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<font size="+2"><font face="Calibri"><i><b>October 18</b></i></font></font><font
size="+2" face="Calibri"><i><b>, 2023</b></i></font><font
face="Calibri"><br>
</font> <br>
<font face="Calibri"><i>[ The Amazon jungle is drying out - NYTimes
]<br>
</i> </font><font face="Calibri"><b>A Severe Drought Pushes an
Imperiled Amazon to the Brink</b><br>
The rainforest holds a fifth of the world’s fresh water, but
deforestation, dwindling rain and unrelenting heat are sucking it
dry.<br>
</font><font face="Calibri">By Ana Ionova and Manuela Andreoni<br>
Oct. 17, 2023<br>
The planet’s biggest freshwater tank is in trouble.<br>
<br>
The Amazon rainforest, where a fifth of the world’s freshwater
flows, is reeling from a powerful drought that shows no sign of
abating.<br>
<br>
Likely made worse by global warming and deforestation, the drought
has fueled large wildfires that have made the air hazardous for
millions of people, including Indigenous communities, while also
drying out major rivers at a record pace.<br>
<br>
One major river reached its lowest level ever documented on
Monday, while others are nearing records, suffocating endangered
pink dolphins, shutting down a major hydropower plant and
isolating tens of thousands living in remote communities who can
only travel by boat...<br>
</font><font face="Calibri">- -<br>
</font><font face="Calibri">The drier conditions are accelerating
the destruction of the world’s largest and most biodiverse
rainforest where parts have started to transform from humid
ecosystems that store huge amounts of heat-trapping gases into
drier ones that are releasing the gases into the atmosphere. The
result is a double blow to the global struggle to fight climate
change and biodiversity loss.<br>
<br>
“This is a catastrophe of lasting consequences,” Luciana Vanni
Gatti, a scientist at Brazil’s National Institute of Space
Research who has been documenting changes in the Amazon. “The more
forest loss we have, the less resilience it has.”<br>
<br>
Recent studies have shown that climate change, deforestation and
fires have made it harder for the Amazon to recover from severe
droughts...<br>
</font><font face="Calibri">- -<br>
</font><font face="Calibri">Drying rivers are also a blow to the
region’s economy. Barges that move corn bound for China and other
countries were forced to reduce their cargo by half along an
important river this month because the water was too shallow, and
the erosion of a riverbed caused one port to collapse.<br>
<br>
The Amazon’s rivers also fuel power plants that produce over a
10th of Brazil’s electricity and the lack of rain led one power
plant to shut down.<br>
<br>
Similar drought conditions were documented in 2015, contributing
to the Amazon’s worst fire season on record. But scientists expect
this drought to be even more devastating because the Atlantic
Ocean is warmer and El Niño hasn’t yet reached its peak.<br>
<br>
“This is just the beginning,” Dr. Gatti, the scientist, said.<br>
<br>
On a recent afternoon, heavy clouds darkened the skies over the
riverside village of Boca do Mamirauá. People scrambled to grab
buckets, ready to fill them with rainwater. But the ominous clouds
passed quickly. “Not a single drop,” Ms. Martins, the community
leader, said.<br>
<br>
“We’re just praying for the rain to come.”<br>
</font><br>
<font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/17/climate/amazon-rainforest-drought-climate-change.html">https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/17/climate/amazon-rainforest-drought-climate-change.html</a></font><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/17/climate/amazon-rainforest-drought-climate-change.html?unlocked_article_code=QzmIl6EERB0RlhAPId56mohIQAhIiFITYLPVgGzz3bCIfaeqVc6VoWK8P3c8vIA5GLYMBAAZEU6S9Vo1MpWNGVojUPjLUqw9IY264uOVTU9qQTjPnDwdBQmUEiYlkoKJajyxdLyYN9t7sHPsG36XNLq7BLvdpjY-FfrcpZZ1RSV_AplWgSCxf-Eo0BLpd3zNeItLztXUpSavIg1VKlSzGILtA6UXriTLnzNDsBqR72u4Ff7MhZDovtmDgmmWuxTQ_EKcjfD1cS5f9Z86YO914VYPYGBT7t38oCpECfhc-8hJfx-_lG4hF3oscIPajCKcBFZd7WaE8KrhkRWuAguUDZYLY6lei8Jvzljzv38eceqWYQ&smid=url-share">https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/17/climate/amazon-rainforest-drought-climate-change.html?unlocked_article_code=QzmIl6EERB0RlhAPId56mohIQAhIiFITYLPVgGzz3bCIfaeqVc6VoWK8P3c8vIA5GLYMBAAZEU6S9Vo1MpWNGVojUPjLUqw9IY264uOVTU9qQTjPnDwdBQmUEiYlkoKJajyxdLyYN9t7sHPsG36XNLq7BLvdpjY-FfrcpZZ1RSV_AplWgSCxf-Eo0BLpd3zNeItLztXUpSavIg1VKlSzGILtA6UXriTLnzNDsBqR72u4Ff7MhZDovtmDgmmWuxTQ_EKcjfD1cS5f9Z86YO914VYPYGBT7t38oCpECfhc-8hJfx-_lG4hF3oscIPajCKcBFZd7WaE8KrhkRWuAguUDZYLY6lei8Jvzljzv38eceqWYQ&smid=url-share</a><br>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></p>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></p>
<font face="Calibri"><i>[ video -- reports and announcements ]</i></font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> </font> <font face="Calibri"><b>Sea Ice
Conditions, Predictions, and Forecasts: Sea Ice Community
Meeting September 2023</b><br>
IARPC Collaborations<br>
</font><font face="Calibri">Sep 28, 2023<br>
The primary objective of this meeting was to provide a
comprehensive update on current sea ice conditions, predictions,
and forecasts. Presentations included near-real-time analysis of
climate and ice at the poles, review of the 2023 Sea Ice Outlook,
the International Arctic Buoy Programme, and the Unified Forecast
System (UFS) application in the Arctic. Our goal is to foster
informed discussions, encourage collaborative research, and
enhance our collective understanding of the rapidly changing
Arctic environment.<br>
<br>
Ted Scambos (National Snow and Ice Data Center) presented "Arctic
Sea Ice News and Analysis and Greenland Today - near-real-time
analysis of climate and ice at the poles." Ed Blanchard
Wrigglesworth (University of Washington) presented a review of the
summer 2023 sea ice outlook. Ignatius Rigor (University of
Washington) presented an update on the International Arctic Buoy
Programme. Chris Cox (NOAA Physical Sciences Laboratory) presented
"UFS-Arctic: A Pan-Arctic Regional Application of the UFS."<br>
<br>
Want to join future IARPC Collaborations meetings or webinars?
Request an account on our member space where U.S. federal
government program managers, scientists, and community members
from state, academic, Indigenous, nonprofit, and private sector
organizations team up to solve hard problems to carry out the
research laid out in the Arctic Research Plan. Visit »
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.iarpccollaborations.org">https://www.iarpccollaborations.org</a><br>
</font>
<blockquote><font face="Calibri">00:00:00 Introduction</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">00:01:12 Ted Scambos</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">00:15:00 Ed Blanchard Wrigglesworth</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">00:28:49 Ignatius Rigor</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">00:40:38 Chris Cox</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">00:51:31 Discussion</font><br>
</blockquote>
<font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V0XJCBHG6SM">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V0XJCBHG6SM</a><br>
</font>
<p><font face="Calibri">- -</font></p>
<font face="Calibri"><i>[ Cryosphere Climate report - ocean
circulation is warmer -- YouTube ]</i></font><br>
<font face="Calibri"><b>Arctic 21: Current State of Sea Ice Cover</b></font><br>
<font face="Calibri">International Cryosphere Climate Initiative</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">Oct 6, 2023</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">Last month, Antarctica's maximum sea ice extent
hit a record-breaking low. At the same time,, the Arctic
experienced its sixth lowest minimum of sea ice since satellite
records began in 1979. Scientists raise concern that the effects
of climate change are now threatening sea ice in both poles;
Antarctica might not be as invulnerable as previously thought. Dr.
Walt Meier, Senior Research Scientist at the National Snow and Ice
Data Center (NSIDC), summarizes the latest sea ice observations. </font><br>
<br>
<font face="Calibri">This Arctic 21 session was moderated by Pam
Pearson, Executive Director, ICCI. </font><br>
<br>
<font face="Calibri">Presentations include:</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">A "Normal Low" Arctic Minimum, and A "Record
Low Minimum" Antarctic Maximum</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">Dr. Walt Meier | Senior Research Scientist at
NSIDC; University of Colorado Boulder.</font><br>
<br>
<font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kWswYja1Q6Y">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kWswYja1Q6Y</a></font><br>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></p>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></p>
<font face="Calibri"><i>[ Needing therapy for climate anxiety? --
from ClimatePsychologyAlliance.US ]<br>
</i></font><font face="Calibri"><b>Episode 1, Beyond Climate
Anxiety<br>
</b></font><font face="Calibri"><b>Climate Anxiety - is it the
right focus for climate-aware mental health care?</b></font><br>
<font face="Calibri">Climate anxiety. It's getting lots of clinical
and popular attention, but is it actually the right focus for
climate-aware mental health care?<br>
Podcast produced by Rei Takver<br>
Featuring:<br>
Wendy Greenspun, NYC psychoanalyst and faculty at Adelphi
University<br>
Panu Pikhala, Adjunct Professor of Environmental Theology at
University of Helsinki<br>
Selin Nurgun, Somatic Coach and resilience practitioner<br>
Sarah Jaquette Ray, Program Leader of Environmental Studies at
Humboldt State<br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.climatepsychology.us/climate-psychology-conversations/beyond-climate-anxiety">https://www.climatepsychology.us/climate-psychology-conversations/beyond-climate-anxiety</a><br>
</font>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></p>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></p>
<font face="Calibri"></font><font face="Calibri"> <i>[The news
archive - looking back very early times -- 1983 ]</i></font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> <font size="+2"><i><b>October 18, 1983</b></i></font>
</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">October 18, 1983: In what would be one of her
last "News Digest" broadcasts, NBC anchor Jessica Savitch mentions
a recently released EPA report on the consequences of carbon
pollution.</font><br>
<font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2w4pFNCzhTg">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2w4pFNCzhTg</a> <br>
</font><br>
<font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://www.fuzzymemories.tv/#videoclip-3279">http://www.fuzzymemories.tv/#videoclip-3279</a></font><br>
<font face="Calibri">- -</font>
<p><font face="Calibri"><b>A Greenhouse Effect Warning from 1983</b><br>
by soarbird<br>
Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos
staff prior to publication.)<br>
Thursday, June 21, 2012 <br>
While cleaning out my office the other day, I found a yellowed
newspaper clipping with the headline, "Greenhouse effect viewed
with alarm." The article was dated Oct. 18, 1983. Check it
out below the fold:<br>
</font></p>
<p><font face="Calibri">WASHINGTON (AP) -- A potentially
catastrophic warming of the Earth will start in the 1990s,
disrupting food production and raising coastal waters as the
polar icecaps melt, the federal government said in a report
released today.<br>
<br>
The study by the Environmental Protection Agency said the
climatic changes from the so-called “greenhouse effect” are
unavoidable and warned that the United States and other
countries must begin searching now for ways to mitigate the
impact.<br>
<br>
The report, titled “Can We Delay a Greenhouse Warming?”
concluded that even as drastic and unlikely a step as a total
ban on coal burning would delay by only 15 years a 3.6 degree
increase in average worldwide temperatures.<br>
<br>
While other government studies have warned that the greenhouse
effect was a potential problem, the EPA report is the first to
state with certainty that the warming will occur no matter what.<br>
<br>
The EPA study is based on earlier projections by the National
Academy of Sciences that a doubling of carbon dioxide in the air
– which could occur by the middle of the next century – would
raise present world temperatures within a range of 2.7 degrees
to 8.1 degrees Fahrenheit.<br>
<br>
This result is known as the greenhouse effect because carbon
dioxide acts like the glass in a greenhouse allowing the sun’s
warming rays to reach earth but not allowing the heat to escape.<br>
<br>
This is an amazingly unbalanced article by 2012 standards.
Clearly, the denialists weren't yet active in 1983, and climate
scientists still felt free to draw bold conclusions. Imagine
stating with certainty that "the warming will occur no matter
what," and in the 1990s, no less! These days, by the third
paragraph at the very latest, the article would say, "Other
scientists, however, disagree. Joe Blah, of the Climate Truth
Institute, says, "The evidence does not support such a
conclusion. Drill, baby, drill! And furthermore, blah blah!"<br>
<br>
The well-funded denialist movement has done a splendid job
spreading lies and confusion, preventing effective action, to
the point that many observers, including myself, view the
situation as irredeemable. Opinions among the "reality-based
community" still vary widely, but it will be only a very few
more years before the climate scientists have accumulated enough
data to start projecting the consequences of the ever-increasing
Arctic methane release. Then, perhaps, we can start to achieve
some kind of consensus about what we are really up against.<br>
<br>
This is my first diary under this moniker, though I have been
reading DKos regularly since the spring of 1993, just before the
war. (The status I would have if I had registered a username
back then!) I was once a fledgling planetary astronomer in the
1960s, doing research on weather patterns on the planet Jupiter,
so I have always had a planetary mindset and have always viewed
Earth in planetary terms. I totally bought the Whole Earth
Catalog "whole systems" approach. In my estimation, we actually
passed the point of no return 20 years ago. This conclusion has
seemed inescapable to me ever since the early 1990s. Since then
I have been asking myself, "OK, if this is true, then now
what?" Some day I'll probably write something about this
subject. It's important to remember that we're no more doomed
now that we ever were. Only the time scale has changed. <br>
</font></p>
<font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2012/06/21/1101930/-A-Greenhouse-Effect-Warning-from-1983">https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2012/06/21/1101930/-A-Greenhouse-Effect-Warning-from-1983</a>
<br>
</font>
<p>- - <br>
</p>
<i>[ from 1983 -- Where were we some 40 years ago ? ]</i><br>
<b>Early climate change consensus at the National Academy: the
origins and making of "Changing Climate"</b><br>
Nicolas Nierenberg 1, Walter R Tschinkel, Victoria J Tschinkel<br>
Affiliations expand<br>
PMID: 20848755 DOI: 10.1525/hsns.2010.40.3.318<br>
<blockquote>Abstract<br>
The 1983 National Academy of Sciences report entitled "Changing
Climate," authored by a committee of physical and social
scientists chaired by William Nierenberg, was an early
comprehensive review of the effects of human-caused increases in
the levels of atmospheric CO2. Study of the events surrounding the
committee's creation, deliberations, and subsequent report
demonstrates that the conclusions of the report were the consensus
of the entire committee and in line with the scientific consensus
of the time. This result contraverts a 2008 paper in which Naomi
Oreskes, Erik M. Conway, and Matthew Shindell asserted that the
report contradicted a growing consensus about climate change, and
that Nierenberg for political reasons deliberately altered the
summary and conclusions of the report in a way that played down
the concerns of the other physical scientists on the committee.
Examining the production of the report and contextualizing it in
contemporaneous scientific and political discussion, we instead
show how it was a multi-year effort with work divided among the
various members of the committee according to their expertise. The
synthesis and conclusions were expressly a joint statement of the
committee and were consistent with other assessments of that time
expressing deep concern over the potential issues while stopping
short of recommending major policy changes due to the
uncertainties, and to a lack of good alternatives.<br>
</blockquote>
<font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/20848755/">https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/20848755/</a></font>
<p><font face="Calibri"> <br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><br>
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