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<p><font size="+2" face="Calibri"><i><b>January</b></i></font><font
size="+2" face="Calibri"><i><b> 12, 2024</b></i></font></p>
<i>[ </i><i> talking of risks at the </i><i>World Economic Forum,
by the tremendously wealthy - audio ]</i><br>
<b>Global Risks Report: the big issues facing leaders at Davos 2024</b><br>
Scroll down for full podcast transcript - click the ‘Show more’
arrow<br>
As leading figures from government, business, academia and civil
society head to Davos for the Annual Meeting 2024, what are the big
global challenges they will be discussing?<br>
<br>
The World Economic Forum's Global Risks Report sets out the biggest
issues over the short and medium terms, based on a survey of more
than 1,400 global risks experts, policy-makers and industry leaders.<br>
<br>
This year, the impact of artificial intelligence is felt throughout
the report, with rising concern about disinformation and
cyberinsecurity.<br>
<br>
Gayle Markovitz hears from two of the people who put the report
together, Carolina Klint, Managing Director at Marsh McLennan, and
Peter Giger, Group Chief Risk Officer at Zurich Insurance.<br>
Links:<br>
Read the Global Risks Report 2024:
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.weforum.org/publications/global-risks-report-2024/">https://www.weforum.org/publications/global-risks-report-2024/</a><br>
<br>
Follow all the action from the World Economic Forum's Annual Meeting
2024 in Davos at wef.ch/wef24 and across social media using the
hashtag #WEF24.<br>
<br>
Forum Agenda blogs:<br>
Global Risk Report 2024: The risks are growing — but so is our
capacity to respond<br>
<br>
How to build business resilience in an era of risk turbulence<br>
<b>Welcome to the age of the polycrisis: the Global Risks Report
2023</b><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.weforum.org/podcasts/radio-davos/episodes/global-risks-report-davos-2024/">https://www.weforum.org/podcasts/radio-davos/episodes/global-risks-report-davos-2024/</a><br>
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<p><br>
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<i>[ Waves of Disinformation ]</i><br>
<b>Foresight Dialogues 2023. Climate change and disinformation</b><br>
CMCC Channel<br>
Jan 10, 2024<br>
Speakers:<br>
John Cook, Senior Research Fellow at the Melbourne Centre for
Behaviour Change, University of Melbourne and founder of Skeptical
Science <br>
Paula Gori, Secretary General and Coordinator of the European
Digital Media Observatory, European University Institute<br>
<br>
Moderator:<br>
Mauro Buonocore, Head Communication & Outreach, CMCC<br>
<br>
The radical transformation triggered by climate change has generated
a vast amount of information that might be difficult to navigate.<br>
Disinformation can hinder climate action and create distrust in the
scientific basis of climate change. Cognitive sciences have
developed different techniques to counter this tendency, such as
deconstruction and debunking. Experts share best practices on how
the communication sectors can positively influence the climate
discourse on different platforms.<br>
<br>
“Foresight Dialogues” is an initiative by the CMCC Foundation –
Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Chang<br>
Under the patronage of: Consulat Honoraire de Monaco à Venise
Ca’Foscari University of Venice<br>
Partner: ETE, Earth Technology Expo<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=klPQATZ-dWM">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=klPQATZ-dWM</a>
<p><br>
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<p><br>
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<i>[Perspectives Ideas ]</i><br>
<b>What’s the “right” way to communicate about climate change?</b><br>
When doom, gloom, and unbridled optimism don’t work, what’s left?
Everything.<br>
By Alison Smart<br>
December 18, 2023<br>
“Doom and gloom” is a phrase you will invariably hear in
conversations, meetings, and articles about climate change. During
this year’s Climate Week NYC (one of the two biggest annual
gatherings of people working on climate change, along with COP), I
heard the words at every panel or event I attended. Most commonly,
speakers assured audiences that they wouldn’t be focusing on the
impacts of climate change, how dangerously fast it’s moving, or what
it might look like to live in a 1.5 or even 2-degree world. Instead,
they promised to focus on hopeful topics. The familiar refrain
brought me back to a memorable period in my career when I was a
newcomer to the climate change space, working hard to make sense of
the issue and figure out how to talk about it. <br>
<br>
Almost a decade ago, I took a new role as a senior leader in
communications, fundraising, and strategy at the Woodwell Climate
Research Center. I came in wide-eyed and eager to learn all of the
best practices of climate communications, having no formal education
in a climate-related field—I spent the prior decade working in
museums. Though I felt confident that this background would serve me
well in this new role, I still needed to get up to speed on the
topic of climate. So I read countless articles and books, sought
lessons from my new climate science and policy-expert colleagues,
and followed mainstream environmental organizations and thought
leaders on social media and elsewhere. Through these resources, I
gleaned that there was a fairly broad alignment on conventional
wisdom and best practices. <br>
<br>
The conventional wisdom was that talking about the risk of climate
change was likely to paralyze people with fear and lead them to
denial or apathy, instead of the intended outcome: taking action. <br>
<br>
For starters, doom and gloom was considered a big “no-no” in climate
communications. The conventional wisdom was that talking about the
risk of climate change was likely to paralyze people with fear and
lead them to denial or apathy, instead of the intended outcome:
taking action. This approach can be neatly summarized as, “Down with
fear, up with hope.” I also constantly received advice such as, “You
have to show people how climate change is going to hit their
wallets—that’s what people really care about.” Or, “Don’t talk too
much about adapting to climate change—people will think we don’t
really have to stop using fossil fuels.” Or even, “We don’t need to
learn any more about climate change. You have to tell people what to
do, or, better yet, the top thing that they can do—people are busy.”
<br>
<br>
These beliefs and best practices were broad, and there was little
nuance about the audiences and contexts in which they might work
best. Given my newcomer mindset, I took it all at face value and
followed the rules. That is, until I started having experiences that
conflicted with the rules.<br>
<br>
Around six years ago, I was part of a group, including colleagues at
the Woodwell Climate Research Center and Spencer Glendon (who would
become the founder of Probable Futures), that decided to experiment
with the ways in which climate science could be useful in
decision-making. We began to show small groups of people maps of
projected climate impacts (heat, drought, precipitation, and
wildfire) that were likely to materialize over the coming few
decades.<br>
<br>
The maps drew from climate model data that was well established and
had been around for some time. However, these models had largely
been used for scientific research that ended up in scholarly
journals geared toward the science community rather than the general
public. The “experiment” was to mine climate model data and see if
we could turn it into a communications tool that presented the
urgency and impacts of climate change in a way that was resonant,
relevant, and motivating to non-experts. Our first target audience
included leaders in the finance community. <br>
<br>
One core memory from that time is when my colleagues revealed newly
generated maps of drought probabilities at different warming
scenarios in the Mediterranean and northern Africa. In short, the
results were shocking—even to my colleagues and I. Scanning the
room, I observed people’s jaws dropping while others audibly gasped.
The map required little interpretation or translation into what
these changes might mean for the people, plants, animals, and
industries in these regions.<br>
<br>
I considered that, by the standards of climate communications, these
were “doom and gloom” maps. Yet people’s demeanors and comments
thereafter didn’t look at all like apathy or paralysis. “I truly
didn’t know,” some said. “Everyone on Earth needs to see these
maps,” said others. And more quickly than I thought possible, the
conversations turned toward action. Plans were made for public
communications campaigns and new initiatives within influential
organizations. For some individuals, entire career paths changed
direction.<br>
<br>
Today, some of the people in those rooms are passionately and
publicly leading their companies, organizations, and communities in
climate action. And those early maps formed the foundation for what
is now Probable Futures; a climate literacy initiative working to
democratize climate science and educate people across disciplines
and geographies. <br>
<br>
<b>Getting to the bottom of the rules</b><br>
How could my experience be in such conflict with “the rules” around
climate communications? It was truly one of the most surprising and
baffling periods of my career. Clearly, I needed to re-ground myself
in my understanding of what is known to work when it comes to
motivating people to take climate change seriously and take action.
I started wondering if the climate communications rules might
actually be limiting conversation around climate change, or,
further, if they could be boxing out new people from the climate
movement. <br>
<br>
So I started to dig into climate-related social science literature.
As one might imagine, the answers are more complicated than the
various, aforementioned “You have to,” advice might suggest. Take,
for example, the hope vs. fear topic. Research results on which is
the better motivator are mixed and sometimes even entirely
inconclusive. <br>
<br>
The results of a 2021 study in which participants were shown videos
about climate change with hopeful or fearful messages “suggest that
the impacts of a single hope or fear appeal can be overstated,” and
the authors cautioned against “claims that either hopeful or
fear-driven climate change communication strategies are necessarily
optimal.” A 2017 paper in Nature Climate Change found that “the
current evidence base” on emotion in climate change communication
“[does] not support definitive, simplistic, and overly broad
assertions about the effect of specific emotions on climate change
responses”—in fact, the authors held that any responses to climate
change messages “are influenced by the beliefs, worldviews, and
existing emotions each individual brings to the table.” If you want
to explore further, these articles in Vox and Grist are thorough and
quite thoughtful. <br>
<br>
However, this is not to say we know nothing about what makes for
effective messaging, but what we do know is nuanced and typically
specific to a certain audience. Initiatives such as the Potential
Energy Coalition, Environmental Voter Project, and Yale Program on
Climate Change Communication (to name a few) have done important
work to understand the motivators and attitudes of specific
audiences within the United States, typically framed around voting
outcomes. Another example is a recent study by Earth Alliance and
Harmony Labs that categorizes audiences by values and provides
messaging recommendations based on those values. These kinds of
context-specific insights can be critically important when
understood accurately and used thoughtfully. <br>
<br>
Still, there was a real lack of evidence of any one-size-fits-all
climate communications approach that is known to work in motivating
long-term behavior change. Learning this put my experience with the
drought maps in more context: This particular communications
approach worked with this particular audience and these messengers
at that moment in time—and we got there by experimenting. <br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://probablefutures.org/perspective/whats-the-right-way-to-communicate-about-climate-change/">https://probablefutures.org/perspective/whats-the-right-way-to-communicate-about-climate-change/</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[ Just the list -- clips counting down - the WRONG way to
communicate -- 24 evil ones for 2024 ]</i><br>
<b>24 Villains for '24</b><br>
Two dozen of the very worst Americans, ranked.<br>
GREG OLEAR <br>
JAN 2, 2024...<br>
<blockquote><b>And now, the dirty two dozen:</b><br>
</blockquote>
<b>24. Roger Stone (previous rank: 16)</b><br>
“Since the days of Nixon,” I wrote last year, “this shameless
rightwing operative has been a festering herpes blister on the
genitals of our fair republic. Just when you think the rash is gone,
it breaks out again.” This remains true, but the blister is less
pussy. Stone is a year older, and frailer, and at war with so many
people in the GOP, I’ve lost track.<br>
<br>
<b>23. Matt Gaetz (previously unranked)</b><br>
A wretched traitor who carries water for the Kremlin, and is smart
enough to cause real damage. Vintage 99 led the charge to expel
McCarthy from the House—just when Ukraine was heating up and the
Israel-Hamas war was beginning. When are the charges dropping? Or is
Gaetz—like another notorious Florida resident with a yen for young
girls, Jeffrey Epstein—immune from prosecution?<br>
<b><br>
22. Marjorie Taylor Greene (previous rank: 17)</b><br>
The nicest thing we can say about this hateful, stupid troglodyte is
that she didn’t get busted jerking off her new boyfriend at a
performance of Beetlejuice: The Musical.<br>
<b><br>
21. Rupert Murdoch (previous rank: 2)</b><br>
As I wrote last year, this purveyor of disinformation, fake news,
and bilious hate is “unequivocally one of the worst human beings to
ever draw breath on this planet.” But he’s sold his controlling
interest in News Corp, and, I mean, in March he’ll turn
ninety-fucking-three. I know that evil preserves these malevolent
old geezers, like severed body parts in formaldehyde, but even
Kissinger didn’t live forever.<br>
<br>
<b>20. Ginni Thomas (previous rank: 5)</b><br>
When Moscow Never Sleeps wrote his prescient piece about Clarence
Thomas on these pages in December of 2020, I had never heard of
Virginia Lamp Thomas. Her anonymity is what made her so effective.
We’re on to her now, and Clarence’s corruption problems ain’t going
away.<br>
<br>
<b>19. Leonard Leo (previous rank: 7)</b><br>
Knight of Malta and loser from Central Jersey who was the prime
mover behind the Dobbs decision now has pockets so deep he may never
run out of cash—but like his old chum Ginni, Leo operates best in
the shadows. Diligent reporters like Heidi Przybyla, Nina Burleigh,
and the team at ProPublica have put him under the microscope—where,
yes, he does bear a striking resemblance to Yersinia pestis—and will
continue to make him famous in 2024.<br>
<b><br>
18. Scott Presler (previously unranked)</b><br>
With his long, flowing, well-Garnier Fructis’d locks, he looks like
he should be cosplaying Tolkien and not MAGA activism. In 2016, he
co-founded Gays For Trump—it may as well be Alderaanans for
Vader—making Presler one of the few gays for Trump not cowering
miserably in the closet. His campaign to take over the RNC from
soulless Ronna Romney No More is less quixotic than it first
appears; he’s very good at registering new voters, and is human
catnip for middle-aged Republican women.<br>
<br>
<b>17. Nick Fuentes (previously unranked)</b><br>
Like Presler, he is young and influential in far-right circles.
Unlike Presler, he is an outspoken admirer of both Adolf Hitler and
Vladimir Putin.<br>
<br>
<b>16. Thought leaders of the NRx (previously unranked)</b><br>
<blockquote>You can read about these authoritarian weirdos here:
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://gregolear.substack.com/p/dark-enlightenment-part-one-the-cathedral">https://gregolear.substack.com/p/dark-enlightenment-part-one-the-cathedral</a><br>
Dark Enlightenment, Part One: The Cathedral & the Red Caesar<br>
.. a two-part series on the neo-reactionary fringe: the dissidents
of the New Right, America's ascendant antidemocratic political
movement.<br>
GREG OLEAR<br>
Conservative politics is not just for Evangelical Christians,
anti-abortion crusaders, tax-averse libertarians, Q crazies, and
MAGA cultists. There has emerged a New Right: young, smart, edgy,
urbane—even hip. Its political philosophy is coherent and
compelling. Its religion of choice, if it has one, is
Catholicism...</blockquote>
<b>15. Charlie Kirk (previous rank: 12)</b><br>
With his bedhead and his uncanny resemblance to the anthropomorphic
moon from the “Mac Tonight” commercials, Kirk is probably the most
influential young conservative media figure. As I wrote last year,
he’s “up to his too-close-together eyeballs in the insurrection.
During his deposition with the J6 Committee, he pleaded the Fifth to
almost everything, including a question about his age.” Not much has
changed, other than a marked loss of interest in brushes and combs.<br>
<br>
<b>14. James Comer (previously unranked)</b><br>
As the GOP’s primary “Biden Crime Family” attack dog, Comer and his
plump, unctuous face is on TV all the time, yammering on about
Hunter Biden this, Hunter Biden that, promising new evidence that
never turns up. How many of this past year’s 5,840 waking hours did
this creep spend looking at pictures of Hunter Biden’s prodigious
shlong? And how many of Comer’s 2,920 sleeping hours were spent
dreaming of it?<br>
<br>
<b>13. Greg Abbott, Dan Patrick, Ken Paxton (previous rank: 6)</b><br>
Last year’s entry on these corrupt, evil motherfuckers:<br>
<blockquote>The troika that rules the Lone Star State—and yes, I’m
using troika because it’s a Russian word—is the Father, Son, and
Holy Ghost of pure evil. There are banana republics less corrupt.
What with the voter suppression and gerrymandering, the fascistic
anti-abortion laws so draconian they harken back to the Fugitive
Slave Act, the extreme vaccine and mask denial, the preponderance
of guns, and the state power grid pooping out every time it gets
too hot or too cold, Texas exemplifies the GOP attitude toward the
people: “Fuck you, die.”<br>
</blockquote>
Nothing has changed except the egregiousness of their corruption and
the number of people they’ve harmed. Paxton, an outright crook, is
on the short list for Attorney General in a second Trump term.<br>
<br>
<b>12. Charles McGonigal (previously unranked)</b><br>
How much damage did this filthy traitor do to the country he
betrayed? How many people died, directly or indirectly, because of
his treachery? Are we still in danger because of his treasonous
activities while running counterintelligence at the FBI?<br>
<br>
<b>11. Jared Kushner (previous rank: 1)</b><br>
As I wrote last year:<br>
<blockquote>Look, I kind of understand, if I don’t condone, letting
Mark Meadows get away with voter fraud, and Erik Prince slide for
perjury, and even giving FPOTUS a mulligan for the whole
insurrection business. It’s like Yale handing Dubya the
gentleman’s C. But once the death toll you’re directly responsible
for hits seven digits, I feel like, I don’t know, maybe the DOJ
should take some action?<br>
</blockquote>
The DOJ does not agree. For reasons beyond my understanding, Kushner
is a made man. There are never any consequences for his actions.
There may never be. The only silver lining is that he’s too busy
managing Saudi billions to cause more harm to Americans.<br>
<b><br>
10. Aileen Cannon (previously unranked)</b><br>
Jack Smith’s documents case is the most open-and-shut of the four
Trump indictments, but Judge Flamenco Dancer—a Marco Rubio referral,
by the way—has done everything in her considerable power to delay
the trial. When Chunk put her in the opening credits of The Five 8,
where she gives us the bird every week while strolling by, I never
thought she’d have such staying power. But here we are.<br>
<b><br>
9. Sam Alito (previous rank: 3)</b><br>
Every time a pregnant woman suffers or dies because she is denied
access to a safe, legal abortion, Alito is responsible. There is
blood on his hands, lots of it, and there will only be more in 2024.
His pomposity is exceeded only by his delusions of grandeur. In what
horrible ways will he fuck us over in 2024?<br>
<br>
<b>8. Steve Bannon (previous rank: 15)</b><br>
In an election year—again: the most pivotal one this country has
held since 1860—the failed screenwriter, sinister strategist, proud
Leninist, fire-hoser of shit podcaster, and would-be dismantler of
the administrative state takes on added importance. A good time to
lock his leprous ass up to serve the four-month sentence for the
crime he was convicted of last year would be August 15.<br>
<br>
<b>7. Kash Patel (previously unranked)</b><br>
On Steve Bannon’s podcast, Patel, whom Trump would likely install at
CIA, DOD, or a similar institution with a lot of power, a huge
budget, and beaucoup weapons, promised that the incoming MAGA team
would make vengeance a priority:<br>
<blockquote>We will go out and find the conspirators, not just in
government but in the media. Yes, we’re going to come after the
people in the media who lied about American citizens, who helped
Joe Biden rig presidential elections. <br>
We’re going to come after you, whether it’s criminal or civilly,
we’ll figure that out. But yeah, we’re putting you all on notice
and Steve, this is why they hate us. This is why we’re tyrannical.<br>
</blockquote>
Weaponizing the DOJ and the civil courts would supercharge the
demise of our democracy. Political rivals would be rounded up and
jailed pending trial. Media companies would be sued into paralysis.
Like, if the Trumpers start doing this on January 20, 2025, the
United States as we know it would be toast by next Thanksgiving.<br>
<br>
<b>6. Mike Davis (previously unranked)</b><br>
Like Patel, but smarter, and with a law degree. He’d likely be
Trump’s choice for Attorney General. Heaven help us. Here’s a taste:<br>
<blockquote>Unfazed and Determined Happy Constitution Day<br>
The following was posted on X on Sunday, September 17,
Constitution Day.
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://mikedavis.substack.com/p/happy-constitution-day">https://mikedavis.substack.com/p/happy-constitution-day</a></blockquote>
<b>5. Elon Musk (previous rank: 8)</b><br>
From last year:<br>
<blockquote>Once the world’s richest person, still the worst’s
boringest, Epic Thread lost $200 billion last year. That’s a
fuck-ton of apartheid emeralds. I’ve written extensively about
this Pretorian fraud, and made many jokes at his expense, but let
me be clear: his ownership of Twitter—and his failed ownership of
the libs—will result in countless innocent people dying, in the
U.S. and around the world.<br>
</blockquote>
Musk has successfully dismantled the most important communication
network we had, dispersed the forces working against Trump,
shadowbanned his enemies, and promoted his Nazi pals. Already bad,
in an election year “X” will only serve to spread disinformation,
much of it of the Kremlin variety.<br>
<b><br>
4. Mike Flynn (previous rank: 4)</b><br>
Since Trump pardoned him, he’s been marshalling his antidemocratic
forces. He scares the shit out of me, ngl.<br>
<br>
<b>3. Whoever Trump Picks as VP (previously unranked)</b><br>
Elise Stefanik? Kari Lake? Nikki Haley? Someone worse? Whoever it is
will be selected based on loyalty and a willingness to do
anything—lie, cheat, steal, fellate—that Trump commands. At the
moment of truth, Mike Pence sided with democracy over Donald. Trump
won’t make the same mistake again.<br>
<br>
<b>2. Mike Johnson (previously unranked)</b><br>
Two heartbeats from the presidency is a Christian nationalist zealot
with a backstory that may as well be the redacted pages of the
Mueller Report. Who is this guy? What’s up with his adopted Black
“son?” Why does his wife think being gay is akin to bestiality? What
techniques does Kelly Johnson use to “help” gay kids who use her
counseling services? Does she use those techniques on her hubs? Why
does he not have a bank account? When does he believe the Rapture
will happen? How does that belief affect his style of governance?
We’ve got a full year of Speaker Johnson to find out. Hallelujah.<br>
<blockquote><b>The Revelation of Mike Johnson the Speaker</b><br>
GREG OLEAR · OCTOBER 31, 2023<br>
The Revelation of Mike Johnson the Speaker<br>
The first time Mike Johnson spoke after his unlikely election as
Speaker of the House, he had this to say: “I don’t believe there
are any coincidences in a matter like this. I believe that
Scripture, the Bible, is very clear: that God is the one who
raises up those in authority. He raised up each of you. All of us.
And I believe God has ordained and all…</blockquote>
<b>1. Donald Trump (previous rank: 9)</b><br>
What’s the worst thing a former president of the United States could
do? I don’t know, but selling stolen nuclear secrets to the people
who did 9/11 has to be up there. If Jack Smith alleges and then
shows, beyond reasonable doubt, that Trump peddled hot intel to the
Saudis, how many of his supporters would be persuaded not to vote
for him? They’ve stuck with him through the serial rape, the racism,
the embrace of white nationalism, the Hitler comps, the
insurrection. Would that be enough to puncture the Fox News bubble
and move the needle? And if it wasn’t—how would our country survive?<br>
<br>
In 2024, Trump tops the villain list. Let’s hope that this time next
year, after a loss in the election and multiple convictions, he
drops off the list completely.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://gregolear.substack.com/p/24-villains-for-24">https://gregolear.substack.com/p/24-villains-for-24</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<font face="Calibri"><br>
</font><font face="Calibri"> <i>[The news archive - So much we
KNO-O-O in the year 2-0-0-0 ]</i></font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> <font size="+2"><i><b>January 12, 2000 </b></i></font>
</font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> </font> January 12, 2000: The National
Academy of Sciences issues a report indicating that "strong evidence
exists to show that the warming of the Earth's surface is
'undoubtedly real,' and that surface temperatures in the past two
decades have risen at a rate substantially greater than average for
the past 100 years."<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://web.archive.org/web/20010726224601/http://clinton5.nara.gov/Initiatives/Climate/sciences.html">http://web.archive.org/web/20010726224601/http://clinton5.nara.gov/Initiatives/Climate/sciences.html</a>
<br>
<br>
<p><font face="Calibri"> <br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><br>
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--------------------------------------- <br>
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