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<font size="+2" face="Calibri"><i><b>January</b></i></font><font
size="+2" face="Calibri"><i><b> 3, 2024</b></i></font><font
face="Calibri"><br>
</font><br>
<i>[ Dr James Hansen ]</i><br>
<b>Year End Message from James Hansen: some Good News for Young
People</b><br>
Paul Beckwith<br>
Jan 2, 2024<br>
Last year (just a few days ago) James Hansen posted a short letter
in response to a request for some year-end good news by a board
member on his group CSAS (Climate Science, Awareness and Solutions)
in the Earth Institute at Columbia University in New York.<br>
<br>
Link:<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/mailings/2023/GoodNews.28December2023.pdf">https://www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/mailings/2023/GoodNews.28December2023.pdf</a><br>
Title: Good News for Young People about Climate Change and a Thank
You<br>
<br>
Interestingly, the fraction of CO2 that ends up in the atmosphere
from anthropogenic fossil fuel burning was about 60% in 1960 and has
decreased to about 50% at present. This clearly means that more of
our human emissions are being taken up by the oceans and land. <br>
<br>
Also, the emissions intensity (anthropogenic emissions divided by
energy produced from those emissions) has decreased from about 0.8
in 1960 to about 0.7 today. <br>
<br>
Small things, no doubt, but we have so little good news on climate
disruption these days, that we will take what we can when it
trickles through the bad news tsunami of information... <br>
-<br>
Essentially, it seems that more carbon is being absorbed into the
deep ocean than we thought, which is a very important finding. As
climate change and global warming accelerates, we expect that the
Deep Carbon Sink of the oceans will decline, and that will result in
much higher rises of GHGs in the atmosphere with much faster
warming.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kcf0DQ-UAVA">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kcf0DQ-UAVA</a><br>
<p>- -</p>
<i>[ Clips from </i><i>Hansen and team in a </i><i>readable 3 page
paper ]</i><br>
<b>Good News for Young People About Climate Change and a Thank You</b><br>
28 December 2023<br>
James Hansen, Makiko Sato, Pushker Kharecha<br>
<blockquote><b>Abstract</b>. Our climate research and analysis
places comparable emphasis on paleoclimate<br>
information, global climate modeling, and modern observations of
ongoing global change.<br>
Despite our findings that climate sensitivity is greater than the
canonical estimate of 3°C<br>
equilibrium warming for doubled CO2 and that global warming is
accelerating, let us end the<br>
year with some real-world good news<br>
</blockquote>
We proffer new evidence of nature’s ability to help clean up human
pollution of the climate system,<br>
specifically nature’s ability to rapidly absorb a large part of the
CO2 that humanity injects into the<br>
air by burning fossil fuels...<br>
-<br>
The upshot is that the deep ocean may provide a little more help in
taking up excessive atmospheric CO2 than most<br>
models have been indicating...<br>
- <br>
Clouds are a great challenge, because of their role as both a
climate feedback and a climate forcing.<br>
Our inference of high climate sensitivity implies that clouds
provide a large, amplifying, climate<br>
feedback. However, cloud changes also provide the mechanism by which
aerosol changes cause a<br>
large climate forcing. This complicates the task of quantifying both
the cloud feedback and the<br>
aerosol climate forcing...<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/mailings/2023/GoodNews.28December2023.pdf">https://www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/mailings/2023/GoodNews.28December2023.pdf</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[ left and right politics ]</i><br>
<b>How Fascists Are Taking Advantage Of Climate Change</b><br>
Second Thought<br>
Mar 25, 2022<br>
We all understand that climate change is real, it's here, and that
the consequences of our inaction will be disastrous for our species
and countless other forms of life around the world. But what happens
when those in positions of power see climate change as a means to an
end? A way to make truly draconian policies seem rational? In this
week's episode, we're talking about two distinct forms of climate
fascism: Fossil Fascism and Ecofascism. <br>
-<br>
How Fascists Are Taking Advantage Of Climate Change – Second Thought<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aA1T_0pZHXk">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aA1T_0pZHXk</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<br>
<i>[ simple lecture with a few power-points ]</i><br>
<b>Cognitive Warfare: The Forgotten War with Tanguy Struye de
Swielande</b><br>
Dec 28, 2023 BRUSSELS<br>
Tanguy Struye de Swielande is Professor of International Relations
at UCLouvain. He specializes in geopolitics, geoeconomics and the
foreign and defense policy of the major powers (USA, Russia and
China), the Indo-Pacific region, decision-making analysis, foresight
cognitive warfare and the impact of new technologies on world order.<br>
<br>
The nature of warfare has evolved, with the result that we are
sometimes faced with new wars that do not speak their name.
Disinformation campaigns have become veritable weapons of mass
disruption, undermining the smooth functioning of our democratic
societies. They spread and circulate rapidly, are inexpensive and
have a high impact. For Professor Giordano, the human brain has thus
become the battlefield of the 21st century.<br>
<br>
What is cognitive warfare? Is China the master of cognitive warfare?
Why are democracies losing? Are resources and the 4th industrial
revolution the missing link? From neuroscience to the metaverse:
cognitive warfare 2.0?<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://youtu.be/dMSDL02yDag?si=a2obLrnAI3B2RvMl">https://youtu.be/dMSDL02yDag?si=a2obLrnAI3B2RvMl</a> [ start a few
minutes in ]<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://youtu.be/dMSDL02yDag?si=oxjQRrWs1SGXjHcf">https://youtu.be/dMSDL02yDag?si=oxjQRrWs1SGXjHcf</a> &t=483
<p>- -</p>
<i>[ This is a US ARMY organization ]</i><br>
<b>SOCIAL MEDIA OPSEC</b><br>
<blockquote> THE PROBLEM OF DISINFORMATION<br>
There is no shortage of information, and accuracy can be hard to
gauge. Misinformation is unintentionally inaccurate.
Disinformation is intentionally inaccurate. Critical thinking
skills are the best defense against mis/disinformation. It is
important for Soldiers to be critical consumers of information, to
not fall for disinformation campaigns, to recognize when
misinformation may be present, and to not contribute to the spread
of either.<br>
</blockquote>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.tradoc.army.mil/social-media-disinformation/">https://www.tradoc.army.mil/social-media-disinformation/</a><br>
<p>- -</p>
<i>[ a PDF paper from the Dept of State ]</i><br>
<b>WEAPONS OF MASS DISTRACTION:</b><br>
<blockquote>
<ul>
<li>Foreign State-Sponsored Disinformation in the Digital Age</li>
<li>Introduction and contextual analysis</li>
<li>How do we define disinformation?</li>
<li>What psychological factors drive vulnerabilities to
disinformation</li>
<li>and propaganda?</li>
<li>A look at foreign state-sponsored disinformation and
propaganda</li>
<li>Platform-specific challenges and efforts to counter
disinformation</li>
<li>Knowledge gaps and future technology challenges</li>
</ul>
</blockquote>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.state.gov/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/Weapons-of-Mass-Distraction-Foreign-State-Sponsored-Disinformation-in-the-Digital-Age.pdf">https://www.state.gov/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/Weapons-of-Mass-Distraction-Foreign-State-Sponsored-Disinformation-in-the-Digital-Age.pdf</a><br>
<p>- -</p>
<i>[ UN News Global perspective Human stories]</i><br>
<b>Building a digital army: UN peacekeepers fight deadly
disinformation</b><br>
19 August 2023 <br>
Peace and Security<br>
With smartphones, editing apps, and innovative approaches, some UN
peacekeeping operations across the world are building a “digital
army” aimed at combating mis- and disinformation on social media
networks and beyond.<br>
<br>
Designing ways to fight back against falsehoods that can trigger
tensions, violence, or even death, the UN has been monitoring how
mis- and disinformation and hate speech can attack health, security,
stability as well as progress towards the Sustainable Development
Goals (SDGs).<br>
<br>
“It has become clear that business as usual is not an option,” UN
Secretary-General António Guterres said in a policy brief launched
in June on information integrity on digital platforms.<br>
<br>
“The ability to disseminate large-scale disinformation to undermine
scientifically established facts poses an existential risk to
humanity and endangers democratic institutions and fundamental human
rights,” he wrote in the brief. <br>
Disinformation can be dangerous in other ways. Several UN missions
have reported social media campaigns in recent years targeting their
peacekeeping work.<br>
<br>
In 2019, the UN mission in the Democratic Republic of the Congo
(DRC), known by its French acronym MONUSCO, raised grave concerns
about social media disinformation campaigns calling for violence
against peacekeepers during an Ebola epidemic and following a deadly
attack by an armed group in the restive eastern region...<br>
- -<br>
By 2022, the Security Council had adjusted the mandates of its four
largest peacekeeping operations – DRC, Central African Republic
(CAR), Mali, and South Sudan – and added the task of preventing
disinformation campaigns aimed at undermining a mission’s
credibility<br>
<br>
“This is a war that is going on through social media, the radio, and
traditional news outlets,” said Bintou Keita, who heads MONUSCO.
Fighting deadly disinformation has been a “painful curve” to learn
of this new battlefield, but the mission has now become proactive on
social and other media platforms, to help stop its spread, she
added...<br>
- -<br>
To fight back against disinformation, UN peacekeepers are putting
new tools into the hands of civilians of all ages, including
15-year-old Blessing Kasasi in DRC.<br>
<br>
An activist advocating for the rights of women and children, Ms.
Kasasi readily joined a workshop in the capital city of Kinshasa,
with 30 young people who learned about detecting “fake news” and
countering it with the most effective weapon: the truth.<br>
<br>
Guillaume Kingh-Farel, one of the workshop trainers, said
disinformation is “used as a weapon of war to undermine MONUSCO’s
peace efforts in the DRC”.<br>
<br>
As such, the MONUSCO-supported workshop to train “a digital army
capable of detecting false information” by producing content with
the help of a smartphone and editing software and simultaneously
spreading objective, credible information through “relay clubs” that
disseminate these messages through their networks.<br>
<br>
“From a smartphone, I will produce videos to echo good information,”
Ms. Kasasi said after the workshop.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://news.un.org/en/story/2023/08/1139682">https://news.un.org/en/story/2023/08/1139682</a><br>
<p>- -</p>
<i>[ UN video helps recognize misinformation ]</i><br>
<b>UNESCO MIL CLICKS – 10 Points to Detect Disinformation<i><br>
</i></b>Jun 3, 2020 #UNESCO #MILCLICKS #TrustinMediaSEE<br>
Promoting Media and Information Literacy: Learn these 10 points to
detect disinformation efficiently.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fuZg_9Ag7CI">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fuZg_9Ag7CI</a><br>
<p>- -</p>
<i>[ put this in front of students ]</i><br>
<b>How to Spot Misinformation Online</b><br>
<blockquote>Article SummaryX<br>
Pausing and taking a moment to verify something you see online can
help you spot misinformation and prevent its spread. If you're
skeptical about information you find online, check out what source
it comes from and who the author is to make sure they're both
credible. Try looking the information up online to see if other
credible outlets are also talking about it—if they're not, that's
a red flag that the information isn't accurate. Also, keep in mind
that misinformation is usually designed to trigger your emotions.
If it feels like a headline or image is supposed to make you feel
a strong emotion, be skeptical and verify that it's accurate
before you react. When in doubt, visit a reliable fact-checking
website to find out if something is accurate or not For more tips,
like how to recognize fake accounts on social media and other
sources of misinformation, check out the rest of the article
below.<br>
</blockquote>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rd9-qZEGun4">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rd9-qZEGun4</a><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.wikihow.com/Spot-Misinformation-Online">https://www.wikihow.com/Spot-Misinformation-Online</a><br>
<p>- -</p>
<i>[ the RAND Corporation has done research on this topic ]</i><br>
<b>Information Operations<i><br>
</i></b><br>
Information operations and warfare, also known as influence
operations, includes the collection of tactical information about an
adversary as well as the dissemination of propaganda in pursuit of a
competitive advantage over an opponent. RAND research has enabled
military leaders and policymakers to develop strategies and policy
frameworks to address the challenges of these military operations.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.rand.org/topics/information-operations.html">https://www.rand.org/topics/information-operations.html</a><br>
<p>- -</p>
<i>[ RAND research COMMENTARY]</i><br>
<b>Truth Decay and National Security</b><br>
Even if the U.S. national security apparatus can operate entirely
outside of politics, it remains exposed to the effects of Truth
Decay—the diminishing role of facts and analysis in American public
life. Little work is being done to understand how severe the impact
of Truth Decay is on national security and, more importantly, how to
mitigate it.<br>
Aug 1, 2023<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.rand.org/pubs/commentary/2023/08/truth-decay-and-national-security.html">https://www.rand.org/pubs/commentary/2023/08/truth-decay-and-national-security.html</a><br>
<p>- - <br>
</p>
<i>[ NATO = North Atlantic Treaty Organization ]</i><br>
<b>NATO’s approach to countering disinformation</b><br>
Last updated: 08 Nov. 2023<br>
What is disinformation?<br>
Disinformation is false or inaccurate information that a hostile
actor uses deliberately to deceive people. Usually, disinformation
seeks to stir up a particular strong emotion (anger, fear, disgust)
and override rational and critical thinking in the intended target.<br>
<br>
“Disinformation” is just one element of a broader set of hostile
information activities, which can include many tactics, techniques
and procedures.<br>
Key terms:<br>
<blockquote>
<ul>
<li><b>Disinformation</b> – false or inaccurate information
spread deliberately to manipulate the opinions and actions of
others </li>
<li><b>Misinformation </b>– false or inaccurate information
spread without malicious intent, although its effects can
still be harmful</li>
<li><b>Propaganda </b>– information designed to manipulate a
specific target audience toward a particular behaviour or
belief, often as part of a prolonged campaign by a state actor
with a political agenda</li>
<li><b>Hostile narrative </b>– a specific story developed to
discredit or defame a particular target</li>
<li><b>Hostile information activities</b> – a wide range of
coordinated actions designed to sow distrust and manipulate
opinion, usually involving one or all of the above methods and
techniques, such as misleading memes, conspiracy theories,
deepfake images or videos, quotes taken out of context, or
simply outright lies that people tell to manipulate others</li>
<li><b>Foreign information manipulation and interference (FIMI)</b>
– a pattern of behaviour that threatens or has the potential
to negatively impact values, procedures and political
processes in a target country. Such activity is mostly
non-illegal, but is manipulative in character, conducted in an
intentional and coordinated manner, by state or non-state
actors, including their proxies inside and outside of their
own territory</li>
<li><b>Hybrid warfare </b>– use of military and non-military as
well as covert and overt means (including disinformation,
cyber attacks, economic pressure, deployment of irregular
armed groups and use of regular forces) to blur the lines
between war and peace, sow doubt in the minds of target
populations, and destabilise and undermine societies</li>
</ul>
</blockquote>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/topics_219728.htm">https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/topics_219728.htm</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[how difficult is prediction? ]</i><br>
<b>Why Do Exact Equations Become Unpredictable?</b><br>
The Action Lab<br>
Dec 30, 2023<br>
-<br>
The space simulations were done in Universe Sandbox:
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://universesandbox.com/">http://universesandbox.com/</a><br>
Create your own choreographies here:
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://gminton.org/#choreography">http://gminton.org/#choreography</a> <br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CIjHtVmTfO8">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CIjHtVmTfO8</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[ classic video from ClimateTown - a great channel ]</i><br>
<b>The News Media Is Selling You Out | Climate Town</b><br>
Premiered Oct 26, 2022 #news<br>
100 years Herb Schmertz. <br>
Patreon: / climatetown <br>
- <br>
Big time shoutouts to climate journalists like Amy Westervelt
(@amywestervelt) and Emily Atkin (@emorwee). In particular, Amy’s
research was a major help in writing this episode and you should
absolutely listen to her podcast, Drilled:
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.drilledpodcast.com">https://www.drilledpodcast.com</a> <br>
The channel is <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/@ClimateTown">https://www.youtube.com/@ClimateTown</a><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jkhGJUTW3ag">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jkhGJUTW3ag</a> -<br>
<br>
<p><br>
</p>
<font face="Calibri"><i>[The news archive - when presidential
politics was starting to get interesting ]</i></font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> <font size="+2"><i><b>January 3, 2011 </b></i></font>
</font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> </font> January 3, 2011: Steve Benen of the
Washington Monthly notes that Republican presidential candidates who
now try to deny the existence of human-caused climate change will
have to figure out a way to rewrite history:<br>
<br>
"Yes, in Republican circles in 2011, those who don't reject the
scientific consensus on the climate crisis will be rejected out of
hand. Those who've been even somewhat reasonable on the issue in
recent years should expect to grovel shamelessly -- a trait that's
always attractive in presidential candidates. <br>
<br>
"The number of likely GOP candidates who've actually said out loud
that the planet is warming and that human activity is responsible
is, oddly enough, larger than the number of consistent climate
deniers. Sarah Palin has said pollution contributes to global
warming and 'we've got to do something about it.' Romney has said he
believes the planet is warming and at least used to support
cap-and-trade. Huckabee and Pawlenty have backed cap-and-trade --
which was, originally, a Republican idea, by the way -- in recent
years. Even Newt Gingrich used to demand 'action to address climate
change,' and participated briefly with Al Gore's Repower America
campaign. <br>
<br>
"This wasn't a problem up until very recently. John McCain's 2008
presidential platform not only acknowledged climate change, it
included a call for a cap-and-trade plan -- and he won the
nomination fairly easily. As recently as 2006, rank-and-file
Republican voters, by and large, believed what the mainstream
believed when it came to climate science: global warming is real,
it's a problem, and it requires attention.<br>
<br>
"But that was before the GOP fell off the right-wing cliff."<br>
<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/archives/individual/2011_01/027356.php">http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/archives/individual/2011_01/027356.php</a>
<br>
<br>
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