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<p><font size="+2"><font face="Calibri"><i><b>November 10</b></i></font></font><font
size="+2" face="Calibri"><i><b>, 2023</b></i></font></p>
<i>[ well known risk should be reconsidered ]</i><br>
<b>Climate Change Is Causing Severe Drought in a Volatile Mideast
Zone, Study Finds</b><br>
Syria, Iraq and Iran were parched by high temperatures that would
have been “virtually impossible” without the effects of global
warming, scientists said.<br>
By Manuela Andreoni<br>
Nov. 8, 2023<br>
Human-made climate change is driving a yearslong extreme drought in
Iran, Iraq and Syria, an area that encompasses a region known as the
Fertile Crescent and a cradle of civilization, scientists said on
Wednesday.<br>
<br>
The scientists stressed that years of conflict and political
instability combined with the challenges of rapid urbanization in
the region have limited the ability of local communities to respond
to the drought, transforming it into a humanitarian crisis.<br>
<br>
In the last three years, the drought, the second worst on record,
has shriveled wheat crops and led to tensions between neighboring
countries and communities over access to dwindling water supplies.
It has also displaced tens of thousands of people, and helped push
millions into hunger.<br>
<br>
The crisis is evidence of how global warming caused by the burning
of fossil fuels can act “as a threat multiplier,” said Rana El Hajj,
a technical adviser at the Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Center in
Lebanon, and one of the 10 authors of the study. It was put out by
the World Weather Attribution initiative, an international
scientific collaboration that specializes in rapid analysis of
extreme weather events...<br>
- -<br>
The researchers studied the effects of climate change on the low
rains and high temperatures experienced by the Fertile Crescent, the
region around the Euphrates and Tigris rivers, and Iran, between
July 2020 and June 2023. Although the study was not peer-reviewed,
the findings are based on standardized methods that have been...<br>
- -<br>
“One thing is very, very clear, though, that this is already
touching the limits of what some people are able to adapt to,” said
Friederike Otto, one of the authors of the study and a senior
lecturer in climate science at the Grantham Research Institute. “As
long as we keep burning fossil fuels or even give out new licenses
to explore new oil and gas fields, these kind of events will only
get worse.”...<br>
- -<br>
The climate is unlikely to bring any respite. Extreme drought is no
longer a rare event in a world that is 1.2 degrees Celsius warmer
than in preindustrial times. It is now expected to happen at least
every decade in the Euphrates River basin and at least twice a
decade in Iran.<br>
<br>
The current dry conditions are expected to continue, said Mohammad
Rahimi, a professor of climatology at Iran’s Semnan University and
another of the study’s authors. Projections of the future, he added,
indicate that “Syria, Iraq and Iran will become even harsher places
to live.”<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/08/climate/climate-change-drought-fertile-crescent.html?unlocked_article_code=1.9Ew.ywtA.KS7OWp9MjfUv&smid=url-share">https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/08/climate/climate-change-drought-fertile-crescent.html?unlocked_article_code=1.9Ew.ywtA.KS7OWp9MjfUv&smid=url-share</a><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/08/climate/climate-change-drought-fertile-crescent.html">https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/08/climate/climate-change-drought-fertile-crescent.html</a><br>
<p>- -</p>
<i>[ dive deep into the information rabbit hole - research from 2020
]</i><br>
<b>A protocol for probabilistic extreme event attribution analyses</b><br>
Sjoukje Philip, Sarah Kew, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Friederike
Otto, Robert Vautard, Karin van der Wiel, Andrew King, Fraser Lott,
Julie Arrighi, Roop Singh, and Maarten van Aalst<br>
Abstract<br>
Over the last few years, methods have been developed to answer
questions on the effect of global warming on recent extreme events.
Many “event attribution” studies have now been performed, a sizeable
fraction even within a few weeks of the event, to increase the
usefulness of the results. In doing these analyses, it has become
apparent that the attribution itself is only one step of an extended
process that leads from the observation of an extreme event to a
successfully communicated attribution statement. In this paper we
detail the protocol that was developed by the World Weather
Attribution group over the course of the last 4 years and about two
dozen rapid and slow attribution studies covering warm, cold, wet,
dry, and stormy extremes. It starts from the choice of which events
to analyse and proceeds with the event definition, observational
analysis, model evaluation, multi-model multi-method attribution,
hazard synthesis, vulnerability and exposure analysis and ends with
the communication procedures. This article documents this protocol.
It is hoped that our protocol will be useful in designing future
event attribution studies and as a starting point of a protocol for
an operational attribution service.<br>
<br>
How to cite. <br>
Philip, S., Kew, S., van Oldenborgh, G. J., Otto, F., Vautard, R.,
van der Wiel, K., King, A., Lott, F., Arrighi, J., Singh, R., and
van Aalst, M.: A protocol for probabilistic extreme event
attribution analyses, Adv. Stat. Clim. Meteorol. Oceanogr., 6,
177–203, <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://doi.org/10.5194/ascmo-6-177-2020">https://doi.org/10.5194/ascmo-6-177-2020</a>, 2020.<br>
Received: 10 Jul 2019 – Revised: 08 Sep 2020 – Accepted: 02 Oct 2020
– Published: 10 Nov 2020<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://ascmo.copernicus.org/articles/6/177/2020/">https://ascmo.copernicus.org/articles/6/177/2020/</a><br>
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<p><br>
</p>
<i>[ highlighted comment @rapauli 1 day ago -- </i><i>Our world is
literally over-heating -- and suddenly changes to our environment
threaten survival - the nation-state is infected and plundered by
mad-men, banks and multinational corporations promoting military
conflicts...We are stepping into the chaotic fall of
civilization. The reset is by increased heat bringing drought
and deluge, wild fires... Our task is to re-define our species as
we re-discover our planet. We must relearn the rules of species
survival. We would be wise to avoid violent stresses - instead
work to renew extensive co-operation. And keep our attention on
our changing environment.]</i><br>
<b>What causes Antisemitism? Gabor Maté</b><br>
Science and Nonduality<br>
Nov 8, 2023<br>
- -<br>
Dr. Gabor Maté on what causes Antisemitism?<br>
<br>
This video is an excerpt from Gabor's "Roots Run Deep: Collective
and Individual Trauma in Palestine/Israel" live talk and Q&A
hosted by SAND in November 2023.<br>
<br>
Dr. Gabor Maté addresses some of the pressing questions in our
hearts, and offers his insights on the unfolding tragedy. In this
clip, Gabor discusses the roots of anti-semitism and racism.<br>
- -<br>
We invite you to explore some links and resources to support
Palestine/Israel compiled by Gabor Maté and SAND:
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://scienceandnonduality.com/">https://scienceandnonduality.com/</a><br>
<br>
Science and Nonduality is a community inspired by timeless wisdom,
informed by cutting-edge science, and grounded in direct experience.
We come together in an open-hearted exploration while celebrating
our humanity.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=acl9ULPruMw&lc=UgwYIKFFw8zceY1bo_t4AaABAg">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=acl9ULPruMw&lc=UgwYIKFFw8zceY1bo_t4AaABAg</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[ logic of capitalism -- new book ]</i><br>
<b>Naomi Klein Talks Being Mistaken for a Conspiracy Theorist |
Offline with Jon Favreau</b><br>
Pod Save America<br>
Nov 5, 2023 Offline with Jon Favreau<br>
Naomi Klein, activist and bestselling author, joins Offline to talk
about her new book, Doppelganger, and the woman who inspired it,
anti-vax crusader Naomi Wolf. In Doppelganger, Klein wades into the
confusion to tell a broader story about the morass of the internet
today. She and Jon talk about what it means to build a personal
brand in the attention economy, how the pandemic fractured our
collective sense of reality, and whether the internet is a good
place to build a populist movement. Plus, Max is back from the dead!
He and Jon break down Biden’s new executive order on AI and exchange
tips on how to have more productive conversations about the
destruction in Gaza.<br>
<br>
CHAPTERS<br>
0:00 Intro<br>
- -<br>
30:34 Naomi Klein on being compared to Naomi Wolf<br>
1:02:35 Ad Break<br>
1:06:37 Naomi Klein on The Mirror World<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://youtu.be/DIdFqKZVAFI?si=J5FNVI7lGRcuTmRM&t=1792">https://youtu.be/DIdFqKZVAFI?si=J5FNVI7lGRcuTmRM&t=1792</a><br>
<br>
<p></p>
<p><br>
</p>
<font face="Calibri"> <i>[The news archive - ]</i><br>
<font size="+2"><i><b>November 10, 2014 </b></i></font> <br>
</font>
<p>November 10, 2014: The Boston Globe reports:<br>
<br>
"Professors at Boston-area colleges are adding their voices to a
student-led movement that is pressing higher education
institutions to shed investments in fossil fuel companies.<br>
<br>
"The growing faculty involvement has not only galvanized the
effort with increased support but also added an important and
unique perspective, activists say."<br>
<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://www.bostonglobe.com/metro/2014/11/10/fuel-divestment-movement-grows-boston-campuses/uOKCKYo71b6QhMVaKmQQNK/story.html">http://www.bostonglobe.com/metro/2014/11/10/fuel-divestment-movement-grows-boston-campuses/uOKCKYo71b6QhMVaKmQQNK/story.html</a><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><font face="Calibri"> <br>
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=== Other climate news sources
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day or once a week, our original stories and digest of the web’s
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</font> <font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://insideclimatenews.org/">https://insideclimatenews.org/</a><br>
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*<b>Climate Nexus</b> <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://climatenexus.org/hot-news/*">https://climatenexus.org/hot-news/*</a>
<br>
Delivered straight to your inbox every morning, Hot News
summarizes the most important climate and energy news of the
day, delivering an unmatched aggregation of timely, relevant
reporting. It also provides original reporting and commentary on
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remain largely unexposed. 5 weekday <br>
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class="moz-txt-star"><span class="moz-txt-tag">*</span></b> <br>
Every weekday morning, in time for your morning coffee, Carbon
Brief sends out a free email known as the “Daily Briefing” to
thousands of subscribers around the world. The email is a digest
of the past 24 hours of media coverage related to climate change
and energy, as well as our pick of the key studies published in
the peer-reviewed journals. <br>
more at <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.getrevue.co/publisher/carbon-brief">https://www.getrevue.co/publisher/carbon-brief</a>
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