[TheClimate.Vote] October 26, 2020 - Daily Global Warming News Digest
Richard Pauli
richard at theclimate.vote
Mon Oct 26 11:34:46 EDT 2020
/*October 26, 2020*/
[top concern]
*As Colorado wildfires burn, fears that climate change is causing
"multi-level emergency" mount*
Heat, aridity, mega-fires and smoke are intensifying faster than
projected...
- -
The record-breaking forest fires burning in Colorado even as winter sets
in are the latest sign climate warming is hitting the West hard, causing
scientists to up their rhetoric and warn it is past time to move beyond
planning and start aggressively acting...
- -
Colorado and the West face more hot days and temperatures will shoot
higher, scientists say. The rising heat is depleting water and drying
soil across the Colorado River Basin and other river basins. Last week,
federal authorities classified 97% of Colorado in severe to exceptional
drought...
- -
Dry conditions also set the stage for bigger, hotter wildfires. Eight of
Colorado's 20 largest recorded fires hit after 2018 and all occurred in
the last two decades. And the three largest burned in the last three
months...
- -
"We-re clearly seeing the number of fires and the size of fires
continuing to go up. It will continue to go up," Morgan said. "And now
this fire problem is everybody's problem with more smoke coming into
metro areas. We cannot ignore what is happening. We all have to chip in
and do our part to reduce these impacts."..
- -
Lawmakers have ordered cuts below 2005 levels -- 30% by 2025, 50% by
2030 and 90% by 2050. Colorado-s emerging strategy would meet those
goals by requiring a faster shift away from gas-power to zero-emission
vehicles; closing coal-fired power plants; reducing methane pollution by
the oil and gas industry; and making the heating and cooling of
buildings more efficient.
"We need to move fast, but we need to move right and we need to move
carefully. We cannot impair the reliability of the electric grid," CDPHE
environment programs director John Putnam said. "If we blow the grid,
nobody's going to follow our model. I would love to say let-s get off
fossil fuels now, but it just doesn't work that way in the real world."
But officials last week acknowledged growing pressure to prepare for and
adapt to immediate escalating threats. Putnam referred to "a multi-level
emergency" as wildfires blew up.
"I understand the impatience," he said. "I suffer from asthma."
https://www.denverpost.com/2020/10/25/colorado-wildfires-climate-change/
[Ooops - best laid plans]
*North Pole ice cap too thin for testing Russia-s giant icebreaker*
The Arktika icebreaker will have to undergo a second test-voyage to
prove its capabilities to crush thick and hard sea-ice...
https://thebarentsobserver.com/en/arctic/2020/10/north-pole-ice-cap-too-thin-testing-russias-giant-icebreaker
[Opinion from the National Catholic Reporter]
*Editorial: Barrett-s moral relativism is cause for rejection from the
bench*
Oct 21, 2020
by NCR Editorial Staff
The United States Senate should reject the nomination of Judge Amy Coney
Barrett to the Supreme Court.
We believed it was wrong for the Senate to consider this nomination in
the first place given the precedent set four years ago when Justice
Antonin Scalia died in February, nine months before the election. Senate
Majority Leader Mitch McConnell refused to even hold hearings on the
nomination of Judge Merrick Garland, saying repeatedly that the American
people should have a say in the matter. This year, when the death of
Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg created a vacancy less than nine weeks
before Election Day, McConnell has seen fit to ram through the nomination.
The hypocrisy is rank, and it is impossible to see how rushing this
nomination will be good for our democracy. The enmity caused by the
Republicans' shameful double standard will not soon dissipate, not when
lifetime appointments are at stake.
Barrett is not responsible for McConnell's behavior, but she has allowed
herself to be a vehicle for his agenda and that of President Donald
Trump. She could have phoned the White House and asked not to be
considered for the nomination: Barrett is only 48 years old and there
will be other vacancies.
"Many on the faculty are strongly opposed to the process by which Judge
Barrett is being pushed through by the president and the GOP, especially
on the eve of this presidential election," stated an open letter signed
by over 100 faculty at the University of Notre Dame, where Barrett
attended and taught at the law school.
Her willingness to become a collaborator, complete with the required
adoring look at the president at the super-spreader event at which she
was nominated, is not enough to justify a negative vote, but it set the
table.
What disqualifies Barrett is the extreme moral relativism she displayed
in her confirmation hearing. Not so long ago, moral relativism was the
war cry of cultural conservatives, at least since then-Cardinal Joseph
Ratzinger enounced the "dictatorship of relativism" at the last Mass
before the cardinals entered the conclave of 2005 from which Ratzinger
emerged as Pope Benedict XVI.
For example, after acknowledging that COVID-19 is contagious and that
smoking causes cancer, she declined to affirm that climate change is
happening, Barrett called the issue of climate change "a very
contentious matter of public debate." Is that true? It is certainly the
case that Trump is not sure what, if anything, he makes of climate change.
But let-s be clear: Denying climate change is not that far from QAnon
conspiracy theories. If Barrett really has doubts on the subject, she is
not intellectually qualified to serve on the bench, and we suspect she
knows that. She was simply willing to embrace moral relativism rather
than risk a nasty tweet from the man who nominated her.
When Sen. Kamala Harris asked her a direct question -- "Prior to your
nomination, were you aware of President Trump-s statement committing to
nominate judges who will strike down the Affordable Care Act? And I'd
appreciate a yes or no answer" -- Barrett said she could not recall.
Really? You would think that in the days leading up to her nomination,
Barrett would have followed closely, or been briefed upon, what the
president did and did not say about his criteria in selecting a judge.
Sen. Amy Klobuchar asked Barrett if she thought it was against the law
to intimidate voters at the polls and, even more strangely, Barrett
refused to affirm that it was. Originalists like to claim that their
method of interpreting the Constitution is the only method that
genuinely honors democracy, but how is that possible if intimidation of
voters is permitted?
This leads to the most repugnant realization about Barrett-s relativism:
In her commitment to originalism and textualism, she claims not to be
interpreting the law or the Constitution at all. In her worldview, the
Constitution is virtually a self-interpreting text. If that were so, why
would we need judges?
In fact, in claiming that the meaning of the Constitution is fixed, and
she can discern it, Barrett is actually doing exactly what she said she
would never do. "As I said before, it is not the law of Amy, it is the
law of the American people," she said.
But, unlike the brilliant scholar Barrett will replace when confirmed,
who accepted other ways of interpreting the Constitution, the logic of
Barrett's originalism is that Ginsburg's legal theories were not just
different but were illegitimate. Barrett-s relativism, like the man who
nominated her, is on steroids.
We are glad that most commentators and virtually every question in the
formal hearing avoided discussing Barrett-s religion, even if her
membership in a patriarchal covenanted community raises some legitimate
concerns.
We at NCR do not like the prospect of five of the six conservative
justices being Catholic and worry what that says about our church. In
America, however, there are no religious tests for office and no senator
should oppose Barrett on account of her religion.
It is her bad faith in discussing the law that warrants disqualifying
her. About the evils of climate change, access to health care and voter
intimidation, Americans deserve better than a relativist dressed in
originalist drag. The Senate should vote no on the nomination of Amy
Coney Barrett.
A version of this story appeared in the Oct 30-Nov 12, 2020 print issue
under the headline: Barrett's nomination should be rejected .
https://www.ncronline.org/news/opinion/editorial-barretts-moral-relativism-cause-rejection-bench
[worse that thought]
*Coastal permafrost more susceptible to climate change than previously
thought*
by University of Texas at Austin
If you flew from the sea towards the land in the north slope of Alaska,
you would cross from the water, over a narrow beach, and then to the
tundra. From the air, that tundra would look like a landscape of
room-sized polygonal shapes. Those shapes are the surface manifestations
of the ice in the frozen ground below, a solidified earth known as
permafrost...
- -
Permafrost studies have almost exclusively focused on the region beneath
the tundra. Because it-s not easy to work in such remote locations and
under harsh weather conditions, the transition from sea to shore has
been largely ignored...
https://phys.org/news/2020-10-coastal-permafrost-susceptible-climate-previously.html
[Biden trending]
*Aggressive push to 100% renewable energy could save Americans billions
– study*
As much as $321bn could be saved with complete switch to clean energy
sources, Rewiring America analysis finds...
- -
But it appears that American voters are broadly in favor of bolder
action to address global heating in the wake of a brutal year of
wildfires and hurricanes that scientists say are being fueled by the
climate crisis. A New York Times and Siena College poll this week found
that two-thirds of voters approve of Biden's plan, with overwhelming
support for the policies among younger voters.
Snyder said the Biden plan is "probably the most ambitious yet plausible
plan I've seen" on the climate crisis.
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2020/oct/22/us-renewable-energy-costs-savings-study-report
[first examine the cost and value]
*Solar Panels for Home - Still Worth it 2 Years Later?*
Oct 20, 2020
Undecided with Matt Ferrell
Head to https://www.squarespace.com/mattferrell to save 10% off your
first purchase of a website or domain using code MATTFERRELL. Exploring
Solar Panels for Home - Still Worth it 2 Years Later Review. It-s been
two years since I installed solar panels on my home in the Boston area.
How's it been going? Let's take a look at how much it cost, how much
it's saved, how it-s been holding up and what type of maintenance it's
taken.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jgdjRADbVDo
- -
[see the cost]
*Get competing solar quotes online*
2020 is the last year to get 26% back on your solar panel installation
The average solar shopper saves at least $5,000 thanks to the solar tax
credit. In 2021, the tax credit drops to 22%, before expiring in 2022.
https://www.energysage.com/
[opinion of outrage]
*Geology-s human footprint is enough to spur rage*
October 21st, 2020, by Tim Radford
Once again science has presented evidence that a new geological epoch is
here. This human footprint is all our own work.
LONDON, 21 October, 2020 - The human footprint has left its mark on
Earth, in every sense. The United States alone is scarred by 500,000
abandoned mines and quarries.
Right now, worldwide, there are more than 500,000 active quarries and
pits, employing 4 million people, excavating the sand and gravel needed
for new roads, new homes and new megacities.
Humans have not simply pitted the face of the Earth, they have paved it.
In 1904, beyond the cities, the US had just 225 km of sealed highway.
Now it has 4.3m km of asphalt or concrete roadway, consuming more than
20 billion tonnes of sand and gravel.
By comparison, the Great Wall of China, the biggest and most enduring
construction in early human history, contains just 0.4bn tonnes of stone.
Humans have changed the face of the waters. In 1950, trawlers,
long-liners and purse seiners fished just 1% of the high seas beyond
territorial waters. No fish species of any kind was considered
over-exploited or depleted.
*Extinction threat widens*
Less than one human lifetime on, fishing fleets roam 63% of the high
seas and 87% of fish species are exploited, over-exploited or in a state
of collapse. Meanwhile somewhere between 5m and almost 13 million tons
of discarded plastics flow each year into the sea.
Humans and human livestock now far outweigh all other mammalian life. At
least 96% of the mass of all mammals is represented by humans and their
domesticated animals. Domestic poultry makes up 70% of the mass of all
living birds. The natural world is now endangered, with a million
species at risk of extinction.
And humans have left an almost indelible radiant signature over the
entire global surface: between 1950 and 1980, nations detonated more
than 500 thermonuclear weapons to smear the air and surface of the
planet with radioactive materials: one of these, plutonium-239, will be
detectable for the next 100,000 years.
The catalogue of planetary devastation that is the human footprint is
assembled in a new study by US and European scientists in the journal
Nature Communications: Earth and Environment. It is part of a fresh
attempt to settle a seemingly academic question of geological
bureaucracy, the naming of ages.
*
**"We humans collectively got ourselves into this mess, we need to work
together to reverse these environmental trends and dig ourselves out of it"*
The 11,000-year interval since the end of the last Ice Age and the dawn
of agriculture, metal smelting, and the first cities, cultures and
empires is still formally identified as the Holocene. The latest study
of the human legacy is just another salvo in the campaign to announce
and confirm the launch of an entirely new epoch, to be called the
Anthropocene.
In fact, environmental campaigners, biologists and geophysicists have
for years been informally calling the last six or seven decades the
Anthropocene. But the authority with the last word on
internationally-agreed geological labels - the International Commission
on Stratigraphy - has yet to confirm the launch of the new geological epoch.
To help confirm the case for change, researchers have once again
assembled the evidence and identified at least 16 ways in which humans
have dramatically altered the planet since 1950, and the beginning of
what is sometimes called The Great Acceleration.
For instance, humans have doubled the quantity of fixed nitrogen in the
biosphere, created an alarming hole in the stratospheric ozone layer,
released enough gases to raise the planetary temperature and precipitate
global climate change, fashioned or forged perhaps 180,000 kinds of
mineral (by comparison, only about 5,300 occur naturally) and - with
dams, drains, wells, irrigation, and hydraulic engineering - effectively
replumbed the world-s river systems.
*Ineradicable scar*
By forging metals and building structures, humans have become the
greatest earth-moving force on the planet, and left a mark that will
endure for aeons.
Altogether, humans have altered the world's rivers, lakes, coastlines,
vegetation, soils, chemistry and climate. The study makes grim reading.
"This is the first time that humans have documented humanity-s
geological footprint on such a comprehensive scale in a single
publication," said Jaia Syvitski, of the University of Colorado,
Boulder, who led the research team that assembled the evidence.
"We humans collectively got ourselves into this mess, we need to work
together to reverse these environmental trends and dig ourselves out of it.
"Society shouldn't feel complacent. Few people who read the manuscript
should come away without emotions bubbling up, like rage, grief and even
fear." - Climate News Network
https://climatenewsnetwork.net/geologys-human-footprint-is-enough-to-inspire-rage/
[classic documents- Dr James Hansen-s earliest presentation]
*On this day in the history of global warming - October 26, 2004 *
October 26, 2004:
NASA climate scientist James Hansen delivers a speech at the University
of Iowa on the hazards of human-caused climate change. Angered by the
speech, the Bush administration increases its efforts to prevent Hansen
from speaking publicly about climate change.
*October: Dangerous Anthropogenic Interference: A Discussion of
Humanity-s Faustian Climate Bargain and the Payments Coming Due.
*Presentation given at the Distinguished Public Lecture Series at the
Department of Physics and Astronomy, University of Iowa, on Oct. 26.
Download PDF (4.3 MB)
http://www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/2004/dai_complete_20041026.pdf
*Dangerous Anthropogenic Interference*
A Discussion of Humanity's Faustian Climate Bargain and the Payments
Coming Due
James E. Hansen
Kintnersville, Pennsylvania
October 26, 2004
I have been told by a high government official that I should not
talk about "dangerous
anthropogenic interference" with climate, because we do not know how
much humans are
changing the Earth's climate or how much change is "dangerous".
Actually, we know quite a
lot. Natural regional climate fluctuations remain larger today than
human-made effects such as
global warming. But data show that we are at a point where human
effects are competing with
nature and the balance is shifting.
Ominously, the data show that human effects have been minimized by a
Faustian bargain:
global warming effects have been mitigated by air pollutants that
reduce the amount of sunlight
reaching the Earth's surface. This Faustian bargain has a time
limit, and the payment is now
coming due.
Actions that would alleviate human distortions of nature are not
only feasible but make
sense for other reasons, including our economic well-being and
national security. However, our
present plan in the United States is to wait another decade before
re-examining the climate
change matter. Delay of another decade, I argue, is a colossal risk...
more at - http://www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/2004/dai_complete_20041026.pdf
From the NYTimes two years later
*Climate Expert Says NASA Tried to Silence Him*
By Andrew C. Revkin - Jan. 29, 2006
The top climate scientist at NASA says the Bush administration has
tried to stop him from speaking out since he gave a lecture last
month calling for prompt reductions in emissions of greenhouse gases
linked to global warming.
The scientist, James E. Hansen, longtime director of the agency's
Goddard Institute for Space Studies, said in an interview that
officials at NASA headquarters had ordered the public affairs staff
to review his coming lectures, papers, postings on the Goddard Web
site and requests for interviews from journalists.
Dr. Hansen said he would ignore the restrictions. "They feel their
job is to be this censor of information going out to the public," he
said.
Dean Acosta, deputy assistant administrator for public affairs at
the space agency, said there was no effort to silence Dr. Hansen.
"That's not the way we operate here at NASA," Mr. Acosta said. "We
promote openness and we speak with the facts."
He said the restrictions on Dr. Hansen applied to all National
Aeronautics and Space Administration personnel. He added that
government scientists were free to discuss scientific findings, but
that policy statements should be left to policy makers and appointed
spokesmen.
Mr. Acosta said other reasons for requiring press officers to review
interview requests were to have an orderly flow of information out
of a sprawling agency and to avoid surprises. "This is not about any
individual or any issue like global warming," he said. "It's about
coordination."
Dr. Hansen strongly disagreed with this characterization, saying
such procedures had already prevented the public from fully grasping
recent findings about climate change that point to risks ahead.
"Communicating with the public seems to be essential," he said,
"because public concern is probably the only thing capable of
overcoming the special interests that have obfuscated the topic."
Dr. Hansen, 63, a physicist who joined the space agency in 1967,
directs efforts to simulate the global climate on computers at the
Goddard Institute in Morningside Heights in Manhattan.
Since 1988, he has been issuing public warnings about the long-term
threat from heat-trapping emissions, dominated by carbon dioxide,
that are an unavoidable byproduct of burning coal, oil and other
fossil fuels. He has had run-ins with politicians or their
appointees in various administrations, including budget watchers in
the first Bush administration and Vice President Al Gore.
In 2001, Dr. Hansen was invited twice to brief Vice President Dick
Cheney and other cabinet members on climate change. White House
officials were interested in his findings showing that cleaning up
soot, which also warms the atmosphere, was an effective and far
easier first step than curbing carbon dioxide.
He fell out of favor with the White House in 2004 after giving a
speech at the University of Iowa before the presidential election,
in which he complained that government climate scientists were being
muzzled and said he planned to vote for Senator John Kerry.
But Dr. Hansen said that nothing in 30 years equaled the push made
since early December to keep him from publicly discussing what he
says are clear-cut dangers from further delay in curbing carbon dioxide.
In several interviews with The New York Times in recent days, Dr.
Hansen said it would be irresponsible not to speak out, particularly
because NASA-s mission statement includes the phrase "to understand
and protect our home planet."
He said he was particularly incensed that the directives had come
through telephone conversations and not through formal channels,
leaving no significant trails of documents.
Dr. Hansen-s supervisor, Franco Einaudi, said there had been no
official "order or pressure to say shut Jim up." But Dr. Einaudi
added, "That doesn't mean I like this kind of pressure being applied."
The fresh efforts to quiet him, Dr. Hansen said, began in a series
of calls after a lecture he gave on Dec. 6 at the annual meeting of
the American Geophysical Union in San Francisco. In the talk, he
said that significant emission cuts could be achieved with existing
technologies, particularly in the case of motor vehicles, and that
without leadership by the United States, climate change would
eventually leave the earth "a different planet."
The administration's policy is to use voluntary measures to slow,
but not reverse, the growth of emissions.
After that speech and the release of data by Dr. Hansen on Dec. 15
showing that 2005 was probably the warmest year in at least a
century, officials at the headquarters of the space agency
repeatedly phoned public affairs officers, who relayed the warning
to Dr. Hansen that there would be "dire consequences" if such
statements continued, those officers and Dr. Hansen said in interviews.
Among the restrictions, according to Dr. Hansen and an internal
draft memorandum he provided to The Times, was that his supervisors
could stand in for him in any news media interviews.
Mr. Acosta said the calls and meetings with Goddard press officers
were not to introduce restrictions, but to review existing rules. He
said Dr. Hansen had continued to speak frequently with the news media.
But Dr. Hansen and some of his colleagues said interviews were
canceled as a result.
In one call, George Deutsch, a recently appointed public affairs
officer at NASA headquarters, rejected a request from a producer at
National Public Radio to interview Dr. Hansen, said Leslie McCarthy,
a public affairs officer responsible for the Goddard Institute.
Citing handwritten notes taken during the conversation, Ms. McCarthy
said Mr. Deutsch called N.P.R. "the most liberal" media outlet in
the country. She said that in that call and others, Mr. Deutsch said
his job was "to make the president look good" and that as a White
House appointee that might be Mr. Deutsch's priority.
But she added: "I'm a career civil servant and Jim Hansen is a
scientist. That's not our job. That's not our mission. The inference
was that Hansen was disloyal."
Normally, Ms. McCarthy would not be free to describe such
conversations to the news media, but she agreed to an interview
after Mr. Acosta, at NASA headquarters, told The Times that she
would not face any retribution for doing so.
Mr. Acosta, Mr. Deutsch's supervisor, said that when Mr. Deutsch was
asked about the conversations, he flatly denied saying anything of
the sort. Mr. Deutsch referred all interview requests to Mr. Acosta.
Ms. McCarthy, when told of the response, said: "Why am I going to go
out of my way to make this up and back up Jim Hansen? I don't have a
dog in this race. And what does Hansen have to gain?"
Mr. Acosta said that for the moment he had no way of judging who was
telling the truth. Several colleagues of both Ms. McCarthy and Dr.
Hansen said Ms. McCarthy's statements were consistent with what she
told them when the conversations occurred.
"He's not trying to create a war over this," said Larry D. Travis,
an astronomer who is Dr. Hansen's deputy at Goddard, "but really
feels very strongly that this is an obligation we have as federal
scientists, to inform the public."
Dr. Travis said he walked into Ms. McCarthy's office in mid-December
at the end of one of the calls from Mr. Deutsch demanding that Dr.
Hansen be better controlled.
In an interview on Friday, Ralph J. Cicerone, an atmospheric chemist
and the president of the National Academy of Sciences, the nation-s
leading independent scientific body, praised Dr. Hansen's scientific
contributions and said he had always seemed to describe his public
statements clearly as his personal views.
"He really is one of the most productive and creative scientists in
the world," Dr. Cicerone said. "I've heard Hansen speak many times
and I-ve read many of his papers, starting in the late 70-s. Every
single time, in writing or when I've heard him speak, he's always
clear that he's speaking for himself, not for NASA or the
administration, whichever administration it's been."
The fight between Dr. Hansen and administration officials echoes
other recent disputes. At climate laboratories of the National
Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, for example, many scientists
who routinely took calls from reporters five years ago can now do so
only if the interview is approved by administration officials in
Washington, and then only if a public affairs officer is present or
on the phone.
Where scientists- points of view on climate policy align with those
of the administration, however, there are few signs of restrictions
on extracurricular lectures or writing.
One example is Indur M. Goklany, assistant director of science and
technology policy in the policy office of the Interior Department.
For years, Dr. Goklany, an electrical engineer by training, has
written in papers and books that it may be better not to force cuts
in greenhouse gases because the added prosperity from unfettered
economic activity would allow countries to exploit benefits of
warming and adapt to problems.
In an e-mail exchange on Friday, Dr. Goklany said that in the
Clinton administration he was shifted to nonclimate-related work,
but added that he had never had to stop his outside writing, as long
as he identified the views as his own.
"One reason why I still continue to do the extracurricular stuff,"
he wrote, "is because one doesn't have to get clearance for what I
plan on saying or writing."
https://www.nytimes.com/2006/01/29/science/earth/climate-expert-says-nasa-tried-to-silence-him.html
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