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<font size="+2"><font face="Calibri"><i><b>November </b></i></font></font><font
size="+2" face="Calibri"><i><b>3, 2023</b></i></font><font
face="Calibri"><br>
</font><br>
<i>[ from most respected climate scientist James Hansen ]</i><br>
<b>New study warns climate is warming even faster than some think</b><br>
Andrew Freedman<br>
A new study warns the Earth's climate is on track to warm
significantly more than shown by the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change's (IPCC) projections.<br>
<br>
Driving the news: The paper, published Thursday in the peer-reviewed
journal Oxford Open Climate Change, is a synthesis of new and
previous discoveries across multiple fields. It is peppered with
policy prescriptions, unusual for a scientific paper.<br>
<br>
The stark warning comes from ex-NASA scientist James Hansen, who is
the lead author of the report. In 1988, he famously and accurately
warned that human-caused warming would soon emerge from the
background noise of natural variability.<br>
-- Why it matters: Should the paper's authors be proven correct this
time, the globe can expect more severe extreme weather events,
species losses and sea level rise than currently projected.<br>
<br>
The paper lands as the planet endures its warmest year on record,
with sizzling new benchmarks set on land and sea. Each month since
May has set consecutive new milestones.<br>
Yes, but: Hansen has long straddled the line between scientist and
activist. In the new paper, he recommends pursuing a range of policy
options, from putting a price on carbon to geoengineering.<br>
<br>
In this study, he calls on climate scientists to embrace the
responsibilities medical professionals have to their patients. He
argues they have been too reticent and conservative to lay out the
full ramifications of warming.<br>
"We are in the early phase of a climate emergency," Hansen writes.<br>
What they found: The study finds that the warming resulting from
doubling carbon dioxide levels in the atmosphere, also known as
equilibrium climate sensitivity, is higher than the current
consensus view.<br>
<br>
The authors calculated a total warming of 4.8°C (8.6°F) for a
doubling of CO2, above the IPCC's most recent estimate of 3°C
(5.4°F), though not discordant with some previously published work.<br>
The paper finds that global warming has been accelerating since 2010
and that this will soon become clear in the data. Specifically, it
notes that a warming rate of 0.18°C (0.32°F) per decade, recorded
between 1970-2010, will spike to 0.27°C (0.48°F) per decade after
2010.<br>
It concludes the quickening pace of warming is not well-handled by
computer models.<br>
Between the lines: Climate scientist Zeke Hausfather, who was not
involved in the new study, told Axios that research varies on
estimating the amount of warming the world would see due to a
doubling of CO2 concentrations.<br>
<br>
He adds the new study's estimate is on the high side of previous
research.<br>
Hansen's findings also put forward that the planet's energy
imbalance is growing, with more and more heat trapped in Earth's
atmosphere.<br>
-- The intrigue: Hansen and his coauthors argue that immediate and
deep cuts in greenhouse gas emissions alone won't be sufficient to
forestall dangerous levels of climate change.<br>
<br>
The paper opens the door to endorsing geoengineering, referred to as
"climate restoration" in the paper, for a short period of time. This
involves deliberately trying to counter warming's effects by
modifying the climate in other ways.<br>
<br>
The other side: While there are indications that climate change has
sped up, some scientists disagree quite strongly with Hansen's
findings.<br>
<br>
Hausfather wrote this week that although the warming rate has
clearly sped up since the 1970s, it is within the range anticipated
by climate models.<br>
Model simulations, he found, depict warming to be about 40% faster
in the 2015-2030 period, compared to 1970-2014.<br>
What they're saying: Michael Mann, a climate researcher at the
University of Pennsylvania, told Axios via email that he doesn't
believe the authors "have made the case for any of the major
claims...or that climate models are getting this wrong."<br>
<br>
He noted that ocean heat content, a key indicator of the planet's
heat budget, "shows a very steady, rather than accelerating,
increase."<br>
Yet Katharine Hayhoe, a climate researcher and chief scientist at
the Nature Conservancy, told Axios the study is an effective
communications tool, since it tells people not only how serious
things are, but also some possible solutions.<br>
<br>
She noted reservations about his endorsement of solar radiation
management, a geoengineering technique that could decrease the
amount of solar radiation coming into the atmosphere.<br>
The bottom line: "The fact that he puts the solutions right there in
the abstract is actually exactly what needs to be done
psychologically in the way that we communicate about climate
change," Hayhoe said in an interview.<br>
<br>
"If we tell people how bad it is, which it is, but we don't tell
people what to do about it, then you can have the whole world
worried and nothing will happen<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.axios.com/2023/11/02/climate-change-warming-james-hansen">https://www.axios.com/2023/11/02/climate-change-warming-james-hansen</a><br>
<p>- -</p>
<i>[ research paper from <u>Oxford Open Climate Change</u> ]</i><br>
<b>Global warming in the pipeline </b><br>
James E Hansen, Makiko Sato, Leon Simons, Larissa S Nazarenko,
Isabelle Sangha, Pushker Kharecha, James C Zachos, Karina von
Schuckmann, Norman G Loeb, Matthew B Osman ...<br>
Oxford Open Climate Change, Volume 3, Issue 1, 2023,
...https://doi.org/10.1093/oxfclm/kgad008<br>
Published: 02 November 2023<br>
<blockquote><b>Abstract</b><br>
Improved knowledge of glacial-to-interglacial global temperature
change yields Charney (fast-feedback) equilibrium climate
sensitivity 1.2 ± 0.3°C (2σ) per W/m2, which is 4.8°C ± 1.2°C for
doubled CO2. Consistent analysis of temperature over the full
Cenozoic era—including ‘slow’ feedbacks by ice sheets and trace
gases—supports this sensitivity and implies that CO2 was 300–350
ppm in the Pliocene and about 450 ppm at transition to a nearly
ice-free planet, exposing unrealistic lethargy of ice sheet
models. Equilibrium global warming for today’s GHG amount is 10°C,
which is reduced to 8°C by today’s human-made aerosols.
Equilibrium warming is not ‘committed’ warming; rapid phaseout of
GHG emissions would prevent most equilibrium warming from
occurring. However, decline of aerosol emissions since 2010 should
increase the 1970–2010 global warming rate of 0.18°C per decade to
a post-2010 rate of at least 0.27°C per decade. Thus, under the
present geopolitical approach to GHG emissions, global warming
will exceed 1.5°C in the 2020s and 2°C before 2050. Impacts on
people and nature will accelerate as global warming increases
hydrologic (weather) extremes. The enormity of consequences
demands a return to Holocene-level global temperature. Required
actions include: (1) a global increasing price on GHG emissions
accompanied by development of abundant, affordable, dispatchable
clean energy, (2) East-West cooperation in a way that accommodates
developing world needs, and (3) intervention with Earth’s
radiation imbalance to phase down today’s massive human-made
‘geo-transformation’ of Earth’s climate. Current political crises
present an opportunity for reset, especially if young people can
grasp their situation.<br>
</blockquote>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://academic.oup.com/oocc/article/3/1/kgad008/7335889?login=false">https://academic.oup.com/oocc/article/3/1/kgad008/7335889?login=false</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[ Everybody, needs to do everything, all at once ]</i><br>
<b>Zero to Hero? Achieving Net Zero Emissions</b><br>
ClimateAdam<br>
Nov 2, 2023 #ClimateChange #climatecrisis #netzero<br>
To stop the world from heating, and halt climate change, we need net
zero. But how? How could we get humanity's overall emissions to
zero? And is this global warming goal just a pipe dream? Now the
International Energy Agency (IEA) have highlighted a plan to get
there by 2050, with the goal of limiting warming to 1.5 degrees. So
what does the plan look like... and could it actually work?!<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9PASLkAkHrU">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9PASLkAkHrU</a><br>
<p>- -</p>
<i>[ Here is the report ]</i><br>
<b>Net Zero Roadmap: A Global Pathway to Keep the 1.5 °C Goal in
Reach</b><br>
In 2021, the IEA published its landmark report, Net Zero by 2050: A
Roadmap for the Global Energy Sector. Since then, the energy sector
has seen major shifts. Based on the latest data on technologies,
markets and policies, this report presents an updated version of the
Net Zero Emissions by 2050 (NZE) Scenario; a pathway, but not the
only one, for the energy sector to achieve net zero CO2 emissions by
2050 and play its part, as the largest source of greenhouse gas
emissions, in achieving the 1.5 °C goal...<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.iea.org/reports/net-zero-roadmap-a-global-pathway-to-keep-the-15-0c-goal-in-reach/executive-summary">https://www.iea.org/reports/net-zero-roadmap-a-global-pathway-to-keep-the-15-0c-goal-in-reach/executive-summary</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[ "Polluter pays" - 60 second statement - video ]</i><br>
<b>They are making profits by killing people - it is as simple as
that!<br>
</b>Nick Breeze ClimateGenn<br>
Nov 2, 2023<br>
“They’re making profits by killing people, it’s as simple as as
that!” Professor Saleemul Huq, speaking about fossil fuel companies
at COP23. <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://genn.cc/dr-saleemul-huq-cop23/">https://genn.cc/dr-saleemul-huq-cop23/</a><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3VYuGBW7--s">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3VYuGBW7--s</a><br>
<br>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[ video overview ]<br>
</i><b>The West is Burning - Feature Documentary</b><br>
Landmark Stories<br>
Sep 11, 2021 #environmentalstudies #climatechange2021
#climatechangedocumentary<br>
The West is Burning raises awareness about the conditions of forests
in the western U.S. Told through a full-feature documentary, we
examine the history of forest management and litigation that led to
the current conditions which are causing catastrophic fire nearly
year-round. The film explores the urgent need to act now, and the
potential to generate positive change in our forests, watersheds,
and communities, both rural and urban.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=km6azKlFTTQ">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=km6azKlFTTQ</a><i><br>
</i>
<p><i><br>
</i></p>
<p><i><br>
</i></p>
<i>[ short video, simple attitude advice, yes I will...thank you ]</i><br>
<b>How to Prepare for the Worst</b><br>
The School of Life<br>
Nov 1, 2023<br>
We tend to get very attached to plan As. We’ll get married, move
into a house near the park, work in financial services, pivot into
philanthropy and then end up in a cottage by the sea painting and
looking after our grandchildren. Or we’ll become a famous actor,
play in a selection of thoughtful dramas about the inner life and in
time move into production or, perhaps, mentorship.<br>
Sign up to our mailing list to receive 10% off your first order with
us: <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://r1.dotdigital-pages.com/p/6TU">https://r1.dotdigital-pages.com/p/6TU</a>...<br>
For books and more from The School of Life, visit our online shop: <a
class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://b4f4.short.gy/yDwrR6">https://b4f4.short.gy/yDwrR6</a><br>
For Psychotherapy and other therapeutic services: <a
class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://b4f4.short.gy/4baEnD">https://b4f4.short.gy/4baEnD</a>
<br>
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class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://b4f4.short.gy/J7Iu6o">https://b4f4.short.gy/J7Iu6o</a><br>
<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8L6VqVoO7ng">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8L6VqVoO7ng</a><br>
<br>
<br>
<font face="Calibri"><br>
</font><font face="Calibri"> <i>[The news archive - President Obama
]</i></font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> <font size="+2"><i><b>November 3, 2010 </b></i></font>
</font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> </font> November 3, 2010: In a post-midterm
election press conference, President Obama states:<br>
"With respect to the EPA, I think the smartest thing for us to do is
to see if we can get Democrats and Republicans in a room who are
serious about energy independence and are serious about keeping our
air clean and our water clean and dealing with the issue of
greenhouse gases -- and seeing are there ways that we can make
progress in the short term and invest in technologies in the long
term that start giving us the tools to reduce greenhouse gases and
solve this problem.<br>
<br>
"The EPA is under a court order that says greenhouse gases are a
pollutant that fall under their jurisdiction. And I think one of the
things that's very important for me is not to have us ignore the
science, but rather to find ways that we can solve these problems
that don’t hurt the economy, that encourage the development of clean
energy in this country, that, in fact, may give us opportunities to
create entire new industries and create jobs that -- and that put us
in a competitive posture around the world.<br>
<br>
"So I think it’s too early to say whether or not we can make some
progress on that front. I think we can. Cap and trade was just one
way of skinning the cat; it was not the only way. It was a means,
not an end. And I’m going to be looking for other means to address
this problem.<br>
<br>
"And I think EPA wants help from the legislature on this. I don’t
think that the desire is to somehow be protective of their powers
here. I think what they want to do is make sure that the issue is
being dealt with."<br>
<br>
(35:15-38:48)<br>
<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-4F8e2Cye08">http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-4F8e2Cye08</a><br>
<br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><font face="Calibri"> <br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><br>
=== Other climate news sources
===========================================<br>
</font> <font face="Calibri"><b>*Inside Climate News</b><br>
Newsletters<br>
We deliver climate news to your inbox like nobody else. Every
day or once a week, our original stories and digest of the web’s
top headlines deliver the full story, for free.<br>
</font> <font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://insideclimatenews.org/">https://insideclimatenews.org/</a><br>
--------------------------------------- <br>
*<b>Climate Nexus</b> <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://climatenexus.org/hot-news/*">https://climatenexus.org/hot-news/*</a>
<br>
Delivered straight to your inbox every morning, Hot News
summarizes the most important climate and energy news of the
day, delivering an unmatched aggregation of timely, relevant
reporting. It also provides original reporting and commentary on
climate denial and pro-polluter activity that would otherwise
remain largely unexposed. 5 weekday <br>
================================= <br>
</font> <font face="Calibri"><b class="moz-txt-star"><span
class="moz-txt-tag">*</span>Carbon Brief Daily </b><span
class="moz-txt-star"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.carbonbrief.org/newsletter-sign-up">https://www.carbonbrief.org/newsletter-sign-up</a></span><b
class="moz-txt-star"><span class="moz-txt-tag">*</span></b> <br>
Every weekday morning, in time for your morning coffee, Carbon
Brief sends out a free email known as the “Daily Briefing” to
thousands of subscribers around the world. The email is a digest
of the past 24 hours of media coverage related to climate change
and energy, as well as our pick of the key studies published in
the peer-reviewed journals. <br>
more at <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.getrevue.co/publisher/carbon-brief">https://www.getrevue.co/publisher/carbon-brief</a>
<br>
================================== <br>
*T<b>he Daily Climate </b>Subscribe <a
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