[TheClimate.Vote] November 13, 2017 - Daily Global Warming News Digest
Richard Pauli
richard at theclimate.vote
Mon Nov 13 09:47:27 EST 2017
/November 13, 2017
/
*Climate target too low and progress too slow: top scientist
<https://phys.org/news/2017-11-climate-scientist.html>*
November 11, 2017 by Marlowe Hood
The world must sharply draw down greenhouse gas emissions and suck
billions of tonnes of carbon dioxide from the air if today's youth are
to be spared climate cataclysm, a top scientist has warned.
This reality is being ignored by governments around the world," said
James Hansen, who famously announced to the US Congress 30 years ago
that global warming was underway.
"To say that we are 'moving in the right direction' just isn't good
enough anymore," he said in an interview.
Head of NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies until 2013, Hansen
and his 18-year-old granddaughter-who is suing the US government for
contributing to the problem-delivered that message this week at UN
climate negotiations in Bonn.
Thousands of diplomats at the 12-day, 196-nation talks are haggling over
the fine print of a "user's manual" for a treaty that will go into
effect in 2020.
https://phys.org/news/2017-11-climate-scientist.html
*Schwarzenegger calls on climate activists to change methods
<http://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/schwarzenegger-calls-climate-activists-change-methods-51098813>*
ABC News
Schwarzenegger spoke Sunday at a global climate meeting in Bonn, ...
community for "missing the point" with its messaging on global warming.
Movie star and former California governor Arnold Schwarzenegger wants
environmental activists to give more attention to immediate health
hazards like air and water pollution.
Schwarzenegger spoke Sunday at a global climate meeting in Bonn,
Germany, where diplomats from around the world are discussing
implementing the Paris climate accord.
He said: "It's time we wake up and talk about what really matters:
25,000 people dying every day because of pollution."
Schwarzenegger also criticized the environmental community for "missing
the point" with its messaging on global warming.
He said: "People do not focus as much on 2 degrees energy increases in
temperatures or increases in sea levels rising."
Schwarzenegger thinks calling attention to concrete issues, like "so
many people having problems with cancer and kids with asthma," is a
better approach.
http://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/schwarzenegger-calls-climate-activists-change-methods-51098813
*Company wants to dig 90000 tons of coal per year at currently idled
King County mine
<http://www.thenewstribune.com/news/local/article183900346.html>*
/(Washington State) /The News Tribune Lynda Mapes, ...with as much as
twice the greenhouse-gas emissions per unit of energy produced as any
other fossil fuel - contributing to global warming,
An old King County coal mine would get new life under a plan by a Black
Diamond company that got a recent boost from the Trump administration.
Pacific Coast Coal Co. seeks to mine 85,000 to 90,000 tons of coal per
year over six years from about 30 acres just outside Black Diamond,
kicking the mine back into operation for the first time since 1999.
Mining first began on the 480-acre parcel of privately owned land in 1986.
The company wants to start up mining again at the John Henry Mine. The
proposal is still under review, though the feds in September found that
coal mining as proposed at the John Henry would have no significant
impact on the environment.
Federal officials are reviewing public comments; the next step could
range from additional environmental review to granting the permit.
Washington is one of only two states in the country that delegates
regulation of mining to the federal government (Tennessee is the other).
But the project nonetheless has raised local ire about the
greenhouse-gas emissions created by burning the coal, as well as water
pollution and noise....
Yet the coal could wind up being burned right under his nose: One of
Pacific Coast's possible customers for the coal is Ash Grove Cement,
next to the West Seattle Bridge.
Ash Grove burned 9,712 tons of coal in 2016; 51,278 tons in 2015; 32,308
tons in 2014 and 90,633 tons in 2007, state records show...
http://www.thenewstribune.com/news/local/article183900346.html
*John Henry No. 1 Mine, Environmental Assessment
<https://www.wrcc.osmre.gov/initiatives/johnHenryMine.shtm>*
https://www.wrcc.osmre.gov/initiatives/johnHenryMine.shtm
*China Energy Investment Signs MOU for $83.7 Billion in West Virginia
Projects
<https://www.nytimes.com/reuters/2017/11/09/business/09reuters-trump-asia-energy-west-virginia.html?_r=0>*
BEIJING - China Energy Investment Corp, the world's largest power
company by asset value, has signed a memorandum of understanding (MOU)
to invest $83.7 billion in shale gas, power and chemical projects in
West Virginia, the U.S state said on Thursday.
The agreement was the biggest among a slew of deals signed during U.S.
President Donald Trump's state visit to Beijing. The total value of the
deals done during Trump's trip could be as much as $250 billion.
The gas and power agreement marks the first overseas investment for
newly founded China Energy, which formed from a merger of China Shenhua
Group [SHGRP.UL], the country's largest coal producer and China Guodian
Corp [CNGUO.UL], one of its top five utilities.
Beijing is supporting and encouraging its power companies to expand
globally, and the agreement underscores China Energy's ambition to
diversify into natural gas and the refining sector...
The deals will likely help create jobs in West Virginia and lift its
economy.
With an estimated 326,00 staff, China Energy has a workforce almost four
times bigger than the entire U.S. coal-fired power industry for 2016.
The Chinese energy conglomerate has an installed capacity that tops 225
gigawatts, eclipsing major international rivals EDF and Enel.
China Shenhua Energy jumped 7.4 percent on the announcement to close at
22.05 yuan per share on Thursday.
https://www.nytimes.com/reuters/2017/11/09/business/09reuters-trump-asia-energy-west-virginia.html?_r=0
-
*Alaska Signs Deal to Advance Pipeline With Help From China
<https://www.usnews.com/news/best-states/alaska/articles/2017-11-09/alaska-signs-deal-to-advance-pipeline-with-help-from-china>*
ANCHORAGE, Alaska (AP) - The state of Alaska will attempt to advance a
multibillion dollar natural gas pipeline project with the help of
interests from China.
Alaska Gov. Bill Walker said the agreement signed late Wednesday is with
Sinopec, China Investment Corp. and the Bank of China. Financial terms
weren't disclosed.
The agreement was signed in Beijing with U.S. President Donald Trump and
Chinese President Xi Jinping looking on.
Alaska has long dreamed of building a pipeline that would take the vast
stores of natural gas on the North Slope and ship it by pipeline 800
miles to the coast, where it would be liquefied and shipped to Asia...
Alaska previously had a similar agreement with major oil companies to
advance the pipeline, but backed off and let Alaska take the lead.
https://www.usnews.com/news/best-states/alaska/articles/2017-11-09/alaska-signs-deal-to-advance-pipeline-with-help-from-china
*Al Gore: 'I tried my best' but Trump can't be educated on climate
change
<https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2017/nov/10/al-gore-donald-trump-climate-change>*
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2017/nov/10/al-gore-donald-trump-climate-change
*Climate Denier Lamar Smith Holds Rare Congressional Hearing on
Geoengineering
<https://www.desmogblog.com/2017/11/09/lamar-smith-climate-denier-geoengineering-hearing>*
Geoengineering, hailed in some circles as a potential technofix to the
climate change crisis, has taken a step closer to going mainstream.
The U.S. House Committee on Science, Space, and Technology held arare
joint subcommittee hearing
<https://science.house.gov/legislation/hearings/subcommittee-environment-and-subcommittee-energy-hearing-geoengineering>on
November 8, only the second ever congressional hearing of its kind on
the topic (thefirst was held in 2009
<https://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/CHRG-111hhrg53007/pdf/CHRG-111hhrg53007.pdf>).
The committee invited expert witnesses to discuss the status of
geoengineering research and development. Geoengineering is a broad term
encompassing sophisticated scientific techniques meant to reverse the
impacts of climate change or pull greenhouse gases out of the atmosphere.
Ironically, the Committee on Science, Space, and Technology is chaired
byU.S.Rep. Lamar Smith <https://www.desmogblog.com/lamar-smith> - a
climate science denier who hasreceived tens of thousands of dollars
<https://www.desmogblog.com/2016/06/21/exxon-koch-lamar-smith-exxon-knew>in
campaign contributions from ExxonMobil throughout his political career.
In fact, Smith actually mentioned "climate change" in his opening
remarks for the hearing, in discussing his interest in geoengineering.
"As the climate continues to change, geoengineering could become a tool
to curb resulting impacts,"said Smith
<https://science.house.gov/sites/republicans.science.house.gov/files/documents/HHRG-115-SY18-WState-S000583-20171108_0.pdf>,
who recently announcedhe will not run for relection in 2018
<https://grist.org/briefly/climate-science-opponent-lamar-smith-will-retire-from-congress/>.
"Instead of forcing unworkable and costly government mandates on the
American people, we should look to technology and innovation to lead the
way to address climate change. Geoengineering should be considered when
discussing technological advances to protect the environment."...
"The purpose of this hearing is to discuss the viability of
geoengineering and any early-stage research associated with this
approach,"said Biggs
<https://science.house.gov/sites/republicans.science.house.gov/files/documents/HHRG-115-SY18-WState-B001302-20171108.pdf>.
"The hearing is not a platform to further the debate about climate
change. Instead, its aim is to explore approaches and technologies that
have been discussed in the scientific community and to assess the basic
research needed to better understand the merits of these ideas."
Those testifying followed suit, with a consensus reached that a
governance framework must be created to regulate geoengineering research
and potential future deployment. The presenters all pushed the idea of
geoengineering techniques such assolar radiation management
<https://www.nature.com/articles/nclimate1528>,cloud seeding
<https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/we-may-never-know-how-well-cloud-seeding-works/>,
andmarine cloud brightening
<https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3405666/>.
Geoengineering, according to its critics, is a distraction from the
actual challenge of halting dangerous levels of greenhouse gas emissions
and subsequent runaway climate change. Critics also say the approach is
a potential danger in and of itself because its techniques are a literal
re-engineering of the atmospheric system, with unpredictable side effects.
"In some ways the thing we fear the most is a tweet from Trump saying
'Solar geoengineering solves everything - it's great! We don't need to
bother to cut emissions,'"Keith said at a November 7 forum
<https://www.technologyreview.com/s/609379/why-this-geoengineering-pioneers-worst-nightmare-is-a-trump-tweet/?set=609356>.
"That would just really make it hard to proceed in a sensible way."
In fact, those close to the Trump administration, which is rife with
climate science deniers, have shown some interest in geoengineering
<https://www.theguardian.com/environment/true-north/2017/mar/27/trump-presidency-opens-door-to-planet-hacking-geoengineer-experiments>to
a degree not seen in the Obama administration. Yet whetherPresident
Donald Trump <https://www.desmogblog.com/donald-trump>is willing to
finance geoengineering research to the tune of $5-10 million per year,
asproposed by one hearing witness
<https://science.house.gov/sites/republicans.science.house.gov/files/documents/HHRG-115-SY18-WState-KWanser-20171108.pdf>,
remains to be seen.
https://www.desmogblog.com/2017/11/09/lamar-smith-climate-denier-geoengineering-hearing
*Evaluating the prediction of Manabe and Wetherald (1967)
<https://climategraphs.wordpress.com/>*
This post is about a paper that was published 50 years ago:
Manabe, S. and Wetherald, R.T., 1967. Thermal equilibrium of the
atmosphere with a given distribution of relative humidity. Journal of
the Atmospheric Sciences, 24(3), pp.241-259.
That paper (hereafter referred to as MW67) was perhaps the first study
of the earth's climate using a modern radiative-convective numerical
model, including the water vapor feedback. It is a classic paper in
climate science and was extraordinarily important in inspiring future
work on numerical modeling of the climate system.
Since this yea is the 50th anniversary of MW67, let's take a look at its
findings and compare them to the past 50 years of observations. In their
abstract, MW67 state that:
a doubling of the CO2 content of the atmosphere has the effect of
raising the temperature of the atmosphere […] by about 2C.
https://climategraphs.wordpress.com/
*Why Are Conservatives More Susceptible to Believing Lies?
<http://www.slate.com/articles/health_and_science/science/2017/11/why_conservatives_are_more_susceptible_to_believing_in_lies.html>*
An interplay between how all humans think and how conservatives tend to
act might actually explain a lot about our current moment.
By John Ehrenreich.
Many conservatives have a loose relationship with facts. The right-wing
denial of what most people think of as accepted reality starts with
political issues: As recently as 2016, 45 percent of Republicans still
believed that the Affordable Care Act included "death panels" (it
doesn't). A 2015 poll found that 54 percent of GOP primary voters
believed then-President Obama to be a Muslim (…he isn't).
Then there are the false beliefs about generally accepted science. Only
25 percent of self-proclaimed Trump voters agree that climate change is
caused by human activities. Only 43 percent of Republicans overall
believe that humans have evolved over time.
And then it gets really crazy. Almost 1 in 6 Trump voters, while
simultaneously viewing photographs of the crowds at the 2016
inauguration of Donald Trump and at the 2012 inauguration of Barack
Obama , insisted that the former were larger. Sixty-six percent of
self-described "very conservative" Americans seriously believe that
"Muslims are covertly implementing Sharia law in American courts."
Forty-six percent of Trump voters polled just after the 2016 election
either thought that Hillary Clinton was connected to a child sex
trafficking ring run out of the basement of a pizzeria in Washington,
D.C., or weren't sure if it was true.
If "truth" is judged on the basis of Enlightenment ideas of reason and
more or less objective "evidence," many of the substantive positions
common on the right seem to border on delusional. The left is certainly
not immune to credulity (most commonly about the safety of vaccines, GMO
foods, and fracking), but the right seems to specialize in it.
"Misinformation is currently predominantly a pathology of the right,"
concluded a team of scholars from the Harvard Kennedy School and
Northeastern University at a February 2017 conference. A BuzzFeed
analysis found that three main hyperconservative Facebook pages were
roughly twice as likely as three leading ultraliberal Facebook pages to
publish fake or misleading information...
Part of the problem is widespread suspicion of facts-any facts. Both
mistrust of scientists and other "experts" and mistrust of the mass
media that reports what scientists and experts believe have increased
among conservatives (but not among liberals) since the early '80s. The
mistrust has in part, at least, been deliberately inculcated. The fossil
fuel industry publicizes studies to confuse the climate change debate; ...
...let's take a detour into psychology. Freud distinguished between
"errors" on the one hand, "illusions" and "delusions" on the other.
Errors, he argued, simply reflect lack of knowledge or poor logic;
...But illusions and delusions are based on conscious or unconscious
wishes; ...
http://www.slate.com/articles/health_and_science/science/2017/11/why_conservatives_are_more_susceptible_to_believing_in_lies.html
*South Asia needs a plan to address climate-induced migration
<https://wp.me/p5yw8n-5m8>*
The policy challenge is to look at disaster-related mobility
comprehensively. "Often governments take a silo approach without an
overall view of the problem," said Banerjee. It is as though the home
affairs office takes care of evacuation and displacement, the relief
department deals with resettlement, and the labour departments looks at
long-term migration - with officials hardly even sharing notes.
Experts have been brainstorming on this topic. Huq, for instance,
suggests a three-phase plan as people might have to migrate from the
country's low-lying coastal areas in 20 years. "The idea is to adapt,
educate and plan. Right now we need to adapt to changes such as salinity
intrusion and flooding," he told indiaclimatedialogue.net. "Then we need
to educate and train boys and girls to future careers away from the
coast at international destinations. In the long run, we need to plan,
enable and facilitate migration."
https://wp.me/p5yw8n-5m8
*(video) W5: What happens when the permafrost thaws?
<https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BFfuHmrW2gc>*
Official W5 22 minutes Published on Nov 11, 2017
Almost half of Canada sits on permanently frozen land called permafrost,
but climate change is causing it to thaw and erode rapidly. W5's Avery
Haines investigates a looming ecological disaster that poses a threat to
the entire world.
Subscribe W5 to watch more videos: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCPTD...
Connect with W5: For the latest investigations visit:
http://www.ctvnews.ca/w5/
For a full video offering visit the CTV News Network:
http://www.ctvnews.ca/video?binId=1.8...
W5 on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/CTVW5/
W5 on Twitter: https://twitter.com/CTVW5
W5 is Canada's most-watched investigative, current affairs and
documentary program. Tackling major stories and investigations W5 is in
its 51st season.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BFfuHmrW2gc
*(video) Is there intelligent life in the universe?
<http://medialab.futureearth.org/is-there-intelligent-life-in-the-universe/>*
We believe astrobiologists are on the cusp of discovering an intelligent
technologically-advanced civilization … on Earth. We wanted to produce
an animation on the state of the planet. It coincides nicely with Earth
Day and the March for Science.
We worked with a brilliant Stockholm animation company Brikk.
Here's the transcript with references and annotations below. (LINK)
Read this oped by Josh Tewksbury, Director of the Future Earth Global
Hub in Colorado, about the integrity of science: http://bit.ly/2pmkhoH
Join the conversation at the Future Earth Open Network:
http://bit.ly/2p3MFuP
And support international coordination of research. It matters.
http://medialab.futureearth.org/is-there-intelligent-life-in-the-universe/
*This Day in Climate History November 13, 2005
<http://www.foxnews.com/story/2005/11/11/heat-is-on-case-global-warmin-989829467/>
- from D.R. Tucker*
November 13, 2005: Fox News Channel airs "The Heat is On: The Case of
Global Warming," a special that reportedly (and surprisingly,
considering Fox's track record) does not feature any climate-change
deniers. After fossil-fuel-industry front groups attack Fox for not
including their viewpoint, Fox runs a special several months later
featuring the views of climate-change deniers.
http://www.foxnews.com/story/2005/11/11/heat-is-on-case-global-warmin-989829467/
http://mediamatters.org/mobile/research/2012/10/24/timeline-fox-news-role-in-the-climate-of-doubt/190906
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