[TheClimate.Vote] July 7, 2017 - Daily Global Warming News

Richard Pauli richard at theclimate.vote
Fri Jul 7 09:52:42 EDT 2017


/July 7, 2017/

(51 min Video) 2017 Keeling Lecture Confronting Climate Change: 
<https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B0FarCSgaZI>
*Avoiding the Unmanageable, Managing the Unavoidable 
<https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B0FarCSgaZI>*
Rosina Bierbaum, formerly of President Obama's Council of Advisors on 
Science and Technology (PCAST) and an Adaptation Fellow at the World 
Bank shows how climate change will affect all regions and sectors of the 
economy, and disproportionately affect the poorest people on the planet. 
Therefore, improving the resilience, adaptation, and preparedness of 
communities must be a high priority, equal to that of achieving deep 
greenhouse gas reductions,and rapid development and deployment of 
innovative technologies, as well as altered planning and management 
strategies, will be needed in the coming decades to achieve a 
sustainable world. Recorded on 05/08/2017. Series: "Jeffrey B. Graham 
Perspectives on Ocean Science Lecture Series" [7/2017] [Show ID: 32343]  
51 mins. University of California Television (UCTV)
///This is an excellent presentation;, very current and important for 
anyone to see.  -RP /
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B0FarCSgaZI


Yale Program on Climate Change Communication
*Climate Change in the American Mind: May 2017 
<http://climatecommunication.yale.edu/publications/climate-change-american-mind-may-2017/>*
*Report Summary*:
Our most recent nationally representative survey finds that:
More than half of Americans (58%) believe climate change is mostly human 
caused. That's the highest level measured since our surveys began in 
2008. By contrast, only 30% say it is due mostly to natural changes in 
the environment, matching the lowest level measured in our November 2016 
survey.
Four in ten Americans (39%) think the odds that global warming will 
cause humans to become extinct are 50% or higher. Most Americans (58%) 
think the odds of human extinction from global warming are less than 50%.
One in four Americans (24%) say providing a better life for our children 
and grandchildren is the most important reason, for them, to reduce 
global warming. More than one in ten Americans said preventing the 
destruction of most life on the planet (16%) or protecting God's 
creation (13%) was the most important reason.
This report is based on findings from a nationally representative survey 
- Climate Change in the American Mind - conducted by the Yale Program on 
Climate Change Communication (climatecommunication.yale.edu) and the 
George Mason University Center for Climate Change Communication 
(climatechangecommunication.org), Interview dates: May 18 - June 6, 
2017. Interviews: 1,266 Adults (18+). Average margin of error +/- 3 
percentage points at the 95% confidence level.
http://climatecommunication.yale.edu/publications/climate-change-american-mind-may-2017/
Download the Report 
<http://climatecommunication.yale.edu/wp-content/uploads/2017/07/Climate-Change-American-Mind-May-2017.pdf> 

*Key Findings 
<http://climatecommunication.yale.edu/publications/climate-change-american-mind-may-2017/2/>*
- Seven in ten Americans (70%) think global warming is happening, which 
nearly matches the highest level in our surveys (71%), recorded in 2008. 
By contrast, only about one in eight Americans (13%) think global 
warming is not happening.
- Americans are also more certain global warming is happening - 46% are 
"extremely" or "very" sure it is happening, its highest level since 
2008. By contrast, far fewer - 7% - are "extremely" or "very sure" 
global warming is not happening.
- Over half of Americans (58%) understand that global warming is mostly 
human caused, the highest level since our surveys began in November 
2008. By contrast, three in ten (30%) say it is due mostly to natural 
changes in the environment - the lowest level recorded since 2008.
- Only about one in eight Americans (13%) understand that nearly all 
climate scientists (more than 90%) are convinced that human-caused 
global warming is happening.
- Over half of Americans (57%) say they are at least "somewhat worried" 
about global warming. About one in six (17%) are "very worried" about it.
Six in ten Americans (59%) think global warming is affecting weather in 
the United States, and half think weather is being affected "a lot" 
(25%) or "some" (27%).
- About one in three Americans (35%) think people in the U.S. are being 
harmed by global warming "right now."
- Most Americans think global warming is a relatively distant threat - 
they are most likely to think that it will harm future generations of 
people (71%), plant and animal species (71%), the Earth (70%), people in 
developing countries (62%), or the world's poor (62%). They are less 
likely to think it will harm people in the U.S. (58%), their own 
grandchildren (56%) or children (50%), people in their community (48%), 
their family (47%), themselves (43%), or members of their extended 
family living outside the U.S. (41%).
- Four in ten Americans (39%) think the odds that global warming will 
cause humans to become extinct are 50% or higher. Most Americans (58%) 
think the odds of human extinction from global warming are less than 50%.
- Four in ten Americans (40%) say they have personally experienced the 
effects of global warming, six in ten (60%) say they have not.
- Only one in three Americans (33%) discuss global warming with family 
and friends "often" or "occasionally," while most say they "rarely" or 
"never" discuss it (67%). Additionally, fewer than half of Americans 
(43%) hear about global warming in the media at least once a month, and 
only one in five (19%) hear people they know talk about global warming 
at least once a month.
- Six in ten Americans (63%) say the issue of global warming is either 
"extremely" (10%), "very" (16%), or "somewhat" (38%) important to them 
personally. Four in ten (37%) say it is either "not too" (22%) or "not 
at all" (15%) important personally.
- Half of Americans say they have thought "a lot" (18%) or "some" (31%) 
about global warming. The other half say they have thought about global 
warming just "a little" (33%) or "not at all" (17%).
- By a large margin, Americans say that schools should teach children 
about the causes, consequences, and potential solutions to global 
warming (78% agree vs. 21% who disagree).
- Four in ten Americans (42%) say their family and friends make at least 
"a moderate amount of effort" to reduce global warming. A similar number 
(45%) say it is at least "moderately important" to their family and 
friends that they take action to reduce global warming.
- The most common reason why Americans want to reduce global warming is 
to provide a better life for our children and grandchildren - a reason 
selected by one in four Americans (24%). The next most common reasons 
are preventing the destruction of most life on the planet (16%) and 
protecting God's creation (13%).
- Few Americans are optimistic that humans will reduce global warming. 
Nearly half (48%) say humans could reduce global warming, but it's 
unclear at this point whether we will do what is necessary, and nearly 
one in four (24%) say we won't because people are unwilling to change 
their behavior. - - Only 7% say humans can and will successfully reduce 
global warming.
http://climatecommunication.yale.edu/publications/climate-change-american-mind-may-2017/2/


*Climate Change Is Real and It's Going To Make Air Travel Even Worse 
<http://www.refinery29.com/2017/07/161893/climate-change-air-travel-flights-delays>*
Rising temperatures and other environmental shifts are endangering our 
health, our earth, and now, even our travel plans. The Washington Post 
recently reported that extreme heat due to climate change is likely to 
cause flight delays, cancellations, and those now-ubiquitous (and awful) 
passenger removals.
Last month, temperatures hit 120 degrees Fahrenheit in Phoenix, AZ and 
caused American Airlines to cancel 57 flights in three days. "High 
elevation and high temperature mean less molecules of air for the plane 
to push off of," .... In short, hot days necessitate increased weight 
restrictions which meant cutting back on fuel, cargo, and/or passengers 
in order for the plane to get off the ground. The Post adds that this is 
why particularly long flights are often scheduled for overnight, when 
it's cooler.
A 2015 study from Columbia University, "Climate Change and the Impact of 
Extreme Temperatures on Aviation 
<http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/WCAS-D-14-00026.1>," 
predicted that we'll see four times as many weight restrictions at 
at-risk airports in the U.S. by 2050. (These "at-risk" airports include 
those in particularly hot areas, as well as those with short runways 
such as D.C.'s Reagan and NYC's LaGuardia).
"We can say with high confidence," Horton added, "that the type of heat 
events that lead to weight limits are going to increase in the future." 
Meteorology professor Paul Williams agreed, telling the Post that "in 
the future, we'll see more planes unable to take off." So there you have 
it - and we recommend you start making your travel plans accordingly.
In case that wasn't bad enough, winds caused by climate change are 
making the jet stream stronger, which will cause transatlantic flights 
to take longer. So, once you've waited around for that delayed flight 
for half a day, you can expect the trip itself to drag on, too. Ugh. 
Time to amp up your travel-snack collection - and seriously amp up our 
fight against climate change. Here's how.
http://www.refinery29.com/2017/07/161893/climate-change-air-travel-flights-delays
-also:
*Climate Change and the Impact of Extreme Temperatures on Aviation 
<http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/WCAS-D-14-00026.1>*

    Abstract
    Temperature and airport elevation significantly influence the
    maximum allowable takeoff weight of an aircraft by changing the
    surface air density and thus the lift produced at a given speed. For
    a given runway length, airport elevation, and aircraft type, there
    is a temperature threshold above which the airplane cannot take off
    at its maximum weight and thus must be weight restricted. The number
    of summer days necessitating weight restriction has increased since
    1980 along with the observed increase in surface temperature.
    Climate change is projected to increase mean temperatures at all
    airports and to significantly increase the frequency and severity of
    extreme heat events at some. These changes will negatively affect
    aircraft performance, leading to increased weight restrictions,
    especially at airports with short runways and little room to expand.
    For a Boeing 737-800 aircraft, it was found that the number of
    weight-restriction days between May and September will increase by
    50%-200% at four major airports in the United States by 2050-70
    under the RCP8.5 emissions scenario. These performance reductions
    may have a negative economic effect on the airline industry.
    Increased weight restrictions have previously been identified as
    potential impacts of climate change, but this study is the first to
    quantify the effect of higher temperatures on commercial aviation.
    Planning for changes in extreme heat events will help the aviation
    industry to reduce its vulnerability to this aspect of climate
    change. http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/WCAS-D-14-00026.1


*Yahoo News aggregates a right-wing fake news website 
<https://www.mediamatters.org/blog/2017/07/06/Yahoo-News-aggregates-a-right-wing-fake-news-website/217155>*
  ALEX KAPLAN
Yahoo News aggregated a highly misleading article with fake news, 
raising the question of how the company ended up treating a fake news 
purveyor as a legitimate news source.
On July 5, Yahoo News aggregated an article on its website from 
Conservative Daily Post (CDP) headlined "/*U.N. Chief Makes Stunning 
Paris Agreement Admission: 'President Trump Was Right*/.'" The Yahoo 
News page linked to CDP for the full article, 
<https://conservativedailypost.com/u-n-chief-makes-stunning-paris-agreement-admission-president-trump-was-right/> 
which does not include a mention of United Nations Secretary General 
António Guterres saying the phrase quoted in the headline. In fact, it 
appears that Guterres has never said "President Trump was right" at all; 
on the contrary, in May he stated, "We believe it would be important for 
the US not to leave the Paris agreement."
The CDP article aggregated by Yahoo News also claimed that people 
opposed to Trump's decision to withdraw from the Paris climate agreement 
"are going to go to any lengths to convince you, even lie to you on CNN" 
because they "are losing a lot of money." Additionally, the article 
pushed climate denial, falsely claiming that the agreement "aims at 
guilt tripping and deceiving people into believing that human CO2 is 
responsible for rising temperatures on Earth" and that "there is a very 
strong case that the sun is mostly responsible for rising CO2 levels, 
not human beings."...
CDP is a serial fake news purveyor. During the 2016 presidential 
campaign, it falsely claimed that the FBI was looking into "at least 6 
members of Congress and several leaders from federal agencies that 
partake in" a "pedophile ring, which they say was run directly with the 
Clinton Foundation as a front," citing the "alt-right"-affiliated and 
conspiracy-driven 4chan forum /pol/. Later that month, the website 
falsely claimed that Trump would seek to criminally charge those who 
burn the American flag...
Yahoo News is a regular aggregator of other news sources, including The 
Associated Press and Reuters, but it would be a highly alarming and 
unfortunate editorial choice for Yahoo to aggregate fake news. As other 
platforms such as Google and Facebook continue to struggle in their 
fight against fake news, it is critical for major websites like Yahoo to 
not drive traffic and give credibility to websites that push fake news 
and misinformation.
https://www.mediamatters.org/blog/2017/07/06/Yahoo-News-aggregates-a-right-wing-fake-news-website/217155


*Democrat Tackles Climate Change Issues, Defying GOP Leadership 
<https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/democrat-tackles-climate-change-issues-defying-gop-leadership/>*
Congressperson Eddie Bernice Johnson plans to hold a series of round 
tables on critical science issues, including ocean acidification and 
environmental justice
Rep. Eddie Bernice Johnson recently held an alternative hearing on 
climate change for members of Congress and the public, defying the 
leadership of the House Committee on Science, Space and Technology. 
Johnson, ranking member of the committee and a Democrat who represents 
the 30th district of Texas, decided to hold what she calls a "round 
table" on global warming because she feels that the committee 
chair-Lamar Smith (R-Texas)-has not allowed real climate experts to 
speak about their research at the hearings he has run. Instead, she 
says, Smith gives climate change deniers a platform to express their views.
Johnson says this problem is not confined to global warming, and that 
under Smith's leadership the committee does not focus enough on science 
issues in general. So Johnson plans to host a series of these round 
tables on issues such as ocean acidification, environmental justice, 
artificial intelligence and more. Scientific American asked Smith's 
staff for comments on the alternative hearings and Johnson's remarks but 
did not receive a response by the time of publication.
Scientific American spoke with Johnson about her plans for the round 
tables and what she hopes they will accomplish....
Is this the beginning of a larger effort by some members to change 
attitudes toward science in Congress?
I cannot begin to guess why the attitude persists from this leadership 
for us to go backwards. But what I can say is, I'm not willing to 
cooperate with it. We might be hampered temporarily, but we want the 
public to understand that we do not have our heads in the sand. We're 
getting a lot of positive feedback from the general public. People are 
very concerned about climate change, about environmental safety, about 
the conditions of our water and air. That concern continues to be 
expressed, and we feel an obligation to be responsive. At the rate we're 
going, though, I don't know how much we can do...
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/democrat-tackles-climate-change-issues-defying-gop-leadership/


<http://youtu.be/AhJAF6nODCU>*This Day in Climate History July 7, 2005 
<http://youtu.be/AhJAF6nODCU>-  from D.R. Tucker*
July 7, 2005: Rick Piltz, who resigned from the US Climate Change 
Science Program earlier in the year over the Bush Administration's 
aggravated assault on climate science, appears on Air America's "The Al 
Franken Show" to discuss the administration's hostility to science.
  "Frederick Steven "Rick" Piltz  was a former senior associate in the 
U.S. Climate Change Science Program. In March 2005, he resigned over 
political interference in the program's climate change reports. In June 
2005, the New York Times exposed the role of Philip Cooney in editing 
government documents on climate change to create scientific uncertainty. 
A former lobbyist with the American Petroleum Institute, Cooney resigned 
and days later took a job at Exxon Mobil.
Piltz went on to found Climate Science Watch, a project to hold public 
officials accountable for using climate science with integrity in policy 
making. Climate Science Watch is a program of the Government 
Accountability Project, a whistleblower protection agency in Washington, 
D.C."(Wikipedia) <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rick_S._Piltz>
http://youtu.be/AhJAF6nODCU
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