[TheClimate.Vote] May 2, 2020 - Daily Global Warming News Digest
Richard Pauli
richard at theclimate.vote
Sat May 2 08:13:23 EDT 2020
/*May 2, 2020*/
[Business and climate risk]
*Warren calls for SEC to require climate risk disclosures*
Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) is calling on the Securities and
Exchange Commission (SEC) to require public companies to disclose
climate risks posed by their activities.
She wrote a letter to SEC Chairman Jay Clayton as the agency is
proposing changes to financial disclosure requirements. The changes
wouldn't add any particular mandate to disclose climate risks.
"The climate crisis will have a significant impact on our economy, and
without meaningful requirements for companies to disclose their exposure
to climate change risk, I am concerned that the proposed rule would not
give investors and the public the information needed to make
well-informed investment decisions," Warren wrote on Tuesday...
https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/495336-warren-calls-for-sec-to-require-climate-risk-disclosures
--
[a single page act]
*The Climate Risk Disclosure Act of 2019*
Investors lack access to basic information about the potential impact of
the climate crisis on American companies. This
creates enormous environmental and financial risks.
The Climate Risk Disclosure Act of 2019 would require public companies
to disclose more information about their exposure to climate-related
risks, which will help investors appropriately assess those risks,
accelerate the transition from fossil fuels to cleaner and more
sustainable energy sources and reduce the chances of both environmental
and financial catastrophe.
*The Problem*
The climate crisis has the potential to affect companies in multiple
ways. First, climate change – through rising sea levels,
more frequent extreme weather patterns, water shortages, increased
resource scarcity, and its many other effects – directly
threatens valuable company assets. Freddie Mac has stated that climate
change appears "likely to destroy billions of
dollars in property and to displace millions of people," which will
produce "economic losses and social disruption . . .
likely to be greater in total than those experienced in the housing
crisis and Great Recession."
Second, global efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions or otherwise
mitigate the effects of the climate crisis could
dramatically affect the value of company assets. The Task Force on
Climate-related Financial Disclosures has written that
the reduction in greenhouse gas emissions "coupled with rapidly
declining costs and increased deployment of clean and
energy-efficient technologies could have significant, near-term
financial implications for organizations dependent on
extracting, producing, and using coal, oil, and natural gas...
In fact, climate-related risks and the expected transition to a
lower-carbon economy affect most economic sectors and industries."
Former Vice President Al Gore has noted that by ignoring the risk of a
carbon bubble, investors "are exposing their portfolios to an
externality that should be integrated into the capital allocation process."
The effects on the fossil fuel industry are likely to be most severe. To
successfully limit an average global temperature rise
to 1.5 degrees Celsius relative to pre-industrial levels – the ultimate
goal of the Paris Agreement – energy experts estimate
that the global community must dramatically reduce fossil fuel
consumption over the next 30 years, with nearly 0% of
electricity generated from coal and about 8% of electricity generated
from gas by 2050, while also using carbon dioxide
removal activities.
The market lacks information about companies' exposure to these risks
and it appears to dramatically undervalue the
potential impacts of the climate crisis. While the Securities and
Exchange Commission (SEC) has issued guidelines
suggesting that companies consider the effects of the climate crisis on
company assets, it has not mandated any specific
https://www.warren.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/File%20Number%20S7-01-20%20-%2004.28.2020%20Letter%20from%20Senator%20Warren%20to%20SEC%20Chairman%20Jay%20Clayton.pdf
[The movie controversy]
*Review: Planet of the Humans*
By Richard Heinberg, originally published by Resilience.org
April 27, 2020
A few days ago, Emily Atkin posted a reaction to Michael Moore's latest
film, Planet of the Humans (directed and narrated by Jeff Gibbs), in
which she began by admitting that she hadn't seen the film yet. When
writers take that approach, you know there's already blood in the water.
(She has since watched the film and written an actual review. Full
disclosure: I'm in the film, included as one of the "good guys." But I
don't intend to let that fact distort my comments in this review.)
The film is controversial because it makes two big claims: first, that
renewable energy is a sham; second, that big environmental
organizations--by promoting solar and wind power--have sold their souls
to billionaire investors.
I feel fairly confident commenting on the first of these claims,
regarding renewable energy, having spent a year working with David
Fridley of Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory to assess the prospects
for a complete transition to solar and wind power.
We found that the transition to renewables is going far too slowly to
make much of a difference during the crucial next couple of decades, and
would be gobsmackingly expensive if we were to try replacing all fossil
fuel use with solar and wind. We also found, as the film underscores
again and again, that the intermittency of sunshine and wind is a real
problem--one that can only be solved with energy storage (batteries,
pumped hydro, or compressed air, all of which are costly in money and
energy terms); or with source redundancy (building way more generation
capacity than you're likely to need at any one time, and connecting
far-flung generators on a super-grid); or demand management (which
entails adapting our behavior to using energy only when it's available).
All three strategies involve trade-offs. In the energy world, there is
no free lunch. Further, the ways we use energy today are mostly adapted
to the unique characteristics of fossil fuels, so a full transition to
renewables will require the replacement of an extraordinary amount of
infrastructure in our food system, manufacturing, building heating, the
construction industry, and on and on. Altogether, the only realistic way
to make the transition in industrial countries like the US is to begin
reducing overall energy usage substantially, eventually running the
economy on a quarter, a fifth, or maybe even a tenth of current energy.
Is it true that mainstream enviros have oversold renewables? Yes. They
have portrayed the transition away from fossil fuels as mostly a
political problem; the implication in many of their communications is
that, if we somehow come up with the money and the political will, we
can replace oil with solar and continue living much as we do today,
though with a clear climate conscience. That's an illusion that deserves
shattering.
But the film does make some silly mistakes. Gibbs claims that a solar
panel will generate less energy than it took to build the panel. That's
a misleading claim. Many teams of researchers have addressed the
question of energy return on energy invested for solar power, and even
the most pessimistic results (with which I mostly agree) say that the
technology can yield a marginal energy gain. Much of that gain goes away
if we have to "pay" for the energy investment entailed in providing
batteries or redundant capacity. Wind power generally has a better
energy payback than solar, but the location of turbines matters a great
deal and ideal sites are limited in number. Assessing solar and wind
power calls for complicated energy accounting, but the film reduces that
complexity to a blanket, binary dismissal.
The film is low on nuance, but our global climate and energy dilemma is
all shades of gray. Gibbs seems to say that renewables are a complete
waste of time. I would say, they are best seen as a marginal
transitional strategy for industrial societies. Given climate change and
the fact that fossil fuels are depleting, finite resources, it appears
that if we want to maintain any sort of electrical energy infrastructure
in the future, it will have to be powered by renewables--hydro, wind, or
solar. As many studies have confirmed, the nuclear power industry has
little realistic prospect of revival. The future will be renewable;
there simply isn't any other option. What is very much in question,
however, is the kind of society renewable energy can support.
The fact is that we've already bet our entire future on electricity and
electronics. Communications and information processing and storage have
all been digitized. That means that if the grid goes down, we've lost
civilization altogether. I don't think we can maintain global grids at
current scale without fossil fuels, but I can envision the possibility
of a process of triage whereby, as population and resource consumption
shrink, the digital world does as well, until it's small enough to be
powered by renewable electricity that can be generated with minimal and
acceptable environmental damage.
I agree with Gibbs, however, that renewables are realistically incapable
of maintaining our current levels of energy usage, especially in rich
countries like the US. Transitioning to electric cars may be a useful
small-scale and short-term strategy for reducing oil consumption (I
drive one myself), but limits to lithium and other raw materials used in
building e-cars mean we really need to think about how to get rid of
personal cars altogether.
Mainstream enviros will hate this movie because it exposes some of their
real failings. By focusing on techno-fixes, they have sidelined nearly
all discussion of overpopulation and overconsumption. Maybe that's
understandable as a marketing strategy, but it's a mistake to let
marketing consultants sort truth from fiction for us.
During recent decades, the big environmental orgs wearied of telling
their followers to reduce, reuse, and recycle. They came to see that
global problems like climate change require systemic solutions that, in
turn, require massive investment and governmental planning and oversight.
But the reality is, we need both high-level systemic change and
widespread individual behavior change. That's one of the lessons of the
coronavirus pandemic: "flattening the curve" demands both central
planning and leadership, and individual sacrifice.
Planet of the Humans paints environmental organizations and leaders with
a broad and accusatory brush. One target is Jeremy Grantham, a
billionaire investment analyst who created the Grantham Foundation for
the Protection of the Environment in 1997. Grantham was already a
mega-rich investor before he "got religion" on environmental issues.
I've had several face-to-face meetings with him (full disclosure: the
Grantham Foundation has provided modest funding to Post Carbon
Institute, where I work) and it's clear that he cares deeply about
overpopulation and overconsumption, and he understands that economic
growth is killing the planet. He's scared for his children and
grandchildren, and he genuinely wants to use whatever wealth and
influence he has to change the world. To imply, as the film does, that
he merely sees green tech as an investment strategy is a poorly aimed
cheap shot. Bill McKibben, who is skewered even more savagely, also
deserves better; he has replied to the film here.
Finally, the film leaves viewers with no sense of hope for the future. I
understand why Gibbs made that choice. Too often, "hopium" is simply a
drug we use to numb ourselves to the horrific reality of our situation
and its causes--in which we are all complicit.
Yet, however awful the circumstance, we need a sense of human agency. In
the face of the pandemic, many of us are reduced to sitting at home
sewing facemasks; it seems like a paltry response to a spreading
sickness that's taking tens of thousands of lives, but it's better than
sitting on our hands and saying "Woe is me." The same goes for climate
change: figuring out how to eat lower on the food chain, or how to get
by without a car, or how to reduce home energy usage by half, or growing
a garden might seem like trivial responses to such an overwhelming
crisis, but they get us moving together in the right direction.
For all the reasons I've mentioned, Planet of the Humans is not the last
word on our human predicament. Still, it starts a conversation we need
to have, and it's a film that deserves to be seen.
https://www.resilience.org/stories/2020-04-27/review-planet-of-the-humans/
- - -
[McKibben responds in RollingStone]
*'A Bomb in the Center of the Climate Movement': Michael Moore Damages
Our Most Important Goal*
It hurts to be personally attacked in a movie. It hurts more to see a
movement divided
By BILL MCKIBBEN
- -
Basically, Moore and his colleagues have made a film attacking renewable
energy as a sham and arguing that the environmental movement is just a
tool of corporations trying to make money off green energy. "One of the
most dangerous things right now is the illusion that alternative
technologies, like wind and solar, are somehow different from fossil
fuels," Ozzie Zehner, one of the film's producers, tells the camera.
When visiting a solar facility, he insists: "You use more fossil fuels
to do this than you're getting benefit from it. You would have been
better off just burning the fossil fuels."
That's not true, not in the least -- the time it takes for a solar panel
to pay back the energy used to build it is well under four years. Since
it lasts three decades, it means 90 percent of the power it produces is
pollution-free, compared with zero percent of the power from burning
fossil fuels. It turns out that pretty much everything else about the
movie was wrong -- there have been at least 24 debunkings, many of them
painfully rigorous; as one scientist wrote in a particularly scathing
takedown, "Planet of the Humans is deeply useless. Watch anything else."...
- -
I think that one thing that defines those movements is their adversaries
-- in this case the fossil fuel industry above all. And I think the
thing that weakens those movements is when they start trying to identify
adversaries within their ranks. Much has been made over the years about
the way that progressives eat their own, about circular firing squads
and the like. I think there's truth to it: there's a collection of
showmen like Moore who enjoy attracting attention to themselves by
endlessly picking fights. They're generally not people who actually try
to organize, to build power, to bring people together. That's the real,
and difficult, work -- not purity tests or calling people out, but
calling them in. At least, that's how it seems to me: The battle to slow
down global warming in the short time that physics allots us requires
ever bigger movements.
It's been a great privilege to get to help build those movements. And if
I worry that my effectiveness has been compromised, it's not a huge
worry, precisely because there are now so many others doing this work --
generations and generations of people who have grown up in this fight. I
think, more or less, we're all headed in the right direction, that
people are getting the basic message right: conserve energy; replace
coal and gas and oil with wind and sun; break the political power of the
fossil fuel industry; demand just transitions for workers; build a world
that reduces ruinous inequality; and protect natural systems, both
because they're glorious and so they can continue to soak up carbon. I
don't know if we're going to get this done in time -- sometimes I kick
myself for taking too long to figure out we needed to start building
movements. But I know our chances are much improved if we do it together.
https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/political-commentary/bill-mckibben-climate-movement-michael-moore-993073/
[video offers some useful, basic history 25 mins - spot on]
*Climate Policy | The Complete Moderate's Guide*
Apr 28, 2020
Knowing Better
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=52rDpeC6JL0
[Media and politicians]
*Australia listened to the experts on coronavirus. It's time we heard
them on climate change*
Lenore Taylor - Fri 1 May 2020
- -
Imagine if we took just two lessons from the way Australian governments
responded to the coronavirus: that good decisions are made when they
consider the evidence and the best available expert advice; and that
policy-making can accommodate reasonable differences of opinion, without
becoming a "war".
Think, as Laura Tingle did in a piece for the ABC's 7.30 this week, of
the difference it would make if interviewers and commentators allowed
room for discussion of complex and competing ideas, before demanding
that politicians rule them "in" or "out", or before finding a
backbencher who will say they might cross the floor on a policy that
conflicts with their ideological prejudice – even if that policy hasn't
yet been outlined...
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/commentisfree/2020/may/02/australia-listened-to-the-experts-on-coronavirus-its-time-we-heard-them-on-climate-change
[Digging back into the internet news archive]
*On this day in the history of global warming - May 2, 2008 *
On MSNBC's "Countdown," Keith Olbermann and guest Rachel
Maddow react to GOP presidential candidate John McCain's remarks
earlier in the day linking the Iraq War to US energy policy.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pvY9e_ZxxyA
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