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<p><font size="+2"><font face="Calibri"><i><b>October 22</b></i></font></font><font
size="+2" face="Calibri"><i><b>, 2023</b></i></font></p>
<i>[ NYTimes Magazine the Climate Psychology Alliance -- text clips
and audio - I too, am kept up at night, and so honored to be
involved with this non-profit organization -
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.climatepsychology.us/">https://www.climatepsychology.us/</a> ]</i><br>
<b>Climate Change Is Keeping Therapists Up at Night</b><br>
How anxiety about the planet’s future is transforming the practice
of psychotherapy.<br>
By Brooke Jarvis<br>
Oct. 21, 2023<br>
Andrew Bryant can still remember when he thought of climate change
as primarily a problem of the future. When he heard or read about
troubling impacts, he found himself setting them in 2080, a year
that, not so coincidentally, would be a century after his own birth.
The changing climate, and all the challenges it would bring, were
“scary and sad,” he said recently, “but so far in the future that
I’d be safe.”...<br>
- -<br>
<i>[ audio reading ]</i>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.nytimes.com/audio/app/2023/10/21/magazine/climate-anxiety-therapy.html?referringSource=audioAppPromo"
moz-do-not-send="true">https://www.nytimes.com/audio/app/2023/10/21/magazine/climate-anxiety-therapy.html?referringSource=audioAppPromo</a><br>
- -<br>
Now lots of Bryant’s clients wanted to talk about climate change.
They wanted to talk about how strange and disorienting and scary
this new reality felt, about what the future might be like and how
they might face it, about how to deal with all the strong feelings —
helplessness, rage, depression, guilt — being stirred up inside
them.<br>
<br>
As a therapist, Bryant found himself unsure how to respond. He grew
up deeply interested in science and nature — he was a biology major
before his fascination with human behavior turned him toward social
work — but he always thought of those interests as separate from the
profession he would eventually choose. And while his clinical
education offered lots of training in, say, substance abuse or
family therapy, there was nothing about environmental crisis, or how
to treat patients whose mental health was affected by it. He began
reaching out to other counselors, who had similar stories. They came
from a variety of clinical backgrounds and orientations, but none of
their trainings had covered issues like climate change or
environmental anxiety...<br>
<p>Over and over, he read the same story, of potential patients
who’d gone looking for someone to talk to about climate change and
other environmental crises, only to be told that they were
overreacting — that their concern, and not the climate, was what
was out of whack and in need of treatment. (This was a story
common enough to have become a joke, another therapist told me:
“You come in and talk about how anxious you are that fossil-fuel
companies continue to pump CO2 into the air, and your therapist
says, ‘So, tell me about your mother.’”) ...</p>
One of the emerging tenets of climate psychology is that counselors
should validate their clients’ climate-related emotions as
reasonable, not pathological. This doesn’t mean confirming
particular predictions or scenarios — they’re therapists, not
climate scientists — or amplifying existing fears, but it does mean
validating that feelings like grief and fear and shame aren’t a form
of sickness, but, as Weston put it, “are actually rational responses
to a world that’s very scary and very uncertain and very dangerous
for people.” In the words of a handbook on climate psychology,
“Paying heed to what is happening in our communities and across the
globe is a healthier response than turning away in denial or
disavowal.”...<br>
<p>Many of the therapists I talked to spoke of their role not as
“fixing” a patient’s problem or responding to a pathology, but
simply giving their patients the tools to name and explore their
most difficult emotions, to sit with painful feelings without
instantly running away from them. For this, they found that many
of the methods in their traditional tool kits continue to be
useful in climate psychology. Anxiety and hopelessness and anger
are all familiar territory, after all, with long histories of
well-studied treatments. Plus, people bring their own issues and
patterns to the particularities of the climate crisis:
hypervigilant doom-scrolling if they have control issues, perhaps,
or falling into despondency if they have a tendency toward
depression. (And, in defiance of the joke, sometimes it is still
helpful to talk about your mother.) They focused on trying to help
patients develop coping skills and find meaning amid
destabilization, to still see themselves as having agency and
choice...</p>
<p>Lately, Bryant told me, he’s been most excited about the work
that happens outside the therapy room: places where groups of
people gather to talk about their feelings and the future they’re
facing. It was at such a meeting — a community event where people
were brainstorming ways to adapt to climate chaos — that Weston,
realizing she had concrete skills to offer, was inspired to rework
her practice to focus on the challenge. She remembers finding the
gathering empowering and energizing in a way she hadn’t
experienced before. In such settings, it was automatic that people
would feel embraced instead of isolated, natural that the
conversation would start moving away from the individual and
toward collective experiences and ideas. There was no fully
separate space, to be mended on its own. There was only a shared
and broken world, and a community united in loving it.<br>
<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/21/magazine/climate-anxiety-therapy.html?unlocked_article_code=1.4kw.npQ9.DNnepmOgVBfq&smid=url-share"
moz-do-not-send="true">https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/21/magazine/climate-anxiety-therapy.html?unlocked_article_code=1.4kw.npQ9.DNnepmOgVBfq&smid=url-share</a><br>
</p>
<p>- -</p>
<i>[ Resilient skill building - sound problems in media - still
worth hearing ]</i><br>
<b>Preventing and healing climate traumas - Bob Doppelt webinar</b><br>
Institute of Global Health Innovation<br>
May 19, 2023<br>
This webinar titled “Preventing and Healing Climate Traumas: A Guide
for Building Resilience and Hope in Communities”, was delivered by
Bob Doppelt and hosted by Dr Emma Lawrance for the Climate Cares
programme. - climatecares.co.uk<br>
<br>
Bob Doppelt founded and coordinates the International
Transformational Resilience Coalition (ITRC), a network of mental
health, social service, disaster management, climate, and faith
organizations and professionals. He is trained in both counseling
psychology and environmental science and has combined the two fields
throughout his career.
<blockquote>8:52<br>
... accelerating climate ecosystem biodiversity catastrophe and
I'm using that word for very specific reason -- and that is it
comes out of disaster sociology where they could they define
emergencies and disasters and catastrophes -- is sort of three
separate although interredicted issues catastrophes have ...<br>
9:59<br>
... a catastrophe and most important is that you don't respond or
manage a catastrophe in the same way that you respond to
emergencies and disasters because they are much more complicated
much more severe widespread and prolonged and that's really what
we're facing with the climate emergency ...<br>
</blockquote>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ejHTyytZnzo"
moz-do-not-send="true">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ejHTyytZnzo</a><br>
<p>- -</p>
<i>[ the book ]</i><br>
<b>Preventing and Healing Climate Traumas: A Guide to Building
Resilience and Hope in Communities </b>(Paperback)<br>
By Bob Doppelt<br>
$39.95<br>
Using extensive research, interviews with program leaders, and
examples, Preventing and Healing Climate Traumas is a step-by-step
guide for organizing community-based, culturally tailored,
population-level mental wellness and resilience-building initiatives
to prevent and heal individual and collective climate traumas.<br>
<br>
This book describes how to use a public health approach to build
universal capacity for mental wellness and transformational
resilience by engaging community members in building robust social
support networks, making a just transition by regenerating local
physical/built, economic, and ecological systems, learning how
trauma and toxic stress can affect their body, mind, and emotions as
well as age and culturally tailored mental wellness and resilience
skills, and organizing group and community-minded events that help
residents heal their traumas. These actions build community cohesion
and efficacy as residents also engage in solutions to the climate
emergency.<br>
<br>
This book is essential reading for grassroots, civic, non-profit,
private, and public sector mental health, human services, disaster
management, climate, faith, education, and other professionals, as
well as members of the public concerned about these issues. Readers
will come away from this book with practical methods-based on
real-world examples-that they can use to organize and facilitate
community-based initiatives that prevent and heal mental health and
psycho-social-spiritual problems and reduce contributions to the
climate crisis.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.wildrumpusbooks.com/book/9781032200200"
moz-do-not-send="true">https://www.wildrumpusbooks.com/book/9781032200200</a>
<p>- -<br>
</p>
<i>[ Bob Doppelt's organization ]</i><br>
<b>International Transformational Resilience Coalition (ITRC)</b><br>
The International Transformational Resilience Coalition (ITRC) is a
network of mental health, human service, climate, education,
disaster management, faith, and other organizations committed to
establishing programs and policies worldwide that use a public
health approach to strengthen the capacity of all adults and youth
for mental wellness and resilience for all types of toxic stresses
and traumas as they also engage in solutions to the climate
emergency.<br>
- -<br>
The ITRC is led by a national steering committee composed of
individuals representing national, regional, and local mental
health, social work, human services, climate, and other
organizations. An advisory committee of composed of people with
expertise in different fields assists the national steering
committee.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://itrcoalition.org/"
moz-do-not-send="true">https://itrcoalition.org/</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[ OK kids, time to wake up ]</i><br>
<b>Children at ‘existential risk’ from climate crisis, UK’s top
paediatrician says</b><br>
Exclusive: Physical and mental impact on young people needs
immediate action, Dr Camilla Kingdon says<br>
Andrew Gregory Health editor<br>
@andrewgregory<br>
Sat 21 Oct 2023<br>
The climate crisis poses an “existential risk” to the health and
wellbeing of all children and action to tackle it is needed
immediately, Britain’s most senior paediatrician has said.<br>
<br>
In a major intervention, Dr Camilla Kingdon, the president of the
Royal College of Paediatrics and Child Health (RCPCH), said every
adolescent was at grave risk from the physical and mental effects of
the climate crisis. Healthcare professionals were already seeing its
impact first-hand, she added.<br>
<br>
Air pollution, extreme weather and unprecedented energy costs were
having a very real and detrimental effect on millions of children,
she said. But as a country we have our “heads in the sand” when it
comes to the climate crisis.<br>
<br>
Kingdon attacked what she described as the rolling back of net zero
policies by Rishi Sunak and said the country’s most vulnerable
children would be left bearing the greatest burden as a result.<br>
<br>
Rising temperatures around the world as a result of the climate
crisis are having a devastating effect on foetuses, babies and
children, multiple studies have found.<br>
<br>
Scientists have determined the climate emergency is causing – among
other adverse outcomes – an increased risk of premature birth and
hospitalisation of young children as well as weight gain in babies.
Research shows pollution can stunt children’s lung growth, cause
asthma and affect blood pressure, cognitive abilities and mental
health.<br>
<br>
“Climate change is no longer tomorrow’s problem, it’s today’s,”
Kingdon said. “Healthcare professionals across the UK are already
seeing its impact first-hand.”<br>
<br>
In the UK, air pollution was the largest environmental risk to
public health, she added. “Children breathe faster, so they inhale
more airborne toxins in proportion to their weight than adults
exposed to the same amount of air pollution. As such, they are
especially vulnerable to air pollution, which can lead to asthma in
childhood, and lifelong health issues.”<br>
The damage inflicted on children by the climate crisis was not
limited to physical ill health, Kingdon said. “The mental health
effects of climate change on children are significant and may be
long lasting.<br>
<br>
“Children exhibit high levels of concern over climate change and the
mental health consequences, including post-traumatic stress
disorder, depression, anxiety, phobias, sleep disorders, attachment
disorders and substance abuse, can lead to problems with learning,
behaviour, and academic performance.”<br>
<br>
Kingdon said as a result of glaring health inequalities in the UK,
some children were suffering the ill-effects more than most.
“Climate change poses an existential risk to the health and
wellbeing of all children. However, the current impacts of climate
change are not experienced equally.”<br>
<br>
Low-income households had less choice in where they live, were more
likely to live in deprived areas and were therefore more exposed to
extreme weather events and poorer air quality, she added.<br>
<br>
The climate crisis is leading to more damp and cold properties as a
result of increases in winter precipitation in the UK. For
low-income households, homes may be too expensive to heat to an
adequate temperature, increasing their exposure to cold and mould.<br>
<br>
Kingdon said: “Every child is at grave risk of the effects of our
changing climate, but none more so than children in lower-income
families. These children are facing an increased mortality risk from
extreme weather events, exacerbated respiratory conditions from
dirty air and even increased rates of cancer, diabetes and obesity.<br>
“It is wholly unjust that these vulnerable children should bear the
greatest burden in terms of climate change, especially in the
context of a government that is rolling back on its net zero
policies.”<br>
<br>
The RCPCH wants Sunak to appoint a cabinet minister for children and
to prioritise child health in policymaking on the climate crisis.<br>
<br>
“We cannot continue on like this as a country, with our heads in the
sand,” Kingdon said. “There is no such thing as the ‘right time’
economically to tackle climate change, and indeed the cost of not
reaching net zero is far greater. We must act now and with our
children in mind.<br>
<br>
“As an organisation, we continue to call on political leaders to
take action on poverty and health inequalities while also
emphasising the unequal impact of climate change.”<br>
<br>
Thousands of paediatricians in the UK are being given new resources
by the RCPCH to support children affected by the climate crisis.
They include template letters of support on behalf of families who
need improvement to housing for their health condition.<br>
<br>
Kingdon said: “Paediatricians are dedicated to improving child
health equity, and this toolkit will support us to help families –
but this is not a fight we can win without government action.”<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-abbreviated"
href="http://www.theguardian.com/society/2023/oct/21/children-at-existential-risk-from-climate-crisis-uks-top-paediatrician-says"
moz-do-not-send="true">www.theguardian.com/society/2023/oct/21/children-at-existential-risk-from-climate-crisis-uks-top-paediatrician-says</a>
<p><font face="Calibri"><i><br>
</i></font></p>
<br>
<font face="Calibri"><i>[ video reading of a published conjecture ]</i></font><br>
<font face="Calibri"><i> </i> </font><font face="Calibri"><b>Existential
Risk Prediction by Super-Forecasters & Domain Experts on AI,
Nuclear, Pandemics, Climate</b><br>
Paul Beckwith<br>
Oct 20, 2023<br>
An Existential Risk Persuasion Tournament (XPT) was recently held
to try to get a handle on the probability of catastrophic risks
(10% or more of the human race perishes) and extinction risks
(less than 5,000 human survivors) by 2030, 2050, and 2100. <br>
<br>
Over 180 people participated in the tournament, with about half
being subject-matter (domain) experts and the other half being
so-called superforecasters. <br>
<br>
We all care about the future, and would love to have a crystal
ball to have some idea of what may happen. <br>
<br>
In the recent past, studies and competitions have shown that a
group of people known as “superforecasters” have made better
short-term predictions; by about 30%, than both subject-matter
experts and the intelligence apparatus (who have access to
top-secret classified information). <br>
<br>
I review the results of this fascinating report that was published
recently on assessing existential risks to humanity. <br>
<br>
As a domain expert in climate system change myself, it will be
pretty clear to you that my view is that the risks from abrupt
climate system mayhem are much much higher than those examined and
discussed in the report. I’ll have to partake in the next
tournament:)<br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_M0bg-DIdmQ"
moz-do-not-send="true">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_M0bg-DIdmQ</a></font>
<br>
<p><font face="Calibri">- -</font></p>
<font face="Calibri"><i>[ Conjecture is a little more complex than
opinion ]<br>
</i></font><font face="Calibri">Abstract: <b>The Existential Risk
Persuasion Tournament </b>(XPT) aimed to produce high-quality
forecasts of the risks facing humanity over the next century by
incentivizing thoughtful forecasts, explanations, persuasion, and
updating from 169 forecasters over a multi-stage tournament</font><br>
<font face="Calibri"><b>Forecasting Existential Risks: Evidence from
a Long-Run Forecasting Tournament<br>
</b></font><font face="Calibri">Authors: Ezra Karger, Josh
Rosenberg, Zachary Jacobs, Molly Hickman, Rose Hadshar, Kayla
Gamin, Taylor Smith, Bridget Williams,Tegan McCaslin, Philip E.
Tetlock<br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><b>Abstract:</b><br>
</font>
<blockquote><font face="Calibri">The Existential Risk Persuasion
Tournament (XPT) aimed to produce high-quality</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">forecasts of the risks facing humanity over
the next century by incentivizing</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">thoughtful forecasts, explanations,
persuasion, and updating from 169 forecasters over </font><font
face="Calibri">a multi-stage tournament. In this first iteration
of the XPT, we discover points where </font><font
face="Calibri">historically accurate forecasters on short-run
questions (superforecasters) and domain </font><font
face="Calibri">experts agree and disagree in their probability
estimates of short-, medium-, and longrun threats to humanity
from artificial intelligence, nuclear war, biological pathogens,
</font><font face="Calibri">and other causes. We document
large-scale disagreement and minimal convergence </font><font
face="Calibri">of beliefs over the course of the XPT, with the
largest disagreement about risks from </font><font
face="Calibri">artificial intelligence. The most pressing
practical question for future work is: why were </font><font
face="Calibri">superforecasters so unmoved by experts’ much
higher estimates of AI extinction risk, </font><font
face="Calibri">and why were experts so unmoved by the
superforecasters’ lower estimates? The most </font><font
face="Calibri">puzzling scientific question is: why did rational
forecasters, incentivized by the XPT </font><font
face="Calibri">to persuade each other, not converge after months
of debate and the exchange of </font><font face="Calibri">millions
of words and thousands of forecasts?</font><br>
</blockquote>
<font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://static1.squarespace.com/static/635693acf15a3e2a14a56a4a/t/64abffe3f024747dd0e38d71/1688993798938/XPT.pdf"
moz-do-not-send="true">https://static1.squarespace.com/static/635693acf15a3e2a14a56a4a/t/64abffe3f024747dd0e38d71/1688993798938/XPT.pdf</a><br>
</font>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></p>
<font face="Calibri"> <br>
<i>[The news archive - looking back at tepid change - I was a
voter then ] </i><br>
<font size="+2"><i><b>October 22, 1976</b></i></font> <br>
October 22, 1976: In the third and final presidential debate,
President Ford and Democratic challenger Jimmy Carter discuss the
importance of environmental protection. Carter reiterates his
previously expressed support for "cleaner" coal.<br>
<br>
(33:20--39:19)<br>
<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CipT04S0bVE"
moz-do-not-send="true">http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CipT04S0bVE</a><br>
<br>
<br>
</font>
<p><font face="Calibri"> <br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><br>
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</font> <font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
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--------------------------------------- <br>
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