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<font size="+2" face="Calibri"><i><b>February</b></i></font><font
size="+2" face="Calibri"><i><b> 29, 2024</b></i></font><font
face="Calibri"><br>
</font> <br>
<i>[ NYTimes noticed the heat ]</i><br>
<b>Scientists Are Freaking Out About Ocean Temperatures</b><br>
“It’s like an omen of the future.”<br>
“The North Atlantic has been record-breakingly warm for almost a
year now,” said Brian McNoldy, a researcher at the University of
Miami. “It’s just astonishing.”<br>
By David Gelles<br>
Feb. 27, 2024<br>
- -<br>
For the past year, oceans around the world have been substantially
warmer than usual. Last month was the hottest January on record in
the world’s oceans, and temperatures have continued to rise since
then. The heat wave has been especially pronounced in the North
Atlantic.<br>
<br>
“The North Atlantic has been record-breakingly warm for almost a
year now,” McNoldy said. “It’s just astonishing. Like, it doesn’t
seem real.”...<br>
- -<br>
“It’s quite scary, partly because I’m not hearing any scientists
that have a convincing explanation of why it is we’ve got such a
departure,” he said. “We’re used to having a fairly good handle on
things. But the impression at the moment is that things have gone
further and faster than we expected. That’s an uncomfortable place
as a scientist to be.”<br>
<br>
Spin the globe to the south, and the situation is similarly dire.<br>
<br>
“The sea ice around the Antarctic is just not growing,” said Matthew
England, a professor at the University of New South Wales who
studies ocean currents. “The temperature’s just going off the
charts. It’s like an omen of the future.”...<br>
- -<br>
Yet the past year has come as a shock even to those who follow the
data closely.<br>
<br>
“We all know that there’s been a rapid warming, particularly over
the last few decades,” Larter said. “But over the last 18 months,
it’s jumped up beyond what we expected.”<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://static01.nyt.com/images/2024/02/07/multimedia/27cli-newsletter-02/2024-02-07-sst-hottest-january-index-superJumbo-v2.png?quality=75&auto=webp">https://static01.nyt.com/images/2024/02/07/multimedia/27cli-newsletter-02/2024-02-07-sst-hottest-january-index-superJumbo-v2.png?quality=75&auto=webp</a>...<br>
Scientists are offering a range of explanations for the record heat
in the North Atlantic...<br>
- -<br>
The North Atlantic has been unusually clear lately, with fewer
clouds than normal to block the sunlight from heating the water. The
area has also been less windy than normal, which may have also led
to a spike in temperatures...<br>
Recent research has suggested that as glaciers melt and more fresh
water enters the Atlantic, a crucial ocean current could falter,
potentially leading to drastic changes in global weather patterns,
such as a rapid reduction in temperatures across Europe.<br>
McNoldy said it was too early to say whether the ongoing heat wave
is part of the early stages of such a change. “I hope it’s not
something much worse, like, you know, like some significant change
in the ocean current,” he said. “That would have far greater
implications.”<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/27/climate/scientists-are-freaking-out-about-ocean-temperatures.html">https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/27/climate/scientists-are-freaking-out-about-ocean-temperatures.html</a><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/27/climate/scientists-are-freaking-out-about-ocean-temperatures.html?unlocked_article_code=1.ZE0.3zf8.RINA0xDa_Zuz&smid=url-share">https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/27/climate/scientists-are-freaking-out-about-ocean-temperatures.html?unlocked_article_code=1.ZE0.3zf8.RINA0xDa_Zuz&smid=url-share</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[ Popular Web physicist accuses classic climate scientists of
confirmation bias - video ]</i><br>
<b>I Was Worried about Climate Change. Now I worry about Climate
Scientists.</b><br>
Sabine Hossenfelder<br>
Feb 28, 2024 #climate #science<br>
- -<br>
Some climate scientists have reacted to my previous video about
climate sensitivity. In this video, I elaborate on my thoughts
regarding the IPCC's projections and why it worries me how they are
dealing with the uncertainty of the climate model outputs. <br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uEZ9HFlqzms">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uEZ9HFlqzms</a><br>
<br>
<p><br>
</p>
[ Beckwith reads aloud ]<br>
Feb 28, 2024<br>
<b>I chat about the recent report by the WMO (World Meteorological
Organization) titled: “2023 STATE OF<br>
CLIMATE SERVICES — HEALTH”</b><br>
Key messages In this report that I discuss in my video include most
of the following:<br>
<br>
“The world is warming at a faster rate than at any point in recorded
history. Climate change undermines health determinants and increases
pressures on health systems, thereby threatening to reverse decades
of progress to promote human health and well-being, particularly in
the most vulnerable communities. The Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change (IPCC) concludes, with very high confidence, that
future health risks of injury, disease and death will increase due
to more intense and frequent temperature extremes, cyclones, storms,
floods, droughts and wildfires. It is anticipated that over 50% of
the excess mortality resulting from climate change by the year 2050
will occur in Africa.<br>
<br>
Health protection is a priority in almost all countries and requires
high-quality information to better inform decision-making. The
majority of Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs)and National
Adaptation Plans (NAPs) prioritize the health sector. To
systematically and effectively address the challenges presented by
climate variability and change, the health sector needs to ensure
that climate information and services inform national assessments
and policies. <br>
<br>
Climate information and services are fundamental for better
understanding how and when health systems and population health can
be impacted by climate extremes and a changing climate, and for
managing climate-related risks. Tailored climate products and
services can enhance the evidence and information available to
health sector partners to detect, monitor, predict and manage
climate-related health risks. Examples of where health sector
partners are successfully using climate information and services are
illustrated in the Case studies.<br>
<br>
There is huge potential for enhancing the benefits of climate
science and climate services for health. Despite examples of
success, data shows that the health sector is underutilizing
available climate knowledge and tools. At the same time, climate
services need to be further enhanced to fully satisfy the health
sector requirements. While 74% of National Meteorological and
Hydrological Services (NMHSs) provide climate data to health actors,
the uptake into mainstreamed health decision tools is limited, with
just 23% of Ministries of Health having a health surveillance system
that utilizes<br>
meteorological information to monitor climate-sensitive health
risks. Data from WMO shows that only 31% of NMHSs provide climate
services at a “full” or “advanced” level of capacity, where
co-production and tailoring most often happen. This reflects a
significant capacity gap to be filled in order to increase the role
that NMHSs can play in supporting the health sector.<br>
<br>
Extreme heat causes the greatest mortality of all extreme weather,
yet heat warning services are provided to health decision makers in
only half of the affected countries. Extreme heat services are
expected to rapidly increase by 2027 under the United Nations Early
Warnings for All initiative. The impacts of extreme heat and
heatwaves are underestimated, as heat-related mortality could be 30
times higher than current estimates. Between 2000 and 2019,
estimated deaths due to heat were approximately 489 000 per year,
with a particularly high burden in Asia (45%) and Europe (36%).5<br>
Every year poor air quality is responsible for millions of premature
deaths and is the fourth biggest killer by health risk factor.
Concerns relating to air quality, climate change and health are
interlinked. Climate mitigation action leading to reducing air
pollution can save lives. Despite this, only 2% of climate finance
commitments made by international<br>
development funders in developing and emerging countries is
explicitly aimed at tackling air pollution (in 2015–2021).<br>
<br>
There is insufficient investment to improve the capabilities of the
health sector and related climate services to deploy research and
integrated systems for effective climate adaptation and mitigation
related decision-making. This leaves the health sector ill-prepared
to safeguard the most vulnerable. Currently, just 0.2% of total
bilateral and multilateral adaptation finance supports projects that
identify health as the primary focus. There is insufficient
investment for developing human resource and operational capacities
and the systems needed to provide decision support for local
adaptation and mitigation.<br>
<br>
To fully harness the potential of climate services for health,
transformational change in institutional development and integration
across the health and climate sectors are needed.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IQkB3-p4XlY">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IQkB3-p4XlY</a> <br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<font face="Calibri"><i>[The news archive - any leap day. ]</i></font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> <font size="+2"><i><b>February 29, 2024 </b></i></font>
</font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> </font> <b>Leap Day Climate Information</b><br>
Weather.gov > Rapid City, SD > Leap Day Climate Information<br>
Although Leap Day is not an official holiday, it is an interesting
event--and a climate conundrum: How do you compare February data
when some months have an extra day? And because official
meteorological winter is December through February, Leap Day is the
last day of winter, which means Leap Years have an extra day of
winter!<br>
<br>
The following table shows the climate information for Rapid City,
Lead, Gillette, Winner, and Lemmon on Leap Day. Average highs around
the area on February 29 are in the upper 30s and lower 40s, with
average lows in the teens to lower 20s. A wide range of temperatures
has occurred on Leap Day, with record highs reaching the mid 60s to
mid 70s, but record lows are still 5 to 15 degrees below zero.
February 29, 1992 was the warmest Leap Day at all the sites, while
the coldest temperatures occurred in 1996, 1960, and 1912.<br>
<br>
2004 set several daily precipitation and snowfall records. Snow was
over a yard deep in Lead on February 29, 1964, but record snow
depths from 1936 still stand in Winner and Lemmon.<br>
<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.weather.gov/unr/Leap_Day_Weather">https://www.weather.gov/unr/Leap_Day_Weather</a><br>
<br>
<p><font face="Calibri"> <br>
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