[TheClimate.Vote] January 30, 2018 - Daily Global Warming News Digest
Richard Pauli
richard at theclimate.vote
Tue Jan 30 10:02:51 EST 2018
/January 30, 2018/
[Science Daily]
*Global warming poses substantial flood risk increase for Central and
Western Europe
<https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2018/01/180129092932.htm>*
Europe is expected to see a considerable increase in flood risk in
coming years, even under an optimistic climate change scenario of 1.5 C
warming compared to pre-industrial levels.
A study assesses flood impacts for three scenarios - of 1.5 C, 2 C and 3
C warming - and finds that most of Central and Western Europe will
experience substantial increase in flood risk at all warming levels, and
the higher the warming, the higher the risk.
Damage from floods across Europe is projected to more than double, from
a 113% average increase if warming is kept to 1.5 C, to 145% under the 3
C scenario.
In terms of population affected, the projected increase ranges from 86%
to 123%....
https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2018/01/180129092932.htm
[Audio report]
*Washington Gov. Jay Inslee Pushes Nation's First Carbon Tax
<http://www.wbur.org/hereandnow/2018/01/29/washington-jay-inslee-carbon-tax>*
Washington Gov. Jay Inslee is pushing a first-in-the-nation state plan
to tax carbon emissions. Revenues from the carbon tax would fund
clean-energy projects around the state.
The carbon tax, which would start at $20 per ton in mid-2019 and
increase annually, faces an uncertain future in the state legislature.
Inslee says that despite President Trump being "no help" on climate
change, his state is moving forward without federal support.
On why a carbon tax will pass this time after previous efforts failed
"*No. 1: The public really is understanding the critical nature of this
existential threat.*
*No. 2: We are learning that we can grow our jobs by having clean energy
jobs and that has been very successful in our state.*
"And *No. 3: We finally we have some Democrats who are in the majority
in our state legislature*, so we have a chance to actually tee it up for
discussion....
http://www.wbur.org/hereandnow/2018/01/29/washington-jay-inslee-carbon-tax
[Weather Channel]
*How Did 'Climate Change' and 'Global Warming' Turn Into a Misleading
Trump Talking Point?*
<https://weather.com/news/climate/news/2018-01-29-climate-change-global-warming-trump-piers-morgan>
During an interview with journalist Piers Morgan that aired Sunday on
Britain's ITV network, U.S. President Donald Trump brought up a meme
used often by those who deny climate change. It's a talking point that
deserves a proper burial...
https://weather.com/news/climate/news/2018-01-29-climate-change-global-warming-trump-piers-morgan
-
[Associated Press Fact Check]
*AP FACT CHECK: Data melt Trump's cooling, ice claims
<https://apnews.com/4a89b1accf89460097fb52fb7e307f90/AP-FACT-CHECK>*
WASHINGTON (AP) - President Donald Trump's description of the climate on
planet Earth doesn't quite match what data show and scientists say.
In an interview with Piers Morgan airing Sunday on Britain's ITV News,
the president said the world was cooling and warming at the same time
and that claims of melting ice caps haven't come true.
*TRUMP: *"There is a cooling, and there's a heating. I mean, look, it
used to not be climate change, it used to be global warming. That wasn't
working too well because it was getting too cold all over the place."
Ten different climate scientists contacted by The Associated Press said
the president was not accurate about climate change. Rutgers University
climate scientist Jennifer Francis responded in an email: "Clearly
President Trump is relying on alternative facts to inform his views on
climate change. Ice on the ocean and on land are both disappearing
rapidly, and we know why: increasing greenhouse gases from burning
fossil fuels that trap more heat and melt the ice. "
*THE FACTS: *The world hasn't had a cooler than average year since 1976
and hasn't had a cooler than normal month since the end of 1985,
according to more than 135 years of temperature records kept by NASA and
the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
The last four years have been the four hottest years on record globally,
with 2010 the fifth hottest year, according to NOAA. Every year in the
21st century has been at least three quarters of a degree (0.4 degrees
Celsius) warmer than the 20th century average and in the top 25 hottest
years on record, NOAA records show.
And while a good chunk of the United States had a frigid snap recently,
most of the rest of the world was far warmer than normal, according to
temperature records.
Zeke Hausfather of the Berkeley Earth temperature monitoring program -
initially funded by non-scientists who doubt that the world is warming -
said in an email: "The world has been warming steadily over the past 50
years, with 17 of the past 18 years being the warmest since records
began in the 1850s. It is not accurate to say that the climate has been
'cooling as well as warming'."
*TRUMP: "The ice caps were going to melt, they were going to be gone by
now, but now they're setting records. They're at a record level."**
**THE FACTS: It is a bit more nuanced, but not quite right.*
While a small number of experts a decade ago had predicted that Arctic
would be free of summer sea ice by now, most mainstream scientists and
the United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change did not,
instead they said Arctic sea ice would shrink, which it has, said
Pennsylvania State University ice scientist Richard Alley. Most
scientists, including the director of the National Snow and Ice Data
Center, are predicting that the Arctic will be free of summer sea ice
sometime around the 2040s.
The Arctic set a record for the lowest amount of sea ice in the winter,
when sea ice usually grows to its maximum levels, in March 2017. In
2012, the Arctic set a record for lowest sea ice levels. Sea ice
recovered slightly from that record and in 2017 in September, the annual
low was only the eighth lowest on record, according to the National Snow
and Ice Data Center. But the 10 lowest years of sea ice have been all in
the last 11 years. Arctic sea ice is declining at a rate of 13.2 percent
per decade, according to NASA.
*Sea Ice Extent Sinks to Record Lows at Both Poles
<https://www.nasa.gov/feature/goddard/2017/sea-ice-extent-sinks-to-record-lows-at-both-poles>*
https://www.nasa.gov/feature/goddard/2017/sea-ice-extent-sinks-to-record-lows-at-both-poles
Princeton University climate scientist Michael Oppenheimer said the
Antarctic sea ice pack, less directly influenced by global climate
change, varies from year to year. Antarctica hit a record low for sea
ice in March 2017, the same month the Arctic hit a record winter low.
Antarctic sea ice also reached a record high in 2014.
"Both of the large ice sheets of Greenland and Antarctica are losing
hundreds of billions of tons of ice per year. Sea ice continues to
decline significantly in the Arctic decade by decade, and the thickness
of Arctic ice is now less than 50 percent of what it was 40 years ago,"
National Snow and Ice Data Center scientist Ted Scambos said in an email.
Associated Press writer Gregory Katz in London contributed to this report.
https://apnews.com/4a89b1accf89460097fb52fb7e307f90/AP-FACT-CHECK
[military]
*Kremlin and U.S. Circle Each Other in Warming Arctic
<https://www.thecipherbrief.com/article/asia/kremlin-u-s-circle-warming-arctic>*
*Bottom Line: *The potential of economic development in the Arctic for a
financially strapped Russia has increased the Kremlin's attention to the
security of its northern waters. The result is a push to bolster its
military presence in the region. But against a backdrop of increasing
geopolitical tensions between Russia and the West, Moscow's objectives
and tactics, portrayed as merely defensive, increasingly stir concern
among the U.S. and its NATO allies. They worry that Russia is seeking to
control what could soon become a prominent maritime trade route.
*Background:* Arctic warming and the melting of sea ice has increased
shipping through the Northern Sea Route that runs along Russia's Arctic
coast. But fears of competition over resources, such as the region's
vast undiscovered hydrocarbon reserves, appears to be driving much of
Russia's push for control.
Adm. (ret.) Jonathan Greenert, former Chief of Naval Operations, U.S. Navy
"There has been physical evidence of change in the Arctic's ice pack
for decades now. We are experiencing the creation of a new body of
water – at the top of the world. The Arctic is 'navigable' in parts
for some period of the year. Navigable here means that some ships
can traverse certain parts of the Arctic sometimes. It does not mean
that the Arctic is fully navigable for merchant or cruise ships.
Estimates of when some parts of the Arctic will be ice-free –
available for passage without hardened (expensive) hulls – vary.
Consensus is mid 2020s."
The Arctic is estimated to contain a third of the world's undiscovered
natural gas, 13 percent of its undiscovered oil reserves and large
quantities of the planet's rare earth metals that are largely under
China's control for the time being. Low oil prices and harsh
environmental conditions have delayed the start of full-scale drilling,
but this could be changing. In April last year, President Donald Trump
signed an executive order aimed at lifting Obama-era restrictions on
Arctic drilling, though the rule-making process is likely to take time....
https://www.thecipherbrief.com/article/asia/kremlin-u-s-circle-warming-arctic
-
[trade irony]
*Tanker carrying liquefied natural gas from Russia's Arctic arrives in
Boston
<https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/economy/tanker-carrying-liquefied-natural-gas-from-russias-arctic-arrives-in-boston/2018/01/28/08d3894c-0497-11e8-8777-2a059f168dd2_story.html>*
https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/economy/tanker-carrying-liquefied-natural-gas-from-russias-arctic-arrives-in-boston/2018/01/28/08d3894c-0497-11e8-8777-2a059f168dd2_story.html
https://www.politico.com/story/2018/01/26/russia-gas-sanctions-american-homes-312866
[Nate Hagens video lecture 1:20]
*WEP2018 TV: Energy, Money and Technology - From the Lens of the
Superorganism <https://youtu.be/2DpfsqjQbP0>*
During Nate Hagens' #WEP2018 keynote ... how all of our lives will be
influenced by how we react to the coming era of harder to extract and
more costly fossil fuels that will be combined with cleaner but more
stochastic energy types.
https://youtu.be/2DpfsqjQbP0
[2 video book review: "Scale"
<https://www.amazon.com/Scale-Universal-Innovation-Sustainability-Organisms/dp/1594205582/ref=sr_1_1>]
*Global Warming Increases Pace of Life, Thus Death Rates: A
<https://youtu.be/0oCfy5SU-_4>*
Paul Beckwith - Published on Jul 30, 2017
For every 18 F (10 C) rise in temperature the metabolic rate doubles &
thus the rate of living doubles.
https://youtu.be/0oCfy5SU-_4
-
*Global Warming Increases Pace of Life, Thus Death Rates: B
<https://youtu.be/5145BHxLGb8>*
The Paris agreement aims for a maximum 2 C (3.6 F) temperature rise, yet
this change leads to a 20% to 30% increase in metabolic rate, thus
growth & mortality rates. This is mind-boggling. The pace of almost all
biological life across all scales increases 20 to 30%.
This will wreak havoc on ecosystems; in fact the entire ecology of the
planet. Including food supply. Please support my videos with a donation
at http://paulbeckwith.net
https://youtu.be/5145BHxLGb8
-
[Book]
*Scale: The Universal Laws of Growth, Innovation, Sustainability, and
the Pace of Life in Organisms, Cities, Economies, and Companies
<https://www.amazon.com/Scale-Universal-Innovation-Sustainability-Organisms/dp/1594205582/ref=sr_1_1>*
by Geoffrey West (Author)
https://www.amazon.com/Scale-Universal-Innovation-Sustainability-Organisms/dp/1594205582/ref=sr_1_1
[Flat Earther convention report]
*Flat Earther: "Do your own research."
<https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X5DPEbuIHnA>*
video <https://youtu.be/X5DPEbuIHnA> https://youtu.be/X5DPEbuIHnA
In the age of Trump, conspiracy nuts turn to flat Earthism.
Natural outgrowth of the anti-science movement.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X5DPEbuIHnA
*This Day in Climate History January 30, 1976
<January%2030,%201976:%20The%20US%20Supreme%20Court%20issues%20the%20Buckley%20v.%20Valeo,ruling,%20one%20of%20several%20controversial%20rulings%20that%20effectively%20allow,polluters%20to%20interfere%20with%20the%20US%20political%20process.,,,http://www.fec.gov/law/litigation/Buckley.pdf>
- from D.R. Tucker*
January 30, 1976: The US Supreme Court issues the /Buckley v. Valeo/
ruling, one of several controversial rulings that effectively allow
polluters to interfere with the US political process.
http://www.fec.gov/law/litigation/Buckley.pdf
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