[TheClimate.Vote] July 29, 2018 - Daily Global Warming News Digest

[Richard Pauli]

/July 29, 2018/

[CBS news reports]
*Record-breaking heat and fires are worsened by climate change, 
scientists say 
<https://www.cbsnews.com/news/record-breaking-heat-and-fires-are-worsened-by-climate-change-scientists-say/>*
Heat waves are setting all-time temperature records 
<https://www.cbsnews.com/news/texas-record-high-temperatures-temps-near-120-degrees-in-southwest-today-2018-07-24/> 
across the globe -- again. Europe sufferedits deadliest fire 
<https://www.cbsnews.com/news/fire-in-greece-officials-see-serious-indications-arson-led-to-forest-fire-relatives-head-to-athens-morgue-2018-07-26/> 
in more than a century, and one of nearly 90 large fires in the U.S. 
West burned dozens of homes 
<https://www.cbsnews.com/news/carr-fire-redding-fire-evacuation-shasta-county-california-wildfire-destroys-homes-2018-07-28/> 
and forced the evacuation of at least 37,000 people near Redding, 
California. Flood-inducing downpours 
<https://www.cbsnews.com/news/dangerous-weather-eastern-united-states-flood-watches-latest-forecast-2018-07-25/> 
have pounded the U.S. East this week.
It's all part of summer - but it's all being made worse by human-caused 
climate change <https://www.cbsnews.com/climate-change/>, scientists say.
"Weirdness abounds," said Rutgers University climate scientist Jennifer 
Francis.
Japan hit 106 degrees on Monday, its hottest temperature ever. Records 
fell in parts of Massachusetts, Maine, Wyoming, Colorado, Oregon, New 
Mexico and Texas. And then there's crazy heat in Europe, where normally 
chill Norway, Sweden and Finland all saw temperatures they have never 
seen before 
<https://www.cbsnews.com/news/fires-in-sweden-wildfires-rage-amid-intense-nordic-heat-wave-2018-07-18/> 
on any date, pushing past 90 degrees. So far this month, at least 118 of 
these all-time heat records have been set or tied across the globe, 
according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration 
<http://www.noaa.gov/>.
The explanations should sound as familiar as the crash of broken records.
"We now have very strong evidence that global warming has already put a 
thumb on the scales, upping the odds of extremes like severe heat and 
heavy rainfall," Stanford University climate scientist Noah Diffenbaugh 
said. "We find that global warming has increased the odds of 
record-setting hot events over more than 80 percent of the planet, and 
has increased the odds of record-setting wet events at around half of 
the planet."...
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/record-breaking-heat-and-fires-are-worsened-by-climate-change-scientists-say/
- - - - -
[Same news story]
*Extreme heat and wildfires made worse by climate change, say scientists 
<https://www.nbcnews.com/news/weather/extreme-heat-wildfires-worsened-climate-change-say-scientists-n895496>*
Europe suffered its deadliest fire in more than a century, and wildfires 
in the western United States forced thousands of people from their homes.
by Associated Press / Jul.28.2018
Heat waves are setting all-time temperature records across the globe, again.
Europe suffered its deadliest fire in more than a century, and one of 
nearly 90 large fires in the U.S. West burned dozens of homes and forced 
the evacuation 
<http://www.nbcnews.com/news/weather/smoke-california-s-huge-cranston-fire-creates-its-own-weather-n895081> 
of at least 37,000 people near Redding, California. Flood-inducing 
downpours have pounded the U.S. East this week.
It's all part of summer - but it's all being made worse by human-caused 
climate change 
<http://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/two-government-websites-climate-change-survive-trump-era-n891806>, 
scientists say.
"Weirdness abounds," said Rutgers University climate scientist Jennifer 
Francis.
Japan hit 106 degrees on Monday, its hottest temperature ever. Records 
fell in parts of Massachusetts, Maine, Wyoming, Colorado, Oregon, New 
Mexico and Texas...
And then there's crazy heat in Europe, where normally chill Norway, 
Sweden and Finland all saw temperatures they have never seen before on 
any date, pushing past 90 degrees.
So far this month, at least 118 of these all-time heat records have been 
set or tied across the globe, according to the National Oceanic and 
Atmospheric Administration.
The explanations should sound as familiar as the crash of broken records.
- - - - -
Climate scientists have long said they can't directly link single 
weather events, like a heat wave, to human caused climate change without 
extensive study. In the past decade they have used observations, 
statistics and computer simulations to calculate if global warming 
increases the chances of the events.

A study by European scientists Friday found that the ongoing European 
heat wave is twice as likely because of human-caused global warming, 
though those conclusions have not yet been confirmed by outside 
scientists...
The World Weather Attribution <https://www.worldweatherattribution.org/> 
team said they compared three-day heat measurements and forecasts for 
the Netherlands, Denmark and Ireland with historical records going back 
to the early 1900s.

    "The world is becoming warmer and so heat waves like this are
    becoming more common," said Friederike Otto, a member of the team
    and deputy director of the Environmental Change Institute at the
    University of Oxford.

Erich Fischer, an expert on weather extremes at the Swiss Federal 
Institute of Technology in Zurich who wasn't part of the analysis said 
the authors used well-established methods to make their conclusions.

Georgia Tech climate scientist Kim Cobb said the link between climate 
change and fires isn't as strong as it is with heat waves, but it is 
becoming clearer...
A devastating fire in Greece - with at least 83 fatalities - is the 
deadliest fire in Europe since 1900, according to the International 
Disaster Database run by the Centre for the Research on the Epidemiology 
of Disasters in Brussels, Belgium.

    In the United States on Friday, there were 89 active large fires,
    consuming nearly 900,000 acres, according to the National
    Interagency Fire Center. So far this year, fires have burned 4.15
    million acres, which is nearly 14 percent higher than average over
    the past 10 years.

The first major science study to connect greenhouse gases to stronger 
and longer heat waves was in 2004. It was titled "More intense, more 
frequent and longer lasting heat waves in the 21st century."

Study author Gerald Meehl of the National Center for Atmospheric 
Research said Friday that now it "reads like a prediction of what has 
been happening and will continue to happen as long as average 
temperatures continue to rise with ever-increasing emissions of 
greenhouse gases from burning fossil fuels. It's no mystery."
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/weather/extreme-heat-wildfires-worsened-climate-change-say-scientists-n895496


[what BBC does:]
*Carr fire: California blaze kills children and great-grandmother 
<https://www.mercurynews.com/2018/07/10/why-california-fire-season-is-off-to-worst-start-in-10-years/>*
Two children and their great-grandmother are among five people to have 
died in a raging wildfire in northern California, reports say.
Two firefighters died on Thursday, 17 people are missing and tens of 
thousands have fled their homes.
The fires in Shasta county are being sucked up by strong winds to form 
"fire tornados" that are uprooting trees and overturning cars, fire 
officials say.
Firefighters are battling the blaze, which is only 5% contained so far.
The blazes, known as the Carr fire, have destroyed at least 500 
structures and are threatening thousands of homes.
The wildfire began on Monday after a car malfunctioned. It has scorched 
over 48,000 acres (194 sq km) of land - an area larger than the city of 
San Francisco.
The photos that explain the world's wildfires 
<https://www.bbc.com/news/world-44943143>
Reality Check: Mapping the global heatwave 
<Reality%20Check:%20Mapping%20the%20global%20heatwave>
Why wildfires are breaking out in the 'wrong' countries 
<https://www.bbc.com/news/world-44941999>
Sherry Bledsoe has confirmed that her grandmother Melody Bledsoe, 70, 
and her two children Emily Roberts, five, and James Roberts, four, died 
in the fire, reports say.
They were caught in the path of the fire as they were about to evacuate 
their home in the town of Redding, NBC reported.
Melody Bledsoe's husband, Ed, earlier described how she had called him 
while he was out shopping and told him to return home because the fire 
was getting close to the house.
When he reached home he found it destroyed and surrounded by police 
tape, he said.
Another relative told NBC that Melody Bledsoe had called police to say 
they were trapped inside the house but the line went dead during the call.
Two firefighters - fire inspector Jeremy Stoke, and a bulldozer operator 
who has not yet been named, died trying contain the blaze.
More than 3,400 firefighters have been deployed 
<http://www.fire.ca.gov/current_incidents/incidentdetails/Index/2164> - 
but the local fire department has warned that hot, dry weather is 
forecast for the rest of the week, and could make the blaze worse.
"We are seeing fire whirls - literally what can be described as a 
tornado," California department of forestry and fire protection 
(CalFire) chief Ken Pimlott told reporters.
"This fire was whipped up into a whirlwind of activity" by gale-force 
winds, he said, "uprooting trees, moving vehicles, moving parts of 
roadways."
"These are extreme conditions... we need to take heed and evacuate, 
evacuate, evacuate."
     Fire whirls, also known as fire "tornadoes", are spinning vortexes 
of air, ash and fire
     They form when rising hot air begins to rotate and forms a vortex 
that picks up flammable gases and burning debris vegetation
     Fire whirls typically only last a few minutes but can be very 
dangerous because they can move quickly
     They can reach dozens of metres in height, with core temperatures 
as high as 1,090C.
About 37,000 residents have been forced to leave the area.
One local, Liz Williams, found herself and her two children stuck in 
traffic as people rushed to evacuate. She eventually fled by foot.
"I've never experienced something so terrifying in my life," she told AP 
news agency. "I didn't know if the fire was just going to jump out 
behind a bush and grab me and suck me in."
The Carr fire is one of almost 90 active large fires in the US, 
according to the National Interagency Fire Center.
In California, the Ferguson fire has killed one firefighter and led to 
the closure of much of Yosemite National Park, while the Cranston fire 
in Riverside County in the south has burned 11,500 acres (46 sq km) of land.
Wildfires are a common occurrence in California during the state's long, 
hot, dry summers.
However, *experts say this has been the worst start to the fire season 
in 10 years 
<https://www.mercurynews.com/2018/07/10/why-california-fire-season-is-off-to-worst-start-in-10-years/>* 
- partly due to the 2012-2017 drought that killed off large amounts of 
vegetation.
In December,***Governor Jerry Brown said devastating wildfires fuelled 
by climate change had become "the new normal" 
<https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-42297370>*, and that large 
fires "could happen every year or every few years".

[visual of Calif wildfire data]
https://twitter.com/ClimateSignals/status/1022903140721483776


[Climate change science comeback strategies]
*Steering conversations with people adamantly resistant to accepting 
climate science. (Part I) 
<https://www.yaleclimateconnections.org/2018/07/climate-change-science-comeback-strategies-part-one/>*
The first lesson is this: have a conscious strategy, rather than a 
knee-jerk response. Think about where you want to go and what your goals 
are. And if your aim is to simply make the other person feel bad or look 
bad, then maybe reconsider if that's helpful to either of you....
  - - -
Strategy #1 - Correct the science
At its core, climate change is a scientific topic, although the 
controversy around it is largely pinned to ideology, rather than to 
scientific acumen. Nonetheless, a healthy dose of science is rarely a 
bad idea, as long as it's delivered in a constructive manner. Remember, 
climate contrarians who have changed their minds have credited science 
more than any other factor...
- - - -
Strategy #2 - Expose the myth, misinformation, or fallacy
Few may be surprised that most attempts to undermine climate science 
hinge on some type of misinformation. Cherry-picked data, fake experts, 
and conspiracy theories are well-worn hallmarks of contrarian rhetoric...
- - - -
Strategy #3 - Engage in dialogue
One of the hardest tasks when faced with someone whose opinions clash 
with yours is to take a deep breath and do the unthinkable: listen...
- - - -
Strategy #4 - Be persuasive
Scott Gruhn doesn't have formal training in climate science or 
communications, but he demonstrates admirable skill in both arenas. 
Gruhn is a tireless, effective defender and explainer of climate science 
on Facebook. His persuasive posts routinely get people to soften their 
stance and consider evidence, and he's even been able to usher a half 
dozen people to do a complete turnabout in their views...
https://www.yaleclimateconnections.org/2018/07/climate-change-science-comeback-strategies-part-one/


[media: "much more serious issues being put aside" like global warming]
*Noam Chomsky on Mass Media Obsession with Russia & the Stories Not 
Being Covered in the Trump Era <https://youtu.be/x6qk01yq-dY?t=3m13s>*
Democracy Now!
Published on Jul 27, 2018
https://democracynow.org - The New York Times reports special counsel 
Robert Mueller is scrutinizing President Trump's tweets as part of 
Mueller's expanding probe into Trump's ties to Russia. This latest 
revelation in the Mueller investigation is part of a nearly 24-hour 
stream of headlines about Trump, Russia and the administration's various 
scandals. But is the mainstream media missing the real stories amid its 
obsession with “Russiagate”? For more, we speak with world-renowned 
political dissident, linguist, author and professor Noam Chomsky on 
media manipulation in the Trump era.
Democracy Now! is an independent global news hour that airs weekdays on 
nearly 1,400 TV and radio stations Monday through Friday. Watch our 
livestream 8-9AM ET: https://democracynow.org
https://youtu.be/x6qk01yq-dY?t=3m13s


[Letters to the Editor - Opinion]
*Californians can ride in cars or fight climate change. They can't do 
both 
<http://www.latimes.com/opinion/readersreact/la-ol-le-climate-change-cars-20180727-story.html>*
http://www.latimes.com/opinion/readersreact/la-ol-le-climate-change-cars-20180727-story.html


[Sunday criticizing the NYTimes for blaming all  humans]
*Looking for the Enemy 
<https://medium.com/@huntercutting/looking-for-the-enemy-7b0813ff9b0c>
NYT Magazine's Nathaniel Rich Goes Full Pogo 
<https://medium.com/@huntercutting/looking-for-the-enemy-7b0813ff9b0c>*
By Hunter Cutting
According to Jake Silverstein, the editor in chief of the New York Times 
Magazine, "the August 5 issue of @NYTmag will be dedicated entirely to a 
single story, a captivating, revelatory history about the decade we 
almost stopped climate change, but didn't."
And the breathless hype doesn't stop there, Silverstein lauds the 
author, Nathaniel Rich, tweeting the piece as: *"a remarkable piece of 
historical journalism that will change the way you think about global 
warming."*
Unfortunately the early hints suggest that Rich's piece will do anything 
but that.

    "I question whether partisanship is really our biggest problem. And
    I question whether the industries' misinformation campaign, as
    cynical and clownish as it is, is the problem."
    And a bit later, Rich doubles down, going on to say:
    "I question additionally whether a lack of public concern is our
    biggest problem."
    *"What is our problem? The shortest, most simple answer, I believe,
    is human nature.* We're a medium-term species. We plan ahead, but
    only so far. We're willing to sacrifice comfort in the present for
    security in the future, but within reason."
    It is at this point that Rich effectively throws out thirty years of
    political history, and blames you and me for climate change. He's
    gone full Pogo, declaring he has met the enemy and it is us...
    So I question whether partisanship is really our biggest problem.
    And *I question whether the industries' misinformation campaign, as
    cynical and clownish as it is, is the problem."
    *

Ironically Rich himself would appear to be exhibit A for his argument 
about the limitations of human vision. However, I hope I'm wrong about 
that, and I look forward to reading the NYT special issue. Regardless, 
there is a huge range in the natural variability of the human species. 
Better pundits with clearer vision are out there.
https://medium.com/@huntercutting/looking-for-the-enemy-7b0813ff9b0c


[DOE video visualization]
*E3SM: DOE's New, State-of-the-Science Earth System Model 
<https://youtu.be/8Df96rx3i9g>*
doescience Published on Apr 23, 2018
The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) today unveiled a powerful, new earth 
system model that uses the world's fastest computers so that scientists 
can better understand how earth system processes interact today and how 
they may evolve in the future. The Energy Exascale Earth System model, 
or E3SM, is the product of four years of development by top geophysical 
and computational scientists across DOE's laboratory complex. This video 
highlights the capabilities and goals of the E3SM project. For more 
information, visit www.E3SM.org. [comments have been disabled]
https://youtu.be/8Df96rx3i9g


[One more thing from a Russian scientist]
*Vladimir Vernadsky and the Disruption of the Biosphere 
<http://climateandcapitalism.com/2018/06/05/vladimir-vernadsky-and-the-disruption-of-the-biosphere/>*
Posted on June 5, 2018
Vladimir Vernadsky, 1863-1945
Virtually unknown in the west, the great Russian geologist and 
geochemist pioneered scientific study of life's impact on the Earth.
The first scientist to undertake a serious study of the dynamic 
relationship between life and the Earth as a whole was the Russian 
geochemist Vladimir Ivanovich Vernadsky. Born in 1863 and educated in 
St. Petersburg, Munich and Paris, by 1900 he was well-known both as a 
geologist and as a liberal opponent of Tsarist autocracy. A founder of 
the Constitutional Democratic (Kadet) Party and member of its central 
committee for many years, he represented the universities' constituency 
in the Duma (Parliament) from 1906 to 1911, when he resigned to protest 
government attacks on academic freedom. In 1915, he founded the 
Commission for the Study of the Natural Productive Forces of Russia 
(KEPS), to identify sources of strategic raw materials: its work 
continued under the Soviet government until 1930. Although he opposed 
the Bolshevik revolution, he resigned from the Kadets when the party 
supported military action against the new government. After the Civil 
War, he returned to Petrograd and resumed his position as head of the 
Academy of Sciences.

In the early 1930s, Vernadsky criticized the government's takeover of 
scientific institutions, and objected to attempts to impose dialectical 
materialism as an official and mandatory philosophy. He frequently 
intervened privately to aid scholars who faced official censorship or 
persecution. But for the most part he refrained from publicly opposing 
Stalin's policies, to avoid endangering his scientific work. He wasn't a 
Marxist, but he was a Russian patriot, eager to contribute to the 
country's development, and that probably saved him from the fate of many 
other scientists in the purges. As his biographer notes, “it was not 
uncommon for Stalinists to worry more about Marxists with whom they 
disagreed and whom they distrusted, than they did about non-Marxists who 
worked loyally for the regime, did not intrigue, and were no real threat 
to Stalin's position.”[3]
- - - - -
The Biosphere
In 1922, while studying and teaching in Paris, Vernadsky wrote “A plea 
for the establishment of a biogeochemical laboratory,” and sent it to 
scientific bodies in Europe and the United States, hoping to get 
international funding, but only the Soviet government responded 
positively.[4] He established his laboratory - really a small research 
institute - in Leningrad in 1926.
Vernadsky's focus on biogeochemistry - he created both the word and the 
science -reflected his conviction that the composition and principal 
characteristics of our planet could not be explained by geology and 
chemistry alone. “I realized,” he later wrote, “that the basis of 
geology lies in the chemical element - in the atom - and that living 
organisms play a prominent role, perhaps the leading one, in our natural 
environment - the biosphere.”
http://climateandcapitalism.com/2018/06/05/vladimir-vernadsky-and-the-disruption-of-the-biosphere/


[Classic video from April 2018]
*Changing the Climate: How Public Health, Cities, and the Media Can 
Advance Climate Solutions <https://youtu.be/fikdONZ9a50>*
KEYNOTE
Gina McCarthy, Former Administrator, United States Environmental 
Protection Agency and Professor of the Practice of Public Health, 
Environmental Health, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health
https://youtu.be/fikdONZ9a50


[Satire relief Trevor Noah]
*THE WORLD IS ON FIRE 
<http://www.cc.com/video-clips/ofx6b3/the-daily-show-with-trevor-noah-the-world-is-on-fire>*
Clip7/26/2018
Climate scientists sound the alarm about record-breaking high 
temperatures across the globe, and Trevor offers a few creative solutions.
http://www.cc.com/video-clips/ofx6b3/the-daily-show-with-trevor-noah-the-world-is-on-fire


<July%2029,%202004:%20At%20the%20Democratic%20National%20Convention,%20Senator%20John%20Kerry%20of%20Massachusetts,%20the%20Democratic%20Presidential%20nominee,%20notes%20that%20if%20he%20is%20elected,%20he%20will%20%22have%20a%20vice%20president%20who%20will%20not%20conduct%20secret%20meetings%20with%20polluters%20to%20rewrite%20our%20environmental%20laws.%22,,He%20also%20observes:,,%E2%80%9CWe+value+an+America+that+controls+its+own+destiny+because+it%27s+finally+and+forever+independent+of+Mideast+oil.+What+does+it+mean+for+our+economy+and+our+national+security+when+we+have+only+3+percent+of+the+world%27s+oil+reserves,%20yet%20we%20rely%20on%20foreign%20countries%20for%2053%20percent%20of%20what%20we%20consume?,,%E2%80%9CI+want+an+America+that+relies+on+its+ingenuity+and+innovation,%20not%20the%20Saudi%20royal%20family.,,%E2%80%9CAnd+our+energy+plan+for+a+stronger+America+--+our+energy+plan+will+invest+in+new+technologies+and+alternative+fuels+and+the+cars+of+the+future,%20so%20that%20no%20young%20American%20in%20uniform%20will%20ever%20be%20held%20hostage%20to%20our%20dependence%20on%20oil%20from%20the%20Middle%20East.%22,,http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A25678-2004Jul29.html,,http://www.c-spanvideo.org/program/Day4Ev>*This 
Day in Climate History - July 29, 2004 
<July%2029,%202004:%20At%20the%20Democratic%20National%20Convention,%20Senator%20John%20Kerry%20of%20Massachusetts,%20the%20Democratic%20Presidential%20nominee,%20notes%20that%20if%20he%20is%20elected,%20he%20will%20%22have%20a%20vice%20president%20who%20will%20not%20conduct%20secret%20meetings%20with%20polluters%20to%20rewrite%20our%20environmental%20laws.%22,,He%20also%20observes:,,%E2%80%9CWe+value+an+America+that+controls+its+own+destiny+because+it%27s+finally+and+forever+independent+of+Mideast+oil.+What+does+it+mean+for+our+economy+and+our+national+security+when+we+have+only+3+percent+of+the+world%27s+oil+reserves,%20yet%20we%20rely%20on%20foreign%20countries%20for%2053%20percent%20of%20what%20we%20consume?,,%E2%80%9CI+want+an+America+that+relies+on+its+ingenuity+and+innovation,%20not%20the%20Saudi%20royal%20family.,,%E2%80%9CAnd+our+energy+plan+for+a+stronger+America+--+our+energy+plan+will+invest+in+new+technologies+and+alternative+fuels+and+the+cars+of+the+future,%20so%20that%20no%20young%20American%20in%20uniform%20will%20ever%20be%20held%20hostage%20to%20our%20dependence%20on%20oil%20from%20the%20Middle%20East.%22,,http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A25678-2004Jul29.html,,http://www.c-spanvideo.org/program/Day4Ev> 
- from D.R. Tucker*
July 29, 2004: At the Democratic National Convention, Senator John Kerry 
of Massachusetts, the Democratic Presidential nominee, notes that if he 
is elected, he will "have a vice president who will not conduct secret 
meetings with polluters to rewrite our environmental laws."
He also observes:

    “We value an America that controls its own destiny because it's
    finally and forever independent of Mideast oil. What does it mean
    for our economy and our national security when we have only 3
    percent of the world's oil reserves, yet we rely on foreign
    countries for 53 percent of what we consume?

    “I want an America that relies on its ingenuity and innovation, not
    the Saudi royal family.

    “And our energy plan for a stronger America -- our energy plan will
    invest in new technologies and alternative fuels and the cars of the
    future, so that no young American in uniform will ever be held
    hostage to our dependence on oil from the Middle East."

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A25678-2004Jul29.html
http://www.c-spanvideo.org/program/Day4Ev

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