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<font size="+2" face="Calibri"><i><b>March</b></i></font><font
size="+2" face="Calibri"><i><b> 13, 2024</b></i></font><font
face="Calibri"><br>
</font> <br>
[ Calm down, understand the science ]<br>
<b>Shocking Global Temperature Extremes Show an Out of Control
Climate</b><br>
Paul Beckwith<br>
Mar 12, 2024<br>
In this video, I teach you how to access and examine climate
datasets using very simple-to-use tools provided by Copernicus
Climate Change Service (C3S) free tools.<br>
<br>
Learn how to impress your friends by expertly showing them climate
datasets at the touch of a few buttons. <br>
<br>
I also chat about the Copernicus summary article on what happened
globally in February-2024 and also in our Boreal Winter (also called
Meteorological Winter), namely Dec-Jan-Feb. <br>
<br>
I also chat about an awesome article by Bill McGuire on climate
scientists anguish and terror.<br>
<br>
Here are the relevant links:<br>
<br>
1 — “SCIENTIST TERRIFIED BY HOW THE CLIMATE IS FALLING APART”:
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://futurism.com/the-byte/scientist-terrified-climate-falling-apart">https://futurism.com/the-byte/scientist-terrified-climate-falling-apart</a><br>
<br>
2 — “Copernicus: February 2024 was globally the warmest on record –
Global Sea Surface Temperatures at record high”:
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://climate.copernicus.eu/copernicus-february-2024-was-globally-warmest-record-global-sea-surface-temperatures-record-high">https://climate.copernicus.eu/copernicus-february-2024-was-globally-warmest-record-global-sea-surface-temperatures-record-high</a><br>
<br>
3 — Copernicus Climate Pulse tool:
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://pulse.climate.copernicus.eu/">https://pulse.climate.copernicus.eu/</a><br>
<br>
4 — Copernicus Climate Atlas tool:
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://atlas.climate.copernicus.eu/atlas">https://atlas.climate.copernicus.eu/atlas</a><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZhSbUWW1ya0">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZhSbUWW1ya0</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[ clips from article - science connects to politics ]</i><br>
<b>Climate change matters to more and more people – and could be a
deciding factor in the 2024 election</b><br>
Published: March 12, 2024<br>
Matt Burgess<br>
Assistant Professor of Environmental Studies, University of Colorado
Boulder<br>
If you ask American voters what their top issues are, most will
point to kitchen-table issues like the economy, inflation, crime,
health care or education.<br>
Fewer than 5% of respondents in 2023 and 2024 Gallup surveys said
that climate change was the most important problem facing the
country.<br>
Despite this, research that I conducted with my colleages suggests
that concern about climate change has had a significant effect on
voters’ choices in the past two presidential elections. Climate
change opinions may even have had a large enough effect to change
the 2020 election outcome in President Joe Biden’s favor. This was
the conclusion of an analysis of polling data that we published on
Jan. 17, 2024, through the University of Colorado’s Center for
Social and Environmental Futures.<br>
What explains these results, and what effect might climate change
have on the 2024 election?<br>
<b>Measuring climate change’s effect on elections</b><br>
... Using two different statistical models, we estimated that
climate change opinion could have shifted the 2020 national popular
vote margin (Democratic vote share minus Republican vote share) by
3% or more toward Biden. Using an Electoral College model, we
estimated that a 3% shift would have been large enough to change the
election outcome in his favor.<br>
<br>
These patterns echo the results of a November 2023 poll. This poll
found that more voters trust the Democrats’ approach to climate
change, compared to Republicans’ approach to the issue...<br>
<br>
<b>What might explain the effect of climate change on voting</b><br>
So, if most voters – even Democrats – do not rank climate change as
their top issue, how could climate change opinion have tipped the
2020 presidential election?<br>
<br>
Our analysis could not answer this question directly, but here are
three educated guesses:<br>
<br>
First, recent presidential elections have been extremely close. This
means that climate change opinion would not need to have a very
large effect on voting to change election outcomes. In 2020, Biden
won Georgia by about 10,000 votes – 0.2% of the votes cast – and he
won Wisconsin by about 20,000 votes, 0.6% of votes cast.<br>
<br>
Second, candidates who deny that climate change is real or a problem
might turn off some moderate swing voters, even if climate change
was not those voters’ top issue. The scientific evidence for climate
change being real is so strong that if a candidate were to deny the
basic science of climate change, some moderate voters might wonder
whether to trust that candidate in general.<br>
<br>
Third, some voters may be starting to see the connections between
climate change and the kitchen-table issues that they consider to be
higher priorities than climate change. For example, there is strong
evidence that climate change affects health, national security, the
economy and immigration patterns in the U.S. and around the world.<br>
<br>
<b>Where the candidates stand</b><br>
Biden and former President Donald Trump have very different records
on climate change and approaches to the environment.<br>
<br>
Trump has previously called climate change a “hoax.”<br>
<br>
In 2017, Trump withdrew the U.S. from the Paris Agreement, an
international treaty that legally commits countries to reduce their
greenhouse gas emissions.<br>
<br>
Biden reversed that decision in 2021.<br>
<br>
While in office, Trump rolled back 125 environmental rules and
policies aimed at protecting the country’s air, water, land and
wildlife, arguing that these regulations hurt businesses.<br>
<br>
Biden has restored many of these regulations. He has also added
several new rules and regulations, including a requirement for
businesses to publicly disclose their greenhouse gas emissions.<br>
<br>
Biden has also signed three major laws that each provides tens of
billions in annual spending to address climate change. Two of those
laws were bipartisan.<br>
<br>
On the other hand, the U.S. has also become the world’s largest
producer of oil and gas, and the largest exporter of natural gas,
during Biden’s term.<br>
<br>
In the current campaign, Trump has promised to eliminate subsidies
for renewable energy and electric vehicles, to increase domestic
fossil fuel production and to roll back environmental regulations.
In practice, some of these efforts could face opposition from
congressional Republicans, in addition to Democrats.<br>
<br>
Public opinion varies on particular climate policies that Biden has
enacted.<br>
<br>
Nonetheless, doing something about climate change remains much more
popular than doing nothing. For example, a November 2023 Yale survey
found 57% of voters would prefer a candidate who supports action on
global warming over a candidate who opposes action.<br>
<br>
<b>What this means for 2024</b><br>
Our study found that between the 2016 and the 2020 presidential
elections, climate change became increasingly important to voters,
and the importance voters assign to climate change became
increasingly predictive of voting for the Democrats. If these trends
continue, then climate change could provide the Democrats with an
even larger electoral advantage in 2024.<br>
<br>
Of course, this does not necessarily mean that the Democrats will
win the 2024 election. For example, our study estimated that climate
change gave the Democrats an advantage in 2016, and yet Trump still
won that election because of other issues. Immigration is currently
the top issue for a plurality of voters, and recent national polls
suggest that Trump currently leads the 2024 presidential race over
Biden.<br>
<br>
Although a majority of voters currently prefer the Democrats’
climate stances, this need not always be true. For example,
Democrats risk losing voters when their policies impose economic
costs, or when they are framed as anti-capitalist, racial, or overly
pessimistic. Some Republican-backed climate policies, like trying to
speed up renewable energy projects, are popular.<br>
<br>
Nonetheless, if the election were held today, the totality of
evidence suggests that most voters would prefer a climate-conscious
candidate, and that most climate-conscious voters currently prefer a
Democrat.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://theconversation.com/climate-change-matters-to-more-and-more-people-and-could-be-a-deciding-factor-in-the-2024-election-222680">https://theconversation.com/climate-change-matters-to-more-and-more-people-and-could-be-a-deciding-factor-in-the-2024-election-222680</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[ really? It takes an "expert" to predict this? ]</i><br>
<b>Banana prices to go up as temperatures rise, says expert</b><br>
By Matt McGrath,<br>
Environment correspondent<br>
Bananas are set to get more expensive as climate change hits a
much-loved fruit, one of the world's top experts from the industry
tells BBC News.<br>
<br>
Pascal Liu, senior economist at the UN's Food and Agriculture
Organisation, says climate impacts pose an "enormous threat" to
supply, compounding the impacts of fast-spreading diseases.<br>
<br>
The World Banana Forum meets in Rome on Tuesday to discuss the
challenges.<br>
Some UK shops recently experienced banana shortages due to sea
storms.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-68534309">https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-68534309</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[ must read report on the State of the Oceans ]</i><br>
THIS DOCUMENT IS INTERACTIVE!<br>
<b>ABOUT THE OCEAN STATE REPORT</b><br>
SUMMARY<br>
<blockquote>The EU Copernicus Ocean State Report (OSR) is an annual
publication of the Copernicus Marine Service, which is implemented
by Mercator Ocean International. The report provides
state-of-the-art, scientific knowledge about the current
conditions, natural variations, and ongoing changes in the
European regional seas and the global ocean. It is meant to act
as a reference for the scientific community, national and
international bodies, decision-makers, blue economy actors, and
the general public.<br>
Using model data and satellite and in situ measurements, this
integrated description of the ocean state feeds into a
four-dimensional view (latitude, longitude, depth, and time) of
the Blue, Green, and White Ocean. The Blue Ocean describes the
physical state of the ocean, including sea surface temperature,
sea level, ocean currents, waves, salinity, and ocean heat
content. The Green Ocean describes the biological and
biogeochemical state of the ocean, including nutrient
concentrations, ocean acidification, and deoxygenation. The White
Ocean refers to the lifecycle of floating ice within the polar
regions, including the extent, volume, and thickness of sea ice.
The Ocean State Report draws on expert analysis written by nearly
100 scientific experts from various European and international
institutions. Scientific integrity is assured through a process of
independent peer review in collaboration with the State of the
Planet journal from Copernicus Publications.<br>
</blockquote>
[ explore the full report ]
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://sp.copernicus.org/articles/1-osr7/index.html">https://sp.copernicus.org/articles/1-osr7/index.html</a><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://indd.adobe.com/view/8a7ac02c-ce4e-4760-a6bc-a50217970267">https://indd.adobe.com/view/8a7ac02c-ce4e-4760-a6bc-a50217970267</a><br>
<br>
<p><br>
</p>
<font face="Calibri"><i>[ "Honest hope" - Classic essay from Ross
Gelbspan ]</i></font><br>
<font face="Calibri"><b>The Climate Movement and the Liabilities of
Hope</b></font><br>
<font face="Calibri">
Ross Gelbspan <br>
</font><br>
<font face="Calibri">
The inner fire of hope propels perseverance and,
occasionally in the face of overwhelming odds, breathtaking
resolve.<br>
<br>
In all those contexts, hope was the seed of collective
heroism.<br>
<br>
Sometimes it is only when we relinquish hope that we can
fully understand our situation and accurately pursue the course of
action it requires.<br>
<br>
Hope excited us with the potential of digital technology.
Computers, we were told, would do the work of millions of people.
That hope blinded us to the need for a social policy to distribute
the profits from the tsunami of computer-generated accomplishments
– and to accommodate the millions of people who have lost their
jobs to machines.<br>
<br>
Hope can blind.<br>
<br>
Of course, we need quickly to rewire the world with
non-carbon energy sources. The principle of any new energy
infrastructure is simple: burn nothing. But the speed with which
we reduce our burning of coal and oil is no longer directly linked
to the speed with which changes in the natural world arewill
proceeding. We have already triggered an array of feedbacks many
of which we have barely begun to understand, and many which we
have yet to discover.<br>
<br>
Nature operates according to her own internal timetable. She is
not waiting for us humans to achieve a cost-effective way to
reduce carbon emissions.<br>
<br>
Regardless of how many coal plants are replaced by wind
farms, we will still see a progression of crop failures, water
shortages, uncontrolled migrations of people whose lands become
uninhabitable, and national budgets strained to their breaking
points by successions of increasingly destructive extreme weather
events. <br>
<br>
Were they to do so, they would see that there is a far
more immediate and pressing challenge.<br>
In the face of breakdowns, it is not hard to imagine
governments resorting to states of emergency – nor is it hard to
imagine states of emergency morphing into permanent states of
siege.<br>
<br>
Environmentalists should be mobilizing other activist
groups, business leaders and civil society proponents around the
world to work with governments to prepare to manage the coming
crash. <br>
<br>
The failure to do so will inevitably lead to increased
international conflict and domestic repression.<br>
<br>
The climate crisis offers is an opportunity to begin to reshape
civilization based on our highest common aspirations and powered
by our unprecedented technological capabilities. But it requires a
strong dose of intellectual honesty.<br>
<br>
Unfortunately activists today continue to funnel virtually
all their time and energy into defeating the carbon lobby.<br>
<br>
The longer they cling to that misleading hope, the less likely we
are to prepare to manage -- as effectively and humanely as
possible – the period of coming chaos. <br>
<br>
Honest hope comes from looking a hard reality in the eye.
<br>
<br>
-- Ross Gelbspan © 2015</font><br>
<p><font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.heatisonline.org/contentserver/objecthandlers/index.cfm?id=8714&method=full">https://www.heatisonline.org/contentserver/objecthandlers/index.cfm?id=8714&method=full</a><br>
</font></p>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></p>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></p>
<p></p>
<font face="Calibri"> <i>[ The news archive - ]</i></font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> <font size="+2"><i><b>March 13, 2001 </b></i></font>
</font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> </font> March 13, 2001: The Bush
administration announces that it will not regulate carbon dioxide
emissions from power plants, abandoning a campaign pledge under
pressure from the fossil fuel industry. <br>
<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://www.heatisonline.org/contentserver/objecthandlers/index.cfm?id=3657&method=full">http://www.heatisonline.org/contentserver/objecthandlers/index.cfm?id=3657&method=full</a><br>
<p><font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20220601042814/http://www.heatisonline.org/">https://web.archive.org/web/20220601042814/http://www.heatisonline.org/</a></font></p>
<br>
<p><font face="Calibri"><br>
</font></p>
<p><font face="Calibri">/Archive of Daily Global Warming News <a
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<p><font face="Calibri"> === Other climate news sources
===========================================<br>
</font> <font face="Calibri"><b>*Inside Climate News</b><br>
Newsletters<br>
</font><font face="Calibri"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://insideclimatenews.org/">https://insideclimatenews.org/</a><br>
--------------------------------------- <br>
*<b>Climate Nexus</b> <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://climatenexus.org/hot-news/*">https://climatenexus.org/hot-news/*</a>
<br>
5 weekday <br>
================================= <br>
</font> <font face="Calibri"><b class="moz-txt-star"><span
class="moz-txt-tag">*</span>Carbon Brief Daily </b><span
class="moz-txt-star"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.carbonbrief.org/newsletter-sign-up">https://www.carbonbrief.org/newsletter-sign-up</a></span><b
class="moz-txt-star"><span class="moz-txt-tag">*</span></b> <br>
Every weekday morning<br>
more at <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.getrevue.co/publisher/carbon-brief">https://www.getrevue.co/publisher/carbon-brief</a>
<br>
================================== <br>
*T<b>he Daily Climate </b>Subscribe <a
class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://ehsciences.activehosted.com/f/61*">https://ehsciences.activehosted.com/f/61*</a>
<br>
Other newsletters at <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.dailyclimate.org/originals/">https://www.dailyclimate.org/originals/</a>
</font><font face="Calibri">/-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------/
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