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<font size="+2" face="Calibri"><i><b>February</b></i></font><font
size="+2" face="Calibri"><i><b> 20, 2024</b></i></font><font
face="Calibri"><br>
</font> <br>
<i>["These are the greatest risks at the moment" - triggers for
greater abrupt changes ]</i><br>
<b>TPDS: Global Tipping Points Report 2023: Discussion with Section
Leads</b><br>
World Climate Research Programme<br>
Dec 19, 2023<br>
This webinar is part of the AIMES, Earth Commission, Future Earth,
WCRP Safe Landing Climates Lighthouse Activity, and partners
discussion series on tipping elements, irreversibility, and abrupt
changes in the Earth.<br>
<br>
The Global Tipping Points Report was launched on 6th December 2023
provides an authoritative assessment of the risks and opportunities
of both negative and positive tipping points in the Earth system and
society. In this webinar several Section Leads presented key
insights from this report.<br>
Speakers: <br>
Introduction by moderator: Laurie Laybourn Langton (University of
Exeter)<br>
Earth System Tipping Points: David Armstrong McKay (University of
Exeter/Stockholm Resilience Centre)<br>
Tipping Points Impacts: Steven Lade (Australian National
University/Stockholm Resilience Centre) <br>
Governance of Earth System Tipping Points: Manjana Milkoreit
(University of Oslo)<br>
Positive Tipping Points in Technology, Economy and Society: Steve
Smith (University of Exeter) and Caroline Zimm (IIASA/Earth
Commission)<br>
Q&A moderated by Laurie Laybourn Langton (University of Exeter)<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fmmBgO0ePYg">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fmmBgO0ePYg</a>
<p>- -<br>
</p>
<p>Read more here:
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://global-tipping-points-report-2023-discussions.confetti.events/">https://global-tipping-points-report-2023-discussions.confetti.events/</a></p>
<p>- -<br>
</p>
<i>[ Last year's excellent tipping point lecture - especially 24
mins. ]</i><br>
<b>David Armstrong Mckay on Tipping points in the climate system<br>
Researchers Desk</b><br>
Jan 29, 2023<br>
Dr. David Armstrong Mckay. David will talk with us about his
findings concerning how exceeding 1.5°C global warming could trigger
multiple climate tipping points.<br>
<br>
Host: Alasdair Skelton<br>
Professor of Geochemistry and Petrology<br>
Chairperson of Researchers’ Desk<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ik74dcRGwMk">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ik74dcRGwMk</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[ from Carbon Brief - the willing majority is ready and willing ]</i><br>
<b>Interview: Why global support for climate action is
‘systematically underestimated’</b><br>
16 February 2024<br>
SIMON EVANS<br>
There is near-universal global public support for climate action,
yet people systematically underestimate the commitment of their
peers, according to a new study.<br>
<br>
The research, published in Nature Climate Change, is based on a
globally-representative sample of nearly 130,000 people in 125
countries.<br>
<br>
It finds that 86% of people “support pro-climate social norms” and
89% would like their governments to do more to tackle warming.
Moreover, 69% say they would be willing to contribute 1% of their
income to addressing climate change.<br>
<br>
Yet respondents also “systematically underestimate the willingness
of their fellow citizens to act”, according to the paper, creating a
potentially challenging “perception gap”.<br>
<br>
Carbon Brief interviewed the authors of the study to find out more.
The questions and their answers are reproduced in full, below. An
abridged version of the transcript was first published in DeBriefed,
Carbon Brief’s weekly email newsletter. Sign up for free.<br>
<b>Carbon Brief: Your survey of nearly 130,000 people in 125
countries found “almost universal” support (86%) for climate
action, with 89% wanting more from governments. Were you
surprised? </b><br>
<br>
<b>Prof Peter Andre, Prof Teodora Boneva, Prof Felix Chopra and Prof
Armin Falk: </b>While we did expect to find high levels of
approval for climate action in some of the countries that we
studied, we were indeed surprised to find that the percentage of the
population approving of pro-climate social norms and demanding more
political action from their national government is very high in
almost all countries in our sample. In 119 of 125 countries, the
proportion of individuals who state that people in their country
“should try to fight global warming” exceeds two-thirds. In more
than half the countries in our sample, the demand for more
government action even exceeds 90%.<br>
<br>
We were probably misled by the same pessimism that we found to be so
widespread across the globe. 69% of the world’s population is
willing to contribute 1% of their monthly income to fight global
warming. A broad majority of people across the globe is willing to
pay a personal cost. In fact, in 114 out of 125 countries, a
majority of respondents is willing to fight climate change. However,
in 110 out of 125 countries, the majority thinks that they are in
the minority: When asked about how many people in their country are
willing to contribute, most respondents think that less than half of
their fellow citizens would be willing to contribute.<br>
<br>
[The figure below, taken from the new paper, shows: (top left) the
share of respondents willing to contribute none, up to 1% or at
least 1% of their income to tackling climate change; (top right) the
same result broken down by country; (middle panel) the share
believing that “people should try to fight global warming”; (lower
panel) the share wanting governments to do more.]<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.carbonbrief.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/41558_2024_1925_Fig1_HTML.png">https://www.carbonbrief.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/41558_2024_1925_Fig1_HTML.png</a><br>
Globally representative evidence on the actual and perceived support
for climate action<br>
<br>
<b>CB: A large majority (69%) said they would be willing to
contribute 1% of their income to fight global warming. Do you
think this would hold for specific policies, such as a carbon tax?
</b><br>
<br>
<b>PA, TB, FC and AF: </b>The popular support for specific policies
will depend on many details that we had to abstract from in the
global survey. How effective is the policy? Is it perceived as fair?
Who supports the policy in the public debate? So one cannot simply
equate support in the survey with support for specific policy
proposals. In a representative US sample, we do find that the
general demand for more political action is strongly correlated with
demand for specific climate policies, such as a carbon tax on fossil
fuels, regulatory limits on the CO2 emissions of coal-fired plants,
or funding for research on renewable energy. <br>
Overall, we think the important conclusion is the following: The
large majority of people across the world expresses a general
willingness to make costly contributions to fight climate change.
This means that we can move the debate forward and focus on how we
can best tap into this broad willingness to contribute to best
tackle the challenges posed by climate change. <br>
<br>
<b>CB: There has been a resurgence of anti-climate rhetoric from
politicians and the media in many countries. Do you think public
opinion has shifted since your survey in 2021-22? </b><br>
<br>
<b>PA, TB, FC and AF:</b> We do not detect any clear time trend
within our samples from 2021 and 2022, but do not have data for the
most recent months. If we were to speculate, we would not want to
fall victim to the same pessimism one more time. We would expect
that a large majority would still be in favor of climate action
today, and this seems to be in line with more recent research. The
year 2023 has been confirmed as the warmest calendar year in global
temperature data records going back to 1850. In our study, we find
that annual average temperatures strongly correlate with the
proportion of people being willing to support climate action. Our
best guess is that the support for climate action has increased
rather than decreased in the last two years.<br>
<br>
<b>CB: You found stronger willingness to contribute among
respondents in poorer, hotter and more vulnerable countries. Why
do you think richer people are less willing to pay their way? </b><br>
<br>
<b>PA, TB, FC and AF: </b>Two potential explanations come to mind.
First, richer countries are still strongly dependent on fossil
fuels. The adaptation costs could therefore be perceived as
relatively high and the required lifestyle changes as too drastic.
At the same time, richer countries may be more resilient: A
country’s GDP per capita reflects its economic capacity to cope with
climate change. The most direct and immediate consequences are
likely to be concentrated in more vulnerable countries, which have
fewer resources to mitigate the negative consequences of the climate
crisis. However, it’s important to stress the positive message: the
support for climate action is large even in the richest countries in
our sample. In the wealthiest quintile of countries, the average
proportion of people willing to contribute 1% is 62%. <br>
<br>
<b>CB: You found people systematically underestimated the
willingness of their peers to contribute to climate action. Why do
you think that is – and how could it be changed? <br>
</b><br>
<b>PA, TB, FC and AF: </b>The reasons for this perception gap are
likely to be manifold. In the past, media and public discussions
have given a lot of focus to the small number of climate change
sceptics and have fallen prey to the efforts of special interest
groups. Moreover, climate change is difficult to tackle. People
might mistakenly infer that the slow progress in combating climate
change is due to a widespread lack of personal commitment. <br>
<br>
In our view, correcting this perception gap is more important than
understanding its origin. Humans are (what behavioral scientists
call) “conditional cooperators”. They contribute more to the public
good if they believe that others contribute as well. For this
reason, pessimism about others’ contributions is harmful. It can
constitute a critical obstacle for climate action. We thus conclude
in the paper that, “[r]ather than echoing the concerns of a vocal
minority that opposes any form of climate action, we need to
effectively communicate that the vast majority of people around the
world are willing to act against climate change and expect their
national government to act”. We hope that our study sparks a debate
on this topic, and increases awareness about the large global
support for climate action.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.carbonbrief.org/interview-why-global-support-for-climate-action-is-systematically-underestimated/">https://www.carbonbrief.org/interview-why-global-support-for-climate-action-is-systematically-underestimated/</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<font face="Calibri"><br>
</font><font face="Calibri"> <i>[The news archive - John Kerry
activism]</i></font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> <font size="+2"><i><b>February 20, 2013 </b></i></font>
</font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> </font> February 20, 2013: <br>
In his first major policy speech as Secretary of State, John Kerry
directly addresses the risks of climate change.<br>
<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aqJt_WSGoVI">http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aqJt_WSGoVI</a><br>
<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2013/02/21/1620201/speech-kerry-climate-hawk-courage-reject-dirty-keystone-xl-pipeline/">http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2013/02/21/1620201/speech-kerry-climate-hawk-courage-reject-dirty-keystone-xl-pipeline/</a><br>
<br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><font face="Calibri"> <br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><br>
=== Other climate news sources
===========================================<br>
</font> <font face="Calibri"><b>*Inside Climate News</b><br>
Newsletters<br>
We deliver climate news to your inbox like nobody else. Every
day or once a week, our original stories and digest of the web’s
top headlines deliver the full story, for free.<br>
</font> <font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://insideclimatenews.org/">https://insideclimatenews.org/</a><br>
--------------------------------------- <br>
*<b>Climate Nexus</b> <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://climatenexus.org/hot-news/*">https://climatenexus.org/hot-news/*</a>
<br>
Delivered straight to your inbox every morning, Hot News
summarizes the most important climate and energy news of the
day, delivering an unmatched aggregation of timely, relevant
reporting. It also provides original reporting and commentary on
climate denial and pro-polluter activity that would otherwise
remain largely unexposed. 5 weekday <br>
================================= <br>
</font> <font face="Calibri"><b class="moz-txt-star"><span
class="moz-txt-tag">*</span>Carbon Brief Daily </b><span
class="moz-txt-star"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.carbonbrief.org/newsletter-sign-up">https://www.carbonbrief.org/newsletter-sign-up</a></span><b
class="moz-txt-star"><span class="moz-txt-tag">*</span></b> <br>
Every weekday morning, in time for your morning coffee, Carbon
Brief sends out a free email known as the “Daily Briefing” to
thousands of subscribers around the world. The email is a digest
of the past 24 hours of media coverage related to climate change
and energy, as well as our pick of the key studies published in
the peer-reviewed journals. <br>
more at <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.getrevue.co/publisher/carbon-brief">https://www.getrevue.co/publisher/carbon-brief</a>
<br>
================================== <br>
*T<b>he Daily Climate </b>Subscribe <a
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