[TheClimate.Vote] June 20, 2020 - Daily Global Warming News Digest

Sat Jun 20 09:15:52 EDT 2020

/*June 20, 2020*/

[speaks of social tipping points]
*Greta Thunberg: Climate change 'as urgent' as coronavirus*
By Justin Rowlatt - Chief environment correspondent
Greta Thunberg says the world needs to learn the lessons of coronavirus 
and treat climate change with similar urgency.

That means the world acting "with necessary force", the Swedish climate 
activist says in an exclusive interview with BBC News.

She doesn't think any "green recovery plan" will solve the crisis alone.

And she says the world is now passing a "social tipping point" on 
climate and issues such as Black Lives Matter...
- - -
"People are starting to realise that we cannot keep looking away from 
these things", says Ms Thunberg, "we cannot keep sweeping these 
injustices under the carpet".

She says lockdown has given her time to relax and reflect away from the 
public gaze.

Ms Thunberg has shared with the BBC the text of a deeply personal 
programme she has made for Swedish Radio...
- -
She says the only way to reduce emissions on the scale that is necessary 
is to make fundamental changes to our lifestyles, starting in developed 
countries. But she doesn't believe any leaders have the nerve to do that.

Instead, she says, they "simply refrain from reporting the emissions, or 
move them somewhere else".

She claims the UK, Sweden and other countries do this by failing to 
account for the emissions from ships and aircraft and by choosing not to 
count the emissions from goods produced in factories abroad.

As a result, she says in her radio programme, the whole language of 
debate has been degraded.

"Words like green, sustainable, 'net-zero', 'environmentally friendly', 
'organic', 'climate-neutral' and 'fossil-free' are today so misused and 
watered down that they have pretty much lost all their meaning. They can 
imply everything from deforestation to aviation, meat and car 
industries," she said.

Ms Thunberg says the only positive that could come out of the 
coronavirus pandemic would be if it changes how we deal with global 
crises: "It shows that in a crisis, you act, and you act with necessary 
force."

She says she is encouraged that politicians are now stressing the 
importance of listening to scientists and experts...
- -
The teenager believes the only way to avoid a climate crisis is to tear 
up contracts and abandon existing deals and agreements that companies 
and countries have signed up to.

"The climate and ecological crisis cannot be solved within today's 
political and economic systems", the Swedish climate activist argues. 
"That isn't an opinion. That's a fact."

Thunberg talks movingly of a road-trip she and her father took through 
North America in an electric car borrowed from Arnold Schwarzenegger, 
the Hollywood actor turned politician and climate campaigner.

She visited the charred remains of Paradise, the Californian town 
destroyed by a wildfire in November 2018.

She is shocked by the carbon-intensive lifestyles she saw in the US. 
"Apart from a few wind power plants and solar panels," she says, "there 
are no signs whatsoever of any sustainable transition, despite this 
being the richest country in the world."

But the social inequities struck her just as forcefully.

She describes meeting poor black, Hispanic and indigenous communities.

"It was very shocking to hear people talk about that they can't afford 
to put food on the table", she explained...
- -
She describes signs of what she calls an "awakening" in which "people 
are starting to find their voice, to sort of understand that they can 
actually have an impact".

That is why Greta Thunberg says she still has hope.

"Humanity has not yet failed", she argues.

She concludes her radio documentary in powerful form.

"Nature does not bargain and you cannot compromise with the laws of 
physics," the teenager asserts.

"Doing our best is no longer good enough. We must now do the seemingly 
impossible. And that is up to you and me. Because no one else will do it 
for us."
https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-53100800

- - -

[audio - Greta speaks on Swedish Radio 75 mins]
*Greta Thunberg: Humanity has not yet failed*
Climate activist Greta Thunberg urges world leaders to do more. "Doing 
our best is no longer good enough. We must now do the seemingly 
impossible, "Thunberg says in the Swedish Radio show" Summer on P1 
"where she takes us along her trip to the front lines of the climate crisis.
- -
"Who is the adult in the room?"
https://sverigesradio.se/sida/avsnitt/1535269?programid=2071

[obviously]
*Big corporate climate pledges often can't work without policy changes*
Ben Geman, author of Generate
Lyft's newly announced plan to go 100% electric by 2030 blends ambition 
on climate with an admission that making good relies on variables it can 
perhaps influence but can't control.

Why it matters: The ride-hailing giant is admirably open about something 
that can get lost in the avalanche of big pledges over the last two 
years. They need policy changes to make it work.

Lyft outlined a pathway that starts with more near-term electric vehicle 
deployment through its driver rental program and more slowly spurring 
electrification of driver-owned cars used for the vast majority of Lyft 
rides...
- -
The big picture: Look closely at various pledges and you'll see that a 
number -- though not all -- rely on a mix of corporate decision-making, 
technology advancements and policy changes to help meet the goals.

For instance, consider Duke Energy, one of the largest utilities in the 
nation and among a growing number of power giants pledging net-zero 
emissions or 100% carbon-free electricity by midcentury.
Its plan to be net-zero emissions by 2050 is shot-through with policy 
discussion, such as "permitting reforms" that will enable deployment of 
new technologies.
One level deeper: All the giant European oil companies are now setting 
targets for steeply cutting "Scope 3" emissions -- that is, emissions 
from the use of their products in the economy, not just the 
comparatively small emissions from their own operations.

This either explicitly or tacitly acknowledges the role of policy in 
addition to their own business practices (and indeed the companies are 
also vowing to boost their advocacy).
Take the French multinational giant Total, which points out that it's 
aiming for net-zero overall emissions by 2050 "together with society" 
and that it will develop "active advocacy" around carbon pricing and more.
The bottom line: It's another lens onto something we've written about 
before that's getting a lot of attention as President Trump scales back 
federal efforts.

The burst of state, local and business emissions efforts can do a lot -- 
but they're not a substitute for national policy.
https://www.axios.com/corporate-climate-pledges-need-policy-changes-2545bf66-cfbe-43bb-8176-f9b71171b50d.html
**

[video understanding weather]
*Jet Stream Fracturing and Blocking With Abrupt Climate Change*
Jun 19, 2020
Paul Beckwith
As the Arctic warms at faster rates, decreasing the temperature gradient 
to the equator, jet streams slow and become wavier in the North-South 
direction (aka meridional), making the likelihood of getting stuck for 
weeks on end in persistent patterns called blocks greater. Westerly 
winds must reroute around these blocks, either to the north of them or 
to the south of them, or get stalled out completely. As the jet streams 
weaken and get more fractured, the temperature contrast between land and 
ocean gain influence, as does the topography (orography) of the land 
below (mountains versus flat regions). Complexity abounds.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=keDL5_lrY3A

[Radical debate - first 30 mins of video]
*Climate Change & Coronavirus | Excerpt from a Cambridge University 
Debate | Extinction **Rebellion*
Extinction Rebellion
*Roger Hallam* contributes to a live Cambridge Union online debate with 
*Lord Martin Rees *(British scientist) *Will Wilkinson* (American 
writer) and *Alice Hill* (American policy-maker and academic)
Recorded live on the 19 June 2020.
Help XR mobilise and donate here: https://rebellion.earth/donate/
Extinction Rebellion: https://rebellion.earth/
International: https://rebellion.global/
1. #TellTheTruth
2. #ActNow
3. #BeyondPolitics
World Map of Extinction Rebellion Groups: https://rebellion.global/branches/
Twitter: https://twitter.com/ExtinctionR
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3-TxlZcCuBU

[follow the money]
*Rising Seas Threaten an American Institution: The 30-Year Mortgage*
Climate change is starting to transform the classic home loan, a fixture 
of the American experience and financial system that dates back 
generations...
- -
The trends foreshadow a broader reckoning. The question that matters, 
according to researchers, isn't whether the effects of climate change 
will start to ripple through the housing market. Rather, it's how fast 
those effects will occur and what they will look like...
- - -
There was nothing magical about a period of 30 years, Dr. Caplin said; 
it simply proved useful, making payments predictable and affordable by 
stretching them out over decades. "It was designed from a viewpoint of a 
consumer, who wouldn't find it too hard to understand exactly what they 
had committed to," Dr. Caplin said.

But now, as the world warms, that long-term nature of conventional 
mortgages might not be as desirable as it once was, as rising seas and 
worsening storms threaten to make some land uninhabitable. A retreat 
from the 30-year mortgage could also put homeownership out of reach for 
more Americans.

Changes to the housing market are just one of myriad ways global warming 
is disrupting American life, including spreading disease and threatening 
the food supply. It could also be one of the most economically 
significant. During the 2008 financial crisis, a decline in home values 
helped cripple the financial system and pushed almost nine million 
Americans out of work...
- -
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac said, "Any loan located in FEMA-designated 
Special Flood Hazard Areas must have flood insurance in order for the 
loan to be purchased by Freddie Mac or Fannie Mae."

But flood insurance isn't likely to address the problem, Dr. Keenan 
said, because it doesn't protect against the risk of a house losing 
value and ultimately becoming unsellable...
- -
In new research this month, Dr. Ouazad found that, since the housing 
crash, the share of homes with fixed-rate, 30-year mortgages has 
declined sharply -- to less than 80 percent, as of 2016 -- in areas most 
exposed to storm surges. In the rest of the country, the rate has stayed 
constant, at about 90 percent of home loans...
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/19/climate/climate-seas-30-year-mortgage.html

[Podcast interview Links the issues]
*The Inseparable Link Between Climate Change And Racial Justice*
Short Wave
June 18, 2020
Marine biologist Ayana Elizabeth Johnson wrote a Washington Post op-ed 
about the ways the fight around climate change and racial justice go 
hand in hand. Host Maddie Sofia talks with her about that and how Ayana 
says the fight against climate change could be stronger if people of 
color weren't being constantly exhausted by racism.
https://www.npr.org/2020/06/16/878941532/the-inseparable-link-between-climate-change-and-racial-justice
- - -
Read Ayana's full op-ed here: 
https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlook/2020/06/03/im-black-climate-scientist-racism-derails-our-efforts-save-planet/
By Ayana Elizabeth Johnson
*I'm A Black Climate Expert. Racism Derails Our Efforts To Save The Planet*
2 clips:

    Here is an incomplete list of things I left unfinished last week
    because America's boiling racism and militarization are deadly for
    black people: a policy memo to members of Congress on accelerating
    offshore wind energy development in U.S. waters; the introduction to
    my book on climate solutions; a presentation for a powerful
    corporation on how technology can advance ocean-climate solutions; a
    grant proposal to fund a network of women climate leaders; a fact
    check of a big-budget film script about ocean-climate themes,
    planting vegetables with my mother in our climate victory garden.

    Toni Morrison said it best, in a 1975 speech: "The very serious
    function of racism … is distraction. It keeps you from doing your
    work. It keeps you explaining, over and over again, your reason for
    being." As a marine biologist and policy nerd, building community
    around climate solutions is my life's work. But I'm also a black
    person in the United States of America. I work on one existential
    crisis, but these days I can't concentrate because of another...
    - -
    People of color disproportionately bear climate impacts, from storms
    to heat waves to pollution. Fossil-fueled power plants and
    refineries are disproportionately located in black neighborhoods,
    leading to poor air quality and putting people at higher risk for
    coronavirus. Such issues are finally being covered in the news media
    more fully.

    But this other intersection of race and climate doesn't get talked
    about nearly enough: Black Americans who are already committed to
    working on climate solutions still have to live in America,
    brutalized by institutions of the state, constantly pummeled with
    images, words and actions showing just us how many of our fellow
    citizens do not, in fact, believe that black lives matter. Climate
    work is hard and heartbreaking as it is. Many people don't feel the
    urgency, or balk at the initial cost of transitioning our energy
    infrastructure, without considering the cost of inaction. Many fail
    to grasp how dependent humanity is on intact ecosystems. When you
    throw racism and bigotry in the mix, it becomes something near
    impossible.

    Look, I would love to ignore racism and focus all my attention on
    climate. But I can't. Because I am human. And I'm black. And
    ignoring racism won't make it go away.

    So, to white people who care about maintaining a habitable planet, I
    need you to become actively anti-racist. I need you to understand
    that our racial inequality crisis is intertwined with our climate
    crisis. If we don't work on both, we will succeed at neither. I need
    you to step up. Please. Because I am exhausted.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlook/2020/06/03/im-black-climate-scientist-racism-derails-our-efforts-save-planet/

[Arizona fires]
*Bush Fire now one of the largest wildfires in AZ history, burning over 
150,000 acres*
https://www.azfamily.com/news/arizona_wildfires/bush-fire-now-one-of-the-largest-wildfires-in-az-history-burning-over-150-000/article_3cad6c70-adcc-11ea-9156-af41dda3668e.html

[chilling job]
*Coastal Job: Sea Ice Analyst and Forecaster*
Arctic sea ice changes rapidly, and Nick Hughes is a master at 
predicting its next move. His daily ice forecasts help keep seafarers 
out of trouble.
https://www.hakaimagazine.com/article-short/coastal-job-sea-ice-analyst-and-forecaster/

[lessons not learned will be repeated]
*CLIMATE CHANGE IS KILLING AMERICANS. HEALTH DEPARTMENTS AREN'T EQUIPPED 
TO RESPOND*
A home builder works at sunrise on a summer day in 2016, in Gilbert, 
Ariz., in an effort to beat the rising temperatures. (AP Photo/Matt York)

How a decade of neglect and politics undermined the CDC's fight against 
climate change
This investigation was conducted by Columbia Journalism Investigations 
and the Center for Public Integrity and co-published in partnership with 
The Guardian.

INTRODUCTION
PHOENIX -- Charlie Rhodes lived alone on a tree-sparse street with 
sunburned lawns just outside this Arizona city. At 61, the Army 
veteran's main connection to the world was Facebook; often, he posted 
several times a day. But as a heat wave blanketed the region in June 
2016 -- raising temperatures among the highest ever recorded -- his 
posts stopped. Three weeks later, a pile of unopened mail outside his 
door prompted a call to police.

When officers arrived, they were overcome by the odor of rotting 
garbage, worsened by the still-searing heat. Inside the home, they found 
the air conditioner broken and its thermometer reading 99 degrees. 
Rhodes lay dead in the bedroom, his body decomposing. The cause, his 
autopsy shows: "complications of environmental heat exposure."...
- -
Health departments can protect people from intensifying heat through 
awareness campaigns. They can remind residents to visit secluded 
neighbors on hot days. They can work with police and medical providers 
to reach out to those in need.

Arizona's climate team proposed taking these very steps in a 2017 report 
for municipalities that came too late for Rhodes, a once-gregarious 
jokester who cut himself off from family and friends after the loss of 
his job and father. Rhodes devised a method to handle the heat: He 
covered his windows with aluminum foil and ran the air conditioner in 
his bedroom. But as the temperature hit 120 degrees near his home, no 
one checked on him.

Matthew Roach, who manages the Arizona health department's climate 
program, touted its heat awareness campaign and other nationally 
recognized work to combat the dangers of increasingly hotter days. He 
acknowledged, though, that funding and staff turnover have impeded their 
efforts...
- -
Yearly heat-related deaths have more than doubled in Arizona in the last 
decade to 283. Across the country, heat caused at least 10,000 deaths 
between 1999 and 2016 -- more than hurricanes, tornadoes or floods in 
most years.

Scientists link the warming planet to a rise in dangerous heat in the 
United States, as well as the spread of infectious diseases and other 
health conditions. Federal research predicts heat stroke and similar 
illnesses will claim tens of thousands of American lives each year by 
the end of the century. Already, higher temperatures pose lethal risks: 
The top five warmest years nationwide have all occurred since 2006. In 
the last six decades, the number of annual heat waves in 50 U.S. cities 
has, on average, tripled. In contrast to a viral pandemic, like the one 
caused by the novel coronavirus, this is a quiet, insidious threat with 
no end point...
- -
Federal officials have known for decades that climate change poses a 
public health crisis. In 1989, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency 
issued a 100-page report on how global warming could affect human 
health. It urged public health agencies to fund research on extreme heat 
and provide health departments with "trained professionals." By 2000, 
the U.S. released its first recurring assessment of the changing 
climate's impacts. Again, it called for "investments in advancing the 
public health infrastructure."

Five years later, Dr. Howard Frumkin, a veteran epidemiologist hired to 
run CDC's environmental health center, brought the nation's leading 
public health agency into the battle against climate change. "We knew 
that the climate was warming," said Frumkin, who viewed the CDC as "past 
the point where we needed to be stepping up."

HOW HEAT KILLS
Extreme heat overwhelms our ability to sweat and regulate body 
temperature. This can lead to heat stress, which has wide-ranging 
symptoms like cramps, dizziness and fainting. The more severe condition 
of heat stroke sets in once our core body temperature tops 103 degrees. 
That's when sweating stops, and our heart rate and breathing escalate. 
Confusion and loss of consciousness may follow. Ultimately, deadly heat 
can spur multi-organ failure of our kidneys, heart and liver.

Hot temperatures are also linked with secondary conditions, such as 
heart, lung and kidney disorders; diabetes; mental health issues; and 
pre-term births. Recent studies have connected heat to a rise in 
injuries and suicides.

Children, seniors and people with chronic conditions are most at risk 
for heat-related illnesses. Some communities of color and individuals 
who are poor or isolated are especially vulnerable. If you experience 
heat-stress symptoms, find a cool place to rest, drink water and let 
someone know you're not feeling well. If symptoms worsen, cover your 
body in cold, wet towels or ice packs. Ice-water immersion can save 
lives. And, of course, call 911.

At the time, there wasn't a model for adapting public health to 
something as complex as climate change. The CDC designed programs to 
control specific risks, like AIDS or heart disease. The climate 
amplifies many threats at once. The agency was also created to respond 
after a crisis had happened, but climate change requires health 
officials to prepare for future events.

To devise a proactive approach, Frumkin tapped discretionary funds and 
two scientists -- including a medical anthropologist, George Luber. They 
worked with national climate data to make large-scale analyses: showing 
how the country was warming, for instance, or that Lyme disease was 
creeping north as temperature changes made more places hospitable for 
ticks carrying it.

In 2009 -- then the second-hottest year on record -- Frumkin seized an 
opportunity to expand the CDC's climate efforts. That February, he 
testified before a congressional committee about challenges brought by 
global warming. Health departments, he said, require climate and health 
training and data to plan for impacts. "CDC has in place many of the 
building blocks," he told the committee, but it needed to assemble them 
into a serious effort.

A month later, a Democrat-led Congress gave the CDC $7.5 million for its 
climate program, to be renewed yearly with congressional approval. The 
new initiative seeded climate and health activities in 10 health 
departments. Frumkin hoped it would eventually expand to all 50 states.

Shortly after Congress funded the program, Dr. Thomas Frieden, then the 
newly-appointed CDC director, introduced his "winnable battles" -- seven 
health initiatives that his agency prioritized. Climate was not among 
them. Most of those programs -- nutrition, food safety -- received an 
annual $50 million to $700 million by the end of his eight-year tenure. 
The climate program, by contrast, never exceeded $10 million. In 2013, 
the CDC recommended reducing that budget.
https://publicintegrity.org/environment/hidden-epidemics/underfunded-unprepared-cdc-fight-against-climate-change-public-health-heat-death/

[Chevron EENews Check that email before sending]
*Slip-up reveals Chevron ties to architect of climate attack*
Corbin Hiar, E&E News reporterPublished: Thursday, June 18, 2020

It was an audacious messaging campaign: White environmentalists are 
hurting black communities by pushing radical climate policies that would 
strip them of fossil fuel jobs.

The email to journalists, sent by a public affairs firm at the height of 
national protests over systemic racism earlier this month, accidentally 
contained the name of a high-profile client.

It was Chevron Corp.

The Virginia-based communications firm, named CRC Advisors, urged 
journalists to look at how green groups were "claiming solidarity" with 
black protesters while "backing policies which would hurt minority 
communities."

"Despite this claimed solidarity, environmental organizations, composed 
of predominantly white members, are backing radical policies like the 
Green New Deal which would bring particular harm to minority 
communities," wrote John Gage of CRC in an email sent to media outlets 
including E&E News.

The story pitch included an offer to connect journalists with black 
conservatives who oppose the Green New Deal, a sweeping government jobs 
program advanced by progressive lawmakers who champion environmental 
justice issues for communities of color.

The email ended with a revealing tagline.

"If you would rather not receive future communications from Chevron, let 
us know by clicking here."

Chevron denied involvement in the messaging campaign, but the email's 
accidental nod to the oil giant is renewing suspicions among activists 
and academics that Chevron's public statements about climate change fail 
to match its lobbying activities. While Chevron has promised to do more 
to slow rising temperatures, observers view the email as a shadowy 
continuation of the fossil fuel industry's past efforts to undercut 
legislation aimed at reducing greenhouse gas emissions.

"Chevron's fingerprints appear to be on this," said Naomi Oreskes, a 
Harvard University history professor and the co-author of "Merchants of 
Doubt," a 2010 book about how scientists with ties to Big Oil worked to 
obscure the truth about global warming.

Oreskes described previous instances of oil and gas companies working 
with communications firms to advance industry talking points. But the 
CRC effort is remarkable, she said, for trying to leverage national 
unrest about systemic racism and police violence to promote an expansion 
of oil and gas drilling.

"There's no socially acceptable language to describe how despicable this 
is," she said. "It's hard for me to contain my fury."

Chevron, a longtime CRC client whose shareholders recently called on the 
oil major to detail its lobbying on climate change, says it had nothing 
to do with the message.

"Thanks for the opportunity to clarify the situation," Chevron spokesman 
Sean Comey said in an email...
more at - https://www.eenews.net/stories/1063407645

[risk from the OilPrice]
*The Most Vulnerable Of The Oil Majors*
By Alex Kimani - Jun 16, 2020
U.S. oil and gas supermajors have come under plenty of flak during the 
ongoing oil price rout, with some blaming them for the oil price 
collapse for stubbornly refusing to lower production while others have 
accused them of using backhand means to stifle smaller competitors. 
Specifically,  Pioneer Natural Resource CEO Scott Sheffield is on record 
accusing ExxonMobil (NYSE:XOM) of blocking help from the American 
government in a bid to kill off smaller shale companies with weaker 
balance sheets.

And now, some pundits are claiming that Exxon itself is facing some 
pretty precarious prospects down the line if low energy prices persist.

Wood Mackenzie, a global energy, renewables, and mining research and 
consultancy group, has reported that Exxon is the least resilient of all 
the oil supermajors with the least ability to weather the market downturn.

WoodMac says this is the case thanks to Exxon's huge exposure to 
low-margin assets that leaves it vulnerable to continued low energy prices.

Low-Margin Assets
WoodMac has tested the cash margins of the seven oil giants using 
capital expenditure on a unit of production and post-tax cash flow plus, 
assuming Brent prices remain in the $30 to $70 range through 2030.

The firm has concluded that Exxon has the least ability to weather a 
prolonged downturn, thanks to its exposure to 60% of the 30 
lowest-margin assets owned by the supermajors. These include Kearl and 
Cold Lake (oil sands) in Canada that the firm has labeled a "huge drag" 
as well as Alaska's Prudhoe Bay (mature onshore oil).

Interestingly, Exxon's key rival, Chevron Corp. (NYSE:CVX), has emerged 
at the top of the pile closely followed by Royal Dutch Shell 
(NYSE:RDS.A), thanks to their robust deepwater projects and LNG as well 
as less exposure to high-cost assets. Chevron's giant Australian LNG 
projects have played a big part in helping it cut costs.
Related: The End Of The OPEC Deal Could Be The Start Of A New Oil Price War

These findings come off as quite surprising, given that quite a number 
of analysts had turned bullish on Exxon.

For instance, before disaster struck, Bank of America Merrill Lynch had 
predicted that 2020 could "finally be Exxon Mobil's year". BofA expected 
Exxon to become cash flow positive in 2020 and XOM and the stock to 
nearly double to $100. "The inflection in Permian production is well 
under way while the first oil from Guyana confirmed for December kick 
starts what we expect to be 7-8 years of growth…" they gushed...
- -
Exxon's weakness is mainly relative to its giant peers but is likely to 
remain a top sector pick mainly due to its ability to continue paying 
that dividend.
https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/The-Most-Vulnerable-Of-The-Oil-Majors.html

[Digging back into the internet news archive]
*On this day in the history of global warming - June 20, 1979 *

Solar heaters are installed on the roof of the White House by President 
Carter. The panels would be yanked down by President Reagan in August 1986.

http://youtu.be/_88idk1VJGU

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