[TheClimate.Vote] May 23, 2018 - Daily Global Warming News Digest

Richard Pauli richard at theclimate.vote
Wed May 23 10:45:54 EDT 2018


/May 23, 2018/

[new data]
*Premature Birth Rates Drop in California After Coal and Oil Plants Shut 
Down 
<https://insideclimatenews.org/news/22052018/air-pollution-coal-power-plants-oil-health-risks-premature-births-california>*
Within a year of eight coal- and oil-fired power plant retirements, the 
rate of preterm births in mothers living close by dropped, finds new 
study on air pollution.
By Sabrina Shankman
Shutting down power plants that burn fossil fuels can almost immediately 
reduce the risk of premature birth in pregnant women living nearby, 
according to research published Tuesday.
Researchers scrutinized records of more than 57,000 births by mothers 
who lived close to eight coal- and oil-fired plants across California in 
the year before the facilities were shut down, and in the year after, 
when the air was cleaner.
The study, published in the American Journal of Epidemiology, found that 
the rate of premature births dropped from 7 to 5.1 percent after the 
plants were shuttered, between 2001 and 2011. The most significant 
declines came among African American and Asian women. Preterm birth can 
be associated with lifelong health complications.
The results add fresh evidence to a robust body of research on the 
harmful effects of exposure to air pollution, especially in young 
children - even before they're born.

    "The ah-ha moment was probably just seeing what a large, estimated
    effect size we got," said lead author Joan Casey, who is a
    post-doctoral fellow at UC Berkeley. "We were pretty shocked by it -
    to the point that we did many, many additional analyses to try to
    make it go away, and didn't succeed."
    California Power Plant Closures Coal Oil Preterm Births

    Coal- and oil-fired power plants emit a bevy of air pollutants that
    have known negative impacts on public health - including fine
    particulate matter (or PM 2.5), nitrogen oxides, sulfur dioxides,
    benzene, lead and mercury.

Using birth records from the California Department of Public Health, the 
researchers found mothers who lived within 5 kilometers, 5-10 kilometers 
and 10-20 kilometers of the eight power plants. The women living 
farthest away provided a control group, since the authors assumed their 
exposure would be minimal.
The authors controlled for many socioeconomic, behavioral, health, race 
and ethnicity factors affecting preterm birth. "That could account for 
things like Obamacare or the Great Recession or the housing crisis," 
Casey said.
The study found that the women living within 5 kilometers of the plants, 
those most exposed to the air pollution, saw a significant drop in 
preterm births...
more at: 
https://insideclimatenews.org/news/22052018/air-pollution-coal-power-plants-oil-health-risks-premature-births-california


[E&E news and Scientific American] 
<https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/government-sea-level-rise-report-released-after-charges-of-censorship/>*
Government Sea Level Rise Report Released after Charges of Censorship 
<https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/government-sea-level-rise-report-released-after-charges-of-censorship/>*
Long-delayed study examines potential for rising seas to damage national 
parks
A high-profile case of alleged scientific censorship ended Friday when 
the National Park Service published a long-delayed report outlining how 
rising seas could damage parks across the country.
The report includes references to mankind's role in climate change - 
something federal officials had tried scrubbing from the study, 
according to documents released under a state open records request. The 
study had languished under administrative review since early 2017.
Although National Park Service officials say the report was handled 
properly, the study's lead author says the administrative review process 
has morphed from a "rubber stamp" into a tool for the government to 
suppress inconvenient science.
"Censorship is a good word for that," said Maria Caffrey, the University 
of Colorado, Boulder, researcher who led the study. She plans to file a 
scientific integrity complaint.
The alleged interference, first reported by the Center for Investigative 
Reporting's Reveal, attracted attention from Democratic lawmakers and 
the inspector general for the Interior Department, which includes the 
National Park Service. The affair also raised pressure on the Interior 
Department at a time when Secretary Ryan Zinke was defending political 
staff for reviewing research prior to publication...
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/government-sea-level-rise-report-released-after-charges-of-censorship/
- - - -
[Heard on All Things Considered]
*Foreign Investors Shrug Off Miami's Rising Sea Levels 
<https://www.npr.org/2018/05/21/611919853/foreign-investors-shrug-off-miamis-rising-sea-levels>*
May 21, 2018
Locals are increasingly finding even inland streets flooded during high 
tide  -  the rising Atlantic Ocean sluicing through the porous limestone 
that South Florida is built upon. Catfish and even an octopus have been 
spotted in the floodwaters, as storm drains operate in reverse. Miami 
Beach is eyeing $500 million in infrastructure upgrades, installing 80 
new pumps over a decade to redirect floodwaters back to the ocean. The 
city of Miami approved a bond offering that would include about $200 
million for projects to prevent flooding and mitigate sea-level rise.
Even so, Zillow estimates that by the end of the century, nearly half a 
million Miami homes could be submerged. That's tops in the country.
https://www.npr.org/2018/05/21/611919853/foreign-investors-shrug-off-miamis-rising-sea-levels
- - - -*
New Report Predicts Rising Tides, More Flooding 
<https://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-way/2018/03/05/590901652/new-report-predicts-rising-tides-more-flooding>*
https://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-way/2018/03/05/590901652/new-report-predicts-rising-tides-more-flooding


[GMA]
*Suspenseful bodycam video shows dramatic wildfire evacuations 
<https://www.yahoo.com/gma/suspenseful-bodycam-video-shows-dramatic-wildfire-evacuations-121204793--abc-news-topstories.html>*
Suspenseful body-camera footage of last year's deadly Santa Rosa 
wildfires shows officers racing to evacuate residents in the middle of 
the night as flames destroyed the surrounding neighborhood, according to 
The Santa Rosa Police department, which released snippets of footageon 
its YouTube page 
<https://abcnews.go.com/topics/business/companies/youtube.htm>.
One video shows officers banging on a door and yelling for residents to 
exit a home as a wall of flames rages in the backyard.
ABC News previously reported 
<https://abcnews.go.com/US/california-firefighters-turned-corner-historic-blazes-calm-weather/story?id=50505145> 
that more than 40 people died in the wildfires, which also destroyed 
thousands of homes, according to the California Department of Forestry 
and Fire Protection.
Santa Rosa, a city of about 175,000 in Sonoma County, was among the 
hardest-hit areas, with at least 2,834 homes, businesses and other 
buildings destroyed. Critical infrastructure was also lost in the 
flames, including the city's fire station, according to Santa Rosa Mayor 
Chris Coursey.
https://www.yahoo.com/gma/suspenseful-bodycam-video-shows-dramatic-wildfire-evacuations-121204793--abc-news-topstories.html


[Phys.org]
*Scientists find widespread ocean anoxia as cause for past mass 
extinction 
<https://phys.org/news/2018-05-scientists-widespread-ocean-anoxia-mass.html>*
May 21, 2018, University of New Mexico
The research, "Abrupt global-ocean anoxia during Late Ordovician-early 
Silurian detected using uranium isotopes of marine carbonates," was 
published today in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 
(PNAS). It was supported, in part, through a three-year, $680,000 
National Science Foundation grant.
"This extinction is the first of the 'big five' extinctions that hit the 
Earth and our research indicates that it was coincident with the abrupt 
development of widespread ocean anoxia that lasted for at least 1 
million years," said Elrick.
Working with an international crew, Elrick and her team travelled to 
Anticosti Island in the St. Lawrence seaway of Quebec, Canada where they 
collected limestone rock samples. The returned samples were analyzed for 
uranium isotopes using a mass spectrometer housed in the UNM Department 
of Earth and Planetary Sciences. Results from the study indicate that 
abrupt and widespread marine anoxia occurred at the same time 85 percent 
of marine life went extinct...
- - - -
Elrick is also studying three of the other 'big five' mass extinctions 
using uranium isotopes as oxygenation proxy.
"So far each of them have widespread anoxia associated with them, so we 
are finding that low seawater oxygen concentrations is a major killer," 
Elrick said
These results for the past 'big five' mass extinctions have implications 
for the modern extinction our planet is presently experiencing.
"We are warming and acidifying the oceans today and warmer oceans hold 
less and less oxygen. Some marine organisms can handle the heat and the 
acidity, but not the lack of oxygen" Elrick said. "All these things are 
happening today and the results from the Late Ordovician study indicate 
the potential severity of marine anoxia as an extinction driver for many 
of the past and ongoing biologic extinction events."
Explore further: Studying oxygen, scientists discover clues to recovery 
from mass extinction
More information: Rick Bartlett el al., "Abrupt global-ocean anoxia 
during the Late Ordovician–early Silurian detected using uranium 
isotopes of marine carbonates," PNAS (2018). 
www.pnas.org/cgi/doi/10.1073/pnas.1802438115
Read more at: 
https://phys.org/news/2018-05-scientists-widespread-ocean-anoxia-mass.html#jCp


[Possibly an anthem]
*Neil Young - Who's Gonna Stand Up (Official Music Video) 
<https://youtu.be/NkiRR3T_3NY>*
video 4:30
Protect the wild, tomorrow's child
Protect the land from the greed of man
Take out the dams, stand up to oil
Protect the plants and renew the soil

Who's gonna stand up and save the Earth?
Who's gonna say that she's had enough?
Who's gonna take on the big machine?
Who's gonna stand up and save the Earth?
This all starts with you and me

End fossil fuel, draw the line
Before we build one more pipeline
End fracking now, let's save the water
And build a life for our sons and daughters

Who's gonna stand up and save the Earth?
Who's gonna say that she's had enough?
Who's gonna take on the big machine?
Who's gonna stand up and save the Earth?
This all starts with you and me

Damn the dams, save the rivers
Starve the takers and feed the givers
Let's build the green and save the world
We're the people known as EARTH

Who's gonna stand up and save the Earth?
Who's gonna say that she's had enough?
Who's gonna take on the big machine?
Who's gonna stand up and save the Earth?
This all starts with you and me
- - https://youtu.be/NkiRR3T_3NY


[Classic Rant from Dec 2017]
*What Will It Really Take to Avoid Collapse? 
<https://patternsofmeaning.com/2017/12/19/what-will-it-really-take-to-avoid-collapse/?blogsub=flooded#blog_subscription-3>*
Fifteen thousand scientists have issued a dire warning to humanity about 
impending collapse but virtually no-one takes notice. Ultimately, our 
global systems, which are designed for perpetual growth, need to be 
fundamentally restructured to avoid the worst-case outcome...
- - - -
The largest Ponzi scheme in history
Which leads us to some of the underlying structural changes that need to 
occur if human civilization is to avoid collapse. The fundamental 
problem is brutally simple: our world system is based on the premise of 
perpetual growth in consumption, which puts it on a collision course 
with the natural world. Either the global system has to be restructured, 
or we are headed for a catastrophe of immense proportions that has never 
been experienced in human history. However, the transnational 
corporations largely responsible for driving this trajectory are 
structurally designed to prevent the global changes that need to take place.
Something that is only dimly understood outside financial circles is 
that the vast bulk of the wealth enjoyed by the global elite is based on 
a fabrication: a belief in the future growth in earnings that 
corporations will deliver. For example, the current P/E ratio of the S&P 
500 is about 23, which means that investors are valuing companies at 
twenty-three times their earnings for this year. Another way of looking 
at it is that less than 5% of the wealth enjoyed by investors relates to 
current activity; the rest is based on the dream of future growth...
https://patternsofmeaning.com/2017/12/19/what-will-it-really-take-to-avoid-collapse/?blogsub=flooded#blog_subscription-3


Capital Weather Gang
*Mosquito explosion in southwest Russia makes it 'impossible' to leave 
home 
<https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/capital-weather-gang/wp/2018/05/21/mosquito-explosion-in-southwest-russia-makes-it-impossible-to-leave-home/?utm_term=.6bca0dbc6bb4>*
By Jason Samenow May 21
Torrential rains and abnormally warm weather have spurred a mosquito 
infestation that has terrorized the Voronezh region in southwest Russia.
Photos and video show the bloodsucking insects swarming yards, coating 
cars and surrounding homes.
This report from the Russian media company RT is reminiscent of the 
Alfred Hitchcock horror movie "The Birds":

    People are suffering from itchy bites and swelling and say that it's
    "impossible" to leave their homes. Children are refusing to go to
    school as they are immediately "eaten alive" by the insects. Even at
    home people find scant refuge, as the tiny menaces manage to crawl
    through any crack they can find. Outside is far worse, as roads
    cannot even be seen through mosquito hordes, according to local media.

Vestivrn, another Russian news organization, said (translated from 
Russian) that their numbers were  "unprecedented" and that the insects 
had "eaten several pigs" that died as a result, although one official 
was skeptical that mosquitoes were the cause...
- - - -
As climate change makes the air more warm and humid, the mosquito season 
is predicted to lengthen while their habitats expand in some parts of 
the world. A study published in 2015 found that if the Arctic 
temperature rises 2 degrees Celsius, juvenile mosquitoes would have a 53 
percent improved chance of reaching adulthood.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/capital-weather-gang/wp/2018/05/21/mosquito-explosion-in-southwest-russia-makes-it-impossible-to-leave-home/?utm_term=.6bca0dbc6bb4


[Scientific American]
*Antarctic Quest Seeks to Predict the Fate of a Linchpin Glacier 
<https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/antarctic-quest-seeks-to-predict-the-fate-of-a-linchpin-glacier/>*
Adventurer scientists swarm the melting Thwaites Glacier for clues to 
how fast sea level will rise
If Thwaites Glacier goes, so might the entire West Antarctic Ice Sheet. 
Thwaites has long been recognized as a linchpin for the massive expanse, 
which covers an area the size of Mexico and could unleash more than 
three meters of sea level rise were it all to melt. Thwaites alone is 
losing 50 billion tons of ice a year, and recent research suggests the 
glacier has already entered an unstoppable cycle of melt and retreat 
that has scientists seriously worried....
more at: 
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/antarctic-quest-seeks-to-predict-the-fate-of-a-linchpin-glacier/


[Snopes says nopes]
*Do Rocks Falling Into the Ocean Contribute to Global Sea Level Rise? 
<https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/do-rocks-contribute-sea-rise/>*
On human timescales, sediment and rocks flowing into the ocean do not 
appreciably contribute to observed sea level rise; on larger timescales, 
the question is irrelevant.
On 16 May 2018, the House Committee on Science, Space, and Technology 
held a hearing ostensibly to discuss the ways in which "technology could 
be deployed for climate change adaptation." As this committee's hearings 
are wont to do, however, some committee members used their time to 
interrogate the expert witness about the veracity of basics of climate 
science.
In this case, that witness was Philip Duffy, the president of the Woods 
Hole Research Center in Massachusetts. The most infamous exchange 
occurred between Duffy and Representative Mo Brooks, a Republican from 
Alabama. Philip Bump at the Washington Post described it in a gripping 
play-by-play:

    Brooks asked Duffy what else might be contributing [to observed
    sea-level rise besides expanding oceans and melting ice]. Duffy
    pointed to ground subsidence, which is the sinking of the ground in
    places that can exacerbate the problem of rising sea levels. […]
    "Those are all that I know of," Duffy replied.
    "What about erosion!" Brooks exclaimed. "Every single year that
    we're on Earth, you have huge tons of silt deposited by the
    Mississippi River, by the Amazon River, by the Nile, by every major
    river system  -  and for that matter, creek, all the way down to the
    smallest systems. And every time you have that soil or rock whatever
    it is that is deposited into the seas, that forces the sea levels to
    rise.
    Because now you've got less space in those oceans because the bottom
    is moving up. […] What about the white cliffs of Dover?" Brooks
    continued. "California, where you have the waves crashing against
    the shorelines and time and time again you have the cliffs crash
    into the sea. All of that displaces the water which forces it to
    rise, does it not?"

Brooks is accurate when he says that tons of material  -  silt, sand, 
dissolved solids, maybe some rocks from the cliffs of Dover, etc.  -  
are constantly flowing into the world's ocean basins. According to the 
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration:

    It is estimated that the rivers and streams flowing from the United
    States alone discharge 225 million tons of dissolved solids and 513
    million tons of suspended sediment annually to the ocean. Throughout
    the world, rivers carry an estimated four billion tons of dissolved
    salts to the ocean annually.

Though his question makes sense from an elementary physics standpoint, 
Brooks is inaccurate in suggesting that this contributes in any 
meaningful way to the sea level rise attributed to anthropogenic global 
warming. Certainly, when you put something into water, that water is 
displaced and the water rises relative to the volume of that object  -  
we can thank Archimedes for that one. On human timescales, however, the 
amount of water displaced by this sediment flow is essentially 
undetectable...
More at: https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/do-rocks-contribute-sea-rise/

*This Day in Climate History - May 23, 2006 
<http://web.archive.org/web/20060602003144/http://www.opinionjournal.com/columnists/pdupont/?id=110008416> 
- from D.R. Tucker*
May 23, 2006: In perhaps the most hilariously demented attack on "An 
Inconvenient Truth," former Delaware Congressman and Governor Pete Du 
Pont declares in a Wall Street Journal op-ed that we don't need to 
reduce C02 emissions because C02 is "vital for plant growth."
http://web.archive.org/web/20060602003144/http://www.opinionjournal.com/columnists/pdupont/?id=110008416

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