed by Satish Kumar’s response, and they
then have an engaging conversation about the power of positive and
‘negative’ emotions to bring about transformative change.<br>
<br>
Across the UK in communities, workplaces and wherever they have
power, people from all walks of life are organising the kinds of
serious climate action that will make governments take notice. The
Climate Majority Project is a rallying place for citizen climate
action. We help projects to grow, get funding, and connect with as
many willing hands as possible. <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://ClimateMajorityProject.com">https://ClimateMajorityProject.com</a><br>
</font><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J475CVG-1sQ">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J475CVG-1sQ</a><br>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></p>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></p>
<font face="Calibri"><i>[ Food stresses early warning group
discussion video ]</i></font><br>
<font face="Calibri"><b>FEWS NET El Niño Briefing</b><br>
Aug 31, 2023<br>
<b>El Niño and Early Warning Systems for Acute Food Insecurity</b><br>
<br>
The Famine Early Warning Systems Network (FEWS NET) factors
climate variability and extremes, including those associated with
El Niño, into monthly analyses that generate current and forecast
estimates of people in need of emergency food assistance according
to global standards defined by the Integrated Food Security Phase
Classification (IPC) Scale. This is done through scenario
development, which includes the adoption of working assumptions
about current and projected climatic conditions. <br>
<br>
FEWS NET science partners at NOAA, NASA, USGS, and universities
provide food security analysts with the agro-climatic monitoring
and forecasting they need to assess impacts on households' means
of accessing food and income. FEWS NET science partners take
8-month forecasts of the state of the global climate and express
them in terms of expected rainfall anomalies and associated
variations in crop yield, pasture conditions, and water
availability for livestock. FEWS NET began factoring El Niño into
its food security assessments in January 2023, when the phenomenon
first appeared in global climate forecasts. Going forward, FEWS
NET will monitor and continuously update its El Niño outlook. At
climate scale, each month, new seasonal forecast model runs from
WMO Long Range Forecast centers are interpreted for evolving
patterns of precipitation and temperature. Additionally, NOAA
provides a regular weather hazards briefing to track unfolding
seasons at a weekly cadence.<br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EeDV8LJOVfY">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EeDV8LJOVfY</a><br>
</font>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></p>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></p>
<font face="Calibri"> <i>[ Yikes ! An 11 minute introduction to a
12 minute discussion - video ]</i></font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> </font> <font face="Calibri"><b>"Don't let
yourself fall out of Love with Life." How shall we comport
ourselves facing Collapse?</b><br>
The Poetry of Predicament<br>
Oct 10, 2023<br>
This clip of Nora Bateson, Daniel Schmachtenberger and Nate Hagens
is but one small part of our Sense Making Course in the Living
Resilience Online Community Space.<br>
<br>
These three remarkable thought-leaders explore responses to Dahr
Jamail's famous closing words in his brilliant book, The End of
Ice...<br>
<br>
How shall we comport ourselves as we face the realities of
human-caused collapse of both Earth and Human Systems?<br>
<br>
More specifically, they recap some of the more daunting truths we
are facing in these times... and each of them, in their own way,
suggests how we might presence ourselves in a loving way, in a way
that promotes deep relationship, no matter what our future may
hold.<br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TioEe400sUs">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TioEe400sUs</a><br>
</font>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></p>
<br>
<br>
<font face="Calibri"><i>[ - too often forgotten ]<br>
</i> </font> <b>Climate crisis is ‘not gender neutral’: UN calls
for more policy focus on women</b><br>
Only a third of countries with climate crisis plans include access
to sexual, maternal and newborn health services, UNFPA report finds<br>
Sarah Johnson<br>
Tue 10 Oct 2023<br>
Only a third of countries include sexual and reproductive health in
their national plans to tackle the climate crisis, the UN has
warned.<br>
<br>
Of the 119 countries that have published plans, only 38 include
access to contraception, maternal and newborn health services and
just 15 make any reference to violence against women, according to a
report published by the UN Population Fund (UNFPA) and Queen Mary
University of London on Tuesday.<br>
<br>
The report is the first to examine whether climate plans refer to
sexual and reproductive health.<br>
<br>
It calls on more countries to recognise the disproportionate impact
of the climate crisis on women and girls, and for more action.<br>
<br>
Rising temperatures have been linked to poorer maternal health and
complications during pregnancy, such as gestational diabetes.
Extreme heat has been associated with triggering earlier deliveries
and an increase in stillbirths.<br>
<br>
The report said the climate crisis exacerbated existing
inequalities. In east and southern Africa, for example, tropical
cyclones have damaged health facilities, disrupting access to
maternal health services and helping spread waterborne diseases such
as cholera.<br>
<br>
Hurricanes and droughts increase the risks of gender-based violence
and child marriage, it added, as families under stress are less able
to support daughters and seek to marry them off.<br>
<br>
Angela Baschieri, an adviser on population and development for UNFPA
and one of the report’s authors, said: “If we look at the plan of
action for women and girls, national plans show there is more work
that could be done.<br>
<br>
“We know climate change disproportionately affects women and is not
gender neutral so there is a need to address those gaps and
impacts.”<br>
<br>
The report highlighted the countries that are taking action.
Paraguay, Seychelles and Benin have specified the need to build
climate-resilient health systems allowing women to give birth safely
and access health services.<br>
<br>
Nine countries, including El Salvador, Sierra Leone and Guinea, have
included policies or interventions to address gender-based violence.<br>
<br>
Only Dominica has mentioned the need for contraception, despite
evidence of disruptions to family-planning services during
climate-related disasters.<br>
<br>
Vietnam is the only country to acknowledge that child marriage
occurs more often during times of crises as families seek to reduce
their economic burden (for example, marriages of girls aged 11 to 14
increased by half in Bangladesh in years with a heatwave lasting a
month).<br>
<br>
“Climate is setting us back on the fight to gender equality. Our
point would be to make sure that climate policy recognises the
differential impact on women and takes it into account in the design
of policy,” said Baschieri.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2023/oct/10/climate-crisis-is-not-gender-neutral-un-calls-for-more-policy-focus-on-women">https://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2023/oct/10/climate-crisis-is-not-gender-neutral-un-calls-for-more-policy-focus-on-women</a><br>
<br>
<p><br>
</p>
<font face="Calibri"><i>[The news archive - looking back at one
campaign debate ]</i><br>
<font size="+2"><i><b>October 12, 2004 </b></i></font> <br>
</font><font face="Calibri">October 12, 2004: In a sentence that
speaks volumes, Wall Street Journal columnist Brendan Miniter,
discussing the October 8 debate between President Bush and
Democratic opponent John Kerry, observes:</font><br>
<blockquote><font face="Calibri">On the one issue in the debate in
which Democrats hold the natural advantage, the environment, Mr.
Kerry came out on top. He attacked Mr. Bush's policies, saying
they have "Orwellian" names like "Clear Skies" but in reality
harm the environment.</font><br>
<br>
<font face="Calibri">The president was left to insist that the air
is cleaner than it was four years ago. It's too bad he didn't
find a way to deflate fears about his administration by noting
that most of the promising ideas on the environment are
percolating from free-market groups like The Property &
Environmental Research Center. PERC, in Bozeman, Mont., has been
on the forefront for decades on finding ways to use property
rights to protect the environment and has seen some of its ideas
become policy.</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">- -</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">Since Sept. 11, 2001, Mr. Bush has rightly
been seen as a war president and the war on terror and how it
should be fought remains the overarching issue of this campaign.
But it's a mistake to discount Mr. Bush and the popularity of
his domestic agenda. The media will never give him the win
unless he soundly puts Mr. Kerry away--especially when
journalists start out assuming that Americans really want the
Democrat's policies. But looking over last week's performance
it's hard to say Mr. Bush didn't do well. It turns out that the
one advantage of being a big spender is that it is hard to be
tagged as inattentive to people's needs.</font><br>
</blockquote>
<font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://web.archive.org/web/20041120230653/http://www.opinionjournal.com/columnists/bminiter/?id=110005744">http://web.archive.org/web/20041120230653/http://www.opinionjournal.com/columnists/bminiter/?id=110005744</a></font><font
face="Calibri"><br>
<br>
</font>
<p><font face="Calibri"> <br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><br>
=== Other climate news sources
===========================================<br>
</font> <font face="Calibri"><b>*Inside Climate News</b><br>
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</font> <font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://insideclimatenews.org/">https://insideclimatenews.org/</a><br>
--------------------------------------- <br>
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more at <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
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