[TheClimate.Vote] August 29, 2018 - Daily Global Warming News Digest

Richard Pauli richard at theclimate.vote
Wed Aug 29 10:13:02 EDT 2018


/August 29, 2018/

[live radio]
*French environment minister quits live on radio, saying he was 'alone' 
on green issues in Macron's government 
<https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2018/08/28/frances-star-environment-minister-quits-saying-alone-green-issues/>*
President Emmanuel Macron suffered a major political blow Tuesday as his 
popular environment minister resigned live on radio - without informing 
the French leader beforehand.
Nicolas Hulot, one of the most respected members of the cabinet among 
the French public, took even his interviewers by surprise on the France 
Inter radio station when announcing his move.
"I am taking the decision to leave the government," Hulot said, adding 
that he felt "all alone" on environmental issues within the government.
The 62-year-old TV celebrity, who made his name as an environmental 
campaigner, was lured into government last year by Macron, but has 
repeatedly clashed with his cabinet colleagues over policy.
"We're taking little steps, and France is doing a lot more than other 
countries, but are little steps enough?... the answer is no," he added.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2018/08/28/frances-star-environment-minister-quits-saying-alone-green-issues/


[California risk defined]
*California Climate Change Report Adds to Evidence as State Pushes Back 
on Trump 
<https://insideclimatenews.org/news/27082018/california-climate-change-assessment-evidence-global-warming-science-risks-policy-clean-energy>*
The assessment warns of increasing wildfires, worsening droughts and 
more severe coastal flooding. State lawmakers are looking for solutions 
in renewable energy.
Phil McKenna
BY PHIL MCKENNA
California published a comprehensive assessment Monday of the risks 
global warming is creating for the state, providing a thick tome of 
evidence advocates can now use to push climate legislation, pursue 
litigation, and attempt to sway public opinion as they take on industry 
and try to counter the Trump administration.
The climate change assessment by the world's 5th largest economy relied 
on dozens of peer-reviewed reports that detail the effects climate 
change is having today and what to expect in the future, including 
extreme wildfires, droughts, heat waves and floods that are projected to 
occur with increasing frequency and severity.
"In California, facts and science still matter," Gov. Jerry Brown said. 
"These findings are profoundly serious and will continue to guide us as 
we confront the apocalyptic threat of irreversible climate change."...
https://insideclimatenews.org/news/27082018/california-climate-change-assessment-evidence-global-warming-science-risks-policy-clean-energy
- - - --
[announcement]
*CALIFORNIA'S FOURTH CLIMATE CHANGE ASSESSMENT 
<http://www.climateassessment.ca.gov/>*
http://www.climateassessment.ca.gov/
- - -
[be sure to see the tools section]
http://www.climateassessment.ca.gov/tools/
- - - - -
[press summaries from Climate Nexus]
*A Hot, Dry, Burning, Eroding, 'Apocalyptic' Sunshine State: *Climate 
change will create a devastating new normal in California of intense 
heatwaves and destructive fires if nothing is done to curb emissions, a 
new state report finds. California's fourth-annual Climate Change 
Assessment 
<https://climatenexus.us4.list-manage.com/track/click?u=d1f5797e59060083034310930&id=b3586667aa&e=95b355344d> finds 
that*large fires like this summer's record-breaking Mendocino Complex 
and Carr fires will increase 50 percent by 2100 and burn 77 percent more 
land under a business-as-usual emissions scenario.* The report also 
finds 31 to 67 percent of beaches could erode by 2100, deaths from heat 
waves in cities could double or triple by 2050, and water supply from 
snowpack could decline by two-thirds by 2050. "These findings are 
profoundly serious and will continue to guide us as we confront the 
apocalyptic threat of irreversible climate change," Gov. Jerry Brown 
said in a statement. (LA Times 
<https://climatenexus.us4.list-manage.com/track/click?u=d1f5797e59060083034310930&id=3f5fd6d47f&e=95b355344d> 
$, SF Chronicle 
<https://climatenexus.us4.list-manage.com/track/click?u=d1f5797e59060083034310930&id=e7c6729de3&e=95b355344d> $, 
The Guardian 
<https://climatenexus.us4.list-manage.com/track/click?u=d1f5797e59060083034310930&id=7c09ad180f&e=95b355344d>, 
InsideClimate News 
<https://climatenexus.us4.list-manage.com/track/click?u=d1f5797e59060083034310930&id=7e315e3ac7&e=95b355344d>, 
Fortune 
<https://climatenexus.us4.list-manage.com/track/click?u=d1f5797e59060083034310930&id=39249a8be2&e=95b355344d>)
from Shravya Jain at https://climatenexus.org/


[Climate Liability News]
*Hawaii Begins to Tally Costs, Contemplate a Future of Extreme Rainfall 
<https://www.climateliabilitynews.org/2018/08/28/hawaii-climate-costs-hurricane-lane/>*
As Hawaii begins to clean up and assess the damage from Hurricane Lane, 
which dumped more than 40 inches of rain on the islands to become one of 
the wettest storms in U.S. history, the state is wrestling with what may 
be its new, wetter reality. The deluge was Hawaii’s second devastating 
rain event this year as the state absorbed 49 inches from an extreme 
downpour in early May.
Climate scientists have predicted that climate change would make 
hurricanes wetter-because a warmer atmosphere holds more moisture and 
warmer oceans provide more energy for storms-and the events of the past 
year have brought significant evidence to support that. Last August, 
Hurricane Harvey inundated the Houston area with more than 60 inches of 
rain, the most rain ever recorded from a tropical storm system in the 
U.S. Studies have already shown that Harvey’s rainfall was more than 
triple what it would have been without global warming.
*Penn State scientist Michael Mann calls rising carbon dioxide levels in 
the atmosphere "steroids for the storms."*
In what could be worse news for Hawaii, a recent study showed warming 
waters in the Pacific could double the tropical storm activity around 
that area by 2100 if global warming continues toward 2 degrees C over 
pre-industrial times. The state has been directly hit by only three 
major hurricanes since 1871, although one of them-Hilo, which dumped 52 
inches of rain on the state in 1950-is the second wettest in U.S. 
history after Harvey...
https://www.climateliabilitynews.org/2018/08/28/hawaii-climate-costs-hurricane-lane/

*
*[technology turns to dust and smoke]
*This NASA image shows how California's wildfires are affecting the 
atmosphere 
<https://www.cnbc.com/2018/08/28/nasa-visualization-shows-california-wildfires.html>*
As wildfires continue to burn in California, NASA has released a 
visualization that illustrates one of the ways in which the fires are 
affecting the atmosphere.
NASA's Earth Observatory, the arm of the space agency that shares with 
the public images of the Earth and its climate, created the map 
(embedded above, and below with captions) which shows aerosols in the 
atmosphere. Aerosols are the solid particles and liquid droplets in the air.
animated video map https://t.co/wl9Py7DPFY
https://www.cnbc.com/2018/08/28/nasa-visualization-shows-california-wildfires.html
- - --
[visualizing particles globally]
*NASA data visualization 
<https://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/images/92654/just-another-day-on-aerosol-earth>*
Take a deep breath. Even if the air looks clear, it is nearly certain 
that you will inhale millions of solid particles and liquid droplets. 
These ubiquitous specks of matter are known as aerosols, and they can be 
found in the air over oceans, deserts, mountains, forests, ice, and 
every ecosystem in between.
If you have ever watched smoke billowing from a wildfire, ash erupting 
from a volcano, or dust blowing in the wind, you have seen aerosols. 
Satellites like Terra, Aqua, Aura, and Suomi NPP "see" them as well, 
though they offer a completely different perspective from hundreds of 
kilometers above Earth’s surface. A version of a NASA model called the 
Goddard Earth Observing System Forward Processing (GEOS FP) offers a 
similarly expansive view of the mishmash of particles that dance and 
swirl through the atmosphere...
- - - - big image 
https://eoimages.gsfc.nasa.gov/images/imagerecords/92000/92654/asia_geo5_2018235_lrg.png
Some of these inputs come from satellites; others come from data 
collected by sensors on the ground. Fire radiative power data from the 
Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) sensors on Aqua 
and Terra is one type of satellite data that was assimilated directly 
into the model. This type of data includes information about the 
location and intensity of fires-something that the model uses to help 
calculate the behavior of black carbon plumes.
Some of the events that appear in the visualization were causing pretty 
serious problems on the ground. On August 23, Hawaiians braced for 
torrential rains and potentially serious floods and mudslides as 
Hurricane Lane approached. Meanwhile, twin tropical cyclones-Soulik and 
Cimaron-were on the verge of lashing South Korea and Japan. The smoke 
plume over central Africa is a seasonal occurrence and mainly the 
product of farmers lighting numerous small fires to maintain crop and 
grazing lands. Most of the smoke over North America came from large 
wildfires burning in Canada and the United States.
https://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/images/92654/just-another-day-on-aerosol-earth


[Calif political wind shear]
*Sweating out a close race, GOP Rep. Mimi Walters ties wildfires to 
climate change 
<http://www.latimes.com/business/hiltzik/la-fi-hiltzik-walters-climate-20180824-story.html>*
By MICHAEL HILTZIK - AUG 24, 2018
The adage "All politics is local" often attributed to the late House 
Speaker Tip O’Neill appears to be working its magic in the once-solidly 
Republican Orange County district of Rep. Mimi Walters.
Walters is facing a stiff challenge in November from Democrat Katie 
Porter, a UC Irvine law professor. So it may be no surprise that she’s 
trimming her political sails to catch the prevailing winds. Most 
recently, Walters signed on to an Aug. 22 letter from the congressional 
climate solutions caucus observing that the western wildfires are being 
"fueled by climate change" and inviting Gov. Jerry Brown to a meeting to 
discuss policy options.
The assertion places Walters at odds with President Trump, who has 
called climate change a "hoax" and blamed the fires on "bad 
environmental laws," and with Interior Secretary Ryan Zinke, who has 
pointed the finger at "environmental terrorist groups" who interfere 
with government forest management programs.
It also places Walters at odds with her own record on environmental 
issues, which is one of the worst in Congress. As my colleague Evan 
Halper observed this week, the League of Conservation Voters gives her a 
lifetime score of 4% on legislative votes, and a 3% score for 2017.
That record probably won’t help Walters in November. Election 
forecasters have moved her district from Republican-leaning to a 
toss-up. Although GOP voters outnumber Democrats by nearly 8 percentage 
points, the district went for Hillary Clinton in the 2016 presidential 
election. We’ve asked Walters’ Washington office to comment but haven’t 
heard back.
District voters tend to be well-educated, which suggests that they don’t 
hold much truck with climate change denialism. They also have close to 
firsthand experience with wildfires. The Holy fire has been burning for 
more than two weeks in remote parts of Orange and Riverside counties; 
although authorities say the fire was triggered by arson, climate change 
may play a role in its severity, as it has with other blazes during this 
ferocious fire season in California...
- - - -
Last year, she was a co-sponsor of the "Stopping EPA Overreach Act," 
which stated that nothing in five major federal environmental laws, 
including the Clean Air Act, the National Environmental Policy Act of 
1969 and the Endangered Species Act, "authorizes or requires the 
regulation of climate change or global warming."
Among her fellow co-sponsors were four other environmentally benighted 
California GOP members of Congress. All had lifetime ratings from the 
league as bad or worse than hers - Tom McClintock of Elk Grove (4%), 
David Valadao of Hanford (4%), Devin Nunes of Tulare (3%), and Doug 
LaMalfa of Richvale (1%). If Walters is really trying to distinguish 
herself from the Republican Party’s appalling record on climate change, 
she has a steep hill to climb.
http://www.latimes.com/business/hiltzik/la-fi-hiltzik-walters-climate-20180824-story.html


[check the food supply]
*Scientists Warn the UN of Capitalism's Imminent Demise 
<https://motherboard.vice.com/en_us/article/43pek3/scientists-warn-the-un-of-capitalisms-imminent-demise>*
A climate change-fueled switch away from fossil fuels means the 
worldwide economy will fundamentally need to change.
Capitalism as we know it is over. So suggests a new report commissioned 
by a group of scientists appointed by the UN Secretary-General. The main 
reason? We’re transitioning rapidly to a radically different global 
economy, due to our increasingly unsustainable exploitation of the 
planet’s environmental resources.
Climate change and species extinctions are accelerating even as 
societies are experiencing rising inequality, unemployment, slow 
economic growth, rising debt levels, and impotent governments. Contrary 
to the way policymakers usually think about these problems, the new 
report says that these are not really separate crises at all.
Rather, these crises are part of the same fundamental transition to a 
new era characterized by inefficient fossil fuel production and the 
escalating costs of climate change. Conventional capitalist economic 
thinking can no longer explain, predict, or solve the workings of the 
global economy in this new age, the paper says...
https://motherboard.vice.com/en_us/article/43pek3/scientists-warn-the-un-of-capitalisms-imminent-demise
- - - -
[The UN paper is]
*Global Sustainable Development Report 2019 drafted by the Group of 
independent scientists 
<https://bios.fi/bios-governance_of_economic_transition.pdf>*
GOVERNANCE OF ECONOMIC TRANSITION
We live in an era of turmoil and profound change in the energetic and 
material underpinnings of
economies. The era of cheap energy is coming to an end (Murphy 2014, 
Lambert et al. 2014, Hall et al.
2014, Hall et al. 2009, Hirsch et al. 2005). Because economies are for 
the first time in human history
shifting to energy sources that are less energy efficient, production of 
usable energy (exergy) will require
more, not less, effort on the part of societies to power both basic and 
non-basic human activities. Sink
costs are also rising; economies have used up the capacity of planetary 
ecosystems to handle the waste
generated by energy and material use. Climate change is the most 
pronounced sink cost.
What will happen during the oncoming years and decades when we enter the 
era of energy transition,
combined with emission cuts, and start to witness more severe effects of 
climate change? That is the big
question. What kind of economic understanding and governance models do 
we need, now that
economies are undergoing dramatic rather than incremental change?...
- - - -
In view of the challenges encountered today in implementing meaningful 
international agreements, the
most likely option for initiating transitions to sustainability would be 
for a group of progressive states to
take the lead. This would require economic thinking that enables large 
public investment programs on the
one hand and strong regulation and environmental caps on the other. In 
the modern global economy,
states are the only actors that have the legitimacy and capacity to fund 
and organize large-scale
transitions.
https://bios.fi/bios-governance_of_economic_transition.pdf


[Wow! Actual sponsored content about global warming!]
*What Could Happen in a World That's 4 Degrees Warmer | WIRED Brand Lab 
<https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=__Kt_oU9iss>*
<https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=__Kt_oU9iss>WIRED
Published on Aug 27, 2018
Produced by WIRED Brand Lab for Western Digital at 
https://www.datamakespossible.com/
Comedian Aparna Nancherla explores how global warming and climate change 
will directly affect our lives 100 years from now when the average 
global temperature is projected to increase by 4 degrees Celsius, or 7.2 
degrees Fahrenheit. Nancherla met with Professor of Atmospheric Science 
at UC Berkeley, Inez Fung, and Chief Data Officer at Western Digital, 
Janet George to to make predictions about how we’ll live in a 4C World.
https://www.datamakespossible.com/
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=__Kt_oU9iss


[NPR says]
*Air Pollution Exposure Harms Cognitive Performance, Study Finds 
<https://www.npr.org/2018/08/27/642321572/scientists-link-air-pollution-exposure-to-cognitive-decline>*
"We can say that the bigger impact is toward the older adults," Chen added.
China Shuts Down Tens Of Thousands Of Factories In Unprecedented 
Pollution Crackdown
The scientists found both short-term and cumulative effects of air 
pollution on cognitive performance. Pollution's impact on verbal test 
performance became worse as people aged, particularly among men and 
people with less education.
People with lower education levels are likely to experience more harm, 
Chen says, because they work outside more often and are exposed to 
higher levels of pollution.
He says exposure to pollution could make elderly people less effective 
in making major financial and medical decisions.
Could the link between cognitive decline and pollution be caused by a 
another factor? Chen says the study tries to overcome that issue by 
testing the same people over time.
https://www.npr.org/2018/08/27/642321572/scientists-link-air-pollution-exposure-to-cognitive-decline
- - - -
[huh, what's that?]
*Air pollution causes ‘huge’ reduction in intelligence, study reveals 
<https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/aug/27/air-pollution-causes-huge-reduction-in-intelligence-study-reveals>*
Impact of high levels of toxic air ‘is equivalent to having lost a year 
of education’
Damian Carrington and Lily Kuo in Beijing
Mon 27 Aug 2018
Air pollution causes a "huge" reduction in intelligence, according to 
new research, indicating that the damage to society of toxic air is far 
deeper than the well-known impacts on physical health.

The research was conducted in China but is relevant across the world, 
with 95% of the global population breathing unsafe air. It found that 
high pollution levels led to significant drops in test scores in 
language and arithmetic, with the average impact equivalent to having 
lost a year of the person’s education.

"Polluted air can cause everyone to reduce their level of education by 
one year, which is huge," said Xi Chen at Yale School of Public Health 
in the US, a member of the research team. "But we know the effect is 
worse for the elderly, especially those over 64, and for men, and for 
those with low education. If we calculate [the loss] for those, it may 
be a few years of education."

Previous research has found that air pollution harms cognitive 
performance in students, but this is the first to examine people of all 
ages and the difference between men and women.
The damage in intelligence was worst for those over 64 years old, with 
serious consequences, said Chen: "We usually make the most critical 
financial decisions in old age." Rebecca Daniels, from the UK public 
health charity Medact, said: "This report’s findings are extremely 
worrying."...
- - - -
Aarash Saleh, a registrar in respiratory medicine in the UK and part of 
the Doctors Against Diesel campaign, said: "This study adds to the 
concerning bank of evidence showing that exposure to air pollution can 
worsen our cognitive function. Road traffic is the biggest contributor 
to air pollution in residential areas and the government needs to act 
urgently to remove heavily-polluting vehicles from our roads."
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/aug/27/air-pollution-causes-huge-reduction-in-intelligence-study-reveals


[Opinion 3 years ago "World War III is well and truly underway. And we 
are losing."]
*A World at War-We’re under attack from climate change-and our only hope 
is to mobilize like we did in WWII. 
<https://newrepublic.com/article/135684/declare-war-climate-change-mobilize-wwii>*
By BILL MCKIBBEN
In the North this summer, a devastating offensive is underway. Enemy 
forces have seized huge swaths of territory; with each passing week, 
another 22,000 square miles of Arctic ice disappears. Experts dispatched 
to the battlefield in July saw little cause for hope, especially since 
this siege is one of the oldest fronts in the war. "In 30 years, the 
area has shrunk approximately by half," said a scientist who examined 
the onslaught. "There doesn’t seem anything able to stop this."

In the Pacific this spring, the enemy staged a daring breakout across 
thousands of miles of ocean, waging a full-scale assault on the region’s 
coral reefs. In a matter of months, long stretches of formations like 
the Great Barrier Reef-dating back past the start of human civilization 
and visible from space-were reduced to white bone-yards.

Day after day, week after week, saboteurs behind our lines are 
unleashing a series of brilliant and overwhelming attacks. In the past 
few months alone, our foes have used a firestorm to force the total 
evacuation of a city of 90,000 in Canada, drought to ravage crops to the 
point where southern Africans are literally eating their seed corn, and 
floods to threaten the priceless repository of art in the Louvre. The 
enemy is even deploying biological weapons to spread psychological 
terror: The Zika virus, loaded like a bomb into a growing army of 
mosquitoes, has shrunk the heads of newborn babies across an entire 
continent; panicked health ministers in seven countries are now urging 
women not to get pregnant. And as in all conflicts, millions of refugees 
are fleeing the horrors of war, their numbers swelling daily as they’re 
forced to abandon their homes to escape famine and desolation and disease.
- - - -
In this war we’re in-the war  that physics is fighting hard, and that we 
aren’t-winning slowly is the same as losing....
Normally in wartime, defeatism is a great sin. Luckily, though, you 
can’t give aid and comfort to carbon; it has no morale to boost. So we 
can be totally honest. We’ve waited so long to fight back in this war 
that total victory is impossible, and total defeat can’t be ruled out.
- - - -
In California, thousands of homes were threatened in a wildfire 
described by the local fire chief as "one of the most devastating I’ve 
ever seen." Suburban tracts looked like Dresden after the bombing. 
Planes and helicopters buzzed overhead, dropping bright plumes of 
chemical retardants; if the "Flight of the Valkyries" had been playing, 
it could have been a scene from Apocalypse Now.

And in West Virginia, a "one in a thousand year" storm dropped historic 
rain across the mountains, triggering record floods that killed dozens. 
"You can see people in the second-story windows waiting to be 
evacuated," one local official reported. A particularly dramatic video-a 
kind of YouTube Guernica for our moment-showed a large house being 
consumed by flames as it was swept down a rampaging river until it 
crashed into a bridge. "Everybody lost everything," one dazed resident 
said. "We never thought it would be this bad." A state trooper was even 
more succinct. "It looks like a war zone," he said.
Because it is.
https://newrepublic.com/article/135684/declare-war-climate-change-mobilize-wwii


*This Day in Climate History - August 29, - from D.R. Tucker*



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