[TheClimate.Vote] July 30, 2018 - Daily Global Warming News Digest
Richard Pauli
richard at theclimate.vote
Mon Jul 30 11:25:46 EDT 2018
/July 30, 2018/
LA Times
*Death toll mounts as wildfires rage across California
<http://www.latimes.com/local/lanow/la-me-ln-new-carr-fire-mainbar-20180729-story.html>*
The death toll from the state's wildfires continued to mount Sunday,
with eight fatalities now reported from blazes burning in Shasta County
and near Yosemite National Park.
In Mariposa County, where firefighters have spent weeks battling the
Ferguson fire, officials reported that a firefighter based at Sequoia
and Kings Canyon National Parks died after being struck by a falling
tree. Meanwhile, crews attacking the Carr fire in and around Redding
said they had located another body - the fourth civilian to perish in
that blaze - and reported that hundreds more structures were destroyed.
Firefighters are battling 17 wildfires across the state, which have
consumed more than 200,000 acres combined in terrain stretching from
Southern California to the Oregon border, said Jonathan Cox, battalion
chief and information officer with the California Department of Forestry
and Fire Protection. With so many burning near populated areas,
"resources are obviously stretched thin," he said.
"We've had 17 fires before," Cox said. "But these are impacting
communities - and they're large fires, not small."...
more at:
http://www.latimes.com/local/lanow/la-me-ln-new-carr-fire-mainbar-20180729-story.html
- - - -
[Fire news tracker]
*2018 California Fire Tracker
<https://projects.sfchronicle.com/2018/fire-tracker/>*
Full fire coverage <https://www.sfchronicle.com/california-wildfires-2018/>
This interactive map developed in The San Francisco Chronicle newsroom
provides information on wildfires burning across California.
*https://projects.sfchronicle.com/2018/fire-tracker/
*
Fire perimeters are based on infrared and thermal imaging from
NASA's MODIS and VIIRS-I products.
*SF Chronicle California Wildfires
<https://www.sfchronicle.com/california-wildfires-2018/>*
https://www.sfchronicle.com/california-wildfires-2018/
- - - -
*Carr Fire: Today’s motto - "Looking for small victories"
<https://www.redding.com/story/news/2018/07/30/carr-fire-what-we-know-monday-morning/862260002/>*
https://www.redding.com/story/news/2018/07/30/carr-fire-what-we-know-monday-morning/862260002/
- - - -
*PHOTOS: Apocalyptic Carr Fire burns through Shasta County
<http://abc7news.com/photos-apocalyptic-carr-fire-burns-through-shasta-county/3835150/>*
http://abc7news.com/photos-apocalyptic-carr-fire-burns-through-shasta-county/3835150/
[follow the money]*
**Global Heat Wave will Hit Your Wallet Soon
<https://climatecrocks.com/2018/07/29/global-heat-wave-will-hit-your-wallet-soon/>*
July 29, 2018
Bloomberg:
<https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2018-07-25/heatwave-hits-commodities-from-crops-in-texas-to-french-power>
Commodity producers are having a summer to remember, for all the wrong
reasons.
A heatwave across swathes of North America, Europe and Asia, coupled
with a worsening drought in some areas, is causing spikes in the prices
of anything from wheat to electricity. Cotton plants are stunted in
parched Texas fields, French rivers are too warm to effectively cool
nuclear reactors and the Russian wheat crop is faltering.
The scorching heat is extracting a heavy human cost - contributing to
floods in Japan and Laos and wildfires near Athens. Relief from soaring
temperatures, which topped 30 degrees Celsius (86 degrees Fahrenheit) in
the Arctic Circle, may not arrive for at least two weeks.
- - - -
The heat and lack of rainfall is pummeling crops across Europe as far as
the Black Sea. Output in Russia, the world's top wheat exporter, is set
to fall for the first time in six years, while concerns continue to
mount about smaller crops in key growers such as France and Germany.
Wheat futures for December have jumped almost 10 percent in the past
month in Paris, with prices this week reaching the highest since the
contract started trading in 2015...
- - - -
Phys.org: <https://phys.org/news/2018-07-drought-germany-breadbasket.html>
While southern Germany has seen largely normal rainfall this year, the
north has been in the grip of an unrelenting high-pressure system
creating weather conditions more familiar in southern France or Italy.
"We expect billions in losses," DBV president Joachim Rukwied told
German media last week.
Investor's Business Daily:
<https://www.investors.com/research/futures/wheat-crop/>
A drought that's hit wheat crops across the Black Sea region and Europe
will force top buyer Egypt to pay more for supplies.
The cheapest offer in Tuesday's tender was more than $14 a metric ton
higher than what Egypt's state-run buyer paid in its last purchase,
according to traders familiar with the process and data compiled by
Bloomberg. The General Authority for Supply Commodities is seeking wheat
for Sept. 1-10 delivery.
Benchmark futures trading in Chicago have surged almost 20% this year,
and Paris wheat for December is trading near a record for the contract.
Dry weather means Russian production will fall for the first time in six
years. Output in Ukraine will be lower than expected. Crops in France,
Germany and the Baltic countries are also expected to decline from a
year earlier.
"Egypt will have to pay more," said Pierre Tronc, a broker at BGC
Partners, speaking before offers were made. "It is just a question of
price. I don't see supply being a problem."
https://climatecrocks.com/2018/07/29/global-heat-wave-will-hit-your-wallet-soon/
[Climate.gov and NOAA]*
**Climate change rule of thumb: cold "things" warming faster than warm
things
<https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/beyond-data/climate-change-rule-thumb-cold-things-warming-faster-warm-things>*
Author: Deke Arndt
Colder places are warming faster than warmer places
This rule of thumb is really dominated by the fact that the arctic is
the fastest-warming large region on the planet. The Arctic is warming at
more than twice the rate of the rest of the world. This "Arctic
amplification" is driven by a handful of factors; the largest of these
is the retreat of seasonal snow and ice. As the white stuff goes away,
it exposes darker surfaces and land cover underneath; this introduces an
additional warming effect across the region.
- - - -
If you've been following the National Center for Environmental
Information'smonthly reports
<http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/national/201510>(and you should!), you
may have noticed that this year's extensive warmth in the western United
States is driven by extremes in minimum (overnight low) temperatures
<http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/service/national/statewidetminrank/201501-201510.gif>,
even more so thanmaximum (afternoon high) temperatures
<http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/service/national/statewidetmaxrank/201501-201510.gif>.
And that's not just a snapshot, it's a trend. As the world warms,
nighttime temperatures are slightly outpacing daytime temperatures in
the rate of warming. Technically speaking, since 1900, the rate of
warming for overnight temperatures is1.45F per century
<http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cag/time-series/us/110/0/tmin/ytd/12/1895-2015?base_prd=true&firstbaseyear=1901&lastbaseyear=2000&trend=true&trend_base=100&firsttrendyear=1900&lasttrendyear=2015>,
versus a daytime warming
of<http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cag/time-series/us/110/0/tmax/ytd/12/1895-2015?base_prd=true&firstbaseyear=1901&lastbaseyear=2000&trend=true&trend_base=100&firsttrendyear=1900&lasttrendyear=2015>1.13F
per century.
<http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cag/time-series/us/110/0/tmax/ytd/12/1900-2015?base_prd=true&firstbaseyear=1900&lastbaseyear=2000&trend=true&trend_base=100&firsttrendyear=1900&lasttrendyear=2015>That
may not seem like a big deal, until you realize that the nighttime rate
is more than 20% higher than the daytime rate.
The relative warming of nighttime temperatures also translates strongly
into the pattern of extremes, which tend to amplify changes in the
baseline. The graphic below depicts theUS Climate Extremes Index
<https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/extremes/cei/>, or CEI for short, for
overnight temperatures (top panel) and afternoon temperatures (bottom
panel) for each summer since 1910.
- - -
Colder seasons are warming faster than warmer seasons
The migration of seasonal snow lines isn't just a north-south latitude
thing; it's also an up-down altitude thing. On mountains themselves,
there is a noticeable effect ofincreased warming at mountain stations
near the average snow/no-snow line
<http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1029/2008GL034026/abstract>,
which is leaning more toward no-snow- and thus, additional warming-in
recent years. The rate of warming with elevation in general is complex -
probably too complex to qualify as a rule of thumb, but there is
evidence thathigh-elevation places are warming more
<https://www.climate.gov/news-features/featured-images/mountain-air-becoming-less-brisk-more-high-elevation-observations>,
on average, than lower elevation places.
In most of the mid-latitudes, where most Americans live, and where we
have something resembling four seasons each year, the cold season is
warming the most rapidly of all. This shows up clearly in the US
temperature record, particularly during the last quarter-century, when
the excursions from the long-term average are much larger during the
winter season than the summer.
https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/beyond-data/climate-change-rule-thumb-cold-things-warming-faster-warm-things
[data visualization]
*Global CH4 Levels <http://www.methanelevels.org/>*
RECENT AND HISTORICAL METHANE DATA COMBINED.
http://www.methanelevels.org/
[Opinion]*
Letter: Forget Russiagate, clean up environment or we're cooked
<http://www.telegram.com/news/20180728/letter-forget-russiagate-clean-up-environment-or-were-cooked>*
I just heard astrophysicist Adam Frank, and saw Al Gore's "An
Inconvenient Sequel," and feel "Enough is enough." Our news obsesses on
Russiagate and war against Iran while only one issue truly matters, the
fact that once those ice sheets and glaciers melt, we're done. This new
Iran war the psychos are selling us will cost us the trillions we need
to get off fossil fuels. We need to be putting aside differences, stop
the paranoia, start a dialogue with every single world leader, and start
talking about how, together, we're going to stop runaway Global Warming
by eliminating fossil fuels. Many of our differences are over these
fuels anyway. The Telegram and every media outlet has got to sound the
alarm and get us going. The time for inaction is over.
- - - -
As Adam Frank says, " Venus is 800 degrees, hot enough to melt lead.
Venus should have jungles on it. It's the product of runaway global
warming, just like Earth will be if we go over a 2 degree rise. How many
record high years, superstorms, floods and droughts, wild fires, dead
coral reefs, crashed fisheries, sargassum (macroalgae/seaweed) blooms,
dying bats, polar bears, and trees, the scariest being phyto plankton
which we need to breathe, before people wake up and take emergency
action. We need a Green New Deal, RIGHT NOW. Folks, wake up or we're done.
Charlotte Burns
Palmer
http://www.telegram.com/news/20180728/letter-forget-russiagate-clean-up-environment-or-were-cooked
[depends on your definition]
*Glossary of climate change
<https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Glossary_of_climate_change>*
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
This article serves as a glossary of climate change terms. It lists
terms that are related to global warming.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Glossary_of_climate_change
[or a full Trojan gift horse]
*The Carbon Tax and the Art of the Deal: Time for Some Horse-Trading
<https://insideclimatenews.org/news/25072018/republican-carbon-tax-bill-carlos-curbelo-congress-climate-change-regulation-highway-funding-gas-trade-offs>*
BY: JOHN H. CUSHMAN, JR.
Republican Rep. Carlos Curbelo introduced a carbon tax bill in Congress
this week. What would he have to trade to win enough votes for it to pass?
https://insideclimatenews.org/news/25072018/republican-carbon-tax-bill-carlos-curbelo-congress-climate-change-regulation-highway-funding-gas-trade-offs
[A Battleground in Mass Media - Video]
*The War on Science Presented by Shawn Otto
<https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4NvHT-AmK4E>*
Lone Star College-Kingwood
Published on Mar 29, 2017
Shawn Otto Q & A: https://youtu.be/okV8VCdywNA
Shawn Otto has worked for years to get politicians to focus on and
debate the major science issues like climate change and to base policy
decisions on evidence, while working to get journalists to do a better
job of covering these important questions.
[propaganda https://youtu.be/4NvHT-AmK4E?t=46m27s]
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4NvHT-AmK4E
Texas Wind Passing the Heat Test
*Clean Economy Weekly (newsletter
<https://insideclimatenews.org/newsletter/clean-economy-weekly>*):
The electricity grid that serves most of Texas hit an all-time
record for demand last Thursday, topping out at 73,259 megawatts
between 4 p.m. and 5 p.m. The record may not stand for long, as hot
conditions continue.
*The heat is causing hardship across the state and the country, and
also providing lessons for the people who manage the grid and make
energy policy.*
*Texas leads the nation in wind energy. Meanwhile, the state has
seen a wave of coal-plant closings, as the plants cannot compete
with less expensive power from renewables and natural gas....*
- - - -
*The wind has been strong during times of peak demand in South
Texas, Webber said*. At the same time, West Texas has been less
windy, as the hot conditions lead to stagnant air, he said.
The grid is run by the Electricity Reliability Council of Texas, or
ERCOT, and its planning for the heat can serve as a model, Webber
said. The council said in April that it expected record-breaking
demand and laid out the steps it would use to keep the system
running under high stress.
https://insideclimatenews.org/newsletter/clean-economy-weekly
[Sarcasm or satire - from The Onion]
*Sea Level Rise By The Numbers
<https://www.theonion.com/sea-level-rise-by-the-numbers-1827905162>*
https://www.theonion.com/sea-level-rise-by-the-numbers-1827905162
[conclusion to a famous skit]
*Remembering what Obama said about climate change
<https://youtu.be/G6NfRMv-4OY?t=3m1s>*
President Obama's Anger Translator (Full + HD) at White House
Correspondent's Dinner
https://youtu.be/G6NfRMv-4OY?t=3m1s
*This Day in Climate History - July 30, 2010
<http://youtu.be/sWlwmzgLzVc> - from D.R. Tucker*
July 30, 2010: On MSNBC's "The Rachel Maddow Show," fill-in host Chris
Hayes and Mother Jones reporter Kate Sheppard discuss the coal
industry's role in killing climate-change legislation.
http://youtu.be/sWlwmzgLzVc
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