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<font size="+2"><font face="Calibri"><i><b>October 24</b></i></font></font><font
size="+2" face="Calibri"><i><b>, 2023</b></i></font><font
face="Calibri"><br>
</font> <br>
<font face="Calibri"><i>[DW -- well known, but a new reminder - with
videos ]<br>
</i></font><font face="Calibri"><b>West Antarctic Ice Sheet
collapse is 'unavoidable' — study</b><br>
October 23, 2023<br>
The British Antarctic Survey says warming waters are melting West
Antarctica's ice shelf, contributing to rising sea levels.
Research shows the trend is set to continue until at least the end
of the century.<br>
</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">A study by the British Antarctic Society
published in the journal Nature Climate Change on Monday claims,
"we are now committed to the rapid increase in the rate of ocean
warming and ice shelf melting over the rest of the century."<br>
<br>
Lead author, oceanographer Kaitlin Naughten, said of the study,
"Our main question here was: How much control do we still have
over ice shelf melting? How much melting can still be prevented by
reducing emissions? Unfortunately, it's not great news." <br>
<br>
Naughten said it could take hundreds of years for the shelf to
melt entirely — which would produce a 1.8 meter (nearly 6 foot)
rise in sea levels — but major melting appeared to be inevitable
according to all of the computer simulations that she and her
peers conducted.<br>
</font><br>
<font face="Calibri"><b>How experts evaluated the West Antarctic Ice
Sheet</b><br>
Researchers looked specifically at the West Antarctic Ice Sheet
that juts into the Amundsen Sea for their study and found that
even if global warming could be held to the international target
of just a few tenths of a degree it would have, "limited power to
prevent ocean warming that could lead to the collapse of the West
Antarctic Ice Sheet."<br>
<br>
Naughten's team was the first to use high-resolution computer
simulations that studied the effects of warm water melting the
sheet from below, looking at four scenarios tied to different
amounts of carbon dioxide released into the atmosphere — in each
case they found erosion would continue unabated, meaning the sheet
would eventually collapse.<br>
</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">Even if temperatures only rose at 1.5 degrees
Celsius (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit) above pre-industrial levels — the
study's best-case scenario — researchers say the ice would still
melt at a rate three times faster than last century.<br>
<br>
"Reducing emissions can help prevent the worst-case scenario of
melting, but beyond that, mitigation has a negligible impact,"
said Naughten.<br>
<br>
Collapse of West Antarctic Ice Sheet one of nine climate 'tipping
points'<br>
Researchers concentrated on the West Antarctic Ice Sheet, which is
more fragile than the eastern side of the southern continent,
focusing on so-called gatekeeper ice shelves that float upon the
ocean while keeping glaciers in place.<br>
<br>
Author Naughten said she avoids the word "doomed" as it is still
possible that emissions and indeed warming could theoretically be
halted or even reversed in the longterm, adding, "It isn't
unavoidable that we lose all of it because sea-level rise happens
over the very long term. I only looked at this study up to 2100."<br>
<br>
The study suggests the change could take several hundred years to
play out but Naughten pointed to the ultimate speed of
transformation as a key factor. She said it would be "absolutely
devastating" should it take place over just a couple hundred
years, but that humanity could adapt if the change could be drawn
out over a couple of thousand years.<br>
<br>
"Coastal communities," she said, "will either have to build around
or be abandoned."<br>
<br>
Though peers not involved in the study, such as Tiago Segabinazzi
Dotto of the UK's National Oceanography Centre, cautioned that
results "need to be treated carefully since different models and
even ensembles of the same model can give different responses," he
said it nevertheless aligned with other research.<br>
<br>
The collapse of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet was identified as one
of nine climate "tipping points" in 2009. Scientists at the time
said that moving beyond these environmental red lines — the
collapse of various ice sheets, reversals in oceanic currents, the
death of the Amazon rainforest and the collapse of boreal
permafrost — would prove catastrophic for life on earth. <br>
<br>
The Thwaites glacier: when a giant melts<br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.dw.com/en/west-antarctic-ice-sheet-collapse-is-unavoidable-study/a-67190945">https://www.dw.com/en/west-antarctic-ice-sheet-collapse-is-unavoidable-study/a-67190945</a><br>
</font>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></p>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></p>
<font face="Calibri"><i>[ Insurance insight and intelligence ]<br>
</i></font><br>
<font face="Calibri"><b>Climate change – Evolving risk and
regulation</b><br>
Guy Carpenter’s Sam Phibbs, Katy Reyner and Sandra Hansen on the
need to navigate the changing regulatory landscape related to
climate change.</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">In 2023, we have seen record-breaking
temperatures, updated projections on the accelerating pace of
climate change and a growing number of severe events. The
September global surface temperature was 1.68°C above the 20th
century average, making it the warmest September on record by a
wide margin.<br>
<br>
With the forecasted strengthening of El Niño, multiple outlooks
have suggested over a 90 percent probability of 2023 becoming the
warmest year on record and a 50 percent chance of meeting or
beating the 1.5°C above pre-industrial temperatures threshold.<br>
<br>
Climate change has significant impacts beyond increasing global
temperature, and its effect on natural catastrophe activity can
manifest in extreme events for multiple perils:<br>
<br>
Tropical cyclone: Since mid-March, sea surface temperatures (SSTs)
in the North Atlantic have exceeded daily records every day. North
Atlantic SSTs eclipsed 25°C for the first time on record, while
global SSTs surpassed 21°C for the first time. Warmer SSTs mean
stronger and wetter tropical cyclones are possible. Even with a
strengthening El Niño (which typically supresses hurricane
activity), the ongoing North Atlantic hurricane season has so far
been above average in terms of accumulated cyclone energy.<br>
Flood: Heavy rainfall in May led to widespread flooding in the
Emilia-Romagna region of Italy. Additional flooding occurred in
Slovenia in August and in Greece, Turkey, Bulgaria, Spain and
Libya in September. Warmer air holds more moisture, adding to the
risk of extreme precipitation.<br>
Severe convective storm: In July, heat waves along with
low-pressure systems bringing warm humid air from the
Mediterranean resulted in extreme hail in central Europe,
particularly in Italy. The Mediterranean reached its highest ever
recorded temperature of over 28°C. The conditions persisted for a
week and resulted in some of the largest hail on record. Warmer
surface temperatures with increasing atmospheric moisture and
instability increase the risk of extreme hail events.<br>
Wildfire: In Europe, extreme heat contributed to extraordinary
wildfire activity, particularly in Italy and Greece. Warmer, drier
weather provides conditions conducive for larger, more-intense
wildfires.<br>
Industry loss estimates for the first half of 2023 remain well
above the decadal average despite the comparatively smaller impact
on reinsurers. A range of industry sources have estimated that
first-half insured losses from natural catastrophes were in the
$50bn to $53bn range. The first-half 2023 tally is also
significantly above the $44bn decadal average for the 2013-2022
period as well as the $38bn 21st century average. Guy Carpenter
has begun to estimate the potential impact of climate change on
insured loss using the latest robust scientific projections and
internal research.<br>
<br>
Climate change disclosure<br>
<br>
Europe continues to push ahead with a variety of sustainable
finance regulations, and preparing for the Corporate
Sustainability Reporting Directive and extended EU Taxonomy
disclosures remains a priority for many in the industry. In July,
the European Commission adopted the first set of European
sustainability reporting standards, which will require insurers to
undertake a double materiality assessment and report on
sustainability-related impacts, opportunities and risks. The scope
is such that foreign parents can be subject to these tougher
reporting requirements, including certain US parent entities with
operations in the EU.<br>
<br>
Challenges remain around availability of data, but increasing
guidance, particularly around materiality assessments and scenario
analysis, is an opportunity for the industry to develop the needed
toolkit to incorporate climate change into risk management,
pricing and capital decisions, and navigate the changing
regulatory landscape.<br>
<br>
How Guy Carpenter can help<br>
Guy Carpenter has developed a full suite of climate change
physical risk analytics and advisory products, ranging from
underwriting and accumulation layers to adjustments to third-party
catastrophe models and in-house risk scores developed for climate
change.<br>
<br>
Sam Phibbs, Katy Reyner and Sandra Hansen are members of the
Global Peril Advisory team at Guy Carpenter<br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.theinsurer.com/viewpoint/climate-change-evolving-risk-and-regulation/">https://www.theinsurer.com/viewpoint/climate-change-evolving-risk-and-regulation/</a><br>
</font>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></p>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></p>
<font face="Calibri"><i>[ Bookmark and return to this site for
helpful information ]<br>
</i> </font><font face="Calibri"><b>National Weather Service -
Climate Prediction Center<br>
</b></font><font face="Calibri"> Climate News<br>
NOAA Issues Winter Outlook (19 Oct 2023)<br>
El Niño is anticipated to continue through the Northern Hemisphere
spring (with an 80% chance during March-May 2024) (12 Oct 2023)<br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/">https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/</a><br>
</font>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></p>
<p><i><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></i> </p>
<i><font face="Calibri">[ accumulator is saving heat - video ]</font></i><br>
<font face="Calibri"><b>This energy storage technology is HOT STUFF!</b><br>
Just Have a Think<br>
</font><font face="Calibri">Oct 22, 2023<br>
Rondo Energy just secured $60 million of funding from some of the
world's shrewdest investors. So, can they now achieve their goal
of a 90GWh per annum production facility for their simple heat
battery technology, reducing global industrial CO2 emissions by 12
MILLION tonnes per year? Time will tell!</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">Rondo Energy <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://rondo.com/">https://rondo.com/</a><br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qOC7TrmgKgI">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qOC7TrmgKgI</a></font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> </font>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></p>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font> </p>
<font face="Calibri"> [ TEOTWAWKI is "The End Of The World As We
Know It" -- a</font><font face="Calibri"> video tribute to the
late Michael Dowd - founder of "Post Doom - No Gloom" ]</font> <br>
<font face="Calibri"><b>TEOTWAWKI- TRIBUTE TO REV. MICHAEL DOWD</b></font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> Environmental Coffeehouse</font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> </font><font face="Calibri"><a
class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XBtnl5rzhfU">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XBtnl5rzhfU</a></font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> </font><font face="Calibri">Oct 13, 2023
#thegreatstory #postdoom</font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> We all loved Michael and he loved all of us.
Join Eliot, Jennifer and Sandy to talk about Michael's life and
how he touched us to the core. RIP Rev. Michael Dowd - forever in
our hearts.</font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> "Michael Dowd (1958 - 2023) was an American
author, lecturer, and advocate of ecotheology and post-doom. His
1991 book, EarthSpirit, launched his public speaking career,
grounded in the epic of evolution, religious naturalism, and
progressive Christianity."</font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> "Rev. Dowd shows how a meaningful
science-based understanding of human nature, death, and the
trajectory of big history can offer a realistically hopeful and
inspiring vision of the future. He also offers practical tools for
growing in right relationship to reality that can enrich and even
transform one's life and interaction. Uniquely gifted at building
bridges between religious and non-religious people, Michael shares
humanity's common creation story in ways that uplift and expand
heart, mind, and soul. His passion is showing how a
science-informed spirituality can inspire each of us to live with
greater integrity, joy, and zest for life — and can also deepen
appreciation of traditional spiritual insights."</font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> "We boomers are not only the generation in
power now; we are also the generation whose numbers (and previous
decades of lavish consumption) make us pointedly responsible for
rising levels of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. "Richer than
kings!" my wife and I regularly remind ourselves whenever we enjoy
a fresh avocado in Colorado in winter, when we take a hot shower
at the mere turn of a tap, when we receive quality dental care,
when we listen to music or audiobooks on our iPods, when we never
go hungry. But what kind of a world and life prospects will we
bequeath to our grandchildren?"</font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> #eliotjacobson #revmichaeldowd #thegreatstory
#postdoom</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~</font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> Post Doom- <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://postdoom.com/">https://postdoom.com/</a></font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> Michael- <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://michaeldowd.org/">https://michaeldowd.org/</a></font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> The Great Story- </font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> </font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> / @thegreatstory </font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> Connie
Barlow-https://www.youtube.com/@ghostsofevolution/videos</font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> Michael Dowd reading Overshoot <a
class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://soundcloud.com/michael-dowd-grace-limits/catton-overshoot-1">https://soundcloud.com/michael-dowd-grace-limits/catton-overshoot-1</a></font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> </font><font face="Calibri"><a
class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XBtnl5rzhfU">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XBtnl5rzhfU</a></font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> <br>
</font>
<p><br>
</p>
<font face="Calibri"><i>[ simple information but important history ]</i><br>
</font><b>History of Climate Conferences | A story of
procrastination (Part 1)</b><br>
Climate Club<br>
<font face="Calibri">Oct 8, 2023 #climatechange #history #cop28<br>
This is the entire yet brief history of climate conferences and
negotiations. All the way from the beginning of climate science,
to 2009 (Part 1). All major conferences, and important events such
as IPCC reports are explained.<br>
</font>
<blockquote><font face="Calibri">Timeline:</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">00:00 Introduction</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">00:18 Climate Science</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">00:56 Conferences</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">05:14 Rio 1992</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">07:06 Kyoto 1997</font><br>
</blockquote>
<font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aPV2nVcflo4">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aPV2nVcflo4</a></font>
<p><font face="Calibri">- - <br>
</font></p>
<font face="Calibri"><i>[ a 10 min video summary ]<br>
</i></font><font face="Calibri"><b>The History of Climate
Conferences Part 2 | A story of procrastination</b></font><br>
<font face="Calibri">Climate Club</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">Oct 22, 2023 #sec</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">This is the entire yet brief history of climate
conferences and negotiations. Since this is part 2, we start from
2010 up to today (2023). All major conferences, and important
events such as IPCC reports are explained.</font><br>
<blockquote><font face="Calibri">Timeline:</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">Introduction 00:00</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">2010-2014 00:25</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">Paris 2015 03:12</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">2016-2022 04:23</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">2023 onwards 08:25</font><br>
</blockquote>
<font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2gpF8Fit_c4">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2gpF8Fit_c4</a></font><br>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font> </p>
<font face="Calibri"> <br>
<i>[The news archive - looking back that we were aware of the
choices ]</i><br>
<font size="+2"><i><b>October 24, 2003 </b></i></font> <br>
October 24, 2003: At the University of Chicago, Jim DiPeso of
Republicans for Environmental Protection discusses the
McCain-Lieberman Climate Stewardship Act and the urgent need to
combat carbon pollution:<br>
<br>
"We have two choices. We can ignore what the scientists are
telling us, convince ourselves that nothing can be done, and
abrogate the inter-generational contract we have with unborn
generations. Or, we can accept what the scientists are telling us,
roll up our sleeves, and take on the climate challenge."<br>
<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://web.archive.org/web/20031124102135/http://www.rep.org/opinions/speeches/33.html">http://web.archive.org/web/20031124102135/http://www.rep.org/opinions/speeches/33.html</a><br>
</font><br>
<p><font face="Calibri"> </font><font face="Calibri"><br>
=== Other climate news sources
===========================================<br>
</font> <font face="Calibri"><b>*Inside Climate News</b><br>
Newsletters<br>
We deliver climate news to your inbox like nobody else. Every
day or once a week, our original stories and digest of the web’s
top headlines deliver the full story, for free.<br>
</font> <font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://insideclimatenews.org/">https://insideclimatenews.org/</a><br>
--------------------------------------- <br>
*<b>Climate Nexus</b> <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://climatenexus.org/hot-news/*">https://climatenexus.org/hot-news/*</a>
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Delivered straight to your inbox every morning, Hot News
summarizes the most important climate and energy news of the
day, delivering an unmatched aggregation of timely, relevant
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remain largely unexposed. 5 weekday <br>
================================= <br>
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Every weekday morning, in time for your morning coffee, Carbon
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the peer-reviewed journals. <br>
more at <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
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