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<font size="+2" face="Calibri"><i><b>February</b></i></font><font
size="+2" face="Calibri"><i><b> 15, 2024</b></i></font><font
face="Calibri"><br>
</font>
<p><i>[ cute poster from an Aussie cartoonist ]</i><br>
<b>Are you ready for the collapse of the Atlantic meridional
overturning circulation? No, you are not</b><br>
First Dog on the Moon<br>
Tue 13 Feb 2024 <br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/3d96fcd2d15697f39b5553103cc761b25c25ee7d/0_0_1812_6959/master/1812.jpg?width=1900&dpr=2&s=none"
moz-do-not-send="true">https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/3d96fcd2d15697f39b5553103cc761b25c25ee7d/0_0_1812_6959/master/1812.jpg?width=1900&dpr=2&s=none</a></p>
<p><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/picture/2024/feb/14/are-you-ready-for-the-collapse-of-the-atlantic-meridional-overturning-circulation-no-you-are-not"
moz-do-not-send="true">https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/picture/2024/feb/14/are-you-ready-for-the-collapse-of-the-atlantic-meridional-overturning-circulation-no-you-are-not</a></p>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[ A percentage that can do lots of damage ]</i> <br>
<b>Nearly 15% of Americans don’t believe climate change is real,
study finds</b><br>
Denialism highest in central and southern US, with Republican voters
less likely to believe in climate science<br>
Aliya Uteuova<br>
Wed 14 Feb 2024 <br>
Nearly 15% of Americans don’t believe climate change is real, a new
study out of the University of Michigan reveals – shedding light on
the highly polarized attitude toward global warming.<br>
<br>
Additionally, denialism is highest in the central and southern US,
with Republican voters found less likely to believe in climate
science.<br>
<br>
Using artificial intelligence, researchers analyzed over 7.4m tweets
posted by roughly 1.3 million people on the social media platform X
(previously Twitter) between 2017 and 2019. The social media posts
were geocoded, and classified as “for” or “against” climate change
using a large language model, a type of artificial intelligence
developed by OpenAI.<br>
<br>
“Over half of the tweets we looked at simply denied that climate
change was real, that it was a hoax,” said Joshua Newell, co-author
of the study and professor of environment and sustainability at the
University of Michigan. “It wasn’t surprising but it was
disappointing, I would hope that more and more Americans would
believe in climate change and the importance of addressing it.”<br>
<br>
Donald Trump emerged as one of the most influential figures among
climate change deniers. His tweets around a cold snap in Texas in
December 2017, as well as his missives rejecting the 2018 IPCC
report released at the Cop24 UN conference, were some of his most
engaged social media posts among climate change deniers.<br>
<br>
“Public figures such as Trump are highly influential,” Newell said,
“when they use these events to trigger disbelief in climate change
among social media users.”<br>
<br>
The findings are consistent with similar studies, such as the recent
survey out of Yale University which estimates that as of 2023, 16%
of Americans do not believe in climate change (about 49 million
people).<br>
<br>
Acceptance and belief in global warming is most prevalent along the
west and east coasts, correlating with those regions’ high rates of
Democratic voters. Still, clusters of denialism exist within blue
states, like in the case of Shasta county, California. There,
disbelief in climate change is as high as 52%, but statewide, less
than 12% of California’s population does not believe in global
warming.<br>
<br>
“It comports with my understanding that there is a small but very
vocal and active minority of the public that still denies the
overwhelming evidence of human-caused warming,” said Michael Mann,
climatologist and geophysicist at the University of Pennsylvania,
about the study.<br>
<br>
Last week, Mann was awarded $1m in a defamation lawsuit against
conservative writers who called his pioneering climate change
research “fraudulent”, comparing it to the work of a convicted child
molester. In his book The New Climate War, Mann argues that
scientists have to rebut the misinformation and disinformation
promoted on social media by bad actors, “not because we’re going to
win them over, their ideological heels are dug in, but because they
are infecting the entire social media space with myths, falsehoods
and toxic anti-scientific sentiment”, Mann said.<br>
<br>
Researchers’ use of AI helped classify millions of social media
posts that otherwise would be too time-consuming and expensive to
conduct. Still, some skepticism remains regarding the ethics of
using AI for research, as artificial intelligence has a documented
history of bias, especially in facial recognition, highlighting the
need for human vetting.<br>
- - <br>
“It’s an intriguing new tool to use for these purposes,” Mann said.
“But its limitations must be kept in mind as it’s an evolving
technology.”<br>
<br>
It is up to social media platforms to combat misinformation, and
fact-check what the researchers call “knowledge vulnerability”.<br>
<br>
“There is proper action by the social media companies to monitor
disinformation and to act accordingly,” Newell said, referencing
Trump’s ban from X (then Twitter) following the January 6
insurrection. “These very powerful social media companies should
consider similar strategies for misinformation regarding climate
change.”<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/feb/14/americans-believe-climate-change"
moz-do-not-send="true">https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/feb/14/americans-believe-climate-change</a>-<br>
<p><i><br>
</i></p>
<br>
<i>[ Beware “We Have Met the Enemy and He Is Us” Pogo ]<br>
</i><b>World scientists’ warning: The behavioural crisis driving
ecological overshoot</b><br>
Joseph J Merz <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1808-6477"
moz-do-not-send="true">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1808-6477</a> <a
class="moz-txt-link-abbreviated moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="mailto:joseph@merzinstitute.org" moz-do-not-send="true">joseph@merzinstitute.org</a>,
Phoebe Barnard, […], and Rory Sutherland+8<br>
<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://doi.org/10.1177/00368504231201372"
moz-do-not-send="true">https://doi.org/10.1177/00368504231201372</a><br>
<br>
<b>Abstract</b><br>
<blockquote> Previously, anthropogenic ecological overshoot has been
identified as a fundamental cause of the myriad symptoms we see
around the globe today from biodiversity loss and ocean
acidification to the disturbing rise in novel entities and climate
change. In the present paper, we have examined this more deeply,
and explore the behavioural drivers of overshoot, providing
evidence that overshoot is itself a symptom of a deeper, more
subversive modern crisis of human behaviour. We work to name and
frame this crisis as ‘the Human Behavioural Crisis’ and propose
the crisis be recognised globally as a critical intervention point
for tackling ecological overshoot. We demonstrate how current
interventions are largely physical, resource intensive,
slow-moving and focused on addressing the symptoms of ecological
overshoot (such as climate change) rather than the distal cause
(maladaptive behaviours). We argue that even in the best-case
scenarios, symptom-level interventions are unlikely to avoid
catastrophe or achieve more than ephemeral progress. We explore
three drivers of the behavioural crisis in depth: economic growth;
marketing; and pronatalism. These three drivers directly impact
the three ‘levers’ of overshoot: consumption, waste and
population. We demonstrate how the maladaptive behaviours of
overshoot stemming from these three drivers have been catalysed
and perpetuated by the intentional exploitation of previously
adaptive human impulses. In the final sections of this paper, we
propose an interdisciplinary emergency response to the behavioural
crisis by, amongst other things, the shifting of social norms
relating to reproduction, consumption and waste. We seek to
highlight a critical disconnect that is an ongoing societal gulf
in communication between those that know such as scientists
working within limits to growth, and those members of the
citizenry, largely influenced by social scientists and industry,
that must act.<br>
<br>
For Will Steffen (1947–2023), one of the kindest advocates for our
planet in a time of crisis.<br>
</blockquote>
<blockquote>
<blockquote>‘The conscious and intelligent manipulation of the
organized habits and opinions of the masses is an important
element in democratic society. Those who manipulate this unseen
mechanism of society constitute an invisible government which is
the true ruling power of our country. We are governed, our minds
are molded, our tastes formed, our ideas suggested, largely by
men we have never heard of’.<br>
– Edward Bernays, Propaganda, 1928<br>
<br>
‘A species causing the extinction of 150 species per day doesn’t
need more energy to do more of what it does’.<br>
– Hart Hagan, Environmental journalist..<br>
</blockquote>
</blockquote>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/00368504231201372"
moz-do-not-send="true">https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/00368504231201372</a><i><br>
</i>
<p><i>- -</i></p>
<p><i>[ related to the above - a clip from obit ] </i></p>
<p
style="overflow-wrap: break-word; word-break: break-word; box-sizing: inherit; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: Harding, Palatino, serif; font-size: 18px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><b>Will
Steffen (1947–2023)<br>
Earth-system scientist and climate advocate.</b><br>
By Lesley Hughes & Martin Rice<br>
</p>
<p
style="overflow-wrap: break-word; word-break: break-word; box-sizing: inherit; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: Harding, Palatino, serif; font-size: 18px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;">20
February 2023<br>
</p>
<p
style="overflow-wrap: break-word; word-break: break-word; box-sizing: inherit; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: Harding, Palatino, serif; font-size: 18px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;">He
was attracted to tackling complex problems in an interdisciplinary
way, and with Earth-system science he blossomed as a researcher.
Many ideas that he developed and popularized were at first
considered radical but are now mainstream. These include the
‘Great Acceleration’<sup
style="font-size: 13.5px; line-height: 0; position: relative; vertical-align: baseline; top: -0.5em; box-sizing: inherit;"><a
href="https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-00519-x#ref-CR1"
data-track="click" data-action="anchor-link"
data-track-label="go to reference"
data-track-category="references"
style="background-color: transparent; color: rgb(0, 102, 153); overflow-wrap: break-word; text-decoration: underline 0.0625rem; text-decoration-skip-ink: auto; vertical-align: baseline; word-break: break-word; box-sizing: inherit; text-underline-offset: 0.08em;"
moz-do-not-send="true">1</a></sup>, which describes the
dramatic increase in human environmental impact since the 1950s,
brought about by population growth and fossil-fuel burning. He was
also a significant advocate of the Anthropocene, the idea
popularized by his colleague, Nobel prizewinner Paul Crutzen, that
the planet has entered a new geological epoch because of human
activity. Steffen served as the climate-science expert on the
Anthropocene Working Group.</p>
<p
style="overflow-wrap: break-word; word-break: break-word; box-sizing: inherit; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: Harding, Palatino, serif; font-size: 18px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;">Among
many seminal publications, Steffen is particularly known for the
2009<span> </span><i style="box-sizing: inherit;">Nature</i><span> </span>paper
‘A safe operating space for humanity’<sup
style="font-size: 13.5px; line-height: 0; position: relative; vertical-align: baseline; top: -0.5em; box-sizing: inherit;"><a
href="https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-00519-x#ref-CR2"
data-track="click" data-action="anchor-link"
data-track-label="go to reference"
data-track-category="references"
style="background-color: transparent; color: rgb(0, 102, 153); overflow-wrap: break-word; text-decoration: underline 0.0625rem; text-decoration-skip-ink: auto; vertical-align: baseline; word-break: break-word; box-sizing: inherit; text-underline-offset: 0.08em;"
moz-do-not-send="true">2</a></sup>, which introduced the key
conceptual framework of ‘planetary boundaries’. Along with Johan
Rockström and colleagues, Steffen identified nine planet-scale
processes that regulate Earth-system stability, together with
thresholds that, if crossed, could lead to large-scale
environmental tipping points. He also led work on Hothouse Earth<sup
style="font-size: 13.5px; line-height: 0; position: relative; vertical-align: baseline; top: -0.5em; box-sizing: inherit;"><a
href="https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-00519-x#ref-CR3"
data-track="click" data-action="anchor-link"
data-track-label="go to reference"
data-track-category="references"
style="background-color: transparent; color: rgb(0, 102, 153); overflow-wrap: break-word; text-decoration: underline 0.0625rem; text-decoration-skip-ink: auto; vertical-align: baseline; word-break: break-word; box-sizing: inherit; text-underline-offset: 0.08em;"
moz-do-not-send="true">3</a></sup>, exploring how
self-reinforcing feedbacks might push Earth into a regime in which
its climate could no longer be stabilized even if greenhouse-gas
emissions were substantially reduced.</p>
<p
style="overflow-wrap: break-word; word-break: break-word; box-sizing: inherit; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: Harding, Palatino, serif; font-size: 18px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;">Steffen
was fearless in his advocacy of science and science-based policy,
communicating the risks of climate change with sobering clarity.
In 2011, he was appointed to the Australian government’s Climate
Commission, which was dedicated to deepening public understanding
of climate change and its impacts. When the commission was
abolished in 2013, Steffen co-founded the Climate Council of
Australia to continue the work, funded by public donations.</p>
<p
style="overflow-wrap: break-word; word-break: break-word; box-sizing: inherit; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: Harding, Palatino, serif; font-size: 18px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><a
class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-00519-x"
moz-do-not-send="true">https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-00519-x</a><i><br>
</i></p>
<p
style="overflow-wrap: break-word; word-break: break-word; box-sizing: inherit; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: Harding, Palatino, serif; font-size: 18px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><i><br>
</i></p>
<br>
<i>[ Two doomer cynics make a list of things that are not going to
happen ]</i><br>
<b>The Dynamic Doomer Duo Explain Why All of this Happy Horseshit
Hopium Just Ain't Gonna Happen</b><br>
Collapse Chronicles<br>
Feb 7, 2024 DUNNELLON<br>
In the latest meet-up between Collapse Chronicles and Climate
Casino, two Doomers with brains (Eliot Jacobson and Sam Mitchell)
try to analyze and explain why this never-ending barrage of
pointless apocaloptimistic horseshit being bandied about the
Doomosphere about "what we need to do" to save the planet just ain't
gonna happen, which is just one more reason we are all doomed.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8TpPcY5vgWg"
moz-do-not-send="true">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8TpPcY5vgWg</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<font face="Calibri"> <i>[The news archive - 14 year ago - a
strong warning ]</i></font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> <font size="+2"><i><b>February 15, 2010 </b></i></font>
</font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> </font> In the Boston Globe, MIT climate
scientist Kerry Emanuel writes:<br>
"With all the interest in alleged misdeeds of the Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate Change and hacked email exchanges among climate
scientists, it is easy to lose track of the compelling strands of
scientific evidence that have led almost all climate scientists to
conclude that mankind is altering climate in potentially dangerous
ways...A few essential points are undisputed among climate
scientists. First, the surface temperature of the Earth is roughly
60 F higher than it would otherwise be thanks to a few greenhouse
gasses that collectively make up only about 3 percent of the mass of
our atmosphere.<br>
<br>
"Second, the concentrations of the two most important long-lived
greenhouse gases, carbon dioxide and methane, have been increasing
since the dawn of the industrial era; carbon dioxide alone has
increased by about 40 percent. These increases have been brought
about by fossil fuel combustion and changes in land use.<br>
<br>
"Third, in the absence of any feedbacks except for temperature
itself, doubling carbon dioxide would increase the global average
surface temperature by about 1.8 F. And fourth, global temperatures
have been rising for roughly the past century and have so far
increased by about 1.4 F. The rate of rise of surface temperature is
consistent with predictions of human-caused global warming that date
back to the 19th century and is larger than any natural change we
have been able to discern for at least the past 1,000 years."<br>
<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://www.boston.com/bostonglobe/editorial_opinion/oped/articles/2010/02/15/climate_changes_are_proven_fact/"
moz-do-not-send="true">http://www.boston.com/bostonglobe/editorial_opinion/oped/articles/2010/02/15/climate_changes_are_proven_fact/</a>
<br>
<br>
<p><font face="Calibri"> </font><font face="Calibri"><br>
=== Other climate news sources
===========================================<br>
</font> <font face="Calibri"><b>*Inside Climate News</b><br>
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--------------------------------------- <br>
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