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<font size="+2" face="Calibri"><i><b>January</b></i></font><font
size="+2" face="Calibri"><i><b> 18, 2024</b></i></font><font
face="Calibri"><br>
</font> <br>
<i>[ after feeling the destabilizations - comes understanding ]</i><br>
CLIMATE<br>
<b>US in deep freeze while much of the world is extra toasty? Yet
again, it’s climate change</b><br>
BY SETH BORENSTEIN<br>
January 16, 2024<br>
Much of the United States is shivering through brutal cold as most
of the rest of the world is feeling unusually warm weather. However
strange it sounds, that contradiction fits snugly in explanations of
what climate change is doing to Earth, scientists said.<br>
<br>
In a map of global temperatures the last several days, big chunks of
the world — the Arctic, Asia, parts of Africa, the Middle East and
South America — show as dark red, signifying more than a dozen
degrees Fahrenheit (7 degrees Celsius) warmer than the late
20th-century average. But the United States stands out like a cold
thumb — a deep bluish-purple that is just as out of whack but on the
frigid side.<br>
<br>
Wind chills in parts of North Dakota reached minus 70 degrees (minus
56 degrees Celsius), while the heat index in Miami was more than 160
degrees warmer at 92 (33 degrees Celsius). The fourth-coldest NFL
football game took place in Kansas City, while across the globe the
thermometer hit a blistering 92 degrees, 12 degrees (6.8 degrees
Celsius) warmer than average on Friday during tennis’ Australian
Open in Melbourne. Warm temperature records fell overnight in Aruba,
Curacao, parts of Argentina, Oman and Iran.<br>
<br>
Where weather was warmer than usual, it was happening both in the
southern hemisphere, which is in summer, and in the northern
hemisphere, which is in winter. For example, Oman, in the north, had
its warmest January night ever at 79.5 degrees (26.4 degrees
Celsius). Argentina, in the south, had a record for warmest January
night at 81.1 Fahrenheit (27.3 Celsius).<br>
If it seems as if the world has gone topsy-turvy, in a way it has.
Because this all comes from what’s happening in the Arctic, where it
used to be warming twice as fast as the rest of the planet. Now,
it’s warming three to four times faster.<br>
<br>
“When the Arctic is off-the-charts warm (like now), we’re more
likely to see frigid cold invade places like Texas that are
ill-equipped to deal with it,” said Jennifer Francis, a Woodwell
Research Center climate scientist and a pioneer in the theory of
Arctic Amplification, which links the cold outbreaks to climate
change. “Rapid Arctic warming is one of the clearest symptoms of
human-caused climate change, making winter extremes more likely even
as the globe warms overall.”<br>
<br>
The way the cold is invading is through a weather phrase that is
becoming increasingly familiar to Americans: The polar vortex. It’s
a weather term that goes back to 1853 but has only been frequently
used in the past decade or so.<br>
<br>
That could be because the icy stabs are happening more often, said
winter weather expert Judah Cohen of Atmospheric Environmental
Research, a commercial firm outside of Boston.<br>
<br>
The polar vortex is strong, icy weather that usually stays over the
top of the planet, penned in by strong winds that whip around it,
Cohen said.<br>
It’s like an ice skater spinning rapidly with her arms tucked in, he
said. But when the polar vortex weakens, the arms start flailing
out, the skater slips and “all the cold air then gets released away
from the center of the polar vortex,” Cohen said.<br>
<br>
The current cold outbreak is consistent with Arctic change and the
polar vortex, Cohen said. “What we found is when the polar vortex
stretches like a rubber band, severe extreme winter weather is much
more likely in the United States. That’s where it tends to be
focused and in January we have an extreme case of that stretching of
the polar vortex.”<br>
<br>
This one is stronger and may last longer than most, Cohen said.<br>
<br>
Cohen and others have done studies that show the polar vortex
outbreaks have become more frequent in recent decades.<br>
<br>
The idea is the jet stream — the upper air circulation that drives
weather — is wavier in amplified global warming, said University of
Wisconsin-Madison climate scientist Steve Vavrus. And those wave
changes in the upper air knock the polar vortex out of its place and
toward the United States, Cohen said.<br>
<br>
It’s a theory still debated by climate scientists but growing in
acceptance. Initially, Vavrus and Francis theorized it was due to
melting Arctic sea ice leading to barometic pressure changes. Now
several scientists say it’s more complicated, yet still connected to
climate change and the supercharged warming in the Arctic, with
other factors like Siberian snow cover and other atmospheric waves
also playing a role.<br>
<br>
“The key takeaway for me right now is that Arctic Amplification is
happening and has complex interactions within our climate system.
Winter will always bring us cold weather, but like the warm season
it may be changing ways that we understand and ways that we are
still learning about,” said University of Georgia meteorology
professor Marshall Shepherd. “Unlike the Vegas slogan, what happens
in the Arctic doesn’t stay in the Arctic.”<br>
<br>
Think of what’s happening as an orchestra making one symphony, and
“what’s driving all those orchestra instruments is a warming
planet,” Northern Illinois University meteorology professor Victor
Gensini said.<br>
<br>
Gensini and Cohen said this cold snap in the United States will fade
in several days to be replaced by unusually warm weather, due to
climate change. But another polar vortex looks like it’s coming at
the end of the month, though not as strong as this one, they said.<br>
<br>
Despite the U.S. cold, Earth’s global average temperature keeps
flirting with daily, weekly and monthly records, as it has for more
than seven months. That’s because the United States is only 2% of
Earth’s surface, scientists said.<br>
<br>
“A place like Chicago or Denver or Lincoln, Omaha, Oklahoma City,
Dallas, Houston, I mean we’re all experiencing it,” said Gensini,
who said the temperature outside his window Tuesday was 6 below.
“We’re one isolated pocket if you look globally.”<br>
Follow Seth Borenstein on X at @borenbears<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://apnews.com/article/polar-vortex-cold-climate-change-hot-cc1b0d7a04e7ef6d59c4882a211046ce">https://apnews.com/article/polar-vortex-cold-climate-change-hot-cc1b0d7a04e7ef6d59c4882a211046ce</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[ Politics and climate change - from billionaire Charles Koch ]</i><br>
<b>Climate is on the Ballot Around the World</b><br>
About half of the world’s population will be electing leaders this
year.<br>
By Manuela Andreoni<br>
Jan. 16, 2024
<p>More than 40 countries that are home to about half of the world’s
population — including the United States, India and South Africa —
will be electing their leaders this year.<br>
<br>
My colleagues at The Times report that it’s “one of the largest
and most consequential democratic exercises in living memory,”
which “will affect how the world is run for decades to come.”</p>
Climate is front and center on many of the ballots. The leaders
chosen in this year’s elections will face daunting challenges laid
out in global climate commitments for the end of the decade, such as
ending deforestation, tripling renewable energy capacity and sharply
reducing greenhouse gas emissions.<br>
<br>
Here are the issues and races to watch closely:<br>
<br>
<b>Major climate policies at stake</b><br>
Climate change is one of the issues on which Republicans and
Democrats are farthest apart.<br>
<br>
President Biden signed what many called the most powerful climate
legislation in the country’s history. Former President Trump, who is
likely to be the Republican presidential candidate — especially
after his victory in the Iowa caucuses — withdrew the United States
from the Paris Agreement, the 2015 treaty that guided much of the
world’s progress in curbing climate change.<br>
<br>
Republicans have also prepared a sweeping strategy called Project
2025 if Trump wins back the White House. As my colleague Lisa
Friedman wrote last year, “the plan calls for shredding regulations
to curb greenhouse gas pollution from cars, oil and gas wells and
power plants, dismantling almost every clean energy program in the
federal government and boosting the production of fossil fuels.”<br>
<p>European Union incumbents will also be defending their climate
policies, known as the Green Deal, in elections for the European
Parliament in June.<br>
<br>
Ursula von der Leyen, the European Commission president who is
expected to seek re-election by the European Parliament, kicked
off a series of policies designed to ensure the bloc achieves
carbon neutrality by 2050. But opposition to these policies is
growing. Farmers in several countries have tried to block measures
to restore natural ecosystems, while homeowners have grown
increasingly worried about the cost of the green energy
transition.<br>
<br>
Opinion polls analyzed by Reuters in a commentary piece suggest
far-right lawmakers, who oppose Green Deal policies, will grow in
number but remain a minority.<br>
<br>
Climate may also play a role in elections in Britain, which may
happen in the second half of the year. They became a key point of
disagreement between the Labour Party and the governing
Conservative Party, which are trailing in the polls, after Prime
Minister Rishi Sunak rolled back some of the country’s most
ambitious climate policies.<br>
- -<br>
</p>
<p><b>The future of coal</b><br>
Countries that rely heavily on coal as a source of energy, such as
India, Indonesia and South Africa, are also going to the polls
this year.<br>
<br>
In South Africa, elections could influence how fast the country is
able to switch to renewables. Any shake up to the ruling African
National Congress’ hold on power could boost the shift to
renewables, my colleague Lynsey Chutel, who covers South Africa,
told me.<br>
</p>
<p>Right now, one of the party’s most powerful leaders is an energy
minister who has fiercely defended the country’s continued use of
coal. Many voters are angry at the A.N.C. for its inability to
address an energy crisis partially created by aging coal plants.</p>
<p>There seems to be less room for a shift in the elections in
Indonesia and India. My colleague Suhasini Raj, who is based in
India, told me that, despite high rates of pollution and the
pressure on India to let go of coal, the current prime minister
Narendra Modi is likely to be re-elected and continue his pro-coal
policies.<br>
<br>
In Indonesia none of the candidates running for president have put
forward a concrete plan to transition to clean energy, Mongabay,
an environmental news service, reported. The country is by far the
world’s biggest exporter of coal.<br>
<br>
<b>Oil on the ballot</b><br>
For leaders in oil producing nations around the world, balancing
climate policies and drilling has been a delicate act that will be
tested on the ballot.<br>
<br>
President Biden risked losing the support of many
climate-conscious voters when he approved Willow, an $8 billion
oil drilling project on pristine federal land in Alaska. But
Biden’s support for more drilling has been, at least in part, an
effort to curb inflation, which angers many more voters.<br>
</p>
<p>Claudia Sheinbaum’s presidential campaign in Mexico is also
balancing climate proposals with her country’s dependence on oil.
A climate scientist who is now the mayor of Mexico City, Sheinbaum
is a protégé of President Andrés Manuel López Obrador, whose
administration has tried to boost the oil sector’s role in the
country’s economy.</p>
<p>Sheinbaum, a favorite to win in June, has vowed to act to protect
the climate. But it’s unclear how much Obrador’s oil legacy will
color her policies. “We are going to keep advancing with renewable
energies and with the protection of the environment, but without
betraying the people of Mexico,” she told voters, according to
Bloomberg.<br>
<br>
The oil industry is also on the ballot in Venezuela and Russia,
where it lends strength to authoritarian leaders.<br>
<br>
Vladimir Putin’s re-election — and his disregard for the climate —
seems to be a foregone conclusion. But, in Nicolás Maduro’s
Venezuela, there is tiny window for change, though it seems to be
closing fast.<br>
<br>
Venezuela freed five political prisoners in October after the
United States vowed to lift some sanctions to its oil industry if
it holds free and fair elections. But the main opposition
candidate is still banned from running.<br>
</p>
<p>It may sound contradictory, but some investment in Venezuela’s
oil sector could help clean it up. As my colleagues reported last
year, government dysfunction has left the industry unable to
maintain minimum safeguards, with devastating consequences to the
environment.<br>
<br>
We will report back with key developments on these races
throughout the year. When it comes to the climate crisis, even
far-off elections have implications for us all.<br>
<br>
The lawyers who have helped to propel the case to the nation’s
highest court have a powerful backer: the petrochemicals
billionaire Charles Koch. Court records show that the lawyers who
represent the New Jersey-based fishermen also work for Americans
for Prosperity, a group funded by Koch, who is a champion of
anti-regulatory causes.<br>
<br>
In their briefs, the groups supporting the fishermen pointed out
that the Chevron deference has fallen out of favor at the Supreme
Court in recent years, and several justices have criticized it.<br>
<br>
Justice Clarence Thomas was initially a backer of the Chevron
deference, writing the concurring opinion in 2005 that expanded
its protections. But Thomas, who has close ties to the Koch’s
political network, has since renounced his earlier ruling.<br>
</p>
<p><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/16/climate/climate-is-on-the-ballot-around-the-world.html?unlocked_article_code=1.OU0.glf3._fGNlMuZ3MPY&smid=url-share">https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/16/climate/climate-is-on-the-ballot-around-the-world.html?unlocked_article_code=1.OU0.glf3._fGNlMuZ3MPY&smid=url-share</a><br>
</p>
<p><i>- - related </i><br>
</p>
<i>[ It is important to notice disinformation ]</i><br>
<b>"BANKROLLING HARMFUL CONTENT" —</b><br>
Climate denialists find new ways to monetize disinformation on
YouTube<br>
Majority of climate-denial content posted now does not violate
YouTube's policy.<br>
ASHLEY BELANGER - <br>
1/16/2024<br>
Content creators have spent the past five years developing new
tactics to evade YouTube's policies blocking monetization of videos
making false claims about climate change, a report from a nonprofit
advocacy group, the Center for Countering Digital Hate (CCDH),
warned Tuesday.<br>
<br>
What the CCDH found is that content creators who could no longer
monetize videos spreading "old" forms of climate denial—including
claims that "global warming is not happening" or "human-generated
greenhouse gasses are not causing global warming"—have moved on.<br>
<br>
Now they're increasingly pushing other claims that contradict
climate science, which YouTube has not yet banned and may not ever
ban. These include harmful claims that "impacts of global warming
are beneficial or harmless," "climate solutions won’t work," and
"climate science and the climate movement are unreliable."<br>
<br>
The CCDH uncovered these new climate-denial tactics by using
artificial intelligence to scan transcripts of 12,058 videos posted
on 96 YouTube channels that the CCDH found had previously posted
climate-denial content. Verified by researchers, the AI model used
was judged accurate in labeling climate-denial content approximately
78 percent of the time.<br>
<br>
According to the CCDH's analysis, the amount of content disputing
climate solutions, climate science, and impacts of climate change
today comprises 70 percent of climate-denial content—a percent that
doubled from 2018 to 2023. At the same time, the amount of content
pushing old climate-denial claims that are harder or impossible to
monetize fell from 65 percent in 2018 to 30 percent in 2023.<br>
<br>
These "new forms of climate denial," the CCDH warned, are designed
to delay climate action by spreading disinformation.<br>
<br>
"A new front has opened up in this battle," Imran Ahmed, the CCDH's
chief executive, said on a call with reporters, according to
Reuters. "The people that we've been looking at, they've gone from
saying climate change isn't happening to now saying, 'Hey, climate
change is happening, but there is no hope. There are no solutions.'"<br>
Since 2018—based on "estimates of typical ad pricing on YouTube" by
social media analytics tool Social Blade—YouTube may have profited
by as much as $13.4 million annually from videos flagged by the
CCDH. And YouTube confirmed that some of these videos featured
climate denialism that YouTube already explicitly bans.<br>
<br>
In response to the CCDH's report, YouTube de-monetized some videos
found to be in violation of its climate change policy. But a
spokesperson confirmed to Ars that the majority of videos that the
CCDH found were considered compliant with YouTube's ad policies.<br>
<br>
The fact that most of these videos remain compliant is precisely why
the CCDH is calling on YouTube to update its policies, though.<br>
<br>
Currently, YouTube's policy prohibits monetization of content "that
contradicts well-established scientific consensus around the
existence and causes of climate change."<br>
<br>
“Our climate change policy prohibits ads from running on content
that contradicts well-established scientific consensus around the
existence and causes of climate change," YouTube's spokesperson told
Ars. "Debate or discussions of climate change topics, including
around public policy or research, is allowed. However, when content
crosses the line to climate change denial, we stop showing ads on
those videos. We also display information panels under relevant
videos to provide additional information on climate change and
context from third parties.”<br>
<br>
The CCDH worries that YouTube standing by its current policy is too
short-sighted. The group recommended tweaking the policy to instead
specify that YouTube prohibits content "that contradicts the
authoritative scientific consensus on the causes, impacts, and
solutions to climate change."<br>
<br>
If YouTube and other social media platforms don't acknowledge new
forms of climate denial and "urgently" update their disinformation
policies in response, these new attacks on climate change science
"will only increase," the CCDH warned.<br>
<br>
"It is vital that those advocating for action to avert climate
disaster take note of this substantial shift from denial of
anthropogenic climate change to undermining trust in both solutions
and science itself, and shift our focus, our resources and our
counternarratives accordingly," the CCDH's report said, adding that
"demonetizing climate-denial" content "removes the economic
incentives underpinning its creation and protects advertisers from
bankrolling harmful content."<br>
New forms of climate denialism on YouTube<br>
YouTube last updated its climate change policy in 2021, following a
report from the CCDH calling out Google for monetizing
climate-denial content.<br>
<br>
When drafting that policy, YouTube's spokesperson told Ars that
YouTube consulted with authoritative climate experts who contributed
to the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
(IPCC) assessment reports. Those reports document the impacts of
climate change and propose solutions, concluding last year that
human activities "unequivocally" caused global warming that will
lead to worsening consequences as temperatures rise.<br>
<br>
Since then, the CCDH has gathered evidence suggesting that YouTube
has continued monetizing climate-denial content featured on dozens
of channels, including content YouTube promised advertisers would be
banned.<br>
<br>
On YouTube, the CCDH defined climate denial as any video attempting
"to undermine the scientific consensus about climate change based on
rhetorical arguments."<br>
<br>
The CCDH seemingly seeks more nuanced fact-checking to detect when
YouTubers are repeating false claims about climate science. This
could prove challenging to less sophisticated fact-checkers. For
example, among false claims flagged by the CCDH were videos claiming
that "Earth has gotten much greener" from "the increase in carbon
dioxide over the past 35 years. For YouTube to catch that video, the
fact-checker would need to know that, as the CCDH countered,
"negative effects of CO2 far outweigh benefits to plant growth."<br>
<br>
While YouTube did not specify to Ars which videos were de-monetized
in response to CCDH's report, Ars found videos that do not appear to
have ads anymore. That includes one where ex-Greenpeace President
Patrick Moore claimed that "global warming is in fact 'an upward
tick in a downward movement'” and another where the conservative
think tank, The Heartland Institute, claimed that "there is no
relationship between hurricane activity and the surface temperature
of the planet.”<br>
Other flagged videos remain monetized. Those include videos with
millions of views, such as one from conservative nonprofit The
Prager University Foundation, which said, "Although CO2 causes some
warming, it’s much less significant than we’ve been told.” In
another, titled “The Great Climate Con,” Jordan Peterson claimed
that "the planet got greener," benefiting from CO2 levels rising.<br>
<br>
The CCDH noted that sometimes groups advocating for climate action
ended up having their ads run on these videos promoting new forms of
climate denial. An ad for the Conservation Law Foundation (CLF),
which "forges solutions to environmental challenges," ran on
Peterson's video. Jake O'Neill, CLF's press secretary, provided Ars
with a statement, confirming that the organization has no control
over how YouTube places ads, suggesting that videos like Peterson's
hamper CLF's progress promoting climate action.<br>
<br>
"Climate denialism videos like this are spreading misinformation and
hampering our progress in confronting this crisis with the urgency
it demands," CLF's statement said. "Unfortunately, we don’t have
control over where our ads show up on YouTube as they’re targeted
towards certain users, not channels. It’s on YouTube to moderate
this, and the company is absolutely failing to weed out these videos
and stop profiting off of them."<br>
<br>
Ars could not immediately reach Peterson or the IPCC for comment.<br>
<br>
Today, some climate experts cited by the CCDH agree that climate
denialists are shifting their strategies and hoping to delay climate
policy or promote inactivism by spreading misinformation targeting
climate solutions instead of denying climate science that's
generally hard to dispute today.<br>
<br>
YouTube seemingly has no urgent plans to update its climate change
policy. But if YouTube ever did decide to update its policy, YouTube
would have to notify creators, then go through all the older videos
on its platform and re-rate each video before running ads on the
videos, YouTube's spokesperson told Ars.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/2024/01/youtube-profits-from-videos-claiming-global-warming-is-beneficial/">https://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/2024/01/youtube-profits-from-videos-claiming-global-warming-is-beneficial/</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<font face="Calibri"><i>[ The news archive - starting wind energy ]</i></font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> <font size="+2"><i><b>January 18, 2015 </b></i></font>
</font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> </font> January 18, 2015:<br>
The New York Times reports:<br>
"Before dawn one morning in October, a handful of Americans gathered
at a lonely pier on Samso, a small Danish island about four hours
from Copenhagen. Bundled in layers of fleece and wool, the
Americans, mostly from islands off the Maine coast, had come to get
a closer look at a wind farm — 10 mighty turbines spinning in the
Kattegat strait — that has helped make Samso a symbol for a greener
future, one powered entirely by renewable energy.<br>
<br>
"Among them was Marian Chioffi, the bookkeeper at the electric
company in Monhegan, Me., whose population of about 60 swells to
include hundreds of residents and thousands of tourists in the
summer. They — along with generations of artists like Edward Hopper,
Rockwell Kent and Jamie Wyeth — have been drawn by the island’s
lost-in-time charm and picturesque setting in the Gulf of Maine.<br>
<br>
"Monhegan faces challenges as stark as its beauty. Foremost among
them — and the spur for the journey to Denmark — is dependence on
expensive, dirty fuels for heating and electricity. Even with the
recent fall in oil prices, Monhegan residents pay among the highest
power rates in the nation — almost six times the national average —
and the electric company, locally owned and operated, struggles to
keep the lights on.<br>
<br>
"Twenty years ago, Samso faced similar problems. Its farming and
fishing industries were in decline, and its electricity and heating
costs, mostly from diesel and coal, were rising. Its young people
were leaving the island to attend high school and choosing not to
return.<br>
<br>
"But in 1997, the island began a long-term transformation. It won a
government-sponsored contest to create a model community for
renewable energy and, through a combination of wind and solar (for
electricity) and geothermal and plant-based energy (for heating),
the island reached green energy independence in 2005. That means
Samso actually generates more power from renewable sources than it
consumes over all. Attached by a power cable to the mainland 11
miles away, the island sells its excess electricity to the national
utility, bringing income to the hundreds of residents who own shares
in the island’s wind farms, both on land and at sea.<br>
<br>
"Samso has attracted global attention for its accomplishments. Soren
Hermansen, 55, and his wife, Malene Lunden, 49, worked for years to
develop the program on the island and now have created an institute,
the Samso Energy Academy, to spread their story and methods to
international visitors. <br>
<br>
"The Maine islanders, along with students from the College of the
Atlantic in Bar Harbor, had traveled to Samso to attend the academy
and hear the Danes’ advice. If all went well, each islander would go
home with a team of students dedicated to solving an energy problem
using ideas borrowed from Samso.<br>
<br>
"Beyond that, the planners hoped, new Maine island projects could
become templates for broader adoption of renewable energy. Because
of their particular geography, islands often lack the resources and
infrastructures to meet their own needs. Fuel, like other
necessities, is often imported — sometimes with great difficulty —
and electric grids, when they even exist, are often underdeveloped
or out of date, all of which leads to higher prices and less
reliable service. With residents open to cheaper and better
alternatives, islands are becoming seedbeds of innovation, living
labs in which to test and refine technologies and approaches that
are too new or expensive to establish on a mainland. And their small
size makes the systems easier to manage and analyze."<br>
<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://www.nytimes.com/2015/01/18/business/energy-environment/green-energy-inspiration-from-samso-denmark.html?ref=business">http://www.nytimes.com/2015/01/18/business/energy-environment/green-energy-inspiration-from-samso-denmark.html?ref=business</a>
<br>
<br>
<br>
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