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<font size="+2" face="Calibri"><i><b>March</b></i></font><font
size="+2" face="Calibri"><i><b> 30, 2024</b></i></font>
<p><i>[ resiliency projections ]</i><br>
<b>Idaho 2C Climate Outlook: NCA5 Update</b><br>
American Resiliency<br>
Mar 28, 2024<br>
The NCA5 outlook for Idaho is high-change, but in your most
populated areas you do show some serious potential for resilience
building. Let me walk you through the projected changes to
seasons, precipitation, snowpack, and fire risk.<br>
<br>
Here's a link to the NCA5<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://nca2023.globalchange.gov/">https://nca2023.globalchange.gov/</a><br>
<br>
Join our Discord:<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://discord.gg/F3n32TJ5">https://discord.gg/F3n32TJ5</a><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1hRggKUELCQ">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1hRggKUELCQ</a>
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<i>[ Journalist Kate Yoder ]</i><br>
<b>Extreme Heat Is Driving Up Food Prices — and It’s Only Going to
Get Worse</b><br>
New research shows that climate change is already fueling
heatflation.<br>
By Kate Yoder , GRIST<br>
Published March 29, 2024<br>
Sometimes climate change appears where you least expect it — like
the grocery store. Food prices have climbed 25 percent over the past
four years, and Americans have been shocked by the growing cost of
staples like beef, sugar, and citrus.<br>
While many factors, like supply chain disruptions and labor
shortages, have contributed to this increase, extreme heat is
already raising food prices, and it’s bound to get worse, according
to a recent study published in the journal Communications Earth
& Environment. The analysis found that heatflation could drive
up food prices around the world by as much as 3 percentage points
per year in just over a decade and by about 2 percentage points in
North America. For overall inflation, extreme weather could lead to
anywhere from a 0.3 to 1.2 percentage point increase each year
depending on how many carbon emissions countries pump into the
atmosphere.<br>
<br>
Though that might sound small, it’s actually “massive,” according to
Gernot Wagner, a climate economist at Columbia Business School.
“That’s half of the Fed’s overall goal for inflation,” he said,
referencing the Federal Reserve’s long-term aim of limiting it to 2
percent. The Labor Department recently reported that consumer prices
climbed 3.2 percent over the past 12 months.<br>
<br>
The link between heat and rising food prices is intuitive — if wheat
starts withering and dying, you can bet flour is going to get more
expensive. When Europe broiled in heat waves in 2022, it pushed up
food prices that were already soaring due to Russia’s invasion of
Ukraine (known as the breadbasket of Europe), researchers at the
Europe Central Bank and Potsdam Institute in Germany found in the
new study. Europe saw a record-breaking 9.2 percent inflation that
year, and the summer heat alone, which hurt soy, sunflower, and
maize harvests, might have been responsible for almost a full
percentage point of that increase.<br>
To figure out how climate change might drive inflation in the
future, the researchers analyzed monthly price indices for goods
across 121 countries over the past quarter-century. No place on the
planet looks immune. Countries in North Africa and the Middle East,
where hot temperatures already push the comfortable limits of some
crops, are expected to see some of the biggest price shocks.<br>
<br>
The study’s results were striking, Wagner said, but at the same time
very believable. He thinks the calculations are probably on the
conservative end of the spectrum: “I wouldn’t be surprised if
follow-up studies actually came up with even higher numbers.”<br>
<br>
It adds up to a troubling picture for the future affordability of
food. “The coronavirus pandemic demonstrated how sensitive supply
changes are to disruption and how that disruption can awaken
inflation,” David A. Super, a professor of law and economics at
Georgetown University Law Center, wrote in an email. “The disruptive
effects of climate change are orders of magnitude greater than those
of the pandemic and will cause economic dislocation on a far greater
scale.”<br>
<br>
The world began paying attention to the dynamic between climate
change and higher prices, or “climateflation,” in March 2022, soon
after Russia invaded Ukraine, when the German economist Isabel
Schnabel coined the term in a speech warning that the world faced “a
new age of energy inflation.” A few months later, Grist coined the
term “heatflation” in an article about how blistering temperatures
were driving up food prices.<br>
<br>
The difference between the terms is akin to “global warming” vs.
“climate change,” with one focused on hotter temperatures and the
other on broader effects. Still, “heatflation” might be the more
appropriate term, Wagner said, given that price effects from climate
change appear to come mostly from extreme heat. The new study didn’t
find a strong link between shifts in precipitation and inflation.<br>
<br>
The research lends some credibility to the title of the landmark
climate change bill that President Joe Biden signed in 2022, the
Inflation Reduction Act. While it’s an open joke that the name was a
marketing term meant to capitalize on Americans’ concerns about
rising prices, it might be more fitting, in the end, than people
expected. “We shouldn’t be making fun of the name Inflation
Reduction Act, because in the long run, it is exactly the right term
to use,” Wagner said.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://truthout.org/articles/extreme-heat-is-driving-up-food-prices-and-its-only-going-to-get-worse/">https://truthout.org/articles/extreme-heat-is-driving-up-food-prices-and-its-only-going-to-get-worse/</a>
<p>- -</p>
[ <i>See the research journal </i><b>communications </b>earth
& environment ]<br>
<b>Global warming and heat extremes to enhance inflationary
pressures</b><br>
Maximilian Kotz, Friderike Kuik, Eliza Lis & Christiane Nickel <br>
Communications Earth & Environment volume 5, Article number: 116
(2024) Cite this article<br>
6114 Accesses<br>
1335 Altmetric<br>
<b>Abstract</b><br>
<blockquote>Climate impacts on economic productivity indicate that
climate change may threaten price stability. Here we apply
fixed-effects regressions to over 27,000 observations of monthly
consumer price indices worldwide to quantify the impacts of
climate conditions on inflation. Higher temperatures increase food
and headline inflation persistently over 12 months in both higher-
and lower-income countries. Effects vary across seasons and
regions depending on climatic norms, with further impacts from
daily temperature variability and extreme precipitation.
Evaluating these results under temperature increases projected for
2035 implies upwards pressures on food and headline inflation of
0.92-3.23 and 0.32-1.18 percentage-points per-year respectively on
average globally (uncertainty range across emission scenarios,
climate models and empirical specifications). Pressures are
largest at low latitudes and show strong seasonality at high
latitudes, peaking in summer. Finally, the 2022 extreme summer
heat increased food inflation in Europe by 0.43-0.93
percentage-points which warming projected for 2035 would amplify
by 30-50%.<br>
</blockquote>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.nature.com/articles/s43247-023-01173-x">https://www.nature.com/articles/s43247-023-01173-x</a><br>
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<i>[ Portland, Maine - thoughtful press ]</i><br>
<b>Among other impacts, climate change will affect our collective
psyche, scientists say</b><br>
Efforts to close Maine's gap between mental health needs and
services must account for the increasing needs driven by climate
change, a scientist says.<br>
Penelope Overton<br>
Press Herald<br>
March 28, 2024<br>
Climate change is sinking into our psyche, one way or the other, but
few of us – not even climate scientists – are trained to deal with
the resulting feelings of grief and hopelessness, a climate
researcher told scientists and advocates Thursday.<br>
Susanne Moser, who lectures on climate change adaptation, science
and policy interactions at the University of Massachusetts at
Amherst and Antioch University of New England, was the keynote
speaker at the annual Maine Sustainability & Water Conference in
Augusta.<br>
“We’re from New England, right, so what do we do? We put up a stiff
upper lip and think well that’s not my issue,” Moser said. “Well
let’s just acknowledge it’s been a tough year in Maine. Many of you
have lived through the extreme storm events of last year.”<br>
<br>
About a third of the luncheon crowd that gathered to hear Moser
speak at the Augusta Civic Center raised their hand when she asked
who had been directly impacted by the December and January storms.
She considers these people trauma victims, even though we don’t
think of them that way.<br>
<br>
“None of us are trained on how to deal with that,” Moser said. “But
there are things that we can do.”<br>
Improving individual and community resiliency is paramount to avoid
professional burnout among the climate scientists, nonprofit
advocates, government and community officials, and first responders
who must help Maine chart a safe path into a precarious future,
Moser said.<br>
Moser likened the need for climate scientists to manage their
anxiety amid a spate of bad news – such as the record-setting world
temperatures or federal disaster declarations in Maine last year –
to the need for an airline traveler to put on their own oxygen mask
before trying to help others.<br>
<br>
And the others will need it, especially Maine’s young people, Moser
said.<br>
<br>
Earlier this month, scientists who advise the Maine Climate Council
talked about climate change’s impact on Mainers’ mental and physical
health, the need to prepare to help those who can’t adapt, and the
need to communicate climate information with hope.<br>
“We see increasing evidence for a wide range of adverse mental
health impacts from direct exposure to a climate hazard, such as an
extreme storm or heat wave, as well as indirectly through climate
anxiety,” said Rebecca Lincoln, a toxicologist with the Maine Center
for Disease Control and Prevention.<br>
<br>
Efforts to close Maine’s persistent gap between its mental health
needs and services must account for the increasing needs driven by
climate change, Lincoln said. Emergency preparedness must include
increased mental health services as natural disasters become more
frequent.<br>
<br>
For some, resiliency will not come easy. Maine state geologist Steve
Dickson warned about the impact that a changing sense of place will
have on some Mainers, especially those who earn their living from
fishing, farming or the forests.<br>
“We need to prepare for the inability of some to adapt – that burden
falls more heavily on some than others,” Dickson said. “We need to
work on the loss of cultural heritage, including a sense of place
that is so important here in Maine.”<br>
<br>
Susie Arnold, the director of the Center for Climate and Community
at Island Institute, a nonprofit based in Rockland, said the
question she is asked most frequently when she delivers public talks
about climate change is if there is anything that gives her hope in
the face of looming climate collapse.<br>
<br>
As a scientist, Arnold decided to do some digging into hope.<br>
<br>
“It turns out that hope is more than a feeling,” said Arnold,
co-chair of the Climate Council’s science and technical
subcommittee. “Just as we can measure changes in climate
variability, scientists can also measure hope … It can be taught, it
can be learned, and thankfully it can be restored.”<br>
<br>
The key difference between hope and optimism, or wishful thinking,
is action, Arnold said. Climate anxiety has been shown to lead to
both action and paralysis, research shows. But hope leads to more
climate action than anxiety, without the risk of emotional
paralysis.<br>
<br>
Even though we are scientists, Arnold said, “we must be hopegivers,
too.”<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.pressherald.com/2024/03/28/among-other-impacts-climate-change-will-affect-our-collective-psyche-scientists-say/">https://www.pressherald.com/2024/03/28/among-other-impacts-climate-change-will-affect-our-collective-psyche-scientists-say/</a><br>
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<br>
<i>[ NYTimes - photos and essay - crash is global. ]</i><br>
<b>The Secret to Surviving Climate Apocalypse</b><br>
By Jaime Lowe<br>
Photographs by Nicholas Albrecht<br>
March 29, 2024<br>
There are two ways to experience the town of Bombay Beach, Calif.,
as a visitor: gawk at the spectacle or fall into the vortex.
Thousands of tourists cruise through each year, often without
getting out of their cars to see decaying art installations left
over from an annual mid-March gathering of artists, photographers
and documentarians known jokingly as the Bombay Beach Biennale. When
I went to the town for the first time in 2021, I was looking for
salvation in this weird desert town on the Salton Sea south of Palm
Springs and Joshua Tree National Park. I dropped in, felt vibes and
left with stories. I stared at the eccentric large-scale art, posted
photos on Instagram of ruin porn and a hot pink sign on the beach
that said, “If you’re stuck, call Kim.” I posed in front of a
mountain of painted televisions, swung on a swing over the edge of
the lake’s retreating shoreline and explored the half-buried,
rusted-out cars that make up an abandoned ersatz drive-in movie
theater. On that trip, it felt as if I were inside a “Mad Max”
simulation, but I was only scratching the surface of the town.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/29/opinion/climate-art-salton-sea-bombay-beach.html">https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/29/opinion/climate-art-salton-sea-bombay-beach.html</a><br>
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<font face="Calibri"> <i>[The news archive - Koch-ruption ]</i><br>
<font size="+2"><i><b>March 30, 2015 </b></i></font> <br>
</font>
<p>March 30, 2015: The Washington Post connects the dots between New
Jersey Governor Chris Christie's ties to the Koch brothers and his
state's abandonment of clean-energy efforts.<br>
<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/national/health-science/wind-power-or-hot-air-foes-question-christies-shift-on-clean-energy/2015/03/29/f8faf97e-d3e3-11e4-a62f-ee745911a4ff_story.html">http://www.washingtonpost.com/national/health-science/wind-power-or-hot-air-foes-question-christies-shift-on-clean-energy/2015/03/29/f8faf97e-d3e3-11e4-a62f-ee745911a4ff_story.html</a>
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