[TheClimate.Vote] July 9, 2017 - Daily Global Warming News

[Richard Pauli]

/July 9, 2017
/
*When it Comes to Climate Change, It's G19 vs the United States 
<http://www.slate.com/blogs/the_slatest/2017/07/08/at_the_g20_the_united_states_stood_alone_on_climate_change.html>*/
/Donald Trump was left isolated as as every other world leader signed up 
to the final compromise agreement that declared the Paris accord 
"irreversible." They also vowed that the deal would be implemented 
"swiftly" and without exceptions.
Global leaders didn't hide their anger at Trump's intractable position. 
British Prime Minister Theresa May, for example, said she was "dismayed 
at the U.S decision to pull out" of the Paris accord and had personally 
urged Trump to reconsider. German Chancellor Angela Merkel also was 
careful to highlight the points of disagreement with the United States. 
"Wherever there is no consensus that can be achieved, disagreement has 
to be made clear," Merkel said at the end of the summit. 
"Unfortunately—and I deplore this—the United States of America left the 
climate agreement."
For some the global meeting marked yet another example of how the United 
States is moving against the current when it comes to the crucial 
issue—a decision that allies of the former administration say could cost 
the U.S. economy dearly.
http://www.slate.com/blogs/the_slatest/2017/07/08/at_the_g20_the_united_states_stood_alone_on_climate_change.html/
/-more:
*Trump left in cold over Paris climate agreement at end of G20 summit 
<https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/jul/08/donald-trump-paris-climate-agreement-g20-summit-us-theresa-may>*
All other world leaders sign declaration that deal is irreversible after 
US withdrawal sparks standoff in Hamburg
Donald Trump was left isolated at the end of a fractious G20 summit in 
Hamburg, Germany, after every other world leader signed up to a 
declaration that the Paris climate agreement was irreversible following 
an unprecedented standoff.
After the publication of a final communique that saw the emergence of a 
G19 grouping for the first time, Theresa May said she was "dismayed at 
the US decision to pull out" of the accord and had personally urged the 
president to reconsider.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/jul/08/donald-trump-paris-climate-agreement-g20-summit-us-theresa-may
-more:
*Why Trump Pulling Out of the Paris Agreement Led to a Stronger Global 
Climate Change Plan 
<http://time.com/4850421/g20-trump-paris-agreement-climate-change/>*
But on Saturday, with the exception of Trump, the leaders of the world's 
largest economies gathered at the G20 reaffirmed their commitment to 
fostering clean energy development and implementing the Paris Agreement 
on climate change. Instead of attracting other laggards, Trump's 
decision freed the rest of the world to issue a strong Climate and 
Energy Action Plan for Growth 
<https://www.g20.org/Content/DE/_Anlagen/G7_G20/2017-g20-climate-and-energy-en.pdf?__blob=publicationFile&v=4>Saturday 
that aims to address global warming — and measures aimed at appeasing 
Trump were mostly absent.
http://time.com/4850421/g20-trump-paris-agreement-climate-change/
https://www.g20.org/Content/DE/_Anlagen/G7_G20/2017-g20-climate-and-energy-en.pdf


*Trump's EPA Warns Us To Wear Sunscreen While It Does Nothing About 
Global Warming 
<http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/epa-extreme-heat_us_595fb607e4b0615b9e9120ad>*
The agency says it's important to prepare for extreme heat. Meanwhile, 
administrator Scott Pruitt doesn't believe carbon dioxide is driving 
climate change.
By Chris D'Angelo
WASHINGTON — The Environmental Protection Agency, which under President 
Donald Trump removed its climate change website and is set to launch a 
program to "critique" near-universally accepted climate science, has 
some advice for protecting yourself against extreme heat this summer.
"It's summertime!" the agency wrote in a Friday post to Twitter. "That 
means the days can get hot. Wear sunscreen and plan for the heat." ...
The post links to an EPA web page about preparing for and staying safe 
in extreme heat - a page that has remained virtually unchanged since the 
Obama administration...
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/epa-extreme-heat_us_595fb607e4b0615b9e9120ad


*Climate change may increase California's rain 
<http://climatenewsnetwork.net/22633-2/>*
In a warmer world California's rain may be more ample than today. But so 
far most climate scientists foresee more drought.
By Tim Radford
LONDON, 9 July, 2017 – If humans go on burning fossil fuels, then 
California might, after all, remain the Golden State. It will get 
warmer. But, against all predictions, it might also get wetter.
A new study suggests that by the century's end, Californians could see 
12% more rain than they experienced in the last 20 years of the 20th 
century.
This is not the standard forecast. Almost all other climate models have 
warned that California – still recovering from a calamitous and 
sustained drought – could, like the whole of the US Southwest, become 
both hotter and drier and far more at risk of wildfire./
/http://climatenewsnetwork.net/22633-2/
more:
*El Niño-like teleconnection increases California precipitation in 
response to warming <https://www.nature.com/articles/ncomms16055>*

    Abstract
    Future California (CA) precipitation projections, including those
    from the most recent Climate Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5),
    remain uncertain. This uncertainty is related to several factors,
    including relatively large internal climate variability, model
    shortcomings, and because CA lies within a transition zone, where
    mid-latitude regions are expected to become wetter and subtropical
    regions drier. Here, we use a multitude of models to show CA may
    receive more precipitation in the future under a business-as-usual
    scenario. The boreal winter season-when most of the CA precipitation
    increase occurs-is associated with robust changes in the mean
    circulation reminiscent of an El Niño teleconnection. Using
    idealized simulations with two different models, we further show
    that warming of tropical Pacific sea surface temperatures accounts
    for these changes. Models that better simulate the observed El
    Niño-CA precipitation teleconnection yield larger, and more
    consistent increases in CA precipitation through the twenty-first
    century.
    https://www.nature.com/articles/ncomms16055


*Explosion, major fire rocks DWP power station; 140,000 customers 
without power 
<http://www.latimes.com/local/lanow/la-me-power-explosion-20170708-story.html>*
An explosion Saturday at a Los Angeles Department of Water and Power 
plant in the San Fernando Valley has caused a major fire and knocked out 
electricity to 140,000 customers.
The power outages hit businesses and residents in Northridge, Winnetka, 
Reseda, Lake Balboa, Tarzana, North Hills, Granada Hills, Chatsworth, 
West Hills, Canoga Park, and Woodland Hills, according to the DWP. It's 
unclear when power would be restored.
The loss of power comes at the peak of a heat wave that pushed 
temperatures 100 degrees in many parts of the Valley.
Firefighters were battling the blaze at 8900 Parthenia St. in 
Northridge. Parthenia was closed in both directions between Yolanda and 
Vanalden avenues, according to the fire department.
http://www.latimes.com/local/lanow/la-me-power-explosion-20170708-story.html


*Global Warming Might Be Speeding Up 
<https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-07-06/global-warming-might-be-speeding-up>*
Two climate scientists suggest they've come closer to resolving a 
critical debate about how quickly human activity will heat up the 
planet. The answer isn't good news.
It's almost universally understood that the Earth will continue to get 
warmer for the foreseeable future. The rate at which the planet warms, 
however, won't remain the same, report Cristian Proistosescu and Peter 
Huybers of Harvard University. They say it's likely to speed up.
Some parts of the planet heat up more slowly than others, they explain. 
But as more time passes, regions once less affected by global warming 
will get hotter. Thus the bulk of planetary warming this century may 
actually be back-loaded onto its final decades.
The analysis, published Wednesday in Science Advances, addresses the gap 
between two long-battling camps struggling to understand how quickly the 
world will warm.
Climate change may have two speeds, depending where you are on Earth
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-07-06/global-warming-might-be-speeding-up
-more:
*Slow climate mode reconciles historical and model-based estimates of 
climate sensitivity <http://advances.sciencemag.org/content/3/7/e1602821>*

    Abstract
    The latest Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Assessment
    Report widened the equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) range from
    2° to 4.5°C to an updated range of 1.5° to 4.5°C in order to account
    for the lack of consensus between estimates based on models and
    historical observations. The historical ECS estimates range from
    1.5° to 3°C and are derived assuming a linear radiative response to
    warming. A Bayesian methodology applied to 24 models, however,
    documents curvature in the radiative response to warming from an
    evolving contribution of interannual to centennial modes of
    radiative response. Centennial modes display stronger amplifying
    feedbacks and ultimately contribute 28 to 68% (90% credible
    interval) of equilibrium warming, yet they comprise only 1 to 7% of
    current warming. Accounting for these unresolved centennial
    contributions brings historical records into agreement with
    model-derived ECS estimates.
    http://advances.sciencemag.org/content/3/7/e1602821


*US Economy To Be Damaged Severely By Climate Change, Study Finds 
<https://cleantechnica.com/2017/07/08/us-economy-damaged-severely-climate-change-study-finds/>*
The United States of America will be facing severe economic damage as 
the effects of anthropogenic climate change continue intensifying over 
the coming decades. A new study published in the journal Science 
predicts that unmitigated climate change will damage the poorest-third 
of US counties to the tune of 20% of total income.
It should be realized here, though, that the study predicts overall 
losses — potential economic gains in more northerly parts of the US will 
in no way make up for the losses in other parts of the country, 
according to the study. Widening economic inequality and economic 
restructuring are also predicted by the new study.
So, to be extra clear on the implications of the new work here — the 
near- and mid-term economic effects of anthropogenic climate change on 
the US will be profoundly negative. This is even when some of the most 
negative potential effects and feedback loops of climate change aren't 
taken into consideration.
The press release 
<https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2017/06/170629142958.htm> 
provides more: "The pioneering study may settle the debate over whether 
climate change will help or hurt the US economy, being the first to use 
state-of-the-art statistical methods and 116 climate projections 
developed by scientists around the world to price the impacts of climate 
change the way the insurance industry or an investor would, comparing 
risks and rewards.
https://cleantechnica.com/2017/07/08/us-economy-damaged-severely-climate-change-study-finds/


*This Day in Climate History July 9, 2008 
<http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/2277298/President-George-Bush-Goodbye-from-the-worlds-biggest-polluter.html> 
-  from D.R. Tucker*
July 9, 2008: The UK Daily Telegraph reports that prior to leaving the 
G8 Summit in Japan, President George W. Bush, "who has been condemned 
throughout his presidency for failing to tackle climate change, ended a 
private meeting with the words: 'Goodbye from the world's biggest 
polluter.' He then punched the air while grinning widely, as the rest of 
those present including [British Prime Minister] Gordon Brown and 
[French President] Nicolas Sarkozy looked on in shock."
The White House apologised for what it called "sloppy work" and said an 
official had simply lifted the characterisation from the internet 
without reading it.
Concluding the three-day event, leaders from the G8 and developing 
countries proclaimed a "shared vision" on climate change. However, they 
failed to bridge differences between rich and emerging nations on 
curbing emissions.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/2277298/President-George-Bush-Goodbye-from-the-worlds-biggest-polluter.html
The Prime Minister described the Geneva talks as "make or break", 
adding: "If we fail this month to secure a trade agreement, it will not 
be easy to resume negotiations... We are at one minute to midnight."
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/politics/bush-to-g8-goodbye-from-the-worlds-biggest-polluter-863911.html

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