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<font size="+2" face="Calibri"><i><b>January</b></i></font><font
size="+2" face="Calibri"><i><b> 13, 2024</b></i></font><font
face="Calibri"><br>
</font> <br>
<i>[ there are no corners on a globe, from the magazine Salon ]</i><br>
<b>"Nobody and nowhere will be safe": Experts say we can't hide from
climate change</b><br>
In the movies, heroes can outrun the apocalypse. But in the real
world there's no exit from the climate crisis<br>
By MATTHEW ROZSA<br>
PUBLISHED JANUARY 12, 2024<br>
In science fiction movies that imagine a climate catastrophe,
characters are often driven to flee disastrous conditions and
retreat to a safer place to live. Whether the seeking a mysterious
territory of Dryland in "Waterworld" or fleeing from all northern
latitudes in "The Day After Tomorrow," pop culture foregrounds the
notion that one can somehow "run away" from climate change. It is a
tantalizing idea, a seeming off-ramp from the oppressively bleak
reality of the near future, which may well include a seriously
overheated planet where life in some places becomes unsustainable
levels. Mainstream media outlets like Time and Business Insider have
added to climate-migration speculation with articles about the
supposed best places to live.<br>
But as various scientific experts told Salon in recent interviews,
"climate migration" is not realistic for much of the world's
population, and the premise that we can run away from climate change
is false in the first place.<br>
<br>
"Uprooting yourself and your family to move to another part of the
world can take a huge amount of financial resources — which the
wealthy have access to and the poor do not," explained Dr. Charlotte
A. Kukowski, a postdoctoral research associate at the Cambridge
Social Decision-Making Lab, and Dr. Emma Garnett, a researcher in
the Sustainable and Healthy Food Group. The two scientists
co-authored a recent study in the journal Nature Climate Change that
focused on the importance of "tackling inequality" as our societies
strive to move toward net-zero carbon emissions. Both in that
article and in emails to Salon, Kukowski and Garnett noted "a
further unjust barrier to poorer people relocating: many countries
have income thresholds for a number of visas," including the U.K.,
where they live.<br>
Of course, legal barriers are only one of many logistical and
practical obstacles to climate emigration, at least for most human
beings without considerable wealth at their disposal.<br>
<br>
"It's hard for most people to find the available energy, time and
mental bandwidth to voluntarily move somewhere else, especially to
avoid a diffuse threat that is getting gradually stronger every
year," Dr. Peter Kalmus, a NASA climate scientist, wrote to Salon.
"Moving is expensive, and poorer people around the world are perhaps
becoming less welcome in other nations as authoritarianism and
fascism rise around the world." (Kalmus made clear he was speaking
for himself, not for NASA or the federal government.)<br>
<br>
Dr. Ken Caldeira, an atmospheric scientist at the Carnegie
Institution for Science's Department of Global Ecology, told Salon
about his 2020 paper for the European Geosciences Union (co-authored
with another scientist) which concluded that India is the nation
with the largest potential number of people who might want to
relocate due to climate change. But the cruel reality is that most
of the Indian population will simply lack the financial means to do
this.<br>
"Very few people have died of starvation with money in their
pockets," Caldeira wrote to Salon. "Climate change hits hardest
those with empty pockets." Caldeira pointed to scholarly research
which has found that people from low-income countries who are able
to emigrate are overwhelmingly from the more affluent classes.
"Migration is an option for people with money in their pockets,"
Caldeira added. "Migration takes resources. The subsistence farmer
who is starving to death due to heat- and drought-induced crop
failures does not have the resources necessary to partake in
international travel."<br>
Yet even for the small percentage of people who do have the funds to
travel anywhere in the world, most scientists agree that the idea of
running away from climate change (as fictionalized in the recent TV
miniseries "A Murder at the End of the World") is illusory. This
phenomenon is literally impacting the entire planet, they insist,
and in that sense no place is "safe" from climate change. <br>
"Nobody and nowhere will be safe," Dr. Michael E. Mann, a professor
of earth and environmental science at the University of
Pennsylvania, told Salon by email. "Less food, water and space is a
recipe for heightened conflict and instability, and increasingly
extreme weather events will interrupt supply chains and food
distribution systems."<br>
Kalmus echoed that observation, saying that the multiple disasters
of the last few years should make it clear that "there is no safe
place." He continued, "Temperature is just too fundamental and
inescapable, and drives so many process changes in the Earth system
— everything is connected." The only valid distinctions, Kalmus
said, are about places that are particularly unsafe, citing Miami
and Phoenix as two cities where he has "no plans to move."<br>
<br>
Kukowski and Garnett added that, generally speaking, the regions
that will be worst impacted by climate change are also heavily
populated areas where millions of low-income people face a difficult
struggle ahead. "Nowhere is 'safe' from climate change but of course
many people in certain parts of the world are more vulnerable than
others," they wrote by email. "Tragically, those who are least
responsible for climate change are the ones most at risk: namely
low-income people in low-income countries in the global south.
Low-lying regions such as Bangladesh are particularly vulnerable to
storm surges and climate change-induced sea-level rise."<br>
<br>
Some parts of the world are undeniably at less short-term risk than
others, Kukowski and Garnett added. "That gives some of the super
rich the idea that they can bunker down in a bunker in New Zealand
and aren’t in this with the rest of us, and unfortunately that’s
true to some extent." People who have money are disproportionately
likely to live in cooler climates rather than tropical ones, and are
also likely to be nearer the end of their lifespans rather than the
beginning. So they have a much higher chance of leading relatively
comfortable lives without enduring the worst of climate change.<br>
If climate change affected individuals and rich societies in
proportionate terms, relative to the amount of emissions they had
created, "we wouldn't be in this mess," Kukowski and Garnett
continued. "The rich, powerful and highly emitting would be
personally incentivized to solve the crisis," They did observe the
irony behind the fact that many wealthy and powerful people continue
to purchase property in coastal regions that are vulnerable to storm
surges and sea-level rise, describing that as "not a particularly
sensible decision." But he more important issue, they said, is
"making sure those whose primary residences are particularly
vulnerable to climate change are given the support to relocate if
they wish. We also need to ensure that emissions align with fair
shares so that the rich do not continue to drive unprecedented
levels of climatic change and associated extreme weather events."<br>
<br>
Mann had harsh words for conservatives and so-called climate
skeptics who try to deflect attention from the global crisis by
criticizing the carbon profiles or real estate decisions of
prominent liberals like Barack Obama and John Kerry. "It’s total
bull***t and they know it," he wrote by email. "One of the most
dishonest arguments I’ve seen. Barack Obama and John Kerry aren’t
harming anyone. Climate deniers, with their crocodile tears and
bad-faith charges of hypocrisy, are harming everyone."<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.salon.com/2024/01/12/nobody-and-nowhere-will-be-safe-experts-say-we-cant-hide-from-climate-change/">https://www.salon.com/2024/01/12/nobody-and-nowhere-will-be-safe-experts-say-we-cant-hide-from-climate-change/</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[ video offers an excellent high-level overview of COP ]</i><br>
<b>Food Security through the Restoration of Ecosystems</b><br>
Facing Future<br>
Jan 12, 2024 #CommonlandFoundation #EcoRestoration #Isaias<br>
Securing the global food system is critical to human survival.
Agriculture has an enormous impact on all ecological functions of
our planet. Through #CommonlandFoundation and #EcoRestoration
Camps, John D. Liu and Willem Ferwerda guide a movement to restore
hydrological cycles, degraded soils and ecosystems at scale,
creating new communities in the process.<br>
Vegan activist, #Isaias Hernandez, advocates for more support and
attention to young climate activists whose future rests on the
resilience of nature and on transformative human action to bring
about the restoration of nature.<br>
<br>
Hosted and edited by Raya Salter <br>
<br>
As mentioned in the program:<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.ecosystemrestorationcommunities.org/">https://www.ecosystemrestorationcommunities.org/</a><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://commonland.com/">https://commonland.com/</a><br>
<br>
For more information on the state of our planet, visit the
FacingFuture Library at <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://facingfuture.earth/library">https://facingfuture.earth/library</a><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nkvCrmHC3L0">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nkvCrmHC3L0</a><br>
<p>- -<br>
</p>
<i>[ How are we doing? Reviewing population. ]</i><br>
<b>We Must Restore Nature</b><br>
Facing Future<br>
Nov 2, 2023 #population<br>
#PhoebeBarnard, founding director of the Stable Planet Alliance and
co- producer of the upcoming documentary, #TheClimateRestorers,
explains why we can’t simply shift, even if the world agreed to do
it, from fossil fuels to electricity. We must restore nature in
order to remove billions of tons of carbon and bring down global
temperatures to safer levels, while also addressing the twin issues
of #population and the over consumption of our planet’s finite
resources. <br>
<br>
For more about the Climate Restorers documentary:<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.backtoourfuture.net/">https://www.backtoourfuture.net/</a><br>
<br>
For more about Phoebe's work:<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.stableplanetalliance.org/">https://www.stableplanetalliance.org/</a>...<br>
<br>
For more information on the state of our planet, visit the
FacingFuture Library at <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://facingfuture.earth/library">https://facingfuture.earth/library</a>.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e_in-4T7JBA">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e_in-4T7JBA</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[ Beware the Sleeping Giant - 31 min video conversation - a
powerful discussion on the trends and extremes ]</i><br>
<b>A Sleeping Giant: Why Permafrost is a Climate Threat | The Agenda</b><br>
TVO Today<br>
Jan 17, 2022<br>
Permafrost covers a quarter of the Northern Hemisphere's land and
stores twice as much organic carbon as Earth's atmosphere currently
holds. What happens when it starts to thaw? The Agenda examines the
climate threat of thawing permafrost, and why northern roads and
communities find themselves on shaky ground.<br>
About half of Canada's land mass is permafrost. And some fear it's a
ticking time bomb for climate change.<br>
With us for more, in Pasadena, California, Kimberley Rain Miller,
climate scientist at the that is a jet propulsion lab working on the
Arctic methane project. She is also a professor at the University of
Maine.<br>
In Wood's Hole Massachusetts, in cape cod, John Holdren, former
science advisor to President Barack Obama and research professor at
Harvard university's Kennedy school of<br>
government. And in our nation's capital, Antoni Lewkowicz, professor
of geography, environment and geomatics at the University of Ottawa.
Let me set up our discussion with a bit of a fact file here: The
Arctic is warming three times faster than the planet as a whole.
Permafrost covers a quarter of the northern hemisphere's land and
stores around 1.5 trillion metric tons of organic carbon -- that's
twice as much as earth's atmosphere currently holds. And most of
this carbon is the remains of ancient life encased in frozen soil
for up to<br>
hundreds of thousands of years. Okay. That's a bit of background...<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ic90sLO3c_g">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ic90sLO3c_g</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[ a unique organizatio</i>n ]<br>
<b>Overshoot Behaviour Lab</b><br>
Addressing anthropogenic ecological overshoot through the
development of large-scale social change interventions.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://merzinstitute.org/overshoot-behaviour-lab/">https://merzinstitute.org/overshoot-behaviour-lab/</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[ Doomerism... exhaustion of grumpy old men ]</i><br>
<b>How to Quit the Doomosphere: Collapse Chronicles Welcomes the
Artist Formerly Known as Vegematic</b><br>
Collapse Chronicles<br>
Jan 12, 2024 DUNNELLON<br>
In today's Chronicle of the Collapse, we welcome Chris, of the new
YouTube channel, The Aging Hippie Conspiracy, to talk about his
recent narrow, harrowing escape from the Doomosphere. For your trip
down memory lane:<br>
<i>[Buy the World a Coke] </i><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1VM2eLhvsSM&t=0s">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1VM2eLhvsSM&t=0s</a><br>
- -<br>
Thank you!<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VUBOdq6TGGo">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VUBOdq6TGGo</a>
<p><i>- -<br>
</i></p>
<i>[ Please, someone rewrite lyrics ]<br>
</i><b>Coca-Cola, 1971 - 'Hilltop' | "I'd like to buy the world a
Coke"</b><br>
Project ReBrief<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1VM2eLhvsSM&t=0s">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1VM2eLhvsSM&t=0s</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<font face="Calibri"><br>
</font><font face="Calibri"> <i>[The news archive - the Scorn Bush
]</i></font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> <font size="+2"><i><b>January 13, 2004 </b></i></font>
</font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> </font> January 13, 2004: "The Price of
Loyalty," Ron Suskind's profile of former Treasury Secretary Paul
O'Neill, is released. The book recounts O'Neill's numerous conflicts
with the George W. Bush administration, noting that O'Neill's
efforts to have the administration act aggressively on carbon
pollution were met with scorn.
<blockquote>
<p>BOULDER, Colo., Feb. 9 (UPI) -- President George W. Bush
reversed his campaign position on global climate change after
taking office. This shift was a result primarily because pro-oil
and pro-gas production interests with the administration pushed
for it, according to former Treasury Secretary Paul O'Neill in
the recent book "The Price of Loyalty," by Ron Suskind.<br>
<br>
Much of the controversy about the book has centered on the Bush
budget and tax policies when O'Neill was at Treasury, but a
substantial portion also offers insight into the formation of
the president's attitudes toward climate change and the
environment.<br>
<br>
The climate change issue was a major contributor to the
resignation of former Environmental Protection Agency
administrator Christine Todd Whitman, which seemed to be
orchestrated by Vice President Richard Cheney, O'Neill wrote.<br>
</p>
<p>O'Neill retained about 19,000 files from his service in the
Bush administration, and author Suskind has taken the unusual
step of posting some of them on the Internet, with the promise
of more to come. Among the first documents are some pertaining
to the Bush climate change policy and how it evolved between the
campaign and the eventual U.S. withdrawal from the Kyoto climate
change agreement.<br>
<br>
Despite administration rhetoric about making decisions based on
sound science, as O'Neill told Suskind, science had little to do
with it.<br>
<br>
Because his 2000 presidential opponent, Vice President Al Gore,
had staked out global warming as a key issue, Bush asserted
during presidential debates that "global warming needs to be
taken very seriously."<br>
<br>
According to Suskind: "Bush's proposed energy policy, issued
shortly before the debates, proposed mandatory reduction targets
for 'four main pollutants: sulfur dioxide, nitrogen oxide,
mercury and carbon dioxide.' Conservatives and energy executives
were outraged. The Oil and Gas Journal declared that 'regulation
of CO2 as an air pollutant is a bad idea that belongs on the
outer fringes of environmental extremism.'"<br>
<br>
Once in office, Bush at first seemed to have no policy at all on
climate change. Preparing for an international meeting in
Trieste, Italy, on the issue, Whitman got agreement from Bush
aides to list carbon dioxide as a "toxic substance," which would
allow the United States -- the world's biggest CO2 producer --
to regulate it. While the policy sounded firm, Whitman's
discussions with the administration "were mostly her blind stabs
at deducing the mind of the president," Suskind wrote.<br>
</p>
<p>O'Neill also tried to come up with a position on climate change
and Kyoto, Suskind noted, that would consider the scientific
evidence "to attempt to find single set of blended, shared
facts" rather than an array of competing sets that gridlock
debate.<br>
<br>
A letter then was sent from four Republican senators -- Chuck
Hagel of Nebraska, Larry Craig of Idaho, Jesse Helms of North
Carolina, and Pat Roberts of Kansas. The letter, a copy of which
is on the Suskind Web site, asked for "clarification of your
administration's policy on climate change ... we need to have a
clear understanding of your administration's position on climate
change, in particular the Kyoto Protocol, and the regulation of
carbon dioxide under the Clean Air Act."<br>
<br>
Whitman viewed this as frontal assault on her attempts to
regulate CO2. O'Neill thought this was an area where science and
fact could generate rational policy.<br>
<br>
"The Hagel letter looked suspicious to both of them," Suskind
wrote. "The timing, the tone, the emphasis on the senator's
desire to work with the administration on a 'comprehensive
national energy strategy,' with all the environmental issues as
a subordinate clause beneath the dictates of energy and
economics."<br>
</p>
<p>O'Neill saw Cheney at work. It is Cheney's style, O'Neill said,
to "quietly select an issue, counsel various participants,
manufacture the exchange of seemingly impromptu letters or
reports ... and then guide unfolding events toward the intended
outcome."<br>
<br>
Whitman got an appointment with the president where she didn't
even get a chance to make her case.<br>
<br>
"Christie, I've already made my decision," the president was
quoted as saying.<br>
<br>
Bush added he would oppose Kyoto because it "was an unfair and
ineffective means of addressing global climate change concerns."<br>
<br>
This reversal of Bush's campaign position went further than
anyone expected -- probably further even than the senators
expected him to go.<br>
<br>
"Energy production is all that matters," Whitman said, according
to O'Neill. "He couldn't have been clearer."<br>
<br>
O'Neill's conclusion was the entire affair had been orchestrated
by Cheney.<br>
<br>
"The Cheney M.O., start to finish," Suskind wrote.<br>
<br>
"A decade of dialogue about the evidence of climate change and
responsible international response was shattered, along with the
hard work to find a middle ground between economic progress and
environmental good sense -- a conversation that had been
progressing with sound results since Nixon created EPA," Suskind
continued.<br>
<br>
In the O'Neill version of events, the Bush reversal on climate
and Kyoto was devoid of scientific input. The science policy
advisory group that O'Neill and Whitman wanted to create to
establish the factual baseline on global warming was never
created, and the abandonment of Kyoto was made without
substantive scientific input.<br>
</p>
</blockquote>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://www.upi.com/Science_News/2004/02/09/Climate-CO2-policy-Bush-Cheney-style/UPI-96341076366045/">http://www.upi.com/Science_News/2004/02/09/Climate-CO2-policy-Bush-Cheney-style/UPI-96341076366045/</a>
<br>
<br>
<font face="Calibri"> </font><br>
<p><font face="Calibri"> </font><font face="Calibri"><br>
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