[TheClimate.Vote] August 2, 2017 - Daily Global Warming News
Richard Pauli
richard at theclimate.vote
Wed Aug 2 09:04:23 EDT 2017
/August 2, 2017/
*This video shows the extraordinary trend of global warming in more than
100 countries
<https://www.vox.com/science-and-health/2017/8/1/16074956/global-warming-visualization-117-years-191-countries>*
117 years of data in 35 seconds. - video of graphic
This captivating video created by Antti Lipponen visualizes more than
100 years of temperature change in 191 countries in just 35 seconds.
Lipponen, a researcher at the Finnish Meteorological Institute, used
publicly available data from NASA to demonstrate the rising temperatures
across the world.
This isn't the first time the story of global warming has been told with
the help of a mesmerizing graphic. Last year, Brad Plumer wrote for Vox
about a viral GIF created by climate scientist Ed Hawkins, and David
Roberts wrote about a set of clever climate GIFs inspired by the one
Hawkins made.
Hawkins's 2016 GIF showed the rise in global temperature from 1850 to
2016 but didn't disaggregate by country like Lipponen's does. Still,
Plumer's description of it is useful for understanding what Lipponen's
video shows:
Global warming isn't a smooth process, and there are fluctuations from
year to year due to internal variability (e.g., changes in the sun's
intensity, volcanic eruptions, or shifts in the amount of heat stored in
deeper layers of the ocean). But as we keep adding greenhouse gases to
the atmosphere and keep trapping extra heat on Earth, that effect
eventually dominates, pushing overall temperatures higher and higher.
The spiral moves outward.
In Lipponen's graphic, the color and length of a bar represent the same
thing: the average temperature anomaly of each country each year.
By using anomaly data (instead of absolute temperature data), Lipponen
makes it easy to see how each country's temperature at any given point
differs from a baseline.
But a broad trend is startlingly clear, and Lipponen inserts a smaller
graphic in the upper right-hand corner to show it: It's getting hotter
all around the world.
https://www.vox.com/science-and-health/2017/8/1/16074956/global-warming-visualization-117-years-191-countries
*It's Taken Time, But Electric Utilities Are Warming Up To Climate
Change
<https://www.forbes.com/sites/kensilverstein/2017/08/01/its-taken-time-but-electric-utilities-are-warming-up-to-climate-change/>*
The Energy and Policy Institute has issued a report pointing out that
scientists first warned the electric power sector of the greenhouse
effect at the Edison Electric Institute's annual convention in 1968.
That's when Dr. Donald F. Hornig, a science advisor to President Lyndon
B. Johnson, enlightened the gathering that rising temperatures could
lead to aberrant weather patterns, melting ice caps and the erosion of
crops that would lead to food shortages.
The aim of diverting capital to smart technologies, he adds, is to
increase the network's utilization factor from around 40 percent to as
much as 80 percent. Between 2010 and 2015, he says that the business
either deferred or avoided $664 million worth of utility infrastructure.
The utility sector may have been slow to accept the science behind
climate change. But market forces are now causing them to warm up to the
cause.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/kensilverstein/2017/08/01/its-taken-time-but-electric-utilities-are-warming-up-to-climate-change/
*Climate change before your eyes: Seas rise and trees die
<http://abcnews.go.com/Technology/wireStory/seas-rise-trees-die-climate-change-eyes-48961148>*
In the past 100 years, Kirwan said, 100,000 acres of forest in the
Chesapeake Bay has converted to marshland. Photographs show the rate of
coastal forest loss is four times greater now than it was during the
1930s, he said.
Seas off the East Coast have risen by 1.3 feet over the last 100 years,
said Ben Horton, a Rutgers University professor and expert on sea level
rise. That is a faster pace than for the past 2,000 years combined, he said.
Some of the most dramatic anecdotal evidence of the acceleration in
ghost forest creation is along the Savannah River between Georgia and
South Carolina, Noe said.
When his team first got there 10 years ago, "it looked like the trees
were under a little stress, but they were all alive," he said. "But five
years later, the vast majority of them were dead. That happened right in
front of our eyes, much faster than we expected."
http://abcnews.go.com/Technology/wireStory/seas-rise-trees-die-climate-change-eyes-48961148
*We'll never tackle climate change if academics keep the focus on
consensus
<https://www.theguardian.com/science/political-science/2017/aug/01/well-never-tackle-climate-change-if-academics-keep-the-focus-on-consensus>*
Warren Pearce
In a democracy, we hope that science helps to inform the public about
its problems. In the case of climate change, believe it or not, the
evidence suggests this is going relatively well.
Climate science is a vast, sprawling field of knowledge that has
achieved great success in occupying the public consciousness. According
to Yale University's Climate Change in the American Mind project, six in
ten Americans are worried about global warming, seven in ten think
global warming is happening and eight in ten think humans have the
ability to reduce global warming. These figures have fluctuated very
little since 2012, suggesting that the US public is relatively well
informed about the risk, reality and policy potential of climate change,
even in the face of well-documented attacks by climate sceptics.
Nonetheless, we are left with a puzzle: if so few Americans appear to
know the exact level of scientific consensus, why do so many of them
think climate change is real and worrisome? The simplest explanation is
that the public have already heard enough about the scientific evidence
to make up their mind, without being fed increasingly esoteric
information about levels of scientific agreement. The real question is
not whether the US public think climate change is a problem (most of
them do), but what should be done about it. Here it is the crucial
non-scientific issues around climate change that should take centre
stage. Instead, valuable media and political attention has been expended
on boosting the 97% meme, crowding out deeper conversations about policy
framing, coalition building, public values and morality which do not
lend themselves to headline numbers.
https://www.theguardian.com/science/political-science/2017/aug/01/well-never-tackle-climate-change-if-academics-keep-the-focus-on-consensus
*Beyond Counting Climate Consensus*
http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/17524032.2017.1333965
*Here's (Another) Study That Will Give You Global Warming Nightmares
<http://www.motherjones.com/environment/2017/08/heres-another-study-that-will-give-you-global-warming-nightmares/>*
Temperatures are rising fast.
With each passing year, the odds get worse that climate change
mitigation efforts will be able to stave off catastrophic warming of
more than 2 degrees Celsius, or 3.6 degrees Fahrenheit. A new study
published on July 31 in Nature Climate Change is the opposite of
reassuring when it comes to this math. Using statistical tools, the
authors found that there's a 5 percent chance Earth will warm 2 degrees
or less by the end of this century and a 90 percent chance that
temperatures will increase from 2.0 to 4.9C if historical trends
continue unabated. The other 5 percent, well that's worst-case scenario
runaway global warming—the kind of thing that keeps geoengineers up at
night.
What matters a lot more for future warming is actually carbon intensity.
According to the study, even though carbon intensity has dropped in
recent decades as countries increase energy efficiency and enact
carbon-reducing policies, it will need to drop much more to see the kind
of progress the global climate community is aiming for with the Paris
Agreement targets.
http://www.motherjones.com/environment/2017/08/heres-another-study-that-will-give-you-global-warming-nightmares/
*2017 is so far the second-hottest year on record thanks to global
warming
<https://www.theguardian.com/environment/climate-consensus-97-per-cent/2017/jul/31/2017-is-so-far-the-second-hottest-year-on-record-thanks-to-global-warming>*
2017 is behind only El Niño-amplified 2016.
View of the cracked riverbed scorched by heat waves at the Nanchang
section of the Ganjiang river in Nanchang city, east China's Jiangxi
province.
Dana Nuccitelli
Monday 31 July 2017 06.00 EDT Last modified on Monday 31 July 2017 07.29 EDT
With the first six months of 2017 in the books, average global surface
temperatures so far this year are 0.94C above the 1950–1980 average,
according to NASA. That makes 2017 the second-hottest first six calendar
months on record, behind only 2016.
That's remarkable because 2017 hasn't had the warming influence of an El
Niño event. El Niños bring warm ocean water to the surface, temporarily
causing average global surface temperatures to rise. 2016 – including
the first six months of the year – was influenced by one of the
strongest El Niño events on record.
Reality has debunked the 'warming stopped' myth
For a long time one of the favorite climate denier myths involved
claiming that we hadn't seen any global surface warming since 1998. That
myth has fallen by the wayside since 2014, 2015, and 2016 each broke the
global surface temperature records previously set in 2010 and 2005
(which were also both hotter than 1998). Yet the myth persisted for
years because 1998 was anomalously hot due to the monster El Niño event
that year, which meant that global temperatures weren't much hotter than
1998 until 2014 to today.
Now the first six months of 2017 have been 0.3C hotter than 1998,
despite the former having no El Niño warming influence and the latter
being amplified by a monster El Niño. In 1998, there was also more solar
energy reaching Earth than there has been in 2017.
Today's remarkably hot temperatures, caused by human carbon pollution,
are a sign of what's to come. If we don't get global warming under
control, the consequences will indeed be bad.
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/climate-consensus-97-per-cent/2017/jul/31/2017-is-so-far-the-second-hottest-year-on-record-thanks-to-global-warming
*Surviving the Bleakness of The News
<https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hPzJyFTNlHQ>*
University of California Television (UCTV)
Published on Aug 1, 2017
(Visit: http://www.uctv.tv/)
Journalist Ari Shapiro shares his healthy approach to an onslaught of
bleak world news. Shapiro's passion for literature has inspired him to
find and report great stories in Washington, Europe and elsewhere around
the world in his remarkable rise from radio intern to co-host of NPR's
flagship news program, All Things Considered. Shapiro is the featured
speaker at the 2016 Dinner in the Library event at the Geisel Library at
UC San Diego. Series: "The Library Channel" [Show ID: 32726]
Watch the Entire Program Here:
<https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hPzJyFTNlHQ>
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hPzJyFTNlHQ
*This Day in Climate History August 2, 2006
<http://thinkprogress.org/politics/2006/08/03/6719/robertson-global-warming/>-
from D.R. Tucker*
August 2, 2006: Republican televangelist Pat Robertson calls for action
on human-caused climate change, a position he would abandon several
years later.
*Pat Robertson: I'm 'A Convert' On Global Warming, 'It Is Getting Hotter'*
Yesterday on the 700 Club, evangelical Pat Robertson declared himself "a
convert" on global warming. Robertson said that he has "not been one who
believed in global warming in the past.” But now, Robertson said, he
believes "it is getting hotter and the ice caps are melting and there is
a build up of carbon dioxide in the air." Robertson implored, "we really
need to do something on fossil fuels." Watch it:
Robertson talked briefly about global warming again on today’s edition
of the 700 club. Alternet has the video.
Today's transcript:
/They are defending the society. But I tell you stay in doors ladies and
gentleman. Stay cool. Get fans or whatever. And the poor, they need
emergency fans and ice to cool down - the number of people dead. I have
not been one who believed in the global warming. But I tell you, they
are making a convert out of me as these blistering summers. They have
broken heat records in a number of cities already this year and broken
all-time records and it is getting hotter and the ice caps are melting
and there is a build up of carbon dioxide in the air. We really need to
address the burning of fossil fuels. If we are contributing to the
destruction of the planet we need to do manage about it./
http://thinkprogress.org/politics/2006/08/03/6719/robertson-global-warming/
http://youtu.be/zxT0Nug1XqY
/
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