[TheClimate.Vote] February 15, 2018 - Daily Global Warming News Digest -
Richard Pauli
richard at theclimate.vote
Thu Feb 15 10:11:10 EST 2018
/February 15, 2018/
[USA Today]
*Even in best-case scenario for climate change, extreme weather events
likely to continue increasing, experts say
<https://www.usatoday.com/story/tech/science/2018/02/14/extreme-weather-disasters-paris-climate-agreement/336885002/>*
The landmark Paris Agreement, signed by nearly every nation on Earth
except the U.S., aims to keep the world's temperature from rising to
dangerous, climate-shifting levels of 2 degrees Celsius above
pre-industrial levels.
Now, a new study finds that even the best-case scenario of "only" a
1-degree rise could increase the likelihood of extreme weather -
including floods, droughts and heat waves - in the U.S. and around the
world.
The frequency of extreme climate and weather events is already
increasing, and many experts say man-made climate change is an
important motivating factor...
Keeping the world's temperature to a 1-degree Celsius (1.8 degrees
Farenheit) rise is informally known as an "aspirational" target of the
Paris Agreement, compared with the actual commitment of a 2-degree
Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) rise...
Another 2 to 3 degrees Celsuis of global warming would likely lead to
three times as many record-breaking wet days across large chunks of the
U.S., the study said.
More worrisome, several studies have found that even if every nation
follows through on its pledges to cut greenhouse-gas emissions - already
a big if - worldwide average temperatures would be likely to rise closer
to 3 degrees Celsius (5.4 degrees Farenheit) this century, the
Massachusetts Institute of Technology said.
While greater increases in the likelihood of extreme weather events
would be reduced if the world achieves the Paris deal's aspirational
target, "we still will be living in a climate that has substantially
greater probability of unprecedented events than the one we're in now,"
Diffenbaugh said.
Previous studies from Diffenbaugh's team found global warming has
increased the odds of the hottest events across more than 80% of the
planet, while also increasing the likelihood of both wet and dry extremes.
The research appeared Wednesday in the peer-reviewed journal Science
Advances, a publication of the American Association for the Advancement
of Science.
https://www.usatoday.com/story/tech/science/2018/02/14/extreme-weather-disasters-paris-climate-agreement/336885002/
[new view]
*US intel chief deviates from Trump denial, warns about climate change,
potential for 'upheaval'
<https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2018/02/14/world/politics-diplomacy-world/u-s-intel-chief-deviates-trump-denial-warns-climate-change-potential-upheaval/>*
WASHINGTON - The top U.S. intelligence official issued a warning on
Tuesday about the dangers of climate change in testimony that was
seemingly at odds with the skepticism of President Donald Trump and
other members of his administration.
"The impacts of the long-term trends toward a warming climate, more air
pollution, biodiversity loss, and water scarcity are likely to fuel
economic and social discontent - and possibly upheaval - through 2018,"
said Dan Coats, the director of national intelligence...
https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2018/02/14/world/politics-diplomacy-world/u-s-intel-chief-deviates-trump-denial-warns-climate-change-potential-upheaval/
[radar records of bats]
*Bats as barometer of climate change
<https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2018/02/180212190935.htm>
**Shifting behavioral patterns due to environmental change could have
far-reaching implications for agriculture globally*
Bats spend every night hard at work for local farmers, consuming over
half of their own weight in insects, many of which are harmful
agricultural pests, such as the noctuid moths, corn earworm and fall
armyworm. And now they are arriving earlier in the season, and some of
them are reluctant to leave. It seems the bats know more about climate
change than we had realized.
Historical radar data from weather monitoring archives have provided
unprecedented access to the behaviours of the world's largest colony of
migratory bats and revealed changes in the animals' seasonal habits with
implications for pest management and agricultural production.
The work, which focuses on the Bracken Cave colony in southern Texas, is
the first long-term study of animal migration using radar...findings are
published today in Global Change Biology.
"These bats spend every night hard at work for local farmers, consuming
over half of their own weight in insects, many of which are harmful
agricultural pests, such as the noctuid moths, corn earworm and fall
armyworm," says Wainwright.
"Our initial goal was just to show that the populations could be
monitored remotely without disturbing the colony. We weren't expecting
to see anything particularly noteworthy. The results were surprising,"...
Using the radar data, the pair measured the population exiting the
cave every night for 22 years, from 1995 to 2017, enabling them to
record seasonal and longer-term changes.
"We found that the bats are migrating to Texas roughly two weeks earlier
than they were 22 years ago. They now arrive, on average, in mid March
rather than late March," says Wainwright...
This bat study "presents a new perspective on adaptation to global
change, answering some longstanding questions while raising many
more,"...They also note that "weather radar networks are key
infrastructure around much of the world...and hold the promise of
providing continental surveillance of bat populations, as well as their
ongoing responses to global change."
https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2018/02/180212190935.htm
*U.S. Intelligence Community: Impacts of Climate Change Raise the Risk
of Conflict in 2018
<https://climateandsecurity.org/2018/02/14/u-s-intelligence-community-impacts-of-climate-change-raise-the-risk-of-conflict-in-2018/>*
For the past ten years, beginning with the last year of the George W.
Bush Administration, the U.S. intelligence community (IC) has annually
warned policy-makers of the security implications of climate change.
This year is the eleventh. Yesterday, during a hearing of the Senate
Select Committee on Intelligence, the National Intelligence Council
(NIC) Director Dan Coats released the annual "Worldwide Threat
Assessment," which reflects the perspective of the entire U.S.
intelligence community regarding the most significant risks to national
security. Notably, the assessment includes a robust section titled
"Environment and Climate Change" which not only details a range of
security threats related to climate change, but also asserts that these
risks, combined with other natural resources stresses, "*are likely to
fuel economic and social discontent-and possibly upheaval-through
2018.*" In other words, the U.S. intelligence community believes these
threats are not on the distant horizon, but rather, already occurring
and likely to increase political instability this very year.
The assessment also notes that "Extreme weather events in a warmer world
have the potential for greater impacts and *can compound with other
drivers to raise the risk of humanitarian disasters, conflict, water and
food shortages, population migration, labor shortfalls, price shocks,
and power outages.*"
The warning of the potentially destabilizing impacts of climate change
is even more concerning than the NIC's 2017 assessment, which identified
the likelihood of an increase in extreme weather events as a result of
climate change, but stopped short of addressing the heightened
probability of attendant social and economical upheaval and conflict.
This is noteworthy as it is the first Worldwide Threat Assessment that
is wholly a product of analysis conducted under the current
Administration, and affirms the apolitical approach of the IC...Below,
see the most relevant excerpts.
*From the "Environment and Climate Change" section:*
The impacts of the long-term trends toward a warming climate, more air
pollution, biodiversity loss, and water scarcity are likely to fuel
economic and social discontent-and possibly upheaval-through 2018.
The past 115 years have been the warmest period in the history of modern
civilization, and the past few years have been the warmest years on
record. Extreme weather events in a warmer world have the potential for
greater impacts and can compound with other drivers to raise the risk of
humanitarian disasters, conflict, water and food shortages, population
migration, labor shortfalls, price shocks, and power outages. Research
has not identified indicators of tipping points in climate-linked earth
systems, suggesting a possibility of abrupt climate change.
Worsening air pollution from forest burning, agricultural waste
incineration, urbanization, and rapid industrialization-with increasing
public awareness-might drive protests against authorities, such as those
recently in China, India, and Iran.
Accelerating biodiversity and species loss-driven by pollution, warming,
unsustainable fishing, and acidifying oceans-will jeopardize vital
ecosystems that support critical human systems. Recent estimates suggest
that the current extinction rate is 100 to 1,000 times the natural
extinction rate.
Water scarcity, compounded by gaps in cooperative management agreements
for nearly half of the world's international river basins, and new
unilateral dam development are likely to heighten tension between
countries...
Challenges from urbanization and migration will persist, while the
effects of air pollution, inadequate water, and climate change on human
health and livelihood will become more noticeable. Domestic policy
responses to such issues will become more difficult-especially for
democracies-as publics become less trusting of authoritative information
sources.
https://climateandsecurity.org/2018/02/14/u-s-intelligence-community-impacts-of-climate-change-raise-the-risk-of-conflict-in-2018/
For previous U.S. intelligence community assessments covering climate
change, see the Intelligence section of our Resource Hub.
<https://climateandsecurity.org/resources/u-s-government/intelligence/>
https://climateandsecurity.org/resources/u-s-government/intelligence/
Read thecomplete 2018 Worldwide Threat Assessment here.
<https://www.intelligence.senate.gov/sites/default/files/documents/os-dcoats-021318.PDF>
(28 pages)
https://www.intelligence.senate.gov/sites/default/files/documents/os-dcoats-021318.PDF
[ice records]
*NASA's longest running survey of ice shattered records in 2017
<https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2018/02/180213183558.htm>*
Last year was a record-breaking one for Operation IceBridge, NASA's
aerial survey of the state of polar ice. For the first time in its
nine-year history, the mission, which aims to close the gap between two
NASA satellite campaigns that study changes in the height of polar ice,
carried out seven field campaigns in the Arctic and Antarctic in a
single year. In total, the IceBridge scientists and instruments flew
over 214,000 miles, the equivalent of orbiting the Earth 8.6 times at
the equator...
https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2018/02/180213183558.htm
[motivation]
*Pride tops guilt as a motivator for environmental decisions
<https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2018/02/180213120429.htm>*
A lot of pro-environmental messages suggest that people will feel guilty
if they don't make an effort to live more sustainably or takes steps to
ameliorate climate change. But a recent study from Princeton University
finds that highlighting the pride people will feel if they take such
actions may be a better way to change environmental behaviors.
Elke U. Weber, a professor of psychology and public affairs at
Princeton's Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs,
conducted the study -- which appears in the academic journal PLOS ONE --
along with Ph.D. candidate Claudia R. Schneider (who is visiting
Princeton's Department of Psychology through the Ivy League Exchange
Scholar Program) and colleagues at Columbia University and the
University of Massachusetts Amherst.
Past research has shown that anticipating how one will feel afterward
plays a big role in decision-making -- particularly when making
decisions that affect others. "In simple terms, people tend to avoid
taking actions that could result in negative emotions, such as guilt and
sadness, and to pursue those that will result in positive states, such
as pride and joy," said Weber, who also is the Gerhard R. Andlinger
Professor in Energy and the Environment.
Pro-environmental messaging sometimes emphasizes pride to spur people
into action, Weber said, but it more often focuses on guilt. She and her
colleagues wondered which is the better motivator in this area.
https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2018/02/180213120429.htm
[legal frenzy]
*Exxon Sues the Suers in Fierce Climate-Change Case
<https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-02-13/exxon-sues-the-suers-in-fierce-bid-to-defeat-climate-lawsuits>*
As climate-change lawsuits against the oil industry mount, Exxon Mobil
Corp. is taking a bare-knuckle approach rarely seen in legal disputes:
It's going after the lawyers who are suing it.
The company has targeted at least 30 people and organizations, including
the attorneys general of New York and Massachusetts, hitting them with
suits, threats of suits or demands for sworn depositions. The company
claims the lawyers, public officials and environmental activists are
"conspiring" against it in a coordinated legal and public relations
campaign.
Exxon has even given that campaign a vaguely sinister-sounding name:
"The La Jolla playbook." According to the company, about two dozen
people hatched a strategy against it at a meeting six years ago in an
oceanfront cottage in La Jolla, Calif.
"It's an aggressive move," said Howard Erichson, an expert in complex
litigation and a professor at Fordham University School of Law in New
York. "Does Exxon really need these depositions or is Exxon seeking the
depositions to harass mayors and city attorneys into dropping their
lawsuits?"...
Some experts say Exxon's strategy goes beyond mere litigation tactics.
"People often try to use litigation to change the cultural
conversation," said Alexandra Lahav, a professor at the University of
Connecticut School of Law, pointing to litigation over guns and gay
rights as examples. "Exxon is positioning itself as a victim rather than
a perpetrator."
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-02-13/exxon-sues-the-suers-in-fierce-bid-to-defeat-climate-lawsuits
[Map for $ale]*
**Global Warming Map Shows What Happens When the Earth Gets 4 Degrees
Warmer <https://mymodernmet.com/parag-khanna-global-warming-map/>*
We read a lot about global warming in the headlines, and climate change
is certainly one of the biggest concerns for most scientists, but what
would the actual impact on our geography look like? International
relations expert and best-selling author Parag Khanna gives a glimpse
into our possible future with his global warming map.
Khanna's world map shows what Earth would look like if-or when-it
becomes 4 degrees Celsius (39.2 degrees Fahrenheit) warmer. Though first
published by New Scientist in 2009, the map is still a haunting reminder
that we can't afford to sit back when it comes to saving our environment...
Warmer temperatures mean even bigger changes for colder climates, with
Khanna suggesting that the melting of the Himalayan glaciers will cause
populations to abandon Bangladesh and southern India. Canada and Siberia
will transform into hubs of agriculture, warmer climates making them now
suitable to produce much of the world's food supply. And suddenly,
living in Antarctica won't mean bundling up. In fact, Antarctica's
western coast will be densely populated, taking on people who find
themselves fleeing from their once habitable land.
It all seems like strange fiction, but scientists have warned that it's
a sad reality. Since 2013, researchers have predicted that by the end of
the century the world will arrive at this point of no return. "Four
degrees Celsius would likely be catastrophic rather than simply
dangerous," Professor Steven Sherwood of the University of New South
Wales in Australia told The Guardian at the time. "For example, it would
make life difficult, if not impossible, in much of the tropics, and
would guarantee the eventual melting of the Greenland ice sheet and some
of the Antarctic ice sheet."
https://mymodernmet.com/parag-khanna-global-warming-map/
[Audio podcast- long]
*Why we need to rethink climate change, with Timothy Morton - books
podcast
<https://www.theguardian.com/books/audio/2018/feb/13/why-we-need-to-rethink-climate-change-with-timothy-morton-books-podcast>*
Tue 13 Feb 2018
When you first hear some of philosopher Timothy Morton's ideas, they may
sound bizarre. He argues that everything in the universe - from algae
and rocks to knives and forks - has a kind of consciousness. That we
need to scrap the concept of "nature" as being distinct to civilisation.
And, he says, we're ruled by a kind of primitive artificial
intelligence: industrial capitalism.
- play audio [start 12 mins in]
https://www.theguardian.com/books/series/books/podcast.xml
These ideas may sound strange, but sit down with Timothy for five
minutes and they start to make sense. His latest book, Being Ecological,
explores the relationship between humanity and the environment and why
the world's current approach to climate change isn't working. We don't
need endless "factoids" or "guilt-inducing sermons", he says, we need to
radically change how we think about nature - and stop distinguishing
between humans and non-human beings.
Timothy sat down with Sian in the studio and talked about what a human
can do on an individual level to tackle global warming, his work with
Björk and how pop culture can help in philosophical conversation.
https://www.theguardian.com/books/audio/2018/feb/13/why-we-need-to-rethink-climate-change-with-timothy-morton-books-podcast
-
[book review]
*Being Ecological by Timothy Morton review - a playfully serious look at
the environment
<https://www.theguardian.com/books/2018/jan/20/being-ecological-timothy-morton-review>*
There are not too many 'scary facts' in this ambitious book, which draws
on both Kantian philosophy and Star Wars to explain our relationship to
the world
om the outset, Timothy Morton is very clear about the kind of book he
isn't writing. This is not another "confusing information dump, slapping
you upside the head to make you feel bad". What he terms "ecological
information delivery mode", heavy in "factoids" and accompanied by a
"guilt-inducing sermon", is counterproductive. Deluging readers with
scary facts about global warming, which is what most environmental
writers do, is "inhibiting a more genuine way of handling ecological
knowledge". To understand the true gravity of the current situation we
need "to start to live the data".
At the heart of this immensely ambitious book is a radical critique
of how we know and relate to the world around us. Morton argues that
our scientific age is characterised by an epistemological gulf
between objects and data: "things are mysterious, in a radical and
irreducible way". Critical of a scientistic approach to knowledge,
he believes the world can be grasped only by moving to a viewpoint
that is both experiential and reflexive. The observer needs to be
part of the equation: "Being ecological includes a sense of my weird
inclusion in what I'm experiencing."
In order to "live ecological knowledge", Morton thinks we need to break
through the "massive firewall" our Neolithic ancestors built between
humans and non-humans some 12,000 years ago, as they began creating
agriculture and theistic religions. Today we need to abandon the
arrogance of anthropocentrism. In a memorable analogy, drawing on both
Kantian philosophy and Star Wars, Morton observes that the idea of "mind
melding with a non-human being" resembles the Force, an invisible field
that permeates and binds everything. Sensing this "force", the
underlying connectedness of all things, is an experience Morton
describes as "attunement".
To read Being Ecological is to be caught up in a brilliant display of
intellectual pyrotechnics. The playful seriousness of Morton's prose
mixes references to Blade Runner and Tibetan Buddhism with lyrics from
Talking Heads and concepts from German philosophers. He doesn't offer a
plan to make society more environmentally friendly; instead, in what is
an inspiringly idealistic book, he calls for a paradigm shift in our
relationship to the world.
*Being Ecological* is published by Pelican.
https://www.theguardian.com/books/2018/jan/20/being-ecological-timothy-morton-review
[Southeast Chill]
*Polar vortex defies climate change in the Southeast US
<https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2018/02/180213183555.htm>*
Overwhelming scientific evidence has demonstrated that our planet is
getting warmer due to climate change, yet parts of the eastern U.S. are
actually getting cooler. According to a Dartmouth-led study in
Geophysical Research Letters, the location of this anomaly, known as the
"U.S. warming hole," is a moving target.
During the winter and spring, the U.S. warming hole sits over the
Southeast, as the polar vortex allows arctic air to plunge into the
region. This has resulted in persistently cooler temperatures throughout
the Southeast. After spring, the U.S. warming hole moves north and is
located in the Midwest.
The study found that winter temperatures in the U.S. warming hole are
associated with a wavier jet stream, which is linked to natural climate
cycles over the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans, and potentially to climate
change. Previous research has illustrated that warming temperatures and
melting Arctic sea ice set up conditions for a wavier jet stream. The
study revealed that the jet stream over the U.S. became wavier in the
late 1950's, coincident with the start of the warming hole. As such,
since the late 1950's, the polar vortex has been cooling the
southeastern U.S. during the winter.
"By discovering that the U.S. warming hole's location depends on the
season, we've found a new way to help understand this phenomenon," says
Jonathan M. Winter, an assistant professor of geography at Dartmouth and
principle investigator for the research. "For example, the recent
extreme cold snaps in the Southeast, which seem counterintuitive to
global warming, may be related to the U.S. warming hole," added Trevor
F. Partridge, a graduate student in earth sciences at Dartmouth and the
study's lead author.
While the wintertime U.S. warming hole was found to be associated with
the wavier jet stream, this was not the case for summertime
temperatures. This conclusion supports previous studies that find
connections between the summer warming hole in the Midwest and
intensified farming, increased irrigation and air pollution, which
primarily impact climate in summer and autumn.
The study provides new insight on when the U.S. warming hole occurred
and where it is located spatially. Using National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration data from 1,407 temperature stations and
1,722 precipitation stations from throughout the contiguous U.S. from
1901 to 2015, the researchers examined temperature and precipitation
data over time for all stations, and identified stations that were
persistently cooler than average from 1960 to 2015. Daily temperatures
in the warming hole cooled by an average of 1.2 degrees Fahrenheit since
1958, compared to a global average warming of about 1 degree Fahrenheit
over the same period. The findings provide greater context on the cause
of the U.S. warming hole, a phenomenon that has large implications for
both the U.S. agricultural sector, and Midwest and Southeast weather now
and potentially into the future.
https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2018/02/180213183555.htm
[climate modeling]
*Projecting the impacts of climate change
<http://news.mit.edu/2018/projecting-impacts-climate-change-0213>*
Joint Program researchers advocate for improved modeling approach.
Mark Dwortzan Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change
February 13, 2018
How might climate change affect the acidification of the world's oceans
or air quality in China and India in the coming decades, and what
climate policies could be effective in minimizing such impacts? To
answer such questions, decision makers routinely rely on science-based
projections of physical and economic impacts of climate change on
selected regions and economic sectors. But the projections they obtain
may not be as reliable or useful as they appear: Today's gold standard
for climate impact assessments - model intercomparison projects (MIPs) -
fall short in many ways...
Developed over the past 26 years, the MIT Integrated Global System
Modeling (IGSM) framework allows researchers to custom-design
climate-change scenarios and assess climate impacts under those
scenarios. For a given climate change scenario, they can use the
framework to analyze the chain of physical changes at the regional and
sectoral levels, and then estimate economic impacts at those levels...
In the study, Monier and his co-authors applied the IGSM framework to
assess climate impacts under different climate-change scenarios - "Paris
Forever," a scenario in which Paris Agreement pledges are carried out
through 2030, and then maintained at that level through 2100; and "2C,"
a scenario with a global carbon tax-driven emissions reduction policy
designed to cap global warming at 2 degrees Celsius by 2100. The
assessments show that "Paris Forever" would lead to a wide range of
projected climate impacts around the world, evidenced by different
levels of ocean acidification, air quality, water scarcity, and
agricultural productivity in different regions. The "2C" scenario,
however, would mitigate a substantial portion of these impacts. The
researchers also explored additional scenarios developed by Shell
International regarding the potential development of low-carbon energy
technologies...
http://news.mit.edu/2018/projecting-impacts-climate-change-0213
-
[modeling paper]
*Toward a consistent modeling framework to assess multi-sectoral climate
impacts <https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-018-02984-9>*
Erwan Monier, Sergey Paltsev, Andrei Sokolov,...
doi:10.1038/s41467-018-02984-9
13 February 2018
*Abstract*
Efforts to estimate the physical and economic impacts of future
climate change face substantial challenges. To enrich the currently
popular approaches to impact analysis-which involve evaluation of a
damage function or multi-model comparisons based on a limited number
of standardized scenarios-we propose integrating a geospatially
resolved physical representation of impacts into a coupled
human-Earth system modeling framework. Large internationally
coordinated exercises cannot easily respond to new policy targets
and the implementation of standard scenarios across models,
institutions and research communities can yield inconsistent
estimates. Here, we argue for a shift toward the use of a
self-consistent integrated modeling framework to assess climate
impacts, and discuss ways the integrated assessment modeling
community can move in this direction. We then demonstrate the
capabilities of such a modeling framework by conducting a
multi-sectoral assessment of climate impacts under a range of
consistent and integrated economic and climate scenarios that are
responsive to new policies and business expectations.
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-018-02984-9
[classic video from 2014]*
**A Report | Opening Keynote by Naomi Oreskes
<https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JAmZzVlELfw>*
Published on Oct 24, 2014
The Anthropocene Project. A Report
Opening Keynote: "Man as a Geological Agent: Historical and Normative
Perspectives on the Anthropocene" by Naomi Oreskes (Department of the
History of Science, Harvard University, Cambridge, Mass.)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JAmZzVlELfw
[Video fiction - time machine]
*Climate Scientist wants to invent Time Machine, Transmission 2049
<https://youtu.be/FDKJLGETg_I>*
https://youtu.be/FDKJLGETg_I
is a short film produced by Climate State. Will our future be
apocalyptic? What if you could turn back time? What if our actions today
make the difference?
http://climatestate.com/2018/02/12/climate-scientist-wants-to-invent-time-machine-transmission-2049/
*This Day in Climate History February 15, 2010
<http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=123671588&sc=emaf>
- from D.R. Tucker*
February 15, 2010:
NPR's Christopher Joyce reports:
"Most [climate scientists] don't see a contradiction between a
warming world and lots of snow. That includes Kevin Trenberth, a
prominent climate scientist at the National Center for Atmospheric
Research in Colorado.
"'The fact that the oceans are warmer now than they were, say, 30
years ago means there's about on average 4 percent more water vapor
lurking around over the oceans than there was, say, in the 1970s,'
he says.
"Warmer water means more water vapor rises up into the air, and what
goes up must come down.
"'So one of the consequences of a warming ocean near a coastline
like the East Coast and Washington, D.C., for instance, is that you
can get dumped on with more snow partly as a consequence of global
warming,' he says.
"And Trenberth notes that you don't need very cold temperatures to
get big snow. In fact, when the mercury drops too low, it may be too
cold to snow."
http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=123671588&sc=emaf
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