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<font size="+2" face="Calibri"><i><b>January</b></i></font><font
size="+2" face="Calibri"><i><b> 15, 2024</b></i></font><font
face="Calibri"><br>
</font><br>
<i>[ Power shortage in cold snap ]</i><br>
<b>What are the lessons learned from Alberta’s emergency power
alert?</b><br>
Global News<br>
<br>
Jan 14, 2024 #GlobalNews #alberta #emergencyalert<br>
The emergency alert that Albertans received on Saturday night shows
how much work is going to be needed to adapt to future demand
according to Alberta’s utilities minister and electricity experts.<br>
<br>
The alert, issued by the Alberta Electric System Operator (AESO),
urged Albertans to reduce electricity usage to essentials only to
prevent rotating outages. The alert came a few hours after AESO
declared a grid alert due to extreme cold, high demand and low
imports.<br>
<br>
On Sunday afternoon, AESO declared another grid alert for the third
day in a row, asking Albertans to reduce electricity to essential
use only.<br>
<br>
“We were concerned at one point that we were going to run out of
emergency reserves and have to go to rotating outages,” said Leif
Sollid communication manager for Alberta Electric System Operator.<br>
<br>
For more info -
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://globalnews.ca/news/10225294/alberta-emergency-power-alert-lessons/">https://globalnews.ca/news/10225294/alberta-emergency-power-alert-lessons/</a><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nZXso3jUqqA">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nZXso3jUqqA</a><br>
<p>- -<br>
</p>
<i>[New England is nuts. - video worth viewing - shows a new weather
system ] </i><br>
<b>What's an 'inland runner' storm?</b><br>
NEWS CENTER Maine<br>
Jan 14, 2024<br>
An "inland runner" storm versus a nor'easter, explained.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bGpF_4SgCSs">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bGpF_4SgCSs</a><br>
<p>- -</p>
<i>[ ABC news on the weather]</i><br>
<b>Brutal arctic blast sweeping across the country</b><br>
ABC News<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0_XSVqEWMO8">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0_XSVqEWMO8</a><br>
<p>- -</p>
<i>[ Seattle - is too cold ]</i><br>
<b>01-14-2024 Tacoma, WA - Puget Sound Freezing over, River Ice
Floes</b><br>
<div id="container" class="style-scope ytd-channel-name"
style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; background: transparent; display: var(--ytd-channel-name-container-display,inline-block); overflow: hidden; max-width: 100%;">
<div id="text-container" class="style-scope ytd-channel-name"
style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; background: transparent; display: var(--ytd-channel-name-text-container-display,block);"><a
class="yt-simple-endpoint style-scope yt-formatted-string"
spellcheck="false"
href="https://www.youtube.com/@LiveStormsMedia" dir="auto"
style="display: block; cursor: pointer; text-decoration: var(--yt-endpoint-text-decoration,none); color: var(--yt-endpoint-hover-color,var(--yt-spec-text-primary)); overflow-wrap: var(--yt-endpoint-word-wrap,none); word-break: var(--yt-endpoint-word-break,none); margin-right: -0.1em; padding-right: 0.1em; white-space: pre; overflow: hidden; text-overflow: ellipsis;">Live Storms Media</a></div>
Very rare event of Port of Tacoma Freezing over, Ice floes coming
down river into the Puget Sound due to a major arctic blast.</div>
<div class="style-scope ytd-channel-name"
style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; background: transparent; display: var(--ytd-channel-name-container-display,inline-block); overflow: hidden; max-width: 100%;"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yMydc-nwvuU">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yMydc-nwvuU</a><br>
</div>
<div class="style-scope ytd-channel-name"
style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; background: transparent; display: var(--ytd-channel-name-container-display,inline-block); overflow: hidden; max-width: 100%;"><br>
</div>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[ consider complexity of carbon storage ]</i><br>
<b>Carbon Capture and Storage. Inconvenient new data.</b><br>
Just Have a Think<br>
Jan 14, 2024<br>
So, Carbon Capture and Storage then. Climate change cure-all or
delusional diversion by our friends over at Fossil Fuel HQ? Well,
some people much smarter than me have been investigating, so I
thought we should take at look at their findings<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PlsjvKKugKI">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PlsjvKKugKI</a>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><i>[a quote from Lewis H. Lapham, The editor and founder of
Lapham’s Quarterly since 2007 and editor of Harper’s Magazine
from 1975 to 2006, ]</i><br>
</p>
<blockquote>
<p>"We confront the choice between a future fit for human beings
and a future made by and for machines. For the finding of a
phoenix in our ashes we have as our most abundant resource the
limitless expanse of human ignorance, which rouses out the will
to know, kindles the signal fires of the imagination. So sayeth
Graeber and Wengrow in The Dawn of Everything: “The course of
human history may be less set in stone, and more full of playful
possibilities, than we tend to assume.” Where else does one live
if not in a house of straw made with the shaping and reshaping
of a once-upon-a-time? What is it possible to change if not the
past living in the present, the present living in the past? And
how else do we do so if not with the gift of metaphor and the
energy of mind?"<br>
</p>
</blockquote>
<p><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.laphamsquarterly.org/energy/power-outage/?ca_key_code=FE1LQA1">https://www.laphamsquarterly.org/energy/power-outage/?ca_key_code=FE1LQA1</a><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[ you knew this already ]</i><br>
<b>There is a direct connection between human-caused climate change
and increased occurrences of extreme cold. Specifically, warming
temperatures are disrupting the polar vortex and pushing cold air
into non-traditional areas.</b><br>
<b>Research Links Extreme Cold Weather In The United States To
Arctic Warming</b><br>
September 7, 2021<br>
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (.gov)<br>
Accelerated Arctic warming, known as Arctic amplification, has been
evident since the 1990’s as one of the more robust signs of global
warming. Currently, certain hypotheses that establish Arctic
amplification as a contributor to more severe winter weather, like
the record-cold Texas temperatures in February 2021, have ignited
intense debates among climate scientists.<br>
<br>
A new study in Science, funded by CPO’s Modeling, Analysis,
Predictions and Projections (MAPP) program, used machine learning
techniques to shed light on this debate. Examining model and
satellite data from 1980 to 2021, the research team found that a
stretching of the Arctic polar vortex—a strong band of winds in the
stratosphere surrounding the North Pole— has increased with Arctic
amplification, and is linked with extreme cold across parts of Asia
and North America. Climate change is favorable for increasing Arctic
polar vortex stretching events, according to the study.<br>
<br>
When the Arctic polar vortex is strong and stable, the polar air
remains in place over the North Pole; when the polar vortex weakens
or stretches, extremely cold air can dip south. Results show that
stronger Arctic polar vortex conditions are decreasing in frequency,
while weaker Arctic polar vortex conditions and stretching
disruptions are increasing in frequency for October through
February. The authors also identified precursor patterns, with
trends and modeling experiments that showed statistically
significant correlations between both increased Eurasian snow cover
and reduced Barents-Kara sea ice concentration and the Arctic polar
vortex stretching events. Arctic warming and change is likely
contributing to the increasing frequency of Arctic polar vortex
stretching events that deliver extreme cold to the United States and
Canada, the authors concluded, including one just prior to the
winter 2021 Texas cold wave that caused the collapse of the state’s
infrastructure and $80-130 billion in direct and indirect economic
losses.<br>
<br>
The authors note that preparing for only a decrease in severe winter
weather can compound human and economic costs when severe winter
weather does occur. By identifying the precursor pattern to Arctic
polar vortex stretching events, the study provides insights that
could potentially extend the warning lead time of cold extremes in
the United States, Canada, and Asia. The study also indicates that
more research is needed for the community to approach a consensus on
this topic.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://cpo.noaa.gov/research-links-extreme-cold-weather-in-the-united-states-to-arctic-warming/">https://cpo.noaa.gov/research-links-extreme-cold-weather-in-the-united-states-to-arctic-warming/</a><br>
<p>- -</p>
<i>[ here is the info ]</i><br>
<b>Linking Arctic variability and change with extreme winter weather
in the United States</b><br>
Abstract<br>
<blockquote>The Arctic is warming at a rate twice the global average
and severe winter weather is reported to be increasing across many
heavily populated mid-latitude regions, but there is no agreement
on whether a physical link exists between the two phenomena. We
use observational analysis to show that a lesser-known
stratospheric polar vortex (SPV) disruption that involves wave
reflection and stretching of the SPV is linked with extreme cold
across parts of Asia and North America, including the recent
February 2021 Texas cold wave, and has been increasing over the
satellite era. We then use numerical modeling experiments forced
with trends in autumn snow cover and Arctic sea ice to establish a
physical link between Arctic change and SPV stretching and related
surface impacts.<br>
</blockquote>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.abi9167">https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.abi9167</a><br>
<p>- -</p>
<i>[ BBC ]</i><br>
<b>Climate change: Arctic warming linked to colder winters</b><br>
Sep 2, 2021 — A new study shows that increases in extreme winter
weather in parts of the US are linked to accelerated warming of the
Arctic.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.bbc.com">https://www.bbc.com</a> › science-environment-58425526
<p>- -<br>
</p>
<i>[ Reminding us that Yale has done the studies ]</i><br>
<b>Global warming is real, so why is it cold outside?</b><br>
Polar vortex got you down? When a cold snap occurs in your region,
don’t lose sight of the big picture.<br>
by TIFFANY MEANS<br>
DECEMBER 15, 2020<br>
The occurrence of record-cold weather can seem puzzling during an
era of global warming. After all, given that the world is getting
warmer, how can it also be colder than usual in your backyard?<br>
<br>
<b>Cold where you are, but warm elsewhere</b><br>
Temperature records show that the Earth has warmed a little more
than 1 degree Celsius (2 degrees Fahrenheit) since 1880. Yet
short-term variations in weather, such as cold snaps — rapid drops
in air temperature that result in consecutive days of
colder-than-average weather — are still occurring...<br>
- -<br>
In January 2019, a cold air outbreak swept across portions of the
Northern Plains and Midwestern United States. Temperatures plunged
below minus-40 degrees Fahrenheit, with wind chills in the
neighborhood of 60 degrees below zero. However, despite this bitter
cold snap, the nation’s average temperature for the month was nearly
three degrees Fahrenheit warmer than normal. January 2019 was also
the globe’s third-warmest January on record.<br>
<br>
How is that possible? Well, while a few U.S. regions were
experiencing record-breaking cold, above-average warmth was
occurring in other parts of the country and the rest of the world.
For example, January 2019 temperatures across the western United
States ranged from three to nine degrees above the normal January
average, while in Australia and Asia, temperatures were seven
degrees or more above normal.<br>
<br>
Such situations exemplify how cold snaps and global warming can and
do coexist: Cold extremes are occurring over a smaller fraction of
the global surface area than above-average temperatures. In other
words, what happens locally, or over short periods of time, is not
necessarily representative of what’s happening nationally and
globally.<br>
<br>
Speaking to the Washington Post, Jason Furtado, assistant professor
of meteorology at the University of Oklahoma, explains it using this
widely used analogy: “One down day on the Dow Jones doesn’t mean the
economy is going to trash. (Likewise) one cold day doesn’t suddenly
mean that the general trend in global climate change is suddenly
going in the opposite direction.”<br>
<br>
Carl Schreck, atmospheric scientist at North Carolina State
University’s North Carolina Institute for Climate Studies, agrees.
“Cold snaps don’t disprove global warming,” he says, “they just mean
that weather and seasons still happen.”<br>
<br>
<b>Despite climate change, winter still exists</b><br>
Another point to keep in mind that the warming climate hasn’t
eradicated winter altogether.<br>
<br>
As such, it is still possible to experience a range of cold weather
conditions, including extremes such as a week of high temperatures
in the teens or a brief cold snap in May. And variations in weather
patterns caused by naturally occurring phenomena, such as El Niño
and La Niña, can influence cold air outbreaks in the U.S.<br>
<br>
Although winter persists, global climate change has made winters
less harsh overall, say Schreck and other scientists. This
phenomenon is evident from wintertime minimum temperature data, as
shown in the graph below. During the period between 1910 and the
1980s, the land mass of the United States frequently experienced
cold extremes during winter, according to NOAA’s National Centers
for Environmental Information. However, since 1990, few parts of the
nation — typically no more than 10% of its area — have experienced
extremely cold winters, a sign that bitter U.S. winters have become
less widespread.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://yaleclimateconnections.org/2020/12/if-global-warming-is-real-why-is-it-cold-outside/">https://yaleclimateconnections.org/2020/12/if-global-warming-is-real-why-is-it-cold-outside/</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<font face="Calibri"> <i>[From the WaybackMachine news archive -
Rebecca Leber reports]</i></font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> <font size="+2"><i><b>January 15, 2013 </b></i></font>
</font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> </font> <b>Virginia Waters Down Report On
Impacts Of Climate Change After Tea Party Complaints</b><br>
BY REBECCA LEBER ON JANUARY 15, 2013<br>
<br>
Earlier this year, Virginia’s legislature commissioned a study to
determine the impacts of climate change on the state’s shores. After
Tea Party complaints, lawmakers approved the report on condition it
strike the words “climate change” and “sea level rise” from the
title.<br>
<br>
This week, Virginia released its analysis, under the title
“Recurrent Flooding Study for Tidewater Virginia.” The report
discusses the threat of flooding and rising sea levels to coastal
Virginia, but gives less notice to the causes of climate change.<br>
<br>
State Delegate Chris Stolle (R), a climate denier himself, deemed
terms like “sea level rise” “liberal code words” and insisted on
cutting them from the report’s description. The Virginia Tea Party
originally slammed the study as “more ridiculous studies designed to
separate us from our money and control all land and water use.”<br>
<br>
The science backing climate change is noncontroversial. Even the
modified report recognizes the reality of the changing climate:<br>
<br>
Sea level rise in Virginia is a documented fact. Water levels in
Hampton Roads have risen more than one foot over the past 80 years.
The causes of this rise are well understood and current analyses
suggest the rate of rise is increasing.<br>
<br>
Despite the report’s concrete recommendations that Virginia “should
immediately begin comprehensive and coordinated planning efforts,”
lawmakers have already decided to ignore it, even though Virginia
cities spend millions each year elevating roads and replacing piers
to withstand flooding. The Virginian-Pilot writes, “State Sen. Ralph
Northam, a Democrat who represents Norfolk and the Eastern Shore,
and who was a co-patron of the study request last year, said he has
no plans to introduce legislation on sea level rise this year.
Neither does state Del. Chris Stolle, R-Virginia Beach, who also was
a co-patron of the study last year.”<br>
<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20140414142950/https://thinkprogress.org/politics/2013/01/15/1448711/virginia-waters-down-report-on-impacts-of-climate-change-after-tea-party-complaints/">https://web.archive.org/web/20140414142950/https://thinkprogress.org/politics/2013/01/15/1448711/virginia-waters-down-report-on-impacts-of-climate-change-after-tea-party-complaints/</a><br>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
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