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<p><font size="+2" face="Calibri"><i><b>March</b></i></font><font
size="+2" face="Calibri"><i><b> 20, 2024</b></i></font></p>
<i>[ more Tipping points rants - video criticism ]</i><br>
<b>Hansen and Doomers and Tipping Points, Oh My!</b><br>
Climate Casino<br>
Mar 19, 2024<br>
Links for today's video: <br>
<blockquote>Will earth hit a climate tipping point? Here's why
experts say this framework is problematic:<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.salon.com/2024/03/18/will-earth-hit-a-climate-tipping-point-heres-why-experts-say-this-framework-is-problematic/">https://www.salon.com/2024/03/18/will-earth-hit-a-climate-tipping-point-heres-why-experts-say-this-framework-is-problematic/</a><br>
<br>
How to talk about climate change and the problem with doomerism:<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.resilience.org/stories/2024-03-19/how-to-talk-about-climate-change-and-the-problem-with-doomerism/">https://www.resilience.org/stories/2024-03-19/how-to-talk-about-climate-change-and-the-problem-with-doomerism/</a><br>
</blockquote>
Contact: Twitter @EliotJacobson<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AeyC2pmBa-I">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AeyC2pmBa-I</a><br>
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<i>[ serious Spring - Inside Climate News ]</i><br>
<b>Earlier Springs Have Cascading Effects on Animals, Plants and
Pastimes</b><br>
written by Kiley Price.<br>
- - <br>
Research has detailed the many ways that this early spring trend
could throw plants, animals and seasonal pastimes out of whack. As
today marks the actual first day of spring, I thought I’d point out
some of the impacts of these early seasonal shifts that scientists
have documented in the past few years. <br>
<br>
Early-blooming blossoms: Starting around the end of each March,
tourists flock to cities across Japan and the Tidal Basin of
Washington, D.C., to see the same thing: blooming cherry blossom
trees. The vibrant petals transform the trees into clouds of pink,
but these cotton-candy flowers have been blooming earlier in the
past few decades, research shows. <br>
<br>
The main issue with this premature showing is if the warm weather
does not stick. Warm and wet conditions can come early in the
season, but a cold snap later on has the potential to wipe out
amphibians’ eggs, Katy Greenwald, a biologist at Eastern Michigan
University, told me over email. <br>
<br>
“Many of our local amphibians have adapted to ‘boom or bust’ years
of reproduction, and so from a population perspective they are
generally OK if they have a bad year in terms of offspring
survival,” she says. “It could certainly be a problem if there are a
bunch of ‘bad years’ in a row, though.”<br>
<br>
Amphibians aren’t the only animal species reacting to these seasonal
changes; early springs are also messing with bird migrations and
bear hibernations...<br>
- -<br>
“The general consensus is that climate change is causing
phenological shifts,” or changes in the timing of breeding, in a lot
of amphibians, Mark Kirk, an amphibian researcher at Allegheny
College in Pennsylvania, told me over email in late February.<br>
<br>
In 2019, Kirk and his colleagues published a study reviewing 23
years of annual survey data for the spotted salamanders during
spring migrations to analyze the potential impacts of climate change
on phenology. At the time, there was not a long-term pattern in
these shifts, but he said “the past two years have been a very
different story” as different parts of the country have experienced
abnormal temperatures.<br>
<br>
“I am expecting the timing patterns from these past two years to be
much earlier arrival dates than our historic surveys” in
northwestern Pennsylvania, he added. <br>
<br>
I checked in with Kirk yesterday, and he told me the breeding season
is currently “in full swing” and that the first arrival of spotted
salamanders was 16 days earlier compared with 2023. Scientists are
seeing similar trends with other native amphibians such as wood
frogs.<br>
<br>
The main issue with this premature showing is if the warm weather
does not stick. Warm and wet conditions can come early in the
season, but a cold snap later on has the potential to wipe out
amphibians’ eggs, Katy Greenwald, a biologist at Eastern Michigan
University, told me over email. <br>
<br>
“Many of our local amphibians have adapted to ‘boom or bust’ years
of reproduction, and so from a population perspective they are
generally OK if they have a bad year in terms of offspring
survival,” she says. “It could certainly be a problem if there are a
bunch of ‘bad years’ in a row, though.”<br>
<br>
Amphibians aren’t the only animal species reacting to these seasonal
changes; early springs are also messing with bird migrations and
bear hibernations.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://mailchi.mp/insideclimatenews/the-domino-effect-of-earlier-spring?e=a5c7f20e91">https://mailchi.mp/insideclimatenews/the-domino-effect-of-earlier-spring?e=a5c7f20e91</a><br>
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<i>[ Amanpour&Co. 16 min video ]</i><br>
<b>Floods, Wildfires & Hurricanes: US Home Insurance Teeters on
Financial Crisis | Amanpour and Company</b><br>
Amanpour and Company<br>
Mar 19, 2024 #amanpourpbs<br>
Around the world, climate change is impacting the way we live. In
the U.S., the housing crisis is being pushed to the brink as
insurers struggle to cover homes impacted by natural disasters.
Bloomberg reporter Leslie Kaufman joins Hari Sreenivasan to discuss
her recent reporting on this very issue.<br>
Originally aired on March 19, 2024<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s7ldHDT6Soo">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s7ldHDT6Soo</a><br>
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</p>
<br>
<i>[ Migration by force or by choice - migration nations serious
discussions ]</i><br>
<b>Day 2 - Climate Change and Human Migration: An Earth Systems
Science Perspective</b><br>
National Academies - <br>
March 18, 2024<br>
Climate change and associated impacts (e.g., sustained droughts,
repeated and severe flooding, increased frequency and intensity of
hurricanes and cyclones, saltwater intrusion into coastal aquifers,
increased risks of wildfire), affect people, and these impacts
potentially lead to temporary or permanent displacement within
regions. This workshop will consider how an Earth systems science
approach could be used to address climate change impacts, as
discussed in the 2021 National Academies’ report, Next Generation
Earth Systems Science at the National Science Foundation, and their
influence on human migration.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gJuls4Y8GGg">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gJuls4Y8GGg</a><br>
<br>
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</p>
<i>[ DW consistently delivers trusted and powerful video reports ]</i><br>
<b>Many parts of the world soon uninhabitable if we don't act on
climate crisis faster | DW News</b><br>
DW News<br>
Mar 19, 2024 #ClimateCrisis #Oceans #GlobalWarming<br>
Records in global temperatures, greenhouse gas emissions, and ocean
heat were broken last year – according to a new report from the UN's
World Meteorological Organization. This led to 90 percent of the
world's ocean experiencing heatwaves last year - and one impact of
those heatwaves is coral bleaching. It devastates marine ecosystems
and leads to economic losses in coastal communities. Volunteers in
the Indian coastal region of Goa are now trying different ways to
give heat-stressed corals a new lease of life. <br>
<br>
For more on this, we talk to Henna Hundal. She is a delegate to the
UN Climate Change Conferences, and a climate and policy researcher
at Stanford University in California. <br>
<br>
And we talk to our Climate Correspondent Louise Osborne. <br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ANK8dwtFSUM">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ANK8dwtFSUM</a><br>
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<font face="Calibri"><br>
</font><font face="Calibri"> <i>[ The news archive - worth knowing
of the political snark ]</i></font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> <font size="+2"><i><b>March 20, 2015 </b></i></font>
</font><br>
<font face="Calibri"> </font> March 20, 2015: The New York Times
reports:<br>
<blockquote><b>McConnell Urges States to Help Thwart Obama’s ‘War on
Coal’</b><br>
By Coral Davenport<br>
March 19, 2015<br>
WASHINGTON — Senator Mitch McConnell of Kentucky has begun an
aggressive campaign to block President Obama’s climate change
agenda in statehouses and courtrooms across the country, arenas
far beyond Mr. McConnell’s official reach and authority.<br>
<br>
The campaign of Mr. McConnell, the Senate majority leader, is
aimed at stopping a set of Environmental Protection Agency
regulations requiring states to reduce carbon pollution from
coal-fired power plants, the nation’s largest source of greenhouse
gas emissions.<br>
<br>
Once enacted, the rules could shutter hundreds of coal-fired
plants in what Mr. Obama has promoted as a transformation of the
nation’s energy economy away from fossil fuels and toward sources
like wind and solar power. Mr. McConnell, whose home state is one
of the nation’s largest coal producers, has vowed to fight the
rules.<br>
<br>
Since Mr. McConnell is limited in how he can use his role in the
Senate to block regulations, he has taken the unusual step of
reaching out to governors with a legal blueprint for them to
follow to stop the rules in their states. Mr. McConnell’s Senate
staff, led by his longtime senior energy adviser, Neil Chatterjee,
is coordinating with lawyers and lobbying firms to try to ensure
that the state plans are tangled up in legal delays.<br>
On Thursday, Mr. McConnell sent a detailed letter to every
governor in the United States laying out a carefully researched
legal argument as to why states should not comply with Mr. Obama’s
regulations. In the letter, Mr. McConnell wrote that the president
was “allowing the E.P.A. to wrest control of a state’s energy
policy.”<br>
<br>
To make his case, Mr. McConnell is also relying on a network of
powerful allies with national influence and roots in Kentucky or
the coal industry. Within that network is Laurence H. Tribe, a
highly regarded scholar of constitutional law at Harvard Law
School and a former mentor of Mr. Obama’s. Mr. Tribe caught Mr.
McConnell’s attention last winter when he was retained to write a
legal brief for Peabody Energy, the nation’s largest coal
producer, in a lawsuit against the climate rules.<br>
<br>
In the brief, Mr. Tribe argued that Mr. Obama’s use of the
existing Clean Air Act to put forth the climate change regulations
was unconstitutional. He then echoed that position in an op-ed
article in The Wall Street Journal. He argued that in requiring
states to cut carbon emissions, and thus to change their energy
supply from fossil fuels to renewable sources, the agency is
asserting executive power far beyond its lawful authority.<br>
Peabody Energy has been the fourth-largest contributor to Mr.
McConnell’s election campaigns over the course of his political
career, and his office maintains close and frequent communication
with the company.<br>
<br>
In addition to stopping state-level enactment of the climate
rules, Mr. McConnell’s strategy is intended to undercut Mr.
Obama’s position internationally as he tries to negotiate a global
climate change treaty to be signed in Paris in December. The idea
is to create uncertainty in the minds of other world leaders as to
whether the United States can follow through on its pledges to cut
emissions.<br>
“We’ve seen modern lobbying strategies that become a very large
campaign, coordinated with states and localities, but we’ve never
seen a Senate majority leader or House speaker in front of it,”
said James Thurber, director of the Center for Congressional and
Presidential Studies at American University in Washington. “It’s
quite clever. It’s sophisticated and unusual.”<br>
<br>
As he campaigned across Kentucky’s economically ravaged coal towns
last fall, Mr. McConnell frequently declared that he would do
everything in his power to battle what he calls Mr. Obama’s “war
on coal.”<br>
<br>
Although Republicans now control both chambers of Congress and
could summon a simple majority of votes for legislation to block
or delay the climate regulations, they do not have the majorities
necessary to override a Democratic filibuster or a presidential
veto. Blocking Mr. Obama’s climate policies is also difficult for
lawmakers because the regulations largely sidestepped Congress.<br>
Using its existing authority, the E.P.A. will require each state
to submit an individual plan for cutting emissions from power
plants. Ultimately, the success or failure of the plan will depend
on how — and if — states comply with the rules. It will also
depend on the courts. Coal-dependent states and coal mining
companies are already planning legal challenges to the
regulations.<br>
Those coal-dependent states are where Mr. McConnell has trained
his fire.<br>
<br>
Mr. McConnell opened his campaign on March 3 with an op-ed article
published in The Lexington Herald-Leader in Kentucky with the
headline, “States should reject Obama mandate for clean-power
regulations.” Mr. McConnell urged governors to refuse to submit
climate change compliance plans to the E.P.A., citing the
arguments of Mr. Tribe.<br>
<br>
Mr. McConnell contends that the Obama administration has bypassed
Congress and stretched the boundaries of existing law to impose
climate change regulations — and that he intends to step outside
of Congress and use creative legal methods to push back.<br>
<br>
“The E.P.A. is bypassing Congress and the American people by
unilaterally proposing these crippling regulations that would
wreak havoc on our economy and are clearly unprecedented,” he
said. “I have used and will continue to use all of the tools
available to protect families and jobs, whether that be in
Congress, or outside of the legislative process.”<br>
<br>
Advocates of Mr. Obama’s climate change agenda called Mr.
McConnell’s actions nearly unprecedented, and a spokesman for the
White House assailed Mr. McConnell’s moves.<br>
<br>
“Climate change is one of the most pressing challenges that we
face, and instead of offering solutions, Senator McConnell’s
alternative is an inappropriate and unfounded attempt to dictate
state decisions,” said Frank Benenati, the spokesman. “E.P.A. is
following the law by proposing clean-air standards to tackle the
largest sources of carbon pollution — the power sector,” he said.<br>
While some governors oppose the climate change plan, others are
preparing to comply. On Thursday, the National Governors
Association announced that four states — Michigan, Missouri,
Pennsylvania and Utah — would take part in a program to prepare to
meet the climate-change regulations.<br>
<br>
But longtime experts in the field of climate change law and policy
say that Mr. McConnell’s unconventional efforts could prove
formidable.<br>
<br>
“The majority leader is a master tactician,” said Scott Segal, a
lobbyist with the law firm Bracewell & Giuliani and the
director of the Electric Reliability Coordinating Council, which
represents power companies. “He understands the legal
vulnerabilities, and he’s acutely aware that not all solutions go
through traditional legislative channels.”<br>
<br>
Over the coming weeks and months, Mr. McConnell’s office intends
to continue to push to undermine the climate regulations, using a
host of legal, lobbying and legislative tools.<br>
<br>
Less than a week after Mr. McConnell’s op-ed article citing Mr.
Tribe, Mr. McConnell’s friend and fellow Republican,
Representative Ed Whitfield of Kentucky, was the chairman of a
House hearing designed to highlight the legal challenges to the
climate change law. Mr. Whitfield called as his star witness Mr.
Tribe — who in testimony likened Mr. Obama’s climate change rules
to “burning the Constitution.”<br>
In April, Mr. Tribe, representing Peabody Energy, is set to
deliver oral arguments in the first federal court case about Mr.
Obama’s climate change rules.<br>
<br>
Mr. McConnell’s efforts come on top of an initial groundswell of
efforts by Republican governors from coal-dependent states to push
back at the rules. Twelve states have already filed suit against
the rules.<br>
<br>
In Washington, a coalition of nearly 200 industry and lobbying
groups, led by the Chamber of Commerce and the National
Association of Manufacturers, has been working together for months
on a set of legal and legislative tactics, both in Washington and
the states, to block the rules.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.nytimes.com/2015/03/20/us/politics/mitch-mcconnell-urges-states-to-help-thwart-obamas-war-on-coal.html">https://www.nytimes.com/2015/03/20/us/politics/mitch-mcconnell-urges-states-to-help-thwart-obamas-war-on-coal.html</a><br>
</blockquote>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://www.nytimes.com/2015/03/20/us/politics/mitch-mcconnell-urges-states-to-help-thwart-obamas-war-on-coal.html?hp&action=click&pgtype=Homepage&module=first-column-region®ion=top-news&WT.nav=top-news&_r=1">http://www.nytimes.com/2015/03/20/us/politics/mitch-mcconnell-urges-states-to-help-thwart-obamas-war-on-coal.html?hp&action=click&pgtype=Homepage&module=first-column-region®ion=top-news&WT.nav=top-news&_r=1</a><br>
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