[TheClimate.Vote] June 25, 2017 - Daily Global Warming News

[Richard Pauli]

/June 25, 2017/


    Extreme Heat Waves Will *Change*How We Live. We're Not Ready
    <http://time.com/4830147/extreme-heat-climate-change/>

Extreme heat struck across the Southwest U.S. this week, sending 
temperatures in Phoenix soaring to near 120°F and grounding airplanes 
that were unable to operate in such warm weather.
Heat waves are nothing new, but they have increased in frequency and 
severity in recent decades as a result of climate change.
"We've built entire infrastructures with particular temperatures in 
mind,...When temperatures get really high, we don't have the material 
capacity to deal with that."
*Transportation*   Humans have constructed essentially every element of 
the modern transportation sector to operate under certain temperature 
conditions.
*Electricity supply*  Energy providers try not to produce significantly 
more electricity than needed to power the electric grid at typical peak 
demand. .. as heat waves increase in severity, humans will rely more on 
energy-gobbling air conditioners that only come on when temperatures are 
high.
*Food supply*  Human society relies on agriculture that has become 
increasingly vulnerable to extreme heat, which can wreck a season's crop 
and kill off livestock. Global warming reduced crop yields by as much 
20% between 1964 and 2007, according to a study in the journal Nature.
*Human health*  It's no secret that humans cannot withstand extreme 
temperature conditions. Heat stroke can occur when extreme heat drives 
body temperatures to exceed 104°F (40°C), which can lead to a number of 
ailments or even death.
http://time.com/4830147/extreme-heat-climate-change/


*Southwest's Deadly Heat Wave Previews Life in a Warming World 
<https://insideclimatenews.org/news/23062017/deadly-heat-wave-southwest-climate-change?utm_source=Inside+Climate+News&utm_campaign=031c148434-InsideClimate_News12_10_2014&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_29c928ffb5-031c148434-327787525>*
Phoenix and Las Vegas are experiencing the kinds of risks scientists 
have been warning about as greenhouse gas emissions fuel climate change.
By Phil McKenna
The extreme heat baking the Southwestern U.S. isn't finished yet. The 
National Weather Service issued an excessive heat warning today for 
parts of Southern California and Arizona, including Phoenix, through 
Monday, saying temperatures are forecast to reach 108-118 degrees each day.
In its alert, the weather service warned of "a major increase in the 
potential for heat-related illness and even death."
https://insideclimatenews.org/news/23062017/deadly-heat-wave-southwest-climate-change
- more:
*CLIMATE IMPACT MAP*
Explore the ways in which climate change will impact where you live, 
work and do business. <http://www.impactlab.org/map/>
  Starting with changes in temperature, this map will expand to include 
projected social and economic impacts in the weeks and months ahead.
A new mapping analysis from Climate Impact Lab 
<http://www.impactlab.org/map/>zooms in for a closer look at how average 
summer temperatures are expected to rise this century as greenhouse gas 
concentrations in the atmosphere continue to increase...
With moderate greenhouse gas emissions, along the lines of the Paris 
climate agreement, the average summer high temperature for the U.S. is 
expected to rise from a historical average of 74 degrees in the 
1986-2005 to an average of 81 by 2100. With high emissions, the lab says 
we would see an average of 91 degrees in the U.S. Similar scenarios play 
out across the globe...
The impacts are most damaging in impoverished communities that can't 
afford air conditioning and have less reliable power. A heat wave that 
swept across Asia, the Middle East and parts of Europe in late May and 
early June this year left parts of Pakistan sweltering in 128 degree 
temperatures, among the highest recorded temperatures worldwide for May.
http://www.impactlab.org/map/


*Historic Heat Wave Sweeps Asia, the Middle East and Europe 
<https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/historic-heat-wave-sweeps-asia-middle-east-and-europe>*
Dr. Jeff Masters  ·  June 6, 2017,
The last week of May 2017 and first week of June brought one the most 
extraordinary heatwaves in world history to Asia, the Middle East and 
Europe. The mercury shot up to an astonishing 53.5°C (*128.3°F*) at 
Turbat, Pakistan on May 28, making it Earth's hottest temperature ever 
recorded in the month of May-and one of Earth's top-five hottest 
reliably-measured temperatures on record, for any month. Both Pakistan 
and Oman tied their all-time national heat records for any month during 
the heat wave, and all-time national heat records for the month of May 
were set in Iran, Norway and Austria. International weather records 
expert Maximiliano Herrera details the great heat wave in this guest post...
In the United Arab Emirates, the difference of temperature between the 
atmosphere and the sea, together with the intense sea breeze, caused 
impressive differences in weather. Coastal areas were affected by thick 
fog, and even mist, but temperatures were very high on the mountain 
peaks. *At one point, the temperature of the weather station on the Burj 
Al Khalifa Building in Dubai (625 meters above sea level) was 15°C 
(27°F) higher than that of coastal Dubai.*
https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/historic-heat-wave-sweeps-asia-middle-east-and-europe


*(Video) Protecting people from sand and dust storms* 
<https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4lxoM3dOdwI>
/World Meteorological Organization - WMO/
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4lxoM3dOdwI


*Monthly Global-mean temperatures by GCOS 
<https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yYKmmg92k-Q>*
/World Meteorological Organization - WMO
Published on Jun 23, 2017
Temperatures calendar 1979 - 2016. GCOS Media
Play to the end then carefully freeze frame at the last second:/
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yYKmmg92k-Q


*Bill Clinton takes a jab at partisan politics in Miami Beach speech 
<http://www.miamiherald.com/news/local/community/miami-dade/miami-beach/article158073459.html>*
In a roughly hourlong speech given to dozens of mayors gathered in Miami 
Beach, former President Bill Clinton lauded the city leaders' commitment 
to the Paris climate accord in the face of federal dismissal, while also 
calling for an end to "tribal" politics.
Clinton, addressing a crowd inside the Fontainebleau on Saturday 
afternoon, didn't mention President Donald Trump by name. But he 
criticized Trump's decision to pull out of the climate-change deal, in 
which nearly 200 other countries agreed to reduce their emissions and 
prod other countries to do the same.
*"You can get out of it or in it, but the water's gonna keep rising," 
Clinton said at the U.S. Conference of Mayors, a four-day gathering. 
"Politics has almost no influence on science, in case you haven't 
noticed."...*
For the skeptical, he said he'd love to "invite every body to come on 
down during one of our King tides - I'll bring you to a road that hasn't 
been lifted yet - and when you see that water come around your ankles, 
you'll be like 'I am converted. I believe that we do have a problem.' "
Garcetti, a Democrat, said the number of mayors who have vowed to comply 
with the Paris deal's stipulations rose to 331 on Saturday, up from 323 
on Thursday. The mayors hail from 44 states and Puerto Rico.
"This is the power of cities exercising their power collectively and 
thinking big," he said.
Regalado, a Republican in a nonpartisan position, railed against the 
politicizing of climate change.
"It's disturbing that we keep hearing and reading that climate change 
and civil rights is a partisan issue, that Democrats think one way and 
Republicans think another way," he said. "We're looking to Washington, 
but we're not hopeful."
Clinton said the mayors would need to follow through on their 
commitment, which could prove a challenge with budgetary constraints.
"If you sign, you've got to seal and deliver," he said.
http://www.miamiherald.com/news/local/community/miami-dade/miami-beach/article158073459.html


    Americans Doubt '*Global Warming*' But Accept 'Climate Change,'
    Study Says
    <https://weather.com/science/environment/news/climate-change-global-warming-labels-study>

According to research conducted by Cornell University and published May 
14 in Climatic Change, the American public continues to have doubts 
about "global warming" but appears to be unified in believing in 
"climate change."
The contrast was most divided among individuals who identified 
themselves as Republicans.
In fact, the study found that 74.4 percent of respondents who identified 
as Republicans said they believed that climate change is really 
happening. In contrast, only 65.5 percent said they believed in global 
warming. Democrats, on the other hand, feel very differently, with 94 
percent replying "yes" to both questions.
https://weather.com/science/environment/news/climate-change-global-warming-labels-study
-more:
Does the label really matter? Evidence that the US public continues to 
doubt "global warming" more than "climate change" 
<https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10584-017-1993-1>
Abstract
Does the public doubt the existence of "global warming" more than 
"climate change"? While previously published research suggests that it 
does, others have argued that this effect either never existed or has 
disappeared amid broader shifts in public opinion. We draw on survey 
response theory to help reconcile this debate. We then analyze data from 
an October 2016 probability-based survey experiment (n = 1461 US adults) 
to test the prediction that the US public (and particularly, 
Republicans) continue to respond differently when asked whether global 
warming vs. climate change exists. Indeed, respondents who were asked 
about climate change responded "Yes" (definitely or somewhat) more often 
(85.8%) than respondents who were asked about global warming (80.9%), an 
effect observed for Republicans (74.4 vs. 65.5%) but not Democrats (94% 
in both conditions). We discuss broader implications for US public 
opinion and discourse in an era of significant proposed government 
rollbacks of climate and environmental policy.
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10584-017-1993-1

*
****A 3D Look at the 2015 El Niño <https://youtu.be/TFy44bV06fI>*
NASA Goddard   Published on May 26, 2017
El Niño is a recurring climate pattern characterized by warmer than 
usual ocean temperatures in the equatorial Pacific. Two back-to-back 3-D 
visualizations track the changes in ocean temperatures and currents, 
respectively, throughout the life cycle of the 2015-2016 El Niño event, 
chronicling its inception in early 2015 to its dissipation by April 
2016. Blue regions represent colder and red regions warmer temperatures 
when compared with normal conditions...
Under normal conditions, equatorial trade winds in the Pacific Ocean 
blow from east to west, causing warm water to pile up in the Western 
Pacific, while also causing an upwelling-the rise of deep, cool water to 
the surface-in the Eastern Pacific. During an El Niño, trade winds 
weaken or, as with this latest event, sometimes reverse course and blow 
from west to east. As a result, the warm surface water sloshes east 
along the equator from the Western Pacific and temporarily predominates 
in the Central and Eastern Pacific Ocean. At that same time, cooler 
water slowly migrates westward just off the equator in the Western 
Pacific...
The first visualization shows the 2015-2016 El Niño through changes in 
sea surface temperature as warmer water moves east across the Pacific 
Ocean. The Eastern Pacific Ocean undergoes the most warming from July 
2015 to January 2016. In the west, just to the north of the equator, 
cooler waters hit the western boundary and reflect along the equator and 
then head east starting in February 2016. Just as the warming waves 
traveled east earlier in the video, these cool waters make their way to 
the central Pacific, terminating the warming event there...
Hand-in-hand with an El Niño's changing sea surface temperatures are the 
wind-driven ocean currents that move the waters along the equator across 
the Pacific Ocean. The second visualization depicts these currents, 
which here comprise the ocean's surface to a depth of 225 meters: Yellow 
arrows illustrate eastward currents and white arrows are westward 
currents. The El Niño-inducing westerlies-winds coming from the west 
that blow east-cause the eastward currents to occur in pulses. A good 
example of one of these pulses can be seen hitting the South American 
coast on May 15, 2015. By the end of February 2016 trade winds return, 
as evidenced by the return of westward currents and cool water along the 
equator, signaling the dissipation of the El Niño...
These visualizations are derived from NASA Goddard's Global Modeling and 
Assimilation Office, using Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for 
Research and Applications (MERRA) dataset, which comprises an optimal 
combination of observations and ocean and atmospheric models. For more 
information, see https://gmao.gsfc.nasa.gov/reanalysis...
This video is public domain and along with other supporting 
visualizations can be downloaded from the Scientific Visualization 
Studio at: http://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/12601
https://youtu.be/TFy44bV06fI


*This Day in Climate History June 25, 2004 
<http://www.boxofficeguru.com/062804.htm>-  from D.R. Tucker*

    June 25, 2004 - The Michael Moore film "Fahrenheit 9/11," which
    addresses the connection between petrostate geopolitics and
    terrorism (specifically the connection between the Bush family and
    the Saudi royal family), is released in the United States.
    BoxOfficeguru.com's Gitesh Pandya notes:

    "No recount was needed as President George W. Bush won the votes of
    moviegoers across North America and was elected commander-in-chief
    of the box office in the scathing Michael Moore documentary
    Fahrenheit 9/11 which shattered all industry expectations on its way
    to the number one spot. Never before has a doc hit the top position
    and in just its first weekend of release, the award-winning feature
    has already become the top-grossing documentary of all time...

    "Michael Moore's supporters and detractors showed bi-partisan
    cooperation and showed up en masse at theaters giving Fahrenheit
    9/11 a final opening weekend gross of $23.9M - two million higher
    than originally estimated. Playing in only 868 theaters (the most
    ever for a doc, but still just a quarter of what top summer
    blockbusters play in), the top ten's only R-rated entry averaged a
    scorching $27,558 per location. To put that into perspective, other
    movies with similar debut weekend averages this season include Shrek
    2 ($25,952), Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban ($24,303), and
    The Day After Tomorrow ($20,071). With $24.1M to date since its
    Manhattan debut on Wednesday, Fahrenheit has already surpassed the
    $21.6M that the former top-grossing doc, Moore's Oscar-winning
    Bowling For Columbine, grossed during its eleven-month theatrical run.

    "Fahrenheit, which examines various aspects of the Bush presidency,
    rode into theaters on a tidal wave of media attention which has been
    building steadily over the past two months. From winning the Palme
    D'Or at the Cannes Film Festival, to leaving the distribution hands
    of Disney and Miramax, to the unsuccessful appeal of the MPAA's R
    rating, controversy has kept 9/11 in the public's eye and translated
    into robust ticket sales with sold out shows from sea to shining
    sea. Lions Gate and IFC Films, the distributors in North America,
    capitalized on the controversy making the Moore vehicle the
    can't-miss hit of the summer. And while sales from underage teens
    buying tickets for other movies and sneaking into Fahrenheit can't
    accurately be measured, it is notable that all other titles in the
    top ten witnessed declines that were smaller than normal.

    "All aspects of the distribution and publicity were executed
    brilliantly. The director, who has now officially gone mainstream,
    popped up on all the right talk shows to promote his moneymaking
    venture. The distributors also picked out a key weekend to launch.
    With Spider-Man 2 swinging into theaters on Wednesday, studios
    refrained from opening any really big titles on the June 25 frame.
    That left the field wide open for a $20M+ gross to capture first
    place. Now, with red-hot averages, and a new round of publicity
    touting its historic top spot debut, Fahrenheit 9/11 will be able to
    add even more locations hoping to tap into the country's patriotic
    mood over the upcoming Independence Day holiday frame. This
    Wednesday, the distributors plan to widen to over 1,000 sites.

    "Reviews were understandably mixed but in general, critics gave
    positive remarks. The opinions of the public will count more towards
    longevity at the box office, though. On Yahoo Movies, with over
    20,000 users voting, Fahrenheit has scored a B grade which is
    decent, but not exactly promising. National debate over the content
    of the documentary could keep cash registers ringing for the
    inexpensive $6M film and just like Easter weekend resurrected
    interest in The Passion of the Christ, media coverage of the
    Republican and Democratic political conventions later this summer
    will ensure that Fahrenheit 9/11 stays in the headlines. The era of
    $100M-grossing documentaries may have just begun."
    http://www.boxofficeguru.com/062804.htm

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