[TheClimate.Vote] December 5, 2018 - Daily Global Warming News Digest

[Richard Pauli]

/December 5, 2018/

[15 yr old revolutionary]
*Greta Thunberg's School Strike for the Climate*
UPFSI
Published on Dec 4, 2018
In this http://ScientistsWarning.org sponsored program at COP-24 in 
Poland, 15-year-old Greta is inspiring kids all over the world to save 
their future from the rampant double-speak of their political leaders.  
Her one-woman School Strike for the Climate has become an international 
civil disobedience movement. This program is not to be missed. [video]
*https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R6s8YgRH5T0*
- - - -
["Because we don't have time"]
Greta Thunberg speech to UN secretary general António Guterres
*We Don't Have Time <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1Cve4bLDrlM>*
Premiered Dec 4, 2018
For 25 years countless of people have stood in front of the United 
Nations climate conferences, asking our nation's leaders to stop the 
emissions. But, clearly, this has not worked since the emissions just 
continue to rise.
So I will not ask them anything.

Instead, I will ask the media to start treating the crisis as a crisis.

Instead, I will ask the people around the world to realize that our 
political leaders have failed us.

Because we are facing an existential threat and there is no time to 
continue down this road of madness.

Rich countries like Sweden need to start reducing emissions by at least 
15% every year to reach the 2 degree warming target. You would think the 
media and everyone of our leaders would be talking about nothing 
else -- but no one ever even mentions it.

Nor does hardly anyone ever talk about that we are in the midst of the 
sixth mass extinction, with up to 200 species going extinct every single 
day.

Furthermore, does no one ever speak about the aspect of equity clearly 
stated everywhere in the Paris agreement, which is absolutely necessary 
to make it work on a global scale. That means that rich countries like 
mine need to get down to zero emissions, within 6–12 years with today's 
emission speed, so that people in poorer countries can heighten their 
standard of living by building some of the infrastructures that we have 
already built. Such as hospitals, electricity and clean drinking water.

Because how can we expect countries like India, Colombia or Nigeria to 
care about the climate crisis if we, who already have everything, don't 
care even a second about our actual commitments to the Paris agreement?

So when school started in August this year I sat myself down on the 
ground outside the Swedish parliament. I school striked for the climate.

Some people say that I should be in school instead. Some people say that 
I should study to become a climate scientist so that I can "solve the 
climate crisis". But the climate crisis has already been solved. We 
already have all the facts and solutions.

And why should I be studying for a future that soon may be no more, when 
no one is doing anything to save that future? And what is the point of 
learning facts when the most important facts clearly mean nothing to our 
society?

Today we use 100 million barrels of oil every single day. There are no 
politics to change that. There are no rules to keep that oil in the ground.

So we can't save the world by playing by the rules. Because the rules 
have to be changed.

So we have not come here to beg the world leaders to care for our 
future. They have ignored us in the past and they will ignore us again.

We have come here to let them know that change is coming whether they 
like it or not. The people will rise to the challenge. And since our 
leaders are behaving like children, we will have to take the 
responsibility they should have taken long ago.
- -
Greta Thunberg
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1Cve4bLDrlM
The above text is written by Greta Thunberg. It is published with Greta 
Thunberg's approval.
*Facts about We Don't Have Time*
We Don't Have Time are currently building the world's largest social 
media network for climate action. Together we can solve the climate crisis.
But we are running out of time.
Joiun us at www.wedonthavetime.org


[News of the planet and the nexus of culture, ecology, justice, and 
spirituality]
*Denialism reaches new extremes 
<https://newcreationews.blogspot.com/2018/12/denialism-reaches-new-extremes.html>*
One of the clearest signs of a civilization in collapse is when 
intentional ignorance rises in tandem with the evidence of collapse, 
when the civilization, or culture, or empire is exhibiting all the signs 
of imminent crash, or already unfolding crash, and at the same time 
doubles down on the refusal to see the truth of its predicament.

When I write "civilization" or "culture," I don't mean all the humans 
within it. For sure, there are always people who see and understand, who 
sound the alarms. But as we are seeing clearly now, those alarms are 
often met by hitting the "alarm off" button, then turning over, and 
going back to sleep.

And I suppose, given the research on collapse of civilizations, we 
should not be surprised that the deniers, those with most at stake in 
the powers-that-be, the status quo, would rise to the surface and use 
their power and influence to take the reins of government. For them, 
it's not just a matter of turning off the alarms, but of drowning them 
out with lies, with subterfuge and obfuscation. Also with draconian laws 
and compliant courts.
- - -
  What I also know from my studies, and much research since, is that 
most consumers addicted to or delighted by this consumer culture don't 
realize how much of what drives their desire and satisfaction in 
purchasing things and entertainment and high end world travel does not 
come from within themselves but was instilled in them by a deep 
psychological understanding of what creates desire and the short-term 
satisfaction we get from fulfilling it.

One of the ways you can tell how bad it is, is by how hard it is for so 
many people to be alone, or to spend time without any artificial 
distractions for long periods of time, or to sit with a friend for a 
long uninterrupted conversation. These are as much signs of addiction as 
those related to legal and illegal drugs that are also rising to 
unprecedented levels across the culture. Attending to reality seems to 
be something most of us want to avoid as much as we possibly can.

So, the headline here is how denialism has reached new extremes.
- - -
So what did the president say about it, he of the great intelligence? "I 
don't believe it." And there you have it.

And that says as much about the moment in which we live as anything I 
can think of right now, a perfect expression of the great human 
predicament. We know - and we refuse to know...
https://newcreationews.blogspot.com/2018/12/denialism-reaches-new-extremes.html


[Might as well read the article]
*'A kind of dark realism': Why the climate change problem is starting to 
look too big to solve*
By Steven Mufson - December 4, 2018
In the daunting math of climate action, individual choices and 
government policies aren't adding up.
- - -
Royal Dutch Shell chief executive Ben van Beurden noted in 2014 that 
solar and wind provide about 1 percent of the world's energy. "How on 
earth do we think that 1 percent is going to become 90 percent of a 
system twice as big as what it is by the middle of the century?" he 
asked. "Whether you like it or not, it won't happen."

Even with large advances in renewable energy, he said, the share of 
world energy met by oil and gas would decline from 85 percent to 75 
percent by the middle of the century, a time when the IPCC said net 
carbon dioxide emissions should drop to zero.

"That might be a gloom-and-doom-type picture," van Beurden said. "But I 
think the real challenge is not so much how do we accelerate renewables 
but more about how do we decarbonize the system we have."..
- -
One of the earliest climate change models was drawn up in 2004 by a pair 
of Princeton University professors -- Robert Socolow, an engineer, and 
Stephen Pacala, an ecologist. Their 50-year scenario was optimistic: 
"Humanity already possesses the fundamental scientific, technical and 
industrial know-how to solve the carbon and climate problem for the next 
half-century," they wrote. They said that no breakthrough was necessary...
Graphic 
https://www.washingtonpost.com/resizer/qQT6_HZ2iXn0oJe-qXrqZ1SZcgc=/1484x0/arc-anglerfish-washpost-prod-washpost.s3.amazonaws.com/public/4QY3BIXXNEI6RBSCZFYYUJLMXU.jpg
In their model, a series of "wedges" could alter the trajectory of 
rising temperatures. The wedges included things such as: scaling up wind 
capacity tenfold; covering an area the size of New Jersey with solar 
panels; doubling the fuel efficiency of all cars; tripling the world's 
capacity of nuclear power; halting global deforestation; or planting new 
forests over an area the size of the Lower 48 United States.

"I like to say that we decomposed a heroic challenge into a limited set 
of monumental tasks," Socolow wrote later.

In 2011, Socolow wrote that the number of wedges needed had increased 
from seven to nine. In an interview, he said it is now approaching 10.

Socolow now prefers to call climate action a horse race. At the moment, 
wind and solar are running ahead faster than expected, while nuclear 
power and carbon capture are trailing behind.

He says he worries that the 2-degree target is setting people up for an 
inevitable letdown. "My worry is that people will start talking about 
game over and a line being crossed over irreparably," Socolow said. 
"Climate change is not like that."

https://www.washingtonpost.com/national/health-science/a-kind-of-dark-realism-why-the-climate-change-problem-is-starting-to-look-too-big-to-solve/2018/12/03/378e49e4-e75d-11e8-a939-9469f1166f9d_story.html?utm_term=.8ad8bc0e8a4e


[momentum]
*Why are people still living in the western US with the constant threat 
of climate change?*
New Mexicans like me are weighing our future in a fast-drying climate.
- -
It occurred to me that the drought is a little like the Trump 
presidency. You know it's bad, and that it could herald much worse. But 
in the present moment, life feels strangely normal. Sure, draconian 
water shortages and the demise of our democracy are real possibilities 
-- not even distant ones -- but you're not really suffering. Not yet. 
It's hard to tell how much you will. If this is your reality, as it is 
mine, you're probably not an immigrant, or a farmer, or a tribal member, 
or poor, or sick, or brown-skinned. You're lucky. The crisis is real, 
and it's not...
https://www.vox.com/first-person/2018/12/4/18124567/climate-change-wildfires-california-new-mexico
- -
[Testing the West]
*Climate change clobbers Colorado and the West, unfurling fire, drought, 
insects and heat 
<https://www.denverpost.com/2018/12/01/climate-change-impact-colorado/>*
As U.S. government steps out, Colorado scientists and Gov.-elect Jared 
Polis aim to aid adaptation scramble...
- - -
"Fossil fuel extraction is probably really good for the economy in the 
short term," Garfin said. "If you look at the long term, then we have to 
take into account the effects of heat-trapping gases warming up the 
lower atmosphere. It is important to see the connections."

Native Americans around the West are leading efforts to adapt, managing 
forests to increase resilience and restoring water flows where possible, 
said CSU climate researcher Shannon McNeeley, a national assessment 
co-author who has worked with tribes.

Natives cultures grasped how the natural environment, beyond economic 
potential, enabled survival of life in the West, McNeeley said.

"There are lessons we can learn from tribes. There's more of an emphasis 
on viewing the natural world not as a commodity but as important 
relationships and interconnectedness -- having value beyond just 
economic," she said. "The environment has value for our health and for 
our well-being, beyond just financial. What has gotten us into trouble 
is prioritizing economic values. We prioritize that to our detriment."
https://www.denverpost.com/2018/12/01/climate-change-impact-colorado/


[Not a new message, new clarion call]
*Climate change could lead to 'a collapse of our civilization' according 
to Sir David Attenborough*
Famed British naturalist Sir David Attenborough, while speaking at an 
international climate conference Monday in Poland, warned that climate 
change could lead to a "collapse of our civilizations and the extinction 
of much of the natural world."
The 92-year-old TV presenter blamed humans for the "disaster of global 
scale, our greatest threat in thousands of years."
The United Nations' conference, known as COP24 (the informal name for 
the 24th Conference of the Parties), is an annual gathering of the 
world's top experts on climate change.
Also speaking at the conference, the head of the U.N. didn't have many 
encouraging words, either: "Even as we witness devastating climate 
impacts causing havoc across the world, we are still not doing enough, 
nor moving fast enough, to prevent irreversible and catastrophic climate 
disruption," U.N. Secretary-General Antonio Guterres told the thousands 
of delegates from almost 200 countries who gathered in the city of 
Katowice, Poland.
More: U.S. impacts of climate change are intensifying, federal report says
"We need a complete transformation of our global energy economy, as well 
as how we manage land and forest resources," Guterres said. "We need to 
embrace low-carbon, climate-resilient sustainable development."
https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/world/2018/12/03/climate-change-could-lead-collapse-civilization-said-david-attenborough/2195775002/


[We may be techno-humanoids]
*Renee Lertzman on Building a Climate Narrative for Everyone 
<https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0xQyOi3bEmU>*
Climate One
Published on Dec 4, 2018
"As humans, we don't always get things right", says climate engagement 
strategist, author, and speaker Renee Lertzman. But this shortcoming 
leads to opportunities for humans to do what we do "so well", according 
to Lertzman: "grow, create, and innovate."
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0xQyOi3bEmU
- - -
[understanding]
*Overcoming Climate Trauma <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l2QuzHbSt9k>*
Climate One
Published on Dec 4, 2018
Connection between tranquil, calm minds is a building block to rational 
climate solutions, says clinical psychologist Bryant Welch.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l2QuzHbSt9k


[Geospatial World]
*Could Global Warming Cause a Global Economic Collapse? 
<https://www.geospatialworld.net/blogs/could-global-warming-cause-a-global-economic-collapse/>*
By Hannah Evans -  12/03/2018
This September, it was reported that a United Nations panel had 
predicted that the world had 12 years to "check climate change or be 
prepared to face dire consequences". This included limiting the rise in 
the Earth's temperature to less than 1.5 degrees Celsius, with 
scientists from over 40 countries authoring the report. While 
environmental harm is the most pressing and widely acknowledged issue 
related to global warming, there is also the fact that it will likely 
cause a global economic collapse.

A recent report predicted that $34.4 trillion, would be the economic 
damage if global warming is not reversed. Not only does this go against 
Donald Trump's claim that the Paris Climate Accord would "undermine our 
economy", but keeping the temperature down would also increase the 
economies of 71 percent of the world's countries. Not addressing the 
global warming will have the opposite effect and increase economic 
inequality across the globe. It was also noted that the report is an 
underestimate of the cost, as it does not include "tipping points" of no 
return such as the ice caps melting.

As with much of the news on the most dire environmental impacts of 
global warning, it all seems in the distance. However, the economic 
affects are already being felt. There have been increases in extreme 
weather that are costing countries billions in damage.

The Balance informs that hot weather in the US is causing corn and soya 
bean yields to plummet, increasing the prices of food. Mass migration 
has also been a direct result of climate change with 22.5 million 
displaced since 2008, and a total of 700 million predicted by 2050.

Economic instability also exacerbates existing social inequality. As 
huge industrial countries continue to churn out carbon into the air, 
developing countries that do not have the same industry capabilities 
will be the most effected. Developing countries, ill-equipped in 
disaster mitigation, will find themselves at risk of lower water supply, 
periodic droughts, food crisis, and other climate related events. But 
without the developing countries supplying raw materials and cheap 
labour, developed countries will also be affected, through knock-on 
effects to their economies.

These events, most of which an average citizen wouldn't probably 
immediately feel, will dramatically affect the global economy. Food 
scarcity and higher mortality will translate into devastating losses in 
global markets and even more volatility for the world's currencies -- 
which according to FXCM's guide on the Foreign Exchange, has a daily 
trading volume of $5 trillion and is the largest and most liquid market 
in the world. An economic collapse will spell disaster not just for the 
traders who work within this market, but also on entire countries whose 
stores of value will destabilise.

In order to combat this looming economic disaster experts are looking 
towards the rapid development of technology. Smart technology is being 
put forward as the saviour. Even if the technology is fully realised in 
time, the cost of converting the necessary urban and rural areas to 
bring global warming down will be huge.

Financial expert Larry Elliot also argues that governments are 
hypocritical over their promises, putting forward ideas for green growth 
and renewable energy while building more airports and roads. The policy 
of simulating growth to help develop greener directives is suppose to 
create a "balanced approach", but is in fact extending the transition 
away from fossil fuels. Elliot puts forward that a new global 
institution needs to be created "with the power to levy a carbon tax 
globally". If a joint global movement is not found soon, then the $34.4 
trillion cost to the global economy will only be the beginning.
https://www.geospatialworld.net/blogs/could-global-warming-cause-a-global-economic-collapse/


[FOOD FOR THOUGHT - moves to the bar]
*Fishermen Sue Big Oil For Its Role In Climate Change 
<https://www.npr.org/sections/thesalt/2018/12/04/671996313/fishermen-sue-big-oil-for-its-role-in-climate-change>*
December 4, 2018
- - -
Since 2014, the northeast Pacific Ocean has experienced several dramatic 
marine heatwaves. The higher temperatures have caused blooms of toxic 
algae that, by producing the neurotoxin domoic acid, can make Dungeness 
crab and other shellfish unsafe to eat. In the fall of 2015, state 
officials in California and Oregon delayed the opening of crab season by 
several months, until testing finally showed domoic acid levels had 
dipped back to safe levels. Several similar closures have occurred 
since, including this year.

Noah Oppenheim, the executive director of the Pacific Coast Federation 
of Fishermen's Associations, says the 2015-2016 crab fishing closure 
resulted in direct financial losses that caused some boats in the fleet 
of about 1,000 to leave the fishery. Subsequent closures, also caused by 
domoic acid concerns, have further strained the industry, which in 
California and Oregon is worth about $445 million, Oppenheim says.

The lawsuit, filed in California's Superior Court, San Francisco county, 
chronicles the fossil fuel industry's alleged role in obfuscating the 
likely global effects of climate change and demands compensation from 
companies including Chevron, ExxonMobil, BP and Shell Oil.

Climate Change Is Already Hurting U.S. Communities, Federal Report Says
"All these impacts we're dealing with have nothing to do with abundance 
of the stock or overfishing," Oppenheim says. "They're driven by ocean 
warming and these blooms of toxin-producing algae."
- - -
The crabbers' lawsuit calls the domoic acid outbreaks that have harmed 
the fishery "a direct and proximate result of" the defendants' actions.

To adapt to a warming ocean with higher concentrations of domoic acid in 
the food web, the crab industry may need to employ costly measures. 
Ideas on the table, Oppenheim says, include domoic acid testing kits 
that could identify tainted crabs as soon as they're caught, and onshore 
holding tanks where clean recirculated water would rapidly cleanse 
suspect crabs. Whatever the West Coast's crab fishermen do to adapt to 
the changing oceans, Oppenheim says, the world's oil barons should foot 
the bill.

Oppenheim says the impacts now hitting the West Coast crab fishery will 
probably only magnify as the planet continues warming: "It's highly 
likely this is going to become a recurring problem, part of a new ocean 
regime -- the new normal."
https://www.npr.org/sections/thesalt/2018/12/04/671996313/fishermen-sue-big-oil-for-its-role-in-climate-change


[opinion]
I left the Republican ideological bubble. I don't want to join another.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2018/12/03/i-left-republican-ideological-bubble-i-dont-want-join-another/?utm_term=.eb6b175850ba
By Max Boot - December 3 at 4:39 PM
Now that I've left the Republican Party, I am often asked why I simply 
haven't become a Democrat. In part it's because I don't agree with the 
progressive wing of the party: Some of them are as protectionist, 
isolationist and fiscally irresponsible as President Trump. But it's 
also because, after having spent my entire adult life in one ideological 
bubble, I don't want to join another. I refuse to make excuses for Trump 
-- and I don't want to be tempted to make excuses for a future 
Democratic president, either, as so many did for Bill Clinton after his 
sexual misconduct.

Jerry Taylor, formerly of the Cato Institute and now president of the 
Niskanen Center, explained the dangers of ideology in an important essay 
about why he no longer calls himself a libertarian. Ideological 
allegiances, he argues, impede the search for truth: "Given our very 
human tendency to filter out information that does not comport with our 
worldviews -- and excessive attention to information that comports with 
the same -- the more we repair to our ideological lenses, the more 
distorted they become thanks to a spiraling process of confirmation 
bias." Taylor now prefers to pursue "moderation" rather than any 
ideological worldview. So do I.

CNN's Don Lemon and guest Julia Ioffe are being criticized after 
provocative on-air claims. Columnist Eugene Robinson says hold your 
pitchforks. (Gillian Brockell/The Washington Post)

If I wanted any more confirmation of the dangers of what Taylor calls 
"motivated cognition," it came in the hysterical reaction to my recent 
column explaining why I've come to recognize the danger of climate 
change and bemoaning that much of the GOP remains "impervious to science 
and reason." The only potential solution I mentioned was a carbon tax, 
the most free-market approach possible to weaning us of our 
greenhouse-gas addiction. But you would think, to judge by the fury from 
the right, that I had called for the confiscation of all private property:

Michael Doran of the Hudson Institute, in a now-deleted tweet, wrote, 
"Coming up on our series – 'Why Can't Conservatives?' –Maxine Boot will 
report from her Vermont collective on how conservatives refuse to admit 
that gender is socially constructed, that meat is murder, and that Yoga 
and high colonic therapy produces a planet-healing mindfulness." So real 
men don't acknowledge climate change?
Steve Milloy, a lawyer whose twitter handle is (I'm not making this up) 
"@junkscience" and who started an organization called (I'm not making 
this up either) Burn More Coal, wrote: "This is very sad... just angry 
anti-Trumpism. The Deep State's 4th climate assessment is as invented, 
hysteric & noncredible as its 3rd, 2nd and 1st assessments." Uh, the 
Fourth National Climate Assessment was produced by Trump's own 
administration, and it reflects the scientific consensus. As NASA 
observes, "97 percent or more of actively publishing climate scientists 
agree: Climate-warming trends over the past century are extremely likely 
due to human activities."
Andrew Follett of the Club for Growth chimed in: "I do find it 
suspicious that Boot and J Rubin's turn against conservatism came right 
after they accepted paychecks from left-wing outlets." In fact, I turned 
against Trump when I was still a writer for Commentary, and I don't get 
a paycheck from any "left-wing outlets": The Council on Foreign 
Relations, CNN and The Post all employ conservatives; the latter two 
prominently feature pro-Trump commentators. It's galling to be told that 
my painful break with my political tribe after a lifetime of loyalty was 
for mercenary motives given how much more money the likes of Rush 
Limbaugh, Sean Hannity and Tucker Carlson receive for glorifying Trump.
Jonah Goldberg of National Review was particularly exercised about my 
contention that conservatives refuse to acknowledge climate change 
because "they are captives … of the fossil fuel industry" and "of their 
own rigid ideology." But what other explanation is there? I was not 
suggesting, as he seems to think, that all climate-deniers are taking 
fossil-fuel funds, although some are. That's mainly a problem with 
members of Congress, who need campaign donations. But industry lobbying 
also influences ordinary conservatives who fall for the shoddy "studies" 
and shallow op-eds designed to minimize the threat of climate change. I 
ran some of those articles myself years ago when I was the op-ed editor 
at the Wall Street Journal.
Goldberg shows that he hasn't grasped the scientific evidence when he 
writes, in a faux-reasonable vein, that it's possible to "believe that 
climate change is a real concern, with some legitimate science on its 
side." Some? Try all. In support of his own climate-skeptical views, 
Goldberg cites the British science writer Matt Ridley. He has a D.Phil. 
in zoology, but he has not published peer-reviewed research in 
climatology, meteorology or any related discipline, and his argument 
that global warming is benign has been roundly ridiculed by actual 
climate scientists.

One gets the sense, as my Post colleague Jennifer Rubin wrote, that if 
progressives championed the theory of gravity, conservatives would 
denounce it. In fact, public-opinion research suggests that many 
Republicans would be likely to support climate-change solutions if they 
were proposed by Republican leaders -- and conversely many Democrats 
would be likely to oppose them even if they would have backed the very 
same policies when put forward by Democrats. We've already seen the 
parties flip positions on Russia because of Trump. That is the danger of 
ideology, and why I strive for an empirical, non-ideological approach 
instead, even if that leaves me in a political no-man's land where I am 
sniped at by both sides.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2018/12/03/i-left-republican-ideological-bubble-i-dont-want-join-another/?utm_term=.eb6b175850ba


*This Day in Climate History - December 5, 2007 
<http://www.rushlimbaugh.com/daily/2007/12/05/what_s_wrong_with_war_for_oil2> 
- from D.R. Tucker*
December 5, 2007: In a monologue that clearly explains why he had spent 
the previous nineteen years claiming that climate change was a hoax, 
Rush Limbaugh declares:

    "Can I give you a real simple reality? It may be controversial, but
    it's inarguable. This is a world that runs on fossil fuels, folks,
    and it's going to run on fossil fuels long after you and I and your
    grandkids are dead. Wind, solar, all pipe dream stuff, as we sit
    here and speak now. Would somebody explain to me what is so immoral
    about the leaders of this country attempting to maintain a supply
    and access to the fossil fuel that runs the world and runs our
    economy?...What I'm suggesting here is that even if a part of all of
    the strategy here [with the Iraq War] is to maintain the free flow
    of oil at market prices, what in the name of Sam Hill is wrong with
    that? What's the crime? Where's the immorality in it?"

http://www.rushlimbaugh.com/daily/2007/12/05/what_s_wrong_with_war_for_oil2
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