[TheClimate.Vote] July 7, 2017 - Daily Global Warming News
Richard Pauli
richard at theclimate.vote
Fri Jul 7 09:52:42 EDT 2017
/July 7, 2017/
(51 min Video) 2017 Keeling Lecture Confronting Climate Change:
<https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B0FarCSgaZI>
*Avoiding the Unmanageable, Managing the Unavoidable
<https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B0FarCSgaZI>*
Rosina Bierbaum, formerly of President Obama's Council of Advisors on
Science and Technology (PCAST) and an Adaptation Fellow at the World
Bank shows how climate change will affect all regions and sectors of the
economy, and disproportionately affect the poorest people on the planet.
Therefore, improving the resilience, adaptation, and preparedness of
communities must be a high priority, equal to that of achieving deep
greenhouse gas reductions,and rapid development and deployment of
innovative technologies, as well as altered planning and management
strategies, will be needed in the coming decades to achieve a
sustainable world. Recorded on 05/08/2017. Series: "Jeffrey B. Graham
Perspectives on Ocean Science Lecture Series" [7/2017] [Show ID: 32343]
51 mins. University of California Television (UCTV)
///This is an excellent presentation;, very current and important for
anyone to see. -RP /
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B0FarCSgaZI
Yale Program on Climate Change Communication
*Climate Change in the American Mind: May 2017
<http://climatecommunication.yale.edu/publications/climate-change-american-mind-may-2017/>*
*Report Summary*:
Our most recent nationally representative survey finds that:
More than half of Americans (58%) believe climate change is mostly human
caused. That's the highest level measured since our surveys began in
2008. By contrast, only 30% say it is due mostly to natural changes in
the environment, matching the lowest level measured in our November 2016
survey.
Four in ten Americans (39%) think the odds that global warming will
cause humans to become extinct are 50% or higher. Most Americans (58%)
think the odds of human extinction from global warming are less than 50%.
One in four Americans (24%) say providing a better life for our children
and grandchildren is the most important reason, for them, to reduce
global warming. More than one in ten Americans said preventing the
destruction of most life on the planet (16%) or protecting God's
creation (13%) was the most important reason.
This report is based on findings from a nationally representative survey
- Climate Change in the American Mind - conducted by the Yale Program on
Climate Change Communication (climatecommunication.yale.edu) and the
George Mason University Center for Climate Change Communication
(climatechangecommunication.org), Interview dates: May 18 - June 6,
2017. Interviews: 1,266 Adults (18+). Average margin of error +/- 3
percentage points at the 95% confidence level.
http://climatecommunication.yale.edu/publications/climate-change-american-mind-may-2017/
Download the Report
<http://climatecommunication.yale.edu/wp-content/uploads/2017/07/Climate-Change-American-Mind-May-2017.pdf>
*Key Findings
<http://climatecommunication.yale.edu/publications/climate-change-american-mind-may-2017/2/>*
- Seven in ten Americans (70%) think global warming is happening, which
nearly matches the highest level in our surveys (71%), recorded in 2008.
By contrast, only about one in eight Americans (13%) think global
warming is not happening.
- Americans are also more certain global warming is happening - 46% are
"extremely" or "very" sure it is happening, its highest level since
2008. By contrast, far fewer - 7% - are "extremely" or "very sure"
global warming is not happening.
- Over half of Americans (58%) understand that global warming is mostly
human caused, the highest level since our surveys began in November
2008. By contrast, three in ten (30%) say it is due mostly to natural
changes in the environment - the lowest level recorded since 2008.
- Only about one in eight Americans (13%) understand that nearly all
climate scientists (more than 90%) are convinced that human-caused
global warming is happening.
- Over half of Americans (57%) say they are at least "somewhat worried"
about global warming. About one in six (17%) are "very worried" about it.
Six in ten Americans (59%) think global warming is affecting weather in
the United States, and half think weather is being affected "a lot"
(25%) or "some" (27%).
- About one in three Americans (35%) think people in the U.S. are being
harmed by global warming "right now."
- Most Americans think global warming is a relatively distant threat -
they are most likely to think that it will harm future generations of
people (71%), plant and animal species (71%), the Earth (70%), people in
developing countries (62%), or the world's poor (62%). They are less
likely to think it will harm people in the U.S. (58%), their own
grandchildren (56%) or children (50%), people in their community (48%),
their family (47%), themselves (43%), or members of their extended
family living outside the U.S. (41%).
- Four in ten Americans (39%) think the odds that global warming will
cause humans to become extinct are 50% or higher. Most Americans (58%)
think the odds of human extinction from global warming are less than 50%.
- Four in ten Americans (40%) say they have personally experienced the
effects of global warming, six in ten (60%) say they have not.
- Only one in three Americans (33%) discuss global warming with family
and friends "often" or "occasionally," while most say they "rarely" or
"never" discuss it (67%). Additionally, fewer than half of Americans
(43%) hear about global warming in the media at least once a month, and
only one in five (19%) hear people they know talk about global warming
at least once a month.
- Six in ten Americans (63%) say the issue of global warming is either
"extremely" (10%), "very" (16%), or "somewhat" (38%) important to them
personally. Four in ten (37%) say it is either "not too" (22%) or "not
at all" (15%) important personally.
- Half of Americans say they have thought "a lot" (18%) or "some" (31%)
about global warming. The other half say they have thought about global
warming just "a little" (33%) or "not at all" (17%).
- By a large margin, Americans say that schools should teach children
about the causes, consequences, and potential solutions to global
warming (78% agree vs. 21% who disagree).
- Four in ten Americans (42%) say their family and friends make at least
"a moderate amount of effort" to reduce global warming. A similar number
(45%) say it is at least "moderately important" to their family and
friends that they take action to reduce global warming.
- The most common reason why Americans want to reduce global warming is
to provide a better life for our children and grandchildren - a reason
selected by one in four Americans (24%). The next most common reasons
are preventing the destruction of most life on the planet (16%) and
protecting God's creation (13%).
- Few Americans are optimistic that humans will reduce global warming.
Nearly half (48%) say humans could reduce global warming, but it's
unclear at this point whether we will do what is necessary, and nearly
one in four (24%) say we won't because people are unwilling to change
their behavior. - - Only 7% say humans can and will successfully reduce
global warming.
http://climatecommunication.yale.edu/publications/climate-change-american-mind-may-2017/2/
*Climate Change Is Real and It's Going To Make Air Travel Even Worse
<http://www.refinery29.com/2017/07/161893/climate-change-air-travel-flights-delays>*
Rising temperatures and other environmental shifts are endangering our
health, our earth, and now, even our travel plans. The Washington Post
recently reported that extreme heat due to climate change is likely to
cause flight delays, cancellations, and those now-ubiquitous (and awful)
passenger removals.
Last month, temperatures hit 120 degrees Fahrenheit in Phoenix, AZ and
caused American Airlines to cancel 57 flights in three days. "High
elevation and high temperature mean less molecules of air for the plane
to push off of," .... In short, hot days necessitate increased weight
restrictions which meant cutting back on fuel, cargo, and/or passengers
in order for the plane to get off the ground. The Post adds that this is
why particularly long flights are often scheduled for overnight, when
it's cooler.
A 2015 study from Columbia University, "Climate Change and the Impact of
Extreme Temperatures on Aviation
<http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/WCAS-D-14-00026.1>,"
predicted that we'll see four times as many weight restrictions at
at-risk airports in the U.S. by 2050. (These "at-risk" airports include
those in particularly hot areas, as well as those with short runways
such as D.C.'s Reagan and NYC's LaGuardia).
"We can say with high confidence," Horton added, "that the type of heat
events that lead to weight limits are going to increase in the future."
Meteorology professor Paul Williams agreed, telling the Post that "in
the future, we'll see more planes unable to take off." So there you have
it - and we recommend you start making your travel plans accordingly.
In case that wasn't bad enough, winds caused by climate change are
making the jet stream stronger, which will cause transatlantic flights
to take longer. So, once you've waited around for that delayed flight
for half a day, you can expect the trip itself to drag on, too. Ugh.
Time to amp up your travel-snack collection - and seriously amp up our
fight against climate change. Here's how.
http://www.refinery29.com/2017/07/161893/climate-change-air-travel-flights-delays
-also:
*Climate Change and the Impact of Extreme Temperatures on Aviation
<http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/WCAS-D-14-00026.1>*
Abstract
Temperature and airport elevation significantly influence the
maximum allowable takeoff weight of an aircraft by changing the
surface air density and thus the lift produced at a given speed. For
a given runway length, airport elevation, and aircraft type, there
is a temperature threshold above which the airplane cannot take off
at its maximum weight and thus must be weight restricted. The number
of summer days necessitating weight restriction has increased since
1980 along with the observed increase in surface temperature.
Climate change is projected to increase mean temperatures at all
airports and to significantly increase the frequency and severity of
extreme heat events at some. These changes will negatively affect
aircraft performance, leading to increased weight restrictions,
especially at airports with short runways and little room to expand.
For a Boeing 737-800 aircraft, it was found that the number of
weight-restriction days between May and September will increase by
50%-200% at four major airports in the United States by 2050-70
under the RCP8.5 emissions scenario. These performance reductions
may have a negative economic effect on the airline industry.
Increased weight restrictions have previously been identified as
potential impacts of climate change, but this study is the first to
quantify the effect of higher temperatures on commercial aviation.
Planning for changes in extreme heat events will help the aviation
industry to reduce its vulnerability to this aspect of climate
change. http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/WCAS-D-14-00026.1
*Yahoo News aggregates a right-wing fake news website
<https://www.mediamatters.org/blog/2017/07/06/Yahoo-News-aggregates-a-right-wing-fake-news-website/217155>*
ALEX KAPLAN
Yahoo News aggregated a highly misleading article with fake news,
raising the question of how the company ended up treating a fake news
purveyor as a legitimate news source.
On July 5, Yahoo News aggregated an article on its website from
Conservative Daily Post (CDP) headlined "/*U.N. Chief Makes Stunning
Paris Agreement Admission: 'President Trump Was Right*/.'" The Yahoo
News page linked to CDP for the full article,
<https://conservativedailypost.com/u-n-chief-makes-stunning-paris-agreement-admission-president-trump-was-right/>
which does not include a mention of United Nations Secretary General
António Guterres saying the phrase quoted in the headline. In fact, it
appears that Guterres has never said "President Trump was right" at all;
on the contrary, in May he stated, "We believe it would be important for
the US not to leave the Paris agreement."
The CDP article aggregated by Yahoo News also claimed that people
opposed to Trump's decision to withdraw from the Paris climate agreement
"are going to go to any lengths to convince you, even lie to you on CNN"
because they "are losing a lot of money." Additionally, the article
pushed climate denial, falsely claiming that the agreement "aims at
guilt tripping and deceiving people into believing that human CO2 is
responsible for rising temperatures on Earth" and that "there is a very
strong case that the sun is mostly responsible for rising CO2 levels,
not human beings."...
CDP is a serial fake news purveyor. During the 2016 presidential
campaign, it falsely claimed that the FBI was looking into "at least 6
members of Congress and several leaders from federal agencies that
partake in" a "pedophile ring, which they say was run directly with the
Clinton Foundation as a front," citing the "alt-right"-affiliated and
conspiracy-driven 4chan forum /pol/. Later that month, the website
falsely claimed that Trump would seek to criminally charge those who
burn the American flag...
Yahoo News is a regular aggregator of other news sources, including The
Associated Press and Reuters, but it would be a highly alarming and
unfortunate editorial choice for Yahoo to aggregate fake news. As other
platforms such as Google and Facebook continue to struggle in their
fight against fake news, it is critical for major websites like Yahoo to
not drive traffic and give credibility to websites that push fake news
and misinformation.
https://www.mediamatters.org/blog/2017/07/06/Yahoo-News-aggregates-a-right-wing-fake-news-website/217155
*Democrat Tackles Climate Change Issues, Defying GOP Leadership
<https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/democrat-tackles-climate-change-issues-defying-gop-leadership/>*
Congressperson Eddie Bernice Johnson plans to hold a series of round
tables on critical science issues, including ocean acidification and
environmental justice
Rep. Eddie Bernice Johnson recently held an alternative hearing on
climate change for members of Congress and the public, defying the
leadership of the House Committee on Science, Space and Technology.
Johnson, ranking member of the committee and a Democrat who represents
the 30th district of Texas, decided to hold what she calls a "round
table" on global warming because she feels that the committee
chair-Lamar Smith (R-Texas)-has not allowed real climate experts to
speak about their research at the hearings he has run. Instead, she
says, Smith gives climate change deniers a platform to express their views.
Johnson says this problem is not confined to global warming, and that
under Smith's leadership the committee does not focus enough on science
issues in general. So Johnson plans to host a series of these round
tables on issues such as ocean acidification, environmental justice,
artificial intelligence and more. Scientific American asked Smith's
staff for comments on the alternative hearings and Johnson's remarks but
did not receive a response by the time of publication.
Scientific American spoke with Johnson about her plans for the round
tables and what she hopes they will accomplish....
Is this the beginning of a larger effort by some members to change
attitudes toward science in Congress?
I cannot begin to guess why the attitude persists from this leadership
for us to go backwards. But what I can say is, I'm not willing to
cooperate with it. We might be hampered temporarily, but we want the
public to understand that we do not have our heads in the sand. We're
getting a lot of positive feedback from the general public. People are
very concerned about climate change, about environmental safety, about
the conditions of our water and air. That concern continues to be
expressed, and we feel an obligation to be responsive. At the rate we're
going, though, I don't know how much we can do...
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/democrat-tackles-climate-change-issues-defying-gop-leadership/
<http://youtu.be/AhJAF6nODCU>*This Day in Climate History July 7, 2005
<http://youtu.be/AhJAF6nODCU>- from D.R. Tucker*
July 7, 2005: Rick Piltz, who resigned from the US Climate Change
Science Program earlier in the year over the Bush Administration's
aggravated assault on climate science, appears on Air America's "The Al
Franken Show" to discuss the administration's hostility to science.
"Frederick Steven "Rick" Piltz was a former senior associate in the
U.S. Climate Change Science Program. In March 2005, he resigned over
political interference in the program's climate change reports. In June
2005, the New York Times exposed the role of Philip Cooney in editing
government documents on climate change to create scientific uncertainty.
A former lobbyist with the American Petroleum Institute, Cooney resigned
and days later took a job at Exxon Mobil.
Piltz went on to found Climate Science Watch, a project to hold public
officials accountable for using climate science with integrity in policy
making. Climate Science Watch is a program of the Government
Accountability Project, a whistleblower protection agency in Washington,
D.C."(Wikipedia) <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rick_S._Piltz>
http://youtu.be/AhJAF6nODCU
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